cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:18 PM

No. 16 Louisville seeks 8-0 start vs. Cincinnati

CINCINNATI BEARCATS (5-1)
at LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (7-0)

Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Louisville -3.5, Total: 53

No. 16 Louisville tries to remain unbeaten when it invites Cincinnati to Papa John's Cardinal Stadium on Friday night.

Cincinnati has won each of the past four meetings (3-1 ATS) with Louisville by at least eight points, prevailing 25-16 last year at home. The Bearcats played their first true road game last week and lost 29-23 at Toledo despite not allowing the Rockets to score an offensive touchdown. Louisville barely stayed unbeaten with a 27-25 home win over South Florida last week as QB Teddy Bridgewater was nearly perfect throwing the football (21-of-25, 256 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT).

Which team will prevail in this key Big East showdown? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

The Bearcats lead the Big East in both points (34.7 PPG) and yards (468 YPG). QB Munchie Legaux is having a strong season, ranking second in the conference with 283 total YPG. He's thrown 12 TD and just 5 INT, but two of those came in last week's loss to Toledo, when he completed just 15-of-36 passes (41.7%). Legaux hasn't relied on one receiver, as five Cincinnati players have between 13 and 18 catches and 185 to 286 receiving yards on the season. Senior RB George Winn is the main ball carrier though, rushing for at least 75 yards in all six games this year, gaining 607 yards on just 97 carries (6.3 YPC). Defensively, Cincinnati has been very strong up front, tallying a Big East-leading 3.0 sacks per game and ranking second in the conference in scoring defense (16.8 PPG allowed). The Bearcats defense has forced 13 turnovers in six games, but just one each in the past two weeks.

Bridgewater has completed 73.4 percent of his passes in 2012, throwing for 1,694 yards (9.0 YPA), 11 TD and 3 INT. He was not very effective in last year's 25-16 loss to Cincinnati though, completing only 17-of-28 throws for 195 yards (7.0 YPA), 0 TD and 1 INT, while taking four sacks. For Bridgewater to be effective on Friday and keep Cincinnati's fierce pass rush at bay, junior RB Senorise Perry (588 rush yds, 10 TD) will have to keep the defense honest. Perry was held to just 29 yards on 11 carries in last week's win over South Florida as his team was held to its lowest rushing output of the season (128 rush yds on 33 carries). Fellow junior RB Jeremy Wright has also had a strong 2012 campaign (477 rush yds, 7 TD), but he ran for just 27 yards on 11 carries last week. Defensively, Louisville has been decent, ranking among the nation's top-40 teams in both scoring defense (21.9 PPG) and total defense (339 YPG). But it has allowed 14 passing touchdowns, the most in the Big East. The Cardinals need to make more plays on defense, forcing just four turnovers in the past four contests.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:21 PM

Friday, October 26, 2012

Cincinnati at Louisville, 8:00 ET
Cincinnati: 15-5 ATS away off a home loss
Louisville: 6-0 ATS versus good offensive teams

Nevada at Air Force, 8:00 ET
Nevada: 19-8 Over in road games after 1 or more losses
Air Force: 2-9 ATS in home games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:23 PM

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 26

Game 107-108: Cincinnati at Louisville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 91.003; Louisville 91.948
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 1; 58
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+4); Over

Game 109-110: Nevada at Air Force (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 87.743; Air Force 81.596
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 6; 62
Vegas Line: Nevada by 3; 66
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-3); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:24 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Friday's games
Cincinnati won last four games with Louisville, winning 35-27/28-20 in last two visits here, but Bearcats lost first game last week, getting upset in Toledo in first true road game, despite outgaining Rockets of MAC by 123 yards. Cincy is 2-5 as road underdog under Jones. Louisville is 7-0, with three wins by 5 or less points, and North Carolina is only winning team they've played; Cardinals are 9-14 in last 23 gamea as home faves, 6-7 under Strong, 2-1 this season. Favorites are 11-4 vs spread in last 15 series games. Big East home favorites are 4-4 vs spread.

Lot of close games for Air Force; five of its six games vs I-A opponents were decided by 6 or less points, or in OT; they're 4-1 as home underdog under Calhoun, covering in only game as dog this season, losing 31-25 at Michigan (+21). Last week, Nevada became first team in 21 years that lost after leading San Diego State by 10+ points in 4th quarter; they are 3-1 on road, but had to rally back from down 31-14 at half to win its last road game, at lowly UNLV. Nationwide, home underdogs are 40-45 vs spread in conference games, 4-2 in MWC play.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:26 PM

NCAAF

Friday, October 26

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Nevada at Air Force: 7 things you should know
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Nevada at Air Force (3.5, 66)

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-20s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the south.

1. Air Force attempts an average of 10.5 passes per game and 352.7 rushing yards per game (second in the nation). But leading rusher Cody Getz (928 yards, eight TDs) is expected to miss the game with an ankle injury.

2. The Nevada Wolf Pack are a perfect 4-0 on the road this season and are averaging 44.0 points per game over those four contests.

3. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and have played under the total in their last four October contests.

4. Nevada’s Stefphon Jefferson is the leading rusher in the nation at 156 yards a game. Air Force allowed Kasey Carrier of New Mexico to rack up a Mountain-West record 338 yards on the ground against them last week. The Falcons allow 222 rushing yards per game, the 13th-worst mark in the nation.

5. “There’s no doubt that Nevada is the most athletic team we’ve played so far this season, even more so than when we went up to Ann Arbor and played Michigan,” Falcons coach Troy Calhoun said Wednesday about the Wolf Pack offense.

6. The Wolf Pack has failed to cover the spread in its last four games overall and is 0-5-1 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a winning record.

7. Nevada allowed just 102 first-half yards before giving up 247 yards and 33 points in the second half of its loss to SDSU last week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:27 PM

NCAAF

Friday, October 26

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Cincinnati at Louisville: What bettors need to know
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Cincinnati Bearcats at Louisville Cardinals (-3, 52)

Louisville has a great chance to remain undefeated until its regular-season finale if it simply wins the games it should win, but the No. 14 Cardinals' toughest test of the season until then awaits Friday when they host Cincinnati in the 52nd “Battle for the Keg of Nails.”

All but one of Louisville’s victories has come against teams under .500 and the only other opponent left on its schedule after the Bearcats that owns a winning record is No. 15 Rutgers – another of the 11 remaining unbeaten FBS teams. In order to hold up their end of a potential showdown of undefeated teams on Nov. 29, the Cardinals will need to play better than they did in last Saturday’s 27-25 home victory over two-win South Florida. Cincinnati suffered its first setback last weekend despite not allowing an offensive touchdown in a 29-23 loss at Toledo.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: Louisville opened as big as -4 and has been bet down to a field-goal favorite. The total has come down from 53 to 52 points.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for a 68 percent chance of rain in Louisville with temperatures in the low 50s. Winds are expected to blow north at 8 mph.

ABOUT CINCINNATI (5-1, 1-0 Big East, 3-2 ATS): The Bearcats have eclipsed 425 yards of total offense in every game this season and enter this contest averaging a Big East-best 467.5 yards. Much of the credit for that mark goes to the conference’s best rushing attack that has generated at least 200 yards in all but one game and 250 yards four times. Running back Ralph Abernathy (6.6), running back George Winn (6.3) and quarterback Munchie Legaux (6.0) lead the conference in yards per carry. Winn also ranks second in the Big East with 607 rushing yards.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (7-0, 2-0, 3-4 ATS): A successful ground game will be important to protect a Cardinals' defense that has surrendered a conference-high 14 touchdown passes. Louisville, which ranks second in the conference in rushing, will undoubtedly try to enjoy the same success on the ground against Cincinnati that Toledo did when it gashed the Big East’s second-ranked rush defense for 229 yards. However, the Cardinals can also lean on quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who leads the conference in passer rating (165.2) and ranks third in the nation in completion percentage (73.4).

TRENDS:

* Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Louisville.
* Favorite is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
* Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Cincinnati leads the all-time series 29-21-1 and has claimed each of the last four meetings.

2. The Cardinals are 4-0 in games decided by less than seven points.

3. The Bearcats have won five straight and nine of their last 10 against ranked conference opponents, including their last five away from home.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:27 PM

NCAAF

Friday, October 26

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cincinnati at Louisville: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati Bearcats at Louisville Cardinals (-3, 52)

Louisville has a great chance to remain undefeated until its regular-season finale if it simply wins the games it should win, but the No. 14 Cardinals' toughest test of the season until then awaits Friday when they host Cincinnati in the 52nd “Battle for the Keg of Nails.”

All but one of Louisville’s victories has come against teams under .500 and the only other opponent left on its schedule after the Bearcats that owns a winning record is No. 15 Rutgers – another of the 11 remaining unbeaten FBS teams. In order to hold up their end of a potential showdown of undefeated teams on Nov. 29, the Cardinals will need to play better than they did in last Saturday’s 27-25 home victory over two-win South Florida. Cincinnati suffered its first setback last weekend despite not allowing an offensive touchdown in a 29-23 loss at Toledo.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE: Louisville opened as big as -4 and has been bet down to a field-goal favorite. The total has come down from 53 to 52 points.

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for a 68 percent chance of rain in Louisville with temperatures in the low 50s. Winds are expected to blow north at 8 mph.

ABOUT CINCINNATI (5-1, 1-0 Big East, 3-2 ATS): The Bearcats have eclipsed 425 yards of total offense in every game this season and enter this contest averaging a Big East-best 467.5 yards. Much of the credit for that mark goes to the conference’s best rushing attack that has generated at least 200 yards in all but one game and 250 yards four times. Running back Ralph Abernathy (6.6), running back George Winn (6.3) and quarterback Munchie Legaux (6.0) lead the conference in yards per carry. Winn also ranks second in the Big East with 607 rushing yards.

ABOUT LOUISVILLE (7-0, 2-0, 3-4 ATS): A successful ground game will be important to protect a Cardinals' defense that has surrendered a conference-high 14 touchdown passes. Louisville, which ranks second in the conference in rushing, will undoubtedly try to enjoy the same success on the ground against Cincinnati that Toledo did when it gashed the Big East’s second-ranked rush defense for 229 yards. However, the Cardinals can also lean on quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who leads the conference in passer rating (165.2) and ranks third in the nation in completion percentage (73.4).

TRENDS:

* Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Louisville.
* Favorite is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
* Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Cincinnati leads the all-time series 29-21-1 and has claimed each of the last four meetings.

2. The Cardinals are 4-0 in games decided by less than seven points.

3. The Bearcats have won five straight and nine of their last 10 against ranked conference opponents, including their last five away from home.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:30 PM

Friday, October 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 8:00 PM ET Cincinnati +3.5 500

Louisville - Over 52 500

Nevada - 8:00 PM ET Air Force +3.5 500

Air Force - Under 66 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 07:30 PM

Friday, October 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 8:00 PM ET Cincinnati +3.5 500

Louisville - Over 52 500

Nevada - 8:00 PM ET Air Force +3.5 500

Air Force - Under 66 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24860 Followers:33
10/26/2012 11:41 PM

Klein & Wildcats Meet Doege, Red Raiders In Big 12 Tilt

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Kansas State Wildcats College Football Betting Preview
Date: 10/27/2012, 3:30 p.m. (ET) FOX
Opening Lines: Kansas St. -8, O/U 62½

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Tommy Tuberville and the Red Raiders (6-1 straight up & against the spread) have definitely become a favorite for fans and bettors this season. A week after he and his Raiders defense showed up Geno Smith and West Virginia, Seth Doege filled up the boxscore in a 7-TD passing performance in a 56-53 triple-overtime win at TCU last Saturday. Doege has now rebounded nicely from a 3-INT performance in Tech's only loss to Oklahoma, throwing 13 touchdowns and just one pick the past two weeks. In a conference that boasts some of the very best quarterbacks in college football, Doege has the most TD passes (28) and is fifth nationally with a rating near 170. The defense that allowed just 43 points in its first four games combined has been exposed a bit in the loss three weeks ago to Oklahoma and last Saturday's 3OT win at Texas Christian. This is the fourth consecutive ranked opponent on Tech's slate following OU, WVU and TCU, with current No. 25 Texas on deck next week in Lubbock.

Kansas State Wildcats: Collin Klein smoked Geno Smith and the Mountaineers last Saturday night to keep Kansas State (7-0 SU, 5-1-1 ATS) unbeaten and on the Big 12 fast-track to a BCS bowl. The victory suddenly has Klein a serious part of the Heisman Trophy discussion along with WVU's Smith. Klein began the season as a 50/1 long shot, but is now listed at 10/1 at many outlets thanks to 14 rushing touchdowns and 10 more through the air against just two picks. The Wildcats defense certainly rose to the challenge against Smith and the Mountaineers, forcing his first two interceptions of the season and holding the WVU offense to under half of its offensive average (500.7 ypg). Klein scored four times (3 rushing) in Kansas State's 41-34 win over Tech in Lubbock a year ago to snap a streak of five consecutive wins and covers for the Red Raiders in the series. The Wildcats have beaten the spread just one time in Texas Tech's last seven visits to Manhattan, and the last four in his rivalry have gone 'over' the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: