cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:39 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, October 6

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West Virginia at Texas: What bettors need to know
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West Virginia at Texas (-7, 73.5)

West Virginia put up historic numbers in its Big 12 opener last weekend - both offensively and defensively. The seventh-ranked Mountaineers will face a slightly stiffer defensive challenge this week when they travel to No. 9 Texas on Saturday night. West Virginia quarterback Geno Smith put himself in the Heisman driver’s seat by passing for 656 yards and eight touchdowns against Baylor last week, but needed every score in the 70-63 victory. Longhorns quarterback David Ash has been nearly as impressive as Smith and was in a similar spot during a 41-36 win over Oklahoma State last week. Both defenses are sure to be tested again Saturday, and both have had a tendency to give up big plays. The Mountaineers can point a finger at the secondary while Texas has struggled with missed tackles.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Texas -7, O/U 73.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-70s with a 20 percent chance of rain. Winds will be out of the north at 13 mph.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (4-0, 1-0 Big 12): Smith is off to one of the best starts in NCAA history, passing for 1,748 yards and 20 touchdowns with no interceptions. The senior leads the nation in passing efficiency at 208.4 and has completed an astounding 83 percent of his passes in coach Dana Holgorsen’s offense. But while the Mountaineers lead the nation in passing yards and rank third in scoring offense, they are 96th in points against, surrendering an average of 32.5. Holgorsen was quick to praise his front seven at a Tuesday press conference while acknowledging that the secondary is young and inexperienced, which has led to some big plays and third-down conversions. The biggest assist to the defense has been Smith and the offense, which has turned the ball over only once in four games - tied for the best in the nation.

ABOUT TEXAS (4-0, 1-0): The Longhorns played an offense similar to West Virginia’s last week against Oklahoma State and barely escaped. The Big 12 issued an apology to the Cowboys on Wednesday, admitting to a botched call that led to Texas’ final touchdown. The ending and the defensive lapses did not overshadow the efforts of Ash, who has taken over control of the quarterback position and ranks second in the nation behind Smith in quarterback rating. The sophomore has completed more than 80 percent of his passes in the last two games and has thrown only one interception this season. Ash will be without running back Malcolm Brown (ankle) on Saturday, leaving Joe Bergeron a larger role in the backfield. The defense is a concern, as coach Mack Brown highlighted 12 missed tackles from the Oklahoma State game, with three of those leading to a pair of touchdowns and 109 total yards.

TRENDS:

* Longhorns are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-0 in Mountaineers’ last four October games.
* Over is 6-1 in Longhorns’ last seven games following an ATS win.
* Longhorns are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Texas is 1-4 in its last five games against top-10 opponents.

2. The schools have met only once previously, with West Virginia capturing a 7-6 victory in Austin on Oct. 6, 1956.

3. The Longhorns have won 58 straight games when winning the turnover battle.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:41 AM

College football betting weather watch: Week 6

Weather has certainly played a factor in the first five weeks of the college football season and will continue to do so in Week 6.

Here are a few key matchups that are being threatened by inclement weather Saturday:

Navy at Air Force (-8, 54.5)

Site: Falcon Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-30s with a 40 percent chance of snow. Winds will be light out of the south.

Boston College at Army (7, 56.5)

Site: Blaik Field at Michie Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with a 35 percent chance of rain. Westerly winds at 7 mph are expected.

Massachusetts at Western Michigan (-16.5, 55)

Site: Waldo Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s with a 65 percent chance of showers. Westerly winds at 14 mph are expected.

LSU at Florida (2.5, 41.5)

Site: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-80s with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. Winds will be light out of the north.

Iowa State at TCU (-7, 41)

Site: Amon G. Carter Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s with a 40 percent chance of showers. Winds will be out of the north at 12 mph.

UNLV at Louisiana Tech (-27.5, 69.5)

Site: Joe Aillet Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-60s with a 40 percent chance of precipitation. Northerly winds at 9 mph are expected.

Oklahoma at Texas Tech (4, 57)

Site: Jones AT&T Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s with a 25 percent chance of rain. Winds will blow out of the east at 12 mph.

Georgia Tech at Clemson (-10, 72.5)

Site: Memorial Stadium

Forecasts are calling for mild temperatures in the mid-70s with a 25 percent chance of thunderstorms later in the afternoon. Winds will be light out of the west.

West Virginia at Texas (-7.5, 73)

Site: Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium

Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-60s with a 25 percent chance of showers. Winds will blow out of the north at 13 mph.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:44 AM

CFB | WYOMING at NEVADA
Play On - Any team (NEVADA) off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite, in October games
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
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CFB | NEW MEXICO ST at IDAHO
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (IDAHO) poor passing team (5.6-6.4 PY/Att.) against a horrible passing defense (>=8.3 PY/Att.), after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game
42-21 since 1997. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
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CFB | HAWAII at SAN DIEGO ST
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (HAWAII) outrushed by their opponents by 100 or more yards/game on the season, after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games
109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:45 AM

No. 5 Georgia takes on No. 6 South Carolina

GEORGIA BULLDOGS (5-0)
at SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS (5-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: South Carolina -1½, Total: 55

Two of the nation’s elite teams square off on Saturday night in Columbia, SC when No. 5 Georgia visits No. 6 South Carolina.

Georgia has dominated this series recently, going 7-3 SU, but South Carolina is 6-2-2 ATS in this span, including two straight SU victories. The Gamecocks scored on a fake punt, INT return and fumble return in a wild 45-42 win in Athens last year. Aaron Murray threw 4 TD passes in a losing effort, and he is currently No. 3 in FBS passing efficiency, completing 69% of his passes for 1,378 yards, 12 TD and 3 INT. South Carolina star RB Marcus Lattimore has started 2012 a little slowly as he regains strength in his surgically-repaired knee, but has 358 rushing yards in two career games versus Georgia.

Who will prevail in this clash of SEC titans? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Georgia’s offense is putting up 48.2 PPG (8th in nation) and 536 total YPG (11th in FBS), which includes scoring 48.3 PPG in three SEC games. The Bulldogs are coming off a wild 51-44 win over Tennessee, where the freshman RB duo of Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall ran for 294 yards on 34 carries (8.6 YPC) with five touchdowns. For the season, Gurley leads the SEC with 536 rushing yards and 9 TD, gaining 7.9 yards per carry. Marshall has 428 rushing yards on 8.2 YPC and five scores. Although Murray is having a huge season, he will no longer have the services of leading receiver Michael Bennett (24 rec, 345 yds, 4 TD) who suffered a torn ACL in Tuesday’s practice. However, plenty of weapons remain in the passing game, most notably senior WRs Tavarres King (307 rec yds, 3 TD) and Marlon Brown (272 rec yds, 3 TD). Georgia’s defense obviously needs to improve in a big way from last week, when it allowed 281 passing yards and 197 rushing yards to the Vols despite the return of suspended stars LB Alec Ogletree and S Bacarri Rambo. Despite the big yardage allowed, the Bulldogs still forced four turnovers, giving them 10 over the past four weeks. Superstar LB Jarvis Jones also failed to record a sack against Tennessee for the first time all season, but he still has 4½ sacks and eight Tackles For Loss in 2012.

Like Georgia, South Carolina has also been thriving on offense, scoring more than 30 points in each of the past four games, all ATS victories. Connor Shaw has been nearly perfect in the past two contests (wins over Missouri and Kentucky), completing 35-of-39 passes for 397 yards, 4 TD and 0 INT. He was a big reason his team was able to overcome a 10-point halftime deficit to the Wildcats and outscore them 31-0 in the second half. Lattimore has also been much better in these past two games, compiling 281 total yards and four touchdowns. He was a big reason the Gamecocks won in Athens last year, compiling 176 rushing yards and a touchdown. South Carolina’s much-ballyhooed front four has not disappointed this season, as the Gamecocks rank second in the nation with 4.4 sacks per game. Jadeveon Clowney has 5½ sacks, while four others have at least two sacks this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:47 AM

No. 10 Florida hosts No. 4 LSU on Saturday

LSU TIGERS (5-0)
at FLORIDA GATORS (4-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EDT
Line: LSU -2½, Total: 44½

A pair of top-10 teams will try to stay unbeaten when No. 4 LSU visits No. 10 Florida on Saturday afternoon.

LSU has beaten Florida the past two times they played, including a 41-11 blowout last year when the Tigers gained more yards on the ground (238) than the Gators had in total yards (213). This season, LSU has turned the ball over five times (with 19 penalties) during a two-game ATS skid, while Florida has committed just one turnover during a three-game ATS win streak. The Tigers rank fourth in FBS total defense (218 YPG), but have played an easier schedule than the Gators, who have 95 points in three SEC wins.

