cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/11/2012 07:13 PM


Thursday, October 11

Arizona State at Colorado: What bettors need to know

Arizona State at Colorado (22.5, 57.5)

Arizona State is the lone undefeated squad in the Pac-12 South and the Sun Devils have a solid chance at keeping it that way when they visit struggling Colorado on Thursday. The Sun Devils are one-half game ahead of USC in the division race and have been surprisingly good in Todd Graham’s first season as coach. Arizona State leads the offensive-laden Pac 12 in total defense (276.2 yards per game) and scoring defense (13.6). The Buffaloes are last in the Pac 12 in scoring (21.6) and are searching for respectability under second-year coach Jon Embree. Arizona State routed Colorado 48-14 last season. Both teams are playing for the first time since Sept. 29.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: Arizona State -22.5, O/U 57.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s under party cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the east.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE (4-1, 2-0 Pac-12 South): The Sun Devils have allowed 17 or fewer points in all four of their victories and gave up 24 in their lone loss against Missouri. Arizona State has 21 sacks (its 4.2 average per game ranks third nationally) with junior defensive tackle Will Sutton leading the way with 6.5. Sutton has a team-best 10 tackles for losses and junior outside linebacker Chris Young has 9.5 tackles for losses among his team-high 36 stops. Sophomore quarterback Taylor Kelly leads the Pac-12 in passing efficiency (166.4) and has thrown nine touchdown passes against two interceptions while completing 67.2 percent of his throws. Junior tight end Chris Coyle leads the Sun Devils with 26 receptions and 338 yards.

ABOUT COLORADO (1-4, 1-1 Pac-12 South): The Buffaloes’ lone victory came against Washington State when they staged an impressive comeback from a 17-point, fourth-quarter deficit. Colorado has scored 17 or fewer points in three of its four losses. Junior quarterback Jordan Webb had 345 passing yards against Washington State but hasn’t reached 200 in any of Colorado’s four defeats. Webb has thrown seven touchdowns passes and been picked off four times. Freshman Christian Powell has a team-best 294 rushing yards but half of them (147) came in one game against Sacramento State. The Buffaloes are allowing 39.4 points per game, worst in the Pac-12 and are next-to-last in total defense (474.4 per outing). Junior defensive end Chidera Uzo-Diribe has a team-best five sacks.


* Sun Devils are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games.
* Buffaloes are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-0 in Sun Devils last four October games.
*Over is 5-1 in Buffaloes’ last six games following a loss.


1. Arizona State leads the series 3-0 and defeated the Buffaloes 21-3 in 2006 when the teams last met in Boulder.

2. Colorado has allowed 29 or more points in 15 of 18 games since Embree took over as coach.

3. The Sun Devils have been called for only 21 penalties in five games. The Buffaloes have drawn 35 flags.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/11/2012 07:16 PM

Hilltoppers best-kept betting secret in college football?

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are tied as the second-most profitable team in FBS college football. They covered in their first five games this season and each of their final nine games last season and they put the incredible 14-game money streak on the line Thursday against the Troy Trojans.

So, are they the best-kept betting secret in college football?

“From a value perspective, unfortunately, I think the ship has already sailed when it comes to the Hilltoppers,” cautions Covers Expert Sean Murphy. “They were an under-the-radar team early this season, but upset road wins against Kentucky and Arkansas State have brought them some attention, and now we find them favored away from home for just the second time in program history at the FBS level. Troy is coming off a miserable 2011 campaign, but looks to be on its way back up here in 2012. All things considered, this is a tough spot to lay points with WKU against a proven Sun Belt performer.”

But not all of the Covers Experts share the same opinion. Ted Sevransky says the smart money is pouring in on Troy this week and he wouldn’t be “completely shocked if the Hilltoppers go off.” Most books opened WKU as 2.5-point road favorites, but that number has now been bet down to just a single point.

Here are five things bettors should know about the Hilltoppers heading into their Week 7 tilt with the Troy Trojans:

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Troy Trojans (1, 54)

1. WKU picked up its first-ever victory over Troy last season, closing out the 2011 campaign with a 41-18 win over the Trojans in Bowling Green. The Hilltoppers will now look for their first win on Troy's home field, as the Trojans have won four of the five previous meetings on their home field, with the other contest resulting in a tie. Troy leads the all-time series 8-1-1.

2. Hilltoppers QB Kawaun Jakes will wear a left knee brace for Thursday's game. Jakes was hurt in WKU’s 26-13 victory at Arkansas State on Sept. 29 and was sidelined in the second half. The results from an MRI last week were negative but Jakes has been limited to mostly individual drills in practice this week.

3. The Hilltoppers have won eight consecutive Sun Belt Conference games dating back to last season. That is the longest active conference-game winning streak in the Sun Belt and the third-longest active run in the nation.

4. WKU is 11-2 in its last 13 games, with the only two losses coming at the hands of the No. 1-ranked teams - LSU last season and Alabama earlier in 2012.

5. WKU junior RB Antonio Andrews established a new career high for rushing yards for the third consecutive week as he ran for 215 yards on 29 carries at Arkansas State.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/11/2012 07:19 PM

Thursday, October 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Western Kentucky - 7:30 PM ET Western Kentucky -1.5 500
Troy - Under 55 500

Texas El Paso - 8:00 PM ET Tulsa -17 500
Tulsa - Over 59.5 500

Arizona State - 9:00 PM ET Colorado +22 500
Colorado - Over 57 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:00 PM

Navy Under Friday Night Lights At Central Michigan

A pair of 2-3 college football teams might not sound like an exciting matchup, and it seems an unlikely one to get prime-time treatment from the self-anointed "worldwide leader in sports." But Friday night's contest at Central Michigan between the Chippewas and Navy Midshipmen could turn out to be one of the more entertaining games of the week for fans and bettors alike.

It already qualifies as one of the more interesting games on the Week 7 betting board in terms of early movement. The opening spread was all over the place with Navy -2½ at some sports books charted by Don Best's Pro Odds, other locales having it a pick 'em and a few shops offshore starting Central Michigan at -1½. It has since settled with the Chippewas laying 2-2½ and a 60-point total that has shot up since beginning at 57.

One reason for what has been a 2-4 point swing into Central Michigan's favor is the status of Navy quarterback Trey Miller. The junior pivot was in a walking boot at practice on Monday after injuring his left ankle in the final quarter of last week's overtime win over Air Force, and his availability for Friday's game should be known by Wednesday. Miller leads the Midshipmen in rushing and had 110 yards on the ground while completing all three of his passes at the time of the injury.

Freshman Keenan Reynolds relieved Miller and guided the Midshipmen (2-3 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) back from a 21-13 deficit at Air Force with around 10 minutes remaining in regulation.

The early movement in the Chips' direction isn't anything new this year. Three of their games – at Iowa and Toledo, home vs. Michigan State – saw spreads move towards Central Michigan (2-3 SU) who is 1-4 ATS in 2012 after going 1-11 at the betting windows in 2011.

The Falcons shot themselves in the foot with three turnovers to help Navy along last week, and while head coach Ken Niumatalolo was obviously pleased with the outcome, expect him to run Navy through practices this week as if the Middies lost the game. Air Force's top-ranked ground attack literally ran roughshod over Navy for 507 total yards of offense (363 rushing), and they're going to face a different animal this week with CMU preferring to put the ball in the air behind senior QB Ryan Radcliffe who is well on his way to a third consecutive 3,000-yard passing season.

Navy hasn't allowed a lot of yards through the air this year (146 per game, 30th in nation), but that has been a product of playing several teams who like to keep it on the ground. Radcliffe, who has received good protection from his line all season, should have time to throw and challenge the Midshipmen in what very well could be a 'who scores last' affair.

The key to the game, however, will be Central Michigan's ability to at least slow Navy's option or force Miller/Reynolds to make mistakes the few times they do throw. If oil flowed as easily from underground formations as points are put up on the Chippewas, gas would be going for about 89¢ a gallon. Only four teams have been scored upon more than Central Michigan (40.8 ppg), and the Chippewas rank 103rd in total defense (457 ypg) with more than half of that coming via the ground.

There isn't much as far as series history for bettors to consider, but what's there is pretty recent. Navy has won the only two other meetings (2003, 2010), splitting at the window while the 'over' cashed each time. The collision in 2010 went down to the wire in Annapolis before the Middies pulled off a 38-37 win by stopping CMU's 2-point conversion try with only a few ticks left on the clock. Navy was a 2-TD favorite in that game.

The current weather forecast for Mount Pleasant on Friday is a good one – upper-40s and clear at kickoff from Kelly/Shorts Stadium which is set to come a little past 8:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN2. Navy will return home to host the Indiana Hoosiers on Oct. 20 while the Chippewas get back to their MAC schedule and host Ball State the same day.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:03 PM

Central Michigan tries to snap losing skid hosting Navy


Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Central Michigan -1½, Total: 59

Navy seeks it third win in four games when it visits a Central Michigan team eager to snap a two-game losing skid on Friday night.

Navy has won both all-time meetings with CMU, rolling 63-34 in 2003 and prevailing 38-37 in 2010. The Midshipmen have been held to 10 points or less three times this year, but were able to win at Air Force 28-21 last week despite allowing 363 rushing yards. They had a positive turnover margin (+3) for the first time all season. The Chippewas won at 14-point favorite Iowa three weeks ago, but have since surrendered 50+ points in each of the past two games, SU/ATS road defeats to Northern Illinois and Toledo.

Can Central Michigan end its losing skid on Friday night? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Navy is usually a great running game with its triple-option offense, and this year is no exception with 232 rushing YPG (15th in nation). This is mainly a three-person attack with QB Trey Miller (291 yards, 3 TD) and RBs Noah Copeland (279 yards, 1 TD) and Gee Gee Greene (253 yards, 1 TD). Miller hurt his left ankle in the fourth quarter of last week's overtime win over Air Force, but is expected to start on Friday. If he can't go, the Midshipmen feel comfortable with backup QB Keenan Reynolds, who did a nice job leading his team against the Falcons, completing all three of his passes for 55 yards and rushing for 22 yards and a touchdown. Navy has really hurt itself with turnovers this season, committing 12 in the first four weeks of the season, but was turnover-free in last week's victory. Navy's defense did a nice job forcing three Air Force miscues last week, but it also gave up 507 total yards. The Midshipmen defend the pass (197 YPG, 30th in FBS) much better than the run (193 YPG, 96th in nation).

Chippewas QB Ryan Radcliff had a monster game when he last faced Navy two years ago, completing 36-of-58 passes for 394 yards, 3 TD and 0 INT. Cody Wilson caught 13 of those passes for 126 yards and a touchdown in that 38-37 defeat. Radcliff has increased his passing yards in each of his five contests this year, throwing for 952 yards, 8 TD and 3 INT in the past three weeks. Wilson has not yet scored a touchdown, but he does lead the team in both receptions (33) and receiving yards (394). WR Titus Davis (378 receiving yards) has been the touchdown maker with four of his 19 catches occurring in the end zone. CMU prefers to throw the football (257 passing YPG), but it has a capable running game (4.4 yards per carry) led by Zurlon Tipton, who has 447 rushing yards (6.2 YPC) and 6 TD this year. However, he has been held under 75 rushing yards in each of his past four contests. CMU's defense had all sorts of trouble stopping the triple-option two years ago, allowing Navy to gain 437 rushing yards on 52 carries (8.4 YPC) and five touchdowns. Considering the rushing defense currently ranks 114th in the nation (233 YPG), it could be another frustrating evening for the Chippewas. Another big weakness for the Central Michigan defense is pressuring the quarterback. The team has averaged just one sack per game (104th in nation) and 4.2 Tackles For Loss per game (111th in FBS).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:05 PM



Week 7


Game 109-110: Navy at Central Michigan (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 80.025; Central Michigan 74.298
Dunkel Line: Navy by 5 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 2 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+2 1/2); Over


Game 111-112: Texas vs. Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 103.294; Oklahoma 108.114
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 5; 66
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3; 61
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-3); Over

Game 113-114: Iowa at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 91.200; Michigan State 95.592
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+10); Under

Game 115-116: North Carolina at Miami (FL) (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 100.715; Miami (FL) 93.053
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-6 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 69.240; Bowling Green 78.719
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-7); Over

Game 119-120: Kent State at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 80.361; Army 68.877
Dunkel Line: Kent by 11 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Kent State by 1 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Kent (-1 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: Akron at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 65.305; Ohio 91.887
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 26 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Ohio by 20; 67
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-20); Under

Game 123-124: Toledo at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 89.704; Eastern Michigan 69.158
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+13 1/2); Over

Game 125-126: Maryland at Virginia (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 85.775; Virginia 85.008
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Duke at Virginia Tech (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 79.551; Virginia Tech 91.576
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 12; 50
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-10); Under

Game 128-129: Wisconsin at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 97.263; Purdue 90.456
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 7; 56
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+2 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Northwestern at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 90.394; Minnesota 89.086
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Syracuse at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 87.238; Rutgers 92.299
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 5; 43
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 7 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+7 1/2); Under

Game 135-136: Boston College at Florida State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 80.460; Florida State 110.542
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 30; 52
Vegas Line: Florida State by 28; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-28); Under

Game 137-138: Temple at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 84.920; Connecticut 83.206
Dunkel Line: Temple by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+5 1/2); Over

Game 139-140: Louisville at Pittsburgh (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 90.899; Pittsburgh 89.876
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Under

Game 141-142: Memphis at East Carolina (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 64.491; East Carolina 80.594
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 16; 55
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 18; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+18); Over

Game 143-144: Florida at Vanderbilt (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 100.383; Vanderbilt 93.670
Dunkel Line: Florida by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Air Force at Wyoming (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 82.874; Wyoming 77.864
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Air Force by 2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-2); Under

Game 147-148: Western Michigan at Ball State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 83.192; Ball State 80.311
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 3; 69
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+3); Over

Game 149-150: Buffalo at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 69.385; Northern Illinois 88.217
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 19; 52
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 12 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-12 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Idaho at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 67.022; Texas State 68.323
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Texas State by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3); Under

Game 153-154: Kansas State at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 102.606; Iowa State 101.419
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+7); Over

Game 155-156: Auburn at Mississippi (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 93.192; Mississippi 88.234
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5; 53
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6; 49
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+6); Over

Game 157-158: UAB at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 68.841; Houston 85.271
Dunkel Line: Houston by 16 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Houston by 13 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-13 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Illinois at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 78.270; Michigan 104.446
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 26; 46
Vegas Line: Michigan 23 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-23 1/2); Under

Game 161-162: Fresno State at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 92.046; Boise State 97.347
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 5 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: USC at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 109.576; Washington 94.561
Dunkel Line: USC by 15; 53
Vegas Line: USC by 11 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-11 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: Oregon State at BYU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 95.924; BYU 102.241
Dunkel Line: BYU by 6 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: BYU by 6; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-6); Over

Game 167-168: Alabama at Missouri (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 122.608; Missouri 92.618
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 30; 48
Vegas Line: Alabama by 21 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-21 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Stanford at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 103.690; Notre Dame 114.608
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 11; 42
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8); Under

Game 171-172: Utah State at San Jose State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 89.449; San Jose State 90.257
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1; 43
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 173-174: Kentucky at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.727; Arkansas 95.353
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 18 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17; 51
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-17); Over

Game 175-176: Tennessee at Mississippi State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 89.305; Mississippi State 97.699
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 8 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-3); Over

Game 177-178: South Carolina at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 111.443; LSU 106.475
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5; 36
Vegas Line: LSU by 3; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+3); Under

Game 179-180: California at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 88.545; Washington State 83.009
Dunkel Line: California by 5 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: California by 7 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: West Virginia at Texas Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.847; Texas Tech 98.171
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 3 1/2; 77 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-3 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: TCU at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 99.967; Baylor 101.457
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+8 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Southern Mississippi at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 75.359; Central Florida 93.703
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 18 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 17; 50
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-17); Over

Game 187-188: Oklahoma State at Kansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 102.375; Kansas 77.900
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 24 1/2; 77
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 23 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-23 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Ohio State at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 96.194; Indiana 81.634
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+17); Under

Game 191-192: SMU at Tulane (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 80.301; Tulane 66.577
Dunkel Line: SMU by 13 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: SMU by 15; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+15); Under

Game 193-194: TX-San Antonio at Rice (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 66.191; Rice 67.212
Dunkel Line: Rice by 1; 61
Vegas Line: Rice by 3 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+3 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: Nevada at UNLV (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 90.560; UNLV 73.903
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 16 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 197-198: Colorado State at San Diego State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 69.789; San Diego State 91.049
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 21 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 20 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-20 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: Utah at UCLA (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 87.154; UCLA 96.972
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 10; 47
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8; 52
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-8); Under

Game 201-202: New Mexico at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 76.773; Hawaii 67.606
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 9; 57
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Florida Atlantic at UL-Monroe (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 58.134; UL-Monroe 95.005
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 37; 58
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 24; 54
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-24); Over

Game 205-206: South Alabama at Arkansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 59.844; Arkansas State 80.375
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 19 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 21; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+21); Under

Game 207-208: Middle Tennessee State at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 83.315; Florida International 71.880
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-3); Under

Game 235-236: Texas A&M at Louisiana Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 104.570; Louisiana Tech 97.992
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 6 1/2; 83
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 8; 80
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+8); Over


Game 241-242: Fordham at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 51.985; Cincinnati 94.003
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 42
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:07 PM


Long Sheet

Week 7


Friday, October 12


NAVY (2 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (2 - 3) - 10/12/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NAVY is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 63-30 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 63-30 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
NAVY is 66-32 ATS (+30.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
C MICHIGAN is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:09 PM


Short Sheet

Week 7

Friday, October 12, 2012

Navy at Central Michigan, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Navy: 48-19 ATS as a road underdog
Central Michigan: 0-8 ATS off a conference game

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:10 PM

Friday, October 12

8:00 PM
Navy is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Navy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Michigan is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:31831 Followers:37
10/12/2012 07:11 PM


Friday, October 12

Navy at Central Michigan: 9 things bettors should know

Navy Midshipmen at Central Michigan Chippewas (-2, 60)
7:30 p.m. ET on ESPNU

1. This line opened with Navy as a 3.5-point road favorite and moved to Central Michigan -2 by Thursday afternoon - a significant line move of 5.5 points.

2. Navy will have freshman quarterback Keenan Reynolds start Friday night, the first time a frosh will start at QB for Navy since 1991. Reynolds was unfazed last Saturday when he replaced Trey Miller on the road with the Midshipmen trailing Air Force 21-13 in the fourth quarter. Reynolds led Navy to a touchdown on his first drive and the Middies pulled out a 28-21 win in OT.

“All any of us could say was, ‘Wow.’ I mean that was big-time," Navy Coach Ken Niumatalolo told the Washington Post.

3. The 'over' is 3-0-1 in Chippewas games this season. They've allowed 105 points over their past two games and average 40.8 against per game. That's fifth-worst in the nation out of 124 teams.

4. Navy runs an option offense where they run the ball 70 percent of the time. They rank second in the nation in rushing with 390.8 yards per game. Central Michigan ranks 117th in the nation at stopping the run with 233.2 yards against per game.

5. CMU coach on Navy's defense: “They’re a 3-4 defense that does different things out of their defense that we don’t see a lot,” Enos told Central Michigan Life. “So, not only are we playing a football team that is well coached, with guys that play with great effort, you’re also challenged with those different schemes as well.”

6. The Chippewas' 50-35 loss to Toledo as 11.5-point dogs was closer than the score indicates. CMU threw two late interceptions that ended up being too costly to overcome. QB Ryan Radcliffe threw for 337 yards and four TDs.

7. Sixty-one percent of Covers Consensus players were on CMU as of Thursday afternoon.

8. The under is 3-0-1 for Navy this season. Before last game against Air Force, they scored just 17 points in three games against FBS opponents. Their 12-0 loss to San Jose State on Sept. 29 marked the first time the team had failed to score in six years.

9. Should be a beautiful night for football on Friday at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies and low winds.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: