cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 01:46 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, August 30

National League

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 1:05 ET
Niese: Mets 12-2 SU on Thursdays
Kendrick: Philadelphia 0-7 SU off a division loss by 1 run

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
Marcum: Milwaukee 10-1 Over off 6+ road games
Raley: Cubs 6-21 SU in August

St. Louis at Washington, 7:05 ET MLB
Garcia: St. Louis 30-14 SU off a loss by 4+ runs
Jackson: 8-17 TSR pitching on 5 or 6 days rest

San Francisco at Houston, 8:05 ET
Vogelsong: 11-2 TSR in night games
Lyles: 4-19 TSR pitching off a team loss

Arizona at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Kennedy: 19-4 TSR vs. division opponents
Kershaw: Dodgers 6-13 SU revenging a loss as a home favorite


American League

Oakland at Cleveland, 12:05 ET
Parker: Oakland 14-6 SU after winning 8+ of their last 10 games
Masterson: Cleveland 4-17 SU after losing 15+ of their last 20 games

(TC) Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 12:35 ET
Quintana: White Sox 25-8 SU with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs
Britton: Baltimore 13-3 Under after scoring 1 or 0 runs

Seattle at Minnesota, 1:10 ET
Beavan: Seattle 15-35 SU as a road underdog of +125 or less
Duensing: 18-4 TSR as a favorite

Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7:05 ET MLB
Moore: Tampa Bay 17-8 SU away in August
Villanueva: Toronto 2-11 SU off 7+ road games

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Porcello: 11-1 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Guthrie: 11-1 Over as a home underdog of +125 or less

Boston at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Lester: Boston 6-14 SU off a loss by 4+ runs
Greinke: 16-1 TSR at home pitching off a team win

(TC) = Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 01:48 PM

Thursday's betting tips: Phoenix Mercury the worst bet in sports

Weather watch

Thunderstorms are in the forecast for tonight’s season-opening SEC showdown between South Carolina and Vanderbilt. There is a 30 percent chance of showers and winds blowing 7 mph at Vanderbilt Stadium.

Who’s hot?

Oakland Athletics – The A’s have won five straight heading into Thursday’s matinee with Cleveland. Oakland has outscored opponents 27-10 during this streak and is priced at -102 for Thursday.

Who’s not?

Phoenix Mercury – The Mercury have dropped 10 in a row going back before the WNBA Olympic break. Since returning to action earlier this month, Phoenix has lost four straight outings and has posted a 0-4 mark against the spread. The Mercury have covered just once during this 10-game slide.

Key stat

.217 – Angels rookie sensation Mike Trout is hitting the wall, going just 5-for-23 (.217) with eight strikeouts in his last five games.

Game of the day

South Carolina Gamecocks at Vanderbilt Commodores (+6.5, 45)

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Angel McCoughtry, Atlanta Dream – While it’s not an injury, the suspension of McCoughtry for violating team rules hurt the Dream Tuesday night, losing 84-80 to Tulsa – one of the worst teams in the WNBA. McCoughtry, who leads Atlanta in scoring, steals, blocks and 3-point shooting, was rumored to be feuding with coach-GM Marynell Meadors, who was fired earlier this week. The Dream are 9.5-point home favorites versus Washington Thursday.

Notable quotable

"It's just a matter of time before they get you, basically. And that's unfortunate. I think (Jon) Lester knows that. I think Clay Buchholz knows that. Your time will come." – former Red Sox pitcher Josh Beckett bashing the Boston media and sports culture in Beantown.

Betting news and notes

-- The St. Louis Rams and San Diego Chargers are two teams planning on playing their starters in Week 4 of the preseason. Most teams rest their starters in the final preseason tilt. St. Louis is a 5-point favorite hosting Baltimore while San Diego is 3-point underdog versus San Francisco Thursday.

-- UCLA went 1-4 against non-conference foes last year and 1-6 on the road. The Bruins take on the Rice Owls in their season opener as 16.5-point road favorites.

-- UNLV and Minnesota have never previously met. The Rebels are 2-10 against Big Ten schools and the Golden Gophers are 5-2 against schools currently in the Mountain West.

-- The Dodgers are 50-4 when scoring five or more runs this season. Los Angeles scored 10 runs in a 10-8 win over Colorado Wednesday and is a -200 fave hosting Arizona Thursday.

-- The first two games of the Tigers-Royals series have been one-run affairs in favor of the Royals, who are 22-16 in one-run games. Detroit is 17-19 in one-run contests. Kansas City is a +117 home underdog Thursday.

-- The Deutsche Bank Championship takes center stage from TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts on this holiday weekend event that runs from Friday to Monday. TPC Boston has been one of the easier stops in recent years and there is no reason to think it will be any different this week. The 7,214-yard, par 71 layout is fairly wide open but it is the large greens that are pretty straight forward that contribute to the low scores.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 04:40 PM

MLB

Thursday, August 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 7:05 PM ET St. Louis +103 500
Washington - Under 8 500

Tampa Bay - 7:07 PM ET Toronto +141 500
Toronto - Over 8 500

San Francisco - 8:05 PM ET San Francisco -172 500
Houston - Under 8 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Kansas City +108 500
Kansas City - Under 9 500

Boston - 10:05 PM ET LA Angels -150 500
LA Angels - Over 8 500

Arizona - 10:10 PM ET Arizona +190 500
LA Dodgers - Under 6.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 04:45 PM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Thursday's games

South Carolina won 10 of its last 12 games with SEC rival Vanderbilt, winning last three by average score of 19-7. Gamecocks won five of last six visits here (4-2 vs spread). This is smallest series pointspread since 2006, a Commodores have improved their program. Vandy was 3-0 as a home dog LY, after going 8-18 from '04-'10; their QB is Jordan Rodgers, brother of Packer QB Aaron- he started seven games LY. Carolina's QB is Connor Shaw, who was nine career starts. Gamecocks are 7-4-1 as a road favorite since '06.

Terry Bowden is the new coach at Akron, which is 5-31 last three years. Central Florida-Akron haven't met since 2004; Zips have eight starters back on offense, five on defense- they're 4-8 as home dogs over last three years. Akron's starting QB LY completed only 48% of his passes LY, which is awful, so not sure if he is still the starter. UCF has 8 starters back on both sides of ball; since '03, they're 7-13 as a road favorite and will have a new QB. One candidate is Tyler Gabbert, brother of Blaine.

Underdogs covered seven of last nine Eastern Michigan-Ball State games, with Ball State winning five of last six. Last three series games have been decided by three or less points. Eastern had 570 rushing yards last two meetings, but split the pair. Ball has 8 tarters back on offense; their QB has 22 career starts, so they're strong there, especially with four starters back on OL. EMU is 8-5 as a road dog last two years; they've got nine starters back on offense and a QB with 27 career starts. Ball State is 1-7 as a home favorite since Brady Hoke left town.

Texas A&M-Louisiana Tech game has been postponed because of the tropical storm. Game will be made up on October 13.

UMass is playing its first game in I-A; they lost 42-37 at Michigan two years ago, 45-17 at Boston College LY; UMass QB Pagel is son of Colts' alum Mike Pagel; he had nine TDs, nine INT LY. Minutemen have had negative turnover ratio four years in row, while going 23-22. UConn has 8 starters back on defense, 6 on offense; over last decade, they're 30-20 as a favorite, 20-15 at home. Huskies have three starters back on the OL; they're +20 in turnovers the last two seasons.

First game at UCLA for former NFL coach Mora, with 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense. Bruins have Nebraska coming to Rose Bowl next week, better not be looking ahead here-- this is first time since '09 they're favored to win a road game (2-0 as road fave under Neuheisel). Rice is 10-26 last three years, but 13-7-1 vs spread as home underdog since 2006. Owls lost six starters on both sides of ball, but their junior QB has started ten games. They lost four starters on offensive line.

Mike Leach is new coach at Washington State, so we know Coogs will be throwing the ball; State has 7 starters back on both sides of ball, with three starters back on OL-- they were 7-4 as road dog last two seasons under Wulff, but they were 9-40 SU in his four years. Independent BYU is 19-13 as a home favorite since '06; they play archrival Utah in couple weeks, not sure they'll show everything here. BYU also has 7 starters back on both sides of ball, with a senior QB who has 17 career starts.

UNLV is starting a redshirt freshman QB, as they try to turn around a program that is 4-21 SU under Hauck, but 6-2-1 vs spread as home dog. Home side has covered 20 of their last 24 games. Rebels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense, with their whole OL back. Minnesota is 7-13 as a favorite since '07, losing 11 of last 15 road games SU. Gophers have six starters back on both sides of ball, with athletic senior QB who has also played some WR- they've got three sophs, two juniors starting on OL. It'll take some onions to lay 8 points on road with Gophers.

UT-San Antonio-South Alabama game has been moved to Saturday due to the tropical storm. This is both teams' first game in I-A.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 04:49 PM

What bettors need to know: Thursday's NCAAF action

The NCAA football season kicks off Thursday with 17 games on the schedule for bettors to choose from. We give you the essential tidbits on five of them to make your wagers.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at UNLV Runnin' Rebels (+8.5, 50)

Jerry Kill's first season as the head coach in Minnesota resulted in a 3-9 record. Kill, a kidney cancer survivor, suffered two seizures last year, including one on the field against New Mexico State on Sept. 10. Minnesota ranked 110th in total offense in 2011 and will rely heavily on senior quarterback MarQueis Gray to improve the offense this season.

UNLV’s passing offense ranked 118th out of 120 FBS programs with an average of just 109.6 YPG. If quarterback Caleb Herring doesn’t show he’s improved since last season, 6-foot-5 freshman Nick Sherry could get a shot at running the offense.

Washington State Cougars at Brigham Young Cougars (-13.5, 62)

Mike Leach became well known for his "Air Raid" offense while at Texas Tech and will bring similar schemes to Washington State this season. The Cougars ranked ninth in the nation in passing (322.3 YPG) last season and should only improve on that mark under the tutelage of Leach.

BYU is coming off of a 10-3 season and has a returning starter at quarterback. Senior Riley Nelson, who went 6-1 in games he started last season, is already considered a candidate for the 2012 Davey O'Brien Award.

UCLA Bruins at Rice Owls (+15.5, 56)

Jim Mora Jr's first game as a college head coach is on the road against Rice. The Bruins are 60-28-5 all-time in season openers, but are still searching for a No. 1 quarterback to lead the offense this season. Senior Richard Brehaut is the most likely candidate for the starting gig, but Kevin Prince and redshirt freshman Brett Hundley have been impressive in camp.

The Owls missed the bowl season for the third consecutive season and finished fourth in the C-USA's West Division last year. Head coach David Bailiff spent a significant amount of time reviewing Arizona State tape with his players to break down the schemes that Noel Mazzone, UCLA’s new offensive coordinator, used during his tenure with the Sun Devils.

South Carolina Gamecocks (9) at Vanderbilt Commodores (+7, 46)

South Carolina quarterback Connor Shaw missed most of practice Thursday because of back spasms, just a week before the ninth-ranked Gamecocks open the season at Vanderbilt. Shaw is a junior beginning his first full season as starting quarterback. He took over last fall for Stephen Garcia, who was dismissed from the program.

Running back Warren Norman will see his first game action since Oct. 30, 2010, because of injuries. Remember, Norman broke Herschel Walker’s SEC single-season freshman all-purpose yardage record in 2009 and should be a force this season for Vandy.

Central Florida Knights at Akron Zips (+23.5, 46.5)

The Knights hold a 21-12 record in openers and have won their last six. The Knights went 5-7 in 2011 with a 3-5 mark in Conference USA. Central Florida had six selections to the C-USA All-Freshman Team, marking the most by a league school since 2008.

The Zips have six quarterbacks on their roster, five of which are either freshmen or redshirt freshmen. The only pivot with collegiate experience is senior Dalton Williams, who was the backup quarterback at Stephen F. Austin from 2008-11. The Zips are 3-0 all-time when hosting the Knights.


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#10 Yesterday, 04:47 AM
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NCAAF biggest betting mismatches: Week 1

If your handicapping method leans heavily on spotting mismatches, Week 1 of the college football season is your Christmas morning.

Heavyweight title-contending programs like to stretch their legs against much weaker foes, even locking horns with some FCS squads in an effort to boost confidence and iron out the details before the “real” games begin.

However, some teams are tested right out of the gate. And those are the contests we’ll focus on in our first NCAAF mismatches article of the year.

UMass Minutemen at UConn Huskies (-24.5)

UMass' FBS jitters vs. UConn's aggressive defense

The Minutemen meet an old foe in their first FBS game. Massachusetts goes up against an aggressive and experienced defense, with the Huskies returning eight starters including all three linebackers. Connecticut ranked at the bottom of the Big East in pass defense last year but gambled a lot, forcing 31 turnovers (13 fumbles, 18 interceptions). Expect the Huskies to take advantage of a nervous Minutemen squad.

Boise State Broncos at Michigan State Spartans (-7, 45.5)

Michigan State RB Le'Veon Bell vs. Boise State run defense

Bell finished eighth in the Big Ten in rushing as a sophomore and will get even more carries as a junior with the major turnover in talent in the Spartans’ passing game. Boise State head coach Chris Petersen knows he’s in for a long night against the 6-foot-2, 244-pound running back, losing all for starting linemen as well as the top three linebackers from 2011.

"We've taped two of our running backs together and they carry the ball at the same time to get a little feel of what it'd be like to really tackle a guy (that size), because we don't have anybody around here who looks like that," Peterson told mlive.com. "He is a load. And that'll be different for our guys."

Nevada Wolf Pack at California Golden Bears (-10.5, 55.5)

Nevada’s pistol offense vs. California defense

The last time these two met, Nevada’s option-heavy package rolled over the Golden Bears for a 52-31 win back in 2010. Of course, former QB Colin Kaepernick did most of the damage. The Wolf Pack have another dangerous dual-threat in sophomore QB Cody Fajardo, who rushed for 11 touchdowns last season. Cal’s defense suffered some serious losses, most notably Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year LB Mychal Kendricks.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 04:51 PM

What bettors need to know: Thursday's NCAAF action

The NCAA football season kicks off Thursday with 17 games on the schedule for bettors to choose from. We give you the essential tidbits on five of them to make your wagers.

Minnesota Golden Gophers at UNLV Runnin' Rebels (+8.5, 50)

Jerry Kill's first season as the head coach in Minnesota resulted in a 3-9 record. Kill, a kidney cancer survivor, suffered two seizures last year, including one on the field against New Mexico State on Sept. 10. Minnesota ranked 110th in total offense in 2011 and will rely heavily on senior quarterback MarQueis Gray to improve the offense this season.

UNLV’s passing offense ranked 118th out of 120 FBS programs with an average of just 109.6 YPG. If quarterback Caleb Herring doesn’t show he’s improved since last season, 6-foot-5 freshman Nick Sherry could get a shot at running the offense.

Washington State Cougars at BYU Cougars (-12, 65)

Mike Leach became well known for his "Air Raid" offense while at Texas Tech and will bring similar schemes to Washington State this season. The Cougars ranked ninth in the nation in passing (322.3 YPG) last season and should only improve on that mark under the tutelage of Leach.

BYU is coming off of a 10-3 season and has a returning starter at quarterback. Senior Riley Nelson, who went 6-1 in games he started last season, is already considered a candidate for the 2012 Davey O'Brien Award.

UCLA Bruins at Rice Owls (+15.5, 56)

Jim Mora Jr's first game as a college head coach is on the road against Rice. The Bruins are 60-28-5 all-time in season openers, but are still searching for a No. 1 quarterback to lead the offense this season. Senior Richard Brehaut is the most likely candidate for the starting gig, but Kevin Prince and redshirt freshman Brett Hundley have been impressive in camp.

The Owls missed the bowl season for the third consecutive season and finished fourth in the C-USA's West Division last year. Head coach David Bailiff spent a significant amount of time reviewing Arizona State tape with his players to break down the schemes that Noel Mazzone, UCLA’s new offensive coordinator, used during his tenure with the Sun Devils.

South Carolina Gamecocks (9) at Vanderbilt Commodores (+7, 46)

South Carolina quarterback Connor Shaw missed most of practice Thursday because of back spasms, just a week before the ninth-ranked Gamecocks open the season at Vanderbilt. Shaw is a junior beginning his first full season as starting quarterback. He took over last fall for Stephen Garcia, who was dismissed from the program.

Running back Warren Norman will see his first game action since Oct. 30, 2010, because of injuries. Remember, Norman broke Herschel Walker’s SEC single-season freshman all-purpose yardage record in 2009 and should be a force this season for Vandy.

Central Florida Knights at Akron Zips (+23.5, 46.5)

The Knights hold a 21-12 record in openers and have won their last six. The Knights went 5-7 in 2011 with a 3-5 mark in Conference USA. Central Florida had six selections to the C-USA All-Freshman Team, marking the most by a league school since 2008.

The Zips have six quarterbacks on their roster, five of which are either freshmen or redshirt freshmen. The only pivot with collegiate experience is senior Dalton Williams, who was the backup quarterback at Stephen F. Austin from 2008-11. The Zips are 3-0 all-time when hosting the Knights.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 05:04 PM

Friday, Aug. 31

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

TENNESSEE vs. NC STATE...(at Atlanta, Georgia)Tom O'Brien teams usually wait to rally down the stretch, as his NCS teams are 1-4 vs. line in their openers. But Wolfpack is 9-3-1 as dog the past two seasons and 26-13-1 as the short since O'Brien took over in 2007. Derek Dooley is 8-3 as chalk the past two years but but Vols have failed to cover their last five games away from Knoxville (0-4 LY).

NC State, based on team trends.

BOISE STATE at MICHIGAN STATE...Boise in rebuild mode but has been a great road team in recent years, 11-3 vs. line away since 2010 and 24-10 since 2007. Chris Petersen also has covered last ten vs. non-conference foes. Broncos haven't been a dog since Jan. 2010 Fiesta Bowl vs. TCU. Dantonio 9-5 vs. line at home since 2010.

Boise, based on extended road and non-conference mark.

SAN JOSE STATE at STANFORD...David Shaw 11-2 vs. line in Stanford debut last season with Andrew Luck. Tree also 18-6 as chalk since 2010 and 8-3 laying DD at home since 2007. Tree has also covered last four meetings in this neighborhood rivalry. SJSU did cover 5 of last 6 away LY and is 10-4 vs. line last 14 on board since late 2010.

Stanford, based on recent trends.


Saturday, Sept. 1

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

NOTRE DAME vs. NAVY (at Dublin, Ireland!)...Never mind the Fighting Irish in Ireland, it is a bigger deal in Dublin to have the U.S. Naval Academy in town! Navy had covered seven of ten vs. ND and beaten Irish 3 of 4 SU prior to LY's 56-14 loss at South Bend. Mids 6-2 as dog since 2010 and 15-8 as dog away from Annapolis since 2007. Irish 2-5 vs. line away LY, and Brian Kelly has covered only 7 of 19 as chalk since arriving in 2010.

Navy, based on team and extended series trends.

MARSHALL at WEST VIRGINIA...This was one of the suspended games with no spread result last season. Herd had covered previous two meetings in 2009-10 but Mounties had covered previous three. But Herd only 4-8 as road dog the past two seasons. Holgorsen only 2-3 as Morgantown chalk LY.

Slight to WVU, based on subpar Herd road mark.

OHIO at PENN STATE... Frank Solich 18-9 as dog since 2007, also 10-2 as road dog getting 3 ½ -points or more that span. Solich 3-1 vs. line last four against Big Ten. Penn State 3-9-1 vs. points in 2011, 8-17-1 since 2010, and 4-9-1 at Happy Valley vs. spread past two years. O'Brien debut at Beaver Stadium.

Solich, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at SYRACUSE...NU a bit overvalued the past few years and only 9-17 vs. line since 2010, although Cats have covered five of last eight away from Evanston. Cuse, however, just 3-9 vs. spread LY and 12-20 vs. spread at Carrier Dome since 2007.

Northwestern, based on Cuse negatives.

MIAMI-OHIO at OHIO STATE...Urban Meyer OSU debut! Urban covered four of last five first games on line while at Florida. Bucks were a great spread team at Big Horseshoe for Tressel (17-9 from 2007-10) but slumped last year under Luke Fickell to just 2-4 spread mark at home. Paul Ryan's alma mater Miami is 10-5 vs. line away past two seasons (5-3 as DD road dog) and RedHawks 4-1 vs. spread last five vs. Big Ten foes.

Slight to Miami-Ohio, based on road mark.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at ILLINOIS...Beckman Illini debut! Beckman involved in some wild games vs. WMU the past few years while at Toledo (Rockets won 66-63 LY but couldn't cover!). Illini were erratic spread performers in the Zook years reflected in subpar 15-22 spread mark at home from 2007-11. Cubit was 4-1 as dog LY and covered in close loss at Champaign-Urbana.

WMU, based on team trends.

TULSA at IOWA STATE...Game is near pick'em so be careful applying past Paul Rhodes ISU trends which have been generally better as dog (7-4 LY) than as chalk (2-4 since 2010). Tulsa just 4-7 vs. line last 11 vs. non-CUSA foes.

Slight ti ISU, based on team trends.

NEVADA at CALIFORNIA...Memorial Stadium reopens in Berkeley! Revenge for Bears after losing 52-31 in Reno two years ago. Cal enjoyed playing across the SF Bay last season with 5-0 home chalk mark at Candlestick and AT&T Parks, and Bears now 9-1 as home favorite since 2010 and 20-6 in role since 2007. Cal 3-0 as DD home chalk since 2010, too. Wolf Pack, however, 5-2 as dog since 2010.

Slight to Cal, based on recent home chalk trend.

SOUTHERN MISS at NEBRASKA...Ellis Johnson era begins at Southern Miss, let's see if it is better than his last couple of head coaching jobs (including long ago in the early '80s at Gardner-Webb). The Fedora USM edition was 3-0 as a dog LY and is 7-2 getting 7 1/2-points or more on road since 2007. Bo Pelini just 4-8-1 vs. line LY and 5-9 vs. spread at Lincoln since 2010, also only 2-8 vs. line as DD home chalk past two years.

Slight to USM, based on team trends.

MIAMI-FLORIDA at BOSTON COLLEGE...Spaziani in more trouble with BC AD Gene DeFilippo announcing pending retirement. Spaziani closed with a rush vs. spread LY but is just 3-10 vs. spread at home since 2010 and if chalk note 1-7 spread mark in role at Chestnut Hill that span. If Al Golden is a dog note his 3-1 mark in role (all on road) last season and 18-9 dog mark since 2007.

Miami, especially if dog, based on team trends.

IOWA vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS (at Soldier Field, Chicago)...Trek to Chi-town didn't work so well for NIU LY but that was against Wisconsin. Iowa seems a lesser foe. Hawkeyes only 5-8 vs. line LY and are 3-9 vs. spread away from home the past two seasons (0-3 laying 7 ½ or more away). Huskies are 9-2 vs. spread as road dog since 2010!

NIU, based on team trends.

COLORADO vs. COLORADO STATE (at Denver)...McElwain CSU debut! Buffs have won and covered last two and four of last five vs. Rams. Which was odd for CU because it hasn't been able to cover too often vs. others the past couple of years (just 9-16 overall vs. number since 2010). CSU, however, only 4-9 vs. line away from Fort Collins the past two seasons and mere 10-16 as dog away from home since 2007.

CU, based on series trends.

BUFFALO at GEORGIA... Mark Richt has run up scores pretty well the past two seasons, 8-3 as home chalk and 7-2 laying DD between the hedges that span. Buffalo 3-9 vs. line away (all as dog) since 2010 and 1-6 as DD road dog that span.
Georgia, based on team trends and recent Richt bully tendencies.

BOWLING GREEN at FLORIDA...BGSU's extended road dog mark dating back to the Gregg Brandon years is pretty good (16-7 since 2007, including 9-5 getting DD away). Muschamp only 5-8 vs. line in Gator debut LY but was better as chalk (5-3 vs. points) than as dog (0-5 against number).

Bowling Green, based on extended trends.

WYOMING at TEXAS...The Fred Akers game! Note how Wyo was smashed in its losses last season, but Cowboys did cover 4 of 6 as a dog away from Laramie, and Christensen 10-4 as road dog since taking Wyo job in 2009. Mack recovered a bit at Austin last season, covering all three laying DD at home, after disastrous 2010 (when 1-6 vs. line at home) but still only 4-9 against spread as host since 2010.

Slight to Wyo, based on team trends.

TEXAS STATE at HOUSTON...Franchione returns to the big board with the Bobcats! Tony Levine 1-0 SU and vs. spread with UH after bowl win over Penn State and note Sumlin was 13-7-1 as chalk with Cougs the last two years (6-2-1 laying DD at home).

Houston, based on team trends.

CLEMSON vs. AUBURN (at Atlanta, GA)...All-Tiger battle! Revenge for Chizik after losing LY at Death Valley, and Dabo has covered last two years in this series. Chizik won in this building last December in Chick fil-A but only covered one of five away from Jordan-Hare in regular season a year ago. Chizik also 1-4 as dog away from home last year. Dabo has covered opener the alst three years.

Dabo, based on team and series trends.
HAWAII at SOUTHERN CAL... Norm Chow debut for UH and no love lost between him and Lane Kiffin. McMackin's last Warrior team was 4-9 vs. line and 2-5 vs. spread on road, although UH has mostly held its own as DD road dog in recent times (5-4 in role since 2007). Kiffin is only 5-8 vs. line as host the past two years but please note Trojans won and covered last four and six of last seven down stretch a year ago.

Slight to SC, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN vs. ALABAMA (at Jerry Jones Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX)...Nick Saban is 17-9 vs. line last two seasons and 12-4 laying DD that span, Bama also 26-13 against spread since 2009. Brady Hoke, however, 8-4 vs. line LY, 16-8 last two years (SDSU and Michigan).

Slight to Michigan, based on Hoke marks.

RUTGERS at TULANE...Curtis Johnson Tulane debut, Kyle Flood Rutgers debut! Wave looking to get physical, but only 3-10 vs. line at home since 2010 (2-5 as home dog) and 8-22 against points at Superdome since 2007. Rutgers 4-1 as DD road chalk for Schiano in 2007-11 but only 5-6-1 vs. spread away 2011-11.

Slight to Rutgers, based on Tulane negatives.


OKLAHOMA at UTEP...Mike Price on hot seat. Stoops has actually not been so great as road chalk lately (7-6 since 2010) and was just 6-5 laying DD LY. Miners' recent marks very so-so as well and Price only 1-6 vs. line last seven hosting non-CUSA foes at Sun Bowl.

Slight to OU, based on team trends.

TOLEDO at ARIZONA...Rich-Rod UA debut! Matt Campbell technically debuted for Rockets in bowl win vs. Air Force last December. Toledo nothing special as dog (5-5) past two seasons, and 2-2 as DD road dog since 2010. The Cats were underachievers the past two years (9-16 vs. line and 6-10 as chalk), and note Rodriguez' 5-15 chalk mark in his Michigan stint between 2008-10.

Slight to Toledo, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO STATE at WASHINGTON...Rocky Long 2-4 vs. line away LY, while Sarkisian 5-2 vs. spread as host.

Slight to U-Dub, based on team trends.


Saturday, Sept. 1 - Added Games

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

TROY at UAB...Tough 2011 for Blakeney as Troy slipped to 3-9 vs. line and now Trojans are 8-17 vs. spread the past two seasons (4-12 as chalk). McGee UAB debut, note Blazers 6-3 as dog LY and 10-5 in role since 2010 (4-1 as road dog that span). UAB has covered last two years in series in a pair of 1-point games.

Slight to UAB, based on recent trends.

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at DUKE...Mario Cristobal 3-1 as dog LY and 7-3 as dog since 2010. Revenge for Golden Panthers after bitter 31-27 home loss LY. Cutcliffe above-average 13-9-2 vs. spread since 2010 and 2-2 as home chalk that span.

FIU, based on Cristobal dog marks.

NORTH TEXAS at LSU...Dan McCarney covered 7 of last 10 a year ago for UNT. Les Miles has been a bit overvalued at home lately, only 6-7 vs. spread at home since 2010 (4-6 laying DD at Baton Rouge) and 12-21 against line as host since 2007.

Slight to UNT, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at OREGON...Gus Malzahn Ark State debut! Red Wolves were outstanding 10-2 vs. line in regular-season a year ago with Hugh Freeze as the coach and they are 4-1 as DD road dog since 2010. Webfoots had some problems laying the big points at home last season (2-5-1 as DD Autzen chalk).

Slight to Ark State, based on team trends.


Sunday, Sept. 2

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

KENTUCKY at LOUISVILLE...Note that road team has covered the last four in this series. Charlie Strong has fared better vs. line on road than at Papa John's, where he was 2-4 vs. spread LY and is only 4-9 since 2010.

Kentucky, based on series road and team trends.

SMU at BAYLOR...Old SWC rivals. Was it Griffin or the Art Briles offense making Baylor so good the past few years? Some of each but Bears did slip when RG III went down in 2009. Briles was 6-0 vs. line at home LY, June Jones just 3-6 as road dog past two seasons.

Baylor, based on team trends.


Monday, Sept. 3

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA TECH...Winner of this game has won ACC Coastal the past seven years. Paul Johnson has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Beamer but the VT cover came a year ago. But Johnson spread marks have been less than so-so the past couple of years (10-15-1 since 2010) and only 4-6 as road dog that span. Beamer tailed off in uncharacteristically bad spread effort LY (4-10) and is just 12-17 vs. spread at Blacksburg since 2007.

Slight to GT, based on extended VPI home negatives.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 05:09 PM

Thursday, August 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

South Carolina - 7:00 PM ET South Carolina -7 500
Vanderbilt - Over 45.5 500

Central Florida - 7:00 PM ET Akron +23.5 500
Akron - Over 49 500

Eastern Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Ball State -3.5 500
Ball State - Under 59 500

UCLA - 7:30 PM ET UCLA -15.5 500
Rice - Under 59 500

Massachusetts - 7:30 PM ET Connecticut -24.5 500
Connecticut - Over 45.5 500

Washington State - 10:15 PM ET Brigham Young -13.5 500
Brigham Young - Under 65 500

Minnesota - 11:00 PM ET Minnesota -8.5 500
UNLV - Under 50 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25777 Followers:33
08/30/2012 05:33 PM

NFL

Thursday, August 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Atlanta - 6:30 PM ET Jacksonville -3 500
Jacksonville - Over 38.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 6:35 PM ET Philadelphia -6 500
Philadelphia - Under 36 500 TOTAL of the DAY

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota +3.5 500
Houston - Over 39 500

Buffalo - 7:00 PM ET Detroit -3 500
Detroit - Under 38 500

Kansas City - 7:00 PM ET Kansas City +1 500
Green Bay - Over 40.5 500

New Orleans - 7:00 PM ET Tennessee -3.5 500
Tennessee - Over 40.5 500

Cincinnati - 7:00 PM ET Indianapolis -2.5 500
Indianapolis - Over 40 500

Carolina - 7:00 PM ET Carolina +3.5 500
Pittsburgh - Under 39 500

Baltimore - 7:00 PM ET St. Louis -5 500
St. Louis - Under 38.5 500

Chicago - 7:30 PM ET Chicago +3.5 500
Cleveland - Over 37 500

Oakland - 10:00 PM ET Seattle -6.5 500
Seattle - Under 40 500

San Diego - 10:00 PM ET San Francisco -3 500
San Francisco - Under 38 500

Denver - 11:00 PM ET Denver +2.5 500
Arizona - Over 36.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: