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Minnesota vs. Iowa, 09/29/2012 12:00
Point Spread: +7/-105 Minnesota
Saturday's Free CFB Pick: Minnesota +7.5
Not only do I think Minnesota will cover the spread here, but I think the Golden Gophers have an excellent shot of winning this game outright.
Iowa's only real convincing win this season is a 27-16 win over Northern Iowa, who is a member of the FCS! Even that game wasn't in the bag until the final minutes. The Hawkeyes needed a last minute touchdown to escape their opener with a 18-17 win over Northern Illinois. They then lost at home to Iowa State 6-9 in a game that they were luckily to even be in. If it wasn't for four Iowa State turnovers, including two in the redzone, they would have lost that game by 3 scores! If that isn't enough to convince you that the Hawkeyes shouldn't be laying a touchdown against any FBS team, they were just upset at home by Central Michigan!
Now you are trying to tell me they are going to beat a Minnesota team by more than a touchdown. I don't think so. Minnesota has won two straight in the series against a much better Iowa team than the one that will take the field this Saturday.
Minnesota is off to a 4-0 start with impressive wins over Western Michigan and Syracuse. Second year head coach Jerry Kill is quietly turning this program around. They already knocked off both Western Michigan and Syracuse, who would each have their way with this Iowa team.
Central Michigan came into last weeks game against Iowa with one of the worst offenses in the country, yet they were able to march the ball up and down the field against the Iowa defense. Minnesota is averaging over 400 yards of total offense and I simply can't see Iowa's defense doing much to keep them off the scoreboard. BET THE GOLDEN GOPHERS!