cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/19/2012 07:24 PM

Cardinals Push Giants To Brink Of NLCS Elimination

San Francisco manager Bruce Bochy’s big gamble didn’t pay off in Thursday’s Game 4 of the NLCS. Now Bochy’s Giants are looking at match point for the Cardinals unless the Bay Bombers can survive tonight at Busch Stadium and get the series back to AT&T Park.

What could be the finale of the NLCS takes place Friday night in St. Louis, with the Redbirds one win away form their second World Series appearance in a row and third since 2006 – not to mention another rematch in the Fall Classic vs. the Tigers, who could be meeting the Cards for the fourth time since 1934 in the World Series...but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves.

The Friday pitching matchup features the bottom end of both rotations, with Barry Zito (15-8, 4.15 ERA in regular) on the mound for the Giants and Ole Miss Rebel alum Lance Lynn (18-7, 3.56 ERA in regular season) taking the ball for the Cardinals.

A check with the Don Best MLB odds screen notes host St. Louis anywhere form -155 to -160 on the win, with the total at 7½ shaded to the over, or 8 shaded to the under, at most Nevada wagering establishments. On the Run Line, laying the extra run with the Redbirds can fetch a price in the +135 range, while getting the extra run with San Francisco costs -155 at most Las Vegas outlets.

First pitch at Busch Stadium will be at 8:05 p.m. (ET), with big FOX providing the coverage. The trying-not-to-be-partial broadcast crew of Joe Buck and Tim McCarver will be on hand to describe the action.

Bochy’s gamble didn’t pay off in Game 4, when he altered his postseason rotation pattern and instead decided to roll the dice with Tim Lincecum, and not Zito, as his starter. Lincecum had pitched well out of the bullpen in the playoffs – prior to last night, in eight innings of postseason work, Lincecum had issued just one walk, as well as a mere two hits and one run, along with nine strikeouts – and was expected to be at the ready should expected starter Zito falter as he did in Game 4 at Cincinnati in the NLDS.

But the two-time Cy Young winner Lincecum resembled his erratic regular-season self on Thursday and was promptly shelled, putting Bochy and pitching coach Dave Righetti in a touch spot tonight with Zito, who probably won’t have Lincecum ready for a long stint in relief should Zito falter as he did at Cincy last week when lasting just 2 2/3 innings against the Reds.

Please note that over the course of the season, Zito has been the most-profitable pitcher in the NL, with the Giants 22-11 in his starts and +1525 units. The Giants have also won an astounding 12 straight games started by the vet lefty who, despite rarely being dominant in that stretch, has nonetheless seen the offense perk up considerably in his starts. The Giants have scored almost six runs per game for Zito in the 12 winning starts.

Therein, however, lies another dilemma for Bochy, as his offense has bogged down at Busch, scoring a combined four runs in Games 3 and 4 in St. Louis. The only bright spot in Game 4 was a homer hit by previously-slumping OF Hunter Pence.

Meanwhile, Mike Matheny counters with Lynn who had been demoted out of the rotation late in the summer before briefly resurfacing late in the regular season, only to be put back in the relief corps for the playoffs. A shoulder injury to Jaime Garcia in the NLDS vs. the Nats forced Matheny to put Lynn back into the NLCS rotation.

Lynn was not sharp in Game 1, allowing four runs and five hits while walking a pair in just 3 2/3 IP, although the Redbirds provided run support in an eventual 6-4 win. But Lynn’s numbers tailed off dramatically as the season progressed, and enters Game 5 with a 9.00 ERA in four postseason appearances. Lynn was also hit hard on August 7 at Candlestick, allowing four runs and eight hits over six innings in an eventual 4-2 loss, and has a 7.15 career ERA vs. San Francisco.

Before burying the Giants, remember how they fought with their backs against the wall against the Reds in the NLDS, sweeping three straight on the road to steal that series. Over the course of the season, San Francisco is also a solid 49-37 this season on the road, and 20-9 in its last 29 despite losses the past two nights.

The Giants, however, have only won one of four this season at Busch. Unless they can make it two out of five, their campaign ends tonight in St. Louis.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/19/2012 07:30 PM

MLB

Dunkel

San Francisco at St. Louis
The Cardinals look to build on their 5-0 record in Lance Lynn's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. St. Louis is the pick, according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis. Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 19

Game 919-920: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.887; St. Louis (Lynn) 17.073
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A




MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 19

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SAN FRANCISCO (98 - 73) at ST LOUIS (95 - 77) - 8:05 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-4 (+0.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZITO is 2-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.731.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.9 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LYNN is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.80 and a WHIP of 1.467.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 19

Giants are going home after this game; question is, will they make St Louis go with them? Zito is 5-0, 2.70 in his last six starts; SF won his last 12 starts, first of which was 5-2 over Cardinals August 7 (allowed two runs in 6.2 IP)- last time they lost one of his starts was August 2 vs Mets, but he lasted only 2.2 IP in last start, giving up two runs at Cincinnati. Lynn has a 7.20 RA in his last two starts; he allowed eight runs in 9.2 IP vs Giants this year. Cardinals won eight of their last 11 home games. Over is 11-4 in NL playoffs this fall.




MLB

Friday, October 19

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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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MLB

Friday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Giants at Cardinals
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San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals (-145, 7.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-1

Just a week ago, the San Francisco Giants were on the brink of elimination before advancing to the National League Championship Series by winning three straight games against Cincinnati. Now they need to do it again.

The Giants are down 3-1 in the best-of-seven NLCS after the St. Louis Cardinals rolled to an 8-3 win in Game 3 on Thursday. The win moved St. Louis one victory away from a matchup with the Detroit Tigers in the World Series, with the Cardinals’ Lance Lynn slated to face Barry Zito in Game 5. Since the League Championship Series adopted the best-of-seven format in 1985, only four of the 33 teams that fell behind 3-1 have come back to win.

Cardinals right fielder Carlos Beltran sat out Game 4 with a strained left knee, but he’s hopeful that he’ll be able to return to the starting lineup on Friday. Despite Beltran’s absence, the Cardinals outhit the Giants 12-6 with Jon Jay, Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday driving in two runs apiece. Holliday and Molina stepped up after going a combined 6-for-40 in their previous five games, while the Giants’ Buster Posey remains mired in a 6-for-33 postseason slump. Posey, who led the NL with a .336 average this season, went hitless in four at-bats on Thursday and is 2-for-14 with three walks in the NLCS. If the Giants extend the series and send it back to San Francisco, Ryan Vogelsong would start Game 6 and Matt Cain would get the ball for Game 7.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for a 63 percent chance of rain early in the evening, giving way to cloudy skies and temperatures in the high 40s. Winds are expected to blow west at 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants LH Barry Zito (0-0, 6.75 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (1-1, 8.59)

Zito looks to rebound from his shaky outing in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Reds, when he allowed four hits and four walks over 2 2/3 innings. He’s 2-6 with a 4.89 ERA in nine career starts against St. Louis, including 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his one outing this season. Allen Craig is 4-for-10 with three home runs against Zito, who has an 8.20 ERA in four career starts at Busch Stadium.

Lynn finished 18-7 in the regular season and made the National League All-Star team, but he struggled in August and worked out of the bullpen in the NLDS against Washington. He started Game 1 of the NLCS against the Giants and cruised through the first three innings before allowing four runs in the fourth and leaving after 3 2/3 frames.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in Zitos last five starts vs. Cardinals.
* Giants are 2-6 in Zitos last eight starts vs. Cardinals.
* Giants are 1-4 in the last five meetings.

UMP TRENDS - Ted Barrett:

* Home team is 7-1 in Barretts last 8 games behind home plate.
* Under is 10-4-1 in Barretts last 15 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
* Cardinals are 1-4 in their last five games with Barrett behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history (1968 World Series, 1985 World Series, and 1996 NLCS).

2. San Francisco has won each of Zito’s last 12 starts.

3. If St. Louis closes out the NLCS, the Cardinals will face the Tigers in a rematch of the 2006, 1968 and 1934 World Series.


MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, October 19

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Five (St. Louis Leads, 3-1)
San Francisco at St. Louis, 8:05 ET FOX
Zito: 2-7 career TSR vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Lynn: 20-4 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/19/2012 07:32 PM

Friday, October 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco +145 500

St. Louis - Over 7.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:21 PM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Giants are coming off a 5-0 win on Friday and look to build on their 10-2 record in Ryan Vogelsong's last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 923-924: St. Louis at San Francisco (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.225; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 21

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ST LOUIS (95 - 78) at SAN FRANCISCO (99 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 62-58 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CARPENTER is 2-9 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 23-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-61 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 12-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CARPENTER is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 21

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Six (St. Louis Leads, 3-2)
St. Louis at San Francisco, 7:35 ET FOX
Carpenter: St. Louis 15-6 Over playing with rest
Vogelsong: 12-3 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 21

Carpenter is 1-3, 4.05 in five starts this year, giving up five runs (two earned) in four IP vs San Francisco in Monday's Game 2. He allowed two runs in five IP in only start against the Giants LY. He was 4-0, 3.25 in his six postseason starts LY. Vogelsong is 3-0, 1.86 in his last five starts, allowing one run in his seven IP in Game 2- he's allowed one run in 14 IP vs St Louis this year. San Francisco lost three of its last four home games; seven of their last ten games overall went over the total. Cardinals won seven of last ten road games; six of their last nine games overall went over the total.




MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:37 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


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MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Cardinals at Giants
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2.

The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.

The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)

Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.

Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.

UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:

* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.

2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.

3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.


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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:21 PM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Giants are coming off a 5-0 win on Friday and look to build on their 10-2 record in Ryan Vogelsong's last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 923-924: St. Louis at San Francisco (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.225; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (95 - 78) at SAN FRANCISCO (99 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 62-58 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CARPENTER is 2-9 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 23-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-61 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 12-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CARPENTER is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 21

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Six (St. Louis Leads, 3-2)
St. Louis at San Francisco, 7:35 ET FOX
Carpenter: St. Louis 15-6 Over playing with rest
Vogelsong: 12-3 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 21

Carpenter is 1-3, 4.05 in five starts this year, giving up five runs (two earned) in four IP vs San Francisco in Monday's Game 2. He allowed two runs in five IP in only start against the Giants LY. He was 4-0, 3.25 in his six postseason starts LY. Vogelsong is 3-0, 1.86 in his last five starts, allowing one run in his seven IP in Game 2- he's allowed one run in 14 IP vs St Louis this year. San Francisco lost three of its last four home games; seven of their last ten games overall went over the total. Cardinals won seven of last ten road games; six of their last nine games overall went over the total.




MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:37 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


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MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Cardinals at Giants
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2.

The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.

The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)

Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.

Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.

UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:

* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.

2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.

3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.


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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:21 PM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Giants are coming off a 5-0 win on Friday and look to build on their 10-2 record in Ryan Vogelsong's last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 923-924: St. Louis at San Francisco (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.225; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (95 - 78) at SAN FRANCISCO (99 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 62-58 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CARPENTER is 2-9 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 23-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-61 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 12-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CARPENTER is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 21

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Six (St. Louis Leads, 3-2)
St. Louis at San Francisco, 7:35 ET FOX
Carpenter: St. Louis 15-6 Over playing with rest
Vogelsong: 12-3 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 21

Carpenter is 1-3, 4.05 in five starts this year, giving up five runs (two earned) in four IP vs San Francisco in Monday's Game 2. He allowed two runs in five IP in only start against the Giants LY. He was 4-0, 3.25 in his six postseason starts LY. Vogelsong is 3-0, 1.86 in his last five starts, allowing one run in his seven IP in Game 2- he's allowed one run in 14 IP vs St Louis this year. San Francisco lost three of its last four home games; seven of their last ten games overall went over the total. Cardinals won seven of last ten road games; six of their last nine games overall went over the total.




MLB

Sunday, October 21

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Trend Report
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7:37 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


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MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Cardinals at Giants
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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2.

The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.

The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)

Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.

Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.

UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:

* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.

2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.

3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.


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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:21 PM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Giants are coming off a 5-0 win on Friday and look to build on their 10-2 record in Ryan Vogelsong's last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 923-924: St. Louis at San Francisco (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.225; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (95 - 78) at SAN FRANCISCO (99 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 62-58 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CARPENTER is 2-9 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 23-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-61 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 12-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CARPENTER is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 21

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Six (St. Louis Leads, 3-2)
St. Louis at San Francisco, 7:35 ET FOX
Carpenter: St. Louis 15-6 Over playing with rest
Vogelsong: 12-3 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 21

Carpenter is 1-3, 4.05 in five starts this year, giving up five runs (two earned) in four IP vs San Francisco in Monday's Game 2. He allowed two runs in five IP in only start against the Giants LY. He was 4-0, 3.25 in his six postseason starts LY. Vogelsong is 3-0, 1.86 in his last five starts, allowing one run in his seven IP in Game 2- he's allowed one run in 14 IP vs St Louis this year. San Francisco lost three of its last four home games; seven of their last ten games overall went over the total. Cardinals won seven of last ten road games; six of their last nine games overall went over the total.




MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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7:37 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


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MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Cardinals at Giants
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2.

The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.

The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)

Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.

Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.

UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:

* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.

2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.

3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.


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Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:23 PM

Sunday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 7:30 PM ET San Francisco -114 500

San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:23 PM

Sunday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 7:30 PM ET San Francisco -114 500

San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25726 Followers:33
10/21/2012 07:23 PM

Sunday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 7:30 PM ET San Francisco -114 500

San Francisco - Over 6.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: