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09/10/2012 05:49 PM

Posting now as am heading out to the BlackHole....

Monday, September 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 7:00 PM ET Cincinnati +7 500

Baltimore - Over 41.5 500

San Diego - 10:15 PM ET Oakland -1 500

Oakland - Under 46.5 500
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/11/2012 06:31 PM
Bears Visit Packers On Thursday Night Football

The Green Bay Packers are in an early must-win situation when they host their NFC North rival Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football.

The Don Best NFL odds screen opened Green Bay as 6-point favorites, but it’s now 5½ with a total of 49. This is the start of Week 2 and the NFL Network will have the 8:20 p.m. (ET) broadcast as part of their new full-season package.

Green Bay was the top team in the initial Don Best Linemakers Poll, but fell to the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, 30-22 as 6-point home favorites. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers finished with good numbers (30-of-44 for 303 yards, two TDs and one pick), but directed the Packers offense on just one scoring drive before a second with 6:05 remaining cut the deficit to the final margin.

The Packers have now lost 2-straight at Lambeau after the 37-20 defeat to the Giants in the playoffs last year. They were 8-0 straight up and 7-1 against the spread at home in last year’s regular season.

Rodgers and the passing attack are still very dangerous, but need more help from the rushing game (45 yards on 14 carries last week). Free agent addition Cedric Benson was easily contained, but will likely be the starter again with James Starks (turf toe) out indefinitely.

Coach Mike McCarthy’s defense was the other big question heading into last game after allowing a league-worst 299.8 YPG last year. The run defense was particularly disappointing against San Fran in allowing 186 yards (5.8 ypc), while Alex Smith was an efficient 20-of-26 passing for 211 yards.

Several Pack rookies saw time on defense and will need to turn things around quickly in their second NFL game.

Chicago is feeling great about itself after an opening 41-21 win and cover over Indianapolis as 10-point home favorites. The Bears took advantage of three interceptions and a fumble by rookie quarterback Andrew Luck, likely making him wish he was back at Stanford.

The Bears new-look offense shined with receivers Brandon Marshall and rookie Alshon Jeffery combining for two TDs and almost 200 yards receiving. Michael Bush and Matt Forte added three TDs on the ground.

Quarterback Jay Cutler (333 passing yards, 98.9 rating) has to feel giddy about his new weapons, but still has to prove himself on the road. Chicago is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in his home games (32.7 PPG) since last year, but just 2-2 SU and ATS on the road (20 PPG).

Coach Lovie Smith was happy to see linebacker Brian Urlacher (knee) back after missing the entire preseason. He was pulled early in the fourth as a precautionary measure. Cornerback Charles Tillman (leg) left in the second quarter and didn’t return. He’s listed as questionable and is needed against Rodgers and company.

Chicago has lost four-straight games in Green Bay (1-3 ATS). Last year’s 35-21 loss on Christmas was with Cutler (thumb) already out for the year.

The ‘under’ is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the teams overall, although going ‘over’ in that Christmas game.

Total bettors will note the ‘over’ is 7-0 in Green Bay last seven home games, with the 52 combined points scored with San Fran breaking the 46½-point hurdle.

Green Bay can’t afford another home loss and possibly falling two games back in the division behind Chicago, Detroit and Minnesota (all Week 1 winners).
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09/11/2012 06:40 PM
NFL Week 2 Preview: Bears vs. Packers

CHICAGO BEARS (1-0)

at GREEN BAY PACKERS (0-1)


Kickoff: Thursday, 8:20 p.m. EDT
Line: Green Bay -5, Total: 49½

After losing its opener to San Francisco, the road doesn’t get much easier for Green Bay when it hosts the rival Bears on Thursday night.

The Packers have beaten Chicago four times in a row SU (3-1 ATS), and should be looking forward to this one after being smothered by San Francisco’s elite defense last week. The Bears offense looked good in a warm-up opener against Indy, racking up 41 points and 428 yards of offense against a weak defense. The Packers defense has struggled over the past year, but Chicago has posted no more than 21 points in the teams’ past five meetings while averaging 15.0 PPG. The Bears did manage to run for 199 yards and control the clock for 35:48 in their 35-21 Christmas Day loss on the Tundra last season.

Who will prevail in this classic rivalry game? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Bears QB Jay Cutler is just 1-6 all-time versus Green Bay, throwing 7 TD’s and 12 INT’s. However, he is coming off a fine game against the Colts, completing 21-of-35 passes for 333 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT. His favorite receiver was reunited teammate Brandon Marshall who thrived in his Chicago debut with nine catches for 119 yards and a touchdown. Rookie WR Alshon Jeffery also scored in his NFL debut, gaining 80 yards through the air on just three catches. The Bears also rushed for a solid 114 yards and three touchdowns. Matt Forte gained 120 total yards (80 rushing, 40 receiving) while Michael Bush ran for 42 yards and two scores in his first game in a Chicago uniform. The Bears had the ball for 35:28, but the defense still allowed the Colts to amass 356 total yards. However, Chicago did force five turnovers, including picking off Andrew Luck three times. The likely return of CB Charles Tillman (leg injury) will certainly help this secondary.

Despite the Week 1 home loss, Rodgers had a pretty strong performance with 303 yards passing on 30-of-44 completions. He tossed two touchdowns and one interception, while targeting five different receivers at least six times each. The Packers were dominated in the running game during the loss, as San Francisco chewed up 186 yards on the ground compared to just 45 for Green Bay. Newcomer Cedric Benson mustered just 18 yards on nine carries. Defensively, the Packers will look to put pressure on Cutler with star OLB Clay Matthews, who tallied 2½ sacks in Week 1. Although Chicago has kick-return king Devin Hester, the Packers are also in great shape in their return game with Randall Cobb who ran back a punt 75 yards for a touchdown and finished the game with 230 all-purpose yards (80 punt return, 77 receiving and 73 kick return).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/13/2012 01:27 AM
Drew Brees, Saints Look To Bounce Back at Carolina

It was the Week 1 game that had everyone talking, and it just might end up spelling trouble for the Carolina Panthers though they had nothing to do with it.

Robert Griffin III will never forget his official NFL debut no matter what else he may achieve in his career. The 2011 Heisman Trophy winner led his Washington Redskins to a tremendous upset to get the pro football campaign rolling, tossing a pair TDs and throwing for more than 300 yards in a 40-32 victory in New Orleans against the Saints who were giving eight points. That should have Drew Brees and Company in a bad mood when they travel to Charlotte for Sunday's matchup with the Panthers.

Oddsmakers and a lot of bettors apparently think it's the Saints who are in trouble, not Carolina. New Orleans opened as a 3-point favorite, but was quickly down to -2½ at most shops in Las Vegas monitored by the Don Best Pro Odds. A couple of offshore sites had the Saints at -1 for the NFC South battle.

NFL betting windows posted a total in the 50½-51 span for Sunday's kickoff at Bank of America Stadium which is part of FOX's early broadcast lineup.

Perhaps it was a perfect storm that led to New Orleans' loss to Washington, starting with Griffin's effort and Mike Shanahan's coaching record in season openers, now 15-4 and counting. There was also all of the offseason turmoil surrounding the Saints who spent the entire preseason planning around suspensions only to have DE Will Smith and LB Jon Vilma pardoned two days before the season opener. Vilma did not play as he continues to recover from knee surgery in the offseason while Smith started and got in on four tackles.

All eyes will be on the defense this Sunday after the 'Skins rolled up 464 yards of total offense in Week 1. Saints defenders never intimidated Griffin into turning the ball over as Washington ended with a clean slate in that column. Brees and the New Orleans offense coughed up three TO's, meanwhile, his second of two picks turning into the Redskins' final seven points.

Carolina is also coming off at setback as chalk after falling 16-10 in Tampa Bay. The Panthers were laying a field goal in the contest and never could recover from a 13-zip halftime deficit that was decided on the ground in the end. The Buccaneers ran for 130 yards to help keep Cam Newton and the Carolina offense off the field with nearly a 25-minute advantage on the clock.

Newton did have over 300 yards through the air, but also threw a pair of INT's and didn't factor at all in the running game as he did so often a year ago. He didn't fare so well against the Saints last season with a combined QB rating below 80 in the two games.

New Orleans has won the last four meetings to take a narrow 6-4 lead in the last 10. The teams split ATS a year ago with home covers and Carolina is 6-2 ATS the last eight. One other winning bet in recent years has been the 'under' when the squads play in Charlotte, an 8-game streak to that side snapped last October at BoA Stadium, a 30-27 Saints win with a 51½-point mark.

Early injury reports list three Carolina players as questionable for Sunday's match, including starting DE Greg Hardy who is nursing a sore shoulder. Reserve guard Jeff Byers (knee) and backup tailback Jonathan Stewart (ankle) are in the same boat.

New Orleans may be without WR Devery Henderson due to a concussion that has him questionable. Nickle cornerback Johnny Patrick is also questionable with an injured right knee.
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09/13/2012 01:29 AM
NY Jets Soar Into Pittsburgh To Face Steelers

The much maligned New York Jets offense silenced its critics for at least one week. They have a much tougher test on Sunday at an angry Pittsburgh Steelers team.

New York is 6-point ‘dogs on the Don Best NFL odds screen despite their Week 1 success. The total is listed at 41½ and kickoff from Heinz Field in the Steel City is set for 4:25 p.m. (ET).

Coach Rex Ryan’s offense was the laughingstock of the NFL in the preseason (going 0-4 straight up and against the spread). The Jets scored one offensive touchdown in total and it came with third-stringer Greg McElroy at the helm. Both Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow were ineffective and the quarterback situation appeared to have disaster written all over it.

Now fast forward to last Sunday. The Jets scored six touchdowns in a 48-28 home win over Buffalo as 3-point favorites. While two of those scores came on defense and special teams, Sanchez (19-of-27 for 266 yards, three TDs and one pick) looked in midseason form, reenergizing the Jets fan base.

New York’s defense did allow 169 rushing yards to Buffalo running back C.J. Spiller, but a lot came with the game out of reach. All-Pro corner Darrelle Revis had a key interception in the first quarter and while he later suffered a concussion, he’s listed as probable for Sunday.

The Jets have to feel great about their start, but certainly can’t get too overconfident. They went 2-6 SU and ATS away last year as part of a disappointing 8-8 campaign that saw them miss the playoffs for the first time in Ryan’s three years.

Pittsburgh had a tough primetime opener at Denver, losing 31-19 as 2½-point underdogs. Peyton Manning didn’t show any rust with a 129.2 quarterback rating, although Pittsburgh still had a chance to win before Ben Roethlisberger threw a pick-six to Tracy Porter with under two minutes remaining.

Ironically, it was Porter’s interception return for a touchdown versus Manning in the Super Bowl a few years back that iced the game for New Orleans.

Coach Mike Tomlin’s guys did control time of possession against Denver (35-25 minutes) despite rushing for just 75 yards (2.9 ypc). Running backs Jonathan Dwyer and Isaac Redman are carrying the load with Rashard Mendehall (knee) still out indefinitely.

One key this Sunday will be pressuring Sanchez, who was not sacked last week despite the presence of highly-paid Buffalo defensive end Mario Williams. Pittsburgh defensive coordinator Dick LeBeau got to Manning just two times without star rusher James Harrison (knee).

Harrison is still listed as questionable this week and there are also questions on the right side of the o-line with guard Ramon Foster (eye) and tackle Marcus Gilbert (knee) both questionable. Pittsburgh should get back safety Ryan Clark (spleen).

The Steelers are consistently elite at home, going 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS last year (the ‘under’ 6-2). They are also 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss.

Pittsburgh hasn’t started a season 0-2 since 2002 and Tomlin will pull out all the stops to make sure it doesn’t happen again.

Make sure to check out the Don Best Pro Odds for all the NFL Week 2 action. It’s the best tool in the business bar none.
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09/13/2012 01:31 AM
Indy Rookie Luck Makes Home Debut Against Vikings

Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts NFL Betting Preview
Date: 9/16/2012 at 1:00 p.m. (ET)
Opening Lines: Pick'em, O/U 44.5

Minnesota Vikings: The Vikings (1-0 straight-up, 0-1 against the spread) have failed to cover five of their last six games, including the preseason and dating back to last year’s regular-season finale. They needed to rally back for a 26-23 overtime victory in Week 1 against Jacksonville after giving up a 39-yard touchdown pass from Jaguars QB Blaine Gabbert to WR Cecil Shorts with 20 seconds remaining. The good news is Minnesota rookie kicker Blair Walsh nailed a game-tying 55-yard field goal as time expired in regulation and then followed that up with a game-winning 38-yarder in OT. Second-year QB Christian Ponder also played well for the Vikings, throwing for 270 yards with no interceptions, while star RB Adrian Peterson showed no ill effects of offseason knee surgery with 84 yards rushing and two touchdowns. Expect Peterson’s workload to increase from 17 carries against an Indianapolis Colts team that gave up 114 yards on the ground and three rushing touchdowns to the Chicago Bears in a 41-21 loss last week.

Indianapolis Colts: Despite coming off a poor season, the Colts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) have still covered four of their past six regular-season games dating back to last year and will see rookie QB Andrew Luck play his first home game after a solid debut last week on the road against the Bears. Luck completed 23-of-45 passes for 309 yards with one touchdown to WR Donnie Avery in the fourth quarter, but he also threw three interceptions. Avery, WR Reggie Wayne and TE Coby Fleener combined for 36 targets from Luck and totaled 18 catches between them for 254 yards. Minnesota’s defense struggled against the pass last week, surrendering 260 yards through the air and two touchdowns from Jacksonville QB Blaine Gabbert, so Indy would be wise to throw the ball around again in hopes of earning their first win of the season.

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09/13/2012 01:33 AM
Detroit Lions Visit NFC Favorite San Francisco 49ers

The San Francisco 49ers are the newly anointed NFC favorite, but have another tough test on the docket when they host the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football.

San Fran is between a 6½-7 point favorite with a total of 46. NBC will start the broadcast from Candlestick Park in the Bay Area at 8:20 p.m. (ET).

San Francisco had a hard opening game at Green Bay last Sunday, but clearly was the better team in the 30-22 victory as a 6-point road ‘dog. The big advantage came on the ground with a huge 186-45 margin. That helped win the time of possession (33-27 minutes).

The 49ers (+250) have now replaced Green Bay as the favorite in the NFC future odds. The updated Don Best Linemakers Poll for NFL ratings has not been released yet, but San Francisco certainly should move up from the fourth-place tie shared with Pittsburgh prior to Week 1 action.

Second-year coach Jim Harbaugh knew he had an elite defense and running game heading into the season. The passing game with quarterback Alex Smith was the big question and he was 20-for-26 for 211 yards (125.6 rating) against Green Bay. Having two new receivers in Randy Moss and Mario Manningham should do wonders for his confidence all season.

San Francisco had an incredible season last year, but especially at home (8-2 straight up, 8-1-1 against the spread). The one ATS failure came in the 20-17 loss to the Giants as a 2-point favorite in the NFC title game. That outcome would have been different without two key turnovers.

Detroit had a much tougher time in its opening game, a 27-23 win over St. Louis. The Lions were big 9-point home favorites, but needed two separate fourth-quarter comebacks, the second a game-winning touchdown pass from Matthew Stafford to running back Kevin Smith with five seconds left.

Stafford threw for 355 yards overall, but also had three picks, which won’t cut it in San Francisco. Smith led the running game with 62 yards on 13 carries and Detroit will need offensive balance this week after being 31st in the league last year in rushing attempts.

Coach Jim Schwartz is breathing a sigh of relief, but needs to get his guys focused on playing away. The Lions were 1-4 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in their final five road games last year, including a 45-28 loss to New Orleans in the wild-card playoff round.

Note the ‘over’ was 8-1 in Detroit’s road games last year, allowing 37 PPG in the final five where the competition was extremely tough.

The Lions have some key injuries with cornerbacks Chris Houston (ankle) and Bill Bentley (concussion) both questionable. Safety Louis Delmas (knee) is also out indefinitely. The tailback Smith is starting because Mikel Leshoure (suspension) and Jahvid Best (concussion) are still out.

This is a rematch of the infamous San Francisco comeback win (25-19) in Detroit last October. Harbaugh and Schwartz got into an exchange during the postgame handshake, although both say the issue is well in the past.

That final score snuck ‘under’ the 45-point total and the ‘under’ is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between the teams overall, 6-0 in the last six in San Francisco.

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09/13/2012 01:35 AM
KC Chiefs Seek Revenge Sunday At Buffalo Bills

One rather unique aspect of English sports bookmaking is the “first manager to be sacked” prices listed at the beginning of each season in the EPL. (In case you’re interested, Southampton’s Nigel Adkins is currently the favorite at 5/2).

We suspect if similar odds were to be quoted on NFL head coaches, Buffalo’s Chan Gailey might be the shortest-priced option on the board.

Although it’s still early in the 2012 campaign, it’s already becoming nervous time for the Bills...and Gailey in particular. Last week’s humbling 48-28 loss in the opener against the Jets continued a nosedive that commenced in the middle of last season.

About the only saving grace for Buffalo is that visiting Kansas City enters Orchard Park on Sunday with its own set of concerns. It might not be much of an edge, but these days, the Bills will take any advantage they can get.

Oddsmakers in fact are suggesting that Gailey and Buffalo might have a chance to get back on the right track on Sunday. As noted on the Don Best NFL odds screen, the Bills are listed as 3-point favorites at the majority of Las Vegas sports books, with the total at 45 shaded to the 'under.'

Kickoff time at Ralph Wilson Stadium will be 1:00 p.m. (ET), with CBS providing TV coverage.

The case for Buffalo, however, is not an easy one to construct, especially on the technical side. That opening loss to the Jets dropped the Bills’ 10-game mark (stretching to just before midseason a year ago) to 1-9 straight up and 2-8 against the number. Moreover, Buffalo failed to cover all four of its chances as a home favorite last season and is just 1-6 vs. the spread its last seven as home chalk.

And, while we know preseason doesn’t mean much, the Bills also lost all four of their exhibition games. Counting those, Buffalo is now 1-13 SU in its last 14 games. If the saying “winning begets winning” means anything, Gailey’s team is at a further disadvantage at the moment.

About the only technical plus we can find for the Bills this week is that they did wallop the Chiefs, 41-7, in last year’s opener at Arrowhead, although Kansas City was a decimated squad at the outset of 2011, and Buffalo was actually winning games last September. Obviously, however, much has changed since.

There is a possibility, however, that Buffalo could be the lesser of two evils in this matchup. Kansas City is also 0-1 after being humbled in its opener by Atlanta, 40-24. In addition, the Chiefs’ defense was depleted last week with the absence of four key contributors. We can only be confident about one of those (LB Tamba Hali, having served a league-mandate one-game suspension) being back on the field at Orchard Park; Safety Kendrick Lewis (shoulder), CB Brandon Flowers (heel) and DT Anthony Toribio (ankle) were all inactive last week. Those three all remain iffy for action on Sunday.

Romeo Crennel’s defense, which helped fuel a late-season charge a year ago, is also hoping that Memphis rookie NT Dontari Poe can help upgrade what was a somewhat leaky run defense a year ago. Results were mixed in the opener, as the Falcons rushed for only 85 yards but also didn’t worry too much about establishing the infantry as QB Matt Ryan was able to throw successfully whenever he wished. Poe was very active in his debut, although that is not exactly what the coaches are looking with a two-gap, 3-4 nose tackle who is supposed to stay at home and clog this middle. Poe remains a work in progress.

Capitalizing on these potential Chief shortcomings, however, could be problematic for the Bills after they lost top runner Fred Jackson to a knee injury in the Jets opener. Jackson, expected to be out at least a month, has thus ceded the feature-back role to ex-Clemson charge C.J. Spiller, who has flashed real upside in brief spurts in the past but now must assume a heavier workload.

What concerns Bills fans most, however, is not whether Jackson or Spiller carries the ball, but rather QB Ryan Fitzpatrick keeping better care of the pigskin. Picking up where where he left off in the disastrous second half of '11, Fitzpatrick tossed three more picks in the opener against the Jets, continuing a dizzying interception rate after leading the league in picks with 23 a year ago.

Belatedly, Fitzpatrick padded his stats late in the New York opener after the Jets were conceding yardage with a huge lead late in the game, but don’t be fooled; Fitzpatrick is a liability at the moment, and many AFC East sources believe the under-fire Gailey (who can’t afford a slow break from the gate if he wants to keep is job) is not far away from looking to his bullpen for help. Recently-acquired former Vikings and Seahawks starter Tarvaris Jackson could get the call soon if Fitzpatrick continues to implode.

Also disturbing to Bills fans is the continuing underachievement of a defense that continues to prove the definition of the parts being greater than the sum. Well-publicized and supposed upgrades in the offseason included landing prized free-agent DE Mario Williams from Houston, plus DE Mark Anderson from the Patriots and highly-regarded South Carolina rookie CB Stephon Gilmore in the first round of the April NFL Draft, Buffalo’s stop unit was feeble vs. the Jets.

As for new DEs Williams and Anderson, they could only have been less factors had they not dressed for the game; the supposedly improved Bills pass rush, one of the worst in the league last season when recording only 29 sacks, allowed Mark Sanchez to sit unbothered in the pocket all afternoon when he was never sacked, or much less touched, helping contribute to the Jets converting 10-of-14 third-down tries.

Buffalo’s defense, which allowed a franchise-record 5,938 yards and second-worst all-time 434 points last season, hardly looks improved for defensive coordinator Dave Wannstedt. This could pose severe problems against Kansas City QB Matt Cassel, who has better receiving options at his disposal than do the Jets.

If there is one technical edge to be gleaned from Buffalo’s defensive downturn it’s that it has contributed to a spate of higher-scoring games since last season; the Bills are now 'over' 11-6 since the beginning of the 2011 campaign following the 76 combined points posted with the Jets in the opener.

One positive for the Chiefs in their opener vs. the Falcons was the return to action of RB Jamaal Charles, who went down for the count in Week 2 last September due to a knee injury but looked good upon his regular-season return vs. the Falcons, gaining 87 yards on 16 carries, including one 45-yard run in which he looked like the Charles of old.

In an opening week in which neither the Bills nor the Chiefs had much to cheer about, Charles’ performance was at least an encouraging development for Kansas City. We’re hard pressed to think of one of the same for Buffalo.
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09/13/2012 01:47 AM
NFL Tech Trends - Week 2

NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Chicago at Green Bay Pack has won last three SU vs. Bears and is 7-1 vs. line last eight in series. Pack has also won and covered last four vs. Bears at Lambeau. Pack also "over" 15-6 last 21 since late 2010. Pack and "over," based on team and series trends.

Sunday, Sept. 16 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Tampa Bay at New York Giants G-Men only 1-6 vs. line last 7 as home chalk, but Bucs no covers last 7 on road a year ago. Slight to Giants, based on Bucs road woes.

Arizona at New England Belichick "over" 28-10-1 last 39 since late 2009, although Big Red "under" 2-6 away LY. Belichick only 7-8 vs. line last 15 at Gillette Stadium, but Whisenhunt only 6-11 vs. line last 17 on road. Slight to "over," based on extended Belichick "totals" trends.

Kansas City at Buffalo Bills have lost last five SU vs. Jets and are just 1-4 vs. number in those games. Chan Gailey closed 2011 on 2-7 spread run and Bills just 2-6-1 against spread their last nine on road. Jets "over" 28-12 last 40 since late 2009. "Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and series trends.

Minnesota at Indiapolis Vikes only 9-18-1 last 28 on board. Also mere 3-12 vs. number last 15 on road. Colts, based on recent Vikings downturn.

New Orleans at Carolina Panthers have covered 8 of last 11 meetings. Both meetings "over" LY and Cam was "over" 10-5-1 in 2011, while Saints now "over" 13-7 last 20. Saints only 3-7 last 10 as road chalk. "Over" and Panthers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Kansas City at Buffalo Bills have dropped 8 of last 10 vs. number, also 0-4 mark as chalk at Orchard Park LY and 1-6 last 7 in role since 2010. Chiefs "under" 17-6 last 23 since late 2010, and covered 5 of last 7 as road dog LY. Chiefs and slight to "under" based on team and "totals" trends.

Baltimore at Philadelphia Andy Reid only 4-7 vs. line last 11 at Lincoln Financial Field. Ravens, based on team trends.

Oakland at Miami Counting preseason, Miami 0-5 vs. line TY. Dolphins "under" 9-3 last 12 at home. Raiders 7-2 vs. line last 9 on road. Raiders and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Cleveland at Cinny Teams split pointspread results the past two seasons. Brownies "under" 11-5-1 since LYs. "Under," based on Browns' "totals" trends.

Houston at Jacksonville Kubiak on 15-5 spread run including wins and covers in both vs. Jags LY. Texans, based on team trends.

Sunday, Sept. 916 - All games to start at 4:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Dallas at Seattle Pete Carroll "over" 22-12-1 since 2010, Seahawks also 12-5 vs. spread as host under Carroll. Cowboys only 2-4 vs. line last 6 away despite win over Giants in opener. "Over" and Seahawks, based on Pete Carroll trends.

Washington at St. Louis Rams "under" 23-13 last 36 since late 2009, Shanahan "under" 19-14 since 2010, but both "over" last week. Slight to "under" and Skins, based on "totals" and team trends.

New York Jets at Pittsbugh Rexy just 2-6-1 vs. line last 9 on road. Steel 10-4 vs. line last 14 at Heinz Field. Steel's former "over" home trend has cooled a bit but Jets "over" 29-12 last 41 since late 2009. "Over" and Steelers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Tenn at San Diego Even after Oakland win, slow-starting Norv 6-9-1 vs. line in first three games of season since taking over Bolts in 2007. Titans, based on Norv early-season trends.

Sunday, Sept. 16 - NBC, 8:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Detroit at San Francisco Lions dropped their last five vs. the number on the road last season. Meanwhile Jim Harbaugh was 8-1-1 vs. line at Stick LY. Lions "over" 24-12-2 last 38 since late 2009. "Over" and 49ers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Monday, Sept. 17 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Denver at Atlanta Falcs 10-4 vs. line last 14 at home since early 2010. Denver, however, was 6-2 as road dog LY, and Peyton Manning 9-2 last 11 as dog since 2005 (not counting end-of-season games when he didn't play at Seattle in 2005 and Buffalo in 2009). Broncos "over" 27-12 last 39 since late 2009. "Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and team trends.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/13/2012 01:47 AM
NFL Tech Trends - Week 2

NFL, 8:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Chicago at Green Bay Pack has won last three SU vs. Bears and is 7-1 vs. line last eight in series. Pack has also won and covered last four vs. Bears at Lambeau. Pack also "over" 15-6 last 21 since late 2010. Pack and "over," based on team and series trends.

Sunday, Sept. 16 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Tampa Bay at New York Giants G-Men only 1-6 vs. line last 7 as home chalk, but Bucs no covers last 7 on road a year ago. Slight to Giants, based on Bucs road woes.

Arizona at New England Belichick "over" 28-10-1 last 39 since late 2009, although Big Red "under" 2-6 away LY. Belichick only 7-8 vs. line last 15 at Gillette Stadium, but Whisenhunt only 6-11 vs. line last 17 on road. Slight to "over," based on extended Belichick "totals" trends.

Kansas City at Buffalo Bills have lost last five SU vs. Jets and are just 1-4 vs. number in those games. Chan Gailey closed 2011 on 2-7 spread run and Bills just 2-6-1 against spread their last nine on road. Jets "over" 28-12 last 40 since late 2009. "Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and series trends.

Minnesota at Indiapolis Vikes only 9-18-1 last 28 on board. Also mere 3-12 vs. number last 15 on road. Colts, based on recent Vikings downturn.

New Orleans at Carolina Panthers have covered 8 of last 11 meetings. Both meetings "over" LY and Cam was "over" 10-5-1 in 2011, while Saints now "over" 13-7 last 20. Saints only 3-7 last 10 as road chalk. "Over" and Panthers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Kansas City at Buffalo Bills have dropped 8 of last 10 vs. number, also 0-4 mark as chalk at Orchard Park LY and 1-6 last 7 in role since 2010. Chiefs "under" 17-6 last 23 since late 2010, and covered 5 of last 7 as road dog LY. Chiefs and slight to "under" based on team and "totals" trends.

Baltimore at Philadelphia Andy Reid only 4-7 vs. line last 11 at Lincoln Financial Field. Ravens, based on team trends.

Oakland at Miami Counting preseason, Miami 0-5 vs. line TY. Dolphins "under" 9-3 last 12 at home. Raiders 7-2 vs. line last 9 on road. Raiders and "under," based on team and "totals" trends.

Cleveland at Cinny Teams split pointspread results the past two seasons. Brownies "under" 11-5-1 since LYs. "Under," based on Browns' "totals" trends.

Houston at Jacksonville Kubiak on 15-5 spread run including wins and covers in both vs. Jags LY. Texans, based on team trends.

Sunday, Sept. 916 - All games to start at 4:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Dallas at Seattle Pete Carroll "over" 22-12-1 since 2010, Seahawks also 12-5 vs. spread as host under Carroll. Cowboys only 2-4 vs. line last 6 away despite win over Giants in opener. "Over" and Seahawks, based on Pete Carroll trends.

Washington at St. Louis Rams "under" 23-13 last 36 since late 2009, Shanahan "under" 19-14 since 2010, but both "over" last week. Slight to "under" and Skins, based on "totals" and team trends.

New York Jets at Pittsbugh Rexy just 2-6-1 vs. line last 9 on road. Steel 10-4 vs. line last 14 at Heinz Field. Steel's former "over" home trend has cooled a bit but Jets "over" 29-12 last 41 since late 2009. "Over" and Steelers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Tenn at San Diego Even after Oakland win, slow-starting Norv 6-9-1 vs. line in first three games of season since taking over Bolts in 2007. Titans, based on Norv early-season trends.

Sunday, Sept. 16 - NBC, 8:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Detroit at San Francisco Lions dropped their last five vs. the number on the road last season. Meanwhile Jim Harbaugh was 8-1-1 vs. line at Stick LY. Lions "over" 24-12-2 last 38 since late 2009. "Over" and 49ers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Monday, Sept. 17 - ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Denver at Atlanta Falcs 10-4 vs. line last 14 at home since early 2010. Denver, however, was 6-2 as road dog LY, and Peyton Manning 9-2 last 11 as dog since 2005 (not counting end-of-season games when he didn't play at Seattle in 2005 and Buffalo in 2009). Broncos "over" 27-12 last 39 since late 2009. "Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and team trends.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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