cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/08/2012 10:08 PM

Sun Devils Big Chalk On Road At Colorado Buffaloes

It’s a tale of two programs, heading in seemingly opposite directions, the difference between making a shrewd head coaching hire instead of an ill-advised one.

Arizona State (4-1, 4-0-1 vs. the number; No. 23 in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll) and Colorado (2-4 straight up and vs. the spread), like two ships passing in the night.

More than a month into the 2012 campaign, the die has been seemingly been cast for this pair of Pac-12 South entries, and Las Vegas oddsmakers have taken note. A quick check of the Don Best college football odds screen notes that most Nevada wagering outlets have posted the visiting Sun Devils early 22-22½ point favorites over the host Buffs on Thursday at Boulder.

Kickoff time at Folsom Field is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. (ET). Those who prefer college football to the Joe Biden-Paul Ryan Vice Presidential debate taking place at the same time can tune into ESPN and follow along as Rece Davis, Jesse Palmer and David Pollack describe the action.

Whatever is happening on the field in Tempe and Boulder this season can be directly traced to the coaching hires made by each over the past two years. Colorado, its program having descended noticeably toward the end of the past decade, chose to throw the hiring equivalent of a Hail Mary pass when tabbing ex-Buff star Jon Embree, a product of the Bill McCartney glory years of the CU program but never before a head coach, as the new coach after the 2010 campaign.

Meanwhile, down in the desert, ASU was looking for more-established names as it sought to replace Dennis Erickson after last season. A meandering coaching search finally landed upon Pitt’s peripatetic Todd Graham, who had also been head coach at Rice and Tulsa since 2006, but an acknowledged winner at each stop.

It’s still early days for both regimes (especially for the Sun Devils), but at this point it seems more likely that ASU got it right...and Colorado didn’t.

Under Embree (now 4-13 straight up and 5-12 against the line since arriving in Boulder), the Buffaloes have fallen into some pretty deep craters, and might have hit rock-bottom in a mid-September 69-14 loss at Fresno State, a game in which CU trailed 55-7 at halftime and had allowed 516 yards in the first half alone. Unless Colorado had hit its nadir the previous weeks when losing to lowly Colorado State (in Denver) and Big Sky Sacramento State at Folsom Field.

Remarkably, the Buffs rebounded for a 35-34 win at Washington State the week after the Fresno debacle, but that result is down as much to Cougar flaws (especially an inability to protect a lead, and alarming offensive breakdowns) as anything CU was able to do. Wazzu was also in position to salt away the game in the fourth quarter when staked to a 31-14 lead but somehow conspired to blow the game.

Many who suspected that result was a one-off were emboldened by the Buffaloes’ next outing, when it was back to usual under Embree in a 42-14 home loss to UCLA.

Aside from hitting a few big plays in the fourth quarter vs. Washington State, the Colorado offense has been ineffective, with Kansas transfer QB Jordan Webb getting little time to throw and not able to count upon much help from his supporting cast. Webb has only passed for more than 200 yards in the game at Washington State.

Moreover, we’ll see about the availability of top RB Christian Powell (294 YR), who left the UCLA game with a hip bruise, but has had an extra week to recover as Embree’s side has been off since September 29. The Buffaloes rank 100th in both total (341 ypg) and scoring (21.76 ppg) offense this season.

To prove the Embree Buffs are equal-opportunity bad on both sides of the line of scrimmage, a playmaker-free stop unit ranks 107th in total (474 ypg) and scoring (39.4 ppg) defense this season.

Standing in stark contrast is Graham’s ASU, which hit the ground running in September and looks a far different outfit than Erickson’s mistake-prone editions from the past few seasons. Graham’s team has also yet to taste pointspread defeat in its five games, and, in combination with his Tulsa and Pitt teams the past two years, the coach has recorded a personal 19-10-1 record vs. the number since the 2010 season.

Soph QB Taylor Kelly, in particular, has been almost flawless in his starting debut, completing better than 67 percent of his passes with nine TDs and only two picks while demonstrating plenty of moxie will piloting Graham’s version of the spread. The Sun Devils are balancing things offensive (173 ypg rushing, 283 ypg passing) while scoring better than 38 ppg.

But it’s on “D” where ASU has really been shining, reflected in national ranking of 10th in total defense (276.8 ypg) and 12th in scoring (mere 13.6 ppg). Undersized DE Will Sutton has emerged as a terror in the Sun Devils’ 3-4 looks, already recording 6½ sacks (ranks fifth nationally) and 10 tackles for loss (tied for seventh best in the country).

Indeed, it’s Sutton, aided by front seven playmaking friends DE Junior Onyeali along with linebackers Carl Bradford and Brandon Magee, who fuel a “D” that ranks third nationally with a whopping 21 sacks and second in tackles for loss with 49. This looks to be a potentially nightmarish matchup for Webb and the CU offense, which has allowed a whopping 22 sacks in five games, the second-worst mark in the country.

Oddsmakers, however, seem to have compensated for the stark fundamental differences between these sides. We’ll see if that inflated pointspread is enough to help the Buffs inside of the number on Thursday night.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/08/2012 10:15 PM

Games to Watch - Week 7

October 7, 2012 Saturday - Oklahoma vs. Texas from Dallas (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Skinny

The Red River Shootout (I refuse to call it the 'rivalry' based strictly on principle) which has been played in Dallas every year since 1929 has lost a little bit of its luster this year as both teams come in with one loss. However to these two fan bases that simply dislike the other, this is still just as big of a game. While West Virginia and Kansas St appear to be the teams to beat in the Big 12, other than Oklahoma State last year, one of these two teams had claimed the Big 12 crown seven straight years. Texas is coming in off a 48-45 track meet loss at home to West Virginia where their defense that was so highly touted to start the season was once again exposed giving up 207 rushing yards and 460 total yards. Offensively Texas has one of the most balanced attacks in the country behind surprise QB Davis Ash and a handful of talented running backs. Oklahoma has played well below their preseason expectations on both sides of the ball so far this season but does come in off a 41-20 victory against Texas Tech in Lubbock. This game will either come down to which team's fan base eats the most Fletcher's Corny Dogs in the fairgrounds outside or which team's defense is able to execute when it matters most. In either case with each team having one conference loss, the loser of this game is all but out of the Big 12 conference race. Texas leads the series 59-42-5, although Oklahoma has won the last two (including 55-17 last year). OU is a field goal favorite and this game could very easily come down to just that.

Saturday - Stanford at Notre Dame (NBC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny

Apparently 1990 called and Notre Dame answered. No one in college football has been a bigger surprise this year than the Golden Domers. With the exception of the hideous uniforms and helmets the Irish wore on Saturday night they have been extremely impressive in all facets of the game through their first five games. The Irish are 5-0 for the first time since 2002 and their 587 yards of offense against the Hurricanes was a season high, including 376 yards rushing which was their most since Nov. 11, 2000. Yet the most impressive part of Notre Dame this year has been their defense which currently ranks second in the country allowing a mere 7.8 points per game. Needless to say the 'hot seat' that Brian Kelly entered the year on has cooled off in South Bend. This week The Irish host probably their toughest game yet. While they have looked great beating up on the Big 10 and ACC the Stanford Cardinal presents a real challenge for ND. Stanford QB Josh Nunes is coming off a career high 360 yard game and standout RB Stepfan Taylor rushed for 132 yards, however the Arizona defense is a far cry from what the Cardinal will face this week. These two teams have two of the best front seven defensively in the country and I expect this to be a very physical, very entertaining football game. Stanford has won three straight in the series, including 28-14 last year at home, but this doesn't appear to be the same Notre Dame team as a year ago. Notre Dame is a home touchdown favorite and if they can get by Stanford the rest of their schedule is…well…still really hard.

Saturday - South Carolina at LSU (ESPN, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny

Congratulations South Carolina, you just manhandled the 5th ranked Georgia Bulldogs at home. Your reward…you get to take on LSU…in Death Valley…at night…coming off a loss. There are not many places in the country harder to play than Death Valley where LSU is riding a nation-leading 21-game home winning streak and having won 47 of its 53 home games under Coach Les Miles. (Especially when you give 95,000+ Cajuns all day to get liquored up) Throw in the fact that LSU has dominated the series (16-2-1) with four straight wins and that's why the odds makers have the 3rd ranked Gamecocks as a field goal underdog in this game. However, according to Gamecocks tailback Marcus Lattimore, "It's not the old South Carolina. We can play with y'all. We can play with anybody." Well, we are certainly about to find out. These two teams both rank in the top 10 defensively in the country allowing less than 13 points a game, however South Carolina has looked much better and more balanced on offense this season with Shaw and Lattimore than LSU with Mettenberger and a committee of running backs. The best part of this entire game however will be the match-up between "The Mad Hatter" and "The Ol' Ball Coach." Before the game, during the game and after the game we will all be treated to countless quotes, questionable decisions and countless facial expressions. No matter who wins this games we will all be entertained.

Other Games to Watch
Matchup Skinny

West Virginia at Texas Tech: UPSET ALERT. West Virginia is coming off a huge road win against Texas and has what appears to be the Big 12 game of the year next weekend at home against Kansas State. However sandwiched in-between they go to Lubbock this weekend which historically can be a very tough place to play for highly ranked teams. The odds makers only have West Virginia as a 4 point favorite; and if they have an emotional letdown or look ahead to next week's game against Kansas St they could very easily fall victim to Texas Tech. Then again, if they don't, this game has the potential to get very ugly for The Red Raiders.

Oregon State at BYU: Desmond Howard is all-in on the Beavers. I'm not, at least not yet. While they have beaten three teams that were preseason ranked (Wisconsin, UCLA , Arizona) none of those teams are ranked anymore and quite frankly aren't very good; and they won those games by a combined nine points. Throw in a win over a bad Washington State team last weekend and their four wins are simply not that impressive. BYU, while offensively challenged, does boast one of the best defenses in the country and will present a problem for an Oregon St offense that ranks 93rd in the NCAA in points scored. BYU opens as a field goal favorite and this game will simply come down to which team is able to muster up any resemblance of an offense.

Texas A&M at Louisiana Tech: Both of these teams are ranked in the top 25…seriously, I looked it up twice just to make sure. This is a make-up game from the opening weekend of the season when it was postponed due to Hurricane Isaac. Louisiana Tech has built a 5-0 resume by simply outscoring their competition. They are 3rd in the NCAA averaging 53.2 points a game; however they are 109th allowing 35.8 points per game. In other words, look for Aggie freshman QB Johnny Manziel and the Aggie offense to have a very big day. The question simply becomes can the La Tech offense keep up against an A&M defense that just surrendered 464 yards to Ole Miss last week in a dramatic come from behind win in Oxford. The Aggies are a touchdown favorite in what should be a back-and-forth shootout in Shreveport.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 07:50 PM

Navy Under Friday Night Lights At Central Michigan

A pair of 2-3 college football teams might not sound like an exciting matchup, and it seems an unlikely one to get prime-time treatment from the self-anointed "worldwide leader in sports." But Friday night's contest at Central Michigan between the Chippewas and Navy Midshipmen could turn out to be one of the more entertaining games of the week for fans and bettors alike.

It already qualifies as one of the more interesting games on the Week 7 betting board in terms of early movement. The opening spread was all over the place with Navy -2½ at some sports books charted by Don Best's Pro Odds, other locales having it a pick 'em and a few shops offshore starting Central Michigan at -1½. It has since settled with the Chippewas laying 2-2½ and a 60-point total that has shot up since beginning at 57.

One reason for what has been a 2-4 point swing into Central Michigan's favor is the status of Navy quarterback Trey Miller. The junior pivot was in a walking boot at practice on Monday after injuring his left ankle in the final quarter of last week's overtime win over Air Force, and his availability for Friday's game should be known by Wednesday. Miller leads the Midshipmen in rushing and had 110 yards on the ground while completing all three of his passes at the time of the injury.

Freshman Keenan Reynolds relieved Miller and guided the Midshipmen (2-3 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) back from a 21-13 deficit at Air Force with around 10 minutes remaining in regulation.

The early movement in the Chips' direction isn't anything new this year. Three of their games – at Iowa and Toledo, home vs. Michigan State – saw spreads move towards Central Michigan (2-3 SU) who is 1-4 ATS in 2012 after going 1-11 at the betting windows in 2011.

The Falcons shot themselves in the foot with three turnovers to help Navy along last week, and while head coach Ken Niumatalolo was obviously pleased with the outcome, expect him to run Navy through practices this week as if the Middies lost the game. Air Force's top-ranked ground attack literally ran roughshod over Navy for 507 total yards of offense (363 rushing), and they're going to face a different animal this week with CMU preferring to put the ball in the air behind senior QB Ryan Radcliffe who is well on his way to a third consecutive 3,000-yard passing season.

Navy hasn't allowed a lot of yards through the air this year (146 per game, 30th in nation), but that has been a product of playing several teams who like to keep it on the ground. Radcliffe, who has received good protection from his line all season, should have time to throw and challenge the Midshipmen in what very well could be a 'who scores last' affair.

The key to the game, however, will be Central Michigan's ability to at least slow Navy's option or force Miller/Reynolds to make mistakes the few times they do throw. If oil flowed as easily from underground formations as points are put up on the Chippewas, gas would be going for about 89¢ a gallon. Only four teams have been scored upon more than Central Michigan (40.8 ppg), and the Chippewas rank 103rd in total defense (457 ypg) with more than half of that coming via the ground.

There isn't much as far as series history for bettors to consider, but what's there is pretty recent. Navy has won the only two other meetings (2003, 2010), splitting at the window while the 'over' cashed each time. The collision in 2010 went down to the wire in Annapolis before the Middies pulled off a 38-37 win by stopping CMU's 2-point conversion try with only a few ticks left on the clock. Navy was a 2-TD favorite in that game.

The current weather forecast for Mount Pleasant on Friday is a good one – upper-40s and clear at kickoff from Kelly/Shorts Stadium which is set to come a little past 8:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN2. Navy will return home to host the Indiana Hoosiers on Oct. 20 while the Chippewas get back to their MAC schedule and host Ball State the same day.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 07:52 PM

Sky-Rocketing Notre Dame Fighting Irish Host Stanford

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are rolling along despite a revolving door at quarterback. They face their third ranked opponent of the year with the Stanford Cardinal on Saturday afternoon.

The Don Best college football odds screen has Notre Dame as mostly 8-point favorites. The total is 45-45½ and the game will start at 3:30 p.m. (ET) from Notre Dame Stadium.

Notre Dame (5-0 straight up, 4-1 against the spread) is flying up the polls after being No. 23 in the Coaches in the preseason and unranked in the AP. The team is now No. 7 in both and moved up from No. 11 to No. 9 in the Don Best Linemakers Poll released today.

Coach Brian Kelly’s team is 5-0 for the first time since 2002 and gaining confidence every week. The latest example is a 41-3 drubbing of Miami as 15-point favorites with the running game amassing an incredible 376 yards. That helped dominate the time of possession (39-21 minutes).

Quarterback Everett Golson was an efficient 17-of-22 (77.3 percent) for 186 yards. He was benched to start the game after a violation of team rules. Golson should be the starter this week, but junior Tommy Rees has already replaced him twice during games and there’s no guarantee for either player each week.

Senior Cierre Wood is emerging as the featured back after being suspended the first two games. He’s averaging 6.1 yards per carry as opposed to 3.9 for Theo Riddick. The explosive George Atkinson is averaging 9.3 ypc and has broken off TD runs of 55 and 56 yards.

The Fighting Irish have been tremendous defensively, second in the nation in points allowed (7.8 PPG), trailing only Alabama. They held ranked Michigan and Michigan State to nine total points in the two games preceding Miami, an embarrassing development for the Big Ten.

The ‘under’ is 4-0 in Notre Dame’s last four overall.

The Cardinal (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) are still trying to navigate their way in the post Andrew Luck era. They remain a solid Pac-12 program ranked No. 17 by the AP and Coaches.

Quarterback Josh Nunes has been in the spotlight all year replacing the esteemed Luck. He struggled badly in the only road game, a 17-13 loss at Washington on September 27 that had many fans calling for his head.

The junior signal caller rebounded in a big way last game, rallying from a 48-34 fourth-quarter deficit at home versus Arizona (winning 54-48 in OT). Nunes was 21-of-34 for 360 yards, throwing for two TDs and rushing for three more. The Cardinal didn’t cover as 10-point favorites, their second ATS failure in a row.

Coach David Shaw knows he can’t rely on another great performance from Nunes (126.1 overall rating, ranked 87th). Running back Stepfan Taylor needs to get at least 20 carries and 80 yards, but that won’t be easy against linebacker Manti Te’o and the Irish front seven.

Nunes will have to pass effectively to win and will concentrate on big tight ends Zach Ertz (316 yards) and Levine Toilolo (278 yards), the team leaders in receiving yardage.

The Stanford defense also has questions after allowing 48 points to Arizona, only 13 less than the first four games combined. The good news is the ‘D’ is only allowing 77.2 YPG on the ground (sixth nationally) and it’s that matchup that will determine if Stanford can keep this in single digits.

This is a great annual rivalry that will continue even after Notre Dame moves to the ACC for sports besides football and hockey. Stanford won the last three years with Luck under center, covering the last two.

The ‘under’ also went 2-0 the last two years with a higher total around 59 each time.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 07:54 PM

USC Trojans Visit Washington In Pac-12 Battle

The USC Trojans have made their backers very unhappy playing on the road this season. They’ll have another shot at betting success at the Washington Huskies on Saturday night.

The Don Best Pro Odds have USC down to 11½-12 point favorites after opening at 13½. The total has moved up from 54 to 55½ and FOX will have the 7:00 p.m. (ET) Pac-12 battle from CenturyLink Field.

The Trojans (4-1 straight up, 1-4 against the spread) are already playing their fourth game away from home, going 0-3 ATS in the first three. That includes a shocking 21-14 loss at Stanford on September 15 as 9½-point favorites that cost them their No. 2 national ranking (AP) and perhaps a shot at the BCS Championship game.

Coach Lane Kiffin needed to get his guys quickly refocused and they have rebounded with wins versus California (27-9) and at Utah (38-28). The former was the only cover this year as 16½-point home favorites, while the latter another road failure as 14-point chalk.

The current rankings are No. 11 in the AP and No. 9 in the Coaches. The Don Best Linemakers Poll has the Trojans much higher at fourth.

Quarterback Matt Barkley was the preseason Heisman favorite, but seems to have buckled under the pressure some with his completion percentage down (64.2) and his interceptions up (five already this year).

Barkley and the passing offense surprisingly rank just 41st nationally (266 YPG). He did throw for 303 yards last week against Utah, with three TDs and no picks. That should be the norm with great receiving weapons like Marqise Lee and Robert Woods.

The running game also has two studs with Penn State transfer Silas Redd and Curtis McNeal, although the latter is questionable after suffering a concussion early last game. It should only be a matter of time before this offense breaks out for good.

The Trojans defense has been pretty good overall at 338 YPG (ranked 28th), but has been fortunate to avoid any elite offensive team.

The unranked Huskies (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) are playing this season at the home of the Seattle Seahawks while on-campus Huskies Stadium is being renovated. That move hasn’t upset the home field advantage with a 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS) mark, including a 17-13 upset over then top-10 Stanford on Sept. 27.

Coach Steve Sarkisian’s men have struggled away with a 41-3 loss at LSU and a 52-21 debacle at Oregon last week. Both teams were ranked in the top-5 nationally at the time, so were obviously extremely tough assignments.

Sarkisian was a signal caller himself in college and made his mark as a quarterbacks coach, including at USC. It must be killing him to see the pass offense fall to 184.2 YPG (ranked 104th) after being at 255.5 YPG (ranked 35th) last year.

Junior quarterback Keith Price has seen his completion percentage fall from 66.9 last year to 59.5 this season. Some of that is certainly due to the level of competition, but there is no reason he should rank last in the conference in passing efficiency (111.2).

Washington has solid receivers in sophomores Kasen Williams and Austin Seferian-Jenkins, plus a 100-yard running back the last three weeks in Bishop Sankey. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the offense play well on Saturday.

Defensively, the Huskies are 13th in the country against the pass (173.8 YPG) and could make things very interesting with an early pick of Barkley or just some defensive stops.

Sarkisian won his first two meetings against USC, including 16-13 at home in 2009 as huge 20 ½-point underdogs. Kiffin and USC got some much-needed revenge last year, 40-17 in Southern California.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 07:56 PM

Longhorns & Sooners Meet In Annual Red River Rivalry

Big Tex is on the job at the Texas State Fair that is in full swing in Dallas, which means folks are busy clogging their arteries with just about every food imaginable being deep fried.

It also means the Red River Rivalry is upon us as the Texas Longhorns and Oklahoma Sooners prepare for their annual showdown this Saturday at the historic Cotton Bowl. Fans of both schools will still be nursing hangovers when the kickoff comes at 11:00 a.m. local time (noon Eastern), and you can bet the losing coach will be feeling similar effects with both teams entering the game with a loss on their ledger.

ABC will televise the 107th gridiron meeting between the schools, and Oklahoma is favored by a field goal as of lunchtime Tuesday. Saturday's total started at 63 but has been bet down to 61 on the latest college football odds.

Each team enters with a 4-1 overall record and 1-1 in Big 12 play. As is so often the case, OU and UT come in ranked in both mainstream polls with the Longhorns 15th in the AP and coaches rankings while the Sooners are 13th and 10th respectively. The updated Don Best Linemakers Poll sees this as a top-10 matchup; Oklahoma is sixth in the ratings, 1.5 points ahead of Texas in 10th.

Texas (3-2 against the spread) is a controversial call away from riding a 2-game losing skid into this year's clash. The 'Horns came from behind twice in the fourth quarter two weeks ago at Oklahoma State to eke out a 41-36 victory. Joe Bergeron scored Texas' winning TD on a short 2-yard run with 30 seconds remaining, but replays showed he may have fumbled the ball before breaking the plane.

That narrow escape came as 2-point road favorites, and was followed by a 48-45 loss to West Virginia in Austin last Saturday as 8-point chalk. Like every other team so far this season, Texas had no answer for Mountaineers QB Geno Smith who threw four touchdown passes. The Longhorn defense also had no answer for WVU tailback Andrew Buie who ran for over 200 yards and added three receptions for another 66 yards.

The last three Texas games have gone 'over' the total after beginning the season with a pair of 'unders,' and it hasn't been just the Longhorn offense contributing to the recent outcomes. Mack Brown has watched his defense surrender 115 points the past three contests while Ole Miss, Oklahoma State and West Virginia averaged 475 yards of offense. As a result, Texas has dropped to 76th in the nation in total defense (404 ypg) and 66th in scoring (26.4 ppg).

Bob Stoops brings Oklahoma (2-2 ATS) in off a 41-20 win and cover at the Texas Tech Red Raiders who entered that contest with the top-ranked defense in the land. The Sooners broke the game open with 17 points in the third quarter, and ran up 380 yards against a Tech stop unit that had allowed more than 200 yards just once in its previous four games, and surrendered 43 points total before OU tallied 41.

These games usually come down to which team makes the fewest mistakes, and Texas has the edge in turnover margin. Oklahoma is -2 in that column (6 turnovers, 4 takeaways) while the Longhorns are +7 and have picked off seven passes while throwing just one.

David Ash has been solid under center for UT, completing more than 77 percent of his passes for nearly 1,300 yards and throwing 11 TDs against that one INT. His 180.06 passer rating is third in the nation. Landry Jones is well down that list at No. 55 with a 135.51 mark, and has a 7:2 TD-to-interception ratio.

Texas owns a 59-42-5 edge in the series all-time, but Oklahoma has won and covered the past two meetings and is 8-5 against Texas since Stoops took the reins. It wasn't close a year ago when the Sooners popped the Longhorns by a 55-17 count, easily covering an 11-point spread. Three of the last four meetings have gone 'over.'

Weather could play a factor this Saturday when there's a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the D-FW metroplex. Even without rain, southerly gusts up to 25 mph might wreak havoc with the kicking games. The afternoon high is expected to reach the low-80s.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 08:06 PM

Tech Trends - Week 7

October 9, 2012

Thursday, Oct. 11
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

ARIZONA STATE at COLORADO...Todd Graham's ASU 4-0-1 vs. line TY, and Graham teams 19-10-1 vs. line since 2010 (Tulsa, Pitt, ASU). Jon Embree 5-13 vs. line with Buffs, no covers first two at home TY. ASU, based on team trends.

UTEP at TULSA...Tulsa 8-5 as home chalk since 2010. Tulsa, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at TROY... WKU now 14 wins in a row vs. the number. Troy only 3-9 vs. line as host since 2010. WKU, based on recent team trends.

Friday, Oct. 12
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

NAVY at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU 2-15 vs. line since LY and 4-21 last 25 on board. Navy, based on CMU negatives.

Saturday, Oct. 13
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

TEXAS vs. OKLAHOMA (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)...Stoops has won and covered last two vs. Mack after Texas 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 vs. line previous five meetings. Mack only 2-6 as dog since 2010. Slight to OU, based on team and series trends.

IOWA at MICHIGAN STATE...Teams combined 2-9 vs. line to start 2012, Hawkeyes just 3-9 vs. number last 12 since mid 2011. Dantonio won and covered vs. Iowa LY but Ferentz had covered previous five meetings. Iowa, however, only 1-4 since 2010 in once-profitable road dog role. Slight to MSU, based on recent Iowa negatives.

NORTH CAROLINA at MIAMI-FLORIDA...Miami's wins and covers the last two years broke UNC's 3-game cover streak in series. Since Fedora arrived at Chapel Hill, home team has covered in all five Heel games (UNC 0-2 vs. line away). Slight to Miami, based on current home-in-Heel trend.

MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN...RedHawks 1-5 vs. line TY but 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MAC foes away from Yager Stadium. Slight to Miami-O, based on recent MAC road mark.

KENT STATE at ARMY...West Point 6-1 vs. line at home since LY, but Black Knights 3-5 vs. line last 8 on board since late 2011. Kent State on 7-2 spread run last ten since mid 2011. Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.

AKRON at OHIO...Solich has won and covered last four years vs. Zips. Solich won and covered first two at home TY but still just 3-4 against number at home since LY. Bowden has covered first two on road TY after Zips were 1-5 vs. line on road for Rob Ianello LY. Slight to Solich, based on series trends.

TOLEDO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU 5-18 vs. line at Rynearson Stadium since 2007. Rockets have won and covered last five, all wins by 24 or more. Toledo 3-0 vs. line away TY. Toledo, based on team and series trends.

MARYLAND at VIRGINIA...UVa 5-1 vs. line last six in series, but Cavs no covers last 5 TY and just 5-12-1 last 17 on board since early LY. Mike London 1-5-1 vs. line as home chalk since 2011. Terps have covered first two on road TY. Maryland, based on recent trends.

DUKE at VIRGINIA TECH...Cutcliffe 18-10-2 vs. number since 2010. Blue Devils have covered 2 of last 3 in series. Beamer just 5-16 last 20 vs. line since late 2010. Duke, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at PURDUE...Bielema 2-6-1 against number last nine away from Madison. Danny Hope 9-5 against points last 14 on board for Purdue. Purdue, based on recent trends.

NORTHWESTERN at MINNESOTA...Pat Fitzgerald only 3-7 as road chalk since 2007. Gophers have covered last three in series and Jerry Kill 7-2-1 last 10 on board. Minnesota 3-1-1 vs. line as home dog under Kill. Minnesota, based on series and team trends.

SYRACUSE at RUTGERS...Cuse 4-12 vs. line since 2011 and just 1-6 vs. line away since 2011. Slight to Rutgers, based on recent Cuse woes.

BOSTON COLLEGE at FLORIDA STATE...This had been a pretty good role lately for Spaziani (BC 7-3 as road dog 2010-11), but Eagles failed to cover first chance in role at N'western this season. Slight to BC, based on extended trends.

TEMPLE at UCONN...Pasqualoni only 2-5 as home chalk since LY. Temple 11-6 vs. line for Addazio and 1789 as dog since 2007 (Al Golden & Addazio). Slight to Temple, based on team trends.

LOUISVILLE at PITTSBURGH...Ugh! Charlie Strong no covers first two away TY (both as chalk) after 11-2 spread mark on road past two seasons. But series has been all Pitt lately as Panthers have won last 4 and covered last five meetings. If Pitt a home dog note 6-2 mark in role (1-0) since 2007. Panthers 16-7-2 as dog since 2007, back into Wannstedt era. Piutt, based on series trends.

MEMPHIS at EAST CAROLINA...Ten straight covers in series for ECU, last six wins all by 15 points or more. Memphis just 6-11 vs. line since LY. ECU, based on series and team trends.

FLORIDA at VANDERBILT...Dores haven't beaten Florida since the Watson Brown era (vs. Galen Hall!) in 1988. Vandy 9-0 vs. line at home since James Franklin arrived in 2011. But Gators 2-0 vs. line away TY and have covered big their last two at Nashville. Slight to Vandy, based on recent home mark.

AIR FORCE at WYOMING...Force 6-2 vs. line away since LY, 9-5 as road chalk since 2007 for Calhoun. Wyo only 2-6 as home dog under Christensen since 2009, but Christensen has covered last three vs. Falcs. Slight to AFA, based on team trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at BALL STATE...WMU has won last two meetings SU but Ball State 4-1 vs. spread last five meetings. Cards 9-3 vs. spread last 12 on board. Broncos 1-5 vs. line last 6 away from Waldo Stadium. Ball State, based on series and team trends.

BUFFALO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Note dog side has covered in first five UB games this season (Bulls 3-0 as dog), but Buffalo still only 8-13 as "short" since Quinn took over in 2010. NIU 6-9 as chalk since 2011 (3-2 TY). Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

IDAHO at TEXAS STATE...Vandals 2-5 vs. points last 7 away from Kibbie Dome. Texas State, based on Idaho road woes.

KANSAS STATE at IOWA STATE...Bill Snyder 6-1 vs. line away since LY; 13-5 vs. line since 2011. KSU, based on Snyder trends.

AUBURN at OLE MISS...Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze now 15-3 vs. line since LY with Ark State & Ole Miss (5-1 with Rebs). Chizik 1-4 vs. line TY and 6-12 vs. spread since Cam left campus. Tigers 3-6 vs. line away post-Cam. Ole Miss, based on recent trends.

UAB at HOUSTON...Blazers have covered their last three after failing in first two vs. line this season. UAB 12-7 as dog since 2011 (2-2 TY). Slight to UAB, based on team trends.

ILLINOIS at MICHIGAN...Illinois has covered 3 of last 4 in series. Brady Hoke 3-1 vs. line as Big Ten host LY, although Wolves only 1-3 vs. line in 2012. Slight to Illinois, based on extended trends.

FRESNO STATE at BOISE STATE...Tim DeRuyter 6-0 vs. line to start his career at Fresno. Although Bulldogs have been crucified the past six years vs. Boise, never closer than 13. Boise 1-7 vs. line last 8 as blue carpet chalk. Fresno, based on current trends.

SOUTHERN CAL at WASHINGTON...Huskies have won SU in 2 of last 3 and have covered 5 of last 7 meetings vs. SC. Trojans no covers last three at Seattle, and Kiffin 1-4 vs. line TY (0-3 away from home). UW, based on recent series and team trends.

OREGON STATE at BYU...Mike Riley 3-0 SU as dog this season and 23-10-1 as dog since 2007. OSU, based on team trends.

ALABAMA at MISSOURI...Mizzou 0-3 vs. line vs. new SEC foes. Nick only 2-3 vs. line TY but Tide 7-2 last 9 on road, and 28-16 overall vs. number since 2009. Bama, based on team trends.

STANFORD at NOTRE DAME...Irish 5-0 SU and vs. line TY. Tree has won and covered last two vs. ND and is 11-3 vs. line away since 2010. Slight to Stanford, based on recent trends.

UTAH STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...USU 21-5 as road dog since 2007. But SJSU 5-0 vs. line TY, 8-0 last 8, and 10-1 last 11 vs. spread. Slight to SJSU, based on extended road dog mark.

KENTUCKY at ARKANSAS...Joker Phillips 3-10 vs. line away from Lexington since 2010. Slight to Arkansas, based on recent Joker road negatives.

TENNESSEE at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Derek Dooley only 4-11 vs. line as dog since 2010 at UT. MSU, based on team trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at LSU...Les Miles only 7-9 as home chalk since 2010. Gamecocks 7-1 vs. line last 8 on board since late 2011. SC, based on team trends.

CAL at WASHINGTON STATE...Tedford 4-10 vs. line away since 2010 (1-1 TY). Leach 0-2 vs. line in Pullman TY after Cougs 4-1 vs. line at home LY. Bears 3-7 vs. line last 10 in series. Slight to WSU, based on extended team and series trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS TECH...WVU 6-2 vs. line away under Holgorsen since LY. Slight to WV, based on recent trends.

TCU at BAYLOR...Art Briles 7-1 vs. line at home since LY. TCU 0-2 vs. line away TY and 6-11 in role since late 2009. Baylor, based on recent trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at UCF...USM 1-4 vs. line under Ellis Johnson and 0-2 away. O'Leary 10-6 as home chalk since 2010. UCF, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS...OSU has destroyed KU the past two seasons and Cowboys 19-7 as chalk (9-3 as road chalk) since 2010. Cowboys 11-3 vs. line away since 2010. OSU, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE at INDIANA...The Tressel Buckeyes had won and covered six straight vs. IU from 2003-10 but last year's OSU could not cover vs. Hoosiers. Still, OSU 6-1 vs. line last 7 and 7-1 last 8 vs. IU. OSU, based on extended series trends.

SMU at TULANE...Wave 4-18 last 22 vs. spread at Superdome. SMU, based on Tulane negatives.

UTSA at RICE...Coker 3-0 vs. line TY! Rice 9-4-1 vs. line as host since 2010 and 9-3 as chalk since 2007 (2-1 since LY). UTSA, based on recent trends.

NEVADA at UNLV...Fremont Cannon has lived in Reno since 2005 as Wolf Pack has won last seven meetings, covering six. But Pack only 4-7 as road chalk since 2010, but Bobby Hauck remains formful, now 10-2 as home dog since arriving at UNLV in 2010. Slight to UNLV, based on Hauck home dog mark.

COLORADO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE...CSU 5-11 vs. line away since 2010 and 6-14 overall last 20 vs. spread. SDSU, based on CSU woes.

UTAH at UCLA...Utes 2-3 vs. line TY and 9-15 last 24 on board. UCLA 35-17 last 52 on board at home since early 2004. Home team has covered easily in three meetings since '06. UCLA, based on team and series trends.

NEW MEXICO at HAWAII...Norm Chow no covers last three TY and Bob Davie 3-0 his last three. Lobos 4-2 on line for Davie and 7-2 last nine on board since late 2011. UNM, based on recent trends.

Saturday, Cot. 13 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

FLORIDA ATLANTIC at UL-MONROE...FAU has covered three in a row but has lost all three SU, while ULM 5-0 vs. line TY. Warhawks have won last three SU and covered last five vs. Owls. FAU 3-8 vs. line as host since 2010. ULM, based on series and team trends.

SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE...Ark State 13-6 vs. line since LY (3-3 for Gus Malzahn TY). Ark State, based on team trends.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL...MTSU 3-1 vs. line last four TY while FIU 2-4 vs. line for Cristobal in 2012. MTSU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS A&M vs. LA TECH (at Shreveport)...LT has covered last 11 away from Ruston!

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 08:09 PM

Around the Nation - Week 6

October 9, 2012

Conference play has commenced, and in the last two weeks we have learned quite a lot - some good, some bad, some undecided as well. Let's jump right into the Power Poll this week, then discuss the Top 10 teams more in depth below.

Power Poll Top 10

1 - Alabama Crimson Tide
There is no question at this point in the season the Tide is the #1 team in the country. The 'Bama defense has not yielded more than 14 points in a game, and has posted two shutouts as well - granted, the competition has not been great, as they have only played one team in my current PP (#23 Michigan), but it's still impressive with the turnover on the roster how well they have played so early in the season. As mentioned all season long their schedule is very favorable as well, avoiding #3 Florida, #4 South Carolina and #10 Georgia from the East. Their season is likely to come down to a pair of games, the SEC Championship, and with a win, the BCS Championship - I just do not see many (if any) scenarios where Alabama does not win the SEC West.

2 - Oregon Ducks
Can a team fly under the radar starting the season 6-0, while averaging 52.3 points per game, and an average margin of victory of 32.3ppg? Seems like the Ducks are not getting as much press as even some of their Pac-12 brethren, including the surprise teams #14 Oregon State, #19 Arizona State, Arizona, UCLA, and #16 USC - who seem to have generated more buzz based on a loss then the Ducks unbeaten season so far. What's good for the Pac 12 is those aforementioned surprise teams, who may be able to at least give Oregon a game - especially considering OU must travel to Arizona State (this week), USC and Oregon State. It is more possible now than just a few weeks ago Oregon loses a game somewhere along the line outside the USC matchup, but they still appear to be the cream of the Pac-12 North crop.

3 - Florida Gators
The Gators have risen up from seemingly nowhere to the #3 spot in the latest poll, and it would be tough to argue any team in the country has three more impressive wins thus far than UF does in Texas A&M and Tennessee on the road, and at home this past Saturday vs. #8 LSU. I still have questions about this offense - but that question can really be said regarding just about every SEC team. After their trip to Vanderbilt this Saturday they will have closed out their road slate in the SEC (the Georgia neutral field game is a Florida "away" game this season), and will not leave the state of Florida for the remainder of the regular season. From October 20th to November 17th they will have 5 straight home games in The Swamp, followed by a season ending trip to Tallahassee, which may evoke memories of those fabulous 90's Gator/Seminole showdowns. The SEC East title is completely there for the taking if Florida can beat #10 Georgia in Jacksonville on October 27th.

4 - South Carolina Gamecocks
By now I think everyone knows this South Carolina team means business, supported by a defense that is one of the best in college football which directly resulted in their hammering of a very strong Georgia team on Saturday in Columbia. The Cocks miss two of the three ranked SEC West teams in #1 Alabama and # 21 Mississippi State, but do face #8 LSU this coming weekend in Death Valley - which probably is not good for SC since the Tigers are off a rare loss. If they can somehow pull out that win, their season will likely come down to the following weekend when they travel to Gainesville to face #3 Florida. They still control their own destiny in the SEC East, like Florida.

5 - Kansas State Wildcats
The Cats started a little slow on Saturday vs. in-state rival Kansas, but eventually woke up and pounded the Jayhawks 56-16. With # 7 Oklahoma already in the "W" column, only three potential losses remain on their schedule: these next two weeks they travel to #24 Iowa State followed by #6 West Virginia, and they close their season at home vs. #15 Texas. They control the Big 12 right now along with West Virginia - but this conference is very competitive, so it is far too early to make projections with any certainty as to who may earn the automatic BCS bid. We do know the October 20th K-State/WVU matchup will have Big 12 & BCS championship implications.

6 - West Virginia Mountaineers
Outside #2 Oregon there has not been a more explosive offense then WVU, averaging a robust 52.0ppg. However, their defense has allowed an equally robust (albeit for the wrong reasons) 35.0ppg, something you figure must be fixed at some point since it is extremely difficult to continually outscore your opponents on a weekly basis. When analyzing their remaining schedule there are without question more landmines on it than #5 K-State has - for some reason, maybe the defense comment above, I just do not trust that WVU will find their way through this schedule with enough wins to earn a Big 12 championship in their inaugural season.

7 - Oklahoma Sooners
Maybe, just maybe, the Sooners got their loss out of their system early enough to still make a run for a BCS Championship. That remains to be seen. What we have seen so far is a team that still struggles to be consistent - however, this past Saturday was a solid step in the right direction beating Texas Tech in Lubbock. Not only do the Sooners have that difficult Big 12 schedule to navigate, they also face #11 Notre Dame in Norman on October 27. If they can beat the Irish, and ND continues playing well, that could be that extra boost they need come BCS Championship game invite time, assuming they win the rest of their Big 12 games as well. I would say there is a chance - hey, I have them as my highest rated 1 loss team, even above a few of the undefeated teams - but because of their inconsistency, think it's a small one.

8 - LSU Tigers
The Tigers 18 game regular season win streak came to a halt on Saturday in Gainesville, as their offense was nowhere to be found in a 14-6 loss. A good sign from that game is that defense - wow. Even with the personnel turnover year after year Les Miles and company always have a scary, fast, physical defense that seemingly each week controls their game. Problem remains the same for LSU - an offense that cannot score enough points - and "enough points" is often such a small amount, which makes it that much worse. QB Zach Mettenberger has not performed as well as the Tigers faithful hoped, while the OL/running game has also been a little subpar for their talent and expectations. LSU still controls their own fate in the SEC West - beat #1 Alabama at home in early November, and take care of the rest of their business, and they will earn that SEC Championship game invite. I expect an inspired effort this weekend vs. #4 South Carolina - and this game is absolute must see TV if you are into strong and tough defenses.

9 - Florida State Seminoles
It happened again to head coach Jimbo Fisher and Florida State - they blew another game they had no interest losing, and once again it was unranked NC State that knocked them off. There were signs a loss was possibly on the horizon after a tougher than expected home win over # 13 Clemson, and a non-cover closer than expected win at South Florida the week before. But like many of the teams ahead of them, FSU still controls their ACC fate - and let's be honest here, the ACC isn't exactly home to a bunch of heavyweights. The 'Noles do not have another ranked ACC team on their schedule and figure to be double digit favorites moving forward besides the finale at home vs. #3 Florida. That game will not have ACC impact, but this old school battle could have extremely significant ramifications on the BCS Championship for one or both teams.

10 - Georgia Bulldogs
Like #9 FSU there was blood in the water before their blow-out loss to #4 S. Carolina on Saturday. Whether it be uninspired defensive efforts vs. Buffalo & Florida Atlantic, the very tight win over Tennessee the week before, the Dawgs poor record vs. good teams the last few seasons, and their poor record vs. SC of late, the loss Saturday should not have come as a shock - maybe the final score, sure, but not the loss. But, even with that loss, all is not lost per say. UGA once again avoids #1 Alabama, #8 LSU and #21 Mississippi State from the West, the only three ranked teams from the opposite division, and will still face #3 Florida on a neutral field. If Georgia can take care of the rest of their games, and finish 11-1, it's still very possible they win the SEC East and get a chance to face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game - and in a one game scenario anything can happen. I still really like this roster and think they will play a little looser with a chip on their shoulder for the remainder of the season, and could be dangerous.

Teams 11-25

11 - Notre Dame Fighting Irish
12 - Ohio State Buckeyes
13 - Clemson Tigers
14 - Oregon State Beavers
15 - Texas Longhorns
16 - USC Trojans
17 - Louisville Cardinals
18 - Rutgers Scarlet Knights
19 - Arizona State Sun Devils
20 - Stanford Cardinal
21 - Mississippi State Bulldogs
22 - Nevada Wolfpack
23 - Michigan Wolverines
24 - Iowa State Cyclones
25 - Cincinnati Bearcats

Next Five to keep eye on, in alphabetical order only

Duke Blue Devils
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Northwestern Wildcats
Ohio Bobcats
Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 08:11 PM

Week 6 Rewind

October 9, 2012

South Carolina stole the show in Week 6 of the college football season, announcing itself as a legitimate national-title contender by smashing Georgia early and often in a 35-7 win as a 1 ½-point home favorite. The Gamecocks raced out to a 21-0 lead with 5:18 remaining in the first quarter and it was over that quickly.

The 42 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 54 ½-point total.

South Carolina won for the 10th straight time, breaking a school record. Connor Shaw produced 240 yards (162 passing, 78 rushing) and three touchdowns, throwing for a pair of scores without being intercepted. Marcus Lattimore rushed 24 times for 109 yards and one touchdown.

With the victory, South Carolina saw its odds to win the BCS Championship reduced to 7/1 at The Gamecocks have the second-shortest odds (3/1) to win the SEC.

As of early Tuesday morning, most betting shops had South Carolina listed as a 2 ½-point underdog for Saturday’s game at LSU. The total for ‘over/under’ wagers is 40 ½ points.

During Steve Spurrier’s tenure, the Gamecocks own a 12-8-1 spread record in 21 games as a road underdog. The Tigers haven’t lost at home since losing a 13-3 decision to the Gators in 2009.

Before Spurrier’s squad dealt out woodshed treatment to UGA, improving his career coaching record against the Dawgs to 15-5, his alma mater appeared to be the story of the day.

In the biggest game of Will Muschamp’s brief two-year tenure at Florida, his team took on his personality and won a football game the way most SEC games were won in 1980s. In other words, the Gators looked nothing like Spurrier’s Fun-N-Gun teams.

Instead, they won with defense and running the football. For the first time in a long time, the Gators beat an elite team by physically dominating the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball.

Mike Gillislee ran 34 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns, while UF’s defense allowed LSU only one third-conversion in 13 attempts. Florida still hasn’t allowed its five foes to score a point in the fourth quarter.

UF plays Saturday at Vanderbilt in a classic sandwich spot. The Gators are coming off the huge win over LSU with South Carolina on deck.

While Florida fans celebrated its biggest win since 2008, the good times only got better when North Carolina St. rallied from a 16-0 deficit to stun previously-undefeated Florida St., 17-16, in Raleigh.

Mike Glennon threw a two-yard TD pass to Bryan Underwood on fourth and goal with 16 ticks left to lift the Wolfpack to a huge win as a 16 ½-point home underdog. The fourth-down conversion was the third on the game-winning drive.

West Va. stayed undefeated by capturing a 48-45 win over Texas as a 6 ½-point road underdog. Geno Smith threw four touchdown passes without an interception, improving his touchdown-to-interception ratio to 24/0.

The Mountaineers are back on the road again this week, venturing to Lubbock to take on Texas Tech. Speaking of the Red Raiders, they lost for the first time Saturday when Oklahoma avenged last year’s loss in Norman by collecting a 41-20 triumph.

At this point last week, we could’ve accurately said that there was no campus in America going through a tougher 2012 campaign than the one in Fayetteville. However, following Arkansas’ 24-7 win at Auburn, the Loneliest Village on The Plains has to take the honors.

Welcome to the hot seat, Gene Chizik. Two years after winning it all behind the talents of Cam Newton and Nick Fairley, the Auburn head coach is in trouble. No fan base in the nation is more prone to turning against a head coach faster, and we’re being reminder of that fact right now at AU.

If the Tigers lose in Oxford this weekend, watch out! And don’t think for a second that Auburn is above bringing in Bobby Petrino as its next head coach.

Duke improved to 5-1 for the first time since 1994 with a 42-17 demolition of Virginia, which remains the nation’s only team without a spread cover. The Blue Devils are one win away from being bowl eligible for the first time since ’94.

Missouri remains winless in SEC play after dropping a 19-15 decision to Vandy as a 6 ½-point home favorite. Things don’t get any easier for Gary Pinkel’s squad, which will host top-ranked Alabama this week without starting QB James Franklin, who is ‘out’ with a knee injury.

**Games of the Year**

--Sportsbook has had South Carolina’s regular-season finale at Clemson as a pick ‘em for the last several weeks. However, after their domination of Georgia, the offshore book has moved the Gamecocks to four-point favorites against their bitter in-state rivals. South Carolina is a three-point underdog at Florida and a 20-point home favorite vs. Arkansas.

--Oregon is favored by 2 ½ for its Nov. 3 showdown at Southern Cal. The Ducks are favored by 19 at California, 17 ½ vs. Stanford and 13 ½ at Oregon St.

--With UF’s vs. LSU, coupled with Georgia’s loss at South Carolina, the line for the UF-UGA showdown in Jacksonville is now a pick ‘em. The Bulldogs were favored by five last week.

--Alabama is now a seven-point favorite at LSU on Nov. 3.

--Iron Bowl line: Alabama -30 vs. Auburn.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Florida is a 7 ½-point favorite at Vanderbilt. The Gators haven’t lost in Nashville since 1988. Vandy owns a perfect 9-0 spread record at home under James Franklin.

--Although Ole Miss has lost 16 consecutive SEC games, it is favored by 4 ½ at home Saturday vs. Auburn.

--Oregon St. starting quarterback Sean Mannion is ‘out’ indefinitely with a knee injury. Cody Vaz has been named the starter Saturday at BYU. The Cougars also lost QB Taysom Hill to an injury last week, so Riley Nelson will get the starting nod. Nelson had missed the last two games with a back injury. As of Tuesday morning, most spots still had the game off the board, but a few books had BYU installed as a 2 ½-point home favorite.

--Fresno St. is the nation’s only team with a 6-0 spread record. The Bulldogs are seven-point underdogs this week at Boise St. They have lost six straight to the Broncos by an average score of 50-16.

--Could Penn St. be the second-best team in the Big Ten? The Nittany Lions have covered the spread in five consecutive games following Saturday’s 39-28 come-from-behind win over previously unbeaten Northwestern as three-point home favorites. Senior quarterback Matt McGloin completed 35-of-51 passes for 282 yards and two TDs without an interception. For the season, McGloin has a 12/2 TD-INT ratio and five rushing touchdowns. PSU has an open date this week before playing at Iowa.

--By covering the spread in a 6-3 loss at BYU on Friday night, Utah St. improved to 13-2 ATS as a road underdog on Gary Andersen’s watch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32152 Followers:37
10/09/2012 08:14 PM

QB Pachall leaving TCU, to enter rehab

October 9, 2012

FORT WORTH, Texas (AP) - Suspended TCU quarterback Casey Pachall is leaving school for the rest of the semester and entering an inpatient rehabilitation facility.

Coach Gary Patterson made the announcement Tuesday, five days after the junior starter was arrested on suspicion of drunken driving in his second brush with the law in the past eight months.

Patterson said most of the inpatient programs like the one Pachall will enter are 30 to 60 days. If Pachall completes the treatment, the door remains open for him to come back to school and the team.

``Hopefully, what our plan is that he (Pachall) gets himself right and keeps the door open for us as far as an opportunity for him to be able to come back here and enroll in the spring,'' Patterson said. ``He would be able to graduate in two semesters, which is the ultimate goal for us. Also, we'd get a great kid and also a good quarterback back.''

Pachall was arrested on suspicion of driving while intoxicated after running a stop sign near the TCU campus last Thursday. That came eight months after Pachall admitted to police that he smoked marijuana and failed a team-administered drug test just two weeks before former linebacker Tanner Brock, his roommate and teammate then, was arrested in a drug sting with three other players and other TCU students.

Patterson said he met with Pachall and his parents and everyone agreed that he needed time away from school and football to get his life back on track.

``There was only one way he was going to change the path that he was on,'' Patterson said. ``And that was he just needed to step away from it all. I think it's the best decision for this football team and Casey Pachall.''

When Pachall's failed drug test was revealed publicly in a police report just before the start of preseason practice in August, the quarterback wasn't suspended. Patterson said then that Pachall had completed drug and alcohol counseling mandated by the university.

Patterson said that he and his wife, Kelsey, will donate $100,000 to the TCU Recovery and Support Group, a drug and alcohol organization on campus that started in the fall.

``We want take this an opportunity to turn this into a positive where others can be helped,'' Patterson said.

Pachall threw for 948 yards with 10 touchdowns and one interception in TCU's first four games this season. The suspension of their second-year starter comes in the middle of the Frogs playing their first season in the Big 12 Conference and facing a difficult schedule the rest of the way.

Filling in for Pachall, redshirt freshman Trevone Boykin was 23-of-40 passing for 270 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions in Saturday's 37-23 loss to Iowa State. That ended the Frogs' FBS-best 12-game winning streak and knocked them out of the Top 25.

``We're still going try to win football games,'' Patterson said. ``We won them before Casey Pachall was our quarterback and we're going win games after Casey Pachall is the quarterback.''

The Horned Frogs (4-1, 1-1 Big 12) play at Baylor (3-1, 0-1) on Saturday, then face Texas Tech and Oklahoma State before consecutive games against four ranked teams currently with a combined record of 17-2. They will have to play at No. 5 West Virginia, before hosting No. 6 Kansas State, then going to No. 15 Texas and closing the regular season at home against No.13 Oklahoma.

``We're not panicking,'' TCU junior receiver Josh Boyce said. ``We still have a whole season in front of us. We're looking forward to these next games.''

Before the start of fall practice in August, Pachall said he needed to have the same expectations off the field that he did when he was playing.

``I know I'm not perfect,'' Pachall said at the time. ``But I've learned from those mistakes and I'm still learning. It's a day-to-day process for me of trying to be a better person.''

Last season, after replacing TCU's winningest quarterback Andy Dalton, Pachall set single-season school records with 2,921 yards passing and 228 completions. He threw 25 TDs with seven interceptions while the Frogs won 11 games, including a victory over Louisiana Tech in the Poinsettia Bowl.

While Boykin had been the backup quarterback the first four games, he was working out at tailback last week before Pachall's arrest changed things. Sophomore Matt Brown, Pachall's backup last season who had been moved to receiver, is now back in the quarterback mix.

Boyce said he was impressed how Boykin played against Iowa State on short notice.

``He had complete control of the huddle and did what a quarterback should do,'' Boyce said. ``I think he'll be great. He'll have a whole week of practice and we'll help him out a lot.''

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: