09/22/2011 06:43 PM
Week 3 Tip Sheet
September 22, 2011
Heading into Week 3 of the NFL, six teams are listed as road favorites, while only seven clubs are 2-0 out of the chute. Five of the squads laying points on the highway are 3 ½-point 'chalk' as the likelihood that all five cover is low. Three teams (Ravens, Jets, and Packers) made the postseason last year while the other two (Lions and Cardinals) are rarities when it comes to being road favorites. We'll start with that surprising Detroit club, who goes for a 3-0 start.
Lions (-3 ½, 45) at Vikings - 1:00 PM EST
Detroit is favored on the road for the first time since an opening week loss at Atlanta in 2008. The Lions have started 2-0 in three other instances since 2000, but lost each time in the third game as they head to Minneapolis to battle the 0-2 Vikings. Minnesota squandered a 17-0 advantage in last week's home loss to Tampa Bay, the second straight week the Vikings have blown a lead heading into the final quarter.
The Lions have dropped 12 straight meetings at the Metrodome with the last win coming in 1997. Jim Schwartz's team is riding a three-game road winning streak since last December, but Detroit is 1-19 SU the last 20 divisional road contests. Minnesota was listed as a home 'dog twice last season against the Giants and Bears, as each loss came outside of the Metrodome after the roof fell apart in December.
Jets (-3 ½, 41) at Raiders - 4:05 PM EST
New York begins a three-game road trip following victories over Dallas and Jacksonville as the Jets visit the Black Hole to battle the Raiders. Oakland blew a 21-3 lead in last Sunday's 38-35 defeat at Buffalo, but the Raiders managed to cash for the second straight week on the highway. The Jets picked up their seventh win in their last nine at home with a 32-3 trouncing of the Jaguars as nine-point favorites.
Rex Ryan's team has taken care of business as a road favorite in his short tenure with a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS mark. This is an important game for the Jets as they head to Baltimore and New England in the following two weeks, while Oakland is starting a stretch with five of the next six games at home. The Raiders are just 4-6 SU/ATS the last 10 home games against non-division opponents, while the 'over' has cashed six times.
Ravens (-3 ½, 41 ½) at Rams - 4:05 PM EST
Baltimore looks to put last week's shocking loss at Tennessee behind them as the Ravens head to St. Louis for a non-conference matchup with the Rams. Steve Spagnuolo's offense has struggled by putting up just 22 points since Steven Jackson's touchdown four minutes into the season-opening loss to the Eagles. The Rams are in the midst of a stretch that can turn disastrous with Washington, Green Bay, Dallas, and New Orleans coming up after Baltimore.
John Harbaugh's team has done a solid job on the road off a loss by compiling a 7-2 SU/ATS mark since 2008, including a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record as a favorite. The Rams are not in a great spot off the defeat to the Giants, as home teams off a Monday night loss are 4-9 ATS since the start of last season, including ATS defeats by the Dolphins and Broncos in Week 2.
Packers (-3 ½, 45 ½) at Bears - 4:15 PM EST
A rematch of the NFC Championship takes place at Soldier Field as Chicago looks to avenge a 21-14 loss to Green Bay in January. The Packers' offense has looked sharp in two victories over the Saints and Panthers, even though Green Bay failed to cash as double-digit favorites at Carolina. Chicago hung around at New Orleans for a half, but couldn't slow down the explosive Saints' attack in a 30-13 defeat as 4 ½-point 'dogs to fall to 1-1 on the season.
The Packers have done well against division foes on the road by compiling a 12-4 ATS record under Mike McCarthy since 2006. However, Green Bay owns a dreadful 0-8 SU mark since November 2007 in the second game of consecutive regular season road contests, coming off the win over Carolina. The Bears own a solid 6-2 ATS ledger in Lovie Smith’s tenure as a home underdog against NFC North foes.
Cardinals (-3 ½, 43) at Seahawks – 4:15 PM EST
It’s tough to think when an early season NFC West game means so much, but Seattle can help itself with a home victory over Arizona. The Seahawks head home to Qwest Field following road losses at San Francisco and Pittsburgh as Pete Carroll’s team has scored just 17 points total in the two defeats. The Cards look to put a tough 22-21 setback at Washington behind them after owning an eight-point lead in the fourth quarter.
These teams have split the last four meetings in Seattle, while Ken Whisenhunt’s club is favored at Qwest Field for just the second time since the Seahawks joined the NFC West in 2002. Seattle owns an 11-6 ATS record the last 17 home games, including consecutive outright ‘dog wins to close out last season against St. Louis and New Orleans.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: