cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
On 10/13/2012 12:51 PM in MLB

Cnotes NLCS & ALCS Best Bets !

Tigers, Yankees Battle For American League Flag

Veteran Andy Pettitte will open the 2012 ALCS for the New York Yankees.

It wasn’t an easy road for either the Tigers or the Yankees to reach the ALCS, both pushed to five games in the division round.

But here they are again, meeting in the playoffs for the third time since 2006. And for the Yankees, they’re hoping the third time is a charm after losing in the ALDS in both 2006 and a year ago against Jim Leyland’s Tigers.

For Joe Girardi’s squad, there also isn’t much time to rest after finishing up with the Orioles on Friday. Game One will come Saturday night at Yankee Stadium, with veteran lefty Andy Pettitte getting the start against Detroit’s Doug Fister.

First pitch on Saturday night will be at 8:05 p.m. (ET), with TBS providing the TV coverage.

Right off the bat, there are a couple of interesting developments as this series opend. First, neither of the respective aces on each staff, CC Sabathia (Yankees) or Justin Verlander (Tigers), will be pitching this weekend in the Bronx as each were involved in decisive games in the ALDS. It looks like they will probably face off in Game 3 on Tuesday in Detroit, and, if the series runs the distance, likely in Game 7 (which would be at Yankee Stadium) as well.

We’ll also see which of these teams can perform best about their respective aces, who combined for four of the six wins these sides recorded in their ALDS.

Also, there’s a good chance that Girardi might keep the slumping Alex Rodriguez out of the starting lineup as he did in the decisive Game 5 vs. the Orioles. A-Rod, just 2-for-16 thus far in the postseason, was pulled for pinch-hitter Raul Ibañez (who proceeded to hit a game-tying homer in the ninth, then the game-winning homer in his next at bat) in Game 3 vs. Baltimore, then was pulled again in Game 4 before the benching in Game 5.

Expect Girardi to keep A-Rod on the bench at the outset vs. Detroit as well, considering how he went 2-for-18 in last year's ALDS vs. the Tigers, including going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in a 3-2 home loss in the decisive Game 5. And with Detroit likely to be starting all right-handers in this series, don’t be surprised if Rodriguez is on the bench quite a bit.

A-Rod is hardly the only struggling Yankee hitter at the moment, however. Thus far in the postseason, Robinson Cano is 2-for-22; Nick Swisher is 2-for-18; and former Tigers OF Curtis Granderson is only 3-for-19, but did homer in a two-hit performance on Friday vs. the Orioles.

If the Yankees can’t hit, there will be extra pressure on the veteran southpaw Pettitte to keep the Bronx Bombers in the game. But Pettitte looked sharp enough (despite getting tagged with the loss) in Game 2 of the ALDS vs. the Birds, allowing only three runs and seven hits while walking just one in seven innings, and he’s 19-11 during his career in the postseason.

Pettitte also pitched his best this season at home, recording a 1.85 ERA in seven starts at Yankee Stadium. He didn’t face Detroit this season, and is 10-9 with a 3.66 ERA in his career against the Tigers.

Jim Leyland counters with Fister, no stranger to the Yankees after facing them in the playoffs a year ago. Fister went 1-1 with a 6.52 ERA in two ALDS games against New York last year as he returns to the site where he prevailed in Game 5 by allowing one run over five innings. The Fresno State product faced the Yankees once this season, allowing two runs and eight hits over 6 1/3 IP of a 4-3 loss at Comerica Park on August 9 (a game in which Fister did not get a decision).

The Tigers righty yielded two runs over seven innings Sunday and did not get a decision in a 5-4 home win over the A's.

All eyes in this series are also going to be on Detroit’s Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera, who turned in a season to remember with a .330 average, 44 homers and 139 RBIs. He went 5-for-20 with one RBI in the ALDS vs. Oakland, but is only a .179 hitter in 11 postseason games against the Yankees.

Cabrera has, however, hit safely in all 13 of his LCS games, batting .360 with six homers, 13 RBIs and 14 runs scored. Now, however, he is protected in the lineup by 1B Prince Fielder, who will also be looking to improve upon his .192 postseason BA.

Detroit enters the ALCS hot, having won 11 of its last 15 games. It has also been involved in lots of low-scoring games lately, with only one of its last nine 'over' in the process. The Yankees won four of the season regular-season meetings, taking two of three in The Bronx in late April before splitting a 4-game set at Comerica Park in early August. Five of the seven regular-season meetings went 'over' as well.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/13/2012 12:54 PM

Cardinals & Giants Unlikely NLCS Participants

Madison Bumgarner will start Game 1 of the NLCS for the San Francisco Giants.

For a good portion of each respective NLDS, it looked as if it would be Washington and Cincinnati, the teams with the best regular-season records in the league, squaring of in the NLCS. It didn’t seem likely that we would be watching a San Francisco-St. Louis series instead.

But, that’s exactly what we’ve got as the NLCS begins Sunday night in San Francisco. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. (ET), with big FOX providing the TV coverage of a matchup between the last two World Series winners.

Fitting, perhaps, that they get together after all.

As of early Saturday, only half of the Game 1 pitching matchups had been announced, but it would appear as if Lance Lynn has a good shot to get the call for the Cardinals, especially with Jaime Garcia sidelined by rotator cuff inflammation that will likely require surgery. The Giants will go with Madison Bumgarner, whose turn is next in the rotation after Matt Cain started the decisive fifth game in the Cincinnati NLDS. Ryan Vogelsong will get the call for Game 2.

Of course, the buzz has yet to abate from either of the NLDS these teams were involved in over the past week, both concluding in dramatic fashion. For the Giants, it was rallying from a 2-0 deficit against the Reds by winning the last three games in Cincinnati. For the Cardinals, it was a dramatic rally from an early 6-0 deficit in Game 5 against the Nationals, and scratching for four runs in the ninth inning, all with two outs and even down to the last strike, to eliminate Washington in shocking fashion.

These two have faced off in the NLCS before as well, first in 1987, when the Cardinals survived a Jeffrey Leonard power display to beat the Giants in a riveting seven-game series, before San Francisco got its revenge in five games in 2002, sending Barry Bonds to his only World Series that would ultimately end in disappointment against the upstart Angels.

For the Giants and manager Bruce Bochy, it will be worth watching to see if the lanky lefty Bumgarner has shaken the effects of a poor NLDS effort in Game 2 vs. the Reds when he allowed four runs and seven hits in just 4 1/3 IP of an eventual 9-0 loss. Bumgarner’s last few regular-season starts were also shaky, as he has now allowed four or more runs in six of his last eight outings, with the Giants winning only three of those games.

Bumgarner lost a pair of decisions vs. the Redbirds this season, allowing seven runs and 10 hits over 13 IP covering the two starts, striking out 10 and walking only one in the process. In his career, Bumgarner is 2-2 vs. St. Louis, with a 3.68 ERA and a fairly-solid 1.06 WHIP.

Despite the loss last Sunday vs. the Reds, Bumgarner has been effective this season at AT&T Park, posting a 10-3 record and 2.38 ERA. One of those few home losses, however, was inflicted by the Cardinals.

As the series progresses, we’ll see what Bochy does with his rotation, and if he decides to give Tim Linceucm, who was effective out of the bullpen in the NLDS, a starter’s role, perhaps at the expense of Barry Zito, who wasn’t sharp in Game 4. San Francisco, however, has won 12 straight games started by Zito, so Bochy might not want to tamper with a winning formula, either.

Cards manager Mike Matheny might have no choice other than to start Lynn, who was used out of the bullpen in the Washington series. Vet Chris Carpenter, now 10-3 in his career during the postseason after a solid effort in last Wednesday’s 8-0 win over the Nats, likely gets the call for Game 2.

If it’s Lynn on the mound, the Cards will merely be turning to an 18-game winner, although the Ole Miss alum was pulled from the rotation late in the summer after a series of shaky outings. Lynn returned to the rotation in mid-September and produced solid if not spectacular efforts in his last four starts, posting a 2.19 ERA in the process while posting wins in all of the outings.

Lynn faced the Giants only once this season, although that was when he was slumping in early August, allowing four runs and eight hits over six innings of an eventual 4-2 loss at Busch Stadium.

The teams also split their six regular-season meetings, including a 2-game set at AT&T Park and a 4-game set at Busch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/13/2012 12:54 PM

Cardinals & Giants Unlikely NLCS Participants

Madison Bumgarner will start Game 1 of the NLCS for the San Francisco Giants.

For a good portion of each respective NLDS, it looked as if it would be Washington and Cincinnati, the teams with the best regular-season records in the league, squaring of in the NLCS. It didn’t seem likely that we would be watching a San Francisco-St. Louis series instead.

But, that’s exactly what we’ve got as the NLCS begins Sunday night in San Francisco. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. (ET), with big FOX providing the TV coverage of a matchup between the last two World Series winners.

Fitting, perhaps, that they get together after all.

As of early Saturday, only half of the Game 1 pitching matchups had been announced, but it would appear as if Lance Lynn has a good shot to get the call for the Cardinals, especially with Jaime Garcia sidelined by rotator cuff inflammation that will likely require surgery. The Giants will go with Madison Bumgarner, whose turn is next in the rotation after Matt Cain started the decisive fifth game in the Cincinnati NLDS. Ryan Vogelsong will get the call for Game 2.

Of course, the buzz has yet to abate from either of the NLDS these teams were involved in over the past week, both concluding in dramatic fashion. For the Giants, it was rallying from a 2-0 deficit against the Reds by winning the last three games in Cincinnati. For the Cardinals, it was a dramatic rally from an early 6-0 deficit in Game 5 against the Nationals, and scratching for four runs in the ninth inning, all with two outs and even down to the last strike, to eliminate Washington in shocking fashion.

These two have faced off in the NLCS before as well, first in 1987, when the Cardinals survived a Jeffrey Leonard power display to beat the Giants in a riveting seven-game series, before San Francisco got its revenge in five games in 2002, sending Barry Bonds to his only World Series that would ultimately end in disappointment against the upstart Angels.

For the Giants and manager Bruce Bochy, it will be worth watching to see if the lanky lefty Bumgarner has shaken the effects of a poor NLDS effort in Game 2 vs. the Reds when he allowed four runs and seven hits in just 4 1/3 IP of an eventual 9-0 loss. Bumgarner’s last few regular-season starts were also shaky, as he has now allowed four or more runs in six of his last eight outings, with the Giants winning only three of those games.

Bumgarner lost a pair of decisions vs. the Redbirds this season, allowing seven runs and 10 hits over 13 IP covering the two starts, striking out 10 and walking only one in the process. In his career, Bumgarner is 2-2 vs. St. Louis, with a 3.68 ERA and a fairly-solid 1.06 WHIP.

Despite the loss last Sunday vs. the Reds, Bumgarner has been effective this season at AT&T Park, posting a 10-3 record and 2.38 ERA. One of those few home losses, however, was inflicted by the Cardinals.

As the series progresses, we’ll see what Bochy does with his rotation, and if he decides to give Tim Linceucm, who was effective out of the bullpen in the NLDS, a starter’s role, perhaps at the expense of Barry Zito, who wasn’t sharp in Game 4. San Francisco, however, has won 12 straight games started by Zito, so Bochy might not want to tamper with a winning formula, either.

Cards manager Mike Matheny might have no choice other than to start Lynn, who was used out of the bullpen in the Washington series. Vet Chris Carpenter, now 10-3 in his career during the postseason after a solid effort in last Wednesday’s 8-0 win over the Nats, likely gets the call for Game 2.

If it’s Lynn on the mound, the Cards will merely be turning to an 18-game winner, although the Ole Miss alum was pulled from the rotation late in the summer after a series of shaky outings. Lynn returned to the rotation in mid-September and produced solid if not spectacular efforts in his last four starts, posting a 2.19 ERA in the process while posting wins in all of the outings.

Lynn faced the Giants only once this season, although that was when he was slumping in early August, allowing four runs and eight hits over six innings of an eventual 4-2 loss at Busch Stadium.

The teams also split their six regular-season meetings, including a 2-game set at AT&T Park and a 4-game set at Busch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/13/2012 12:57 PM

ALCS starts Saturday night in the Bronx

DETROIT TIGERS

at NEW YORK YANKEES


American League Championship Series Game 1
First pitch: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: TBD

The Yankees are looking for payback facing the same Tigers team that eliminated them from the playoffs last year, when the clubs begin the ALCS on Saturday night.

Both teams survived thrilling five-game series thanks to stellar pitching performances from their aces in Game 5 of the ALDS. Detroit's Justin Verlander threw a shutout in a 6-0 win in Oakland and New York left-hander CC Sabathia also went the distance in a 3-1 victory over Baltimore. This ALCS will begin with Tigers right-hander Doug Fister facing Yankees left-hander Andy Pettitte. Fister pitched very well in Game 2 of the ALDS, allowing just two runs on seven innings with 8 K's and just two walks. He also got the job done in the decisive Game 5 of the 2011 ALCS in Yankee Stadium, holding New York to one run over five innings in a 3-2 victory. Pettitte was the only Yankees starter saddled with a loss in the ALDS, as he gave up three runs in seven innings. He was even less effective the last time he faced the Tigers in 2008, allowing five runs in six innings. Considering the Yankees have played 34 innings in the past three days of intense baseball, they must be exhausted starting this series off with no rest. The pick here is for DETROIT to open the ALCS with the Game 1 victory.

Fister is 2-1 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in four career postseason games (three starts, one relief appearance). He did not fare well in his relief outing in Game 2 of last year's ALDS, which was also in Yankee Stadium, giving up six runs on seven hits in just 4.2 innings. The right-hander has thrown the ball pretty well since the start of September, going 3-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in his final six regular-season starts before his ALDS victory. Although his career numbers versus New York in the regular season aren't great (1-2, 5.18 ERA, 1.48 WHIP in four starts), he did throw quality starts against the Bombers in his only two matchups over the past three seasons, allowing just five runs in 13.1 innings (3.38 ERA). With the offensive struggles the Yankees had in the ALDS, posting a collective .211 batting average and .333 slugging percentage, Fister should be able to post another quality start. Although Detroit's bullpen is well rested with two days off, the group was not very effective in the ALDS with a 5.00 ERA over nine innings.

Pettitte will be making his 44th postseason start, compiling a 19-11 record with a 3.83 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in his extensive playoff career. He has never faced the Tigers in any of these outings though. In 23 regular-season starts against Detroit, he is 10-9 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. The left-hander has been very good versus American teams this year, going 4-3 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in eight starts. He has been even better in his home ballpark, tallying a 4-1 record with a 1.85 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in seven starts. If he gets into trouble Saturday, he knows that his bullpen has got his back. In the ALDS, Yankees relievers have allowed just one run in 11.1 innings (0.79 ERA) with 10 strikeouts and zero walks. Detroit's offense has outscored New York during the 2012 playoffs so far, averaging 3.2 runs per game and batting .252. However, the Yankees have won six of the 10 meetings in 2012, averaging 5.8 runs per game with a .287 BA and slugging .482. Detroit has 4.8 runs, a .294 BA and .465 SLG against New York in 2012.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/13/2012 01:00 PM

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 13

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DETROIT (91 - 76) at NY YANKEES (98 - 69) - 8:05 PM
DOUG FISTER (R) vs. ANDY PETTITTE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 91-76 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 23-27 (-14.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
DETROIT is 121-186 (-51.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 39-45 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 4-14 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 87-73 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 53-50 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 8-16 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 47-44 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
FISTER is 12-32 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
FISTER is 10-26 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 92-57 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 119-103 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 70-76 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 6-4 (+2.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

DOUG FISTER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
FISTER is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.466.
His team's record is 2-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

ANDY PETTITTE vs. DETROIT since 1997
PETTITTE is 9-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.335.
His team's record is 11-7 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-5. (+7.1 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 13

Detroit is 9-13 in last 22 road games; they had to wait and see who won last night before flying to NYC. Tigers were 4-6 vs Bronx this season, with seven of 10 games played in Motor City-- Detroit hasn't been in Big Apple since late April, when they lost two of three. Fister is 1-1, 2.57 in last four starts, he allowed two runs in 6.1 IP in his only start vs Bronx this season. Pettitte is 2-2, 2.28 in four starts since coming off DL; he didn't pitch against the Tigers. Sabathia saved the Bronx bullpen with his complete game win last night.




MLB

Saturday, October 13

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ALCS Gm.1 betting preview: Tigers at Yankees
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Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees (-135,8.5- overnight odds- not official )

ALCS tied 0-0.

The New York Yankees have no time to rest from their hard-fought triumph over the Baltimore Orioles in the American League Division Series as they host the Detroit Tigers in Game One of the AL Championship Series on Saturday. CC Sabathia tossed a four-hitter and Curtis Granderson went 2-for-3 with a homer as New York posted a 3-1 victory in the decisive fifth game of the ALDS on Friday. Granderson entered the contest just 1-for-16 with nine strikeouts in the series.

Less than 24 hours after wrapping up the series, the Yankees will take on a Tigers team that nearly squandered a 2-0 series lead against the Oakland Athletics. Reigning AL MVP and Cy Young Award winner Justin Verlander struck out 11 in a four-hit shutout in Game 5 at Oakland on Thursday, sending Detroit to the ALCS for the second consecutive year. It advanced to the second round last season by defeating New York in the ALDS.
The Yankees went 6-4 against the Tigers during the regular season, taking two of three at Yankee Stadium and four of seven at Comerica Park.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for cool temperatures in the mid-40s this evening in New York. Winds will blow out to left field at 8 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Doug Fister (0-0, 2.57 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Andy Pettitte (0-1, 3.86)

Fister pitched seven innings against Oakland in Game 2 of the ALDS, allowing two runs and six hits with two walks and eight strikeouts en route to a no-decision. The 28-year-old faced New York once during the regular season and did not factor in the decision despite yielding only two runs over 6 1/3 frames. Fister, who is 1-2 with a 5.18 ERA in four career regular-season starts against the Yankees, gave up one run over five innings to pick up the win versus New York in Game 5 of the 2011 ALDS.

Pettitte took the loss in Game 2 of the ALDS against Baltimore, surrendering three runs and seven hits in seven innings. The 40-year-old, whose 19 victories are the most in postseason history, did not face the Tigers this year but is 10-9 with a 3.66 ERA in 23 career starts against the AL Central champions. He has not faced Detroit since 2008. Pettitte is 2-1 in three playoff starts at the new Yankee Stadium.

TRENDS:

* Yankees are 5-1 in Pettitte’s last six starts vs. Tigers.
* Under is 4-1 in Pettitte’s last five starts vs. Tigers.
* Tigers are 4-0 in their last four Saturday games.
* Under is 6-1-2 in Tigers last nine overall.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Pettitte was the only starting pitcher from either the Yankees or Orioles to allow three or more runs in a game during their Division Series.

2. The Tigers have won each of their two playoff meetings with the Yankees, taking the 2006 ALDS in four games and last year's first-round series in five contests.

3. Barring a rainout, New York will become the first team in playoff history to host games on five consecutive days.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/13/2012 01:02 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 13

American League

AL Championship Series, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
Detroit at NY Yankees, 8:05 ET TBS
Fister: 3-13 TSR away with a line of +125 to -125
Pettitte: 8-0 TSR vs. AL Central opponents


MLB
Dunkel

Detroit at NY Yankees
The Yankees look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is coming off a 6-0 win over Oakland and is 3-7 in Doug Fister's last 10 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. New York is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 901-902: Detroit at NY Yankees (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 16.559; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.495
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-130); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/13/2012 07:02 PM

MLB Playoff Record :

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/12/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1110 Detail

10/11/12 5-­3-­0 62.50% +­1220 Detail

10/10/12 5-­0-­1 100.00% +­2520 Detail

10/09/12 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­240 Detail

10/08/12 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1110 Detail

10/07/12 4-­4-­0 50.00% +­55 Detail

10/06/12 1-­3-­0 25.00% -­1150 Detail

10/05/12 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­1610 Detail

Total: 24-13 64.86% + 6235

Saturday, October 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 8:00 PM ET NY Yankees -135 500

NY Yankees - Under 8 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/14/2012 10:12 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 14

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ST LOUIS (92 - 76) at SAN FRANCISCO (97 - 70) - 8:05 PM
LANCE LYNN (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

LANCE LYNN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LYNN is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.15 and a WHIP of 1.324.
His team's record is 0-2 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BUMGARNER is 2-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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DETROIT (91 - 76) at NY YANKEES (98 - 69) - 4:05 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. HIROKI KURODA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 6-4 (+2.3 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 7.27 and a WHIP of 1.845.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. DETROIT since 1997
KURODA is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.293.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 14

Bronx has played three extra inning games in last four days, which is why the Sabathia CG Friday was such a big deal, but now they're down 1-0 and have yet to face Verlander. Detroit is 10-13 in last 23 road games, 5-6 vs Bronx this season, with seven of 11 games played in Motor City-- they split four games here. Sanchez is 1-1, 1.25 in his last three starts; he got crushed in 12-8 loss to Bronx August 8, allowing seven runs in three IP. Kuroda is 2-0, 2.62 in his last three starts, but is going on three days' rest here, first time this year; he had a 3.38 RA in two no-decisions vs Detroit this year (17H in 13.1 IP).

Lynn was 4-0, 2.38 in four September starts, but somehow hasn't gotten start in playoffs yet; he allowed three runs in 3.2 IP in four relief stints in playoffs vs Braves/Nats. Lynn lost 4-2 to Giants August 7, allowing four runs in six IP. Bumgarner is 2-5, 7.22 in his last eight starts; he was 0-2, 4.73 in two starts vs St Louis this year. Cardinals pulled off miracle finish late Friday night, now head west winners in 12 of their last 17 games- they split six games with the Giants this year, splitting pair here in May. SF has edge in prep time.




MLB

Sunday, October 14

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Trend Report
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4:07 PM
DETROIT vs. NY YANKEES
Detroit is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
NY Yankees are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games at home

8:07 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
San Francisco is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against St. Louis


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MLB

Sunday, October 14

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NLCS betting preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants
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St. Louis Cardinals (88-74) vs. San Francisco Giants (94-68)

Regular season head-to-head: The Giants and Cardinals split a two-game series at AT&T Park in May and split four games at Busch Stadium in August.

Series odds: Giants -120, Cardinals +100 courtesy of sportsbook.ag

PITCHING

Chris Carpenter, who has a 10-2 postseason record with a 2.86 ERA, will get the ball at least twice in this series. But The Cardinals will be without Jaime Garcia against the Giants. The lefty exited after two innings vs. Washington because of a strained rotator cuff and was taken off the roster. That will put more pressure on Adam Wainwright, who was hammered in a no-decision against the Nationals on Friday, allowing six runs on seven hits in just 2 2/3 innings of work, and Kyle Lohse.

Giants’ starters had a 5.16 ERA in the series against the Reds. Tim Lincecum could be the X-factor after pitching exceptionally well out of the bullpen in the NLDS. Manager Bruce Bochy has gone on the record saying he will “revamp” his rotation to include Lincecum against the Cardinals. Relievers Sergio Romo and Santiago Casilla held their own in the NLDS and have shared the closer’s role effectively in the absence of the injured Brian Wilson.

Edge: Tie

HITTING

The Giants’ .194 team batting average was the second-worst of any team to win a division series in the Wild Card era. But San Francisco batters had an uncanny ability to come through in the clutch late in the series against Cincinnati. The Giants were 0-for-12 with six strikeouts with runners in scoring position in the first three games and 5-for-15 with two homers in Games 4 and 5.

The Cardinals pounded out 32 runs (6.4 per game) in five games against a solid Nationals’ pitching staff. The new Mr. October, David Freese, is once again proving he’s a fall performer with his .381 batting average this postseason. Carlos Beltran has also been an offensive juggernaut for St. Louis, boasting a .409 average with two key homers. The Cardinals have also been getting an unexpected offensive contribution from infielder Daniel Descalso, who has six RBIs in his last six contests.

Edge: Cardinals

INTANGIBLES

The Cardinals have won their last six elimination playoff games and will play in their seventh NLCS in the last 12 years. St. Louis enters on a high after overcoming a six-run deficit in Game 5 to dispose of the Nationals.

The Giants became the ninth team to overcome a 2-0 deficit in a best-of-five postseason series and first to do it by winning the final three games on the road, rallying past Cincinnati.

Edge: Tie. The past two World Series champions meet to see who gets a chance to compete for baseball supremacy in 2012. Both of these clubs boast rosters full of players that are proven playoff performers.


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MLB

Sunday, October 14

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ALCS betting preview: Tigers at Yankees
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Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees (-115, 8.5)

Detroit leads series 1-0

If the New York Yankees hope to capture their 28th world championship this postseason, they'll have to do it without their captain. New York attempts to even the American League Championship Series at one win apiece when it hosts the Detroit Tigers on Sunday evening. Derek Jeter will be watching from the sidelines after fracturing his left ankle in the 12th inning of Detroit's 6-4 victory in the series opener on Saturday.

After fielding Jhonny Peralta's grounder, Jeter collapsed to the ground and remained there before being helped to the dugout, with his left foot never touching the ground. Jeter, who recorded his 200th career playoff hit in the second inning, has been one of the Yankees' best hitters this postseason, going 9-for-27 with a double, triple and two RBIs. He also leads the team with four runs scored.

New York limited Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera to one hit in four at-bats and held Prince Fielder to a pair of singles, including one that plated a run. But the Yankees couldn't contain Delmon Young, who delivered an RBI single in the sixth inning, belted his franchise playoff-record sixth home run in the eighth and snapped a 4-4 tie in the 12th with a run-scoring double.

TV: 4:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for cloudy skies with temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds are expected to blow SSW at 13 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (0-1, 2.84 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Hiroki Kuroda (0-0, 2.16)

Sanchez pitched well in his first career playoff appearance on Tuesday but still was tagged with the loss after allowing two runs and five hits over 6 1/3 innings in Game 3 of the AL Division Series against Oakland. He went just 4-6 in 12 starts with Detroit after being acquired from Miami but was strong down the stretch, yielding two runs or less in six of his final eight outings. Sanchez was tagged for seven runs and seven hits over three innings of a loss to New York on Aug. 8.

Kuroda will be pitching on three days' rest for the first time in his major-league career. The 37-year-old settled for a no-decision in Game Three of the ALDS against Baltimore on Wednesday after allowing just two runs and five hits over 8 1/3 innings. Kuroda, who recorded 11 of his 16 regular-season victories this year at home, is 0-1 with a 3.72 ERA in three career starts versus the Tigers.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Over is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in New York.
* Tigers are 19-40 in the last 59 meetings in New York.

UMP TRENDS - Rob Drake:

* Over is 3-0-1 in Drakes last four games behind home plate.
* Home team is 9-3 in Drakes last 12 games behind home plate.
* Yankees are 8-1 in their last nine games with Drake behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Yankees stars Alex Rodriguez, Robinson Cano, Curtis Granderson and Nick Swisher are a combined 10-for-93 with 31 strikeouts this postseason.

2. New York will be playing at home for the fifth consecutive day, becoming the first team to do so in postseason history.

3. Swisher is 1-for-34 lifetime in the playoffs with runners in scoring position.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/14/2012 10:14 AM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Cardinals look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games following an off day. St. Louis is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 903-904: St. Louis at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.793; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.167
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Over

Game 905-906: Detroit at NY Yankees (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.774; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 17.280
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24218 Followers:32
10/14/2012 10:14 AM

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Cardinals look to build on their 8-2 record in their last 10 games following an off day. St. Louis is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 14

Game 903-904: St. Louis at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 16.793; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.167
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Over

Game 905-906: Detroit at NY Yankees (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.774; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 17.280
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: