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St. Louis vs. Chicago, 09/23/2012 13:00
Point Spread: -7/-104 Chicago
Chicago Bears -7
Back home and motivated by a disappointing performance at Green Bay last week, I expect the Bears to take care of business this afternoon. Because they played Thursday night in Week 2, they have had extra preparation time for this contest. That time provides them with an added edge here.
The Rams can't be trusted on the road where they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11. Looking back, they are on a 34-55 ATS slide as road underdogs and have lost these by an average score of 27.8 to 15.2. They won last week but are only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a victory.
There is a good bit of history in our favor too as playing against road underdogs or pickems that scored 30 points or more last game, provided they are matched up against an opponent that scored 3 points or less in the first half of its last game, has produced a 39-14 ATS mark the last 10 seasons. This system is 9-2 ATS the last 3 seasons.
The Bears have won their last 3 against St. Louis by 15, 24 and 8 points. Even with Matt Forte out, they have the superior talent on both sides of the football. And, they'll be very focused after the stinker they played last week. Lay the points.