cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/16/2012 07:40 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/15/12 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
11/14/12 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail
11/10/12 43-­35-­1 55.13% +­2250 Detail
11/09/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/08/12 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
11/07/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/06/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/03/12 37-­34-­2 52.11% -­200 Detail
11/02/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/01/12 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 96-­75-­3 56.14% +6750


Friday, November 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida International - 8:00 PM ET Florida Atlantic -2 500
Florida Atlantic - Under 51.5 500

Hawaii - 9:30 PM ET Air Force -21.5 500

Air Force - Under 61 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 10:47 AM

Pac-12 Report - Week 12

November 14, 2012

Saturday - Southern California at UCLA (FOX, 3:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game

How nice is it to see this game as being relevant again? College football needs this. The Pac-12 needs this. It's been a while since UCLA enters the 'Inner City' rivalry game with a higher ranking. In fact, the last time that happened was 2001. UCLA has a sour taste in its mouth after getting their heads handed to them, 50-0, in last season's game. The Trojans have won 12 of the past 13 meetings straight-up, but UCLA has been the better team this season, and USC needs this one to avert a complete disaster. USC is 1-4 ATS in its past five games against a team with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS in its past five road games. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings with a team that has a winning record, and 12-3 ATS in its past 15 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Bruins are also 6-2 ATS in their past eight games. While the Trojans are 9-4 ATS in their past 13 meetings with the Bruins, the home team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine. USC is favored, but mostly due to recent trends over the years, and not because of this season's body of work.

Saturday - Stanford at Oregon (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game

If not for the emergence of UCLA, and the importance of their rivalry game with USC, this would be the marquee matchup in the Pac-12. In fact, it still might be the better game. The Cardinal are 16-5-1 ATS in their past 22 road games, and 15-5-1 in their past 21 Pac-12 battles. The Cardinal are also 6-2 ATS in the past eight matchups against a team with a winning record. However, the Ducks are 5-0 ATS in their past five Pac-12 games and 5-0 ATS in the past five overall. However, Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in the past five home games against a team with a winning road record. As such, Stanford might be the play getting near three touchdowns. If you can get Stanford plus-21, that might be the way to go. They need all the help they can get, as Stanford is 2-8 ATS in the past 10 meetings with Oregon, and 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Eugene.

Saturday - Arizona at Utah (ESPNU, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game

Arizona has been impressive, going 6-1 at home. However, they are 0-3 away from Tucson. The Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games, 0-4 ATS in the past four against a team with a losing record, and 0-5 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a losing home record. For Utah, they are 4-0 ATS in their past four home games, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight home games against a team with a winning record. In the past five meetings, the dog is 4-1 ATS, and the road team is 4-1 ATS. If you want overwhelming evidence for a wager, it might be the over. The over is 5-0 in Arizona's past five games against a team with a losing record, and 6-2 in their past eight road contests. The over is also 17-5 in Arizona's past 22 Pac-12 tilts. For Utah, the over has cashed in four straight at Rice-Eccles, and is 5-2 in their past seven home games against a team with a winning record.

Saturday - California at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game

There was talk about an undefeated season in Corvallis, but it's hard to believe the media even believed their own hype. Oregon State has been dumped twice in the past three games, although both losses came on the road. At Reser Stadium, they are 4-0 this season. The Cal Bears are just 1-3 on the road, and 0-4 ATS in their past four games overall. Cal is also 0-4 ATS in their past four Pac-12 games, and 1-4 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Beavs are 4-1 ATS in their past five home games, and 7-3-1 ATS in their past 11 overall. If you were thinking about the total, Cal is 12-5 in their past 17 Pac-12 tilts, and the under is 14-6 in the past 20 overall. For Oregon State, the under is 9-4-1 in their past 14 home games. The under is also 4-1-1 in the past six meetings at Oregon State, and 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings overall.

Saturday - Washington State at Arizona State (Pac-12 Network, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game

Washington State has been terrible this season, although they were able to cover last week against UCLA. In fact, they have covered two of their past three, and four of the past six despite losing each game straight up. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although just 2-5 ATS in their past seven visits to Tempe. For AZ State, they are 0-4 ATS in their past four games, and 0-4 ATS in their past four Pac-12 battles. However, they are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 home games against a team with a losing road record. It might be best just to stay away due to a bunch of conflicting trends. Even the over/under has evidence pointing to either side.

Saturday - Washington at Colorado (FX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch

The Huskies are starting to re-emerge as a respectable Pac-12 team, winning and covering three straight games to return to the Top 25. Colorado, well, it is just ugly. They have lost nine of their 10 games, including all five at home. But hey, their lone win is against a team from the state of Washington, the Huskies' Apple Cup rival, Washington State. The Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their past eight road games, but 4-1 ATS in their past five overall, 4-1 ATS in their past five Pac-12 games, and 8-1 ATS in their past nine against a team with a losing record. For Colorado, they are 0-5 ATS in their past five games in Boulder, and 1-5 ATS in their past six tilts against a team with a winning record.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 10:47 AM

Pac-12 Report - Week 12

November 14, 2012

Saturday - Southern California at UCLA (FOX, 3:05 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game

How nice is it to see this game as being relevant again? College football needs this. The Pac-12 needs this. It's been a while since UCLA enters the 'Inner City' rivalry game with a higher ranking. In fact, the last time that happened was 2001. UCLA has a sour taste in its mouth after getting their heads handed to them, 50-0, in last season's game. The Trojans have won 12 of the past 13 meetings straight-up, but UCLA has been the better team this season, and USC needs this one to avert a complete disaster. USC is 1-4 ATS in its past five games against a team with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS in its past five road games. UCLA is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings with a team that has a winning record, and 12-3 ATS in its past 15 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Bruins are also 6-2 ATS in their past eight games. While the Trojans are 9-4 ATS in their past 13 meetings with the Bruins, the home team is 7-2 ATS in the past nine. USC is favored, but mostly due to recent trends over the years, and not because of this season's body of work.

Saturday - Stanford at Oregon (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game

If not for the emergence of UCLA, and the importance of their rivalry game with USC, this would be the marquee matchup in the Pac-12. In fact, it still might be the better game. The Cardinal are 16-5-1 ATS in their past 22 road games, and 15-5-1 in their past 21 Pac-12 battles. The Cardinal are also 6-2 ATS in the past eight matchups against a team with a winning record. However, the Ducks are 5-0 ATS in their past five Pac-12 games and 5-0 ATS in the past five overall. However, Oregon is just 1-4 ATS in the past five home games against a team with a winning road record. As such, Stanford might be the play getting near three touchdowns. If you can get Stanford plus-21, that might be the way to go. They need all the help they can get, as Stanford is 2-8 ATS in the past 10 meetings with Oregon, and 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Eugene.

Saturday - Arizona at Utah (ESPNU, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game

Arizona has been impressive, going 6-1 at home. However, they are 0-3 away from Tucson. The Wildcats are 2-5 ATS in their past seven road games, 0-4 ATS in the past four against a team with a losing record, and 0-5 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a losing home record. For Utah, they are 4-0 ATS in their past four home games, and 6-2 ATS in the past eight home games against a team with a winning record. In the past five meetings, the dog is 4-1 ATS, and the road team is 4-1 ATS. If you want overwhelming evidence for a wager, it might be the over. The over is 5-0 in Arizona's past five games against a team with a losing record, and 6-2 in their past eight road contests. The over is also 17-5 in Arizona's past 22 Pac-12 tilts. For Utah, the over has cashed in four straight at Rice-Eccles, and is 5-2 in their past seven home games against a team with a winning record.

Saturday - California at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game

There was talk about an undefeated season in Corvallis, but it's hard to believe the media even believed their own hype. Oregon State has been dumped twice in the past three games, although both losses came on the road. At Reser Stadium, they are 4-0 this season. The Cal Bears are just 1-3 on the road, and 0-4 ATS in their past four games overall. Cal is also 0-4 ATS in their past four Pac-12 games, and 1-4 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Beavs are 4-1 ATS in their past five home games, and 7-3-1 ATS in their past 11 overall. If you were thinking about the total, Cal is 12-5 in their past 17 Pac-12 tilts, and the under is 14-6 in the past 20 overall. For Oregon State, the under is 9-4-1 in their past 14 home games. The under is also 4-1-1 in the past six meetings at Oregon State, and 5-2-1 in the past eight meetings overall.

Saturday - Washington State at Arizona State (Pac-12 Network, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game

Washington State has been terrible this season, although they were able to cover last week against UCLA. In fact, they have covered two of their past three, and four of the past six despite losing each game straight up. Washington State is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series, although just 2-5 ATS in their past seven visits to Tempe. For AZ State, they are 0-4 ATS in their past four games, and 0-4 ATS in their past four Pac-12 battles. However, they are 8-3 ATS in their past 11 home games against a team with a losing road record. It might be best just to stay away due to a bunch of conflicting trends. Even the over/under has evidence pointing to either side.

Saturday - Washington at Colorado (FX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch

The Huskies are starting to re-emerge as a respectable Pac-12 team, winning and covering three straight games to return to the Top 25. Colorado, well, it is just ugly. They have lost nine of their 10 games, including all five at home. But hey, their lone win is against a team from the state of Washington, the Huskies' Apple Cup rival, Washington State. The Huskies are 1-7 ATS in their past eight road games, but 4-1 ATS in their past five overall, 4-1 ATS in their past five Pac-12 games, and 8-1 ATS in their past nine against a team with a losing record. For Colorado, they are 0-5 ATS in their past five games in Boulder, and 1-5 ATS in their past six tilts against a team with a winning record.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 10:52 AM

Big 12 Battles

November 16, 2012


The Week 12 card certainly isn’t the best one we’ve seen this season, but we’ve got a pair of Big 12 games with plenty on the line. Most notably, unbeaten Kansas St. (10-0 straight up, 8-1-1 against the spread) will play its second road game in as many weeks at Baylor.

Most betting shops have installed the Wildcats as 12 ½-point favorites with a total of 75. Gamblers can take the Bears on the money line for a plus-425 payout (risk $100 to win $425).

Bill Snyder’s team has only been challenged twice this year in wins at Oklahoma (24-19) and at Iowa St. (27-21). KSU’s eight other victories have come by margins of 14 points or more.

In four road assignments, Kansas St. has a 3-0-1 spread record. Despite suffering a concussion the previous week in a 44-30 home win over Oklahoma St., senior quarterback Collin Klein was able to go in Ft. Worth last weekend.

Klein led the Wildcats to a 23-10 win at TCU as a 6 ½-point ‘chalk.’ He ran for a pair of touchdowns while the defense produced its best effort of the year.

Klein is considered the front-runner to win the Heisman Trophy, with Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel looking like the only challenger. Klein has completed 69.7 percent of his throws for 2,020 yards with a 12/3 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has also rushed for 748 yards and 19 TDs.

Junior running back John Hubert has run for a team-high 783 yards and 12 TDs, averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Klein’s favorite throwing target is Chris Harper, who has 36 receptions for 604 yards and two TDs.

Baylor (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) can make its season and renew its postseason aspirations with an upset win in this spot. In addition, it could make a lot of people in Tuscaloosa and Athens happy.

But Art Briles’s squad has lost five of its last six games, including last Saturday’s 42-34 setback at Oklahoma. The Bears did hook up their betting supporters as 21-point underdogs. In fact, they have posted a 4-2 spread record during their current 1-5 SU slide.

The offense hasn’t been the problem, though. Even without last year’s Heisman winner, Robert Griffin III, the Bears rank second in the nation in total offense. They are seventh-best in scoring, averaging 42.7 points per game.

Senior QB Nick Florence has 3,191 passing yards with a 25/11 TD-INT ratio. Florence has also rushed for 362 yards and six TDs.

Baylor senior WR Terrance Williams has enjoyed a breakout campaign, hauling in 77 receptions for 1,431 yards and 10 TDs.

During Briles’s five-year tenure, Baylor is 4-6 ATS as a home underdog.

The ‘over’ is 6-2 overall for the Bears, 2-1 in their three home games with a total. Meanwhile, K-St. has watched the ‘over’ go 5-4 overall, but the ‘under’ is a perfect 4-0 in its road assignments.

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

One hour earlier on FOX, West Virginia (5-4 SU, 2-7 ATS) will take on Oklahoma in Morgantown. Most spots are listing the Sooners as 11-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 74. WVU is available on the money line for an attractive plus-330 return (risk $100 to win $330).

Dana Holgorsen’s team had national-title aspirations in early October, but those hopes have given way to a four-game losing streak in WVU’s first venture through the teeth of a Big 12 schedule. Even worse, the Mountaineers are mired in an abysmal 1-7 ATS slide.

West Va. is coming off a 55-34 loss at Oklahoma St. as a 10 ½-point underdog last Saturday. Geno Smith completed 36-of-54 passes for 364 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Junior WR Stedman Bailey had 14 catches for 225 yards and one TD.

Nevertheless, WVU had to play from behind the entire game after going down 14-0 early. The Mountaineers cut the deficit to 38-34 midway through the third stanza, but the Cowboys quickly answered with 17 consecutive points.

WVU’s defense has been atrocious all year long. The Mountaineers are ranked No. 121 in the country, surrendering 41.4 points per game. They score at a 40.0 PPG clip thanks to the play of Smith.

For the season, Smith has connected on 71.2 percent of his passes for 3,038 yards with an incredible 31/3 TD-INT ratio. Bailey is one of the nation’s elite WRs, bringing down 75 receptions for 1,055 yards and 16 TDs. Senior WR Tavon Austin has 95 catches for 975 yards and 11 TDs.

Oklahoma (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) has lost to two of the country’s four unbeaten teams with both defeats coming in Norman. The Sooners lost a 24-19 decision to Kansas St. and fell by a 30-13 count against Notre Dame.

Since the loss to the Fighting Irish, OU has won back-to-back games, including a 35-20 win at Iowa St. as a 13 ½-point ‘chalk’ two weeks ago. Landry Jones has 2,681 passing yards with an 18/7 TD-INT ratio.

WVU has only been a home underdog once under Holgorsen, losing 47-21 to LSU as five-point puppy last season. OU has a 2-1 spread record as a road favorite this year, but the Sooners are 6-9 ATS in such spots since 2009.

The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for both teams.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 10:55 AM

Big Ten Report - Week 12

November 15, 2012

Wisconsin wrapped up the Leaders division with a win over Indiana last week. The Badgers still have a lot to play for this week, however, when Ohio State comes to town in our Big Ten Showcase game of the week. OSU beat the Badgers on a Hail Mary a season ago and Wisconsin wants to re-establish its winning ways at home after losing to Michigan State the last time in Camp Randall. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes aim for their 11th consecutive win and to keep their perfect season alive. All the inside information on that game, as well as every other Big Ten matchup is inside!

Wisconsin (-3) vs. Ohio State - 3:30 PM EST - ABC
UW: Last week at Indiana: W 62-14
OSU: Last week - BYE

Ohio State is working on a perfect season and can lock up the Leaders division championship with a win, but because of postseason bans, Wisconsin is the team that will represent the division in the conference championship game in Indianapolis. In last week's win over Indiana, Wisconsin rushed for a team-record 564 yards and scored seven rushing touchdowns. It was a good thing too, because the Badgers were working with their third string quarterback and he had to throw just seven passes the entire game. The strong rushing effort helped the Badgers hang onto the ball for +20 minutes time of possession over the Hoosiers. They'll have a much more difficult time running against this Ohio State defense that ranks 16th against the run. Defensively Wisconsin held its fifth straight opponent to 16 points or fewer and now ranks 15th in total defense.

Ohio State has won ten straight and got a well-deserved bye after thumping Illinois two weeks ago. OSU hasn't scored fewer than 29 points since September and is averaging 46 points over the last five games. QB Miller has over 1,700 yards passing and over 1,100 yards rushing with 27 total touchdowns and he can remain in the Heisman hunt with another strong performance. The defense has been below-average, allowing 31 points per game over the past five weeks. But this unit has been very opportunistic with timely turnovers (some returned for touchdowns).

Recent history: Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings against the Badgers. They are just 1-3 ATS in the last four trips to Camp Randall, however, including a loss here in 2010 when the Bucks were #1 in the nation. Last year Wisconsin was down, 14-26, late in the 4th before two touchdown passes gave them the lead. Braxton Miller then threw the game-winning 40-yard touchdown pass with just 20 seconds remaining. Another notable note is that Bret Bielema and Urban Meyer had a recruiting spat this offseason and you can bet that neither coach has forgotten about it.

Trends: Ohio State is 27-10-1 ATS in its last 38 road games. Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in its last six conference games and 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 home games. The 'under' is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between this two in Madison.

Injury report: OSU coach Urban Meyer says he doesn't know where LB Etienne Sabino is health-wise right now, but the senior will start at Wisconsin after missing two games.

Nebraska (-20) vs. Minnesota - 3:30 PM EST - Big Ten Network
UN: Last week vs. Penn State: W 32-23
UM: Last week at Illinois: W 17-3

Nebraska seems to have a clear path to Indianapolis to play the Badgers. The Huskers have this game at home against Minnesota and next week at reeling Iowa. However, they have been playing with fire as of late and no game has been a cake-walk for them. They've trailed in the fourth quarter in three of their last four games including last week vs. Penn State. The Huskers were down by 14 points at halftime and didn't take the lead until midway through the final quarter. The offense racked up 267 rushing yards and 438 total yards against a good Penn State defense - most of it coming in the 2nd half. Defensively Nebraska struggled in the first half last week. They really stepped up in the second. Nebraska forced three turnovers, forced a safety, and allowed just three points all in the second half last week.

Minnesota reached bowl eligibility for the first time since 2009 with a win last week at Illinois last week. It was far from a dominating victory, and the Gophers will have to avoid being flat in their second consecutive road game - this one in the unfriendly confines of Memorial Stadium. This will especially tough for true freshman QB Philip Nelson. Nelson had just 78 yards passing last week against Illinois. The running game helped him out, churning out 232 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. Few people pegged Minnesota as a bowl team after back-to-back 3-9 seasons. They now aim to play spoiler and for a signature win this week at Nebraska.

Recent history: Nebraska won the first meeting as conference foes last season, 41-14 (previous meeting before that was in 1990). Nebraska opened up with a scorching first half, taking a 34-0 lead into halftime. Nebraska rushed for 346 yards (6.2 YPC) and the defense held Minnesota to just 254 yards and 11 first downs.

Trends: Minnesota is a surprising 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games in November. The Cornhuskers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games, but just 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games as a 20-point or more favorite.

Injury report: Star RB Rex Burkhead is testing his injured knee in practice this week in hopes that he can get back on the field this Saturday. Burkhead said he's "pretty close" to getting back on the field but that he wants to be smart about the injury. Coach Pelini said the team does not want to play Burkhead until he is 100 percent healthy.

Michigan State (-6.5) vs. Northwestern - 12:00 PM EST - ESPN2

MSU: Last week - BYE
NU: Last week at Michigan: L 31-38 (OT)

Both teams have been eliminated from the Big Ten championship picture, but that doesn't mean they have nothing to play for. The Spartans still need one more win to get to a bowl game with just two games remaining. The bye week arrived at a great time for the Spartans last week. The Spartans suffered another setback two weeks ago after having Nebraska on the ropes. MSU's last four losses this season have been by four points or fewer and offensive deficiencies can be to blame. The Spartans have one of the game's elite defenses and a porous passing attack is really holding them back. QB Andrew Maxwell will have to bounce back from another rough game against Nebraska (9-of-27 passing). RB Bell is holding this team together with 1,249 rushing yards and 11 total touchdowns.

With a few different strokes of fate, we'd be talking about the undefeated Northwestern Wildcats. They've held 4th quarter leads in all three of their losses, including a three-point lead at Michigan last week before the Wolverines kicked a tying field goal as time expired (Northwestern lost in overtime). Northwestern's offense played extremely well against a stout Michigan defense. QB's Siemian and Colter completed 14-of-21 passes with three touchdowns and no interceptions. The Wildcats also tallied 248 rushing yards. This team has been a part of a few bad losses this season, and this one probably stung the most. NW outplayed the Wolverines almost the entire game and a win in the Big House would've been something sweet. Now they have the tough task of regrouping and trying not to be flat this Saturday.

Recent history: Michigan State has won four straight in the series and is 3-1 ATS over that span. The Spartans are just 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in the last five games at home against the Wildcats. MSU won in Evanston last year, 31-17.

Trends: Northwestern has covered four straight overall and is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games. Michigan State is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall and 0-6 ATS in its last six home games.

Injury report: Northwestern starting CB Nick VanHoose is questionable for this game, but head coach Fitzgerald said RB Venric Mark will play.

Michigan (-14) vs. Iowa - 12:00 PM EST - ESPN
UM: Last week vs. Northwestern: W 38-31 (OT)
UI: Last week vs. Purdue: L 24-27

Nebraska is in the lead in the Legends division, but you never know in college football and the Wolverines are one Huskers misstep away from taking control of the division, so expect a motivated effort. It looked bleak for a while last week against Northwestern, but Michigan received a huge play from WR Roy Roundtree, who somehow hauled in a 53-yard pass to set up the game-tying field goal against Northwestern. The Wolverines won in overtime. Backup QB Gardner played well in his first start of the season, completing 16-of-29 passes for 249 yards and notched four total touchdowns (two passing, two rushing). Gardner will likely get the start again in place of an injured Denard Robinson.

Iowa is going through a four-game losing streak, its longest since 2007. A loss here would keep the Hawkeyes at home for bowl season. Despite playing at home against a porous Purdue squad last week needing a win, Iowa seemed checked out and unmotivated. The offense had yet another dismal day. Vandenberg completed just 19-of-36 passes for 190 yards. They also had 31 carries for just 74 yards (2.4 YPC). Vandenberg has just five touchdown passes this season and they are averaging just 87 rush yards per game over the last five at less than 3.1 YPC. The defense allowed 490 yards to Purdue, who hadn't gained that many yards since September 15th.

Recent history: Iowa has won three straight in the series and is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six trips to Ann Arbor. Last year Iowa limited Denard Robinson to just 17-of-37 passing and held the Wolves to just 3.4 YPC in the 24-16 win.

Trends: Iowa is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Michigan is 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a conference home favorite of 14 points or more. The Wolves are just 10-27 ATS in their last 37 conference games overall.

Injury report: Brady Hoke is once again not providing much information on his quarterback situation. He said Wednesday that QB Denard Robinson remains day-to-day with an injured nerve in his throwing elbow. Robinson doesn't appear to be improving as quickly as the Wolverines once expected. Expect Devin Gardner to get the start again.

Penn State (-18.5) vs. Indiana - 12:00 PM EST - Big Ten Network
PSU: Last week at Nebraska: L 23-32
IU: Last week vs. Wisconsin: L 14-62

The potential Indiana Big Ten championship story was fun while it lasted (which turned out to be about five minutes into its matchup with Wisconsin last week), but the young Hoosiers are far from a championship caliber squad. Indiana never truly challenged the Badgers in its most-anticipated home game in recent memory. The Hoosiers allowed 564 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns to the Badgers and it seemed as though it didn't matter who the ball was handed to - everyone saw success running the ball. Offensively the previously strong passing attack of Indiana was stifled against the Badgers defense. Coffman and Sudfeld completed just 25-of-47 passes for 233 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions. They'll face another tough task against when they visit an angry Penn State squad off of a loss.

Penn State may feel cheated by the refs in the loss last week, but the truth is that the offense didn't do much to help the team in the second half. They turned the ball over three times, allowed a safety, and only managed three points after taking a 20-6 lead into halftime. The defense couldn't stop Nebraska in the second half and the Huskers' rushing attack racked up 267 yards. This D unit has strong rankings, but the fact is that it has struggled against the elite offenses while dominating the weak ones. Northwestern, Ohio State, and Nebraska all scored 28 points or more (PSU has held the other seven opponents to just 13 points per game). PSU has been good off of a loss this season, as the Lions have won the last two chances by 27 & 25 points.

Recent history: The Hoosiers are 0-7 lifetime in Beaver Stadium, losing by an average of 21 points per outing. The Hoosiers have, however, covered four of the last five meetings overall. Penn State won an ugly meeting last year. The Nittany Lions outgained IU by 208 yards, but had three turnovers and only won by six points - 16-10.

Trends: Indiana is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss. The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games. Penn State is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games overall and is 4-1 ATS off of a loss.

Illinois (+7) vs. Purdue 3:30 PM EST - Big Ten Network
UI: Last week vs. Minnesota: L 3-17
PU: Last week at Iowa: W 27-24

The Boilermakers can still go bowling by beating the Illini on the road and winning over Indiana at home in the finale. Danny Hope may have saved his job - at least for another week - with that victory. A loss here to follow-up would almost certainly guarantee that Hope doesn't return in 2013. Purdue dominated the box score at Iowa and shouldn't have needed a last-second field goal to win. The Boilers racked up 26 first downs and 490 yards, receiving big performances from QB Marve (266 passing yards and two touchdowns) and RB Ralph Bolden (102 yards on 14 carries). The defense really stepped up as well for the first time in over a month, allowing Iowa to just 71 rush yards and 16 first downs.

Illinois has dropped seven straight and remains winless in the conference. This is probably its best chance at notching that elusive first victory before traveling to Northwestern in the finale next week (the Illini have now dropped 12 straight Big Ten games dating back to last season). They are averaging just 10.5 points per game in conference play and haven't scored over 22 points - which mostly came in garbage time in a blowout against Ohio State. Illinois was competitive in its loss to Minnesota last week. The Illini were down by just seven points before Minnesota scored the clinching touchdown with just over a minute remaining. Still, the offense managed just three points and 276 yards.

Recent history: Purdue has won six of the last seven meetings and is 3-1 ATS in its last four trips to Champaign. Last year, Purdue had a 21-0 lead in the fourth quarter but had to fend off a late rally, winning 21-14.

Trends: The Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a win. Illinois is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following a loss and 0-7 ATS in its last seven conference games.

Injury report: Illinois' star LB Jonathan Brown has still not been cleared to play after missing the past two games. Head coach Tim Beckman said Brown is no longer using a sling and looks to be improving.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 10:59 AM

ACC Report - Week 12

November 14, 2012

I was staring a perfect 3-0 in the ACC last week right in the face, but the Virginia Cavaliers mounted an impressive two-minute drill to score with :06 left in regulation to knock off the Miami Hurricanes, whom I had on the moneyline instead of the published plus-2. The Canes frittered away 10-point fourth quarter lead, causing me to say bad words in front of my kids, and put me in a generally foul mood for the remainder of the day. All because of a Miami-Virginia game. I really need to stop watching my picked games, and just check the scores later after doing something productive. But, we all know, that simply can't be done. It is more fun to follow the games online or on television, even when we take a bad beat. Gotta love the action.

Joe Williams's ACC Season Picks:
Period: 8/31/2012 to 11/10/2012
Pick Type: All Picks
Record: 22-13-0 ( 62.9% , +775)

PICK DETAILS
Week Record Total
Week 11 (Nov. 8-10) 2-1 Won (+ 100)
Week 10 (Nov. 1-3) 3-1 Won (+ 200)
Week 9 (Oct. 25-27) 0-4 Lost (- 445)
Week 8 (Oct. 18-20) 2-0 Won (+ 200)
Week 7 (Oct. 11-13) 0-0 - (+/-0)
Week 6 (Oct. 4-6) 2-1 Won (+90)
Week 5 (Sept. 27-29) 3-1 Won (+190)
Week 4 (Sept. 19-22) 3-1 Won (+190)
Week 3 (Sept. 13-15) 3-2 Won (+80)
Week 2 (Sept. 6-8) 2-1 Won (+90)
Week 1 (Aug. 31-Sept. 3) 2-1 Won (+80)

Saturday - North Carolina State at Clemson (ABC/ESPN2, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game

Who knows what Wolfpack team is going to show up here? They beat Florida State, they get smashed by a terrible Virginia team, and then rebound the next week by crushing Wake Forest. This team is borderline schizophrenic. N.C. State gained bowl eligibility with their win over the Deacs, becoming the fourth ACC team to qualify for postseason play (UNC also has six wins, but is ineligible for a bowl). The Wolfpack is 0-5-1 ATS in their past six road games, but 25-12-3 ATS against a team with a winning record in its past 40 games. N.C. State is also 8-3 ATS in the past 11 games in November. Those trends are just as confusing as their on-field play. Meanwhile, Clemson is not confusing. They have covered seven straight, and they are 4-0 ATS in their past four against teams with a winning record. In addition, Clemson is 25-10 ATS in their past 35 ACC battles. More confusing, though, is the fact N.C. State is 6-1 ATS in their past seven trips to Death Valley, the road team is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings (the lone loss last season when Clemson was killed in Raleigh late in the season), and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings overall. The Tigers are favored by 17 points in this one, and the public likes them at about a 2-to-1 clip. The good news for the Tigers is that WR Sammy Watkins (leg) is probable to play. I can totally see a backdoor cover happening in this game once it has already been decided.

Saturday - Duke at Georgia Tech (ESPNU, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game

If the Duke Blue Devils are ever going to get any respect, they are going to need to find a way to win on the road. While impressive at home, at least against teams they should beat, they are 5-1. However, on the road they are an abysmal 1-3, and they have been outscored by 166-74 in those four contests away from Wallace Wade. As such, Vegas has installed the Ramblin' Wreck as a two-touchdown favorite. Too much? Let's see. Duke is 8-1 ATS in their past nine home games, but 1-6 ATS in their past seven road contests. Meanwhile, Ga. Tech is 5-2 ATS in its past seven ACC battles. The over might be the play here, as the total has gone over the number four times (4-0-1) in Duke's past five road contests, and the over is 7-0-1 in Duke's past eight ACC games overall. For Georgia Tech, the over is 7-1 in its past eight games, and 6-0 in its past six games against a team with a winning record. This could be a high-scoring affair. The total is set high at 68.

Saturday - Wake Forest at Notre Dame (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game

This one doesn't figure to be close, although the Fighting Irish have had a penchant of letting lesser teams hang around and at least make it interesting (see Pitt, BC). Vegas has made ND a 24-point favorite, although Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in their past five games. Wake is 4-1 ATS in its past four against Independents, and 10-1 ATS in its past 11 games following a straight-up loss. When these teams met in Winston-Salem last season (Nov. 5, 2011), Wake hung tight before eventually losing 24-17, covering at home. The Deacs have covered two of their past three on the road. The total of under 42 looks mighty tasty, as the under has cashed in five straight for Wake, and is 19-7 in ND's past 26 in the shadow of 'Touchdown Jesus'. The under is also 14-3 in the Irish's past 17 against ACC opponents, including last week at Chestnut Hill against BC.

Saturday - Florida State at Maryland (ESPNU, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game

Maryland will be wearing super-cool black Under Armour uniforms for their game. Wait until you see them Saturday, unless you want to Google them now. I am a traditionalist, and have tremendous disdain for these ever-changing uniforms for each team every other week, but these are pretty awesome. Now, too bad Maryland can't change their team. They're still the same old Terrapins who are 1-10 ATS in their past 11 home games, and 2-10 ATS in their past 12 ACC games. Facing Florida State is not good news, although the 'Noles are 0-4 ATS in their past four road contests, and just 2-5 ATS in their past seven. FSU has dominated this series lately, and they are 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings. The favorite (presumably Florida State each time) is 4-1 ATS in the past five battles. The total might be the way to go in this one, as it is hard to see Maryland scoring much against this defense, using a fourth-string linebacker-turned-quarterback to run the offense. The under is 4-0 in Maryland's past four games against a team with a winning record, 5-2 in their past seven overall, and 7-3 in their past 10 ACC games. The under is also 6-1 in FSU's past seven road contests, and 9-4-1 in their past 14 overall. The under is also 4-1 in the past five meetings in the series, and 4-1 in the past five meetings at College Park. Right now, you can hit the under at 45.5 or 46 points.

Thursday - North Carolina at Virginia (ESPN, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game

It could be argued that the Virginia Cavaliers are the hottest team in the Coastal Division of the ACC. That's not saying much, and speaks volumes about the imbalance in the conference. However, UVA has ripped off two straight wins, and remain bowl eligible if they can win against UNC and Virginia Tech. Despite their two-game winning streak, though, they are just 1-8-1 ATS overall this season, and 1-10-1 ATS in their past 12 games overall. North Carolina, on the other hand, is 0-5 ATS in their past five road games. In this series, the Tar Heels are 3-11 ATS in their past 14 meetings with the Hoos, and 1-7 ATS in their past eight trips to Charlottesville. That might mean UVA is a good bet at home despite their recent trouble against the number. The total trends are a mess, as the over is 5-1 in UNC's past six, but the under is 9-3 in UVA's past 12 games at Scott Stadium. It's a good idea to avoid the total.

Saturday - Virginia Tech at Boston College (ACC Network/ESPN3, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch

The game might be ugly. At first glance, Virginia Tech is 0-5 on the road this season, but favored by 10. What? The Hokies are 0-6 ATS in their past six road games, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven games against teams with a losing record. In addition, they are 6-16-1 ATS in their past 23 games overall, and 2-5 ATS in their past seven ACC battles. So, what gives? Well, Boston College is just 6-13 ATS in its past 19 home games, and 6-20 ATS in the past 26 battles against teams with a losing record. They are also 1-5 ATS in the past six ACC games, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight games overall. So someone will be bucking a trend here. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the past six games.

Saturday - South Florida at Miami (Fla.) (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Other Game to Watch

A couple of years ago, this might have been an attractive matchup, but the Bulls are just not the team they were then. USF looked to be a rising team, but they have fallen off badly. The Bulls are just 1-11-1 ATS in their past 13 games on grass, and 4-13-1 ATS in their past 18 games overall. They do hold a 7-2 ATS record in the past nine matchups with ACC opponents, but that's about the only thing to get bettors off of Miami. The Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in the past four home games, 4-0 ATS in their past four overall, and 4-0 ATS in their past four on grass. Miami hurt some people (ME!) with a last-second loss at Virginia, losing by one, but still cover a plus-2 line. If you had them on the moneyline, though (again, ME!), then you have a bit of a sour taste in your mouth.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:02 AM

Kansas State Puts Unbeaten Record On Line At Baylor

Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor Bears
College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: KSU -11, O/U 74
Television: ESPN

Kansas State Wildcats: After moving to the top of the BCS rankings this week, Coach Bill Snyder and the 'Cats (10-0 straight-up, 8-1-1 against the spread) are looking for their fifth consecutive point-spread victory. Heisman Trophy favorite Collin Klein and the KSU offense had just enough to get past TCU last Saturday in Ft. Worth, scoring a 23-10 triumph with a season-low 256 yards of offense. The final was not as close as it might appear after the Wildcats held a 23-0 lead entering the fourth quarter, and they go from facing the nation's 21st-ranked defense in the Horned Frogs to a Baylor stop unit that is dead last (124th), allowing nearly 520 yards per game. K-State could be without WR Tyler Lockett (ankle) who is questionable for this matchup (click to check updated college football injury report), but another standout performance by Klein will likely lock up the Heisman for him. The Wildcats are 4-0 to the "under" on the road this season, but the "over" is 4-2 in the last six meetings in this series.

Baylor Bears: It has been a rough conference campaign for Coach Art Briles and the Bears (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) who began the year 3-0, but have since gone 1-5 on the Big 12 schedule. Baylor backers, however, are 4-2 ATS on the conference slate, their latest winning ticket coming last week in Oklahoma where the Bears fell 42-34 to a Sooners team favored by three touchdowns. There has been little wrong on the offensive end that finds the Bears second in the country in passing (367.7 yards per game) and seventh in scoring (42.7 points per game). The defense, however, has surrendered at least 35 points in six of the last seven games, and that doesn't bode well against a KSU squad that is eighth in the nation in scoring (42.2 ppg). Baylor has won its last two home matches with the Wildcats, and the last three overall in this series have finished above the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:02 AM

Kansas State Puts Unbeaten Record On Line At Baylor

Kansas State Wildcats at Baylor Bears
College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: KSU -11, O/U 74
Television: ESPN

Kansas State Wildcats: After moving to the top of the BCS rankings this week, Coach Bill Snyder and the 'Cats (10-0 straight-up, 8-1-1 against the spread) are looking for their fifth consecutive point-spread victory. Heisman Trophy favorite Collin Klein and the KSU offense had just enough to get past TCU last Saturday in Ft. Worth, scoring a 23-10 triumph with a season-low 256 yards of offense. The final was not as close as it might appear after the Wildcats held a 23-0 lead entering the fourth quarter, and they go from facing the nation's 21st-ranked defense in the Horned Frogs to a Baylor stop unit that is dead last (124th), allowing nearly 520 yards per game. K-State could be without WR Tyler Lockett (ankle) who is questionable for this matchup (click to check updated college football injury report), but another standout performance by Klein will likely lock up the Heisman for him. The Wildcats are 4-0 to the "under" on the road this season, but the "over" is 4-2 in the last six meetings in this series.

Baylor Bears: It has been a rough conference campaign for Coach Art Briles and the Bears (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) who began the year 3-0, but have since gone 1-5 on the Big 12 schedule. Baylor backers, however, are 4-2 ATS on the conference slate, their latest winning ticket coming last week in Oklahoma where the Bears fell 42-34 to a Sooners team favored by three touchdowns. There has been little wrong on the offensive end that finds the Bears second in the country in passing (367.7 yards per game) and seventh in scoring (42.7 points per game). The defense, however, has surrendered at least 35 points in six of the last seven games, and that doesn't bode well against a KSU squad that is eighth in the nation in scoring (42.2 ppg). Baylor has won its last two home matches with the Wildcats, and the last three overall in this series have finished above the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:12 AM

Pac-12 Rivals Collide On Saturday Starting With USC At UCLA

USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 3:05 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: USC -3½, O/U 65
Television: FOX

USC Trojans: The Trojans (7-3 straight up, 3-7 against the spread) snapped a 2-game skid with a 38-17 win and cover at home vs. Arizona State last Saturday. Curtis McNeal rushed for 163 yards and two scores as Southern Cal overcame five turnovers, including three Matt Barkley interceptions. The Trojans have won the last five meetings with UCLA, covering the last three, and emerged with wins in five of their last six series clashes at the Rose Bowl.

UCLA Bruins: The Bruins (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) can clinch their second straight appearance in the Pac-12 title game with a victory over USC on Saturday. UCLA posted its fourth consecutive victory last week with a 44-36 triumph at Washington State. Special teams and the defense scored twice to help build a 37-7 halftime lead, and Brett Hundley threw for 261 yards and three TDs. Four of the last five USC-UCLA battles at the Rose Bowl have failed to reach the total.

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Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 3:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Wisconsin -1½, O/U 54
Television: ABC/ESPN2

Ohio State Buckeyes: The Buckeyes (10-0 SU, 5-5 ATS) come off their bye week looking to keep their unbeaten record intact. Sophomore QB Braxton Miller has passed for over 1,750 yards and 14 TDs, and also leads the team in rushing (1,166 yards) with 13 more scores on the ground. Four of OSU's last five games have jumped the total, and four of the last six meetings against Wisconsin have also gone "over."

Wisconsin Badgers: With Ohio State ineligible for the Big Ten Championship, the Badgers (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) can punch their ticket to the conference title tilt with a victory Saturday and again next week at Penn State. Wisconsin bounced back from a tough loss vs. Michigan State by rolling Indiana last Saturday, 62-14. The Badgers set a school record with 564 yards rushing in the rout, attempting only seven passes in the contest. Wisconsin is 13-1 in its last 14 games at Camp Randall.

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Stanford Cardinal at Oregon Ducks

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Oregon -21½, O/U 65
Television: ABC

Stanford Cardinal: The Cardinal (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) picked up their fourth straight win, and second consecutive cover, with a 27-23 decision vs. Oregon State a week ago. Stanford worked around four turnovers and scored the winning TD with just over five minutes remaining. The defense ranks 12th in the country allowing just 17.2 PPG, but has allowed 47.0 PPG in the last seven matchups vs. Oregon.

Oregon Ducks: Keeping their perfect season going, the Ducks (10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS) posted their fifth straight cover with a 59-17 pasting of Cal on the road as huge 31½-point favorites. Marcus Mariota threw six touchdown passes in the contest, three of them to Josh Huff. Oregon has won nine of the last 10games vs. Stanford, and the last seven in this series have finished above the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25645 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:12 AM

Pac-12 Rivals Collide On Saturday Starting With USC At UCLA

USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 3:05 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: USC -3½, O/U 65
Television: FOX

USC Trojans: The Trojans (7-3 straight up, 3-7 against the spread) snapped a 2-game skid with a 38-17 win and cover at home vs. Arizona State last Saturday. Curtis McNeal rushed for 163 yards and two scores as Southern Cal overcame five turnovers, including three Matt Barkley interceptions. The Trojans have won the last five meetings with UCLA, covering the last three, and emerged with wins in five of their last six series clashes at the Rose Bowl.

UCLA Bruins: The Bruins (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) can clinch their second straight appearance in the Pac-12 title game with a victory over USC on Saturday. UCLA posted its fourth consecutive victory last week with a 44-36 triumph at Washington State. Special teams and the defense scored twice to help build a 37-7 halftime lead, and Brett Hundley threw for 261 yards and three TDs. Four of the last five USC-UCLA battles at the Rose Bowl have failed to reach the total.

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Ohio State Buckeyes at Wisconsin Badgers

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 3:30 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Wisconsin -1½, O/U 54
Television: ABC/ESPN2

Ohio State Buckeyes: The Buckeyes (10-0 SU, 5-5 ATS) come off their bye week looking to keep their unbeaten record intact. Sophomore QB Braxton Miller has passed for over 1,750 yards and 14 TDs, and also leads the team in rushing (1,166 yards) with 13 more scores on the ground. Four of OSU's last five games have jumped the total, and four of the last six meetings against Wisconsin have also gone "over."

Wisconsin Badgers: With Ohio State ineligible for the Big Ten Championship, the Badgers (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) can punch their ticket to the conference title tilt with a victory Saturday and again next week at Penn State. Wisconsin bounced back from a tough loss vs. Michigan State by rolling Indiana last Saturday, 62-14. The Badgers set a school record with 564 yards rushing in the rout, attempting only seven passes in the contest. Wisconsin is 13-1 in its last 14 games at Camp Randall.

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Stanford Cardinal at Oregon Ducks

College Football Betting Preview
Date: 11/17/2012 at 8:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Oregon -21½, O/U 65
Television: ABC

Stanford Cardinal: The Cardinal (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) picked up their fourth straight win, and second consecutive cover, with a 27-23 decision vs. Oregon State a week ago. Stanford worked around four turnovers and scored the winning TD with just over five minutes remaining. The defense ranks 12th in the country allowing just 17.2 PPG, but has allowed 47.0 PPG in the last seven matchups vs. Oregon.

Oregon Ducks: Keeping their perfect season going, the Ducks (10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS) posted their fifth straight cover with a 59-17 pasting of Cal on the road as huge 31½-point favorites. Marcus Mariota threw six touchdown passes in the contest, three of them to Josh Huff. Oregon has won nine of the last 10games vs. Stanford, and the last seven in this series have finished above the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: