cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/06/2012 06:46 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/03/12 37-­34-­2 52.11% -­200 Detail
11/02/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/01/12 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 42-­35-­2 54.55% +1750



Tuesday, November 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Ball State - 8:00 PM ET Ball State +6.5 500

Toledo - Over 71 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:35 PM

College football odds: Week 11 opening line report

We understand all about TV bowl contracts that can’t be broken, but can’t we just scrap the present system immediately and fast forward to the 4-team playoff that is not scheduled to start until 2014?

There is a nice divide right now between the unbeaten haves (Alabama, Notre Dame, Oregon and Kansas State) and the have-nots (sorry, Louisville, but even 11-0 won’t get you there).

There is still some work to be done, and teams can go south pretty fast (ask Steve Spurrier about that). But assuming no major glitches, Alabama will be playing ND, Oregon or K-State in the BCS title game this year. Which almost guarantees that two other teams will be left to bitch and moan, and bemoan the fact that they may have put it all together two years too soon.

Here’s a look at next week’s games involving the top four teams in the country, with a weekly thank you to Pete Korner, founder and president of The Sports Club, which sets many of the lines in Las Vegas:

Texas A&M (+17) at Alabama

“It’s all about motivation for the big four teams,” said Korner on Sunday, “and Alabama is motivated. We’re throwing a big number up there [for his sportsbook clients] and hoping that it will stick. Big numbers are legitimate with these teams.” A&M (7-2) will be the last regular-season test for the Tide, who have two semi-scrimmages (Western Carolina and Auburn) before the national championship game.

California (+26) at Oregon

Another big number in a spread that looks like a Week One match between a legit team and a cupcake looking for a payday. “Oregon is a team that will not let up,” says Korner, noting that savvy bettors will have no trouble connecting the dots after The Ducks’ 62-51 victory over No. 17 USC and Cal’s 21-13 loss to Washington. Cal has injury problems, which could move even more money toward Oregon.

Kansas State (-8.5) at TCU

The Horned Frogs might be spent after needing overtime to beat West Virginia, and they close the season with three more games against ranked teams (K-State, Texas, Oklahoma). “One of our guys had it at 3,” notes Korner, “but the consensus was that this one is between 8 and 11. We settled at 8.5. Kansas State can’t let this one slip away.”

Notre Dame (-22) at Boston College

Korner says that the line would have been north of 30 if the Irish had this one at home, and while Boston College has played a little better of late, it’s a down year for the Eagles and can’t end soon enough. “This line should stay high,” says Korner. “I just don’t know where the BC money would be coming from at this point.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:38 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 11

Tuesday, November 6

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BALL ST (6 - 3) at TOLEDO (8 - 1) - 11/6/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TOLEDO is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BALL ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Wednesday, November 7

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BOWLING GREEN (6 - 3) at OHIO U (8 - 1) - 11/7/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, November 8

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FLORIDA ST (8 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 5) - 11/8/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (6 - 3) at ARKANSAS ST (6 - 3) - 11/8/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:40 PM

NCAAF

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Tuesday, November 6

8:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. TOLEDO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Ball State's last 14 games
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Wednesday, November 7

8:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. OHIO
Bowling Green is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Bowling Green is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Bowling Green


Thursday, November 8

7:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. ARKANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games when playing Arkansas State
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech
Florida State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Virginia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


Friday, November 9

8:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CONNECTICUT
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
Connecticut is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Connecticut is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:41 PM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 11

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Ball State at Toledo, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Ball State: 11-2 Over off an ATS win
Toledo: 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less


Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Bowling Greeen at Ohio U, 9:00 ET ESPN2
Bowling Green: 22-10 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
Ohio U: 1-8 ATS after scoring 37+ points


Thursday, November 8, 2012

Florida State at Virginia Tech, 7:30 ET ESPN
Florida State: 9-21 ATS away off 3+ conference games
Virginia Tech: 15-5 ATS off BB losses

Added Game:

Louisiana Monroe at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET ESPNU
LA Monroe: 15-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Arkansas State: 4-16 ATS off BB games committing 1 or 0 turnovers


