jimmythegreek Posts:10709 Followers:376
On 09/23/2012 10:26 AM in NFL

NFL GREEK INSIDER WEEK 3

Detroit -4 over Tennessee:
The Tennessee Titans have stumbled through a miserable start but are hoping to end that by continuing a trend. The Titans are 31st in the league with 248.0 offensive yards per game and their 25 first downs are the fewest. Chris Johnson gained only 17 yards on eight carries during last week's 38-10 drubbing in San Diego, and Jake Locker completed only 15 of 30 passes. That performance was actually an improvement from the season opener for Johnson, who topped 2,000 yards in 2009. The three-time Pro Bowler had a career-low four yards on 11 attempts against New England. Tennessee (0-2) is off to its worst start since dropping six in a row to open the 2009 season. The Titans responded by winning eight of their final 10 that year.

Tennessee has also prevailed in nine of its last 11 home matchups against opponents from the other conference but will face a team that's won five in a row over AFC clubs. The Lions (1-1) are coming off their first trip to the playoffs in 12 seasons but haven't been at their best so far this year. Detroit needed a last-minute touchdown to win its season opener against St. Louis on Sept. 9 and fell 27-19 at San Francisco this past Sunday. The Lions drove inside the 49ers' 25-yard line six times but scored only one TD and went 4 of 5 on field goals.Matthew Stafford, who had 5,038 yards and 41 TDs a year ago, has four interceptions and two touchdowns through the first two games, but the Lions' biggest concern might be their short-handed secondary.

Detroit claimed cornerback Jerome Murphy off waivers from New Orleans on Wednesday after Drayton Florence suffered a broken arm in last week's loss. Chris Houston (ankle), Louis Delmas (knee) and Bill Bentley (concussion) sat out against San Francisco, but Houston and Bentley returned to practice this week. The Lions could get another boost with running back Mikel Leshoure expected to make his long-awaited NFL debut.

Detroit has at least shown some signs of life this season with the win over St. Louis and the solid defensive performance against San Francisco. The Titans have looked consistently bad on both sides of the ball all year, and I don't expect to see their fortunes turn anytime soon.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10709 Followers:376
09/23/2012 10:30 AM

Pittsburgh -4 over Oakland:
The banged-up Pittsburgh Steelers had several concerns after losing their season opener, but they responded with a resounding victory in Week 2. The Raiders try again Sunday for their first win under coach Dennis Allen, but it will be a tough task with a potentially healthier Pittsburgh club coming to Oakland. The Steelers (1-1) were picked apart by Peyton Manning in his first action since 2010 earlier this month, and Troy Polamalu joined James Harrison on the injury report after the 31-19 loss at Denver. Pittsburgh stifled the New York Jets in a 27-10 home victory, holding Mark Sanchez to 10 completions for 138 yards on 27 attempts. Ben Roethlisberger, meanwhile, nearly doubled Sanchez's passer rating by going 24 of 31 for 275 yards and two touchdowns.

Despite the presence of Darren McFadden, the Raiders have had much bigger problems on the ground - their 68 rushing yards are not even half of Pittsburgh's total. Oakland (0-2) is gaining an NFL-worst 2.0 yards per carry, and McFadden had just 22 yards on 11 attempts in last Sunday's 35-13 loss at Miami. Carson Palmer threw for 373 yards but completed only half of his 48 passes and had a 74.4 rating. Oakland's defense couldn't slow down Reggie Bush or cause problems for rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who didn't turn the ball over and repeatedly found an open target with Brian Hartline catching nine passes for 111 yards. The Raiders are searching for answers in their defensive backfield, with both starting cornerbacks now injured. Shawntae Spencer sprained his right foot against Miami and Ron Bartell was already out with a broken shoulder blade. Pat Lee struggled to cover Hartline, but he may be pressed into another start Sunday with more fearsome receivers across the line.

Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown combined for 153 yards against the Jets, with Wallace hauling in his second touchdown in as many weeks. They were among 10 players to catch a pass from Roethlisberger in the game. Roethlisberger threw for 275 yards and three touchdowns in Pittsburgh's most recent meeting with the Raiders, a 35-3 win in 2010. However, he was picked off four times in the Steelers' only visit to Oakland since 1995 - a loss during the Raiders' dismal 2006 campaign.

The Steelers have not set the world on fire through the first two weeks of the season. Last week was a good win but the first half was anything but impressive. The Raiders, on the other hand, have been the equivalent of a tire fire. The worst of it came last week when they got absolutely throttled by a Miami team that isn't very good either. As long as they don't mess around with this team for two quarters like they did last week, I think it should be a win.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10709 Followers:376
09/23/2012 10:38 AM

Washington -2.5 over Cincinnati (bought half):
After getting blown out 44-13 at Baltimore in its season opener, Cincinnati's defensive woes continued last Sunday in a 34-27 win over Cleveland. Andy Dalton threw for 318 yards and a career best-tying three touchdowns, but the Bengals (1-1) were outgained 439-375 in total offense. Cincinnati has allowed an average of 434.5 yards to rank 30th in the league - a far cry from the 316.3 per game it surrendered in 2011. While losing Thomas Howard - last season's leading tackler - to a torn ACL suffered at practice last Thursday certainly hasn't helped, Cincinnati knows its defensive efforts aren't going to cut it.

Unfortunately for the Redskins (1-1), they too were busy making roster changes Tuesday, placing two-time Pro Bowl linebacker Brian Orakpo and defensive end Adam Carriker on injured reserve. Orakpo tore the pectoral muscle near his left shoulder during last Sunday's 31-28 loss at St. Louis, while Carriker tore the quad tendon in his right knee. Washington, which gave up 452 yards to the Rams, will use Rob Jackson and Chris Wilson to try and fill Orakpo's void. Jarvis Jenkins likely will start in place of Carriker. Washington will also try to stay more composed after an unsportsmanlike conduct penalty proved costly with the game on the line last weekend. Josh Morgan threw the ball at Rams cornerback Cortland Finnegan after a 7-yard catch on 3rd-and-8, leaving the Redskins with 4th-and-16 with just over one minute to go at St. Louis' 44. Billy Cundiff missed a potential game-tying 62-yard field goal on the next play.

With Pierre Garcon (foot) sidelined, Griffin and Morgan connected five times for 50 yards. Griffin completed 20 of 29 passes for 206 yards with a touchdown and an interception, and added another 82 yards and two more scores on the ground. While things haven't exactly gone their way, Washington and Cincinnati may be getting some help. Redskins safety Brandon Meriweather (knee) and Bengals defensive end Carlos Dunlap (knee) could make their season debuts Sunday.

RG3 has been spectacular so far this year and with the home opener taking place this afternoon, the offense should not disappoint in a shootout against one of the more prone defenses in the league.

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jimmythegreek Posts:10709 Followers:376
09/23/2012 10:45 AM

Kansas City/New Orleans over 53.5:
The New Orleans Saints are 0-2 for the first time since dropping their first four games of 2007, due in large part to a defense that's surprisingly been the worst in the NFL. A home matchup Sunday with the winless Kansas City Chiefs, who also have struggled to stop opponents, could be just what New Orleans needs to get things turned around. The Saints' 75 points allowed are tied - with Kansas City - for the highest total through two weeks. New Orleans was victimized for 320 yards passing and two touchdowns by Washington's Robert Griffin in his NFL debut in Week 1, then gave up 486 yards to Carolina in a 35-27 loss last Sunday.

The Saints are last in the league in overall defense at 461.0 yards per game and rushing defense at 186.0. New Orleans had trouble with the mobility of Griffin and Panthers quarterback Cam Newton, who combined to rush for 113 yards. This week's matchup won't provide nearly the same challenge in that regard, as Kansas City quarterback Matt Cassel doesn't boast that level of athleticism. The gameplan for Cassel and the Chiefs could be heavy on running plays. Kansas City is averaging 151.0 yards on the ground, fifth in the league, and seems likely to try to take advantage of New Orleans' problems with stopping the run. The Chiefs averaged 6.3 yards per carry in Week 2 - tops in the league - in last Sunday's 35-17 defeat to Buffalo. Jamaal Charles dinged up his reconstructed left knee and had only six carries for three yards, but he's expected to play Sunday.

While New Orleans has lost its games by eight points apiece, the Chiefs have been outscored by 34 overall. They didn't manage a touchdown last week until 6:26 remained in falling to 0-2 for the sixth time in seven years. New Orleans has won the last two meetings in the series, taking the most recent one 30-20 at Kansas City on Nov. 16, 2008. The Chiefs' Dwayne Bowe had two touchdown receptions, but Brees passed for 266 yards and Thomas ran for 88 and a score.

If you like offense, you've come to the right game. Brees and company should have plenty of success against a lack thereof Kansas City defense who has looked flat and had plenty of unfavorable matchups up front and in the secondary. While Cassel will also have success against a vulnerable New Orleans set and backfield, this one should easily soar into the 60s.

Best of luck to all in week 3

YTD: 4-4

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enzymex Posts:1732 Followers:61
09/23/2012 10:53 AM

BOL JTG! Loving the Lions today. Wish you hit the other two as well.