cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/03/2012 12:54 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Jurickson Profar is second-youngest player ever (Whitey Lockman, '45) to homer in his first major league at-bat.

-- Detroit swept the White Sox, teams are now tied atop AL Central.

-- Huge moment in Atlanta, with Chipper Jones hitting a 3-run walkoff as Braves scored five runs in bottom of 9th to stun the Phillies 8-7.

-- Arizona State hired former NBA head coach Eric Musselman as an aide to Herb Sendek. Hopefully it was Sendek's decision and Musselman isn't a head coach-in-waiting if ASU has a rough year.

-- Texas State (+36.5) won 30-13 at Houston, one of biggest pointspread upsets ever; Bobcats are coached by Dennis Franchione, who used to be coach at both Alabama/Texas A&M. He is better as an underdog.

-- Nine series left in the baseball season, 4.5 weeks, roughly 28-30 games. It gets really, really interesting now.......


**********


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Random Lists of 3.............

13) 3 favorite fast food meals:
a) Little Anthony’s pizza
b) Double with ketchup at Wendy’s
c) Chicken fried rice with orange chicken, at any Chinese take-out place.

12) 3 guys you never want to see at your house:
Jim Cantore, who follows weather disasters for the Weather Channel and the two guys on American Pickers, who look thru junkyards and people’s attics for old stuff they can sell for a profit. If they’re picking thru your stuff, you live in a hellhole., or you're close to dying.

11) If I’m down three points with 2:00 left and we’ve got the ball on my 20-yard line, I’d want one of these 3 QB’s leading my team: John Elway-Roger Staubach-Kurt Warner.

In today’s game, Brady-Brees-Roethlisberger.

10) 3 best reality shows on TV: American Pickers-Pawn Stars-Tanked.

9) My 3 favorite hotels in Las Vegas:
a) Elara-- Old Westgate Towers, behind Planet Hollywood.
b) South Point-- Good sportsbook, 24-hour bowling alley, Steak 'n Shake.
c) LVH-- Nice pool, superior sportsbook, good deli in the back.

8) 3 best basketball players of all-time: Kareem Adbul-Jabbar/Michael Jordan/Magic Johnson (Lebron James will probably replace Magic on this list someday soon).

7) 3 favorite scenes in a sports movie:
a) Bob Cousy/Nick Nolte talking in a dimly-lit gym in Blue Chips, while Cousy makes every foul shot he takes. On the first take, too.
b) Al Pacino’s “Life is a game of inches” speech in Any Given Sunday.
c) John Henry/Billy Beane talking in a Fenway Park luxury box near end of Moneyball.

6) 3 favorite non-sports movies:
a) The Verdict- Paul Newman as a down-on-his-luck lawyer.
b) Dave- Kevin Kline is a stand-in for the President.
c) Autumn in New York-- Richard Gere in kind of a sad movie.

5) 3 favorite places (non-junk food) to eat in Albany:
Delmonico’s-Graney's-Olive Garden.

4) 3 favorite places to eat in Las Vegas:
a) Battista’s (on Flamingo, behind Bill’s Gambling Hall).
b) Maggiano’s (in Fashion Show ****)
c) In ‘n Out Burger (best milkshake I’ve ever had).

3) My 3 favorite hitters to watch at the plate:
Giancarlo Stanton-Yoenis Cespedes-Adam Dunn.

2) Two out, bottom of 9th, I’m down a run with bases loaded. 3 guys who I would want at the plate: Albert Pujols-Miguel Cabrera-Adrian Gonzalez.

1) 3 of the dumbest things in America:
a) The designated hitter
b) Electing our President by using the Electoral College instead of popular vote
c) Boise State and San Diego State being members of the Big East and Big West at the same time, in different sports.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/03/2012 12:57 PM

No. 16 Va. Tech hosts Ga. Tech Monday night


GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS (0-0)
at VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (0-0)

Kickoff: Monday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Virginia Tech -7, Total: 48½

The ACC season gets underway for both Georgia Tech and No. 16 Virginia Tech when the conference rivals meet in Blacksburg on Monday night.

The Hokies have won four of five against the Yellow Jackets, including last year’s win-and-cover 37-26 victory in which QB Logan Thomas accounted for five touchdowns. Thomas will have a tough time duplicating this feat working behind an inexperienced O-line this season (lost four starters), and practically no experience among the group of running backs either. The Hokies defensive strength is up front, and they’ll stack the box against the Yellow Jackets’ triple-option attack that piled up 317 rushing YPG last year (2nd in FBS). Georgia Tech returns its top three runners, but its seldom-used passing game has no experienced receivers. Both schools have favorable coaching trends here as Ramblin’ Wreck head man Paul Johnson is 35-16 ATS (69%) in away games played on grass fields, while Hokies legend Frank Beamer is 38-18 ATS (68%) when favored between 3½ and 10 points.

Which team will start off its season with victory on Monday? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Tevin Washington returns under center to operate this run-heavy Yellow Jackets attack again. He threw for 1,652 yards and ran for 987 yards last year. With four returning starters on the offensive line, he’ll have plenty of holes to run through, and a good amount of protection when he drops back. RBs David Sims (698 rush yds, 5.2 YPC, 7 TD) and Orwin Smith (615 rush yds, 10.1 YPC, 11 TD) are both excellent rushers, who will be counted on even more with the departure of star WR Stephen Hill, leaving the receiving corps pretty thin. Another issue for this Georgia Tech team is its weak defensive line. It’s a unit that has trouble stuffing the run (94th in nation in TFL) and getting after the quarterback (77th in sacks), so somebody will need to step up. That somebody could be 6-foot-7 senior DT T.J. Barnes, who lost more than 25 pounds since last season to get down to about 340. The Jackets allowed 27.7 PPG during a 2-5 slide to end the 2011 campaign.

Thomas was the biggest reason Virginia Tech won 11 of 12 regular season games before losing both the ACC Championship and Sugar Bowl. He finished with a school record 3,862 total yards, passing for 3,013 (7.7 YPA), 19 TD and 10 INT, while rushing for 469 yards and 11 more scores. Georgia Tech had no answer for him last year, when Thomas rolled up 279 total yards and five touchdowns (three passing, two rushing) in the 11-point win. However, the Hokies lost eight offensive starters this year, including ACC Player of the Year RB David Wilson. This forces them to enter 2012 with their top three backs (freshmen Michael Holmes and J.C. Coleman, and senior Martin Scales) without a single collegiate carry. The good news is that the Hokies will have one of the best defensive lines in the country, led by junior DE James Gayle (7 sacks, 12.5 TFL). They stack eight in the box often, with the technique paying off way more than it doesn’t. Virginia Tech ranked tied for sixth in the nation in sacks (41), seventh in scoring defense (17.6 PPG) and 10th in total defense (305 YPG). And now they get back star LB Bruce Taylor who missed the final six games in 2011 with a foot injury.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/03/2012 01:01 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

09/02/12 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
09/01/12 9-­18-­0 33.33% -­5400 Detail

Totals 12-­19-­0 38.71% -­4450

Monday, September 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Georgia Tech - 8:00 PM ET Virginia Tech -7 500

Virginia Tech - Under 48.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/03/2012 01:04 PM

Las Vegas Betting Notes

September 2, 2012

The first week of college football action couldn’t have been scripted better by any sports book director in town. Beginning with Thursday night’s opening action and ending Saturday with a flurry of late night house winners, the Las Vegas sports books got the best of the betting public, which is something that couldn’t be said in the first seven weeks of college action last season.

Remember last season when a bettor could simply fill out a parlay card consisting of six or seven of the top-10 teams in the nation and then cash in it regularly? Or how about the public beating the books on nearly every isolated night game? The sports book was almost giving out free money on a weekly basis in 2011 and there wasn’t a spread too high to scare off the masses.

Well the tide has turned, as it always does in the sports betting world. New season. New results. And new trends for the sports books.

It all started Thursday night where the favorites went 5-2 against-the-spread, which normally would be a bad night for the books because the general public always takes the favorites. However, in this instance, the biggest games of the night -- the big isolated television games -- were the two underdogs that won. The majority of parlay tickets on the night had South Carolina laying six points at Vanderbilt and Minnesota laying nine points at UNLV. Vanderbilt and UNLV lost the game outright, but covered the spread.

On Friday, the underdogs went 1-2 ATS with the public jumping all over the high profile ESPN game. Unlike last season, but exactly like the night before, the public choice -- eight-point favorite Michigan State -- won, but didn’t cover the spread. Even the 17-13 score from the South Carolina and Michigan State games were identical.

Going into Saturday’s games the four biggest decisions based on straight bets and parlay risk were Ohio State (-26), Miami-FL (-2 ½), Alabama (-13), and USC (-43). On a normal day of action, losing three out of four big games like that would have been disastrous, but it was the timing of the games in relation to everything else going on that made those games not matter as much in the big picture.

The early wave of games had the makings of being a repeat of the 2011 season, but a few key games thwarted the liability and killed several teasers, money-line parlays and parlay card action to stop the early momentum dead in its tracks.

“The Nevada upset win at Cal really turned the tide for us,” said William Hill sports book director Jimmy Vaccaro. “But the biggest key to our day was USC not covering the spread against Hawaii. The USC game was so pivotal for us.“

No. 1 ranked USC opened as a 38-point favorite three weeks ago at most sports books and by kickoff Saturday they were -43 ½. It seemed like the spread moved a half-point every day. There was no sharp money jumping on board, but almost every other type of money out there had the Trojans to cover the large spread. They were also the last leg of the most popular four-teamer on the day with Ohio State, Miami, and Alabama.

Last year, sports books couldn’t make the spreads high enough on the top teams. This year, they did. Of the seven teams on the regular and added board favored by 29-points, all seven underdogs covered the spread, including one monstrous upset with Houston -- favored by 35 points -- losing outright to Texas State.

William Hill sports books were one of the only bet shops to offer a money-line on the Houston game and one lucky bettor cashed a $3,000 wager on Texas State at 35-to-1 odds. Despite the $105,000 payout, William Hill still posted a strong day on their first college football weekend as an operation in the states.

“It was a very good day for us, with great action throughout all of our books,” said Vaccaro. “The biggest key for us was the night games. I haven’t seen a run of underdogs come on like they did Saturday night in a while.”

Through Saturday’s games, the favorites went 16-22 ATS. The big night TV games went 1-5 ATS and the top-10 teams on the regular board went 1-7 ATS.

All that should give bettors plenty to chew on for next week with something like this going on their minds, "Do I follow what I was successful at last season by taking the top favorites, or do I change up a little and realize some of these spreads are simply too high to mess with, or maybe even take an underdog?"

William Hill Money-Lines Everywhere!
If you are looking for the a money-line on a large spread, there is no need to shop around, just visit your nearest William Hill book or PT's Pub kiosk. Most sports books in Las Vegas don't offer money-lines on games when the spread reaches double-digits. A small portion of books will go as high as a 30-point spread. William Hill is going all in by posting every college football game, no matter what the spread is, with a money-line. This includes all added games and even the extra games board. Very well done and thank you, with much of the credit going to the William Hill operation led by their top bookmaker, Nick Bogdanovich, who loves to gamble and let others do the same.

Bad Beat of the Week
If you had Oregon up 50-10 at halftime while laying 37 points and lost because of a hard-charging Arkansas State squad in the second, you have my sympathies. But the killer of the week had to be those who had the UNDER 52 on UNLV-Minnesota Thursday night. This was a dead 'under' game that eventually got tied 13-13 by the end of regulation and then the offenses exploded in overtime going three extra sessions until Minnesota kicked the winning field to win, 30-27.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/03/2012 01:11 PM

Games to Watch - Week 2

September 3, 2012

Saturday - Florida at Texas A&M (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)

Matchup Skinny

Florida at Texas A&M

As the old cliché goes, be careful what you wish for…. because it just might come true. This is what Aggie fans wanted, to be out of the shadow of their former archrival the University of Texas, and to be part of the almighty SEC. This Saturday Texas A&M hosts Florida from Kyle Field for its first-ever SEC game. Due to Hurricane Isaac this will also be the Aggies first game of the year after their season opener against Louisiana Tech was postponed until Oct. 13. This will also mark the first game for A&M under new head coach Kevin Sumlin. Despite the enormous amount of pressure that the team and the fans have on themselves to begin the new era of SEC football, A&M does have the benefit of playing at home where they boast one of the loudest stadiums in the country. The fact that Florida has already played a game this year (albeit rather poorly) against Bowling Green should be in Florida's favor. However it may have brought about more questions than answers for the Gators, who once again proved that if you have two quarterbacks, you really have none. With the Kyle Field advantage has the Aggies opening as a field goal favorite.



Saturday - Georgia at Missouri (ESPN2, 7:45 p.m. ET)

Matchup Skinny

Georgia at Missouri

The other team making their SEC debut this weekend under a little softer spotlight is the Missouri Tigers, who will be playing the University of Georgia. Missouri also has the benefit of making its SEC debut at home; however they have a far less home field advantage than its SEC newlywed and it plays a team many have picked to win the SEC East this year. The Dawgs come in on the heels of a less than impressive win over the lowly Buffalo Bulls. Georgia was a 37½-point favorite but only led 24-16 at halftime before pulling away to a 45-23 victory. The bright spot for UGA in week one was Todd Gurley, the freshman playing in his first college game, ran for 100 yards and returned a kickoff 100 yards for a touchdown as well. Mizzou opened the season with a 62-10 victory as it scored early and often against the Southland Conference powerhouse Southeastern Louisiana with punt returns of 72 and 70 yards and a 76-yard TD run. Mizzou led 28-0 after running just 12 plays. Missouri will quickly be reminded that the Southland Conference and the Southeastern Conference show up with two very different caliber players. Despite being rankeds sixth nationally and favored in the division, the Bulldogs are only a field goal favorite against Missouri this weekend.

Saturday - Washington at LSU (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

Matchup Skinny

Washington at LSU

These two teams last met in 2009 in Washington and LSU managed a 31-23 win that really wasn't that close. This year they meet in Death Valley and that simply doesn't bode well for Washington. LSU is riding a nation-leading 18 game home winning streak and has won 43 of its 49 home games under The Mad Hatter (Les Miles). If that's not enough to get your attention, LSU is a mere 22-0 against non-conference teams in Death Valley under Miles. Basically, they are really good at home. Throw in the fact that Washington is 1-10 in nonconference games away from Husky Stadium since 2001, which tells you that 23-point line seems about right or maybe a tad too low. If you are a Washington fan you can hang your hat on the fact that Washington's QB Keith Price is one of the more under the radar players in college football and the LSU secondary is without Tyrann Mathieu and a handful of other DB;s from last year's stellar squad. Personally, I wouldn't hang a very valuable hat on that but I'm just trying to give you something to look forward to. Let's just say if he ends the night with half of the 400 passing yards and seven touchdowns he put up against Baylor last year in the Alamo Bowl you should feel good about his night. Basically, this game is a great excuse for Washington fans to spend a few days in New Orleans on their way into Baton Rouge. But not even three days on Bourbon Street will help them erase the possible pounding their team is going to get Saturday night in Death Valley.

Other Games to Watch

Matchup Skinny

U of Miami at Kansas St.

These two teams met in a thriller last year in South Beach where Kansas State won 28-24 when they stopped Miami quarterback Jacory Harris on a fourth-down run at the goal line with 49 seconds left. Miami will be looking for revenge this year in Manhattan, so the question becomes which Wildcats team will Miami face? The one that only lead Missouri State 16-9 at the end of the third quarter or the one that scored five touchdowns against Missouri State in the fourth quarter to beat Missouri St 51-9 in Week 1? Kansas St. will need to be much more consistent in week two if they are going to cover the touchdown spread against a Hurricanes team out for redemption under second-year head coach Al Golden. Miami looked sharp on the road last week, earning a 41-32 win over Boston College behind true-freshman running back Randy "Duke" Johnson.

Nebraska at UCLA

The highly scrutinized Nebraska quarterback Taylor Martinez threw for five touchdowns and 354 yards in the team's 49-20 Week 1 win against a Southern Mississippi defense that most people would say is at least respectable. So the real question is - "Can he repeat those numbers this week against UCLA?" Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. Making it even more impressive was that Martinez did it without Rex Burkhead, the Huskers' All-Big Ten running back, who left Saturday's game in the first quarter because of a low-grade sprain to the medial collateral ligament in his left knee. The Huskers head west to face a UCLA team Saturday that has a new head coach in Jim Mora. UCLA did win their opener 49-24 allowing 358 yards and three touchdowns, against Rice. The key words in the previous sentence were "against Rice." Back to the real questions in Week 2 - "Can Martinez repeat his week one performance against an even lesser defense and can UCLA repeat its Week 1 offensive output against a far more superior defense?"

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/05/2012 12:50 PM

Week 1 Rewind

September 4, 2012

Alabama may have lost a lot of talent from last year’s national-title squad, but it looked every bit the part of a team determined to become the first to repeat during the BCS Era. The Crimson Tide raced out to a 21-0 lead before Michigan fans could get comfortable in their seats at Cowboys Stadium.

Nick Saban’s bunch was relentless, taking a 31-0 lead on C.J. Mosley’s pick-six of Denard Robinson with 4:31 left until halftime. That quickly, that early, this game was over.

And it was never in doubt. If ‘Bama fans envisioned an assbeating in Arlington, well, that’s exactly what they got. And it looked easy.

A.J. McCarron picked up right where he left off at the Superdome less than eight months ago, throwing a pair of touchdown passes in the first quarter. Freshman sensation T.J. Yeldon needed only 11 carries for 111 rushing yards and one touchdown.

As for Saban’s defense that lost six starters and four players to the first round of the NFL Draft, it acquitted itself quite well. Just ask Robinson, who rushed for only 27 yards and completed merely 11-of-26 passes and was intercepted twice.

Arkansas better be ready when the Tide comes to Fayetteville in Week 3.

Oregon failed to cover the number in a 57-34 win over Arkansas St. in Gus Malzahn’s debut, but nobody should be fooled by that misleading final score. The Ducks sprinted out to a 50-3 lead midway through the second quarter thanks to three TDs from De’Anthony Thomas (one rushing, two receiving) and a pair of TD runs from Kenjon Barner.

Matt Barkley threw four TD passes in USC’s 49-10 win over Hawaii, but Norm Chow’s team covered the number as a 42-point underdog. Likewise, LSU came up short in its bid to please its backers in a 41-14 win over North Texas. Les Miles’s bunch hosts Washington next week, while the Trojans venture to the Meadowlands to face Syracuse.

Speaking of the ‘Cuse, QB Ryan Nassib rallied his team from a 35-13 deficit into a 41-35 advantage late in the fourth quarter vs. Northwestern at the Carrier Dome. Nassib threw for 470 yards and four second-half TD passes, but the Wildcats prevailed 42-41 when Trevor Siemian found Demetrius Fields on a nine-yard scoring strike in the final minute.

Northwestern will host Vanderbilt this week after the Commodores lost a 17-13 decision to South Carolina on Thursday. James Franklin’s team managed to take the cash as a 6 ½-point underdog, but Marcus Lattimore rushed for 110 yards and two TDs for the Gamecocks, who will host East Carolina and might be without QB Connor Shaw (‘questionable’ as of Tuesday with a bruised shoulder).

There were four ranked teams that looked awful but found ways to scratch out sketchy victories. This quartet includes Florida, Stanford, Wisconsin and Oklahoma, each of whom was lucky to dodge upset bids from the likes of Bowling Green, San Jose St., No. Iowa and UTEP, respectively.

Michigan St. had to overcome three interceptions by new starting quarterback Andrew Maxwell to rally past Boise St. for a 17-13 win. Le’Veon Bell carried the Spartans to victory with 44 carries for 210 yards and two TDs, including a five-yard scamper for the go-ahead score with 8:12 remaining.

Clemson was without star WR Sammy Watkins for its lid-lifter against Auburn at the Ga. Dome. Senior RB Andre Ellington rushed for 231 yards and Tajh Boyd threw for 201 yards and one TD, as Dabo Swinney’s squad knocked off Auburn 23-16 as a 2 ½-point ‘chalk.’

FSU cruised to an easy win over Murray St, but star DE Brandon Jenkins (8 sacks in 2011) was lost for the season with a broken foot. Staying in the ACC, Va. Tech needed a 41-yard field goal by Cody Journell on the last play of regulation to force overtime at home against Ga. Tech. Then the Hokies’ Kyle Fuller intercepted Tevin Washington on a 3rd-and-goal play to start OT and set up Journell’s game-winning FG for a 20-17 triumph.

Louisville looked like the team to beat in the Big East after spanking Kentucky 32-14 as a 14-point home favorite Sunday at Papa John’s Stadium. Watch out for the Cardinals, who have an improving sophomore QB in Teddy Bridgewater that appears to have the makings of a star player.

The Urban Meyer Era in Columbus got off to a slow start when Ohio St. trailed Miami (OH.) 3-0 at the end of the first quarter. But that deficit was erased fast and the Buckeyes dominated the final three stanzas en route to a 56-10 victory.

Notre Dame pleased all of Ireland by trouncing Navy 50-10 as a 15 ½-point favorite in Dublin. Theo Riddick rushed 19 times for 107 yards and two TDs to pace the Irish, who face three consecutive Big Ten foes in the coming weeks.

Houston and Pitt were the most embarrassing performers of Week 1. The Cougars were favored by 34.5 against Texas St. in its FBS debut, but the Bobcats were dominant in a 30-13 win. They can make even more noise this week when Texas Tech visits San Marcos. (By the way, Texas St. is coached by none other than Dennis Franchione, who is no longer a popular man in College Station or Tuscaloosa.)

Youngstown St. went into Heinz Field and ruined the debut of new Pitt head coach Paul Chryst, the former Wisconsin offensive coordinator. The Panthers lost by a 31-17 count.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Jeff Tedford’s hot seat at Cal got even warmer Saturday when Nevada went into newly-renovated Memorial Stadium and captured a 31-24 win as a 12-point underdog. Stefphon Jefferson was a workhorse for the Wolf Pack, rushing 34 times for 145 yards and three TDs, including the game winner from two yards out with 36 ticks left. Cody Fajardo completed 25-of-32 passes for 230 yards and also rushed for 97 yards on 21 carries. Nevada hosts South Florida in Week 2.

--With its 32-14 loss at Louisville as a 14-point underdog, Kentucky fell to 2-7 ATS as a road ‘dog on Joker Phillips’ watch. The Cardinals yanked star sophomore QB Teddy Bridgewater late in the third quarter, as Charlie Strong clearly didn’t want to embarrass his friend across the sidelines, one that’s feeling the heat in Lexington. Bridgewater looked outstanding by completing 19-of-21 passes for 232 yards.

--Biggest Winners of Week 1:
1-Alabama
2-Nevada
3-Tennessee
4-Clemson
5-Ohio

--Biggest Losers of Week 1:
1-Houston
2-Pitt
3-Florida
4-Stanford
5-North Carolina St.

--Best Week 2 Games:
1-Georgia at Missouri
2-Nebraska at UCLA
3-South Florida at Nevada
4-Florida at Texas A&M
5-Oklahoma St. at Arizona

--Heisman Rankings:
1-Matt Barkley (USC)
2-Geno Smith (West Va.)
3-Le’Veon Bell (Michigan St.)
4-Tyler Wilson (Arkansas)
5-Marcus Lattimore (South Carolina)

--Toledo came up short in its bid to spoil R-Rod’s debut at Arizona, as the Wildcats won 24-17 in overtime. Gamblers should note the travel for the Rockets in back-to-back weeks, as they go to Wyoming this Saturday as three-point underdogs. Meanwhile, R-Rod’s bunch will take on Oklahoma St., which beat Savannah 84-0 in its opener. As of Tuesday, the Cowboys were favored by 13 at Arizona.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/05/2012 12:53 PM

4th Quarter Covers - Week 1

September 4, 2012

Glancing at the scoreboard won't tell you the whole story in most games. Here are the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the opening weekend of college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows, get the details in this weekly column.

South Carolina (-6½) 17, Vanderbilt 13 (44): The Gamecocks actually trailed 13-10 entering the fourth quarter as the offense went stagnant with starting quarterback Conner Shaw banged up. South Carolina would use three different quarterbacks in the game before Shaw eventually battled through the pain to get South Carolina back on top. The front door cover looked eminently possible as the Gamecocks had the ball twice in the final minutes in Vanderbilt territory but eventually were able to just melt the clock, leaving the home underdog with the cash.

UCLA (-16) 49, Rice 24 (60): The final score and the box score makes this game look like it was a blowout but UCLA led by just 11 entering the fourth quarter. Rice actually got within two points early in the second quarter after a wild first quarter and while the Bruins posted 646 yards in the game; Rice also was able to move the ball with relative ease. UCLA incredibly had three extra-point attempts blocked and the UCLA defense firmed up in the second half to allow the Bruins to pull away with two fourth quarter touchdowns to get past the spread.

Minnesota (-9½) 30, UNLV 27 (52½): While the underdog cover looked secure most of the way, anyone on the 'under' can claim they have their 'bad beat' for the year out of the way. This game went to overtime tied at 13-13, leaving plenty of room to spare at less than halfway to the closing total. Both teams would score touchdowns in each of the first two overtimes to send the game over the total as 31 points were scored in overtime after just 26 in regulation.

Michigan State (-8.5) 17, Boise State 13 (47): Michigan State dominated the statistics in the big Friday night showdown but shaky quarterback play from the Spartans kept Boise State in the game with a couple of big interceptions, including one returned for a touchdown. Both defenses held in the third quarter as Boise State took a 13-10 lead into the final frame before the Spartans took the lead, finally finishing a drive. Boise State got within Michigan State territory on its final possession but was stopped short, giving the Spartans the chance to run out the game. Michigan State put together a great drive and ended up deep in Boise State territory as those with action on the game sweated. A Spartans touchdown would shift the cover, a field goal would earn a push for many, and running out the clock would leave the underdog with the cover. Getting a first down to the Boise State four-yard line eventually allowed the Spartans to kneel and burn the clock, leaving the game without the late spread changing score.

Northwestern (+2) 42, Syracuse 41 (53½): The line on this game varied throughout the week with Northwestern opening up as slight favorites before the game moved to a pick, and then eventually in the closing hours Syracuse emerged as a slight favorite. When the game was played, those slight differences would ultimately prove critical as this was one of the wildest games of the opening weekend. Northwestern seemingly was on cruise control after two scores early in the second half to move up 35-13 but Syracuse, en route to nearly 600 total yards for the game, started to turn it on. The Orange would put together back-to-back scores to cut the deficit to just eight points entering the fourth quarter. While there was amazingly no scoring for the first eight minutes of the final frame the momentum stayed with Syracuse with a touchdown to get within two after a failed 2-point conversion. Four minutes later Syracuse connected again and got the conversion to move up by six. After punting on its previous three possessions Northwestern put together a 10-play 75 yard drive on pass from Trevor Siemian and the extra-point kick sealed the win, but not necessarily the cover.

Ohio State (-26) 56, Miami, OH 10 (50½): The Buckeyes had a very slow start to the Urban Meyer era, actually punting in their first four possessions but by halftime it was 21-3. Although the game was starting to get out of hand after a fumble return touchdown put Ohio State up 35-3, Miami scored in the third quarter to get within the closing spread. There was no scoring in the final 10 minutes of the third quarter as Ohio State backers had to be getting a bit nervous but the Buckeyes piled on three more touchdowns in the fourth quarter including one with less than a minute to go to pad the final statistics and give the appearance of a more dominant blowout.

Illinois (-10) 24, Western Michigan 7 (50): Illinois only ended up with 248 yards in the game and with starting QB Nathan Scheelhaase eventually knocked out of the game things were looking a bit bleak for those on the favorite after Western Michigan got its first touchdown late in the third quarter to put the margin right on the number at 10, though 9½ was also common on game day. Illinois would wrap up the game and the cover in the fourth quarter with a 60-yard interception return, one of three interceptions for Bronco QB Alex Carder.

Clemson (-2½) 26, Auburn 19 (54½): While Clemson had a lot more yardage, this match-up of Tigers was locked at 16-16 entering the fourth quarter. Auburn took the lead early in the final frame with a field goal but the Clemson offense kept going, delivering 75-yard drive for a touchdown to take the lead back and then after forcing another Auburn punt, Clemson got its own field goal drive to go up by seven. Auburn did not get close on its final possession and the ACC got a big victory over the SEC as Clemson was able to shake off the ugly bowl effort.

Washington (-16) 21, San Diego State 12 (55½): Washington led 21-6 entering the fourth quarter which was either just past or just short of the spread depending when you played the game. The yardage was almost exactly even in the games as turnovers were costly for San Diego State. Washington's offense scored on its first two possessions of the game and then not again as the offense greatly struggled in the second half. The third score for Washington came on a 44-yard fumble return but San Diego State was able to find the end zone again early in the fourth quarter to get back within the spread. San Diego State opted to go for two on that score and then opted not to kick a field goal on its next possession from the Washington eight-yard line with close to five minutes still left in the game, two decisions that might have cost the Aztecs a chance to actually get the outright upset.

Oregon (-33) 57, Arkansas State 34 (70½): Oregon led this game 50-3 just before halftime so the final score was a bit misleading. Arkansas State has a good offensive team and the Red Wolves kept at it, often going against Oregon reserves in the second half. By the start of the fourth quarter Arkansas State was back within the spread, down only 30 at 50-20. Oregon would add another touchdown early in the fourth quarter to get past the spread momentarily with its back-ups in the game but Arkansas State added two more touchdown drives against an indifferent Oregon defense to create the underdog cover and misleading box score with the Red Wolves posting 530 yards.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/05/2012 12:55 PM

News & Notes - Week 2

September 4, 2012

DOUBLE-DIGIT 'DOG WINNER

Texas State was +14,300 on the money-line at an offshore outfit vs. Houston, meaning 143/1 odds of winning the football game. UH had a new head coach and TSU dominated and there is nothing fluky about it as they led 14-3 and 27-10 at the half in their 30-13 win. They finished with a 443-326 edge in yards.

FRONT-DOOR COVERS

Texas Tech dominated New Mexico State with a 37-6 first down and 500-84 yardage edges yet they were laying 37 1/2 and only led 27-6 in the 4Q. They needed a td with 2:17 left to get ahead of the spread, 44-6. Backup QB Michael Brewer hit 10-13-122 and guided Tech to 17 points in the 4Q...

It was a tough beat if you had the Under (51.5) in the Minnesota/UNLV game last Thursday. The game was tied 13-13 with UNLV getting a FG with 2:30 left to send the game to OT. In the 3OT's, the two (which had combined for 26 pts in regulation) combined for 31 pts in the OT's to put the game Over the Total at 30-27!

NO FRONTDOOR COVERS

There were a couple games this past weekend were one team had a chance to cover in the final minutes and didn't get it done deep in the other team's territory. Utah was -42 and had a first down at the Northern Colorado 17 but gained 7 yards on their final 3 runs getting down to the 10 and only won by 41. Utah did have a 414-114 yd edge in their shutout win and a missed 27-yard field goal on the final play of the half was another key play...

Michigan State dominated Boise State with a 25-14 first down and 461-206 yardage edge. Generally, when a team has that kind of yardage edge, it amounts to a win by three touchdowns or more. Unfortunately, for MSU they gave up a 43-yard interception return for a touchdown and missed two field goals during the game. At the end, MSU had a FD at the Boise 14, which would have given them a push, a running back running into the EZ for a td would have given them a win, but the worst case scenario happened as they got a first down at the 4 and then just took a knee, only winning the game by 4, laying 6 1/2...

USC led Hawaii 35-0 in the second quarter and led 49-10 (-42). They had a first down at the Hawaii 24 but were stopped two years short of a first down the 16 with 2:11 left and would only win by 39. Coach Lane Kiffin had a little something to do with that as well as usual, when he opted to go for a two-pt conversion three times, failing on each and those missed three pts cost a push.

MISLEADING FINALS

Temple appears to have blown out Villanova last week 41-10 but VU actually had a 365-362 yardage edge and 18-15 first down edge. VU went on an 85 yard, 12 play drive and settled for a 21-yard FG, gave up a 58-yard interception return TD, another fumble set up a 24-yd score, they were short on downs at the Temple 29-yard line and ended the game inside the Temple 5.

LATE 1st-HALF SCORES = BIG 2nd-HALF

Brent Hundley's first touch as a UCLA QB was a 72-yard touchdown run as UCLA piled up 651 yards vs. Rice in the opener. RB Jonathan Franklin became the first player in LA history to have a least two rushes with 72 yards in a game with 74 and 78 yard td runs. UCLA did only lead 29-24 when they got a fumble return score with 17 ticks left in the h

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/05/2012 12:55 PM

News & Notes - Week 2

September 4, 2012

DOUBLE-DIGIT 'DOG WINNER

Texas State was +14,300 on the money-line at an offshore outfit vs. Houston, meaning 143/1 odds of winning the football game. UH had a new head coach and TSU dominated and there is nothing fluky about it as they led 14-3 and 27-10 at the half in their 30-13 win. They finished with a 443-326 edge in yards.

FRONT-DOOR COVERS

Texas Tech dominated New Mexico State with a 37-6 first down and 500-84 yardage edges yet they were laying 37 1/2 and only led 27-6 in the 4Q. They needed a td with 2:17 left to get ahead of the spread, 44-6. Backup QB Michael Brewer hit 10-13-122 and guided Tech to 17 points in the 4Q...

It was a tough beat if you had the Under (51.5) in the Minnesota/UNLV game last Thursday. The game was tied 13-13 with UNLV getting a FG with 2:30 left to send the game to OT. In the 3OT's, the two (which had combined for 26 pts in regulation) combined for 31 pts in the OT's to put the game Over the Total at 30-27!

NO FRONTDOOR COVERS

There were a couple games this past weekend were one team had a chance to cover in the final minutes and didn't get it done deep in the other team's territory. Utah was -42 and had a first down at the Northern Colorado 17 but gained 7 yards on their final 3 runs getting down to the 10 and only won by 41. Utah did have a 414-114 yd edge in their shutout win and a missed 27-yard field goal on the final play of the half was another key play...

Michigan State dominated Boise State with a 25-14 first down and 461-206 yardage edge. Generally, when a team has that kind of yardage edge, it amounts to a win by three touchdowns or more. Unfortunately, for MSU they gave up a 43-yard interception return for a touchdown and missed two field goals during the game. At the end, MSU had a FD at the Boise 14, which would have given them a push, a running back running into the EZ for a td would have given them a win, but the worst case scenario happened as they got a first down at the 4 and then just took a knee, only winning the game by 4, laying 6 1/2...

USC led Hawaii 35-0 in the second quarter and led 49-10 (-42). They had a first down at the Hawaii 24 but were stopped two years short of a first down the 16 with 2:11 left and would only win by 39. Coach Lane Kiffin had a little something to do with that as well as usual, when he opted to go for a two-pt conversion three times, failing on each and those missed three pts cost a push.

MISLEADING FINALS

Temple appears to have blown out Villanova last week 41-10 but VU actually had a 365-362 yardage edge and 18-15 first down edge. VU went on an 85 yard, 12 play drive and settled for a 21-yard FG, gave up a 58-yard interception return TD, another fumble set up a 24-yd score, they were short on downs at the Temple 29-yard line and ended the game inside the Temple 5.

LATE 1st-HALF SCORES = BIG 2nd-HALF

Brent Hundley's first touch as a UCLA QB was a 72-yard touchdown run as UCLA piled up 651 yards vs. Rice in the opener. RB Jonathan Franklin became the first player in LA history to have a least two rushes with 72 yards in a game with 74 and 78 yard td runs. UCLA did only lead 29-24 when they got a fumble return score with 17 ticks left in the h

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27505 Followers:33
09/05/2012 01:00 PM

Las Vegas Betting Notes

September 2, 2012

The first week of college football action couldn’t have been scripted better by any sports book director in town. Beginning with Thursday night’s opening action and ending Saturday with a flurry of late night house winners, the Las Vegas sports books got the best of the betting public, which is something that couldn’t be said in the first seven weeks of college action last season.

Remember last season when a bettor could simply fill out a parlay card consisting of six or seven of the top-10 teams in the nation and then cash in it regularly? Or how about the public beating the books on nearly every isolated night game? The sports book was almost giving out free money on a weekly basis in 2011 and there wasn’t a spread too high to scare off the masses.

Well the tide has turned, as it always does in the sports betting world. New season. New results. And new trends for the sports books.


It all started Thursday night where the favorites went 5-2 against-the-spread, which normally would be a bad night for the books because the general public always takes the favorites. However, in this instance, the biggest games of the night -- the big isolated television games -- were the two underdogs that won. The majority of parlay tickets on the night had South Carolina laying six points at Vanderbilt and Minnesota laying nine points at UNLV. Vanderbilt and UNLV lost the game outright, but covered the spread.

On Friday, the underdogs went 1-2 ATS with the public jumping all over the high profile ESPN game. Unlike last season, but exactly like the night before, the public choice -- eight-point favorite Michigan State -- won, but didn’t cover the spread. Even the 17-13 score from the South Carolina and Michigan State games were identical.

Going into Saturday’s games the four biggest decisions based on straight bets and parlay risk were Ohio State (-26), Miami-FL (-2 ½), Alabama (-13), and USC (-43). On a normal day of action, losing three out of four big games like that would have been disastrous, but it was the timing of the games in relation to everything else going on that made those games not matter as much in the big picture.

The early wave of games had the makings of being a repeat of the 2011 season, but a few key games thwarted the liability and killed several teasers, money-line parlays and parlay card action to stop the early momentum dead in its tracks.

“The Nevada upset win at Cal really turned the tide for us,” said William Hill sports book director Jimmy Vaccaro. “But the biggest key to our day was USC not covering the spread against Hawaii. The USC game was so pivotal for us.“

No. 1 ranked USC opened as a 38-point favorite three weeks ago at most sports books and by kickoff Saturday they were -43 ½. It seemed like the spread moved a half-point every day. There was no sharp money jumping on board, but almost every other type of money out there had the Trojans to cover the large spread. They were also the last leg of the most popular four-teamer on the day with Ohio State, Miami, and Alabama.

Last year, sports books couldn’t make the spreads high enough on the top teams. This year, they did. Of the seven teams on the regular and added board favored by 29-points, all seven underdogs covered the spread, including one monstrous upset with Houston -- favored by 35 points -- losing outright to Texas State.

William Hill sports books were one of the only bet shops to offer a money-line on the Houston game and one lucky bettor cashed a $3,000 wager on Texas State at 35/1 odds. Despite the $105,000 payout, William Hill still posted a strong day on their first college football weekend as an operation in the states.
“It was a very good day for us, with great action throughout all of our books,” said Vaccaro. “The biggest key for us was the night games. I haven’t seen a run of underdogs come on like they did Saturday night in a while.”

Through Saturday’s games, the favorites went 16-22 ATS. The big night TV games went 1-5 ATS and the top-10 teams on the regular board went 1-7 ATS.

All that should give bettors plenty to chew on for next week with something like this going on their minds, "Do I follow what I was successful at last season by taking the top favorites, or do I change up a little and realize some of these spreads are simply too high to mess with, or maybe even take an underdog?"

William Hill Money-Lines Everywhere!
If you are looking for the a money-line on a large spread, there is no need to shop around, just visit your nearest William Hill book or PT's Pub kiosk. Most sports books in Las Vegas don't offer money-lines on games when the spread reaches double-digits. A small portion of books will go as high as a 30-point spread. William Hill is going all in by posting every college football game, no matter what the spread is, with a money-line. This includes all added games and even the extra games board. Very well done and thank you, with much of the credit going to the William Hill operation led by their top bookmaker, Nick Bogdanovich, who loves to gamble and let others do the same.

Bad Beat of the Week
If you had Oregon up 50-10 at halftime while laying 37 points and lost because of a hard-charging Arkansas State squad in the second, you have my sympathies. But the killer of the week had to be those who had the UNDER 52 on UNLV-Minnesota Thursday night. This was a dead 'under' game that eventually got tied 13-13 by the end of regulation and then the offenses exploded in overtime going three extra sessions until Minnesota kicked the winning field to win, 30-27.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: