cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:14 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Saturday's games
Other Notes
-- Maryland is 4-9 in its last 13 games as a home underdog.
-- Road team covered 10 of last 11 Northwestern-Michigan St games.
-- Indiana covered four of last five games with Penn State.
-- Nevada is 7-14 in its last 21 games as a road favorite.

-- Over the last 20 years, Wisconsin is 16-4 vs spread in its last home game of the season.
-- Road team covered six of last seven NC State-Clemson games.
-- Houston is 6-13 in its last 19 games as a road favorite.
-- Home side covered nine of last ten Miss State-Arkansas games.
-- USC won 12 of last 13 games vs UCLA (9-4 vs spread).

-- Over last 22 years, Notre Dame is 6-15-1 in last home game of year.
-- Home team is 11-4-1 vs spread in Rice-SMU series, with Owls 6-0 vs spread the last six years.
-- Iowa is 8-3-2 vs spread in last 13 games with Michigan.
-- Washington covered six of last 24 Pac-12 road games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:15 AM

College football betting weather watch: Week 12

South Florida at Miami (-6, 57)

Site: MetLife Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-70s with a 25 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the NE at 12 mph.

USC at UCLA (4, 64.5)

Site: Rose Bowl

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with an 80 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 6 mph.

Colorado State at Boise State (-28.5, 49.5)

Site: Bronco Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with a 55 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the SE at 6 mph.

Stanford at Oregon (-20.5, 66)

Site: Autzen Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s with a 90 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 7 mph.

Arizona at Utah (1, 61.5)

Site: Rice-Eccles Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-30s with a 30 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the SSE at 7 mph.

California at Oregon State (-14.5, 48.5)

Site: Reser Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-40s with a 75 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the south at 10 mph.

Brigham Young at San Jose State (2.5, 48)

Site: Spartan Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s with an 85 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the SE at 12 mph.

Minnesota at Nebraska (-20.5, 53)

Site: Memorial Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies. But winds are expected to gust out of the south at 20 mph.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:17 AM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 12

Odds are not available for the following ranked teams this week:

(4) Alabama, (9) South Carolina, (5) Georgia, (6) Florida, (8) Texas A&M

(10) Florida State at Maryland (31, 45.5)

The Seminoles boast the FBS' best defense (242.9 yards per game) and will present a difficult challenge for Maryland, which mustered a season-low 180 total yards in its 45-10 setback to Clemson last week. With season-ending injuries to four QBs, converted linebacker Shawn Petty is taking his lumps at quarterback for the Terrapins. Petty made his second consecutive start last week and threw for only 41 yards while fumbling twice. Maryland is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games.

Iowa at (21) Michigan (-16.5, 46.5)

Michigan coach Brady Hoke isn’t tipping his cap about the chances of injured senior QB Denard Robinson (elbow) playing in his final home game. The Wolverines have no reason to rush him back because of the solid play of backup Devin Gardner, who has passed for 230-plus yards in back-to-back victories. The Hawkeyes have won three straight over Michigan and the underdog is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Rutgers at (22) Cincinnati (-6, 48)

Cincinnati has rebounded from two straight losses with a pair of victories and comes in with the top scoring and rushing offense in the Big East. But Rutgers can lean on its defense, which is fifth in the nation in points against (13.4) and 14th in yards against. On offense, the Scarlet Knights may be without standout RB Jawan Jamison, who suffered an ankle injury in last week’s win over Army. Rutgers is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall and 4-0 ATS in its last four conference games.

(25) Washington at Colorado (20.5, 54.5)

Washington looks for a fourth straight win Saturday when it travels to Colorado. The Buffaloes have lost six straight and are allowing a nation-worst 47.2 points per game - on pace to shatter the school record for points allowed and to register the worst win-loss mark in school history. Colorado has failed to cover in its last five home games and Washington is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games versus a team with a losing record.

(18) USC at (17) UCLA (3.5, 66)

The Trojans trail the Bruins by a half-game in the Pac-12 South and the winner advances to the Pac-12 title game. USC has won five straight and 12 of the last 13 meetings with UCLA, including a 50-0 blasting last season when Matt Barkley threw for 423 yards and six touchdown passes. The Bruins have resurfaced impressively this season under first-year coach Jim Mora and have won four consecutive games. The Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.

Minnesota at (14) Nebraska (-20, 53)

The Cornhuskers are tied for first in the Big Ten Division with Michigan, but control their own destiny by virtue of their 23-9 victory over the Wolverines on Oct. 27. The Cornhuskers have taken the last 15 meetings with Minnesota, including a 41-14 decision last season. Nebraska is 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven home games.

(23) Texas Tech at (24) Oklahoma State (-10, 73.5)

Texas Tech barely survived the Jayhawks last week as Seth Doege, who leads the nation with 34 touchdown passes, threw for 476 yards and three scores in a 41-34 double-overtime victory. The Red Raiders have allowed an average of 232.5 rushing yards and eight touchdowns on the ground over the last four games. That’s not good news because Oklahoma State RB Joseph Randle leads the Big 12 in rushing, averaging 112 yards per game. Texas Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last seven meetings with Oklahoma State.

North Carolina State at (11) Clemson (-16.5, 65)

Tajh Boyd has passed for 1,033 yards and 13 touchdowns in his past three games to help the Tigers keep pace with Florida State in the ACC’s Atlantic Division. Clemson has won six in a row since falling at Florida State, and ranks sixth in the nation in points per game (42.9). The Wolfpack destroyed Wake Forest last week and already pulled off an upset over ranked FSU on Oct. 6. The Tigers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall

Mississippi at (7) LSU (-18.5, 49.5)

The Tigers are not in the national title picture, but they are contenders for a BCS bowl game if they handle the Rebels and then Arkansas the next Friday in Fayetteville. Ole Miss has given up 27.7 points per game in SEC play, the fifth-highest average in the league. That does not bode well against an LSU squad coming off one of its better offensive showings against Mississippi State. The Rebels, who are 8-0 ATS in their last eight trips to Death Valley, need one win in their final two games to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2009.

Wake Forest at (3) Notre Dame (-23.5, 42)

The Fighting Irish need to win out and get some help to finish in the top two of the BCS and play for the National Championship. Wake Forest is hoping to become bowl eligible with a win but is 1-3 on the road and is coming off a 37-6 loss at North Carolina State. The Demon Deacons have been held to fewer than 20 points in four of their last five games and will be trying to find the end zone against a Notre Dame team that is first nationally in scoring defense, surrendering an average of 11.1 points. The Fighting Irish are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Utah State at (20) Louisiana Tech (3.5, 73.5)

The Bulldogs can draw one step closer to a Western Athletic Conference title and keep their BCS dreams alive with a home win over Utah State on Saturday. The Aggies are tied with Louisiana Tech for the WAC lead and will put their tough defense up against the Bulldogs. Louisiana Tech is averaging 576.5 yards to lead the nation but Utah State boasts the sixth-ranked scoring defense in the country, surrendering 13.5 points. The Aggies can put up points, too, and have scored at least 38 in each of their last four games as they’ve ripped through the WAC. The over is 9-1 in Louisiana Tech’s last 10 games overall.

(12) Oklahoma at West Virginia (11, 74.5)

Oklahoma still has slim hopes of winning the Big 12 Conference if Kansas State stumbles badly, but the Sooners are also in contention for a BCS bowl bid as they head to West Virginia. The Sooners allowed a season-high point total in a 42-34 victory over Baylor last week that may have provided a blueprint on how they will attack West Virginia. Oklahoma used as many as seven defensive backs against pass-happy Baylor, but wound up surrendering 252 yards rushing. West Virginia is mired in a four-game losing streak and has failed to cover during the losing skid.

(1) Kansas State at Baylor (12.5, 74.5)

Expect plenty of offense when Kansas State travels to Baylor for a Big 12 showdown. The Wildcats, who are two wins away from a trip to their first BCS National Championship Game, score on 53 percent of their offensive possessions and put points on the board on every 1.8 drives. Baylor’s pass offense is ranked No. 2 in the nation but its pass defense is ranked 116th in the country, allowing an average of 367.7 yards per game. The over is 5-1 in Kansas State’s last six games versus a team with a losing record.

(13) Stanford at (2) Oregon (-20.5, 65)

The Ducks can move one step closer to a national title when they host Stanford in a contest that could decide the Pac-12 Conference North Division. Oregon continued its stampede through the conference by overcoming a slow start in a 59-17 demolition of California to extend the nation's longest winning streak to 13 games. Stanford, a winner of four consecutive games, will move into a tie atop the North Division and be in position to play for the conference championship with a win. Oregon has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including lopsided victories the past two seasons by scores of 53-30 and 52-31. The Ducks have scored more than 50 points seven times this season and are averaging a staggering 63.7 points in their last three. The over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings between the schools.

California at (16) Oregon State (-14.5, 48)

The Beavers look to rebound following their crucial loss at Stanford a week ago which knocked them into third place in the Pac-12 South Division. It was only the third time in the last 55 games that the Beavers blew a fourth-quarter lead and lost. Oregon State is 4-0 at home this season but may be without the services of QB Cody Vaz, who is dealing with an ankle injury. California is 0-4 ATS in its last four conference games and last four games overall.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:18 AM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 12

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 17

Game 313-314: Duke at Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 80.094; Georgia Tech 98.802
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 18 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 12 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-12 1/2); Under

Game 315-316: Temple at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 72.213; Army 80.627
Dunkel Line: Army by 8 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Army by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (-3); Under

Game 317-318: Kent State at Bowling Green (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 87.722; Bowling Green 86.717
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 1;
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+3); Over

Game 319-320: Virginia at Boston College (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 86.771; Boston College 81.611
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 5; 54
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 10; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+10); Over

Game 321-322: Minnesota at Nebraska (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 83.246; Nebraska 104.845
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 21 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 19 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-19 1/2); Under

Game 323-324: Arkansas at Mississippi State (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 91.448; Mississippi State 99.248
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 8; 50
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 7; 55
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-7); Under

Game 325-326: South Florida at Miami (FL) (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 85.960; Miami (FL) 91.017
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 5; 63
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 7; 56
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+7); Over

Game 327-328: Purdue at Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 77.870; Illinois 75.098
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 3; 53
Vegas Line: Purdue by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+7); Over

Game 329-330: Iowa State at Kansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 90.884; Kansas 82.336
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 8 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Iowa State by 6; 48
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-6); Over

Game 331-332: Houston at Marshall (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 76.905; Marshall 73.716
Dunkel Line: Houston by 3; 80
Vegas Line: Marshall by 3 1/2; 75 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2); Over

Game 333-334: Florida State at Maryland (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 108.992; Maryland 76.770
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 32; 42
Vegas Line: Florida State by 31; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-31); Under

Game 335-336: Buffalo at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 73.314; Massachusetts 54.210
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 19; 46
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 10 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-10 1/2); Under

Game 337-338: Northwestern at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 92.241; Michigan State 95.976
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 7; 44
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+7); Over

Game 339-340: NC State at Clemson (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 77.478; Clemson 108.662
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 31; 62
Vegas Line: Clemson by 16 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-16 1/2); Under

Game 341-342: Rutgers at Cincinnati (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 95.484; Cincinnati 89.999
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 5 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+6 1/2); Over

Game 343-344: Indiana at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 77.125; Penn State 99.077
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 22; 50
Vegas Line: Penn State by 18; 56
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-18); Under

Game 345-346: Tennessee at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 89.926; Vanderbilt 90.666
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1; 68
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 4; 60
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+4); Over

Game 347-348: Miami (OH) at Central Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 70.354; Central Michigan 70.778
Dunkel Line: Even; 68
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+3 1/2); Over

Game 349-350: Memphis at UAB (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 59.486; UAB 75.811
Dunkel Line: UAB by 16 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 10; 58
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-10); Under

Game 351-352: Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 65.582; Western Michigan 80.866
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 15 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 13; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-13); Under

Game 353-354: Oklahoma at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 105.572; West Virginia 92.919
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12 1/2; 77
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 10 1/2; 73 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-10 1/2); Over

Game 355-356: USC at UCLA (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 107.334; UCLA 96.060
Dunkel Line: USC by 11 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: USC by 3 1/2; 66
Dunkel Pick: USC (-3 1/2); Over

Game 357-358: Colorado State at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 69.214; Boise State 103.106
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 34; 44
Vegas Line: Boise State by 28; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-28); Under

Game 359-360: Texas State at Navy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 72.483; Navy 83.611
Dunkel Line: Navy by 11; 60
Vegas Line: Navy by 13; 57
Dunkel Pick: Texas State (+13); Over

Game 361-362: Kansas State at Baylor (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 116.455; Baylor 94.637
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 22; 69
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-11 1/2); Under

Game 363-364: Nevada at New Mexico (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 87.743; New Mexico 71.511
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 16; 60
Vegas Line: Nevada by 10; 65
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-10); Under

Game 365-366: Wake Forest at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 83.958; Notre Dame 105.478
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 21 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 24; 43
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+24); Over

Game 367-368: Stanford at Oregon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 102.065; Oregon 123.231
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 21; 62
Vegas Line: Oregon by 20 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-20 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: California at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 84.768; Oregon State 102.647
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 18; 65
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 371-372: SMU at Rice (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 87.586; Rice 76.715
Dunkel Line: SMU by 11; 55
Vegas Line: SMU by 3 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-3 1/2); Under

Game 373-374: East Carolina at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 82.599; Tulane 67.158
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 15 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 9 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-9 1/2); Over

Game 375-376: Central Florida at Tulsa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 97.356; Tulsa 94.428
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 3; 63
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3); Over

Game 377-378: Iowa at Michigan (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 80.882; Michigan 102.964
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 22; 48
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 379-380: Washington at Colorado (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 90.446; Colorado 71.943
Dunkel Line: Washington by 18 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Washington by 20 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+20 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: BYU at San Jose State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 94.730; San Jose State 89.323
Dunkel Line: BYU by 5 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: BYU by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-3); Under

Game 383-384: Wyoming at UNLV (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 75.015; UNLV 75.638
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 1; 52
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 385-386: TX-San Antonio at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 64.493; Idaho 58.763
Dunkel Line: TX-San Antonio by 5 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: TX-San Antonio by 6 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+6 1/2); Over

Game 387-388: Arizona at Utah (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 87.552; Utah 96.549
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9; 50
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 389-390: Syracuse at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 91.222; Missouri 93.055
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2; 58
Vegas Line: Missouri by 5; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+5); Over

Game 391-392: Texas Tech at Oklahoma State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.660; Oklahoma State 110.250
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 16 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 10; 72
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-10); Under

Game 393-394: Utah State at Louisiana Tech (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 92.677; Louisiana Tech 93.716
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 1; 76
Vegas Line: Utah State by 3; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+3); Over

Game 395-396: Ohio State at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 101.417; Wisconsin 99.828
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 1 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 3; 53
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+3); Over

Game 397-398: Mississippi at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 91.919; LSU 112.077
Dunkel Line: LSU by 20; 47
Vegas Line: LSU by 18 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-18 1/2); Under

Game 399-400: UTEP at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 71.970; Southern Mississippi 69.922
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 2; 55
Vegas Line: UTEP by 4; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+4); Over

Game 401-402: Washington State at Arizona State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 74.776; Arizona State 99.112
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 24 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 22; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-22); Under

Game 403-404: Arkansas State at Troy (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 81.712; Troy 83.616
Dunkel Line: Troy by 2; 72
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 3; 68
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+3); Over

Game 405-406: North Texas at UL-Monroe (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 72.638; UL-Monroe 77.553
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 5; 52
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 10; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+10); Under

Game 407-408: Middle Tennessee State at South Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 82.684; South Alabama 68.024
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 8 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 409-410: Western Kentucky at UL-Lafayette (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 86.140; UL-Lafayette 74.943
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 11; 62
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 4; 57
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (+4); Over


OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 441-442: Western Carolina at Alabama (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 48.589; Alabama 116.531
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 68
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 443-444: Georgia Southern at Georgia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 76.103; Georgia 111.075
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 35
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 445-446: Wofford at South Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 70.678; South Carolina 103.383
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 32 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 447-448: Jacksonville State at Florida (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 61.957; Florida 105.433
Dunkel Line: Florida by 43 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 449-450: Alabama A&M at Auburn (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 44.621; Auburn 81.317
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 36 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 451-452: Samford at Kentucky (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 69.490; Kentucky 73.119
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 453-454: Sam Houston State at Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 89.579; Texas A&M 117.811
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 28
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:20 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 12

Saturday's games

Top games
Northwestern is 7-3 but gagged away all three losses in 4th quarter; they are 2-3 in last five games, 3-1 vs spread as underdogs, with losses by 11-1-7ot points. Last six Michigan State games were all decided by 4 or less points; Spartans are 1-6 vs spread as faves this year, 0-5 at home. State won last four series games by average score of 32-20, but lost four of last six games overall. Big Dozen home favorites are 13-13 vs spread. Under is 7-2-1 in Spartan games; three of last four Wildcats games went under.

Tennessee won six in row, 13 of last 14 games vs Vanderbilt, with dogs 6-2 vs spread in last eight; Vols won last six visits here, last three by 14-10-29 points, but Tennessee's defense has fallen apart, allowing 38-48-51 points in last three games. Vandy rallied from down 23-6 to win last week at Ole Miss, its fourth win in row; they're 1-3 as faves this year, 1-1 at home. Vols lost five of last six games, blowing 21-7 halftime lead at home to Missouri last week. SEC home favorites are 15-13 vs spread.

West Virginia's defense is hideous, allowing 49-55-39-55 points during 4-game losing streak; they allowed 63-45 points in last two games they've won. Mountaineers are 3-2 at home, with underdogs covering four of the five games; they're 1-1 as dogs this year. Oklahoma is 4-0 on road, 3-0 in last four games as road favorite, winning by 17-21-42-15 points. This is not your normal Sooner defense; they allowed 185+ rushing yards three of last four games. Big X home underdogs are 5-7 vs spread. Four of last six games for both teams went over total.

USC won five in row, 12 of its last 13 games vs crosstown rival UCLA; they crushed Bruins 50-0 LY, won five of last six visits here, winning by 14-21 in last two. This is Mora's first game as UCLA coach in this series so chance for him to make recruiting inroads here. Trojans lost two of last three games overall- they are 0-5 vs spread away from home in '12. UCLA won last three games, scoring 45-66-44 points; they covered both games as an underdog this year. Pac-12 home dogs are 11-10 vs spread. Four of last five UCLA games went over total; under is 5-3 in last eight Trojan games.

Kansas State/Baylor split pair of close games last two years, with home team winning both; Wildcats won 36-35 LY, lost 47-42 in '10, but this is been K-State's year- they're 8-1 vs spread in last nine games, 5-2 when a favorite, 1-1 on road, winning away games by 5-6-41-13 points. Baylor lost five of its last six games, losing twice when they scored 50+ points; they're 3-1 vs spread as underdog this year. Iowa State/TCU beat them by 14-28 points, only two games they've lost by more than 7 points. Big X home underdogs are 5-7 vs spread. Under is 3-0-1 in K-State's road games, 3-0 in last three Baylor games.

Lined opened at Oregon -24, is down to 20.5, as books made number so Ducks wouldn't get all the action; they won nine of last 10 games with Stanford, winning 53-30/52-31 last two years, despite Cardinal being in top 10 at time both years. Oregon covered its last five games, with 62-51 win at USC closest game; they're playing for style points to stay in top three in BCS Standings, so tough to buck them here. Stanford won last four games; their only losses are 17-13 at Washington, 20-13 at Notre Dame. Pac-12 home favorites are 13-12 vs spread. Five of last six Oregon games went over; four of last five Cardinal games stayed under.

Favorites covered four of five UCF-Tulsa games, with Hurricanes taking 21-17 decision in Orlando LY; Golden Knights lost their only visit here, 49-19 (+23) in '08- they've won last six games, with three of last four on road. Tulsa won 8 of last 9 games, with its only loss 19-15 at Arkansas; they're 5-0 at home, 2-2 as home favorites- they've been positive in TOs in each of last six games. UCF covered its only games as a dog this year. C-USA home favorites are 11-9 vs spread. Five of last six UCF games went over total; last four Tulsa games stayed under.

BYU won 41-17/52-13 in two games since losing at Notre Dame; win at Georgia Tech was its only win in four road games- they're 2-4 vs spread as favorites, 0-1 on road. San Jose State is going bowling for first time in six years (2nd since '90); they've won four in row, 8 of last 9 games, are 2-0 as underdog this year, and covered last four tries as home underdog. San Jose lost by 3 at Stanford, so they're legit. WAC non-conference underdogs are 9-8 vs spread, 3-1 at home. Three of last four BYU games, five of last eight Spartan games went over total.

Syracuse handed Louisville its first loss last week, but they're 1-4 away from home, with only win 37-36 at South Florida when they trailed 23-3 at half. Orangemen are 3-2-1 as underdogs. Missouri gave up 585 yards last week at Tennessee, but rallied back from down 21-7 at half to win in OT, 51-48. Tigers are 5-0 when they score 21+ points, 0-4 when they do not-- all four of their losses came in SEC games. SEC non-conference home favorites are 9-16 vs spread; Big East underdogs are 8-2-1, 4-2 on road. Last four Syracuse games went over total; six of last eight Missouri games stayed under.

Oklahoma State beat Texas Tech last three years, including 66-6 beating in Lubbock LY when they outgained Red Raiders, 637-270. Cowboys allowed 41+ points in all three losses this year; they're 19-7-1 vs spread in last 27 games as home favorite, 4-0 this year. Tech struggled to beat woeful Kansas in OT last week, but they're 8-3, with losses by 21-31-9 points- they're 1-2 as underdogs, and don't have takeaway in any of last three games. Big X home favorites are 10-12 vs spread. Three of last four Tech games, five of last eight OSU games went over total.

Utah State is 9-0 vs spread this year, winning last four games; their only losses are 16-14 at Wisconsin, 6-3 at BYU; Aggies lost six of last seven games vs Louisiana Tech losing three here 24-6/45-38/48-35. State was a dog in four of nine wins; they've won road games at Colorado St (31-19), San Jose (49-27), UTSA (48-17). Louisiana Tech is 9-1, with only loss 59-57 to Texas A&M (trailed 39-16 at half), so this is high-level game. Bulldogs covered both games as dog this year. WAC home underdogs are 2-7 vs spread this season. Seven of nine State games stayed under; nine of ten Tech games went over.

Underdogs are 6-3 vs spread in last nine Ohio State-Wisconsin games, as dog won SU last two years; Buckeyes won four of last five in series, but lost two of last three visits here. Ohio State is quietest 10-0 team ever, but they've only played three road games, winning 17-16 at Michigan St, 52-49 at Indiana before beating Penn State 35-23- they've allowed 22+ points in last five games. Badgers are bully team, with five wins by 11+ points, but they've lost three of last four games that were decided by 3 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites are 13-12 vs spread. Five of last seven Wisconsin games, four of last five OSU games went over total.

Arkansas State hammered Troy 45-14 LY, its first win in last five tries vs Trojans; they lost last two visits here, 35-28/35-9. ASU won last five games (4-1 vs spread); they're 3-0 on Sun Belt road, winning at FIU by 14, ULL by 23, North Texas by 18. Troy is 2-3 in last five games, but they upset Navy 41-31 last week, fifth straight game they allowed 31+ points. Troy covered all three games as an underdog this year. Sun Belt home underdogs are 3-7 vs spread. Last five Troy games, three of last four ASU games went over the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:21 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, November 17

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USC at UCLA: What bettors need to know
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USC at UCLA (-3.5, 66.5)

All that preseason chatter about Matt Barkley coming back to win a national championship sounds a little bit silly with No. 21 Southern California needing to beat No. 16 UCLA at the Rose Bowl on Saturday just to win its half of the Pac-12. The Trojans trail the Bruins by a half-game in the Pac-12 South and the winner advances to the Pac-12 title game. USC has won five straight and 12 of the last 13 meetings with UCLA, including a 50-0 trouncing last season when Barkley threw for 423 yards and six touchdown passes. The Bruins have resurfaced impressively this season under first-year coach Jim Mora and have won four consecutive games.

TV: 3:05 p.m. ET, Fox.

LINE: USC –3.5, O/U 66.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with a 60 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the SSW at 6 mph.

ABOUT USC (7-3, 5-3 Pac-12 South): Barkley has passed for 2,972 yards and 33 touchdowns, but his senior season has been mildly disappointing because of his 13 interceptions, the Trojans’ 26 turnovers and USC’s three defeats. Sophomore receiver Marqise Lee has been USC’s top offensive player with 98 receptions for 1,447 yards and 13 touchdowns. Lee’s 144.7 receiving yards per game ranks second nationally. Junior tailback Silas Redd is expected to return after missing the Nov. 10 contest against Arizona State with a knee injury. USC has committed 13 turnovers over its last three games. Senior free safety T.J. McDonald has a team-best 83 tackles, junior defensive end Morgan Breslin has a team-high 9.5 sacks and sophomore strong-side linebacker Dion Bailey leads with four interceptions.

ABOUT UCLA (8-2, 5-2): Redshirt freshman quarterback Brett Hundley has been superb and a key figure in the Bruins’ rise. Hundley has passed for 2,739 yards and 24 touchdowns and has been intercepted only nine times. Senior running back Johnathan Franklin has racked up 1,270 yards and has topped 100 yards seven times. UCLA has an opportunistic defense that has forced 25 turnovers, including 13 interceptions. Senior strong safety Andrew Abbott and senior cornerback Sheldon Price are tied for the team lead with four apiece. Junior outside linebacker Anthony Barr leads the Bruins in sacks (11) and tackles for losses (17).

TRENDS:

* Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
* Under is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in Bruins’ last five games overall.
* Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. a team with a winning record.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. USC leads the series 46-28-7, but UCLA has an 8-7 edge in games played at the Rose Bowl.

2. A victory would allow Mora to match Terry Donahue (nine in 1976) for most wins by a first-year UCLA coach.

3. USC’s McDonald is the older brother of UCLA sophomore safety Tevin McDonald. Their father, Tim, is a former USC All-American and NFL Pro Bowl safety.


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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:23 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, November 17

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Stanford at Oregon: What bettors need to know
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Stanford at Oregon (-20.5, 65.5)

Oregon has ascended to No. 1 in the country and has a clear - albeit dangerous - path to the BCS championship game. The Ducks can move one step closer to a national title when they host No. 13 Stanford on Saturday in a contest that could decide the Pac-12 Conference North Division. Oregon continued its stampede through the conference by overcoming a slow start in a 59-17 demolition of California to extend the nation's longest winning streak to 13 games. Stanford, a winner of four consecutive games since a 20-13 loss at Notre Dame on Oct. 13, is looking to do more than play spoiler against the Ducks. A victory Saturday will move the Cardinal into a tie atop the North Division, and put them in position to play for the conference championship.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: Oregon -20.5, O/U 65.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with a 95 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the SW at 4 mph.

ABOUT STANFORD (8-2, 6-1 Pac-12): Quarterback Kevin Hogan turned in a dazzling performance in his first career start last week, guiding the Cardinal to a 27-23 victory over Oregon State. The redshirt freshman will face a daunting task in attempting to keep up with Oregon's race-horse offense. Hogan threw for 254 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions while adding 49 yards rushing last week. Running back Stepfan Taylor balanced the offense with 114 yards and a touchdown and went over 1,000 yards for the third straight season. Stanford's hopes could hinge on the ability of its top-ranked rushing defense (58.6 yards per game) to shut down an Oregon rushing attack that ranks third nationally with 325.1 yards.

ABOUT OREGON (10-0, 7-0 Pac-12): While the Ducks took over the top spot in the coaches poll, they are No. 2 behind Kansas State in the BCS standings - a fact that doesn't concern coach Chip Kelly. “It means absolutely nothing if we don’t go out and win this Saturday,” he said. Oregon had averaged more than 400 yards rushing in each of its three wins prior to last week's matchup with Cal, but got a stellar performance from quarterback Marcus Mariota, who tied a school record with six touchdown passes and a career-high 377 yards. Leading rusher Kenjon Barner, who shredded USC for 321 yards and five touchdowns the previous week, was held to 65 yards. The Ducks have scored more than 50 points seven times and are averaging a staggering 63.7 points in their last three.

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 4-0 in Stanford’s last four road games.
* Over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings.
* Stanford is 1-4 ATS in its last five games in Oregon.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Oregon has won nine of the last 10 meetings, including lopsided victories the past two seasons by scores of 53-30 and 52-31. The Cardinal haven't won at Autzen Stadium since 2001.

2. Taylor became the first player in school history to register three consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.

3. Oregon's average victory margin in Pac-12 play this season is 33.7 points.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 11:30 AM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

11/16/12 1-­3-­0 25.00% -­1150 Detail
11/15/12 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
11/14/12 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail
11/10/12 43-­35-­1 55.13% +­2250 Detail
11/09/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/08/12 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
11/07/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
11/06/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/03/12 37-­34-­2 52.11% -­200 Detail
11/02/12 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
11/01/12 4-­0-­0 100.00% +­2000 Detail

Totals 97-­78-­3 55.43% +5600


Saturday, November 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida State - 12:00 PM ET Maryland +31 500
Maryland - Over 45 500

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern +7 500
Michigan State - Under 46 500

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa +17 500
Michigan - Over 46.5 500

Kent State - 12:00 PM ET Bowling Green -2.5 500 ( MAC POD )
Bowling Green - Over 47 500

Central Florida - 12:00 PM ET Tulsa -1.5 500
Tulsa - Under 55 500

Indiana - 12:00 PM ET Penn State -17 500
Penn State - Under 56.5 500

Houston - 12:00 PM ET Marshall -3.5 500
Marshall - Over 75 500

Temple - 12:00 PM ET Army -3.5 500
Army - Under 58 500

Rutgers - 12:00 PM ET Rutgers +6.5 500
Cincinnati - Over 48 500

Arkansas - 12:21 PM ET Mississippi State -5.5 500
Mississippi State - Over 55 500

Virginia Tech - 12:30 PM ET Virginia Tech -9.5 500
Boston College - Under 51 500

Miami (Ohio) - 1:00 PM ET Central Michigan -4.5 500
Central Michigan - Over 63 500

Washington - 1:30 PM ET Washington -20.5 500
Colorado - Over 54.5 500

Memphis - 2:00 PM ET Memphis +9.5 500
Alabama-Birmingham - Over 56.5 500

Eastern Michigan - 2:00 PM ET Western Michigan -13.5 500
Western Michigan - Over 62 500

Washington State - 3:00 PM ET Washington State +22.5 500
Arizona State - Over 61.5 500

Buffalo - 3:00 PM ET Buffalo -11 500
Massachusetts - Under 49.5 500

South Florida - 3:00 PM ET Miami -6.5 500
Miami - Over 57 500

Southern California - 3:05 PM ET UCLA +4 500
UCLA - Over 64.5 500

Middle Tennessee - 3:30 PM ET South Alabama +7 500
South Alabama - Over 56 500

Duke - 3:30 PM ET Georgia Tech -13.5 500
Georgia Tech - Under 66 500

Colorado State - 3:30 PM ET Colorado State +28.5 500 ( MT. WEST DOG )
Boise State - Over 49.5 500

Mississippi - 3:30 PM ET Louisiana State -18.5 500
Louisiana State - Over 49.5 500

Minnesota - 3:30 PM ET Minnesota +20 500
Nebraska - Under 53 500

Nevada - 3:30 PM ET New Mexico +10.5 500
New Mexico - Over 64.5 500

Texas Tech - 3:30 PM ET Texas Tech +9.5 500
Oklahoma State - Over 72.5 500

North Carolina State - 3:30 PM ET Clemson -16.5 500
Clemson - Under 65.5 500

Southern Methodist - 3:30 PM ET Rice +3.5 500
Rice - Under 56 500

Ohio State - 3:30 PM ET Wisconsin -2.5 500
Wisconsin - Under 51.5 500

Purdue - 3:30 PM ET Purdue -6 500
Illinois - Under 49.5 500

Texas State - 3:30 PM ET Texas State +13.5 500
Navy - Over 56.5 500

Arkansas State - 3:30 PM ET Arkansas State -3.5 500
Troy - Under 67.5 500

East Carolina - 3:30 PM ET Tulane +10 500
Tulane - Over 61 500

Wake Forest - 3:30 PM ET Wake Forest +24 500
Notre Dame - Over 43 500

Utah State - 4:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech +3.5 500
Louisiana Tech - Over 73.5 500

North Texas - 4:00 PM ET UL Monroe -10.5 500
UL Monroe - Under 57.5 500

Wyoming - 4:00 PM ET UNLV +1 500
UNLV - Over 54 500

Texas-San Antonio - 5:00 PM ET Texas-San Antonio -6 500
Idaho - Under 56.5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/17/2012 07:07 PM

Evening Best Bets;


Syracuse 0 0th Missouri -4.5 500
Missouri 0 Under 54 500

Tennessee 0 0th Vanderbilt -3.5 500
Vanderbilt 0 Under 60.5 500

Oklahoma 0 0th Oklahoma -11.5 500
West Virginia 0 Under 73.5 500

Western Kentucky - 7:00 PM ET UL Lafayette -4 500
UL Lafayette - Over 57 500

Iowa State 0 0th Kansas +4.5 500
Kansas 0 Over 47.5 500

Kansas State - 8:00 PM ET Baylor +12 500
Baylor - Over 74.5 500

Stanford - 8:00 PM ET Stanford +20.5 500
Oregon - Over 66 500

Texas El Paso - 8:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi +3.5 500
Southern Mississippi - Over 49 500

Arizona - 10:00 PM ET Utah +1 500
Utah - Over 61.5 500

California - 10:30 PM ET Oregon State -14.5 500
Oregon State - Under 48.5 500

Brigham Young - 10:30 PM ET San Jose State +2.5 500
San Jose State - Under 48 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27507 Followers:33
11/20/2012 07:02 PM

Tuesday, November 20

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Akron - 7:00 PM ET Akron +17.5 500

Toledo - Under 62.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: