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151rum
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games and early picks 151

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On 08/30/2011 05:26 PM in NCAA Football
ucla at houston houst-3
as an away dog last yr, ucla was 1-5 ats and 1-5 str up..vs non conf they were 2-1 ats
they have won last 3 vs houston, winning 31-13 last yr at home, houston was ranked #23 at the time before collapsing..uscla has 9 ret starters on off and 8 on def

houston meanwhile is 7-1 since 03 in home openers, and 5 str wins by an avg of 38 pts
as a home fav last yr they were 1-3 ats, and were 0-4 vs non conf teams...houston returns 6 on off and 6 on def this yr, they have a very deep rb corps, led by sr. beall..qb is led by sr. keenum, and all their wr's are sr's this yr also..i think houston could get to 11 wins this yr, ..look for them to revenge last yrs loss here at home....
line opened at -4 now -3 wich i like :) ...
my pick is houston-3..waiting till game day maybe unless it hits 2.5 gl 151

col st vs new mex..line is col st-5.5 opened at -3.5
col st is 3-14 str up away last 5 yr, ..1-3 as an away fav last 3 yr, they beat new mex 38-14 last yr as an 16 pt fav..they return 8 off and 6 on def...they are on a few peoples surprise teams this yr, and should be improved..very expd at wr, ..their def line is very expd, and their lb corps is a top notch unit...probably best team that 4 yr coach fairchils has had since he came there.

new mexico..returns 6 on off, and 9 on def..
new mexico has not scored a td in the season opener since 05'..last yr new mex was down only 14-21 until col st ran off 10 str points to win by 17
they do get some VHT transfers who will play this yr, and it also is coach locksleys best team he has had,
this game is too hard for me to call...toss up

ohio vs new mex st..line ohio-7.5 opened at -8
ohio is 3-10 in road openers, have won 3 of last 4 vs non bcs teams,..all 6 of ohios road games this yr are vs teams that did not make a bowl game last yr.
ohio ret's 7 on off and only 4 on def..they were 3-3 last yr str up away, and were 2-1 as an away fav...they also return 57 letterman.

new mex st...returns 9 on off, and 7 on def....they are 12-7 in home openers but have lost last 4 to fbs schools.they were 2-4 str up at home last yr, and were 1-4 as a home dog.they were 0-4 vs non conf teams...this is probably the best team new mex st has had last 3 yrs...

ohio is a strong mac school, they dont have to pay the top 3 teams in the west div this yr, so i see them again in the mac championship game
my pick is ohio-7.5 reg play

f.i.u vs n.texas line fiu-14.5 opened at about 12
fiu has 8 off and 7 def ret starters...they won last yr 34-10 at n.tex...they are just 2-7 in home openers..and have won 4 str over n.texas..they were 3-2 str up at home last yr, and were 1-3 as a home fav.

n.texas has 5 ret starters on off and 7 on def....they were 0-6 at home last yr and3-3 away.....
n.tex has a new head coach this yr,..they have lost 4 str to fiu,..2 yrs ago n.texas was leading 28-14, but 3 to's resulted in 21 fiu pts to lose 35-28..i think this team will improve under new hc mc carney..they did have a few close losses last yr, i see them winning about 6 games this yr..
my pick n.texas+14.5 1 unit

gl all 151
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