Wednesday, October 10
Jackson was with Cardinals LY; he was 1-1, 5.60 in four postseason starts in Cards' World Series run. He allowed one (unearned) run vs Cards Aug 30 in a 8-1 win, then gave up nine runs (eight earned) in 12-2 loss at St Louis Sept 28, which sums up his career. He has allowed 12 runs in 22 career postseason IP. Washington is 5-4 vs Cardinals this year, with home side 6-3 in those games; seven of the nine games went over total. Carpenter is 0-2, 3.71 in three starts this season, allowing only 19 baserunners in 17 IP. He is 9-2, 3.05 in his 15 career postseason starts.
Cueto is out until World Series, if Reds get that far; Leake takes his place here- he is 1-0, 3.32 in his last three starts, and beat Giants 5-1 with CG effort back on June 29. Zito is 5-0, 2.35 in his last five starts; he allowed one run in six IP in both his '12 starts vs Cincy, but didn't win either one. Zito is 4-3, 3.25 in his seven postseason starts. Reds/Giants are both 12-7 in their last 19 games; Reds are 6-4 against SF this year after winning twice out west. Under is 10-2 in Cincinnati's last 11 home games, seven of last ten Giant road games also stayed under. Ball doesn't carry as well in this park in cooler weather.
MGonzalez is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts, 2-0, 2.63 in two starts against Bronx this season, both in this park. Kuroda is 2-0, 2.92 in his last two starts, 1-1, 2.93 in two starts vs Baltimore this year. Road team is 13-7 in Bronx-O's games this season; Orioles are 6-3 at this site. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Keep in mind Baltimore is 30-9 in one-run games and has won sixteen extra-inning games in a row. They're a confident team. Pressure is on Bronx.
Detroit is 6-4 vs Oakland this year, won 10 of last 13 games overall, but lost 12 of last 20 road games. Oakland won seven in row and nine of last ten home tilts, Scherzer is 5-1, 1.50 in his last nine starts but has been battling physical problems, most recently a bum ankle- he allowed three runs in 7.1 IP vs A's this year. Griffin is 1-1, 7.79 in his last four starts; he allowed five runs in 4.2 IP at Detroit Sept 18. Home side won all three series games; visitors are 7-2 in other nine playoff games.