Who will win this SEC showdown? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Zach Mettenberger is having a solid year as LSU’s starting signal-caller, completing 66% of his passes for 1,016 yards, 6 TD and 2 INT. However, he was not very good in his lone road start, completing just 15-of-27 passes for 169 yards and two lost fumbles in a 12-10 win at Auburn. The Tigers are more likely to rely on their multi-player rushing attack in this game. Although Alfred Blue (knee) is out indefinitely, Kenny Hilliard (366 rush yds, 6 TD), Michael Ford (224 rush yds, 2 TD) and Spencer Ware (164 rush yds) are all capable backs. Ware ran for 109 yards and 2 TD against Florida last year. In the passing game, Odell Beckham, Jr. is coming off a huge performance against Towson, catching five passes for 128 yards and 2 TD. Although the Tigers are known more for their excellent run-stop unit (83 YPG allowed, 9th in nation), the passing defense has been even better this year, allowing 135 passing YPG, which ranks sixth among FBS schools. No Tigers opponent has reached 175 passing yards in a game this season. LSU is blessed with plenty of playmakers on the defensive side of the ball, forcing 12 turnovers so far in 2012.

Like LSU, Florida also knows how to run the football, averaging 225 rushing YPG (20th in FBS). Mike Gillislee leads the way with 402 rushing yards (2nd in SEC) and 5 TD, and he also had nice game at LSU last year with 56 yards on just nine carries. RB Trey Burton missed last week’s 38-0 win over Kentucky with a back injury, but he is expected to return to the field on Saturday. Sophomore QB Jeff Driskel has made great decisions all year, completing 70 percent of his passes for 698 yards (8.8 YPA), 4 TD and 1 INT. He is also the team’s second-leading rusher, scampering for 114 yards on 16 carries in the past two weeks. Driskel must be cognizant of LSU’s talented front four, especially considering Florida’s O-Line is allowing three sacks per game (104th in nation). The probable return of LB Jelani Jenkins (thumb) after a two-game absence will further enhance an excellent Florida defense. The Gators rank 10th in scoring defense (12.8 PPG) and 17th in total defense (305 YPG), but will need to pressure the quarterback with greater consistency moving forward. Florida has just 1.25 sacks per game (T-98th in nation) and 5.0 Tackles For Loss per game (T-84th in FBS).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:49 AM

No. 21 Nebraska visits No. 12 Ohio State Saturday

NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS (4-1)
at OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (5-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio State -3, Total: 57½

Two Big Ten heavyweights slug it out on Saturday night when No. 12 Ohio State hosts 21st-ranked Nebraska.

These schools met for the first time since 1956 last year when Ohio State blew a 21-point, third-quarter lead and lost 34-27 in Lincoln. QB Taylor Martinez had three second-half touchdowns and RB Rex Burkhead scored the game-winner, finishing with 178 total yards and 2 TD. This Huskers duo had 193 rushing yards and 3 TD in a 30-27 win over Wisconsin last week. The Buckeyes have held four of five opponents (all FBS) to 16 points or less, and QB Braxton Miller has 302 total YPG this season (2nd in Big Ten).

Who will win this key Big Ten showdown? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Martinez was certainly impressive against the Buckeyes last year, finishing 16-of-22 for 191 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT. He has been even better this year, with a 68% completion rate, 1,059 passing yards, 11 TD and just 1 INT. Kenny Bell has been his favorite target with a team-high 330 receiving yards and four touchdowns. With Burkhead missing time to injury earlier this year, sophomore RB Ameer Abdullah has given the team a speedier rushing option, gaining 486 yards and 5 TD on an impressive 6.2 YPC. Abdullah also leads the Big Ten in all-purpose yards (179 YPG). Although Nebraska’s run defense hasn’t been special (153 rush YPG allowed, 62nd in FBS), the front seven has gotten great penetration all season, recording 3.8 sacks per game (8th in FBS) and 8.6 Tackles For Loss per game (fifth in nation).

Miller injured his ankle in the third quarter of last year’s meeting with Nebraska, and was unable to help his team avoid the 28-0 game-ending run for the Huskers. Miller had 186 total yards and a touchdown before he exited the game. RB Carlos Hyde had missed the previous two games with a knee sprain, but he ran hard in his return last week with 49 yards on 11 carries. He also had the best game of his career against Nebraska last season, rushing for 104 yards and two touchdowns. With both Jordan Hall (knee) and Warren Ball (foot) out indefinitely, Hyde will likely have a larger workload moving forward. Miller has thrown for 8 TD and 3 INT so far, relying mostly on WRs Devin Smith and Corey Brown, who have combined for 668 receiving yards and 5 TD. On the defensive side of the ball, OSU’s pass defense has been burned by big plays all year. For the season, the Buckeyes rank 94th in the nation with 276 passing YPG allowed. The team has been pretty tough against the run though, allowing just 101 YPG (19th in nation).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 10:52 AM

No. 8 WVU visits No. 11 Texas on Saturday night

WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS (4-0)
at TEXAS LONGHORNS (4-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -7, Total: 74½

No. 8 West Virginia and No. 11 Texas meet for the first time in 56 years as both highly-ranked, Big 12 unbeatens take the field at Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin on Saturday night.

This game features the nation’s two highest passing efficiency quarterbacks. WVU’s Geno Smith (208.37 rating) also leads the nation with 457 total YPG, completing 83.4% of his passes for 1,728 yards, 20 TD and 0 INT. Texas QB David Ash (184.03 rating, 2nd in nation), has connected on 78.0% of his throws for 1,007 yards, 10 TD and 1 INT. The Mountaineers are on a three-game ATS skid despite 143 points (47.7 PPG), while the Longhorns are on a three-game ATS winning streak.

Who will win this Big 12 offensive showcase on Saturday night? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Smith has the top two receivers in the nation in terms of receptions with Tavon Austin (12.0 per game) and Stedman Bailey (10.3 per game). Baylor’s Terrence Williams is the only FBS receiver with more yards (167 rec. YPG) than Bailey (159 rec. YPG) or Austin (140 rec. YPG). The pair comprised most of Smith’s 656 passing yards and 8 TD last week, as the WR duo combined for 518 yards and 7 TD. RB Andrew Buie also rushed for two touchdowns, but was held to 82 yards on 25 carries (3.3 YPC). Although the Mountaineers defense was lit up by Baylor for 63 points and 700 yards last week, this D-line continues to wreak havoc on opposing quarterbacks, ranking 12th in the nation in sacks (3.3 per game) and eighth in Tackles For Loss (8.5 per game).

Ash is coming off another great game against Oklahoma State last week, completing 30-of-37 passes for 304 yards, 3 TD and 1 INT. All three of the touchdowns went to Jaxon Shipley, who leads the team with 17 receptions. With top RB Malcolm Brown getting injured last week, Texas managed a paltry 136 rushing yards on 42 carries (3.2 YPC). With Brown out for Saturday’s game, Joe Bergeron will be the main ball carrier. He injured his shoulder a couple of weeks ago, but scored both rushing touchdowns against the Cowboys, gaining 48 yards on 15 carries. Texas is also concerned about its porous run defense allowing 180 rushing YPG (86th in nation). Last year, the ‘Horns gave up just 96 rushing YPG, which ranked sixth in the country. They are also surrendering way too many big plays, allowing five touchdowns of 44+ yards this season. Texas continues to be opportunistic on defense though, forcing eight turnovers in the four victories.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 11:01 AM

Saturday, October 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Navy - 11:30 AM ET Air Force -8 500
Air Force - Over 54.5 500

Arkansas - 12:00 PM ET Arkansas +7 500
Auburn - Over 56 500

Michigan State - 12:00 PM ET Michigan State -15.5 500
Indiana - Under 48.5 500

Connecticut - 12:00 PM ET Connecticut +7 500
Rutgers - Under 40 500

Buffalo - 12:00 PM ET Ohio -14 500
Ohio - Under 57 500

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Penn State -2.5 500
Penn State - Under 47.5 500

South Florida - 12:00 PM ET Temple +3.5 500
Temple - Under 47 500

Boston College - 12:00 PM ET Army +7 500
Army - Under 56.5 500

Kansas - 12:00 PM ET Kansas State -24.5 500
Kansas State - Over 53.5 500

Boise State - 12:00 PM ET Boise State -10 500
Southern Mississippi - Over 47.5 500

Mississippi State - 12:21 PM ET Mississippi State -10 500
Kentucky - Over 46 500

Virginia Tech - 12:30 PM ET North Carolina -5.5 500
North Carolina - Under 50 500

Kent State - 1:00 PM ET Eastern Michigan +3 500
Eastern Michigan - Over 48.5 500

Bowling Green - 2:00 PM ET Akron +4.5 500
Akron - Under 64 500

Massachusetts - 2:00 PM ET Massachusetts +17 500
Western Michigan - Over 55 500

Arizona - 3:00 PM ET Stanford -9.5 500
Stanford - Over 54 500

Virginia - 3:00 PM ET Duke -1 500
Duke - Over 55.5 500

Northern Illinois - 3:00 PM ET Northern Illinois -2.5 500
Ball State - Over 66.5 500

Central Michigan - 3:00 PM ET Central Michigan +11.5 500
Toledo - Under 68 500

Louisiana State - 3:30 PM ET Louisiana State -2.5 500
Florida - Under 42 500

Wake Forest - 3:30 PM ET Wake Forest +7 500
Maryland - Over 47.5 500

Georgia Tech - 3:30 PM ET Georgia Tech +10.5 500
Clemson - Over 73 500

Tulsa - 3:30 PM ET Marshall +4 500
Marshall - Under 69 500

UL Monroe - 3:30 PM ET Middle Tennessee +3 500
Middle Tennessee - Under 66 500

Iowa State - 3:30 PM ET Iowa State +7 500
Texas Christian - Under 41 500

Oklahoma - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma -4 500
Texas Tech - Over 57 500

Illinois - 3:30 PM ET Illinois +14.5 500
Wisconsin - Over 45 500

Michigan - 4:00 PM ET Purdue +3 500
Purdue - Over 58 500

Tulane - 5:00 PM ET UL Lafayette -27.5 500
UL Lafayette - Over 54.5 500

New Mexico State - 5:00 PM ET New Mexico State +9.5 500
Idaho - Over 57 500

Texas State - 6:00 PM ET Texas State +3 500
New Mexico - Over 50 500

Washington State - 6:00 PM ET Oregon State -14.5 500
Oregon State - Under 58.5 500


Evening Games Posted Later Good Luck Gang !

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/06/2012 04:51 PM

Evening Best Bets:

Fresno State - 7:00 PM ET Fresno State -17.5 500
Colorado State - Under 59 500

Vanderbilt - 7:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +7 500
Missouri - Under 45 500

Texas A&M - 7:00 PM ET Texas A&M -13 500
Mississippi - Over 64.5 500

Rice - 7:00 PM ET Memphis +5.5 500
Memphis - Over 60 500

North Texas - 7:00 PM ET Houston -11 500
Houston - Over 58 500

West Virginia - 7:00 PM ET West Virginia +7 500
Texas - Over 73.5 500

Georgia - 7:00 PM ET Georgia +1.5 500
South Carolina - Under 54.5 500

Miami (Ohio) - 7:00 PM ET Miami (Ohio) +20 500
Cincinnati - Over 58 500

UNLV - 7:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -27.5 500
Louisiana Tech - Under 69.5 500

Wyoming - 7:05 PM ET Nevada -18.5 500
Nevada - Over 68 500

Miami - 7:30 PM ET Notre Dame -14 500
Notre Dame - Under 54 500

Hawaii - 8:00 PM ET San Diego State -21.5 500
San Diego State - Over 59.5 500

Florida State - 8:00 PM ET North Carolina State +16.5 500
North Carolina State - Under 54.5 500

Nebraska - 8:00 PM ET Ohio State -3 500
Ohio State - Over 56.5 500

Southern Methodist - 8:00 PM ET Southern Methodist +2.5 500
Texas El Paso - Under 53 500

UCLA - 10:00 PM ET California +2.5 500
California - Over 55.5 500

Washington - 10:30 PM ET Oregon -24 500
Oregon - Over 62 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:26576 Followers:33
10/08/2012 10:05 PM

October Record:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/06/12 53-­44-­1 54.64% +­2300 Detail
10/05/12 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/04/12 1-­5-­0 16.67% -­2250 Detail

Totals 56-­51-­1 52.34% -­50

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: