cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:37 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 700+ contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........(Thursday games were lightly played)

6) New Jersey Giants, 170
5) St Louis Rams, 171
4) Cincinnati Bengals, 209
3) Minnesota Vikings, 219
2) San Francisco 49ers, 262
1) New England Patriots, 278

25) Oakland Raiders, 77
26) Jacksonville Jaguars, 72
27) New Orleans Saints, 71
28) Atlanta Falcons, 65
29) Tennessee Titans, 57
30) Detroit Lions, 29

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:40 AM

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 27, 2012

Cleveland at Baltimore, 8:20 ET NFL
Cleveland: 13-5 Under in all games
Baltimore: 9-1 ATS in home games after a win by 3 or less


Sunday, September 30, 2012

New England at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
New England: 13-4 ATS in road games
Buffalo: 10-2 Over as an underdog

Minnesota at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 0-6 ATS off a home win
Detroit: 9-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs

Carolina at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 40-23 Under in the first month
Atlanta: 1-12 ATS at home after 3 wins ATS

San Francisco at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 6-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite
NY Jets: 9-1 Over off a road win

San Diego at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 0-7 ATS where the total is between 42.5 and 45
Kansas City: 13-3 ATS after playing their last game on the road

Tennessee at Houston, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 11-2 Under in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49
Houston: 7-0 ATS after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game

Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 8-1 ATS after playing a game at home
St. Louis: 5-13 ATS in all lined games

Miami at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Miami: 13-4 Under in road lined games
Arizona: 5-15 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

Oakland at Denver, 4:05 ET
Oakland: 6-0 ATS in road games versus division opponents
Denver: 51-29 Over as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Cincinnati at Jacksonville, 4:05 ET
Cincinnati: 4-17 ATS after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game
Jacksonville: 10-2 ATS after trailing their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half

New Orleans at Green Bay, 4:25 ET
New Orleans: 32-17 Over against NFC North division opponents
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread

Washington at Tampa Bay, 4:25 ET
Washington: 12-2 ATS in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards
Tampa Bay: 50-28 Under in the first month of the season

NY Giants at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET NBC
NY Giants: 9-2 ATS as an underdog
Philadelphia: 6-0 Under versus division opponents


Monday, October 1, 2012

Chicago at Dallas, 8:35 ET ESPN
Chicago: 6-0 ATS in road games after having won 2 out of their last 3
Dallas: 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins


** Week 4 Byes: Indianapolis, Pittsburgh **

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:42 AM

NFL

Week 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 27

8:20 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland


Sunday, September 30

1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Seattle
St. Louis is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing Seattle

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. BUFFALO
New England is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against New England
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

1:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tennessee

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. NY JETS
San Francisco is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Francisco is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 17 of the NY Jets last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games when playing San Francisco

1:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. ATLANTA
Carolina is 3-11-2 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. KANSAS CITY
San Diego is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego

4:05 PM
MIAMI vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

4:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. JACKSONVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Jacksonville's last 19 games
Jacksonville is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

4:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. DENVER
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

4:15 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. GREEN BAY
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games at home

4:15 PM
WASHINGTON vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

8:20 PM
NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Giants are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home


Monday, October 1

8:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DALLAS
Chicago is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:43 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at BALTIMORE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2012, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (1 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 147-109 ATS (+27.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) at NY JETS (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (2 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (2 - 1) at ST LOUIS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-124 ATS (-49.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (1 - 2) at DENVER (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 39-68 ATS (-35.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 105-139 ATS (-47.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 0-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-108 ATS (+29.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (2 - 1) at DALLAS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:43 AM

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Thursday, September 27

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at BALTIMORE (2 - 1) - 9/27/2012, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (1 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 147-109 ATS (+27.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) at NY JETS (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (2 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 2-2 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (2 - 1) at ST LOUIS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-124 ATS (-49.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 94-125 ATS (-43.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 42-67 ATS (-31.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 61-88 ATS (-35.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (1 - 2) at ARIZONA (3 - 0) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (1 - 2) at DENVER (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 27-60 ATS (-39.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 39-68 ATS (-35.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 105-139 ATS (-47.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (0 - 3) at GREEN BAY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (1 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 2) - 9/30/2012, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 0-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (2 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 9/30/2012, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 148-108 ATS (+29.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, October 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (2 - 1) at DALLAS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:44 AM

Where the action is: NFL mid-week line moves

Now that NFL bettors can no longer blame their sorrows on the replacement refs, it’s time to really buckle down and do some homework. The Sunday schedule is still a few days off, but tracking line moves is a great way to spot value before it dries up.

We talk with Mike Colbert, race and sportsbook director for Cantor Gaming in Nevada, about the biggest mid-week line moves and where he sees the spread landing before kickoff.

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams – Open: St. Louis +1, Move: St. Louis +3

Coming off a controversial win over Green Bay at home, Seattle hits the road for a divisional matchup with St. Louis. Bettors are jumping on the Seahawks, pushing this spread as high as a field goal at some books, but Colbert isn’t completely sold on Seattle.

“I don’t think (Seattle is) a bad team but I like the home dog quite a bit,” Colbert told Covers. “I think it’s the wrong favorite.”

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons – Open: Atlanta -9, Move: Atlanta -7

Sharp money pounced on the Panthers as soon as this game hit the board, driving it down to a clean touchdown. Colbert says it’s been all sharp money on Carolina so far and says last week’s outcomes had a heavy impact on that opening line.

“This spread was inflated a bit,” he says. “Carolina looked really bad last week and Atlanta looked good against San Diego. We’ve taken quite a bit of sharp money on the dog.”

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions – Open: -7, Move: -4.5

This spread is a tricky one. Most shops, especially in Las Vegas, don’t have the game on the board as of Thursday morning due to the injury to Detroit QB Matthew Stafford. However, it looks as though the Lions signal-caller is probable for Sunday.

Colbert expects the opening line at Cantor properties to come out around -5 or 5.5 Detroit later Thursday, but isn’t discounting the Vikings or their upset win over the Niners last week.

“I think it was a great spot,” Colbert says of Minnesota’s 24-13 win, “but I also think the Vikings are pretty good – or at least better than what most people thought. Christian Ponder seems to be getting comfortable and coming into his own. They’re not great but better than we thought.”

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs – Open: Kansas City +1, Move: Kansas City -1

Cantor Gaming opened this game at a pick’em and took instant action on the Chiefs, pushing the spread to K.C. -1. Colbert has zero faith in the Chargers, especially after last weekend’s blowout loss to Atlanta.

“San Diego was completely exposed,” he says. “The Chargers had a win over a bad Oakland team, a win over a bad Tennessee team and then got their ass kicked by Atlanta. I think Kansas City should be favored by more, in my opinion.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:46 AM

NFL poolies betting cheat sheet: Week 4

Want to handicap Sunday's NFL action but don't have time to research every game? Check out our NFL poolies cheat sheet for all your football wagering needs. We give you quick-hitting notes on all of Week 4's action.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills (4, 51)

Patriots QB Tom Brady has an 18-2 career mark against the Bills with 46 touchdowns and 17 interceptions. In last's season’s game at Buffalo, WR Wes Welker had career highs in catches (16) and receiving yards (217) and tied a career best with two TD receptions. New England is 7-1 ATS in its last eight contests in Buffalo.

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-12, 45)

Texans RB Arian Foster leads the NFL in carries and a rushing attack that has averaged 150 yards per game over the first three games. The Titans have surrendered a league-high 37.7 points per game, but QB Jake Locker had the best game of his pro career with 378 yards passing in last week’s overtime victory over the Lions. The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs (1, 44.5)

Jamaal Charles put any concerns about the condition of his surgically-repaired knee to rest, rushing for 233 yards and a TD to rally the Chiefs past the New Orleans Saints last week. Chargers QB Philip Rivers was intercepted twice by the Falcons and threw for only 173 yards last week, his lowest output since the final game of the 2009 season. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-4.5, 47)

Second-year QB Christian Ponder is off to a fast start, completing 70.1 percent of his passes with four TDs and a 104.9 rating. He'll have another weapon to throw to as speedster Jerome Simpson (suspension) makes his season and Vikings' debut Sunday. Lions QB Matthew Stafford practiced this week and appears healthy enough to play Sunday after exiting last week’s loss to the Titans because of a strained leg muscle. Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall.

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons (-7, 48)

Carolina's 27th-ranked rush defense will need to contend with Michael Turner, who has gouged the Panthers for an average of 104 yards and scored 11 TDs during a seven-game span. The Falcons defense has produced 11 takeaways - including a league-best plus-10 ratio so far this campaign. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (2.5, 39)

The Seahawks look to open a season at 3-1 for the first time since 2007 as they try for their fourth consecutive win over the Rams and 14th in 15 meetings. The health of RB Steven Jackson (groin) remains a concern for the Rams after he gained only 29 yards on 11 carries against the Bears last week. Jackson did not practice on Wednesday. The Seahawks are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

San Francisco 49ers at N.Y. Jets (4, 41.5)

The New York Jets suffered a crushing blow when it was revealed that star defensive back Darrelle Revis would miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL. Jets signal-caller Mark Sanchez will also be without one of his weapons on Sunday, with rookie receiver Stephen Hill (hamstring) expected to sit out. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals (-5.5, 39)

Dolphins RB Reggie Bush is questionable after suffering a sprained ligament in his left knee against the Jets last week. Bush, who underwent an MRI that revealed no structural damage, is averaging six yards per carry. Arizona may have some reinforcements for Sunday as S Adrian Wilson (ankle) and TE Todd Heap (knee) could return from injuries. The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.

Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-6.5, 48.5)

The Raiders, who have won four straight at Denver, got their running game pumping with Darren McFadden leading the way with 113 yards and a TD in last week's win over Pittsburgh. Broncos RB Willis McGahee suffered a rib injury against Houston last week and was a limited participant in practice Wednesday, but is expected to play. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.

Cincinnati Bengals at Jacksonville Jaguars (1, 43.5)

The Bengals' passing game has been clicking, as QB Andy Dalton looks for his third consecutive 300-yard game. Dalton has a rising star on the receiving end of many of his passes in A.J. Green, who racked up a career-high 183 receiving yards last week. Jacksonville RB Maurice Jones-Drew's holdout has had little effect on his ability, as he ranks second in the NFL with 314 rushing yards. The Jaguars have won seven of the last nine meetings in Jacksonville.

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (-9, 53)

The Saints defense has been atrocious (league-worst 477.3 ypg) and is a major reason why the team is 0-3 for the first time since 2007. Quarterback Drew Brees broke his own completion percentage record last season (71.6), but is connecting on just 54.7 percent of his attempts, the lowest rate since he became a full-time starter. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has been sacked a league-high 16 times so far this season. The poor protection has led to Green Bay's 24th ranking in scoring (19.0 ppg). The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5, 47)

Washington, surprisingly, is the league's highest-scoring team thanks to rookie QB Robert Griffin III, but it has also allowed the second-most points in the NFC. Tampa Bay has the league's top rushing defense, but suffered a big blow when DE Adrian Clayborn, the team's sack leader in 2011, suffered a season-ending knee injury last week. The Bucs have won six straight home games against the Redskins.

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-1, 47.5)

The Giants defense was stellar in Week 3, picking off Cam Newton three times in a 36-7 rout of the Carolina Panthers. On offense, RB Ahmad Bradshaw (neck) will return to the starting lineup this week and split carries with Andre Brown. Philadelphia leads the league with 12 turnovers thanks mostly to the sloppy play of QB Michael Vick, who has thrown six INTs and fumbled the ball away three times. The Giants are 1-7 ATS in the last eight meetings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:47 AM

NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Sunday's games
Patriots (1-2) Bills (2-1)—Since 2004, New England is 30-16-1 vs spread as road favorites- they’re 22-7 vs spread in game following their last 29 losses. Buffalo’s 34-31 upset win here LY was their only win in last 17 series games; New England won 10 of last 12 visits to western NY, with seven of last eight wins by 13+ points, but Pats are under .500 (1-2) for first time in decade after giving up 508 yards in last-second loss at Baltimore. Red flag is NE is 1-2 start, despite being plus in turnovers all three games. Bills have run ball for 195-201-138 yards, so offense has decent balance (178 ypg rushing, 193 passing)- they’re 15-32 on third down and Fitzpatrick has only been sacked once. Favorites are 6-1 vs spread in AFC divisional games so far this season. Since ’05, Bills are 3-8-1 vs spread as a divisional home dog. Average total in last four series games, 60.0.

Vikings (2-1) @ Lions (1-2)— You screw up a game the way Lions did last week (allowed two special teams TD’s, a defensive score, then butchered end-game when center didn’t know he wasn’t supposed to snap ball on 4th down in OT), it tends to have lingering effects. Only Detroit win so far was in last 0:10 vs Rams- they’ve allowed four odd TDs, and half of six TDs the defense gave up came on drives shorter than 60 yards, so they’ve been shooting themselves in foot. Health of Lions’ QB Stafford (hamstring) in question here, although backup Hill is one of league’s better #2 QB’s. Detroit won last three series games by 7-3-6 points, after losing 20 of previous 22 vs Minnesota; Vikings lost last two visits here, 20-13/34-28. Lions are 7-4 vs spread in last 11 games as home favorites. Minnesota is 2-6 in last eight games as divisional road dogs, but they’ve outgained all three opponents this year, as OC Musgrave has worked wonders with young QB Ponder.

Panthers (1-2) @ Falcons (3-0)—Carolina had three extra days to prepare after hideous home loss to Giants; they’ve lost four in row and six of last seven to Atlanta, giving up 31 points in each of last four series games. Panthers lost last four visits here by average score of 29-19, with three of four losses by 14+ points. Carolina scored 10-7 points in two losses, running ball 33 times for 70 yards; they scored 35 in only win, running ball 41 times for 219 yards. Atlanta allowed 152-118-116 rushing yards in its three wins, all vs AFC West opponents. Falcons are 11-2-1 vs spread in last 14 games as divisional home favorite; they’re 25-10-1 as single digit favorites under Smith. Atlanta is already +8 in turnovers this year; they’ve had 20 points at halftime in all three games. Carolina is 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as divisional road underdog- they’ve allowed 11 plays of 20+ yards in their last two games.

49ers (2-1) @ Jets (2-1)—Niners lost turnover battle in only 4 of Harbaugh’s 21 games as HC, but they’re 1-3 in those games (15-2 in others); loss of defensive ace Revis leaves Gang Green crippled, since four of six TDs offense has scored came on drives of less than 55 yards. Jets rely on defense to set up the offense; they’ve completed just 31-72 (43.1%) of passes last two games, and were lucky to escape Miami (Bush got hurt, Fish led by 10 at one point) with win. NFC West teams are 7-2 vs spread in non-divisional games, 1-1 when favored. AFC East teams are 6-3 vs spread, 2-2 as dogs. Since ’09, Niners are 15-4-2 in game following a loss, 3-0 under Harbaugh. Since ’05, Jets are 9-6 as home dogs, 2-0 under Ryan; they’re 20-15 vs spread in game following their last 35 wins. 49ers won nine of 11 series games, winning five of six played here, with only loss 22-14 in last visit here, back in ’04.

Chargers (2-1) @ Chiefs (1-2)—KC was 0-2 and down 24-6 in Superdome when Charles ran 91 yards for TD and turned their season around; home side won last five games in this series, with Chargers losing 21-14/23-20ot in last two visits here. Chiefs ran ball for 152-160-273 yards in three games (195 ypg) but don’t have TD drive of less than 73 yards, thanks to minus-6 TO ratio (lost four fumbles last two games). Turner is 7-5-1 vs spread in last 13 games where spread was 3 or less points; he’s 11-6-1 vs spread in last 18 AFC West road games. Chiefs allowed 40-35-24 points this season (avg 33 ppg), giving up 11 TDs on 33 drives, despite outgaining all three foes. Last two games, KC has one TD, five FGs on seven drives in red zone, that’s a red flag. Chiefs covered twice in last nine AFC West home games. All three San Diego games this year stayed under total.

Titans (1-2) @ Texans (3-0)—Tennessee won one of wildest games in NFL history last week, scoring TDs on PR-KR-FR, but still needed OT to win, after failing to cover onside kick and allowing two TDs in last 0:18 of regulation. Titans, who used to be Houston Oilers, won five of last seven visits here, but lost first meeting with Texans last three years (20-0/41-7 last two years)- they’ve run ball for just 39 ypg so far, a red flag against terrific Houston offense that is scoring 32.7 ppg. You could make case for Texans as NFL’s #1 team right now; they’ve scored 10 TDs on 36 drives, with only two turnovers. Since ’07, they’re 16-11-1 as home favorites, 6-2 in AFC South games. Titans are 5-9 vs spread in game after their last 14 wins; Locker has been shaky in red zone (one TD, five FGs in six trips). Sometimes tough to pay double digits with team making rare showing on Monday Night Football next year, but locals’ dislike of Titan owner Bud Adams should keep Texans engaged here.

Seahawks (2-1) @ Rams (1-2)—Humungous trap game for Seattle, after beating Cowboys/Packers at home, travelling 2,126 miles on short week to face lowly division rival they’ve beaten 13 of last 14 times, including six of last seven visits here. Seahawks won last three series games by average score of 23-9, but these Rams aren’t those Rams under Fisher- they’re more competitive, more pugnacious (trailed Chicago 13-6 with 9:00 left before fatal pick-6 ended game). Biggest “IF” for Rams is can they block aggressive Seattle front-7 that sacked Rodgers eight times in first half Monday (none in second half). St Louis gained 451 yards in only home game this year, coming back from down 21-6 to beat Redskins. Seattle didn’t turn ball over in either win, and they got gift from referees to win Monday’s game. If Rams’ front can keep Bradford upright, he’ll hit enough plays to spring minor upset here, as two of three Seattle games have come down to last play.

Dolphins (1-2) @ Cardinals (3-0)—Redbirds are 3-0 for first time since ’74, when Ford was President/Coryell was coach; this is first time Arizona is favored this season; since 2009, Cardinals are 4-8-2 vs spread as home favorites- they’re 7-10 vs spread in last 17 games vs AFC squads. Cardinals won last two series games after losing previous eight; seven of 10 games were decided by 13+ points. Miami split its previous two visits to desert. Dolphins have committed to running ball (263-185 rushing yards last two games), to protect rookie QB Taneyhill (just 34-66 passing last two games), but Bush got hurt last week, which cost them against Jets. Fish are 19-36 on 3rd down last two games. Former Indy GM Bill Polian praised their coaching staff, that’s good enough for us. Underdogs are 7-1-1 vs spread in Arizona’s last nine games. All three Cardinal games stayed under the total.

Raiders (1-2) @ Broncos (1-2)—Since 2006, Denver is unspeakably bad 6-24-1 vs spread as home favorites, 1-11-1 in AFC West games, so this is big game for Fox/Manning regime, vs Oakland coach Allen, who was Denver’s DC LY. Huge upgrade at QB for Broncos since then; Denver has six TDs, three FGs in nine red zone trips, and figure to improve as schedule softens (opened with Pitt-Atl-Hst) and Manning gets better chemistry with WRs. Oakland allowed 27-31 points last two games, and has yet to hold opponent under 6.1 yards/pass attempt; they’re 19-13 vs spread as road dog last 4+ years. Raiders won four of last five series games, winning last four visits to Mile High City; seven of last nine series games were decided by 14+ points, with average total in last four, 60.0. Denver outscored opponents 52-26 in second half of games, but they trailed all three at halftime. Oakland is 16-27 vs spread in game after its last 43 losses.

Bengals (2-1) @ Jaguars (1-2)— Cincy OC Gruden threw WR pass for 71-yard score on first play of game last week; aggressive Bengal approach posted 34-38 points last two games, with minimal help (one takeaway in each game) from defense. Cincy had four plays of 20+ yards on first down last week, after not having one in first two games. Jaguars pulled first win out of hat last week, scoring on 80-yard pass one play after Colts had taken lead with last-minute FG. Jax is 11-7 vs one-time division rivals, but lost last two meetings, 21-19/ 30-20; home team won 12 of 18 series games, with Bengals losing seven of nine visits here. Four of last seven series games were decided by 7 or less points. AFC North teams are 3-5 vs spread outside the division (1-3 as favorites); AFC South teams are 5-3, 3-3 as underdogs. Bengals are now 17-10 vs spread in game following their last 27 wins; am thinking we’ve underestimated the coaching job Lewis has done working for cheapskate Mike Brown.

Saints (0-3) @ Packers (1-2)— Green Bay on short week after chaotic last-minute loss in Seattle, game where Rodgers got sacked eight times in first half; Pack covered 14 of last 19 tries as home favorite- they’re 10-3 vs spread in game following last 13 losses. Rudderless Saints allowed 3rd-most yards in history of NFL in first three games- they’ve allowed 34 ppg in 0-3 start, blowing 24-6 lead at home to 0-2 Chiefs last week, giving up 273 rushing yards- they’ve giving up average of 215 rushing yards/game. NO is underdog for first time this year; since ’07, they’re 5-8-1 vs spread as road dogs. Teams split four meetings (average total, 64) over last seven years; Saints lost three of four visits here (before that, all their visits to Wisconsin were played in Milwaukee). Guessing its been while since team (Saints) scored 83 points in first three games, but didn’t cover any of them. Safe to say Roger Goodell won’t be attending this game.

Redskins (1-2) @ Buccaneers (1-2)— Not sure Washington is better with RGIII but they sure as hell are more exciting, scoring 45-28-31 points in its 1-2 start; problem is, defense has had attrition, allowing 8.1/12.8 yards/pass attempt to Rams/Bengals last two games. Redskins have run ball for 153-176-213 yards, but are just 11-40 on 3rd down, part of why they’ve lost field position by 12-8 yards last two games. All three Buc games were decided by 7 or less points; of their four TDs in last two games, only one came on drive longer than 29 yards. Bucs have 8 takeaways already (+4) but only one win, not a good sign. Tampa won three of last four series games, all decided by 6 or less points; since 1994, Redskins lost seven of eight visits here. Average total in last five series games is 29.6. Underdogs are 6-0 vs spread in NFC East teams’ non-divisional road games (2-0 as road dogs). NFC South home favorites are 1-3 outside their division. Former Buc coach Morris is Skins' secondary coach.

Giants (2-1) @ Eagles (2-1)—You can’t turn ball over three times a game and win for any length of time; Eagles are 2-1 despite 12 giveaways (6 INT, 6 fumbles) already, include horrific mishap before half in desert last week, when time/score blunder turned what should’ve been 17-3 deficit into 24-0 debacle. Giants had three extra days to prepare after crushing Panthers last week; they’ve scored 61 points in last five quarters, averaging 10.0/7.2 yards/pass attempt in last two games. Both Eagle wins this year are by single point, when Vick led winning drive in last 2:00; they’re 6-10 in last 16 tries as home favorite, 15-13 in last 28 games where spread was 3 or less points. Giants covered five of last seven as road dogs; they’re 4-1-1 in last six where spread was 3 or less points. Philly won seven of last eight series games, with visitor winning four of last five; Giants are 3-2 in last five visits here- they’ve won first meeting with Iggles in five of last seven years.


Monday's game
Bears (2-1) @ Cowboys (2-1)—Dallas struggling mightily on offense, scoring 23 points in last two games, with only one TD drive longer than 23 yards; they’ve run ball 39 times for 87 yards vs Seattle/Tampa, neither of which reminds us of ’85 Bears. Cowboys started 3 of 12 drives in Tampa territory, still scored only 16 points last week. Dallas has now covered only three of last 15 games as home favorite, though they’ve been better home favorite outside the division (13-10 since ’07, compared to 3-11 vs NFC East foes). Cutler is 28-58 passing last two games; he just looks bad when pressured, moreso than most QBs. Since ’07, Chicago is 6-10-2 vs spread as non-divisional road underdog- they’ve converted only 13 of 41 on 3rd down, but they do have 11 sacks in last two games. Underdogs are 10-0 vs spread in non-divisional games involving NFC East teams; NFC East squads are 0-7 as non-divisional favorites, 0-4 at home.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:49 AM

NFL

Week 4

Sunday, September 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
49ers at Jets: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets (+4, 40.5)

The New York Jets suffered a crushing blow when it was revealed that star defensive back Darrelle Revis would miss the rest of the season with a torn anterior cruciate ligament. If that news wasn’t bad enough, they are also going to have to find a way to get their offense going against the San Francisco 49ers this week. For the third time in the first four weeks, the 49ers will have to travel at least two time zones to play on the road.

The Minnesota Vikings used a mobile quarterback to get around San Francisco’s fearsome defense, which means Tim Tebow could see more touches this week for New York. Tebow has been most effective on special teams early in the season and has yet to assert himself as an offensive playmaker with the Jets. New York will be looking to drop San Francisco to .500 when the teams meet in New Jersey on Sunday afternoon.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Oddsmakers opened the 49ers as 3-point road favorites which was bet up to -4. The total dropped from 40.5 to 39.5 before being bet back to the original number.

WEATHER: The forecast for MetLife Stadium is calling for a 50 percent chance of rain with temperatures dipping into the mid-60s. Winds will blow NNE at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (2-1, 2-1 ATS): San Francisco was on the very short list of the best teams in the NFL after convincing wins over the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, but slipped up last week in a 24-13 loss at Minnesota. The 49ers struggled to contain Christian Ponder in the pocket, and Alex Smith was uncharacteristically sloppy at quarterback. They just have to get through New York before enjoying a stretch of five of their next six games at home. San Francisco could try to exploit the Jets’ Revis-less secondary by featuring Randy Moss, who has been limited to eight catches in the first three weeks. Smith got a pair of new receivers in Randy Moss and Mario Manningham in the offseason but is still focusing on tight end Vernon Davis in the passing game.

ABOUT THE JETS (2-1, 2-1 ATS): There is plenty of doom and gloom surrounding New York after Revis’ diagnosis. The Pro Bowler served as the quarterback of the Jets defense, and his ability to lock down a receiver in single coverage made it easier for Rex Ryan to call multiple blitz packages. Now that Revis is done, Antonio Cromartie steps into the No. 1 cornerback slot and Kyle Wilson will replace Revis in the lineup. New York showed several areas of weakness in a sloppy 23-20 overtime win in Miami last weekend, including a running game that is averaging just 3.3 yards per attempt. Tebow lined up for 12 plays with the offense against Miami and accounted for zero yards. The Wildcat packages designed to get him onto the field have not worked and Tebow spent most of his time at H-back in Miami. Mark Sanchez has completed less than 50 percent of his passes in each of the last two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* 49ers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
* Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. team with winning road record.
* Over is 26-11 in Jets' last 37 games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Sanchez will be without one of his weapons on Sunday, with rookie receiver Stephen Hill (hamstring) expected to sit out.

2. The 49ers are 10-1 under coach Jim Harbaugh when winning the time of possession battle and 5-3 when coming out on the short end.

3. San Francisco KR Kyle Williams set a career high with 144 yards on returns last week, outgaining the offense by himself at one point.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24202 Followers:32
09/30/2012 11:49 AM

NFL

Week 4

Sunday, September 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
49ers at Jets: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets (+4, 40.5)

The New York Jets suffered a crushing blow when it was revealed that star defensive back Darrelle Revis would miss the rest of the season with a torn anterior cruciate ligament. If that news wasn’t bad enough, they are also going to have to find a way to get their offense going against the San Francisco 49ers this week. For the third time in the first four weeks, the 49ers will have to travel at least two time zones to play on the road.

The Minnesota Vikings used a mobile quarterback to get around San Francisco’s fearsome defense, which means Tim Tebow could see more touches this week for New York. Tebow has been most effective on special teams early in the season and has yet to assert himself as an offensive playmaker with the Jets. New York will be looking to drop San Francisco to .500 when the teams meet in New Jersey on Sunday afternoon.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX.

LINE: Oddsmakers opened the 49ers as 3-point road favorites which was bet up to -4. The total dropped from 40.5 to 39.5 before being bet back to the original number.

WEATHER: The forecast for MetLife Stadium is calling for a 50 percent chance of rain with temperatures dipping into the mid-60s. Winds will blow NNE at 5 mph.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (2-1, 2-1 ATS): San Francisco was on the very short list of the best teams in the NFL after convincing wins over the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, but slipped up last week in a 24-13 loss at Minnesota. The 49ers struggled to contain Christian Ponder in the pocket, and Alex Smith was uncharacteristically sloppy at quarterback. They just have to get through New York before enjoying a stretch of five of their next six games at home. San Francisco could try to exploit the Jets’ Revis-less secondary by featuring Randy Moss, who has been limited to eight catches in the first three weeks. Smith got a pair of new receivers in Randy Moss and Mario Manningham in the offseason but is still focusing on tight end Vernon Davis in the passing game.

ABOUT THE JETS (2-1, 2-1 ATS): There is plenty of doom and gloom surrounding New York after Revis’ diagnosis. The Pro Bowler served as the quarterback of the Jets defense, and his ability to lock down a receiver in single coverage made it easier for Rex Ryan to call multiple blitz packages. Now that Revis is done, Antonio Cromartie steps into the No. 1 cornerback slot and Kyle Wilson will replace Revis in the lineup. New York showed several areas of weakness in a sloppy 23-20 overtime win in Miami last weekend, including a running game that is averaging just 3.3 yards per attempt. Tebow lined up for 12 plays with the offense against Miami and accounted for zero yards. The Wildcat packages designed to get him onto the field have not worked and Tebow spent most of his time at H-back in Miami. Mark Sanchez has completed less than 50 percent of his passes in each of the last two weeks.

TRENDS:

* Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.
* 49ers are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
* Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. team with winning road record.
* Over is 26-11 in Jets' last 37 games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Sanchez will be without one of his weapons on Sunday, with rookie receiver Stephen Hill (hamstring) expected to sit out.

2. The 49ers are 10-1 under coach Jim Harbaugh when winning the time of possession battle and 5-3 when coming out on the short end.

3. San Francisco KR Kyle Williams set a career high with 144 yards on returns last week, outgaining the offense by himself at one point.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: