jimmythegreek Posts:11384 Followers:383
On 11/01/2012 03:18 PM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 9

San Diego -7 over Kansas City (bought half):
Things have changed since these two divisional foes met a month ago. At the end of that match up, the Chargers walked off the field with their head held high, knowing that they had finished off the first quarter of the season with a 3-1 record. Now, they go into the rematch with the Chiefs, hoping to not go 0 for 4 over the second quarter of the season. Coming off three straight losses, it would appear that we are in the midst of the yearly, San Diego collapse.

In the previous meeting the ball bounced San Diego’s way. Matt Cassel threw 3 picks, including one that bounced off his target and went directly to the defender, who promptly returned it for a touchdown. Jamaal Charles fumbled twice inside his only 30 yard line and Shaun Draughn chipped in a fumble of his own. Maybe Cassel will never be more than the average quarterback he's peaked at in the past. Maybe his NFL career is closer to being over than hitting a second wind. Still, he's been atrocious. He can be better than atrocious. As for Philip Rivers, maybe he'll never be that elite Super Bowl-winning QB the Chargers thought they were getting on draft night, but he can put up huge numbers. He has to do that to change the Chargers' course in 2012.

The Chiefs need to run the ball and need to do so effectively. While the Chargers have had a fantastic run defense over the first half of the season, the NFL saw last week against the Cleveland Browns that a commitment to the run could put them away. Trent Richardson was bottled up but simply ran through the walls that stood in his way. While Jamaal Charles isn't the same type of runner, he can have the same impact on a game. On defense, the Chiefs need to continue to grow and mature as a passing defense. As horrible as they were early in the season, they have improved as of late. Note: "Improved" doesn't mean good; it just means less than horrible. If they can look less than horrible against a struggling and hobbled Chargers passing offense, this game could be up for grabs.

Rivers has been under duress for most of the season, and a dose of Mathews hasn't slowed anyone down when it's time for Rivers to drop back. It might be too much to ask Norv Turner to start calling some quicker three-step drops, but Rivers needs to progress through his reads more quickly and make better decisions. As average as I think Cassel will be (and that will be an incredible improvement), Rivers will be the story of this game as he, too, returns to form—be it ever so temporary. Rivers has slumps every year, but he always pulls out of his tailspins no matter how many people are betting against him.

I'll have more NFL plays for Sunday as we head toward the weekend.









For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13737-14042-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 163-147-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 828-814-30
jimmythegreek Posts:11384 Followers:383
11/03/2012 01:17 AM

Houston -9.5 over Buffalo (bought half):
With both teams coming off byes, the Texans will surely look to get their ground game going against the Buffalo Bills, who are hoping to receive a big boost from a now-healthy Mario Williams in his first trip back to Houston. The Texans have compiled a 6-1 record behind an NFL-leading 35.4 rushing attempts per game, and they average 140.9 yards to rank sixth in the league. Houston, however, has managed just 4.0 yards per carry - a number they would like to see steadily increase as the season progresses. A more efficient effort from Arian Foster could go a long way. The 2010 rushing champion is averaging a league-high 24.0 carries but ranks 28th with 3.9 yards per attempt.

A matchup against the Bills (3-4) could help the Texans do just that. Buffalo is surrendering an NFL-high 176.9 rushing yards per game and expects to see a heavy dose of Foster come Sunday. Williams' improving health could prove key for a Buffalo team that's been especially bad in dropping three of four. The Bills have allowed 937 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground over that stretch, and they've given up an average of 44.0 points in the three losses. Buffalo allowed 197 rushing yards and four rushing scores during a 35-34 loss to Tennessee on Oct. 21.

Foster ran for 98 yards and scored his league-leading eighth and ninth rushing TDs during a 43-13 rout of Baltimore in Week 7. He may need to shoulder even more of the load Sunday with backup Ben Tate (hamstring) uncertain to play. While the Bills are averaging 150.3 yards on the ground behind C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson, they could struggle to find holes versus Houston. The Texans are giving up 83.0 rushing yards per game to rank fourth in the league and are the only team yet to allow a rushing TD.

The Texans are arguably the most complete team in the league and should be able to take control of this game early. After allowing Aaron Rodgers to throw all over them, Houston dialed up the pressure against the Baltimore Ravens. You can expect more of the same against Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Bills offense. This should be an easy win for the Texans. No fourth-quarter—or even second half—heroics should be necessary from Schaub and the Texans' offense.



For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13737-14042-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 163-147-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 828-814-30
jimmythegreek Posts:11384 Followers:383
11/03/2012 01:26 AM

Chicago -3 over Tennessee (bought half):
The Bears visit a Tennessee Titans team trying to rebound from a frustrating overtime defeat. Even with stars Matt Forte and Brandon Marshall, Chicago (6-1) ranks 26th in total yards (319.6) and 30th in passing (195.6). Its defense is responsible for 41 of the team's 185 points. The Bears scored their only touchdown on the first drive of a 13-7 win over Detroit on Oct. 22. They found the end zone in the first quarter last Sunday but struggled the next two before rallying from 12 down in the fourth for a 23-22 victory over lowly Carolina.

Jay Cutler ranks 23rd with a 78.9 passer rating, but his fourth-quarter rating of 132.0 is the best in the NFL. He had 80 passing yards heading into the final period against the Panthers before he went 12 of 14 for 106 yards and a TD. His fourth-quarter performance helped the Bears to their third five-game winning streak in as many seasons. Chicago last won six straight when it started 7-0 in 2006. Despite Chicago's offensive shortcomings, Marshall has 675 yards on 50 receptions - 13 more catches than any Bears receiver had all of last season.

The Bears might have a good chance for some consistent offensive success against the Titans (3-5), who rank 30th in total defense (421.2 yards per game) and 31st in scoring defense (32.1 ppg). Chicago is giving up 14.3 points per contest, and Tim Jennings' interception return against the Panthers accounted for the team's NFL-leading sixth defensive TD. The Bears hold a 1 1/2-game division lead over Green Bay and Minnesota, but would like to take advantage of an inconsistent Tennessee team before a second half that features six opponents with records of .500 or better.

Tennessee fell to 2-2 at home after blowing a seven-point fourth quarter lead in a 19-13 overtime loss to Indianapolis last Sunday. The Titans ran 59 offensive plays compared to 76 for the Colts, who used a 14-play, 80-yard drive to force overtime and marched another 80 on nine plays for the win. Receiver Kenny Britt wants the Titans to throw downfield more even though they rank near the top of the league with 30 attempts of more than 20 yards. Meanwhile, tight end Jared Cook reportedly wants to be traded despite being tied for second on the team with 28 catches for 373 yards and two TDs. At least running back Chris Johnson appears to have regained his Pro Bowl form. The 2009 offensive player of the year has rushed for 385 yards and two TDs on 58 carries in the last three games after gaining 210 on 73 rushes without a score in the first five. Matt Hasselbeck has completed 63.8 percent of his passes for 931 yards with four TDs and two INTs while going 2-2 as a starter in place of the injured Jake Locker.

Even with the struggling Bears’ offense they should handle Tennessee with their defense which will create numerous opportunities taking advantage of short fields. Time of possession and the running game will also be crucial behind Cutler. Tennessee's defense is just abysmal and their offense won't get many opportunities since Chicago will wear them down late.

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13737-14042-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 163-147-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 828-814-30
jimmythegreek Posts:11384 Followers:383
11/03/2012 01:30 AM

Carolina/Washington over 47.5:
While dual-threat quarterbacks Cam Newton and Robert Griffin III are two of the most exciting players in football, their impressive skill sets haven't translated into many wins for their respective last-place teams. In a matchup featuring the last two Heisman Trophy winners, Newton and the visiting Carolina Panthers try to snap a five-game losing streak Sunday as they square off against Griffin and the Washington Redskins.

Selected No. 1 overall in the 2011 draft, Newton turned heads during his record-setting rookie season, rushing for 14 touchdowns - the most by a quarterback in NFL history. Carolina, though, went 6-10 behind the former Auburn standout, and appears headed for an even worse finish this year. Aside from a 36-7 defeat to the New York Giants in Week 3, the Panthers (1-6) have stayed close in each of their other five losses, dropping those games by a combined 18 points. Carolina was handed another heartbreaking result last Sunday at Chicago, falling 23-22 on Robbie Gould's 41-yard field goal as time expired.

Things haven't gone very smoothly for Washington (3-5) of late, either. After suffering a 27-23 road loss to the Giants in Week 7, the Redskins were limited to their lowest scoring output of the season last Sunday in a 27-12 defeat at Pittsburgh. Griffin entered that game having completed 70.4 percent of his passes to lead the NFL, but he was just 16 of 34 - a season-low 47.1 percent - for 177 yards and a touchdown. Last season's Heisman winner while at Baylor would have posted significantly better numbers if not for 10 dropped passes.

Washington almost certainly needs to pick up the pace defensively. The Redskins, surrendering an NFL-worst 314.3 passing yards per game, are on pace to become the first team in league history to allow 5,000 in a single season. Injuries to starters Brian Orakpo, Adam Carriker and Brandon Meriweather - as well as safety Tanard Jackson's season-long suspension - certainly haven't helped. While Washington's troubles could lead to a big day for Newton through the air, the Redskins are also likely concerned about slowing down Carolina's rushing attack. It remains to be seen if they'll have to face DeAngelo Williams, who could be moved prior to Thursday's trade deadline.

Best of luck to all in week 9

For the latest sports news, capper picks and tracker results, turn to JTG, the leader in BTB information

  • All Time Record: 13737-14042-515
  • Last 7 Days Record: 163-147-8
  • Last 30 Days Record: 828-814-30