cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 07:51 PM

NFL Rewind - Week 7

October 24, 2012

As we rapidly approach the halfway mark of another NFL season the picture is starting to become clearer on many levels. The cream is rising to the top, while a few upstarts who touted impressive early season records are starting to come back to their typical performance. But, this is the NFL, a league of ultra-parity, where truly in any week, for the most part, any team is capable of pulling off the big upset. Let's examine the numbers…

Performance Ratings (max grade is 160, 80 on offense and 80 on defense, calculated using 16 different stats with 5 points per stat being the best score = 16x5 = 80).

Performance Ratings

Category Offense Defense Total Team Blended

Wins Team Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating Rank SOS

6 HOU 50.2 4 50.3 2 100.5 1 31

5 SF 47.9 6 49.1 3 96.9 2 16

5 CHI 42.6 13 51.4 1 94.0 3 23

3 DEN 50.3 3 42.3 8 92.6 4 1

4 NE 54.9 1 34.6 22 89.6 5 29

3 PIT 47.6 7 41.0 12 88.6 6 22

3 PHI 42.3 14 45.5 7 87.8 7 14

4 GB 45.3 9 42.1 9 87.4 8 8

3 WAS 54.4 2 32.4 25 86.7 9 28

5 NYG 49.8 5 36.1 18 85.9 10 21

3 DAL 43.3 10 41.0 12 84.3 11 9

5 MIN 41.9 16 41.9 10 83.8 12 31

4 SEA 35.9 27 47.1 5 83.0 13 10

3 MIA 36.7 24 46.2 6 82.8 14 17

2 DET 41.6 17 40.8 14 82.4 15 2

3 SD 41.4 18 40.7 15 82.1 16 26

6 ATL 47.1 8 34.3 23 81.3 17 18

4 ARI 31.8 31 48.6 4 80.4 18 11

1 KC 41.4 18 37.6 17 79.0 19 25

2 TB 40.0 20 39.0 16 79.0 19 20

3 STL 36.9 23 41.1 11 78.0 21 5

3 CIN 39.2 21 35.1 21 74.4 22 32

5 BAL 42.2 15 31.6 27 73.9 23 13

3 NYJ 35.6 28 36.1 19 71.6 24 3

2 OAK 36.1 26 35.4 20 71.5 25 7

3 BUF 42.9 12 28.2 30 71.1 26 28

1 CAR 38.3 22 31.3 28 69.7 27 12

3 IND 35.5 29 33.6 24 69.1 28 19

2 NO 43.0 11 22.9 32 65.9 29 16

1 CLE 32.9 30 31.8 26 64.7 30 24

3 TEN 36.4 25 23.4 31 59.7 31 6

1 JAC 27.3 32 28.9 29 56.3 32 5



*Blended SOS is a weighted average of opponent's performance ratings and opponent's record

Back at the top of the heap are the Houston Texans, who continue to impress outside their SNF loss 2 weeks ago vs. Green Bay. That game was more a case of "probability" where the Packers needed that game and the Texans were overdue to pick up their first loss of the season versus truly whom the better team is in my opinion - which is supported by my numbers. If you follow this column you know for our money the Texans have been the best team in football extending back to early 2011 before QB Matt Schaub went down - and with him healthy and under center they have picked up right where they left off last season, including exacting revenge on the Ravens in impressive fashion this past Sunday.

What is interesting this season is the top 3 defenses in the NFL according to my numbers, Chicago, Houston, San Francisco, currently comprise the top 3 spots in my performance rankings. Who says defense doesn't win championships anymore?

Denver remained strong at #4, as their Strength of Schedule (SOS) has continued to improve and currently sits at #1 in the NFL. Sitting at 3-3 that is not good news for the rest of the AFC, ESPECIALLY considering that according to my numbers, Denver will face the easiest closing schedule going forward as measured by opponent's performance stat ranking, and also according to opponent's record. There is a very solid chance DEN will wind up with the #2 seed in the AFC playoffs, believe it or not.

New England remains in the top 5, followed by the pair of keystone state teams trailing close behind at #6 and #7. Green Bay sits at #8, having faced the second toughest schedule amongst the top ten teams in the ratings.

Next up a trio of NFC East teams check in at #9, #10, #11 - Dallas has played the best thus far when adjusting the numbers for SOS - and their meeting with the New York Giants this week will be a critical game for NFC East superiority as a Cowboys win would give them the important tie-breaker by virtue of a season sweep over the defending champs.

Behind that trio is a pair of surprise NFC teams in Seattle and Minnesota, both of whom have climbed the rankings this season driven by very strong defenses. Nine of the top 13 teams ending with Minnesota are from the NFC, further supporting the point of NFC dominance to this point in the season.

Detroit is the highest rated under .500 team sitting at #15 - a lot of their record is driven by a tough SOS which only trails Denver in strength thus far. Unfortunately for the Lions their schedule does not ease up much like the Broncos does, as going forward it is rated #2 according to opponents win %, and #13 according to opponent's performance stat ranking.

Atlanta, although still undefeated, sits way down at #17 against an average SOS - their offense is playing well but not elite checking in at #8, while their defense is still struggling ranking #23 in the NFL, including #32 vs. the rush. The Falcons have quite a few holes, and their hot start is a bit of a mirage - and likely money making opportunity as the calendar turns to November.

Baltimore sits way down at #23, the lowest they have been ranked at this point in any season since this analysis commenced. The issue with the Ravens is a defense that is being gashed for 23ppg, ranking #27 in my performance stats including #23 vs. the rush. If Flacco cannot lead that offense to significantly more consistency and production than the current 24.9ppg, Baltimore could miss the playoffs for the first time since 2007.

Right behind Baltimore are the New York Jets, who have been ranked between #24 and #29 since Wk2, driven by a subpar offense (ranked #28) and a tough SOS (ranked #3). Of the bottom six teams in the ratings five reside in either the AFC or NFC South, including surprise strugglers Carolina and New Orleans. Probably the most surprising team of the season in a bad way is New Orleans, who has not ranked above #27 in the performance ratings in any week this season. Many expected a step back for the Saints this year, but not many predicted a team that would have 2 wins thru the first 7 weeks of the season.

Next up, here are my projected standings after Week 7. As a reminder, this process involves playing out the entire season based on my power ratings for each team.



AFC East Wins Loss
NE 8.99 7.01
MIA 7.94 8.07
NYJ 7.42 8.58
BUF 6.93 9.08

NFC East Wins Loss
NYG 9.71 6.29
PHI 8.66 7.35
DAL 8.54 7.46
WAS 7.39 8.61


AFC North Wins Loss
BAL 9.15 6.85
PIT 9.05 6.95
CIN 6.60 9.40
CLE 4.72 11.28

NFC North Wins Loss
CHI 11.39 4.61
GB 9.54 6.46
MIN 8.38 7.62
DET 7.34 8.66


AFC South Wins Loss
HOU 12.85 3.15
IND 6.88 9.13
TEN 6.82 9.18
JAC 4.48 11.53

NFC South Wins Loss
ATL 10.70 5.30
TB 6.69 9.31
NO 5.87 10.13
CAR 5.38 10.62


AFC West Wins Loss
DEN 10.25 5.75
SD 7.83 8.17
OAK 6.31 9.69
KC 5.78 10.22

NFC West Wins Loss
SF 11.62 4.38
SEA 8.57 7.43
ARI 7.43 8.57
STL 6.81 9.19




AFC Playoffs:
#1 Houston
#2 Denver
#3 Baltimore vs. #6 Miami
#4 New England vs. #5 Pittsburgh

NFC Playoffs:
#1 San Francisco
#2 Chicago
#3 Atlanta vs. #6 Philadelphia
#4 N.Y. Giants vs. #5 Green Bay

I have updated the power rating of 10 teams, 4 up / 6 down, but maintained the balance in the ratings. Following those adjustments, and updating for actual wins and losses in Week 7, here are the teams that have a +/- 1 win move in the latest projections:

UP:
Pittsburgh +1.3
Chicago +1.2
Oakland +1.1
Tennessee +1.1

DOWN:
Cincinnati (1.0)

Interesting tidbit on this week's projected final standings goes is there was only two teams that moved in their projected finish in their division - New Orleans and Carolina flip-flopped spots with the Saints shifting to 3rd in the NFC South, and Carolina projected to finish in last place. The other 30 teams in the NFL all remained in their same spot I projected them to finish in last week's version - not bad, and shows as the season goes in this analysis really is accurate.

In the race for the 1st pick in the 2013 NFL draft Jacksonville remained the favorite, but Cleveland has moved even closer following their jump over Tennessee two weeks prior. Tennessee has picked up a couple of wins since QB Matt Hasselbeck has taken over, and would seem to be out of this mix if he continues playing. This race is Jacksonville's to lose, no question about it. If Jacksonville finished the season at their current rating of 56.3 that would be the worst season of any team since this analysis commenced; currently, the 2011 Colts hold the record for poor play as they rated 58.4 last season.

Last analysis for this week is my power rankings.

Power Rankings - Week 7
Rank Team
1 Houston
2 San Francisco
3 Chicago
4 Denver
5 Green Bay
6 New England
7 Pittsburgh
8 New York Giants
9 Dallas
10 Philadelphia
11 Seattle
12 Washington
13 Detroit
14 Atlanta
15 San Diego
15 New York Jets
17 Minnesota
17 Baltimore
19 Carolina
20 St. Louis
20 Miami
20 Arizona
23 New Orleans
24 Tampa Bay
25 Kansas City
26 Oakland
26 Cincinnati
26 Buffalo
29 Indianapolis
29 Cleveland
31 Tennessee
32 Jacksonville

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 07:51 PM

NFL Rewind - Week 7

October 24, 2012

As we rapidly approach the halfway mark of another NFL season the picture is starting to become clearer on many levels. The cream is rising to the top, while a few upstarts who touted impressive early season records are starting to come back to their typical performance. But, this is the NFL, a league of ultra-parity, where truly in any week, for the most part, any team is capable of pulling off the big upset. Let's examine the numbers…

Performance Ratings (max grade is 160, 80 on offense and 80 on defense, calculated using 16 different stats with 5 points per stat being the best score = 16x5 = 80).

Performance Ratings

Category Offense Defense Total Team Blended

Wins Team Rating Rank Rating Rank Rating Rank SOS

6 HOU 50.2 4 50.3 2 100.5 1 31

5 SF 47.9 6 49.1 3 96.9 2 16

5 CHI 42.6 13 51.4 1 94.0 3 23

3 DEN 50.3 3 42.3 8 92.6 4 1

4 NE 54.9 1 34.6 22 89.6 5 29

3 PIT 47.6 7 41.0 12 88.6 6 22

3 PHI 42.3 14 45.5 7 87.8 7 14

4 GB 45.3 9 42.1 9 87.4 8 8

3 WAS 54.4 2 32.4 25 86.7 9 28

5 NYG 49.8 5 36.1 18 85.9 10 21

3 DAL 43.3 10 41.0 12 84.3 11 9

5 MIN 41.9 16 41.9 10 83.8 12 31

4 SEA 35.9 27 47.1 5 83.0 13 10

3 MIA 36.7 24 46.2 6 82.8 14 17

2 DET 41.6 17 40.8 14 82.4 15 2

3 SD 41.4 18 40.7 15 82.1 16 26

6 ATL 47.1 8 34.3 23 81.3 17 18

4 ARI 31.8 31 48.6 4 80.4 18 11

1 KC 41.4 18 37.6 17 79.0 19 25

2 TB 40.0 20 39.0 16 79.0 19 20

3 STL 36.9 23 41.1 11 78.0 21 5

3 CIN 39.2 21 35.1 21 74.4 22 32

5 BAL 42.2 15 31.6 27 73.9 23 13

3 NYJ 35.6 28 36.1 19 71.6 24 3

2 OAK 36.1 26 35.4 20 71.5 25 7

3 BUF 42.9 12 28.2 30 71.1 26 28

1 CAR 38.3 22 31.3 28 69.7 27 12

3 IND 35.5 29 33.6 24 69.1 28 19

2 NO 43.0 11 22.9 32 65.9 29 16

1 CLE 32.9 30 31.8 26 64.7 30 24

3 TEN 36.4 25 23.4 31 59.7 31 6

1 JAC 27.3 32 28.9 29 56.3 32 5



*Blended SOS is a weighted average of opponent's performance ratings and opponent's record

Back at the top of the heap are the Houston Texans, who continue to impress outside their SNF loss 2 weeks ago vs. Green Bay. That game was more a case of "probability" where the Packers needed that game and the Texans were overdue to pick up their first loss of the season versus truly whom the better team is in my opinion - which is supported by my numbers. If you follow this column you know for our money the Texans have been the best team in football extending back to early 2011 before QB Matt Schaub went down - and with him healthy and under center they have picked up right where they left off last season, including exacting revenge on the Ravens in impressive fashion this past Sunday.

What is interesting this season is the top 3 defenses in the NFL according to my numbers, Chicago, Houston, San Francisco, currently comprise the top 3 spots in my performance rankings. Who says defense doesn't win championships anymore?

Denver remained strong at #4, as their Strength of Schedule (SOS) has continued to improve and currently sits at #1 in the NFL. Sitting at 3-3 that is not good news for the rest of the AFC, ESPECIALLY considering that according to my numbers, Denver will face the easiest closing schedule going forward as measured by opponent's performance stat ranking, and also according to opponent's record. There is a very solid chance DEN will wind up with the #2 seed in the AFC playoffs, believe it or not.

New England remains in the top 5, followed by the pair of keystone state teams trailing close behind at #6 and #7. Green Bay sits at #8, having faced the second toughest schedule amongst the top ten teams in the ratings.

Next up a trio of NFC East teams check in at #9, #10, #11 - Dallas has played the best thus far when adjusting the numbers for SOS - and their meeting with the New York Giants this week will be a critical game for NFC East superiority as a Cowboys win would give them the important tie-breaker by virtue of a season sweep over the defending champs.

Behind that trio is a pair of surprise NFC teams in Seattle and Minnesota, both of whom have climbed the rankings this season driven by very strong defenses. Nine of the top 13 teams ending with Minnesota are from the NFC, further supporting the point of NFC dominance to this point in the season.

Detroit is the highest rated under .500 team sitting at #15 - a lot of their record is driven by a tough SOS which only trails Denver in strength thus far. Unfortunately for the Lions their schedule does not ease up much like the Broncos does, as going forward it is rated #2 according to opponents win %, and #13 according to opponent's performance stat ranking.

Atlanta, although still undefeated, sits way down at #17 against an average SOS - their offense is playing well but not elite checking in at #8, while their defense is still struggling ranking #23 in the NFL, including #32 vs. the rush. The Falcons have quite a few holes, and their hot start is a bit of a mirage - and likely money making opportunity as the calendar turns to November.

Baltimore sits way down at #23, the lowest they have been ranked at this point in any season since this analysis commenced. The issue with the Ravens is a defense that is being gashed for 23ppg, ranking #27 in my performance stats including #23 vs. the rush. If Flacco cannot lead that offense to significantly more consistency and production than the current 24.9ppg, Baltimore could miss the playoffs for the first time since 2007.

Right behind Baltimore are the New York Jets, who have been ranked between #24 and #29 since Wk2, driven by a subpar offense (ranked #28) and a tough SOS (ranked #3). Of the bottom six teams in the ratings five reside in either the AFC or NFC South, including surprise strugglers Carolina and New Orleans. Probably the most surprising team of the season in a bad way is New Orleans, who has not ranked above #27 in the performance ratings in any week this season. Many expected a step back for the Saints this year, but not many predicted a team that would have 2 wins thru the first 7 weeks of the season.

Next up, here are my projected standings after Week 7. As a reminder, this process involves playing out the entire season based on my power ratings for each team.



AFC East Wins Loss
NE 8.99 7.01
MIA 7.94 8.07
NYJ 7.42 8.58
BUF 6.93 9.08

NFC East Wins Loss
NYG 9.71 6.29
PHI 8.66 7.35
DAL 8.54 7.46
WAS 7.39 8.61


AFC North Wins Loss
BAL 9.15 6.85
PIT 9.05 6.95
CIN 6.60 9.40
CLE 4.72 11.28

NFC North Wins Loss
CHI 11.39 4.61
GB 9.54 6.46
MIN 8.38 7.62
DET 7.34 8.66


AFC South Wins Loss
HOU 12.85 3.15
IND 6.88 9.13
TEN 6.82 9.18
JAC 4.48 11.53

NFC South Wins Loss
ATL 10.70 5.30
TB 6.69 9.31
NO 5.87 10.13
CAR 5.38 10.62


AFC West Wins Loss
DEN 10.25 5.75
SD 7.83 8.17
OAK 6.31 9.69
KC 5.78 10.22

NFC West Wins Loss
SF 11.62 4.38
SEA 8.57 7.43
ARI 7.43 8.57
STL 6.81 9.19




AFC Playoffs:
#1 Houston
#2 Denver
#3 Baltimore vs. #6 Miami
#4 New England vs. #5 Pittsburgh

NFC Playoffs:
#1 San Francisco
#2 Chicago
#3 Atlanta vs. #6 Philadelphia
#4 N.Y. Giants vs. #5 Green Bay

I have updated the power rating of 10 teams, 4 up / 6 down, but maintained the balance in the ratings. Following those adjustments, and updating for actual wins and losses in Week 7, here are the teams that have a +/- 1 win move in the latest projections:

UP:
Pittsburgh +1.3
Chicago +1.2
Oakland +1.1
Tennessee +1.1

DOWN:
Cincinnati (1.0)

Interesting tidbit on this week's projected final standings goes is there was only two teams that moved in their projected finish in their division - New Orleans and Carolina flip-flopped spots with the Saints shifting to 3rd in the NFC South, and Carolina projected to finish in last place. The other 30 teams in the NFL all remained in their same spot I projected them to finish in last week's version - not bad, and shows as the season goes in this analysis really is accurate.

In the race for the 1st pick in the 2013 NFL draft Jacksonville remained the favorite, but Cleveland has moved even closer following their jump over Tennessee two weeks prior. Tennessee has picked up a couple of wins since QB Matt Hasselbeck has taken over, and would seem to be out of this mix if he continues playing. This race is Jacksonville's to lose, no question about it. If Jacksonville finished the season at their current rating of 56.3 that would be the worst season of any team since this analysis commenced; currently, the 2011 Colts hold the record for poor play as they rated 58.4 last season.

Last analysis for this week is my power rankings.

Power Rankings - Week 7
Rank Team
1 Houston
2 San Francisco
3 Chicago
4 Denver
5 Green Bay
6 New England
7 Pittsburgh
8 New York Giants
9 Dallas
10 Philadelphia
11 Seattle
12 Washington
13 Detroit
14 Atlanta
15 San Diego
15 New York Jets
17 Minnesota
17 Baltimore
19 Carolina
20 St. Louis
20 Miami
20 Arizona
23 New Orleans
24 Tampa Bay
25 Kansas City
26 Oakland
26 Cincinnati
26 Buffalo
29 Indianapolis
29 Cleveland
31 Tennessee
32 Jacksonville

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 07:55 PM

Tech Trends - Week 8

October 24, 2012

Thursday, Oct. 25 - NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

The underdog team is 5-1-1 in Vikings games TY (Minn. 1-3-1 as chalk). Bucs, based on recent trends.

Sunday, Oct. 28 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Rams 5-3 vs. line this season for Jeff Fisher, all as underdog. Conflicting "totals" numbers, Patriots "over" 32-12 last 44, Rams "under" 27-14 since late 2009. Rams, based on recent trends.

Titans 2-5 as chalk since LY. Colts "over" 2-0 on road TY, Titans "over" 2-1 at home. "Over" and slight to Colts, based on "totals" and team trends.

Road team is 6-0 vs. line in Jag games TY (Jags 4-0 vs. points away). Pack "over" 18-7 last 25 since late 2010 and "over" 8-1 last nine at Lambeau. "Over" and Jags, based on extended Pack "totals" and road-in-Jag trends.

Norv 1-3 SU and vs. line last four TY, Brownies 7-3-1 vs. line last 10 on board since late LY. Norv "over" vs. Denver last Monday but "under" 13-7 last 20. Browns and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Five of six Philly games TY decided by 3 points or fewer. Eagles 1-5 vs. line TY as dog team has covered in every Philly game. Falcons "under" 5-2 last seven since late LY, Eagles "under" 10-4 last 14. "Under" and Falcons, based on "totals" and team trends.

Pete Carroll 5-2 vs. line TY as dog has covered every Seahawks game; Pete 11-1 last 12 as dog and 16-5 last 21 vs. number. Lions 5-13 last 18 on board and 2-6 last 8 against points at Ford Field, and Jim Schwartz "over" 26-14-2 since late 2009. Seahawks, based on recent Pete Carroll trends.

Dolphins 7-1 vs. line last 8 away, Jets surprising 3-0 as chalk TY. Dolphins, based on team trends.

Note that Bears are 9-2 vs. line in Jay Cutler's last eleven starts. Bears also "over" 6-3 last 9 at Soldier Field. Panthers 6-3-1 "over" on road since Cam arrived LY. "Over" and Bears, based on "totals" and team trends.

Skins "over" 10-4 last 14, although Steel "under" last five at Heinz Field. Skins 4-1 as dog TY and 8-3 last 11 in role. Redskins, based on team trends.

Sunday, Oct. 28 - All games to start at 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Huge road series, Oakland 5-0 SU last five and 8-0-1 vs. spread last nine at Arrowhead. Road team is 16-1-1 vs. line in this series since 2003! "Unders" 7-1 last 8 in series too. Raiders and "under," based on series trends.

Cowboys 0-3 SU and vs. line at new Jerry Jones Stadium against G-Men. Coughlin 7-3 vs. line last 10 against Dallas although G-Men did lose opener vs. Jerry Jones TY. Giants have covered last 8 as visitor. Dallas 2-9 vs. line last 11 as host and "under" 15-6 last 22 since late in 2010 season, although "over" last three at home vs. Giants. Giants, based on series trends.

Sunday, Oct. 28 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Denver "over" 31-14 since late in 2009 season, Saints "over" 16-8 last 24 since late 2010. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Monday, Oct. 29 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

SF 6-2 vs. line last eight meetings but note Harbaugh just 2-4 vs. spread last six on road and one of those was a loss at Glendale late LY. Whisenhunt has 6 of last 8 as home dog. Cards, based on team trends.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 07:55 PM

Tech Trends - Week 8

October 24, 2012

Thursday, Oct. 25 - NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

The underdog team is 5-1-1 in Vikings games TY (Minn. 1-3-1 as chalk). Bucs, based on recent trends.

Sunday, Oct. 28 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Rams 5-3 vs. line this season for Jeff Fisher, all as underdog. Conflicting "totals" numbers, Patriots "over" 32-12 last 44, Rams "under" 27-14 since late 2009. Rams, based on recent trends.

Titans 2-5 as chalk since LY. Colts "over" 2-0 on road TY, Titans "over" 2-1 at home. "Over" and slight to Colts, based on "totals" and team trends.

Road team is 6-0 vs. line in Jag games TY (Jags 4-0 vs. points away). Pack "over" 18-7 last 25 since late 2010 and "over" 8-1 last nine at Lambeau. "Over" and Jags, based on extended Pack "totals" and road-in-Jag trends.

Norv 1-3 SU and vs. line last four TY, Brownies 7-3-1 vs. line last 10 on board since late LY. Norv "over" vs. Denver last Monday but "under" 13-7 last 20. Browns and slight to "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Five of six Philly games TY decided by 3 points or fewer. Eagles 1-5 vs. line TY as dog team has covered in every Philly game. Falcons "under" 5-2 last seven since late LY, Eagles "under" 10-4 last 14. "Under" and Falcons, based on "totals" and team trends.

Pete Carroll 5-2 vs. line TY as dog has covered every Seahawks game; Pete 11-1 last 12 as dog and 16-5 last 21 vs. number. Lions 5-13 last 18 on board and 2-6 last 8 against points at Ford Field, and Jim Schwartz "over" 26-14-2 since late 2009. Seahawks, based on recent Pete Carroll trends.

Dolphins 7-1 vs. line last 8 away, Jets surprising 3-0 as chalk TY. Dolphins, based on team trends.

Note that Bears are 9-2 vs. line in Jay Cutler's last eleven starts. Bears also "over" 6-3 last 9 at Soldier Field. Panthers 6-3-1 "over" on road since Cam arrived LY. "Over" and Bears, based on "totals" and team trends.

Skins "over" 10-4 last 14, although Steel "under" last five at Heinz Field. Skins 4-1 as dog TY and 8-3 last 11 in role. Redskins, based on team trends.

Sunday, Oct. 28 - All games to start at 4:05 and 4:25 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Huge road series, Oakland 5-0 SU last five and 8-0-1 vs. spread last nine at Arrowhead. Road team is 16-1-1 vs. line in this series since 2003! "Unders" 7-1 last 8 in series too. Raiders and "under," based on series trends.

Cowboys 0-3 SU and vs. line at new Jerry Jones Stadium against G-Men. Coughlin 7-3 vs. line last 10 against Dallas although G-Men did lose opener vs. Jerry Jones TY. Giants have covered last 8 as visitor. Dallas 2-9 vs. line last 11 as host and "under" 15-6 last 22 since late in 2010 season, although "over" last three at home vs. Giants. Giants, based on series trends.

Sunday, Oct. 28 - NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Denver "over" 31-14 since late in 2009 season, Saints "over" 16-8 last 24 since late 2010. "Over," based on "totals" trends.

Monday, Oct. 29 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

SF 6-2 vs. line last eight meetings but note Harbaugh just 2-4 vs. spread last six on road and one of those was a loss at Glendale late LY. Whisenhunt has 6 of last 8 as home dog. Cards, based on team trends.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 07:58 PM

Vikings, Buccaneers Clash On Thursday Night Football

The Minnesota Vikings may be the surprise team of the entire NFL. They look to keep the ‘good times rolling’ while hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football.

The Don Best Pro Odds have just announced NFL Week 8 and Minnesota is 6½-point favorites with a total of 41½-42. The total is one of the lowest of the week. The NFL Network will have the 8:20 p.m. (ET) telecast from Mall of America Field.

The Vikings were predicted to finish deep in the cellar of the competitive NFC North, which also includes the Packers, Bears and Lions. However, they’ve come out of the gate surprisingly strong at 5-2 straight up (3-3-1 against the spread).

Coach Leslie Frazier’s team has benefitted from some questionable competition. The latest example was yesterday’s 21-14 home win over Arizona as 7-point favorites. John Skelton was the opposing quarterback with Kevin Kolb injured. The Vikings have only played two teams that are currently over .500.

There is also concern at quarterback with Christian Ponder slowing down after a strong start. The second-year product from Florida State threw for just 58 yards on 17 attempts last game. He has six interceptions the last three weeks after none in the first four games.

Fortunately, running back Adrian Peterson is looking nothing like a guy coming off knee surgery. He has 652 yards on the season (4.8 per carry) and the team is ranked seventh in rushing overall (132.3 YPG).

The defense has also played well at 18.7 PPG allowed (ranked sixth). That’s helped the ‘under’ go 5-1 in the last six games, including 3-0 in the last three at home.

The Buccaneers are just 2-4 SU in coach Greg Schiano’s first season after a 35-28 home loss to New Orleans yesterday. They blew a 21-7 second quarter lead as Drew Brees (377 yards, four TDs) picked apart the league’s 31th-ranked pass defense (323 YPG) that is missing suspended cornerback Aqib Talib.

The ‘over’ is now 3-0 in Tampa Bay’s last three games, scoring 29.3 PPG and allowing 23 PPG.

Quarterback Josh Freeman (91.2 rating, ranked 11th) has piled up some good fantasy numbers the last three weeks (1,047 passing yards, seven TDs versus two picks), but needs to make the big play at the right time to get wins.

Freeman is capable of throwing on any defense when he is on, including this week. A balanced running attack would be key as well. Rookie Doug Martin has gone over the 120-yard mark in total rushing and receiving the last two weeks.

Schiano’s defense ranks third in the league against the run (76 YPG). The 3.1 yards per carry allowed is the best and this game will be very interesting if Peterson is contained and Ponder is forced to throw.

Tampa Bay (4-2 ATS) is 2-0 ATS on the road this year with close losses at tough Dallas (16-10) and the New York Giants (41-34). The Bucs are an incredible 11-0-1 ATS in their last 12 road games overall.

These teams met last year with the Buccaneers winning 24-20 as 1-point road ‘dogs. Freeman (243 yards) got the best of his counterpart Donovan McNabb even with Peterson rushing for 120 yards. They also won and covered the last meeting in Florida in 2008, a 19-13 win over 4½-point favorites.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 07:58 PM

Vikings, Buccaneers Clash On Thursday Night Football

The Minnesota Vikings may be the surprise team of the entire NFL. They look to keep the ‘good times rolling’ while hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday Night Football.

The Don Best Pro Odds have just announced NFL Week 8 and Minnesota is 6½-point favorites with a total of 41½-42. The total is one of the lowest of the week. The NFL Network will have the 8:20 p.m. (ET) telecast from Mall of America Field.

The Vikings were predicted to finish deep in the cellar of the competitive NFC North, which also includes the Packers, Bears and Lions. However, they’ve come out of the gate surprisingly strong at 5-2 straight up (3-3-1 against the spread).

Coach Leslie Frazier’s team has benefitted from some questionable competition. The latest example was yesterday’s 21-14 home win over Arizona as 7-point favorites. John Skelton was the opposing quarterback with Kevin Kolb injured. The Vikings have only played two teams that are currently over .500.

There is also concern at quarterback with Christian Ponder slowing down after a strong start. The second-year product from Florida State threw for just 58 yards on 17 attempts last game. He has six interceptions the last three weeks after none in the first four games.

Fortunately, running back Adrian Peterson is looking nothing like a guy coming off knee surgery. He has 652 yards on the season (4.8 per carry) and the team is ranked seventh in rushing overall (132.3 YPG).

The defense has also played well at 18.7 PPG allowed (ranked sixth). That’s helped the ‘under’ go 5-1 in the last six games, including 3-0 in the last three at home.

The Buccaneers are just 2-4 SU in coach Greg Schiano’s first season after a 35-28 home loss to New Orleans yesterday. They blew a 21-7 second quarter lead as Drew Brees (377 yards, four TDs) picked apart the league’s 31th-ranked pass defense (323 YPG) that is missing suspended cornerback Aqib Talib.

The ‘over’ is now 3-0 in Tampa Bay’s last three games, scoring 29.3 PPG and allowing 23 PPG.

Quarterback Josh Freeman (91.2 rating, ranked 11th) has piled up some good fantasy numbers the last three weeks (1,047 passing yards, seven TDs versus two picks), but needs to make the big play at the right time to get wins.

Freeman is capable of throwing on any defense when he is on, including this week. A balanced running attack would be key as well. Rookie Doug Martin has gone over the 120-yard mark in total rushing and receiving the last two weeks.

Schiano’s defense ranks third in the league against the run (76 YPG). The 3.1 yards per carry allowed is the best and this game will be very interesting if Peterson is contained and Ponder is forced to throw.

Tampa Bay (4-2 ATS) is 2-0 ATS on the road this year with close losses at tough Dallas (16-10) and the New York Giants (41-34). The Bucs are an incredible 11-0-1 ATS in their last 12 road games overall.

These teams met last year with the Buccaneers winning 24-20 as 1-point road ‘dogs. Freeman (243 yards) got the best of his counterpart Donovan McNabb even with Peterson rushing for 120 yards. They also won and covered the last meeting in Florida in 2008, a 19-13 win over 4½-point favorites.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 08:02 PM

Buccaneers at Vikings

October 24, 2012


This week’s Thursday night NFL game takes us to Minneapolis where the Vikings will attempt to double their win total from a season ago against former division rival Tampa Bay.

Most books opened Minnesota (5-2 straight up, 3-3-1 against the spread) as a seven-point favorite with a total of 41. As of early Wednesday, the Vikings were favored by 6 ½ with the total moved up to 42. Gamblers can take the Buccaneers on the money line for a plus-325 payout (risk $100 to win $325).

Leslie Frazier’s team is unbeaten in four home games, compiling a 2-1-1 spread record. The Vikings won a 21-14 decision over Arizona last week as seven-point home favorites. The 35 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 38 ½-point total.

Adrian Peterson ran through the Cardinals for 153 yards and one touchdown on 23 carries. Percy Harvin had a three-yard touchdown catch from Christian Ponder, who was intercepted twice and threw for only 58 yards.

Nevertheless, Minnesota got the victory thanks to a stellar pass rush that was all over Arizona quarterback John Skelton for 60 minutes. Brian Robison had three sacks and Jared Allen had two to improve his season total to six.

Despite the doubters that found it unlikely that Peterson could be healthy and productive after tearing his ACL at Washington last December, the Oklahoma product is fourth in the NFL in rushing with 652 yards. The scary thing for the rest of the league is that he’s clearly getting stronger each week. Peterson is averaging 4.8 yards per carry and has three rushing scores, in addition to 22 catches for 135 yards.

Harvin is also enjoying a banner year, producing 1,142 all-purpose yards and four TDs. He had a game-opening kickoff return for a TD that was called back due to a penalty last week.

Ponder, the second-year signal caller out of FSU, has demonstrated steady improvement despite last week’s poor performance. He has connected on 67 percent of his throws for 1,492 yards with a 9/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The Vikings are ranked sixth in the NFL in scoring defense, surrendering only 18.7 points per game.

Tampa Bay (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) is winless in a pair of road assignments, but it took the cash in both defeats at New York (41-34) and at Dallas (16-10). Greg Schiano’s squad is coming off a 35-28 loss at home to New Orleans as a one-point underdog.

On the bright side, third-year quarterback Josh Freeman played his best game of the year, throwing for 420 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. A potential fourth TD pass on the final play of the game appeared to be a game-tying score, but Mike Williams was penalized for illegal touching after going out of bounds before catching a dart from Freeman in the back of the end zone.

Another potential TD pass to Vincent Jackson was thwarted when Saints cornerback Malcolm Jenkins made a great hustle play, running down Jackson from across the field when he appeared poised to complete a 96-yard TD grab. But Jenkins brought him down at the two yard line and then the Saints mounted an incredible goal-line stand.

Jackson, who we should note had missed practice several times due to an injury before the game, still managed to set a team-record with 216 receiving yards on seven catches. Doug Martin rushed 16 times for 85 yards, including a 36-yard TD scamper that put Tampa Bay ahead 14-0 in the first quarter.

For the season, Freeman has completed 55.6 percent of his passes for 1,538 yards with an 11/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. As expected, Jackson has been an outstanding addition from the Chargers, hauling in 27 catches for 586 yards and five TDs.

Martin, the rookie out of Boise St., has 408 rushing yards and two TDs on 100 totes. He can also catch it out of the backfield, as evidenced by 13 receptions for 145 yards.

The ‘over’ is 4-2 overall for the Bucs, 1-1 in its two road assignments. The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for the Vikings, 3-1 in their home games.

Dating back to October of 2001, Tampa Bay has won five in a row over the Vikings both SU and ATS. The ‘over’ has hit in six of the last nine head-to-head meetings.

Kickoff is scheduled for Thursday night at 8:25 p.m. Eastern on The NFL Network.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

As a home favorite on Frazier’s watch, Minnesota has posted a 3-4-1 spread record.

--The Rams, Jets, Seahawks and Texans share the NFL’s best ATS records (5-2).

--The Eagles have been the worst team for their backers, limping to a 1-4-1 spread record.

--The ‘over’ is an NFL-best 5-1 in New Orleans games.

--The ‘under’ is an NFL-best 6-1 for the Seahawks and Cardinals.

--The ‘over’ is on a 5-0 run for the Patriots, while the ‘under’ has cashed in four of the Rams’ last five games. The total is 47 for New England’s trip to St. Louis on Sunday. Jeff Fisher’s team had won outright in all three home games as an underdog before losing 30-20 to Green Bay last week. As of Wednesday, the Pats were favored by seven.

--Green Bay has won three of its last four games thanks to QB Aaron Rodgers, who has a 16/2 TD-INT ratio in those four contests.

--The highest total on the board (by far) in Week 8 is 55 ½ for New Orleans at Denver.

--Houston defensive end J.J. Watt leads the NFL in sacks with 10 ½. Green Bay LB Clay Matthews is second with nine.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 08:02 PM

Buccaneers at Vikings

October 24, 2012


This week’s Thursday night NFL game takes us to Minneapolis where the Vikings will attempt to double their win total from a season ago against former division rival Tampa Bay.

Most books opened Minnesota (5-2 straight up, 3-3-1 against the spread) as a seven-point favorite with a total of 41. As of early Wednesday, the Vikings were favored by 6 ½ with the total moved up to 42. Gamblers can take the Buccaneers on the money line for a plus-325 payout (risk $100 to win $325).

Leslie Frazier’s team is unbeaten in four home games, compiling a 2-1-1 spread record. The Vikings won a 21-14 decision over Arizona last week as seven-point home favorites. The 35 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 38 ½-point total.

Adrian Peterson ran through the Cardinals for 153 yards and one touchdown on 23 carries. Percy Harvin had a three-yard touchdown catch from Christian Ponder, who was intercepted twice and threw for only 58 yards.

Nevertheless, Minnesota got the victory thanks to a stellar pass rush that was all over Arizona quarterback John Skelton for 60 minutes. Brian Robison had three sacks and Jared Allen had two to improve his season total to six.

Despite the doubters that found it unlikely that Peterson could be healthy and productive after tearing his ACL at Washington last December, the Oklahoma product is fourth in the NFL in rushing with 652 yards. The scary thing for the rest of the league is that he’s clearly getting stronger each week. Peterson is averaging 4.8 yards per carry and has three rushing scores, in addition to 22 catches for 135 yards.

Harvin is also enjoying a banner year, producing 1,142 all-purpose yards and four TDs. He had a game-opening kickoff return for a TD that was called back due to a penalty last week.

Ponder, the second-year signal caller out of FSU, has demonstrated steady improvement despite last week’s poor performance. He has connected on 67 percent of his throws for 1,492 yards with a 9/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

The Vikings are ranked sixth in the NFL in scoring defense, surrendering only 18.7 points per game.

Tampa Bay (2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS) is winless in a pair of road assignments, but it took the cash in both defeats at New York (41-34) and at Dallas (16-10). Greg Schiano’s squad is coming off a 35-28 loss at home to New Orleans as a one-point underdog.

On the bright side, third-year quarterback Josh Freeman played his best game of the year, throwing for 420 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. A potential fourth TD pass on the final play of the game appeared to be a game-tying score, but Mike Williams was penalized for illegal touching after going out of bounds before catching a dart from Freeman in the back of the end zone.

Another potential TD pass to Vincent Jackson was thwarted when Saints cornerback Malcolm Jenkins made a great hustle play, running down Jackson from across the field when he appeared poised to complete a 96-yard TD grab. But Jenkins brought him down at the two yard line and then the Saints mounted an incredible goal-line stand.

Jackson, who we should note had missed practice several times due to an injury before the game, still managed to set a team-record with 216 receiving yards on seven catches. Doug Martin rushed 16 times for 85 yards, including a 36-yard TD scamper that put Tampa Bay ahead 14-0 in the first quarter.

For the season, Freeman has completed 55.6 percent of his passes for 1,538 yards with an 11/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. As expected, Jackson has been an outstanding addition from the Chargers, hauling in 27 catches for 586 yards and five TDs.

Martin, the rookie out of Boise St., has 408 rushing yards and two TDs on 100 totes. He can also catch it out of the backfield, as evidenced by 13 receptions for 145 yards.

The ‘over’ is 4-2 overall for the Bucs, 1-1 in its two road assignments. The ‘under’ is 5-2 overall for the Vikings, 3-1 in their home games.

Dating back to October of 2001, Tampa Bay has won five in a row over the Vikings both SU and ATS. The ‘over’ has hit in six of the last nine head-to-head meetings.

Kickoff is scheduled for Thursday night at 8:25 p.m. Eastern on The NFL Network.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

As a home favorite on Frazier’s watch, Minnesota has posted a 3-4-1 spread record.

--The Rams, Jets, Seahawks and Texans share the NFL’s best ATS records (5-2).

--The Eagles have been the worst team for their backers, limping to a 1-4-1 spread record.

--The ‘over’ is an NFL-best 5-1 in New Orleans games.

--The ‘under’ is an NFL-best 6-1 for the Seahawks and Cardinals.

--The ‘over’ is on a 5-0 run for the Patriots, while the ‘under’ has cashed in four of the Rams’ last five games. The total is 47 for New England’s trip to St. Louis on Sunday. Jeff Fisher’s team had won outright in all three home games as an underdog before losing 30-20 to Green Bay last week. As of Wednesday, the Pats were favored by seven.

--Green Bay has won three of its last four games thanks to QB Aaron Rodgers, who has a 16/2 TD-INT ratio in those four contests.

--The highest total on the board (by far) in Week 8 is 55 ½ for New Orleans at Denver.

--Houston defensive end J.J. Watt leads the NFL in sacks with 10 ½. Green Bay LB Clay Matthews is second with nine.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 08:04 PM

NFL Week 8 Preview: Buccaneers at Vikings

TAMPA BUCCANEERS (2-4)

at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (5-2)


Kickoff: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EDT
Line: Minnesota -6.5, Total: 42

The Vikings try to improve to 5-0 at home this season when they host the pesky Buccaneers on Thursday night.

Minnesota has tightened up its play this year, but its offense is still finding its way. The Vikings had just 209 yards of offense in last week’s win over Arizona, the second time in four weeks they’ve won while gaining less than 230 yards. Tampa Bay hasn't won SU on the road since beating Minnesota last September (nine straight losses, 3-6 ATS) but has covered in both of its 2012 road games. Bucs QB Josh Freeman has thrown for 349 YPG, 7 TD and only 2 INT over his past three games. The Bucs pulled off a comeback, 24-20 win in Minnesota a year ago, driving 61 yards for the winning touchdown with 31 seconds left.

Can the Buccaneers hand Minnesota its first home loss of 2012? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

The Bucs are 4-2 ATS this season, having not lost a game by more than seven points. They nearly tied last week's game with New Orleans in the closing seconds, but two apparent touchdown passes were overruled in the final minute of a 35-28 loss. Freeman's recent surge has a lot to do with WR Vincent Jackson, who has 382 receiving yards and 4 TD over his past three games. Freeman targeted Jackson 14 times last week, resulting in seven catches for 216 yards. In last year's game in Minnesota, he completed 22-of-31 passes for 243 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Tampa's running game has been lacking for most of the 2012 season, as the team has gained less than 100 rushing yards in four of the past five contests. Rookie RB Doug Martin has been a workhorse with 100 carries, but has just 408 yards and 2 TD with that heavy workload. The good news for Martin is that although the Vikings allow just 100 rushing YPG (12th in the NFL), they have given up 309 yards on the ground over the past two contests. The Buccaneers have turned the ball over seven times in the past five games, while Minnesota has forced nine miscues in its past five contests. The Vikings racked up seven sacks in last week's win, but Tampa Bay has a great offensive line that has surrendered just nine sacks all season.

Vikings QB Christian Ponder is coming off a terrible outing against the Cardinals, completing just 8-of-17 passes for 58 yards (3.4 YPA), 1 TD and 2 INT. After starting the season with no interceptions in his first four games, Ponder has thrown two picks in each of the past three contests. But he should be able to bounce back facing a Tampa Bay pass defense allowing the second-most yards in the league this year (323 passing YPG). Ponder should have plenty of time to throw, considering the Bucs have generated just one sack over the past three games. It also helps Ponder to have a running game anchored by Adrian Peterson, who is coming off a season-high 153 yards versus the Cardinals. Peterson destroyed Tampa Bay last year with 141 total yards and a pair of touchdowns, but the Bucs' run-stop unit has been much more fierce under first-year head coach Greg Schiano, ranking third in the NFL with a mere 76 rushing YPG allowed.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24911 Followers:33
10/24/2012 08:04 PM

NFL Week 8 Preview: Buccaneers at Vikings

TAMPA BUCCANEERS (2-4)

at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (5-2)


Kickoff: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EDT
Line: Minnesota -6.5, Total: 42

The Vikings try to improve to 5-0 at home this season when they host the pesky Buccaneers on Thursday night.

Minnesota has tightened up its play this year, but its offense is still finding its way. The Vikings had just 209 yards of offense in last week’s win over Arizona, the second time in four weeks they’ve won while gaining less than 230 yards. Tampa Bay hasn't won SU on the road since beating Minnesota last September (nine straight losses, 3-6 ATS) but has covered in both of its 2012 road games. Bucs QB Josh Freeman has thrown for 349 YPG, 7 TD and only 2 INT over his past three games. The Bucs pulled off a comeback, 24-20 win in Minnesota a year ago, driving 61 yards for the winning touchdown with 31 seconds left.

Can the Buccaneers hand Minnesota its first home loss of 2012? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

The Bucs are 4-2 ATS this season, having not lost a game by more than seven points. They nearly tied last week's game with New Orleans in the closing seconds, but two apparent touchdown passes were overruled in the final minute of a 35-28 loss. Freeman's recent surge has a lot to do with WR Vincent Jackson, who has 382 receiving yards and 4 TD over his past three games. Freeman targeted Jackson 14 times last week, resulting in seven catches for 216 yards. In last year's game in Minnesota, he completed 22-of-31 passes for 243 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. Tampa's running game has been lacking for most of the 2012 season, as the team has gained less than 100 rushing yards in four of the past five contests. Rookie RB Doug Martin has been a workhorse with 100 carries, but has just 408 yards and 2 TD with that heavy workload. The good news for Martin is that although the Vikings allow just 100 rushing YPG (12th in the NFL), they have given up 309 yards on the ground over the past two contests. The Buccaneers have turned the ball over seven times in the past five games, while Minnesota has forced nine miscues in its past five contests. The Vikings racked up seven sacks in last week's win, but Tampa Bay has a great offensive line that has surrendered just nine sacks all season.

Vikings QB Christian Ponder is coming off a terrible outing against the Cardinals, completing just 8-of-17 passes for 58 yards (3.4 YPA), 1 TD and 2 INT. After starting the season with no interceptions in his first four games, Ponder has thrown two picks in each of the past three contests. But he should be able to bounce back facing a Tampa Bay pass defense allowing the second-most yards in the league this year (323 passing YPG). Ponder should have plenty of time to throw, considering the Bucs have generated just one sack over the past three games. It also helps Ponder to have a running game anchored by Adrian Peterson, who is coming off a season-high 153 yards versus the Cardinals. Peterson destroyed Tampa Bay last year with 141 total yards and a pair of touchdowns, but the Bucs' run-stop unit has been much more fierce under first-year head coach Greg Schiano, ranking third in the NFL with a mere 76 rushing YPG allowed.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: