10/05/2012 02:58 PM
There comes a time in every gamblers life where he puts his balls on the line and raises the stakes to take the house. When that perfect hand comes around and you bet BIG and forget about money management. Sports betting is one of the hardest things to win at consistently, as it takes time, patience and intellectual understanding of the game. Situational probability is what I make my living off of when it comes to betting on most sports. In the NFL it works well. I have tailored my craft over the years to make it what it is today. I dont really get too involved with explaining how I get to a conclusion of my picks on here mathematically. Because quite frankly it's boring. Most games I add up all this and place my wager. I can tell you that this wager i am about to post on here had nothing to do with math and everything to do with Gambling know how and situational capping. I have no other justification for this pick other than that I am so sure in my heart that it will hit that I am risking exactly 53.5% of my entire bankroll to place this wager. I dont do numbers but I rather calculate what I am on in terms of units, and I know that most dont understand my unit size because most of you on here dont bet with my size bankroll. I am sure of that as I have been around the bigs and Vegas to know that most of you on here are square bettors (but a select few). I joined this site because what I love second to winning money is the challenge to pick a winner and to use my knowledge of sports betting to beat the books, all while helping some of you on here look at the game I am on from a different POV.
I made a post of this the other day and I placed my wager the next day thru my contacts that wager heavy. This pick is my Rachmaninov, my Michelangelo's David, my Legacy on this site and in sports betting. This will be the only play I make this week in the NFL.
I give you none other than:
JETS +9 (250 units)
JETS ML +300 (200 units)
JETS -3 +450 (alternate line) (50 units)
Wish me luck guys, as my balls are on the chopping block here