jimmythegreek Posts:10562 Followers:377
On 10/11/2012 05:54 PM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 6

Pittsburgh -6 over Tennessee (bought half):
Coming off its bye week, Pittsburgh (2-2) rallied for a 16-14 home victory over Philadelphia on Sunday. Ben Roethlisberger engineered a 64-yard drive over the final 6:33 and Shaun Suisham hit a 34-yard field goal as time expired to help the Steelers carry some momentum into this short week. Life can be better for the Steelers, especially on defense. Pittsburgh ranks fifth in the NFL with 280.0 yards allowed per contest, but it's given up 65 total points in road defeats to Denver and Oakland.

Though Tennessee (1-4) ranks 27th averaging 17.6 points, the Steelers will line up without one, and possibly two, of their top defenders. While the Steelers hope a potentially patchwork defense can come through Thursday, their offense is healthy and could be in for a productive evening. Rashard Mendenhall looks to build on his strong performance last week in which he rushed for 68 yards, and caught three passes for 33 yards and a touchdown in his first game since tearing his ACL on New Year's Day.

Roethlisberger is 3-1 versus Tennessee, with the lone defeat coming in Nashville on Dec. 21, 2008. He threw for 329 yards with two touchdowns, but was intercepted twice and sacked five times as the Steelers fell 31-14. He might not need another fourth-quarter rally against a Titans club that has allowed a league-high 181 points. Tennessee yielded its lowest point total of the season in a 30-7 loss at Minnesota on Sunday.

Things are going to be tough for a team that has committed 10 turnovers and struggles to run the ball. Chris Johnson was averaging just 45 yards over the first three games before gaining 141 in a 38-14 loss at Houston on Sept. 30. However, he managed 24 yards on 15 carries versus Minnesota. Maintain possession, put together long drives, the defence gets more rest and performs better. With Rashaad Mendenhall back (he he looked fantastic last week) they will use 2 RBs to control the clock and maintain possession. Road game, short back up - run the ball, kill the clock, go home early.

I'll have more plays on Sunday.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10562 Followers:377
10/14/2012 10:39 AM

Atlanta -9.5 over Oakland (bought half):
Looking to remain the NFC's lone undefeated team, the Falcons can help coach Mike Smith match the franchise mark for victories while keeping the Raiders winless on the road Sunday. Though its last two victories have not come easy, Atlanta (5-0) and Houston are the only unbeaten teams in the NFL. The Falcons rank fifth in the league with 29.6 points per game and are eighth in giving up 18.6. However, off to the best start in team history, the Atlanta Falcons have tried not to make too much of their early accomplishments. With Ryan off to the start that has even exceeding what the faithful expected here for the dirty birds, coupled with a fast balanced running attach behind Michael Turner, it's hard not to look past them representing the NFC as potential Super Bowl contenders.

Oakland (1-3), ranks 30th in scoring defense at 31.2 points per game and 25th in total defense at 411.5 yards a contest. The Raiders have been outscored 72-19 in their two road losses to Miami and Denver. At age 36, tight end Tony Gonzalez leads the league with 39 catches while totaling 388 yards and four touchdowns. He caught 13 passes for 123 yards and a score against the Redskins. Gonzalez could be in for another big game against a Raiders squad that comes off a bye week looking for answers to problems on both sides of the ball. Despite a new defensive scheme that features more multiple fronts, coverages and blitz packages, the Raiders have allowed opponents to complete 71.5 percent of their passes. Oakland has recorded only three sacks and forced three turnovers, and the secondary has been decimated by injuries to the point that safety Michael Huff has had to play cornerback.

Oakland totaled a season-low 237 yards in a 37-6 loss to the Broncos on Sept. 30. The Raiders have converted on 27.5 percent of third downs and are averaging 3.4 yards on the ground. Darren McFadden rushed for 113 yards with a TD in a 34-31 win over Pittsburgh on Sept. 23, but he's gained 88 yards with no scores in the three losses. Oakland hopes this contest goes better than its last meeting with Atlanta, in which it was held to 77 yards - second fewest in team history - during a 24-0 home defeat Nov. 2, 2008. Ryan threw for 220 yards with two touchdowns and Michael Turner ran for 139 yards for the Falcons.

You can name your score here. Atlanta will come out of the gate firing with a mix of the run and pass against this highly vulnerable Oakland front and secondary propelling them to a 6th straight win without a loss in blowout fashion.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:10698 Followers:138
10/14/2012 10:45 AM

Atlanta my top play, I love it. They really should be able to name the score if their heads are on straight.

jimmythegreek Posts:10562 Followers:377
10/14/2012 10:49 AM

Houston -3 over Green Bay (bought half):
Houston (5-0) is off to the best start in franchise history and has already begun to separate itself from the pack in the AFC South. Its path to the playoffs. The Packers (2-3) also have plenty of injuries to overcome, one of several problems they face as they sit two games back of Chicago and Minnesota in the NFC North.

Green Bay seemed poised to move over .500 last Sunday, leading Indianapolis 21-3 at halftime. The offense then stalled, the defense couldn't stop the Colts and the usually reliable Mason Crosby missed a 51-yard field goal with 3 seconds to play in a 30-27 loss. It was the first time the Packers blew an 18-point halftime lead since 1957. After averaging 35.0 points last season, the fifth-highest total in NFL history, the Packers are averaging 22.4. Aaron Rodgers, who set a single-season record with a 122.5 quarterback rating in 2011, has already thrown four interceptions after being picked off six times in 502 attempts a year ago. Running back Cedric Benson (sprained foot) was placed on injured reserve Wednesday, while tight end Jermichael Finley (shoulder) and defensive tackle B.J. Raji (sprained ankle) could play. The status of Pro Bowl wide receiver Greg Jennings (groin) is questionable.

Green Bay, which has allowed 57 points and 938 yards in its last two games, will likely have its hands full facing a balanced Houston offense. Arian Foster is second in the league with 532 rushing yards, and by netting 168 total yards Monday, he amassed 5,000 scrimmage yards in his 40th NFL game, the third-fastest in league history. Andre Johnson has caught just 17 passes for 283 yards, and with defenses focusing on stopping the five-time Pro Bowl receiver, Owen Daniels has often been left open for Matt Schaub. Daniels is third among tight ends with 311 receiving yards and leads the Texans with three touchdown receptions.

The Packers will give this game everything, but so will the Texans, who won’t be sleepwalking 2 weeks in a row. In fact, they were probably sleepwalking last week because they were more focused on this benchmark game than the Jets. Expect Schaub, Foster and the rest of the Texans offense to get back on track against a team that has still yet to find its niche on both sides of the ball consistently.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10562 Followers:377
10/14/2012 10:58 AM

Cincinnati/Cleveland over 42.5:
The Cincinnati Bengals' offense took a step back last week. Even with standout cornerback Joe Haden returning for the Cleveland Browns, the Bengals have to like their chances of getting back on track Sunday. Cincinnati goes for the season sweep and a fifth consecutive victory over the host Browns, who will try to avoid a franchise-record 12th straight defeat. After averaging 33.0 points and 411.7 yards during a three-game winning streak, the Bengals (3-2) had a season-low 298 yards and three turnovers in last Sunday's 17-13 home loss to Miami.

Dalton was 24 of 31 for 318 yards with three TDs in a 34-27 win over Cleveland in Week 2, but Haden wasn't on the field. He'll start Sunday for the Browns (0-5) after serving a four-game suspension for violating the NFL's policy on performance-enhancing drugs. Haden admitted Monday that he tested positive for the stimulant Adderall. The 2010 first-round pick couldn't be more excited to return to face Pro Bowl wideout A.J. Green, who had 58 receiving yards and a TD last month when Cleveland played its first game without Haden. Cleveland is struggling against the run this season, surrendering 4.7 per carry after giving up 243 on the ground in last Sunday's 41-27 loss to the New York Giants. Cleveland blew an early 14-point lead, allowing a season-high 502 yards while committing three turnovers and 10 penalties. Off to their worst start since opening 0-7 in 1999, the Browns are winless since a 14-10 victory over Jacksonville on Nov. 20. Cleveland ended its last 11-game skid with a home win over Cincinnati, 35-23 on Nov. 23, 1975.

If the Browns are going to break into the win column Sunday, they may need big performances from rookies Brandon Weeden and Trent Richardson. Weeden, who threw for a season-best 322 yards and two TDs last month at Cincinnati, is tied for the most INTs in the NFL with nine but has shown better poise in the pocket as of late. Richardson has rushed for 303 yards and had his only 100-yard game against the Bengals, but Cincinnati has held its last two opponents to a combined 137 on the ground. Expect a ton of points in this one, as we think this number might be lower than first posted by at least a TD. The Bengals should get back to their winning ways, but the value here is on the over.


Best of luck to all in week 6

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