11/22/2012 11:04 AM
Tech Trends - Week 13
November 21, 2012
Thursday, Nov. 23
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
TCU at TEXAS...Haven't met since last SWC season in 1995. Mack 2-3 vs. line at home TY, 6-12 vs. line at Austin since 2010. But Frogs only 9-15 last 25 on board and 2-3 as dog TY. Slight to TCU, based on team trends.
Friday, Nov. 23
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
NEBRASKA at IOWA...Ferentz 2-9 vs. line TY and 7-17 against spread since 2011, also just 2-7 last 9 as dog. Hawks also 1-6 vs. spread last 7 at home. Nebraska, based on Iowa woes.
BUFFALO vs. BOWLING GREEN (at Columbus)...BGSU 6-1 SU and vs. line last seven TY. BGSU, based on recent trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at UMASS...Enos has covered 3 of last 4 TY but still just 7-24 last 31 on board since mid 2010. Slight to UMass, based on extended CMU negatives.
BALL STATE at MIAMI-OHIO...Ball has won and covered last five TY and is 9-2 vs. points in 2012. Cards 5-1 vs. line away TY and 29-12 vs. spread away since 2007! Miami only 1-3 vs. line at home in 2012. Ball, based on team and recent trends.
SYRACUSE at TEMPLE...Owls 1-4 SU and vs. line last five TY. Cuse 4-1 vs. line last five TY. Syracuse, based on recent trends.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at EASTERN MICHIGAN...NIU on a rampage with 10 SU wins in a row and 6-1 vs. line last seven TY. Huskies have also covered last five as MAC visitor. EMU just 7-19 vs. line at Ypsilanti since 2007. NIU, based on team trends
SOUTH FLORIDA at CINCINNATI...Skip only 3-7 vs. line TY and 4-15 last 19 on board since early 2011. Skip, however, is 7-3 as road dog since arriving at USF in 2010, 16-6 since 2007 in role with ECU and Bulls, 25-8 in role since the great year of 2005 at ECU. Slight to USF, based on team trends.
MARSHALL at EAST CAROLINA...Herd no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 TY. Pirates, however, 5-1 vs. line last six at Greenville. ECU, based on recent trends.
OHIO at KENT STATE...Solich has hit the skids, only 1-6 vs. spread last seven TY. Solich also no covers last four on road TY. Meanwhile, Kent State surging with 9-0 SU and 8-1 spread mark last nine TY. Flashes have covered last three vs. Bobcats. Kent State, based on recent trends.
LSU at ARKANSAS...Hogs usually play LSU tough, although they lost and failed to cover in LY's 41-17 defeat. Still, Ark 4-1 vs. line last five meetings. Yet Razorbacks also 1-8 (2-8 counting Ky) vs. line this season. Les 11-6 vs. line away since 2010. LSU, based on recent trends.
UTAH at COLORADO...Utah only 1-4 vs. line away TY, but CU 2-9 vs. spread overall (0-5 in Boulder) in 2012, and Embree 6-18 vs. line overall since taking over Buffs in 2011. Utah, based on CU negatives.
WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE...WVU and Holgorsen just 3-7 vs. spread in 2012. ISU, based on recent WVU negatives.
WASHINGTON at WASHINGTON STATE...Apple Cup! Huskies finishing with a rush, winning and covering last three, and U-Dub has won and covered last three Apple Cups. U-Dub, based on team and recent series trends.
ARIZONA STATE at ARIZONA...Territorial Cup! Visitor team has often done well in this rivalry and has covered last two and five of last seven meetings. ASU, based on series road trend.
Saturday, Nov. 24
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
MICHIGAN at OHIO STATE...Buckeyes have covered last four and 9 of last 11 meetings. Urban only 5-5 vs. line TY despite all of the SU wins, though Brady Hoke 0-3 as dog this season. OSU, based on series and recent trends.
VANDERBILT at WAKE FOREST...Revenge for Grobe after 41-7 loss LY. Wake had owned this series previously. Dores 16-8 vs. line for James Franklin, they've also won and covered last three on road TY. Vandy, based on team trends.
UCONN at LOUISVILLE...Cards 9-1 SU but only 4-6 vs. line TY, and Charlie Strong only 7-12 vs. line at Papa John's since 2010. Pasqualoni two straight covers TY after five spread Ls in a row. Slight to UConn, based on extended trends.
GEORGIA TECH at GEORGIA...Road team is 8-0-1 vs. spread last 9 in series and 10-1-1 last 12 meetings. Jackets 3-0-1 vs. line last four at Athens. Georgia Tech, based on series trends.
MARYLAND at NORTH CAROLINA...UNC 5-1 vs. line at home this season for Fedora. UNC, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA at VIRGINIA TECH...Beamer has owned UVa in recent years, with eight straight wins and a 7-1 spread mark in those games. Although Beamer only 2-8 vs. line TY and 6-19 last 25 on board since late 2010. VT, based on series trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at MINNESOTA...At least Spartans aren't playing at home, where they're 0-7 vs. line TY after NU loss, and 1-7 as chalk TY. They're 3-1 vs. line away, however, making road team 10-1 vs. spread in Spartan games TY. Gophers 6-2 vs. line last eight at home since mid 2011 and have covered last four in series. Slight to Minnesota, based on team and series trends.
MIAMI-FLORIDA at DUKE...Duke really backing up as season concludes, no wins or covers last three in ugly fashion. Al Golden 8-3 vs. line TY. Miami, based on recent trends.
ILLINOIS at NORTHWESTERN...NU 10-1 vs. line this season. Cats also 6-0 vs. spread at home, while Illini had dropped seven straight vs. number prior to narrow cover vs. Purdue. Illini 0-4 vs. line away TY. NU, based on recent trends.
BOSTON COLLEGE at NC STATE...BC has covered last two this season but is 0-5 vs. line away in 2012. Home team has covered last three years in series. O'Brien 31-13 vs. line after fifth games of season since 2007. NCS, based on team and series home trends.
KENTUCKY at TENNESSEE...Cols 8-4 vs. line in series since 2000. But Vols 0-6 vs. line at Knoxville in 2012. UT no covers last five as chalk. Slight to UK, based on Vol woes.
WISCONSIN at PENN STATE...O'Brien 8-2 vs. line last ten TY, while Wiscy has covered its last three on road this season. Slight to Penn State, based on recent O'Brien marks.
at RUTGERS at PITTSURGH...Road team had covered four straight in this series prior to last season. 'Gers has covered 7 of last 8 this season after Cincy win. Rutgers, based on recent trends.
INDIANA at PURDUE...Old Oaken Bucket! Boilermakers no covers last four as chalk this season. Although Hoosiers 4-1 vs. line on road this season. Road team has covered last three Bucket battles. IU, based on team and recent series road trends.
TEXAS STATE at UTSA...Coker 6-3 vs. line TY and has covered last three after Idaho win. UTSA, based on team trends.
IDAHO at UTAH STATE...USU 10-1 vs. line TY. Meanwhile, Idaho 1-8 last nine vs. number TY. USU, based on recent trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at WYOMING...Road team has covered last three in series. Christensen 21-12 also as dog since arriving at Wyo in 2009, but Rocky has covered 5 of last 6 TY and is 3-1 vs. line away in 2012. SDSU, based on series and team trends.
TEXAS TECH vs. BAYLOR (at Arlington)...Tech skidding with four spread Ls in a row after OSU debacle, while Baylor has covered three of last four away from Waco TY. Tuberville 1-8 vs. line in last five games of season since 2011. Baylor, based on team trends.
AUBURN at ALABAMA...Iron Bowl. Auburn has covered 5 of last 7 vs. Bama, but note Tigers 9-15 vs. spread post-Cam. Nick 31-19 as home chalk since 2009. Bama, based on anti-Auburn trends.
MISSISSIPPI STATE at OLE MISS...Egg Bowl! Hugh "Pointspread Cover" freeze 18-5 vs. number at Ark State & Ole Miss since LY. Dan Mullen only 1-5 vs. line last six away from Scott Stadium, but has won and covered all three Egg Bowls vs. Rebs (all against Houston Nutt, however). Ole Miss, based on Hugh Freeze trends.
STANFORD at UCLA...Tree has won and covered last three meetings, now 10-1 vs. line away since LY, 15-3 since 2010. UCLA, however, 37-18 vs. line at Rose Bowl since early. Slight to UCLA, based on team trends.
BYU at NEW MEXICO STATE...NMSU has lost last nine SU this season and is just 2-7 vs. spread last nine in 2012. Cougs 7-2 vs. points last 9 away from Provo. BYU, based on team trends.
AIR FORCE at FRESNO STATE...Fresno 10-1 vs. line TY. Also 5-0 vs. line at Dog House for Tim DeRuyter. AFA no covers last four away from home TY. Fresno, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at OKLAHOMA...Bedlam! Revenge for Stoops after OSU whipped Sooners 44-10 LY. OSU 0-3 vs. line away TY and has not covered last five away from Boone Pickens Stadium. Slight to OU, based on team trends.
MISSOURI at TEXAS A&M...Pinkel 9-7 as road dog since 2007. Mizzou covered last two in series vs. Mike Sherman A&M teams. Slight to Mizzou, based on team trends.
OREGON at OREGON STATE...Civil War! Ducks have won last four Civil Wars and 3-0-1 vs. line in those games. But Riley 5-1 as dog in 2012 and 25-11-1 in role since '07. OSU, based on team trends.
TULSA at SMU...Golden Hurricane 7-1 vs. line last 8 on CUSA road and has won and covered last two vs. June Jones. Tulsa, based on team and recent series trends.
FLORIDA at FLORIDA STATE...Jimbo is 2-0 SU and vs. line against Florida. Noles 4-1 vs. line at home TY. Gators no covers last four TY . FSU, based on recent trends.
LA TECH at SAN JOSE STATE...LT now no covers last four TY after tough OT loss vs. Utags. Tech also no covers last two away after covering 12 straight away from Ruston. SJSU 9-2 vs. line TY, 17-5 last 22 . Home team has covered last three meetings. Slight to SJSU, based on recent team and recent series trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at MEMPHIS...Memphis has covered last 3 and 4 of last 4 TY after UAB rout. Tigers have also covered last three at Liberty Bowl. Memphis, based on recent trends.
TULANE at HOUSTON...Wave 5-1-1 vs. line last seven TY, Houston no covers last five TY. Cougs, however, 8-0-1 vs. line last nine meetings. Slight to UH, based on series trends.
NEW MEXICO at COLORADO STATE...Home team has covered last four meetings, but Bob Davie has covered 3 of last 4 on road TY and 6 of last 9 overall. Slight to UNM, based on recent trends.
RICE at UTEP...Owls 4-1 vs. line last five TY and 4-1-1 last six as dog. Mike Price 1-3 as chalk TY and 9-18 in role since 2007, Price also 1-7 vs. line vs. Owls since arriving at UTEP in 2004. Rice, based on team and series trends.
SOUTH CAROLINA at CLEMSON...Spurrier has covered 4 of last 6 in series but he's only 5-5 vs. line away from Williams-Brice Stadium since LY. Clemson had covered seven straight TY before narrow non-cover vs. NCS. Slight to Clemson, based on recent trends.
UAB at UCF...UCF only 2-3 vs. line at home TY but O'Leary 23-13 vs. number as host at new stadium since it opened in 2007. UCF, based on extended trends.
NOTRE DAME at SOUTHERN CAL...Irish have only won one of last ten in series but that came two years ago at Coliseum. ND 3-7 vs. line last 10 in series, and 1-4 vs. points last five at Coliseum. This season, SC only 3-8 vs. line (3-2 at home) and ND 4-1 vs. line on road. ND, based on recent trends.
UNLV at HAWAII...Rebs have lost last 21 SU on road and 3-18 vs. line in those games (but 2-3 TY). Norm Chow 0-8 SU last 8 TY and just 1-7 vs. line, no covers last three at Aloha Stadium. Hawaii 4-1 vs. line in series since '06. UH, based on UNLV road mark.
Saturday, Nov. 24 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
NORTH TEXAS at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Mean Green 2-6 vs. line last 8 TY. UNT had won and covered 3 straight vs. Tops (as had most foes) prior to last season. WKU 16-3-1 vs. line last 20. WKU, based on recent trends.
TROY at MIDDLE TENENSSEE...MTSU on 7-2 spread run TY. But Troy 4-1 vs. line away TY. Blakeney, however, has owned Stockstill, beating him six in a row SU, with LY with only non-cover by Trojans in that stretch. Slight to Troy, based on series trends.
SOUTH ALABAMA at UL-LAFAYETTE...Road team now 10-1 vs. line in USA games this season, with Jags 4-1 vs. points away. Slight to USA, based on TY's road-in-Jag trend.
UL-MONROE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL...ULM 5-1 vs. line away TY, Golden Panthers 1-4 vs. line at home TY. Warhawks 5-1 vs. points last six in series. ULM, based on team and series trends.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: