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09/05/2012 12:11 PM
Super trends return for Week 1

September 4, 2012

It's been seven seasons since a team has repeated as Super Bowl champions and that's the task at hand in 2012 for the New York Giants. On Wednesday, the club will kick off the season at home against the Dallas Cowboys.
Even though some clubs play poorly as the hunted rather than the hunted, the Super Bowl champs haven't fallen too quickly from the pedestal, especially in their Week 1 openers!


Super Bowl Winner - Week 1 History (2000-2011)
Year SB Winner Opponent Result
2011 Green Bay (-4.5) New Orleans 42-34 (Cover)
2010 New Orleans (-4.5) Minnesota 14-9 (Cover)
2009 Pittsburgh (-5) Tennessee 13-10 (Non-Cover)
2008 N.Y. Giants (-4) Washington 16-7 (Cover)
2007 Indianapolis (-5) New Orleans 41-10 (Cover)
2006 Pittsburgh (-7.5) Miami 28-17 (Cover)
2005 New England (-7.5) Oakland 30-20 (Cover)
2004 New England (-3) Indianapolis 27-24 (Push)
2003 Tampa Bay (+3) Philadelphia 17-0 (Cover)
2002 New England (PK) Pittsburgh 30-14 (Cover)
2001 Baltimore (-10) Chicago 17-6 (Cover)
2000 St. Louis (-7) Denver 41-36 (Non-Cover)


Looking at the above table, bettors can see that the Super Bowl champion has won its opener the last 12 seasons, which might not come as a big surprise to you since they're usually at home and listed as a favorite as well. What might impress you is the champion's mark against the spread over this stretch, which stands at 9-2-1 (82%).

The last champion to lose its Week 1 opener the following season was Denver, which occurred in 1999. The Broncos defeated Atlanta 34-19 in Super Bowl XXXIII and were humbled 38-21 by Miami as 5 ½-point home favorites.

Will the G-Men keep the streak alive?

The Giants opened as three-point favorites over the Cowboys and the line has jumped to 3 ½ and even 4 at some major offshore outfits. If you're afraid to lay the points, you can take New York on the money-line, which is listed as high as minus-200 (Bet $100 to win $50).

New York swept the regular season series against Dallas last year and has won five of the last six encounters against their NFC East rival. Also, the Giants have gone 6-2 straight up in their eight home openers under head coach Tom Coughlin.

If you are looking to buck the trend and back the Cowboys, you could point to familiarity. Dallas has opened its regular season on the road in eight of the past 10 seasons. The Cowboys came up short in last year's opener to the Jets (24-27) in a game they easily could've won. Dallas led 24-10 in the fourth quarter but key turnovers and a late special teams touchdown sealed their fate. Despite the tough loss, the 'Boys did manage to cover as six-point road underdogs.

According to the latest betting trends at Sportsbook.ag, over 80% of the action for Wednesday's opener is on the Giants.

Another team that's receiving heavy public attention in Week 1 is New England. The Patriots are hoping to rebound in 2012 after losing to the aforementioned Giants in last year's Super Bowl.

New England is favored to win the AFC by the oddsmakers but success might not happen right away, especially if the Super Bowl loser trend continues in Week 1. The situation has been just as strong as the above angle that focuses on New York and sometimes more valuable not just for the opening week but the entire season.


Super Bowl Loser - Week 1 History (1999-2011)
Year Loser Opponent Line Result
2011 Pittsburgh at Baltimore +1 Loss 7-35
2010 Indianapolis at Houston -2.5 Loss 24-34
2009 Arizona vs. San Francisco -6.5 Loss 16-20
2008 New England vs. Kansas City -16 Win 17-10 (Non-Cover)
2007 Chicago at San Diego +6 Loss 3-14
2006 Seattle at Detroit -6 Win 9-6 (Non-Cover)
2005 Philadelphia at Atlanta -1 Loss 10-14
2004 Carolina vs. Green Bay -3 Loss 14-24
2003 Oakland at Tennessee +3 Loss 20-25
2002 St. Louis at Denver -3 Loss 16-23
2001 N.Y. Giants vs. San Francisco +3 Loss 13-16
2000 Tennessee at Buffalo PK Loss 13-16
1999 Atlanta at Minnesota +4 Loss 14-17 (Cover)


Gamblers have watched the loser of the last year's Super Bowl go 2-11 SU and 1-11-1 ATS in Week 1 over the past 13 seasons. New England will head to Tennessee on Sunday and the Patriots are listed as six-point road favorites at most betting shops. The Pats have gone 9-3 in Week 1 openers since Bill Belichick took over the coaching duties in New England. Last year, the club opened the season in South Florida and the team blasted Miami 38-24 as seven-point favorites in wire-to-wire fashion.

The last time the Titans faced the Patriots came in 2009 when they were embarrassed 59-0 in a blizzard at Foxboro. Even though the Titans aren't considered contenders, the team did go 9-7 at home last season and that included a 5-3 mark in Nashville.

And if you delve into the numbers further, two of the three losses at home were by 7 or less. We mention that number because the Patriots will most likely be laying 7 or more come this Sunday afternoon.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/05/2012 12:22 PM
Tech Trends - Week 1

September 5, 2012

Sunday, Sept. 9 - All games to start at 1:00 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Indy at Chicago Andrew Luck and Chuck Pagano debuts for Indy. Lovie "over" 11-3 last 14 at Soldier Field. "Over," based on Lovie home "totals" trends.

Philly at Cleveland Andy Reid only 4-6 as road chalk the past two years but is 14-9 vs. line overall away the past three seasons. Pat Shurmur just 2-6 vs. line at home with Brownies LY and Cleveland 2-10 vs points last 12 as host since mid 2010. Browns also "under" 14-6-1 last 21 since late 2010, and Birds "under" 5-3 away LY. Eagles and "under", based on team and "totals" trends.

Buffalo at New York Bills have lost last five SU vs. Jets and are just 1-4 vs. number in those games. Chan Gailey closed 2011 on 2-7 spread run and Bills just 2-6-1 against spread their last nine on road. Jets "over" 28-12 last 40 since late 2009. "Over" and slight to Jets, based on "totals" and series trends.

Washington at New Orleans Saints were 13-5 vs. number LY and a spotless 9-0 against spread as home chalk. Shanahan "under" 12-3 last 15 away, but Saints were 6-3 "over" at home LY. Saints, based on team trends.

New England at Tenn Belichick "over" 28-10 last 38 since late in 2009 season, though Titans "under" 10-6 for Munchak LY. Belichick also 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor. "Over" and slight to Patriots, based on "totals" and team trends.

Jacksonville at Minnesota Mularkey Jags debut. Vikes only 3-8-1 vs. line last 12 as host and 9-17-1 against number last 27 on board overall. Vikes also "over" 8-2 last 10 as host. Jags only 4-9 as dog LY and were "under" 5-11 in 2011 as well. slight to Jags, based on extended Vike spread woes.

Miami at Houston Looks bad for Miami after winless and cover-less preseason. Dolphins were 8-1-1 vs. line last 10 in 2011 but now Philbin debuts as HC. Kubiak 13-5 vs. line as year ago (10-2 last 12) and now 8-2 last 10 on board at Reliant Stadium. Texans, based on recent Kubiak win trends.

St. Louis at Detroit Lions faded late last year, just 3-9 their last 12 on the board after 17-3-1 stretch vs. spread previously. Lions are 8-4-2 as chalk since 2010, however. Fisher Rams debut, nowhere to go but up for St. Louis after 2-14 SU and 3-13 spread marks LY. Lions also "over" 23-12-2 last 37 since late in 2009 campaign. "Over", based on extended Lions "totals" trends.

Atlanta at Kansas City Falcs "under' 6-3 on road LY, Chiefs "under" 12-4 in 2011 and "under" 17-5 last 22 since late 2010. Chiefs also 6-0 as home dog the past two years. "Under" and Chiefs, based on "totals" and team trends.



Sunday, Sept. 9 - All games to start at 4:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

San Fran at Green Bay Harbaugh failed to cover his last four on the road LY but overall was 12-5-1 vs. line in 2011. SF 4-1-1 as dog LY. Pack 11-3 vs. line last 14 at Lambeau and is "over" 14-6 last 20 overall. "Over" and slight to Pack, based on 'totals" and team trends.

Carolina at Tampa Bay Schiano TB debut. Cam won and covered both vs. Bucs LY, both of those "over" as well. Cam "over" 10-5-1 LY, Bucs "over" 10-6 in 2011. Bucs lost last 10 SU last year and were 1-9 vs. line in those games. "Over" and slight to Panthers, based on "totals" and team trends.

Seattle at Arizona Doesn't mean much, but note Seattle 4-0 SU and vs. line in preseason while Cards 0-5 vs. points in exhibition play. Pete Carroll "over" 22-11-1 the past two seasons and is 3-1 SU and vs. spread against Whisenhunt that span. Cards "over" 7-2-1 last 10 in desert. "Over" and Seahawks, based on "totals" and team trends.




Sunday, Sept. 9 - NBC, 8:25 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Pittsburgh at Denver Peyton Manning Denver debut, also quick rematch from LY's Tebow-flavored playoff thriller won by Denver in OT, 29-23. Broncos "over" 27-12 last 39 since late 2009, Steel "over' 5-4-1 last 10 away from Heinz Field. Steel just 2-8 vs. points last 10 away from home, and Tomlin just 1-5 last 6 as dog since early 2010. "Over" and Broncos, based on "totals" and recent Tomlin road trends.




Monday, Sept. 10 - ESPN, 7:00 & 10:15 p.m. ET

Matchup Skinny Tech Edge

Cinny at Baltimore Marvin Lewis 18-9-1 as dog since late in 2008 season. Bengals also 4-1-1 vs. line last six in series although Ravens won both meetings SU last season. "Unders" 6-3 last nine in series, although Cincy "over" 10-6-1 LY. Bengals, based series and Lewis dog trends.

San Diego at Oakland Dennis Allen Oakland debut. Raiders have covered five of last six in series although Bolts at one time had a seven-game win and cover streak at Coliseum between 2002-08 in what for many years was a road-oriented rivalry. Norv 4-7 as road chalk last two years. Raiders, based on recent series and Norv trends.


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09/05/2012 12:24 PM
Football lines that make you go hmmm...

If the Week 2 college football schedule wasn’t already littered enough with puzzling pointspreads, football fans get their first taste of NFL action and a few more head scratchers.

Each week, we take a quick glance at the football odds making bettors go “hmmmm…”, whether it be the opening lines, early action or mid-week adjustments:

NCAAF

UCF Knights at Ohio State Buckeyes (-17.5, 50.5)

This Week 2 matchup pits two programs under NCAA lock and key. Both UCF and OSU are suffering through bowl bans for underhanded dealings but, despite the lack of a postseason prize, it would appear that keeping up appearances is more important to the Buckeyes and new head coach Urban Meyer.

This spread opened as low as -17 OSU online and is sitting as high as -18 at the LVH in Las Vegas. The Knights are a quality C-USA squad, but last week’s one-sided win over Akron was more the Zips’ fault than anything – three fumbles, two inside their own 10-yard line.

Duke Blue Devils at Stanford Cardinal (-14, 58.5)

This battle of brains may be the Super Bowl of the debate team calendar but the ACC-vs. Pac-12 football contest is the “Late Night Degenerate Special” in Week 2, with a 10:30 p.m. ET kickoff. The Cardinal escaped with a “W” and little else versus San Jose State last Friday, but is still an elite program and will tighten the bolts following the Week 1 scare.

The Blue Devils were impressive – for Duke standards – in a blowout win over FIU. However, they did allow Golden Panthers RB Kedrick Rhodes to rumble for 130 yards and a score and now face Stanford RB Stepfan Taylor. Duke was second last in rushing defense in the ACC last year, giving up 180.67 yards per game on the ground.

NFL

San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers (-5.5, 45)

The Niners were the sexy offseason pick to win the Super Bowl this summer, marching all the way to the top of the futures board at some Las Vegas books. So why would San Francisco be a 5.5-point pup in Green Bay for Week 1?

Sure, the Packers are still the Packers and Lambeau is Lambeau. But, in a battle of Super Bowl faves, wouldn’t you expect a tighter spread than touchdown books were giving the 49ers when this game opened back in the spring? This line has come down from that opening but still seems a little hefty, which is why some markets are dealing Green Bay -5 at plus money.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos (-1, 44.5)

Depending on where you wager, this spread has been up and down more than Prince Harry’s pants during a Vegas bender. At certain Nevada books, the line moved all the way to Steelers -1 before going back to Denver -2.5. Some online books have it tagged as a pick’em.

Pittsburgh is missing some key cogs on defense and despite this being a “revenge” game following last year’s postseason shocker, the Broncos are very much a different team with Peyton Manning calling the shots at the line. Denver has moved up the futures board in a hurry this offseason but it appears that respect isn’t translating to Week 1’s odds.
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09/05/2012 07:04 PM
Wednesday, September 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Dallas - 8:30 PM ET N.Y. Giants -4 500

N.Y. Giants - Over 45 500
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09/06/2012 07:30 PM
Luck, Indianapolis Colts Open Season At Chicago Bears

The Andrew Luck era gets underway for real on Sunday when the Indianapolis Colts visit the Chicago Bears in the Windy City.

The Don Best NFL odds screen has the Colts as 9½-point ‘dogs with a total of 43½. The latter is up a couple of points after opening at 41. This game from Soldier Field is part of the CBS local coverage at 1:00 p.m. (ET).

This is also a rematch of Super Bowl XLI in February 2007, won by Indianapolis (29-17). That was with Peyton Manning at quarterback, but the Colts decided to part ways after he missed all of last season (neck) and they were able to tank enough (2-14 straight up) to get Luck.

The Stanford product has made the quarterback change almost seamless. He has all the physical tools, including incredible poise and pocket awareness that far exceeds a normal 22-year-old.

Luck will have some offensive weapons in rookie tight ends Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen. The former was his college teammate. Veteran receivers Reggie Wayne and Austin Collie also returned, with Wayne a surprise as a free agent. Collie can’t really be counted on with his concussion history.

Donald Brown (645 yards last year) is the featured back, but he’s nothing to get too excited about. That means more early pressure on Luck.

New head coach Chuck Pagano is the former defensive coordinator with Baltimore. He’s switched the ‘D’ over to the 3-4 that was so successful with the Ravens. The problem is that a lot of Indy’s best personnel are suited to the 4-3, like Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis who are now converted outside linebackers.

Both Freeney and Mathis could struggle early on in their new roles, with Mathis (shoulder) also questionable this week.

The Colts made an aggressive move by acquiring cornerback Vontae Davis from Miami for a second round pick. He’ll start next to Jerraud Powers in a good duo on paper, and the safeties aren’t bad either with Antoine Bethea and Tom Zbikowski.

However, going against this newly constructed Bears offense at home is a huge challenge.

Chicago started out last season at 7-3 SU, but limped down the stretch (1-5 SU) after quarterback Jay Cutler missed the final six games with a thumb injury. The backup combination of Caleb Hanie and Josh McCown simply couldn’t get it done, with Jason Campbell in that role this year.

Cutler is healthy now and looking forward to playing at home on Sunday. Chicago was 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in his home games last year, with the offense extremely potent at 31.3 PPG. The ‘over’ was 5-1 in those contests.

The 29-year-old Cutler is excited to be reunited with former Broncos teammate Brandon Marshall. He combines with rookie Alshon Jeffery to form a very solid 1-2 receiver punch. New offensive coordinator Mike Tice is known for running the ball and adding Michael Bush from Oakland to incumbent Matt Forte is another plus.

The Bears question marks come along the offensive line and having several key defensive players on the wrong side of 30.

Brian Urlacher (age 34) is one of those and he’s not on the injury report despite missing the whole preseason with a knee ailment.
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09/06/2012 07:32 PM
Saints Host Redskins In Intriguing Week 1 Matchup

Drew Brees and the Saints look to put bounty-gate behind in their season opener.

The New Orleans Saints try to put one of the most tumultuous offseasons in NFL history behind them when they host the Washington Redskins on Sunday afternoon.

Kickoff will come at 1:00 p.m. (ET) from the Mercedes-Benz Superdome as part of the FOX regional coverage. This is also the debut of Washington rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III.

There has been major line movement for this game on the Don Best Pro Odds screen. New Orleans opened as 9½-point favorites, but is now down to seven at most shops. The total has remained steady and sits at 50-50½ points.

New Orleans went 9-0 SU and ATS at home last year. The ‘over’ went 4-1 in the last five of those contests.

The Saints players, fans and management are still trying to wrap their minds around the bounty scandal that cost them coach Sean Payton and linebacker Jonathan Vilma for the year. Assistant head coach Joe Vitt coached through the final preseason game, but is now suspended for the first six of the regular season.

Aaron Kromer takes over as interim coach even though he has never been a head coach at the college or NFL level. The 45-year-old will rely heavily on offensive coordinator Pete Carmichael Jr. and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, but concerns on how they will function together is a big reason for the spread move.

New Orleans’ quarterback Drew Brees has always been under the gun, but even more so this season. He led the league’s top ranked offense in total yards (467.1 YPG) and most of the key pieces are back except receiver Robert Meachem and offensive guard Carl Nicks.

The defense struggled last year (368.4 YPG, ranked 24th) and lost cornerback Tracy Porter and linebacker Jo-Lonn Dunbar. Defensive end Will Smith is another bounty casualty for the first four games, although there is a small chance his suspension will be lifted in time for this game.

Injuries are also a concern for Spagnuolo in his first year with the team. Starting linebackers Curtis Lofton (ankle) and David Hawthorne (knee) are both questionable, in addition to cornerback Jabari Greer (groin). Lofton was signed from Atlanta to replace Vilma and should play.

Washington begins its third season under Mike Shanahan. The two-time Super Bowl champion coach with Denver is just 11-21 SU (15-15-2 ATS) with the Redskins. Shanahan did bring new hope to the franchise with the expensive draft trade-up to get Griffin, but the pressure is on to deliver wins fast.

Griffin had a solid preseason, 20-of-31 for 193 yards, two TDs and no picks. His athletic ability is unquestioned, but reading defenses in a regular season game is hard for any rookie and the Saints defense does fly to the ball much faster playing in the dome.

The just 22-year-old Griffin doesn’t have a great receiving core with Pierre Garcon, Josh Morgan and Leonard Hankerson on the outside and the fading Santana Moss in the slot. The running back situation is unsettled right now with Evan Royster and Roy Helu Jr. in the mix.

Shanahan needs to get a good year out of the defense after ranking 13th overall last season (339.8 YPG). The secondary is the biggest concern with safety Tanard Jackson suspended for the year and Brandon Meriweather out 2-4 games. Cornerback Josh Wilson (abdominal) is also questionable.

Going against Brees and the Saints passing offense is tough enough at full strength, so this is the key matchup of the game.
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09/06/2012 07:34 PM
Manning Begins Broncos Career Against Steelers

Ben Roethlisberger passed for over 4,000 yards during th 2011 season.

Quarterback Peyton Manning gets a tough first test in a Denver Broncos uniform in hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football.

Denver is getting a lot of respect on the Don Best NFL odds screen as 1½-point favorites, although it is down slightly from the -2 opening. The total is 44½. This is not surprisingly the prime-time game at 8:20 p.m. (ET) as NBC knows the ratings will be extra big for Manning’s debut.

These teams met in the playoffs last year with Denver getting a shocking 29-23 OT home win as 7½-point ‘dogs. Tim Tebow threw probably the most important pass he’ll ever make in his career, an 80-yard hookup with Demaryius Thomas on the first play of overtime.

That game was only eight months ago, but might as well be a lifetime. Tebow was jettisoned to the Jets as soon as the Broncos won the Manning sweepstakes. Manning will be making his first real pass since January 2011 after sitting out last year with a neck injury.

The now 36-year-old signal caller has looked good in preseason, but has diminished arm strength and reportedly is struggling throwing to his right. Coach John Fox will likely keep his throws down the first few games and feature the league’s top-ranked rushing attack from last year (164.5 YPG). Willis McGahee will be the featured back after almost reaching 1,200 yards.

When Manning does throw, he has a solid tandem in Thomas and Eric Decker. Manning always loved using Dallas Clark and other tight ends while with Indy, and Joel Dreessen and Jacob Tamme (former Manning teammate) will fill that role.

Fox is considered a very good defensive mind and he did get the ‘D’ to stiffen up in the second half last year. There is a new coordinator in Jack Del Rio after Dennis Allen left for Oakland, but the continuity should be fine. However, there are big questions at defensive tackle and linebacker D.J Williams is also suspended the first six games.

Pittsburgh is one of the most stable franchises in the NFL, but this offseason has seen some turmoil. The fiery Todd Haley has replaced Bruce Arians as offensive coordinator and it remains to be seen if Haley can get along with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger.

The 30-year-old Roethlisberger threw for over 4,000 yards last year and is extremely feared for his ability to scramble and make plays down the field. However, explosive receiver Mike Wallace is still learning the new offense after a contract holdout and could struggle as a starter on Sunday.

The running game is also a question with Rashard Mendenhall likely out after recovering from knee surgery. Isaac Redman (ankle) should play despite being banged up, while Jonathan Dwyer will also get some carries. The offensive line has been shaky in recent years and there was another big blow with rookie guard David DeCastro (knee) possibly injured for the year.

The Steelers defense ranked first last year (271.8 YPG) under legendary coordinator Dick LeBeau. There are injury concerns with outside linebacker James Harrison and his backup Jason Worilds questionable and probable respectively with knee injuries.

Safety Ryan Clark is being held out with his sickle cell trait dangerous in the thin Denver air. Inside linebacker Larry Foote (ankle) is listed as questionable, but will probably play.

LeBeau has his work cut out for him this week, but he’s used to mixing and matching players. He will certainly put the pressure on Manning to see how his body responds to the layoff.

Pittsburgh looks like a dangerous ‘dog in this contest.
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09/06/2012 07:36 PM
September Records

September 5, 2012


When getting a gauge on the first month of the NFL season, there are several factors to consider. How long has each head coach been patrolling the sidelines? Do these clubs employ the same starting quarterback? Some of those questions can be answered when comparing teams and how they fare in the month of September.

Dating back to 2008, eleven squads have won at least eight games in September, while the Ravens and Giants each own 9-3 straight-up records. Baltimore and New Orleans each possess the highest success rate against the spread in this period as the Ravens are 9-3 ATS, while the Saints have compiled a solid 9-4 ATS mark. These teams are consistent at the quarterback position and have not had any significant coaching changes, but that will change in New Orleans this season with Sean Payton being suspended the entire season.

The worst teams in this time frame are not a surprise, as the Browns, Dolphins, and Rams are the least effective clubs in September. Cleveland managed two wins in three September contests last season (including one over Miami), but the Browns are just 4-8-1 ATS in the opening month since 2008. Miami put together a winless September in 2011, while posting a 3-9 SU and 3-8-1 ATS record the last four Septembers. Taking the prize for biggest September dud is St. Louis, who has won a grand total of one game in the last 13 opening month contests, while cashing just three times in this span.

Below is a list of each team with their September (SU/ATS) records from last season, 2008-2010, and their schedule for the month.

2012 SEPTEMBER BREAKDOWN
Category 2011 2008-10 Week
TEAM SU ATS SU ATS 1 2 3 4
ARZ 1-2 2-1 5-5 5-5 SEA @ NE PHI MIA
ATL 1-2 1-2 6-4 6-4 @ KC DEN @ SD CAR
BAL 2-1 2-1 7-2 7-2 CIN @ PHI NE CLE
BUF 3-0 2-1 5-5 5-5 @ NYJ KC @ CLE NE
CAR 1-2 2-1 3-7 2-7-1 @ TB NO NYG @ ATL
CHI 1-2 1-2 6-4 5-4-1 IND @ GB STL @ DAL *
CIN 1-2 2-1 4-6 5-4-1 @ BAL CLE @ WSH @ JAX
CLE 2-1 1-1-1 1-9 3-7 PHI @ CIN BUF @ BAL
DAL 2-1 1-1-1 6-4 5-5 @ NYG @ SEA TB CHI *
DEN 1-2 1-2 7-3 5-4-1 PIT @ ATL HOU OAK
DET 3-0 2-0-1 1-8 3-6 STL @ SF @ TEN MIN
GB 3-0 2-1 6-4 6-4 SF CHI @ SEA NO
HOU 2-1 2-1 3-6 4-5 MIA @ JAX @ DEN TEN
IND 0-3 2-1 6-3 5-4 @ CHI MIN JAX --
JAX 1-2 1-2 4-6 4-6 @ MIN HOU @ IND CIN
KC 0-3 1-2 4-6 5-5 ATL @ BUF @ NO SD
MIA 0-3 0-2-1 3-6 3-6 @ HOU OAK NYJ @ ARZ
MIN 0-3 1-1-1 5-5 4-6 JAX @ IND SF @ DET
NE 2-1 2-1 6-3 3-6 @ TEN ARZ @ BAL @ BUF
NO 2-1 2-1 7-3 7-3 WSH @ CAR KC @ GB
NYG 2-1 2-1 7-2 5-3-1 DAL TB @ CAR @ PHI
NYJ 2-1 1-2 7-3 7-3 BUF @ PIT @ MIA SF
OAK 2-1 3-0 3-7 5-5 SD @ MIA PIT @ DEN
PHI 1-2 1-2 6-4 6-4 @ CLE BAL @ ARZ NYG
PIT 2-1 1-2 7-3 4-6 @ DEN NYJ @ OAK --
SD 2-1 0-3 5-5 4-5-1 @ OAK TEN ATL @ KC
SF 2-1 2-0-1 4-6 6-4 @ GB DET @ MIN @ NYJ
SEA 1-2 1-2 4-5 4-5 @ ARZ DAL GB @ STL
STL 0-3 0-3 1-9 3-7 @ DET WSH @ CHI SEA
TB 2-1 2-1 5-5 5-5 CAR @ NYG @ DAL WSH
TEN 2-1 1-2 6-4 7-3 NE @ SD DET @ HOU
WSH 2-1 2-1 5-5 4-5-1 @ NO @ STL CIN @ TB
* Game played on Monday, Oct. 1


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09/06/2012 07:38 PM
NFL Week 1 Preview: Titans vs. Patriots

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (0-0)

at TENNESSEE TITANS (0-0)


Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: New England -6, Total: 47

The Titans seek long-awaited payback when they host the Patriots on Sunday, the same team that beat them 59-0 in their last meeting in 2009.

New England led 45-0 at halftime that game, and that was before the addition of its star tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. The Patriots offense gets richer this year with deep threat WR Brandon Lloyd, Tom Brady’s best outside weapon since Randy Moss’ prime. Lloyd joins Gronkowski, Hernandez and dominant slot WR Wes Welker on an offense that threw for 313 yards per game in 2011. The Pats’ makeshift offensive line is dealing with some injuries, but their young defense is a year older and wiser and should be somewhat improved. The Titans need RB Chris Johnson to find his old form, as second-year QB Jake Locker is a flawed passer right now. Their defense will have its hands full against Brady and Company, especially with a toothless pass rush (28 sacks last year) and a secondary that lost both CB Cortland Finnegan and S Chris Hope to free agency.

Can the Patriots start their 2012 season with a big road win? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Brady has led his team to eight straight season-opening wins, which ties the fifth-longest such run in NFL history. In last year’s Week 1 victory over Miami, Brady threw for a Patriots record 517 yards in a 38-24 victory. Brady threw for 380 yards and six touchdowns in the 59-0 blowout over Tennessee three years ago. While the passing game gets all the recognition, New England is also a decent running team when it wants to be. The Patriots averaged 110 rushing yards on 4.0 YPC in 2011, and that should improve this year with Stevan Ridley’s emergence within this offense. Ridley is coming off a strong preseason where he rushed for 152 yards on 34 carries (4.5 YPC), establishing himself as the featured back in this offense. The much-maligned defense allowed 402 total YPG last season, but the addition of rookies DE Chandler Jones and LB Donta’ Hightower helps shore up what could be a very good front seven that could take pressure off the secondary.

Locker won the starting job over Matt Hasselbeck in the preseason, but he didn’t throw all that effectively, completing just 31-of-60 of his passes for 316 yards (5.3 YPA), 2 TD and 1 INT. Locker will be making his first career start on Sunday, but he did see significant action in 2011, completing 34-of-66 passes for 542 yards (8.2 YPA), 4 TD and 0 INT. For the Titans to hang around in this game, Chris Johnson will have to regain his 2,000-yard form from a couple years ago. Johnson posted a career-low 1,047 rushing yards (4.0 YPC) in 2011, but he did rumble for 128 yards in the blowout loss to New England back in 2009. WR Kenny Britt will not play on Sunday, as he’ll be serving his one-game suspension, which allows rookie Kendall Wright to start opposite veteran Nate Washington in this passing offense.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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09/06/2012 07:39 PM
NFL Week 1 Preview: Redskins vs. Saints

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (0-0)

at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (0-0)


Kickoff: Sunday, 1:00 p.m. EDT
Line: New Orleans -7, Total: 50

The Redskins usher in the RG3 era with dual threat rookie Robert Griffin III looking to spark a listless offense on the road in New Orleans.

Griffin III will have his hands full against an aggressive Saints defense. The ‘Skins are also still looking for answers on the offensive line and the secondary. Though Saints head coach Sean Payton is suspended for the season, they should be fine on offense with Drew Brees running the show. New Orleans added numerous new LBs over the offseason, but new starters Curtis Lofton (ankle) and David Hawthorne (knee) are working their way back from preseason injuries. The Saints run defense is once again a question mark, but the Redskins rushing offense is also weak.

Can Griffin III lead the Redskins to the upset on Sunday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every NFL game throughout the 2012 season and playoffs.

Griffin III had a strong preseason, completing 20-of-31 passes for 193 yards, 2 TD and 0 INT. He also ran for 22 yards on five carries. His receiving corps got an upgrade over the summer with the signing of Pierre Garcon and the healthy return of Leonard Hankerson. The passing game shouldn’t be an issue, but the running game has plenty of question marks with a makeshift offensive line and RB carousel of Roy Helu, Evan Royster and Alfred Morris. The good news is that whoever Mike Shanahan decides on, or if he uses a committee approach, all three players are coming off strong preseason performances. Helu rushed for 107 yards on 19 carries (5.6 YPC) and 2 TD, Royster also carried the ball 19 times, gaining 85 yards and 1 TD, while the rookie Morris received the most action, rumbling for 195 yards on 39 carries (5.0 YPC). Although S Tanard Jackson is suspended for this game, the injury prognosis is looking good for Royster (knee), LB Brian Orakpo (shoulder) and S Brandon Meriweather (knee), who have all been upgraded to probable.

Brees is coming off an NFL record 5,476-yard season, where he completed an NFL record 71.2% of his passes. Although New Orleans parted ways with WR Robert Meachem, the top three receivers all return in TE Jimmy Graham, WR Marques Colston and RB Darren Sproles, who each caught 80 passes in 2011. New Orleans will also continue to share the rushing workload between Sproles, Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram, who is healthy after an injury-riddled rookie campaign. Speaking of injuries, Colston (foot) will start, but CB Jabari Greer (groin) is questionable. LB Jonathan Vilma was suspended for the season for his role in past bounties, and top DE Will Smith will be serving a four-game suspension for the same pay-to-injure scandal.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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