10/27/2012 12:18 AM
Tech Trends - Week 9
October 24, 2012
Saturday, Oct. 27
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
NAVY at EAST CAROLINA...Navy dropped 76 on ECU the last time in invaded Greenville. But Pirates won by 3 LY at Annapolis. Mids 30-14 as road dog since late 2002. Navy, based on team trends.
UMASS at VANDERBILT...Dores 9-2 vs. line at home since James Franklin arrived LY and 5-0 as Nashville chalk that span. Vandy, based on team trends.
OHIO at MIAMI-OHIO...Miami-O hasn't beaten Ohio SU since Solich's first season in 2005. Solich had covered five in a row vs. RedHawks until LY's 21-14 win and non-cover. Ohio no covers last 3 or 4 of last 5 TY, however. But Miami-O just 1-6 vs. line this season. Ohio, based on series trends.
BALL STATE at ARMY...Lembo 6-2 vs. line in 2012, 8-3 vs. line away since LY, and Cards 27-12 vs. number on road since 2007. West Point 0-7 SU last seven vs. MAC, including 48-21 loss at Muncie LY. Ball State, based on team trends.
AKRON at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU 4-23 vs. line last 27 for Dan Enos. Road team 7-1 vs. line in Akron games TY (Zips 3-0 away). Akron, based on team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at BOWLING GREEN...BGSU has covered last four TY (all as chalk) as favorite has covered last seven Falc games TY. BGSU, based on recent trends.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at WESTERN MICHIGAN...IU has covered 4 of last 5 and 9 of last 11 in series. WMU 3-1 vs. line at Waldo Stadium TY but 0-4 as dog in 2012. NIU has covered last 4 in 2012 and is 6-2 vs. line TY. NIU, based on series and team trends.
TEMPLE at PITTSBURGH...Note Owls 19-10 as dog since 2007 (Al Golden and Addazio). Pitt 2-6 as 7 or fewer home chalk since 2007. Temple, based on team trends.
INDIANA at ILLINOIS...Ill. no covers last four TY, and 1-6 as single-digit home chalk since 2010. Indiana, based on Illini woes.
PURDUE at MINNESOTA...Purdue 3-5 as road chalk since 2010. Gophers 8-4 last 12 on board. Slight to Minnesota, based on recent trends.
IOWA at NORTHWESTERN...Iowa won 41-31 LY at Iowa City but NU has covered 3 of last 4 and 5 of last 7 in series. Ferentz 1-1 vs. line away TY but 4-10 in role since 2010. NU, based on team and series trends.
DUKE at FLORIDA STATE...Duke 1-2 vs. line away TY, but Cutcliffe 30-19-2 vs. line since taking over Blue Devils in 2008. Jimbo 3-1 vs. line at home TY but only 6-5 as host since 2011. Duke, based on extended trends.
MARYLAND at BOSTON COLLEGE...Six pretty good efforts in a row from Terps, although just 4-2 SU vs. line in those games. Spaziani no covers last five TY and 1-6 vs. line in 2012. Spaziani 4-12 vs. line at Chestnut Hill since 2010. Maryland, based on team trends.
MISSISSIPPI STATE at ALABAMA...Road team has covered first seven Bama games TY (Tide 0-3 vs. line as host). Bama barely failed to cover vs. MSU LY but had won and covered previous three meetings. Slight to MSU, based on recent trends.
UTAH STATE at UTSA...USU 7-1 vs. line in 2012 and 23-12 vs. line away from Logan since 2007. USU, based on team trends.
HAWAII at COLORADO STATE...Hawaii no wins or covers last four TY, CSU 1-5 vs. line last 6 TY. Slight to CSU, based on team trends.
BAYLOR at IOWA STATE...Baylor 3-5 as road dog since 2010 (but 2-0 TY), ISU 9-5 vs. spread last 14 on board. ISU, based on recent trends.
TEXAS A&M at AUBURN...Chizik 7-13 against number since Cam departed. A&M, based on recent Auburn woes.
CALIFORNIA at UTAH...Tedford 2-1 vs. line away TY but extended road numbers not good (5-10 since 2010, 12-23 since 2007). Slight to Utah, based on extended Cal road marks.
TEXAS at KANSAS...Mack has won and covered big his last four vs. KU, but hasn't played every year since 2004. Mack is 5-1 as road chalk since LY. Texas, based on team and series trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at WISCONSIN...MSU 2-6 vs. spread in what has been a disappointing 2012. Meanwhile, Bielema has covered last four TY. MSU has covered last three (all as dog) in highly-entertaining series. Dog has covered 5 of last 6 meetings. MSU, based on series trends.
COLORADO at OREGON...Ducks have covered last two as Autzen DD chalk after no covers previous eight in role. Buffs 2-12 as road dog since 2010. Slight to Oregon, based on team trends.
NC STATE at NORTH CAROLINA...Home team 8-0 vs. line in Heel games TY. But NCS 28-9 vs. line after fifth game of season under Tom O'Brien since he arrived in Raleigh in 2007. O'Brien has won and covered all five vs. UNC since taking over Wolfpack 2007. NCS, based on team and series trends.
BOISE STATE at WYOMING...Boise 24-7 vs. spread away from blue carpet since 2008. Wyo 3-6 as home dog under Dave Christensen, and road team has covered last three in series. Broncos 12-4 as road chalk since 2010. Boise, based on team and series trends.
UTEP at HOUSTON...UTEP fading TY with covers last 4, and 1-5 vs. line last six in 2012. Cougs 8-3 against spread as host since LY. Houston, based on recent trends.
BYU at GEORGIA TECH...Bronco Mendenhall has covered last six as road dog. BYU, based on team trends.
FLORIDA vs. GEORGIA (at Jacksonville)...Gators hot, with covers last six TY. Bulldogs 4-3-1 vs. line last 8 in series that had previously been dominated by Gators (especially under Spurrier). Richt only 6-12 vs. line away since 2010, and only 4-10 as dog since 2007. Florida, based on recent trends.
KENTUCKY at MISSOURI...Joker 2-10 vs. spread away since taking over in 2010. Pinkel 6-4 vs. line as DD home chalk since 2010 (1-0 TY). Mizzou, based on UK negatives.
UCLA at ARIZONA STATE...Home team has covered last five in series, including pair of big ASU wins in Tempe. Bruins no covers 3 of past 4 TY. ASU, based on team and series trends.
SOUTHERN CAL at ARIZONA...Dog series, with the "short" covering last 7 meetings, and Arizona covering six of those. Tosh.O Kiffin only 2-5 vs. line TY and 0-4 vs. spread away from Coliseum. Arizona, based on series and team trends.
KENT STATE at RUTGERS...Golden Flashes have covered last five TY, although Kent only 1-5 as road dog since LY, and no covers four as non-MAC visitor. Rutgers 14-6 vs. line since last season. Slight to Kent State, based on recent trends.
TEXAS STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 6-1 vs. line TY and 9-1 last 10 since late 2011. Spartans 4-1 as chalk TY after 0-5 mark in role past two years. SJSU, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON STATE at STANFORD...Dog is 5-2 in Tree games TY, and Stanford only 2-3 as chalk this season. But Leach only 2-5 vs. spread in 2012. Slight to WSU, based on recent dog-in-Tree trends.
OHIO STATE at PENN STATE...O'Brien on 6-game cover streak since opening loss to Solich. Urban Meyer only 2-5 vs. spread last seven TY. Slight to Penn State, based on recent trends.
OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON...Beavers have owned this series, as Riley now has eight covers in a row against Huskies. Riley 3-0 SU and vs. line away TY. OSU, based on series trends.
TEXAS TECH at KANSAS STATE...KSU is 14-6 vs. line overall since 2011 Snyder 3-1 as home chalk TY, Tuberville 2-4 as road dog since 2010. Although Red Raiders have won and covered first three on road TY. KSU, based on recent trends.
SYRACUSE at SOUTH FLORIDA...Road team has covered last three years in series and in fact Bulls have covered 6 of last seven since joining Big East in 2005. But Skip Holtz 0-4 as chalk TY and is just 1-10 last 11 as favorite or pick 'em since mid 2011. Slight to Cuse, based on recent Skip chalk woes.
TCU at OKLAHOMA STATE...If Patterson is dog note 9-3 mark in rare role since 2005. TCU, based on extended trends.
UCF at MARSHALL...Road team has covered last four in series. Herd, however, is 4-1 as home dog since 2010 (1-1 TY). Slight to Marshall, bassed on team trends.
TOLEDO at BUFFALO...Rockets 3-1 vs. line away TY, 11-7 vs. line on road since 2010. Bulls 0-2 vs. line at home TY (road team 6-1 vs. spread first six UB games) and only 11-20 vs. points as host since 2007. Toledo, based on team trends.
TENNESSEE at SOUTH CAROLINA...Spurrier 8-2 last ten on board. Also covered last five at Williams-Brice. Derek Dooley 4-13 vs. line as dog since 2010. SC, based on team trends.
OLE MISS at ARKANSAS (at Little Rock)...Rebs have covered last four and 6-1 first seven vs. points TY, Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze now 16-3 vs. line since LY! Ole Miss, based on Hugh "Pointspread Cover" Freeze trends.
LA TECH at NEW MEXICO STATE...La Tech has won and covered big the last three years vs. DeWayne Walker (total score 130-27). Sonny Dykes 13-1 last 14 on board and has covered all 12 away from Ruston since LY. La Tech, based on team and series trends.
NOTRE DAME at OKLAHOMA...Brian Kelly 3-0 vs. line away TY and his teams are 13-5 as dog (Cincy and ND) since 2007. Stoops 8-6 vs. line at home since 2010. ND, based on team trends.
UAB at TULANE...Wave 15-30-1 last 46 on board since late 2008, also 6-20 vs. line last 26 at Superdome since mid 2008. UAB, based on Tulane negatives.
MEMPHIS at SMU...June Jones 7-13 last 20 and 10-18 last 28 on board. Memphis, however, just 3-6 last 9 on road and 5-11 last 16 as dog. Slight to SMU, based on Memphis negatives.
SOUTHERN MISS at RICE...Ellis Johnson still winless SU (0-6) at USM and Golden Eagles only 2-5 vs. line. Rice 10-4-1 vs. line at home since 2010 and if dog 17-7 last 24 in role at home dog since mid 2005. Rice, based on team trends.
MICHIGAN at NEBRASKA...Bo Pelini just 7-13-1 vs. spread last 21 on board. Brady Hoke teams at SDSU & Michigan now 21-12 vs. number last 32 on board. Michigan, based on team trends.
UNLV at SAN DIEGO STATE...Rebs have now lost 19 straight on road and 2-17 vs. line in those games, Bobby Hauck 2-15 vs. spread away since 2010. Aztecs have covered last 6 and 9 of last 10 meetings. SDSU, based on team and series trends.
FRESNO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Bob Davie has covered last five in 2012 and Tim DeRuyter is 7-1 vs. line in Fresno debut. Lobos 10-2 vs. line last 12 on board. New Mexico, based on team trends.
Saturday, Oct. 27 - Added Games
Matchup Skinny Tech Trend
SOUTH ALABAMA at UL-MONROE...Warhawks 6-1 vs. line TY and 9-2 last 11 on board. ULM, based on team trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at FIU...WKU 15-1 vs. line last 16 on baord. Cristobal, however, is 8-3 as home dog since 2007. WKU, based on team trends.
NORTH TEXAS at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...MTSU in revenge mode after 59-7 loss LY. Mean Green have covered last two in series after MTSU had covered previous four. Slight to MTSU, based on extended series trends.
TROY at FLORIDA ATLANTIC...Troy has won and covered big vs. FAU the last four years. Owls, however, have covered their last five this season. Slight to FAU, based on recent trends.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: