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There comes a time in every gamblers life where he puts his balls on the line and raises the stakes to take the house. When that perfect hand comes around and you bet BIG and forget about money management. Sports betting is one of the hardest things to win at consistently, as it takes time, patience and intellectual understanding of the game. Situational probability is what I make my living off of when it comes to betting on most sports. In the NFL it works well. I have tailored my craft over the years to make it what it is today. I dont really get too involved with explaining how I get to a conclusion of my picks on here mathematically. Because quite frankly it's boring. Most games I add up all this and place my wager. I can tell you that this wager i am about to post on here had nothing to do with math and everything to do with Gambling know how and situational capping. I have no other justification for this pick other than that I am so sure in my heart that it will hit that I am risking exactly 53.5% of my entire bankroll to place this wager. I dont do numbers but I rather calculate what I am on in terms of units, and I know that most dont understand my unit size because most of you on here dont bet with my size bankroll. I am sure of that as I have been around the bigs and Vegas to know that most of you on here are square bettors (but a select few). I joined this site because what I love second to winning money is the challenge to pick a winner and to use my knowledge of sports betting to beat the books, all while helping some of you on here look at the game I am on from a different POV.
I made a post of this the other day and I placed my wager the next day thru my contacts that wager heavy. This pick is my Rachmaninov, my Michelangelo's David, my Legacy on this site and in sports betting. This will be the only play I make this week in the NFL.
I give you none other than:
JETS +9 (250 units)
JETS ML +300 (200 units)
JETS -3 +450 (alternate line) (50 units)
Wish me luck guys, as my balls are on the chopping block here
As far as the Bankroll is concerned I dont get into the numbers as I said. Just the Units. And Yes I have been around many gamblers in Vegas, and ones who know what they are doing. I learned a ton when I lived in Chicago for 3 years about what to look for and how to "press the line".
I wasnt trying to get into debates about my bankroll, as a real man does not let that information out to just anyone. But it is a great deal of money.
You guys point out about the way I chose to divvy up the units on this. I feel the Jets will win the game SU. I just dont know what the gap will be. 1? 2? 3?.....not sure.....I do know that the Jets are going to play this game tough, and they will catch a sleeping Texans team looking ahead to SNF where they host the Packers. Huge Sandwhich.
I want you guys to do something for me. Go to the Mountains and corner a Bobcat and walk towards it. Your face will be gone in less than 3 seconds. The Jets are a cornered beast right now is the analogy here. The Texans are going to play against a team that is desperate. The Jets will be all business on Monday night.
WOW.... BOL on the Jets. Last week I thought they were going to come out and win. Was really surprised how they played. This week they have even less on offense against a better defense... Its monday night and off an embarrassment but I cant pull the trigger on this one.