cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 07:39 PM

NFL | NY GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against - Home teams (PHILADELPHIA) off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses
97-51 since 1997. ( 65.5% | 40.9 units )
0-3 this year. ( 0.0% | -3.3 units )
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NFL | SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI
Play Against - Home teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (CINCINNATI) off a road loss, team that had a losing record last season
48-22 since 1997. ( 68.6% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
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NFL | JACKSONVILLE at CAROLINA
Play Over - Road teams vs. the 1rst half total after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game against opponent after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 07:43 PM

BOOKIES BATTLE THE POINT SPREAD! WEEK 3
So now We start the 104th edition of BBTPS.....errrr....wait a minute...I'm NOT that old yet...and neither is Gaming Today. But let's see, I picked up my first issue of "Sports Form" at the Trop way back in 1976 or was it 78? I think it might have been 1978 since I moved to Calif. in 1976, and didn't get out to Vegas for a couple of years. But I've been a faithful follower since then. But my guess would be that after they changed their name to "Gaming Today" maybe in the early 80's, that they started this contest about 1985 or 1986. So maybe they are celebrating their 25th anniversary. I'll have to call them up and check on when it all started. But I know I started posting this thread at the Ron Raymonds old Phoenix Sports Ticket site in about 1998. Boy that's 13 long years ago. I wonder if I'll live long enough to be posting this thread for 20 years. I'll be 73 by that time.

I waited until the third week to post this thread since there really is no track record to go on for the first two weeks. After you get two weeks under their belt, you get have a better idea of how the bookies are doing. Usually by the 5th week, a pattern is formed and you tend to see the same bookies every week in the top 5. Last year we had some big changes in the top 5, and some that had dropped out of the top 5 reappeared and some that were in the top dropped out. But it was a very close contest last year.

For those of you who don't know what this thread is all about, I'll explain. For those that do, skip down to where they have the bookies selections so you don't have to get bored reading this nonsense you've read 10 times before.

Gaming Today, a Las Vegas periodical that is distributed at all the sports books in Vegas runs a contest every year competing all the sports book managers in Vegas, Reno and even Foxwoods, CT to see who the top bookie is in Nevada and elsewhere. The bookies must pick ALL the games against the spread. One caveat is that since this periodical is put to bed on Sunday night, to be published Monday and distributed on Tuesday-Wednesday, so they have to go but what the lines are on Sunday evening, usually before the SNF game is finished. Since the lines come out on Sunday evening, there is no consideration for any injuries that might occur on Sunday morning/afternoon, so lines can be "estimated" if a game is off the board. I usually post the difference of what the lines they are selecting at, compared to the current lines. Naturally, there will be "stale" lines, but you have to evaluate if it makes a difference. The bookies are competing to win maybe a $1000, or at one time a trip to Hawaii. But believe me, the money means nothing to these guys as it's all about the BRAGGING RIGHTS to be known as the BEST BOOKIE in town. So what I try to do here is take the top five bookies and compare them to the consensus of ALL the bookies making selections. Usually, if the top 5 bookies are on the opposite side of the consensus...you have a good bet. Think of the top 5 as Pro's and the consensus as "squares".
Soooo.....let's get started!

As usual for the first two weeks, the field is bunched up, and we have one bookie with 22 wins, and 4 others with 21. One problem this week is that GT hasn't posted the record of the consensus, so I'll have to do that manually at some point. It won't be tonight since I've been ups ince 4:30 am and need some rest. So maybe tomorrow. Fortunately, I have the first two issues saved so I can get all those stats.

Taking the lead is Tony Miller from the Golden Nugget-LV. Right behind him with 21 wins are Mike Corrigan from Barleys, Jimmy Crowley from Bellagio, Cavin Kishi from the Monte Carlo, and Richard McKinnery from NY-NY. I don't think any of these guys were in the top 5 last year, but I think Kishi was close.

TONY MILLER GOLDEN NUGGET-LV 22-10 LW 12-4
CIN..BUF..NO...NYG..CLE..TEN..DET..CAR..SD...NYJ..STL..ATL..ARZ..GB...PIT..DAL

MIKE CORRIGAN BARLEY'S 21-11 LW 10-6
SF...NE....NO...PHI...CLE..DEN..DET..CAR..SD...NYJ..STL..TB....SEA..CHI..PIT..DA​L

JIMMY CROWLEY BELLAGIO 21-11 LW 10-6
SF...NE...HOU..PHI..CLE...DEN..DET..CAR..SD...NYJ..BAL..ATL..ARZ..GB...PIT..WAS

CAVIN KISHI MONTE CARLO 21-11 LW 10-6
SF...NE...NO....PHI..CLE...TEN..DET..CAR..SD...OAK..BAL..ATL..ARZ..GB...PIT..WAS​

RICHARD MCINERNEY NY-NY 21-11 LW 10-6
SF...NE...HOU..PHI..MIA...TEN..DET..CAR..SD...NYJ..BAL..ATL..SEA..CHI..PIT..WAS


AS you can see there are 4 teams selected unanimously. they are the lions, panthers, chargers, and steelers. Since we don't have a Consensus to go by yet, you'll have to wait until I round up those figures. But at least this will give yo9u something to chomp your bit on in the meantime.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 07:43 PM

RE: BOOKIES BATTLE THE POINT SPREAD! WEEK 3
OK. I now have the Consensus picks for this week.
SF..NE..NO..NYG..CLE..DEN..DET..CAR..SD..OAK..BAL..ATL..ARZ..CHI..PIT..WAS
36..37..40...41.....43....34....41....48...49...41.....43....40...40....39....46​...46

These are the amount of times teams were selected out of 63 contestants. If a bookie fails to get in their selections for the week, they are given the Consensus. They can have the Consensus twice during the year and that's it. They are then eliminated from the contest. So if you see this number drop, that's the reason why.

Here are the differences of what the top 5 took compared to the Consensus. Usually a good bet if the top 5 is different than the Consensus.

There are 4 differences this week. You should play the opposite of this side. NYG, DEN, OAK, CHI

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 10:21 PM

NFL odds: Week 3 opening line report

Analyst Andy Benoit of the New York Times wonders whether the NFL is a 30-team league.

After two weeks he’s dismissed the Chiefs and Colts. So has the betting public.

Have two division winners ever become pure fade material so quickly?

“For the first two weeks we couldn’t get a bet on Indy or Kansas City,” MGM Mirage sportsbook manager Jeff Stoneback told ***********. “This Sunday it looks like we’ll be rooting for K.C. and Indy again. Probably going to be that way on a lot of Sundays.”

It goes without saying K.C. and Indy are a combined 0-4 SU and ATS.

The Chiefs’ downward spiral began with offensive coordinator Charlie Weis’ departure. It accelerated when the games started. Kansas City already lost three integral pieces to ACL injuries: safety Eric Berry, running back Jamaal Charles and tight end Tony Moeaki.

The Colts suffered the biggest sudden QB downgrade in history: Peyton Manning to a washed-up Kerry Collins.

With these dead-in-the-water teams facing public favorites this week in Pittsburgh and San Diego, the action figures to be heavily skewed again. No matter that Indy and K.C. are getting double digits.

“Over the long run if you take double-digits dogs in the NFL, you’re going to be ahead,” Stoneback said. “But geez, how is K.C. going to score? You get three TDs from San Diego and the way the K.C. offense is going, you’re going to cover. At this point they look like maybe a three-win team.”

Wynn Las Vegas sportsbook manager John Avello noted how rare it is for home teams to get double digits in the NFL; the Colts are getting 10.5 against the Steelers. And “the way K.C. is going,” he told ***********, “not too many people are interested in them.”

All of which leads us to the…

Biggest spreads of the week

Kansas City at San Diego (-14.5, 44.5), Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (10.5, 39.5)

Handicapper Steve Merril said the oddsmakers made quick adjustments on K.C. and Indy.

“It appears most of the value has been taken away,” Merril said, though he believes the public will keep fading those teams.
It would not be surprising to see the Steelers-Colts line go to 11.5.

“When you put the Colts up against a popular team like Pittsburgh, it’s going to be totally one-sided,” Stoneback said.

Smallest spreads of the week

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-1, 45.5), San Francisco at Cincinnati (-1, 40.5), Miami at Cleveland (-1.5, 41)

Respect for the Bengals is rising. Before the season, bettors pounded the under on their season win total, pushing it from 7.5 to 6 (-140).

“People expected them to be terrible with a rookie QB,” Stoneback said. “Dalton’s played pretty well and they’re not as bad as people thought.”
Tampa Bay and Cleveland are favored only because they’re at home.

They’re among several middling teams it’s hard to get a read on.

“It’s hard to tell with some of these teams,” Stoneback said. “They haven’t really shown they’re really poor or they’re really good.”

Biggest totals of the week

Houston at New Orleans (-4, 53), Buffalo at New England (-9, 51.5)

The Saints are averaging 32 points. QB Drew Brees doesn’t need his top receiver to thrive. He’s making a star out of Devery Henderson and developing great timing with RB Darren Sproles, a major upgrade over Reggie Bush.

But even the Saints aren’t matching what the Bills and Pats are doing offensively. Buffalo is averaging 39.5 points with its new spread-oriented offense. New England has put up 36.5 points a game. For Tom Brady, 400 yards is the new 300.

“It doesn’t matter where the Patriots play – nobody’s stopping them,” Avello said.

Smallest total of the week

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (10.5, 39.5)

This is the only total under 40 as the NFL’s scoring binge continues.

Avello said this number is all about Indy’s impotence.

“I don’t know if the Steelers are that sharp yet; it might take them a few weeks to come around,” he said. “This is all based on the Colts offense.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 10:25 PM

NFL
Dunkel


Week 3

Miami at Cleveland
The Dolphins look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Miami is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

Game 395-396: San Francisco at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 129.360; Cincinnati 130.918
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Over

Game 397-398: New England at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.779; Buffalo 131.035
Dunkel Line: New England by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: New England 8; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (-8); Under

Game 399-400: Houston at New Orleans (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 137.228; New Orleans 142.532
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 4; 53
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-4); Over

Game 401-402: NY Giants at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 130.443; Philadelphia 139.204
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 9; 43
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7 1/2); Under

Game 403-404: Miami at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.760; Cleveland 127.653
Dunkel Line: Even; 44
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Denver at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 125.693; Tennessee 134.086
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2); Under

Game 407-408: Detroit at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 138.718; Minnesota 132.699
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 6; 49
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Jacksonville at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 120.202; Carolina 125.310
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3 1/2); Under

Game 411-412: Kansas City at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 123.764; San Diego 137.232
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: San Diego by 15; 45
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+15); Under

Game 413-414: NY Jets at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 139.851; Oakland 132.635
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 7; 46
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Over

Game 415-416: Baltimore at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.917; St. Louis 125.600
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 10 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.914; Tampa Bay 132.905
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: Arizona at Seattle (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 123.927; Seattle 122.810
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 47
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Over

Game 421-422: Green Bay at Chicago (4:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 139.226; Chicago 134.909
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 4 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-3 1/2); Under

Game 423-424: Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 137.757; Indianapolis 125.115
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-10 1/2); Over


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 26

Game 425-426: Washington at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 131.548; Dallas 135.330
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 4; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 6 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 10:26 PM

NFL
Long Sheet


Sunday, September 25

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 138-104 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (2 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY GIANTS (1 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 143-102 ATS (+30.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 2) at CLEVELAND (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (2 - 0) at MINNESOTA (0 - 2) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DETROIT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
DETROIT is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (1 - 1) at CAROLINA (0 - 2) - 9/25/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (2 - 0) at OAKLAND (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 30-61 ATS (-37.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (1 - 1) at ST LOUIS (0 - 2) - 9/25/2011, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (1 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (0 - 2) - 9/25/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (2 - 0) at CHICAGO (1 - 1) - 9/25/2011, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 135-100 ATS (+25.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 2) - 9/25/2011, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, September 26

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WASHINGTON (2 - 0) at DALLAS (1 - 1) - 9/26/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 10:27 PM

NFL
Short Sheet


Week 3

Sunday, 9/25/2011

SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI, 1:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 11-1 Over Away after allowing 450+ total yds
CINCINNATI: 1-11 ATS as a favorite

NEW ENGLAND at BUFFALO, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ENGLAND: 16-3 Over in all games
BUFFALO: 29-9 ATS off win by 3 pts or less

HOUSTON at NEW ORLEANS, 1:00 PM ET
HOUSTON: 6-0 Under on turf
NEW ORLEANS: 14-28 ATS in 2nd of BB Home games

NY GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA, 1:00 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 0-4 ATS vs. Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA: 11-2 Under after scoring & allowing 30+ pts last game

MIAMI at CLEVELAND, 1:00 PM ET
MIAMI: 13-28 ATS off BB home games
CLEVELAND: 20-7 Under as home fave of 3 pts or less

DENVER at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: 22-10 Over after allowing 300+ yds passing
TENNESSEE: 12-28 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

DETROIT at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 3-14 ATS as road favorite
MINNESOTA: 2-9 ATS as an underdog

JACKSONVILLE at CAROLINA, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 11-2 ATS after scoring 6 pts or less
CAROLINA: 8-0 Under as home favorite

KANSAS CITY at SAN DIEGO, 4:05 PM ET
KANSAS CITY: 10-2 ATS as double digit underdog
SAN DIEGO: 2-6 ATS in September

NY JETS at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
NY JETS: 2-11 ATS off BB home wins
OAKLAND: 6-0 Over at home vs. AFC

BALTIMORE at ST LOUIS, 4:05 PM ET
BALTIMORE: 7-0 ATS after being outgained by 200+ yds
ST LOUIS: 41-24 Over vs. AFC

ATLANTA at TAMPA BAY, 4:15 PM ET
ATLANTA: 27-8 ATS Away after allowing 400+ yds
TAMPA BAY: 0-8 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

ARIZONA at SEATTLE, 4:15 PM ET
ARIZONA: 16-5 Under as road favorite
SEATTLE: 7-19 ATS as underdog

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO, 4:15 PM ET
GREEN BAY: 6-0 Under as a road favorite of 7 points or less
CHICAGO: 16-5 Under as an underdog

PITTSBURGH at INDIANAPOLIS, 8:20 PM ET NBC
PITTSBURGH: 12-3 ATS if the total is between 35.5 and 42 points
INDIANAPOLIS: 23-39 ATS at home off SU loss

Monday, 9/26/2011

WASHINGTON at DALLAS, 8:30 PM ET ESPN
WASHINGTON: 33-14 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
DALLAS: 11-0 Over on turf

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 10:29 PM

NFL

Week 3

49ers (1-1) @ Bengals (1-1)-- Since 1988, Week 3 road underdogs who played their first two games at home are 34-22-1 vs spread; 49ers were +4 in turnovers the first two games, and won field position by 16-7 yards- their special teams are improved. Week 3 home favorites who played first two games on road are 15-33 vs spread. Bengals didn't turn ball over (+3) in first two games, starting six drives in enemy territory; since 2007, they're 5-19 as a favorite, since 2008, 1-9 as home favorite. Cincy is 11-18 coming off a loss; since '06, they're 7-13-1 as favorite of 3 or less points. Niners were 12-4-2 vs spread coming off a loss uner Singletary; they're 3-11 in last 14 games decided by 7 or less points, 1-8-1 in last 10 games as an underdog of 3 or less points.

Patriots (2-0) @ Bills (2-0)-- New England is 20-1 in last 21 series games, with seven straight wins here by an average score of 30-8; Bills scored 10 points or less in seven of last nine series games, but this Buffalo team has started season on a roll, scoring 79 points (10 TDs on 24 drives, eight TDs, two FGs in 10 red zone trips). Patriots have nine TDs on 21 drives, six of which were 78+ yards; they've covered 23 of last 31 as a single digit favorite, are 27-13 in last 40 games as a road favorite. Belichick is 45-18-1 vs spread in his last 64 games on foreign soil. Since '03, home dogs are 20-27 vs spread in AFC East divisional games. Since '08, Buffalo is 2-8-1 as a home dog; they're 1-5 vs spread in last six home games vs divisional rivals. Huge game for Buffalo's credibility.

Texans (2-0) @ Saints (1-1)-- Houston is much-improved, with good balance on offense (305 rushing yards, 424 passing) and solid defense (allowed 5.1/4.8 ypa), but will be sorely tested by Saints squad that covered nine of last 12 vs AFC teams, and is 12-8-1 in last 21 games as single digit favorite. Brees got the first down on 17 of 31 3rd down plays so far in '11; Saints are 9-4 last thirteen games decided by 7 or less points. Houston is 13-18-1 in last 32 games as road dog, 4-8-1 coming off win, 10-15-3 vs NFC teams. Phillips' defense has allowed only five first downs on 21 3rd down plays; he used to work for Saints when his dad was their coach. Home side won both series games, with Texans losing 31-10 here in '03. Dare I say potential Super Bowl matchup?

Giants (1-1) @ Eagles (1-1)—Health of Vick key issue here; as I type this, he is expected to play. Philly won last six series games, with average total in last four 63.3. Giants lost last two visits here 40-17/27-17- they were dumped from playoff contention LY by big Eagle comeback highlighted by Jackson’s PR for TD. Philly is just 2-7 vs spread in last nine games as divisional home favorites (10-1 in non-division); since ’07, they’re 15-9 coming off a loss. Giants are 24-15 coming off a win, 25-16 in last 41 road games, but they’re 3-5 in last eight games as road dog and lost at Washington in road opener two weeks ago. Big Blue has been outscored 24-7 in second half this year, has converted just 6-25 on 3rd down but they do have four TDs in five red zone trips. Eagles have nine sacks in two games; four of six TDs they allowed came on drives shorter than 50 yards; this is their first home game- Week 3 home favorites that played first two games on road are 15-33 vs spread.

Dolphins (0-2) @ Browns (1-1)—Miami defense allowed Brady/Schaub to complete 68.8% of passes in pair of home losses, now major drop down in class vs McCoy; Fish have only four TDs, two FGs in 10 red zone drives, need more production there. Dolphins are 17-7 vs spread on road under Sparano, 18-8-2 as road dog, 8-5 as dog of 3 or less points. Since ’04, fish are 21-9-1 as road dog in non-divisional games, but they’re also 19-32-1 since ’05 when coming off a loss. Since 2008, Browns are 10-15 vs spread at home, 2-7 when favored; they’re 9-14 in games decided by 7 or less points (Miami is 17-10). Cleveland is 13-9 as favorite of 3 or less points, 14-8 coming off win. In two games so far, Browns have 14 penalties for 121 yards, their opponents 7 for 43. Since 1988 (excluding 2001) Week 3 road underdogs that played first two games at home are 34-22-1 vs spread. Miami lost last three series games, losing two visits here, 22-0/41-31, with last visit in ’07.

Broncos (1-1) @ Titans (1-1)—Surprising that Tennessee holding its own so far despite running ball 42 times for 117 only yards; you expect more from team with Johnson at RB and former star lineman as head coach. Titans allowed only two TDs on 21 drives so far, with no TDs allowed in second half; they’ve allowed only three FGs in three red zone drives in splitting games with Jags/Ravens. Titans are 7-12 in last 19 games as non-divisional home favorite, 2-6 in last eight games as single digit fave, but they’re 23-18-1 coming off a win. Denver allowed 23-22 points in splitting pair of home games despite foes converting just 6-25 on 3rd down; Broncos are 9-15 as road dog, 11-23-1 coming off win; since ’07, they’re 12-20 vs spread on road.. Denver won five of last six series games, with last loss in ’95 to Oilers in Houston; Broncos won two visits here, 37-16/26-20. Average total in last 10 games between these old AFL rivals is 52.7. Week 3 road underdogs that played first two games at home are 34-22-1 vs spread.

Lions (2-0) @ Vikings (0-2)—Upstart Lions battling historical demons here, having lost 13 in row at this site, with five of last six losses here by 9+ points; they’re 3-20 in last 23 series games overall. Since 1997, Detroit is 0-7 as road favorite, with last cover coming in Tampa in ’96 under Wayne Fontes, but Vikings are 9-15-2 in last 26 games as underdog, 2-7 in last nine as home dog. Lions have nine TDs on 25 drives; Stafford has thrown 73 passes and hasn’t been sacked yet. Detroit has now won last six games that counted, covering six in row coming off win and last four when favored- they’re already +6 in turnovers, with 8 takeaways in two games. Minnesota led Bucs 17-0 at half in home opener last week, lost 24-20; they’ve been outscored 41-3 in second half of first two games- opponents converted 13 of 25 on 3rd down. Vikings have been penalized 143 yards in two games, almost twice as much (79) as their opponents. Since ’05, Minnesota is 15-26-3 as single digit dog.

Jaguars (1-1) @ Panthers (0-2)-- Carolina has 807 passing yards, 145 running as rookie QB Newton has done unexpectedly well, with all five TD drives 74+ yards, but defense allowed Kolb/Rodgers 10.2/9.5 ypa-- McCown will be less formidable a foe here. Jaguars scored only one offensive TD on 22 drives so far in 2011, despite outrushing foes 275-144- they've been outscored 31-6 in 2nd half of games. Panthers are 11-6-2 in last 19 games as favorite, 18-7 in last 25 games coming off a win, but the last 8+ years, they're 26-36-3 vs spread at home. Last 7+ years, Jaguars are 19-10-1 as road dog, but they're 9-16 coming off a loss. Home side won three of last four series games, with last two played here decided by total of 3 points. Average total in last three series games, 44.

Jets (2-0) @ Raiders (1-1)—Oakland blew 21-3 halftime lead in Buffalo last week, or else they’d be 2-0 heading into home opener; they outscored first two opponents 37-3 in first half, but got outscored 52-21 after halftime, with both games decided by a FG. As usual, Silver/Black have been flagged a lot (216 penalty yards in two games), to point where Jackson is bringing in refs during week to call penalties in practice. Jets have seven takeaways in two games (+3); they’re 6-2 as road favorite under Rex Ryan, and 17-11 in game following their last 28 wins. Gang Green is 23-16 in last 39 road games, 13-10 as a favorite, 11-8 as single digit favorite. Since ’03, Raiders are 21-41-1 vs spread at home, but they’re 6-5 in last 11 games as home dog, after being 9-19-1 from ’03-’08. Oakland is Jets won four of last five series games, winning 38-0 in last visit here two years ago. Last two years, AFC East road favorites are 8-3 vs spread in non-division games.

Chiefs (0-2) @ Chargers (1-1)—Slow-starting San Diego trailed first two games by 10-13 points at half, hard to lay 14+ points with unreliable team; they held Minnesota to 28 passing yards in Week 1 and still didn’t cover (won 24-17, -8.5). Kansas City lost first two games 41-7/48-3 to Bills/Lions, going -7 in turnovers, losing field position by 23/21 yards; they’ve allowed 55 points on 10 opponent drives (out of 27) that started in their territory. Last 7+ years, San Diego is 22-10-3 in game following a loss; they were -4 in turnovers in losing winnable game at Foxboro last week. Chargers won six of last seven series games, with Chiefs losing last three visits here by 1-29-31 points (74-14 last two years). Since ’06, Bolts are 5-7 as double digit favorite; Chiefs are 6-8 in last 14 games as road underdog, but 8-3 in last 11 games as double digit dog. San Diego is 11-5-1 in last 17 games as home favorite in a divisional game. Chiefs have nine turnovers (-7) in two games, are just 5-24 on 3rd down.

Ravens (1-1) @ Rams (0-2)—St Louis on short work week after poor showing on Monday night (first MNF game in five years); young players are making critical mistakes causing turnovers- Rams are only team to give up a defensive score in both games this season. Baltimore gave up 358 passing yards in Nashville last week, which gives Bradford hope; St Louis outgained Giants 367-300 Monday, but they’ve lost last 39 games where they lost turnover margin, so mistakes must be eliminated. Ravens are 15-17 in last 32 games decided by 7 or less points- since ’08 they’re 5-4 as a road favorite, after being 0-8 in such role from ’05-’07. Last three years, they’re 9-7 in game following a loss. Home team won last four series games, with Ravens losing last two visits here by 15-11 points. St Louis coaches made poor game management decisions last week, causing loyalists to doubt their competence. Ravens have AFC showdown with Jets on deck, making this a legitimate trap game for them.

Falcons (1-1) @ Buccaneers (1-1)—Atlanta is 17-6 under Smith in games decided by 7 or less points; they’re 14-6-1 in games where spread was 3 or less points, but they’ve allowed 61 points in first two games this year, and would be 0-2 had Vick not been KO’d last Sunday night. Falcons won last five series games, with three of five decided by 4 or less points; Atlanta won last two visits here, 20-10/28-24- average total in their last five visits here is 35.6. Tampa Bay is 3-13-1 vs spread at home under Morris, as road team is 26-6-2 in Morris regime after Bucs rallied to win 24-20 last week at Minnesota, after being down 17-0 at half. Falcons started 16 of 25 drives 80+ yards from goal line; they’ve averaged 5.3/5.6 ypa, in part because Ryan has already been sacked nine times. Tampa has only two TDs, three FGs in seven red zone drives-they’re 18-12 in game following their last 30 wins, Falcons are 12-8 in last 20. Last three years, Bucs are 6-9-3 in games where spread was 3 or less points.

Cardinals (1-1) @ Seahawks (0-2)—Arizona defense allowed 932 yards in first two games to Newton/Grossman, but they’ve only allowed three TDs, three FGs in nine red zone trips- all five TDs they’ve allowed have been on drives of 73+ yards. Seattle won both series games LY, 22-10/36-18, first time in three years they beat Arizona here, but QB tables have been turned, with Arizona now having far superior signal-caller (Kolb over Jackson). Seahawks lost first two games 33-17/24-0, getting outscored 33-0 in first half, giving up 10 sacks while running ball 35 times for 95 yards (2.7) so OL is big concern, especially with Gallery out. Last 3+ years, Seattle is 4-7 in games decided by 7 or less points, Arizona 10-8. Redbirds are 5-2 in last seven games as road favorite. Since 1988, Week 3 home underdogs who played first two games on road are 5-11 vs spread. Last 4+ years, home underdogs are 8-12 vs spread in NFC West divisional games.

Packers (2-0) @ Bears (1-1)—Over last seven years, Chicago is 6-1 vs spread as home underdog in divisional games, but Green Bay won four of last five in this ancient rivalry, with average total in last six meetings 32.2; Pack won two of last three visits here, including win eight months ago in NFC title game. Pack scored 72 points in first two games (eight TDs on 19 drives, only one less than 76 yards), but they’ve also given up 800 passing yards in two games (Brees/Newton). Over last 3+ years, Packers are just 8-16 in games decided by 7 or less points- over last 5+ years, they’re 26-13-1 vs spread in last 40 road games. Since ’05, Chicago is 10-6 as home underdog; Packers are 14-10-1 in last 25 games as road favorite. Vutler has been sacked 11 times in two games, as loss of C Kreutz (to Saints) takes its toll on Bears’ OL; they’ve gone 3-out on 13 of 25 drives, converting only 8 of 28 on 3rd down, which has hurt their field position (-2/-12 in two games).

Steelers (1-1) @ Colts (0-2)—Pittsburgh won 14 of last 17 games in seldom-played (recently) series, splitting four visits to Indy. This is only fifth time teams have met since ’98, Manning’s rookie year. Steelers don’t have takeaway yet (-7); they’ve gone 3-out on nine of 19 drives as Roethlisberger still appears hampered by offseason foot injury. Of Pitt’s four TDs this year, only one was a drive longer than 68 yards. Dreadful Indy has two TDs, nine 3-outs on 22 drives with newly-signed Collins (35-69) at QB; they’re just 5-23 on 3rd down, have lost field position by 5-20 yards in losses by 27-9 points. Colts have only two TDs, two FGs in six red zone drives. Steelers are 19-22 vs spread on road last 5+ years, 11-16 in last 27 games as road favorite, 5-12 as non-divisional road fave, 21-25-1 in game following a win. Since 2002, Pittsburgh is 6-13 as double digit favorite. Colts are 7-17 vs spread in game following their last 24 losses.

Redskins (2-0) @ Cowboys (1-1)—Romo showed major guts in leading comeback win last week with busted rib/punctured lung, now he faces rival Redskins in Dallas home opener. Since 2004, Dallas is 4-12-1 vs spread as home favorite in divisional games. Cowboys won four of last five in series, with three of four wins by 4 or less points. Redskins lost four of last five visits to this site, with only one loss by more than five points. Four of last five series totals were 24 or less. Dallas is 9-12 in last 21 games as home favorites; they’re 9-7 in games following a win. Redskin defense allowed only 4-19 conversions on 3rd down, as Washington won field position in both wins, by 7-8 yards; they’ve got seven sacks and had defensive TD that put them ahead against Giants. Since 1988, Week 3 home favorites who played on road first two weeks are 15-33 vs spread; Week 3 road underdogs who played first two games at home are 34-22-1. One-dimensional Cowboys have 753 passing yards, only 109 on the ground.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/23/2011 10:30 PM

NFL


Week 3

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Trend Report
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Sunday, September 25

1:00 PM
NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
NY Giants are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. TENNESSEE
Denver is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Denver is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tennessee's last 12 games at home
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver

1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. NEW ORLEANS
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CINCINNATI
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. CAROLINA
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home
Carolina is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CLEVELAND
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England

4:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

4:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SAN DIEGO
Kansas City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
NY JETS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the NY Jets last 12 games on the road
NY Jets are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games on the road
Oakland is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games

4:15 PM
ARIZONA vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 14 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 13 games
Seattle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

4:15 PM
GREEN BAY vs. CHICAGO
Green Bay is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay

4:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

8:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Indianapolis is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh

Monday, September 26

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23749 Followers:32
09/25/2011 01:17 AM

NFL


Week 3

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Total Bias: NFL Week 3 over/under picks
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Once upon a time, key duties on an NFL rookie quarterback’s resume included Gatorade chemist, clipboard manager and bubble gum dispensary.

Sure, there were exceptions to the rule along the way. Peyton Manning took hits and threw picks in all 16 games as a rook back in 1998, don’t forget, but that was different. He was the Peyton Manning - the same guy who told Colts owner Jim Irsay that he’d kick his team’s ass for the next 15 years if he didn’t draft him first overall.

In the vast majority of cases, being a freshman quarterback entitled you to at least 16 games of sideline skirt gawking while you got your footing in the league.

Well, the times they are a-changin’.

No fewer than three rookie QBs are scheduled to start this week as their respective teams hope to fast forward the dreaded “rebuilding phase,” firing their freshmen into the fire to see if they can stand the heat.

So far the results have been good. Andy Dalton is turning a few heads on another terrible Bengals team, and of course, Cam Newton has put up Techmo Bowl numbers in his first two starts with the Panthers.

Now, the Jacksonville Jaguars hope Blaine Gabbert can do the same when they hook up with the Panthers in the Rookie Bowl Sunday (no pressure, right?).

Personally, I’m all for this new idea of letting the kids play if they can actually play instead of wasting a couple productive years because of veteran loyalty (here’s to you, Aaron Rogers).

The football world, through training development and better coaching and scouting, has accelerated to the point that some of these young players belong in the NFL game as soon as they get out of college.

But as usual in the NFL, everybody wants what they can’t have and they’re willing to copycat anything they see if it’ll mean more wins (and dollars) for them. It’s all a big pissing contests of the Joneses.

I’m not saying that’s what is going on in Jacksonville this week with Gabbert getting the call, but I don’t think he’s nearly as ready as Newton was – take that for what it’s worth. Really, if dollars weren’t the deciding factor we wouldn’t be having this conversation anyway as David Garrard took the snaps for the Jags.

I guess we’ll find out Sunday whether the future really is now.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Carolina Panthers (-3.5, 42.5)

The one word you hear around the league describing Gabbert is “raw.”

We all know he’s a big, strong, mobile kid that certainly has the skill set to be a solid NFL quarterback. His teammates say they love his confidence and intensity and are impressed with his pocket presence, speed and arm strength.

Translation: he’s a baller.

That’s why I can’t wait for this game. The two top quarterbacks out of the draft going shot-for-shot in a game that will mean more to each of them than they’ll ever admit.

It’s going to be messy at some points to be sure, but that’s part of the reason I like the over here. Neither of these teams is going to rein in these two studs and I think we’ll see some big plays from offense, defense and special teams.

Pick: Over


Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans (-7, 42)

I wasn’t so sure about Matt Hasselbeck with the Titans originally. Show’s what I know.

He’s leading this team with the veteran presence it needs and is just coming off a 358-yard day against the Baltimore Ravens in last weekend’s upset. The 35-year-old knows it’s important to get everybody involved when you’re joining a new team and has two legit receiving weapons in Kenny Britt and Nate Washington. Plus, you have to think Chris Johnson has to be just about ready to come out of his lockout fog.

Meanwhile, despite last weekend’s win, this Denver team is bullocks. The upside for over bettors is that the Broncos will have to keep throwing since they’ll probably be down by a couple of majors by halftime.

Pick: Over


Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (3, 43)

No idea where the points are going to come from in this one. Seattle was just blanked by Pittsburgh and there seems like there is no end to Tarvaris Jackson’s downward spiral.

Meanwhile, the Cardinals look pretty saucy on paper with their three-headed offensive monster led by Kevin Kolb, Beanie Wells, and Larry Fitzgerald, but so far that hasn’t materialized into much. Last week the Cardinals were outgained by more than 130 yards in their squeaker loss to the Redskins.
As ugly as this one might be, it’s a huge divisional game with both clubs still trying to work their offensive kinks out.

Pick: Under

Last week’s record: 2-1
Season record to date: 5-1


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: