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steve_janus
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Saturday's NCAAF Free Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -5

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On 10/13/2012 10:23 AM in Cappers
Auburn vs. Mississippi, 10/13/2012 12:21
Point Spread: -5/-105 Mississippi

Saturday's NCAAF Free Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -5

It's amazing how fast Auburn has fallen out of the national spotlight and into the basement of the SEC. After losing at home to Arkansas by a final score of 7-24, the Tigers are now 1-4 with their only win coming at home against ULM 31-28 in overtime.

Auburn simply doesn't have the talent or the coaching to compete in the SEC right now. The play at quarterback has been about as bad I have seen in some time. Keihl Frazer and Clint Mosely would be lucky to find a starting job in the Sun Belt Conference. These two have combined to throw 10 interceptions with just three touchdowns.

It's not just the quarterback who is playing bad, no one on the offense has been able to step up and give this team some sort of life. Auburn is 106th in passing offense (172.0 ypg) and 91st in rushing (130.4 ypg). I'm confident even Mississippi's average defense can keep them in check, especially after watching Arkansas hold them to a touchdown. The Razorbacks had allowed 145 points over their last three games combined!

Ole Miss has been the laughing stock of the SEC West for a few years now and this is their chance to let someone else feel what it's like to sit in the basement of this loaded division. The Rebels are just 3-3 overall but there's no denying that head coach Hugh Freeze has this team playing much better football. Ole Miss nearly upset a very good Texas A&M team at home last week, losing by a final of just 27-30.

A lot of people don't realize how much talent the Rebels have on the offensive side of the ball. Starting quarterback Bo Wallace has been the spark plug that got this offense going. He has thrown for 1,145 yards and 8 touchdowns, while also rushing for 186 yards and three scores. Jeff Scott and Randall Mackey have combined for 652 yards and eight scores on the ground and Donte Moncrief has caught 27 passes for 453 yards and five touchdowns. The Rebels are going to put points on the board against a Auburn team that is lacking confidence and any real reason to show up on Saturday.

Hard to see Auburn getting up for this game after two huge games against LSU and Arkansas, who are without question much bigger rivals than Ole Miss. It sets up a very favorable situation to bet Ole Miss. Auburn is 0-8 ATS in road games off 2 straight losses against conference rivals since 1992! BET MISSISSIPPI!

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