cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:33 PM

MNF - Redskins at Cowboys

September 24, 2011

The NFC East usually sees plenty of storylines week in and week out, but it was turned up this week with Tony Romo and Michael Vick's injuries. Romo is expected to start on Monday night when the 1-1 Cowboys host the 2-0 Redskins, as the quarterback looks to capitalize on the dramatic comeback victory at San Francisco last Sunday.

The roles flipped around in the span of seven days after Jason Garrett's club blew a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter of a Week 1 loss to the Jets, as the Cowboys rallied from a 10-point deficit at Candlestick Park. Romo suffered bruised ribs and a punctured lung, but led Dallas on two scoring drives to force overtime, while connecting on a key 77-yard pass to Jesse Holley to set up the winning field goal. The Cowboys pushed as three-point favorites, bailing out Dallas backers when it looked like all hope with lost with Romo's injury.

Washington has turned into one of the league's early surprises after being picked by many to finish in the cellar of the NFC East. The Redskins are 2-0 following home victories over the Giants and Cardinals, capped off by overcoming a late 21-13 deficit in a 22-21 triumph against Arizona. Mike Shanahan's team failed to cover as four-point favorites, as the Redskins' offense ranks 11th in the league through two weeks by posting 393.5 yards/game (Dallas ranks fourth at 431 yards/game).

Past Romo's internal injuries, the Cowboys are dealing with the bumps and bruises of running back Felix Jones (shoulder) and wide receiver Dez Bryant (quad). Both Jones and Bryant are expected to play on Monday night, as the former Oklahoma State standout missed last week's win at San Francisco. Miles Austin is unlikely to play for the Cowboys with a hamstring injury, as the receiver hauled in nine passes for 143 yards and three touchdowns against the 49ers.

The Redskins covered two of three road games against division foes in Shanahan's first season as head coach, including a 33-30 loss at Dallas as 9 ½-point 'dogs. Washington compiled a 5-2 ATS record when receiving points on the road last season, while going 9-3-1 ATS since 2009 as an away 'dog.

Dallas isn't exactly the best team to back as a home favorite, putting together a 1-5 ATS mark last season, including 0-3 ATS record with Romo under center. The offense clicked in those three losses to the Bears, Titans, and Giants in 2010, but the defense was shredded by allowing an average of 34 ppg. The 'over' hit in all eight games at Cowboys Stadium, while cashing in 14 of the last 15 overall since Week 4 of last season.

America's Team is just 1-5 ATS since 2006 under the Monday night lights, including a 41-35 home loss to the Giants last season as 3 ½-point favorites. That defeat sent Dallas to 1-5 as Romo's season ended with a broken collarbone in the first half. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in this stretch against NFC East opponents, while facing Washington on Monday night for the first time since 2005. That loss still stings Cowboys fans after blowing a late 13-0 lead in a 14-13 setback to the rival Redskins as six-point favorites.

Washington's record against division foes on Monday night isn't any better with three double-digit defeats over the previous two seasons, including an embarrassing 59-28 whitewashing by the Eagles in 2010. The last time the Redskins were victorious on Monday night was in 2007 as Washington won at Philadelphia, 20-12 as seven-point underdogs.

The Cowboys are listed between 4 ½ and 5-point favorites, as the line will stabilize once the status of Romo, Jones, and Bryant becomes clearer. The total is set at 45 ½ as the game will kick off at 8:30 PM EST from Cowboys Stadium and will be televised nationally on ESPN .

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:36 PM

Week 3 Preview: Redskins at Cowboys

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (2-0)

at DALLAS COWBOYS (1-1)


Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Dallas -6, Total: 45

Dallas plays their home opener and Washington hits the road for the first time when the classic rivalry resumes on Monday Night Football.

The Cowboys are only favored by six points in this game because of several key injuries. WR Miles Austin (pulled hamstring) is out for a month. QB Tony Romo (fractured rib, punctured lung) will likely start, but RB Felix Jones (separated shoulder), WR Dez Bryant (quad) and C Phil Costa (knee) are all questionable. The Cowboys barely pulled out a win the last time Washington came to Dallas, blowing a 20-point lead before kicking a field goal in the final minute to win 33-30. QB Rex Grossman turned it over three times in that game, but also torched the Dallas secondary for 322 yards and four touchdowns. Although Dallas is 16-3 SU at home against the rival Redskins since 1992, it is only 11-8 ATS over that span. Seven of the past nine meetings have been decided by six points or less. With the ‘Skins playing so well, combined with all the bumps and bruises on the Cowboys offense, the pick here is WASHINGTON to cover.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Redskins:

Play Against - Home teams (DALLAS) - team with a poor scoring defense last season - allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. (28-7 since 1983.) (80%, +20.3 units. Rating = 3*).

This rare five-star FoxSheets trend expects a high-scoring affair to finish OVER the total.

DALLAS is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DALLAS 27.8, OPPONENT 30.2 - (Rating = 5*).

Despite all the offensive injuries in Dallas, the defensive unit got some great news earlier this week when CB Terence Newman announced that he would play in Monday night’s game. This should improve all phases of a defense that held San Francisco to 206 yards in an overtime game. Dallas is allowing less than three yards per carry this year (119 yards on 40 attempts). The Redskins haven’t been a quality team for a while, but Romo has been subpar when facing Washington in his career. His record is 5-6 and he only has 1,887 passing yards (172 YPG) in those 11 contests with 13 TD and 7 INT.

The Redskins have done a nice job balancing their play-calling, as they rank 10th in rushing yards (123 YPG) and 11th in passing yards (271 YPG). One player who has always been a thorn in the side of the Cowboys is veteran WR Santana Moss. In 12 career games against Dallas, Moss has 73 catches for 1,055 yards and six touchdowns. Washington’s secondary should get a nice boost as S LaRon Landry expects to make his season debut. CB Josh Wilson injured his back in the win over Arizona and will probably not be able to suit up Monday night though.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:38 PM

Sharp action moves Redskins-Cowboys spread down

It seems sharp bettors don’t care who’s under center tonight for the Dallas Cowboys. They like the visiting Washington Redskins and are taking the points.

[NFL live odds]

The MGM/Mirage was one of the first sportsbooks to post odds Sunday morning on the Redskins-Cowboys. They opened with the Cowboys as 5.5-point favorites and allowed lower limit bets because of the uncertainly involving the health of Dallas quarterback Tony Romo.

It didn’t matter. The professional players came in and bet the road dog and moved the MGM/Mirage’s line down to 3.5 in the process.

“It was all wise guy play,” MGM/Mirage oddsmaker Jeff Stoneback told Covers.com. “We had three limit bets on them (Redskins) out of our first 10 bets.”

Stoneback says the sharps continued to take Washington even after he moved the line down to 4.5 and then 4. The MGM/Mirage is dealing 3.5 now, same as just about every other shop in Nevada and offshore.

The Las Vegas Hilton opened at Dallas -4.5 and got bet down to -3.5 due to sharp action, according to race and sportsbook director Jay Kornegay.

"The sharps are on the Redskins and obviously playing the injuries," Kornegay told Covers.com in an email Monday afternoon. "We expect some Dallas money but the general public are shying away from it because of the names on the injury report."

Dallas hits the field with some of its biggest names either banged up or out all together. Running back Felix Jones is expected to play but his recently separated shoulder could limit his effectiveness. And Pro Bowl receiver Miles Austin is out because of a leg injury. Romo will play but his ribs aren't fully healed and he's playing an inexperienced offensive line.

"I think [the spread] will still go down a bit maybe to a split line -3 (-120), but late money on Dallas is also expected," Kornegay said. "If we can prevent it from going down to -3, we'll do that because of the anticipation of late Dallas money."

The total was as high as 46.5 but is now mostly found at 45.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:41 PM

Tale of the tape: Redskins at Cowboys

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5, 45.5)

For every big matchup, Covers.com digs a little deeper to show you which side has the edge in each aspect of the game. We uncovered some interesting statistics about Monday night’s game between the Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys.

OFFENSE

Most would agree that on paper the Cowboys boast the more talented offense. But a rash of injuries has Dallas turning to some untested players. Regular starters Tony Romo (QB), Dez Bryant (WR) and Felix Jones (RB) are all questionable due injuries. And starting wideout Miles Austin is out for sure because of a hamstring problem.

It doesn’t matter who’s under center, the Cowboys are going to sling the ball and that’s because their ground game is non-existent right now. Dallas is dead-last in yards per rushing attempt (2.3) and it won’t help the situation if Jones’ banged up shoulder keeps him out against Washington.

The Redskins are operating a more balanced attack. They’re averaging 24.5 first downs per game (good for sixth best in the league) and are gaining a respectable 4.0 yards per rushing carry.

Dallas averages more yards per play (6.5 to 5.5) but that makes sense considering the club’s reliance on the aerial strike. Still, we’ll give the checkmark to Jerry Jones’ squad because of competition played. Dallas notched over 20 points against two very good defenses (49ers and Jets).

Edge: Cowboys

DEFENSE

You know it’s either a whacky year or we don’t have enough data when the Houston Texans are leading the league in total defense. The increased scoring rate has taken a toll on the Redskins and Cowboys but both defenses rank well against the league.

Dallas is fourth in opponent yards per game (283) while Washington sits just outside the top 10 allowing 319.5 yards per game. The difference between the two clubs is clear on 3rd down. Washington allows the fewest conversions on the key down with just four in two games. Dallas, meanwhile, is next to last in the league at 7.0 conversions per game.

The Cowboys are better at slowing down the run (3.0 yards per carry) whereas the Skins are giving up almost five yards per carry. Both sides can get to the quarterback but Dallas’ shaky secondary can cause the club some big problems.

Veteran Terrence Newman is expected to return as a starting cornerback but is that a good thing for Cowboy backers? Newman was one of the worst starting CBs in football a year ago, according to ProFootballFocus.com.

Edge: Washington

SPECIAL TEAMS

Dallas would normally get the edge here but a few of its special team stars could be missing. Cowboys big kicker David Buehler is questionable because of a sore groin and speedster Dez Bryant won’t be returning kicks even if he is healthy enough to play. The word in Big D is Bryant’s return days are over.

Washington kicks fewer touchbacks but it also allows fewer yards on returns. We’ll give the Skins the nod here.

Edge: Redskins

WORD ON THE STREET

“I want to get a chance to put my helmet on whatever is hurting, Romo’s ribs. I’m gonna be asking for some corner blitzes.” – Washington CB DeAngelo Hall on potentially playing against a banged up Tony Romo.

“Well, you think about it: He’s not allowed to hit him in the head. And he can’t hit him below the knees. So he’s only got one place you can hit him. It’s such a shame he’s hurt.” – Redskins defensive coordinator Jim Haslett on Romo and how his blitzers will attack the quarterback.

Prediction: Brian Orakpo and the Skins' pass rush will be too much for Dallas’ inexperienced offensive line.

Washington 23, Dallas 20.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:45 PM

Cowboys QB Tony Romo says he will play vs. Washington

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo plans to be in the huddle during Monday's game against the NFC East rival Washington Redskins.

Romo suffered a fractured rib and punctured lung in last week's game against the San Francisco 49ers. He returned to the contest and rallied Dallas to victory.

Despite being limited in practice, Romo feels he's ready to go against the undefeated Redskins (2-0).

"I'm getting better as the week goes on," Romo told ESPN's Sunday NFL Countdown. "I'll deal with it over the course of the next month, but I'll be good to go this week."

Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys set as around 3 or 3.5-point favorites with a 45-point total after sitting as high as -5.5 Sunday. These odds are a little shorter than LVSC's Andrew Patterson anticipated earlier this week.

"I was thinking around 6 to 6.5 with Romo in; I don't think you can make it 7," Patterson told Covers.com. "With Romo out, I was thinking around 1.5 to 2. Again, I don't think they are a 3-point favorite, even though it is their home opener on Monday night."

A CT scan revealed that Romo's punctured lung has healed, although he still is a target of the Redskins, namely cornerback DeAngelo Hall.

"I want to get a chance to put my helmet on whatever's hurt," Hall said earlier this week.

Romo shot back on Sunday, saying, "If he's blitzing, that means he's not covering. So we'll attack his guy he's covering."

Romo has thrown for 687 yards, four TDs and one interception this season for the Cowboys (1-1).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:47 PM

Monday’s betting tips: ‘Skins riding ATS streak vs. Dallas


Who’s hot

NFL: Washington has covered the number in seven of their last nine meetings with the Dallas Cowboys.

MLB: St. Louis has won 20 of its last 28 games overall.

MLB: The Washington Nationals have won their last eight road games.

Who’s not

NFL: Dallas is riding a 3-5-1 slump against the spread dating back to last season.

MLB: Kansas City has won only four of its last 18 games in Minnesota.

MLB: Pittsburgh has won only seven of its last 51 games in Milwaukee.

Key stat

25 - The Colorado Rockies set a franchise record by amassing 25 hits in a 19-3 romp at Houston on Sunday. Jordan Pacheco, Ty Wigginton and Tommy Field had four hits apiece to help the Rockies surpass the previous record of 24. The Rockies are set as +120 underdogs at San Francisco Monday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Miles Austin has officially been ruled out for Monday's game against the NFC East rival Washington Redskins. Austin reeled in nine catches for 143 yards and three touchdowns last Sunday against the San Francisco 49ers, but exited with a hamstring injury. The ailment is rumored to cost Austin until perhaps after their bye week. Kevin Ogletree will start in Austin's place on Monday.

Game of the day

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys (3.5, 45.5)

Notable quotable

"It's pretty emotional, obviously. You have the best fans in baseball; over 3 million people every year come and support this ballclub. Obviously, it's not over. Our season's not over. And I just want to make sure that I stay focused and do what I need to do." – Albert Pujols on the standing ovation he received from Cardinals fans Sunday in what could end up being his last home game with St. Louis if the club doesn’t make the playoffs. Pujols becomes an unrestricted free agent in the offseason.

Notes and tips

The St. Louis Cardinals stayed alive in the wild card race with a 3-2 victory over the visiting Chicago Cubs on Sunday. The Cardinals pulled to within one game of the Atlanta Braves in the National League wild card chase. The Braves dropped a 3-0 decision against the Washington Nationals on Sunday.

Tiger Woods has hired Joe LaCava as his third full-time caddie. LaCava served as Dustin Johnson’s bag man most recently, but has extensive experience on the tour. "Joe is an outstanding caddie, and I have known him for many years. I've personally seen the great job he did for Freddie [Couples],” Woods told reporters. “I'm anxious for us to be working together."

Toronto Blue Jays manager John Farrell will not be with the team Monday for the start of the final series of the season at Chicago. Farrell's son, Luke, is scheduled to undergo major surgery. Bench coach Don Wakamatsu will take the place of Farrell. He also filled in when Farrell missed 10 games due to pneumonia.Meanwhile, slugger Jose Bautista left Sunday's game against the Tampa Bay Rays with a contusion on his left knee. Bautista crashed into the wall in the first inning which chasing down a fly ball - which turned into an inside-the-park homer - by Ben Zobrist. The 29-year-old Bautista played five innings before being replaced by Mark Teahen. He has been listed as day-to-day. Bautista entered the game batting .305 with 43 homers and 103 RBIs this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 05:54 PM

Top 5 NFL Trends

WAS/DAL Over is 9-0 in DAL last 9 home games.

WAS/DAL Over is 7-0 in DAL last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

WAS/DAL are 5-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

WAS/DAL Over is 6-0 in DAL last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

WAS/DAL Over is 5-0 in DAL last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26707 Followers:33
09/26/2011 07:26 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/25/11 17-­12-­1 58.62% +­1900 Detail
09/19/11 1-­0-­1 100.00% +­500 Detail
09/18/11 17-­12-­1 58.62% +­1900 Detail
09/12/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
09/11/11 8-­18-­0 30.77% -­5900 Detail
09/08/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
Totals 45-­46-­3 49.45% -­2800

Monday, September 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Washington - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -3.5 500

Dallas - Over 44 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: