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Minnesota vs. Iowa, 09/29/2012 12:00
Point Spread: -7/-105 Iowa
Iowa Hawkeyes -7
Motivated by last week's 32-31 loss to Central Michigan, and further fueled by narrow defeats at Minnesota the past two seasons, expect Iowa to bounce back strong Saturday.
Iowa led the Chippewas by eight points with just over two minutes remaining and would have won the game had it recovered an onside kick. That probably sounds familiar to Hawkeye fans because failing to recover an onside kick cost them against the Golden Gophers last season. They lost to Minnesota by one-point in a game they led by 11 in the fourth quarter. In other words, the Hawks just need to learn how to finish games. The best way to learn how to do that is by giving games away. You can bet they'll be sharp here.
While Iowa has found ways to lose in The Land of 10,000 Lakes recently, all it has done is win at home when the Golden Gophers have visited. The Hawks have won five in a row at Kinnick Stadium against Minnesota by margins of 18, 18, 24, 5 and 12 points.
One thing I can say with absolute certainty is that Iowa is the better team up front on both sides of the football. It has dominated the line of scrimmage in each of its last two games, and I expect no different here. Minnesota is about to get hit in the mouth by a more physical team that really wants this game.
Iowa has been a tremendous investment off a loss. In fact, it is on a 35-15-1 ATS run in this situation. I'll lay the points.