Friday, November 9, 2012

Pittsburgh at Connecticut, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Pittsburgh: 8-1 ATS in the second half of the season
Connecticut: 7-1 Under off BB ATS losses

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:43 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 7

Game 103-104: Bowling Green at Ohio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 78.805; Ohio 83.958
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-3); Under


THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 8

Game 107-108: Florida State at Virginia Tech (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 108.992; Virginia Tech 89.771
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 19; 49
Vegas Line: Florida State by 14; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-14); Under

Game 109-110: UL-Monroe at Arkansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 90.359; Arkansas State 80.302
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 10; 64
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 7; 59
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+7); Over


FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 9

Game 111-112: Pittsburgh at Connecticut (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 92.382; Connecticut 79.071
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 13 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:44 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Wednesday's game
Ohio won its last three games with Bowling Green by 1-24-7 points; an average of 70.7 points were scored in those games. Falcons won four of last five visits here, but lost 49-25 last time they were here. Ohio is 8-1, covering just one of last six lined games; they're 2-2 as home favorites this year, winning home games by 27-7-6-31 points. Bowling Green won last five games, covered last four, scoring a defensive TD in each of last three games; they're 1-2 as underdogs this year. Favorites covered last four Bowling Green games- they're only team in country where all their games stayed under (8-0) the total. MAC home favorites are 13-8 vs spread in conference play.




NCAAF

Wednesday, November 7

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12 things bettors must know for Bowling Green-Ohio
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Bowling Green Falcons at Ohio Bobcats (-3, 49)

Time: 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2
Weather: 28 degrees with a 10 percent chance of rain and 6 mph winds.

- The line: Opened at Ohio -3.5 at most spots and -4 at the Las Vegas Hotel. Bowling Green was bet down to a 3-point fave - not much of a surprise considering BG has been a bit of a darling for sharps this year.

- The winner of this game will control its own destiny in the MAC East. They both have one loss in MAC play and both will play division leader Kent State in their remaining two games.

- Ohio is playing its third game in 12 days. Bowling Green is coming off a bye.

- Bowling Green is the most prolific under team in the nation for bettors. The Falcons played under in all eight games in which they saw a posted total this season.

- Bowling Green has covered the spread in five straight games. None of those opponents scored more than 12 points.

- This is Senior Day and a "Blackout Game" for Ohio, where students are asked to wear black to the game. It's the second straight nationally televised weekday game for Ohio. They beat EMU last week to halt a four-game ATS losing streak.

- The Falcons rank 16th or better in the nation in six key defensive categories, including total defense (eighth), scoring defense (ninth) and sacks (16th).

- Ohio head coach Frank Solich felt defenses were catching on to his team's systems and said he was going to mix up his playbook last week following the Bobcats' first loss of the season to Miami Ohio on Oct. 27. He did just that. Ryan Boykins saw a lot more opportunities at tailback than usual and had his best game of the season with 128 yards and a touchdown. It opened up the passing game - along with some designed QB runs - and receiver Donte Foster had his best game of the season with 164 yards and two TDs.

- Bobcats junior QB Tyler Tettleton is just 83 yards shy from becoming Ohio's career passing yards leader. He's been efficient in a typical Solich offense that likes to run the option. He has 15 TDs passing and three more rushing against just two INTs. He also has one receiving TD.

- Senior defensive tackle Chris Jones is a beast on the defensive line for Bowling Green. He has 16 tackles for loss and 11.5 sacks.

- Neither team likes to give up the football. Ohio ranks second in the nation with just five turnovers lost and Bowling Green ranks 18th with 11.

- Bowling Green's offense has stalled the last two weeks - 282 yards against terrible Massachusetts and 356 yards against mediocre Eastern Michigan. That said head coach Dave Clawson was happy with the EMU game: “I love that we held the ball for almost 35 minutes [against Eastern Michigan],” he told the Toledo Blade. “I love that, with nine minutes, 10 seconds left in that game, our offense kept the ball for the rest of the game."


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/07/2012 07:47 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/06/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/03/12 37-­34-­2 52.11% -­200 Detail
11/02/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/01/12 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 43-­36-­2 54.43% +1700



Wednesday, November 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Bowling Green - 8:00 PM ET Bowling Green +2 500

Ohio - Under 48 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/08/2012 06:22 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Thursday's games
This is first regular season Florida State-Virginia Tech game since 2008; Hokies (-3.5) beat FSU 44-33 in ACC title game two years ago, but this is worst season Tech has had in over a decade, losing four of its last five games, with seven turnovers, 29 points in last two. Over last 11 years, Tech is 3-0 vs spread when a home dog. Since '06, Florida State is 8-11 as road favorites, 5-5 under Fisher, 0-3 this year; all ix of their I-A wins are by 12+ points; they even had 16-0 halftime lead in their only loss, at NC State. Seminoles outscored last three foes 57-10 in second half. ACC home underdogs are 7-7 vs spread in conference play. Four of last five Seminole games stayed under the total.

UL-Monroe QB Browning left last week's game with some kind of leg injury (ULM ain't saying), never returned, isn't listed on depth chart for this game, so assume he is out, big blow for Warhawk squad headed for its winning season at I-A level. ULM is 4-0 vs spread on road this year, 4-0 as an underdog with two SU wins- they won SU at Arkansas, but were just 2-11 in 3rd down last week with Browning sitting out most of game. ASU is 0-3 as home favorite this year, after being 7-2 last couple seasons; they've won last four games (3-1 vs spread), scoring 39.3 ppg. Sun Belt home favorites are 3-14 vs spread in conference play this year. Seven of nine ULM games this season went over the total.




NCAAF

Thursday, November 8

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Eight things bettors should know about UL Monroe-Arkansas State
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Louisiana Monroe Warhawks at Arkansas State Red Wolves (-6.5, 59)

Time: 7 p.m. ET on ESPN U

The line: Arkansas St. opened as a 6-point favorite, but bettors quickly moved the line up to 6.5 and 7 at a couple of books.

- Whoever wins this game will control its own destiny in the Sun Belt. UL Monroe and Arkansas State are both in a three-way tie atop the conference with Middle Tennessee but UL Monroe already beat the Blue Raiders and Arkansas State faces them in the last game of the season.

- The Warhawks are 4-0 against the spread on the road and the Red Wolves are 1-3 ATS at home.

- Louisiana Monroe lost its starting quarterback and star Kolton Browning last game against Louisiana Lafayette. Browning led the conference in all purpose yards heading into last week’s game. It’s an unspecified leg injury but he won’t be back this week. Cody Wells was so-so filling in with 209 passing yards and two TDs last week, but he threw two picks and the Warhawks lost their first Sun Belt game 40-24.

- Depth is a serious issue for ULM right now. “We have seven very good players on the sideline with me right now (due to injuries),” said head coach Todd Berry at his weekly press conference. “I’m not making excuses. I think our guys are stepping up pretty well, but our lack of depth is showing right now. It showed in that game.” Berry went on to say the Warhawks had an “inability to get ourselves off the field defensively” against ULL and “we didn’t sustain some drives offensively, especially with the changes that were going on.”

- Warhawks wide receiver Brent Leonard leads the Sun Belt in receiving.

- Arkansas State has the third-best pass efficiency defense in the Sun Belt. UL Monroe nipped the best pass efficiency defense, 43-42, in OT (Western Kentucky) and lost to the second best (ULL).

- The Red Wolves are terrible on special teams. They are the worst in the Sun Belt in kickoff returns (18.33 yard average) and net punting (30.7 yard average).

- The Warhawks started the season 5-0 ATS and since that time are 1-3 against the spread.


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NCAAF

Thursday, November 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Florida State at Virginia Tech: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Tech Hokies (+14.5, 51.5)

Florida State is homing in on its first ACC Atlantic Division title in seven years. Standing in the sixth-ranked Seminoles' way next is a team they’ve grown accustomed to fighting with for conference supremacy - at least up until this season. The well-rested Seminoles travel to Blacksburg on Thursday night to face struggling rival Virginia Tech in a contest loaded with ACC title game implications.

Florida State throttled Duke 48-7 prior to taking a week off. Now, the Seminoles need to win their final two conference games to secure a berth in the ACC championship game and a shot at their first BCS bowl appearance since 2005. Meanwhile, Virginia Tech’s chances at reaching the ACC title game were dealt a blow with an embarrassing 30-12 loss to Miami last Thursday. This is only the third regular-season ACC contest between the teams. In the most recent meeting, Virginia Tech prevailed 44-33 in the 2010 ACC championship game.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Florida State opened at -13 and has been bet up to -14.5. The total is set at 51.5.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the mid 30s. Winds are expected to blow NW at 9 mph.

ABOUT FLORIDA STATE (8-1, 5-1 ACC, 3-5 ATS): The Seminoles are the only team in the nation ranked in the top 10 in offense (seventh, 524.5 yards per game) and defense (first, 227.1). Florida State's explosive offense scored on the third play from scrimmage against Duke as E.J. Manuel hit Rashad Greene for a 71-yard touchdown and led 31-0 after 20 minutes. Devonta Freeman and sophomore James Wilder Jr., the duo helping replace Chris Thompson (torn ACL), combined for 174 yards and three touchdowns on 25 carries. Meanwhile, the defense, led by All-American candidate DT Bjoern Werner (eight sacks on the season), allowed only 232 yards.

ABOUT VIRGINIA TECH (4-5, 2-3 ACC, 2-7 ATS): The Hokies have lost two straight and four of their last five after a forgettable showing against Miami. Virginia Tech outgained Miami by nearly 100 yards (421-347) and ran 24 more plays (82-58), but lost because it managed only two field goals in four red zone trips. Even the special teams, a staple of Frank Beamer-coached squads, were outplayed. Miami blocked a punt, which led to a score. Offensively, quarterback Logan Thomas (19-of-37, 199 yards, two interceptions versus Miami) has regressed and, as a result, the Hokies are a middling 69th in scoring offense (27.1 points) and 91st in turnover margin (minus-.56).

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Said Seminoles coach Jimbo Fisher, on playing in Blacksburg: “It’s a great challenge. That’s a very tough environment, hostile environment.” Florida State lost during its only trip there in 2007.

2. The Hokies need to win two of their final three games to avoid missing out on a bowl game for the first time in 20 years.

3. The Seminoles, who beat Virginia Tech for the 2000 national title, also knocked off the Hokies in the first ACC title game in 2005.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25183 Followers:33
11/08/2012 06:38 PM

Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Tech Hokies

College Football Betting Preview

Date: 11/8/2012 at 7:30 p.m. (ET)

Opening Lines: FSU -13, O/U 51½

Television: ESPN

Florida State Seminoles: Jimbo Fisher and the 'Noles (8-1 straight-up, 4-5 against the spread) can all but lock up the ACC Atlantic Division with a win a Blacksburg on Thursday. They've had some extra time to prepare for this big road game after blasting Duke in Week 9 at home, 48-7, a game in which FSU built an insurmountable 31-0 lead less than four minutes into the second quarter. Devonta Freeman rushed for more than 100 yards filling in for Chris Thompson, who was lost for the season with a knee injury a week earlier (click to check latest college football injury report). All three of Florida State's road games this season have finished below the total, and the Seminoles have yet to cover the spread away from Tallahassee. This is just the third regular season meeting between the schools since Va Tech joined the ACC while they have also met twice for the conference championship.

Virginia Tech Hokies: A favorite in the ACC to begin the season, Virginia Tech (4-5 SU, 2-7 ATS) now needs to win its final three games just to get six victories over FBS schools and become bowl eligible. The Hokies suffered their fourth loss in five games, both SU and ATS, in a 30-12 setback at Miami (FL) last Thursday when they were laying 1½-points on the road. Va Tech ruled the boxscore with a 421-347 yardage edge on offense and a nearly nine-minute advantage in time of possession but could not overcome three turnovers that ultimately spelled defeat. Junior quarterback Logan Thomas and the rest of the offense have their work cut out for them against the nation's No. 1 ranked defense as FSU is allowing just over 227 yards per game. All four meetings as conference opponents have finished above the total, including the 2010 ACC Championship that went to Va Tech by a 44-33 count.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: