09/22/2011 06:16 PM
Ohio State At The Shoe Against Colorado Buffaloes
Saturday’s total in Columbus has been bet down to 44 ½ points.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are trending in the wrong direction as they host the Colorado Buffaloes on Saturday afternoon at 3:30 p.m. (ET) on either ABC or ESPN2.
Big Ten Ohio State is still a 15-point college football betting favorite with a total of 44 ½. Those are both decreases from the opening 15 ½ pointspread and 46 ½ total.
The fact the total has been bet down is not surprising. After all, Ohio State (2-1 straight up, 1-2 against the spread) couldn’t even muster a touchdown in the 24-6 loss at Miami last week as 2-point ‘dogs. Senior quarterback Joe Bauserman was a miserable 2-of-14 passing for 13 yards, while true freshman backup Braxton Miller didn’t do much better (2-of-4, 22 yards, one pick, one fumble).
The loss dropped the Buckeyes out of the AP top 25 for the first time since 2004. The Don Best Linemakers Poll lowered them from No. 21 to No. 26.
The Buckeyes at least return home where they’re undefeated, although they struggled there last time out. A win (27-22) over Toledo on September 10 required a late defensive stand and they looked nothing like a 17 ½-point favorite. There was an opening 42-0 home win over Akron, but that MAC bottom-dweller has been outscored 142-17 this season.
Interim head coach Luke Fickell hasn't done much to have that tag removed. He still has two more games before he gets back suspended running back Dan Herron, receiver DeVier Posey and offensive tackle Mike Adams.
Those three players will eventually boost a running game that is 53rd nationally (170 YPG) and a passing game that ranks 96th (172.3 YPG). Fickell is reportedly leaning towards starting Miller this week and the former five-star recruit is very talented with a big arm and ability to scramble.
Ohio State can move the ball on Colorado’s defense (318.7 YPG, 42nd nationally) as long as it doesn’t shoot itself in the foot with turnovers.
The ‘under’ is 3-0 for Ohio State this year with the offense averaging 25 PPG and the defense allowing 15.3 PPG.
The Buckeyes are 7-1-1 in their last nine games against the Pac-12, although Colorado just joined that conference this season. OSU was 15-4 ATS in its prior 19 home games before this season.
Pac-12 Colorado (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) got its first win for new coach Jon Embree last week, 28-14 over Colorado State, played at neutral site Denver The Buffaloes were 7-point favorites and have now ‘covered’ two straight after a 36-33 OT loss to California as 6 ½-point home ‘dogs on Sept. 10.
Senior quarterback Tyler Hansen is healthy and really coming into his own with seven touchdowns versus one interception. He exploded for 474 yards against Cal and the team’s 304 YPG passing ranks 22nd in the country.
Running back Rodney Stewart hasn’t been as successful this year (223 yards, 3.7 yards per carry. That’s coming off a 1,318 yard season, 4.5 yards per carry.
Ohio State allowed 240 rushing yards to Miami last week after a combined 81 the first two. Colorado needs to run Stewart to keep the defense honest, but look for a good effort from the Ohio State front seven and Hansen will need to make plays to keep this game close.
Colorado has a big monkey on its back, losing 18 straight true road games dating back to 2007. The one this year was a 34-17 opening loss at Hawaii as 6-point ‘dogs, surrendering 343 total yards of offense.
The team is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 road games overall.
Colorado does have some injury concerns along the offensive line. Starting center Daniel Munyer (ankle) is questionable, but there’s good news with left tackle David Bakhtiari (knee), who is upgraded to probable.
This is the first meeting between the teams since 1986. Weather is only expected to be in the high 50s, low 60s with a 40 percent chance of precipitation.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: