cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:07 AM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 5

If you're looking to get some action down but only have a few minutes to handicap, let our Top-25 cheat sheet help you out. We grabbed some quick-hitting betting info on each of the Top 25 matchups with odds available in Week 5 of the season:

(24) Baylor at (7) at West Virginia (-11, 81.5)

Baylor moved into the Top 25 following last week's win at Louisiana-Monroe and is averaging four more points than West Virginia (51.3 to 47.3). Senior QB Nick Florence leads the nation in total offense, averaging 387.7 yards per game, and has tossed 11 TDs. The Bears have scored at least 45 points in seven straight games, but are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.

(25) Virginia Tech at Cincinnati (6.5, 45.5)

The Hokies rebounded from their shocking loss to Pittsburgh with a 37-0 victory over Bowling Green last week. The rushing attack finally looked formidable, racking up 246 yards after it managed only 96 yards against Pittsburgh. The Bearcats committed six turnovers in a 23-7 victory over FCS foe Delaware State two Saturdays ago. Junior QB Munchie Legaux was the main culprit with two interceptions and two fumbles. Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in its last four non-conference games.

(16) Clemson at Boston College (9, 61.5)

The Tigers – especially their defense – must erase memories of Florida State's 49-37 comeback victory last Saturday night, when Clemson blew a 14-point third-quarter lead as the Seminoles amassed 667 total yards and 35 second-half points. The Boston College defense surrendered 293 rushing yards and 560 total yards in its last game against Northwestern, which doesn't bode well against Clemson's potent ground game. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the schools.

Ohio State at (18) Michigan State (-3, 42)

Ohio State QB Braxton Miller has thrown for seven touchdowns and run for seven while ranking second in the Big Ten in rushing at 110.3 yards per game. The running game should receive an added boost with the expected return of Carlos Hyde, who has been sidelined for the past two games with a knee injury. Michigan State is leading the Big Ten in scoring defense (11.8 points per game), rushing yards allowed (69.2) and total defense (233.5 yards). The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Tennessee at (5) Georgia (-13, 60)

No. 5 Georgia boasts its highest ranking since 2008 thanks to a ground game averaging 242.5 yards per game, third-most in the SEC. Freshman Todd Gurley leads the SEC in rushing (101.5) and averages a whopping 9.2 yards per carry. The over is 6-0 in the Bulldogs’ last six games overall.

(4) FSU at South Florida (17, 54)

Florida State is unbeaten through four games for the first time since 2005, when it last went to a BCS bowl and won its only ACC title. South Florida is one of the most undisciplined schools in the country with 35 penalties for 317 yards. The Bulls are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.

(6) South Carolina at Kentucky (21, 48.5)

The health of the starting quarterbacks on both teams will be a focal point when Kentucky hosts No. 6 South Carolina in an SEC game. Kentucky sophomore QB Maxwell Smith sat out last week’s 38-0 loss against Florida with a bruised joint in his throwing shoulder, but is expected to return for this one. Connor Shaw, a junior QB for the Gamecocks, played through a hairline fracture in his throwing shoulder last week against Missouri, an injury that caused him to miss one game this season and parts of two others. The over is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Towson at (3) LSU (Odds N/A)

Towson's rushing attack has gained 509 yards over its last two games, with sophomore RB Terrance West leading the way with 251 yards and five touchdowns this season. LSU fell to No. 3 in the poll following its less-than-inspiring 12-10 victory at Auburn last week. The Tigers' defense is in usual form - they are fourth in the nation in yards allowed (199.5) after yielding 183 last week. They are also third against the run (56.8). LSU has won 40 straight regular-season non-conference games.

(14) TCU at SMU (16.5, 55)

TCU QB Casey Pachall passed for 305 yards and three TDs against Virginia, his second straight 300-yard game. Pachall leads the nation in passing efficiency with a 209.9 rating. SMU has also had some success through the air, averaging 273.7 yards, which ranks 36th in the FBS. However, they are 109th in rushing, averaging only 107.7 yards. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

(10) Texas at (22) Oklahoma State (1.5, 67)

The Longhorns are clicking under sophomore QB David Ash. Texas accumulated 676 yards – second-most in school history – during a 66-31 victory over Mississippi two Saturdays ago as Ash passed for 326 yards and four touchdowns. The Cowboys lead the nation in scoring (62.3) and total offense (683.0), but freshman QB J.W. Walsh will likely get the start Saturday in place of the injured Wes Lunt (leg). The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.

(23) Wisconsin at (20) Nebraska (-11, 51)

Wisconsin senior RB Montee Bell left Saturday’s victory against Texas-El Paso with concussion symptoms, his second head injury since Aug. 1. However, he has been cleared to play Saturday. The Cornhuskers welcomed back all-Big Ten RB Rex Burkhead last week against Idaho State. Burkhead, who missed the previous two games with a sprained left knee, rushed for 119 yards and two touchdowns in the 73-7 victory. Nebraska is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.

(17) Louisville at Southern Mississippi (10.5, 49.5)

Louisville looks to improve to 5-0 for the first time since 2006 when it visits Southern Mississippi. The Cardinals have featured a big-play offense early in the season with 16 snaps resulting in gains of 20 or more yards. The Golden Eagles are off to their first 0-3 start since 1976 and their string of 18 consecutive winning seasons could be in jeopardy. Louisville is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.

Mississippi at (1) Alabama (-30, 55)

The Rebels’ conference-best rushing attack (259.8 yards per game) is ranked 11th in the country and churned out 304 yards in last week’s romp over the Green Wave, but will be severely tested by an Alabama defense allowing 62.3 rushing yards per game – the sixth-lowest mark in the country. The Tide holds a 48-9-2 advantage over the Rebels all-time, including a 24-1 mark in Tuscaloosa.

(21) Oregon State at Arizona (-2.5, 56.5)

Both of Oregon State's wins this season have come against ranked teams and QB Sean Mannion was superb in both. The sophomore threw for a career-high 379 yards and two touchdowns last week in the upset over UCLA. The Wildcats moved the ball into the red zone six times against Oregon last week but came up empty. It was the first time in a calendar year that an Arizona quarterback failed to throw for 300 yards in a game. The Beavers are 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

(2) Oregon at Washington State (30.5, 71)

Senior linebacker Michael Clay was named Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Week after having 13 tackles, a sack and a forced fumble in Oregon’s 49-0 rout of Arizona. Washington State is coming off a humbling 35-34 home loss to Colorado after blowing a 17-point lead in the final eight minutes. The over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:08 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Saturday's games
Top games
Entire Illinois coaching staff was in Happy Valley trying to poach PSU players when NCAA sanctions came down (it was legal, just they were only ones to be so blatant about it)- they got one kid. Illinois gave up 45-52 points in losing last two games vs I-A teams, which is probably why they were trying to improve talent base quickly. Penn State beat Navy/ Temple last two games, after losing 17-16 at Virginia in only away game so far (outgained Cavs 330-295). Underdog covered five of last six series games, with Illini winning three of last five. Losing 52-24 at home to an improved (but still......) Louisiana Tech squad is red flag for Illini.

Iowa lost 32-31 at home to Central Michigan last week, giving up nine points in last 0:45; they're 10-12 SU in last 22 games- their three games this year vs I-A opponents were decided by total of six points. Gophers beat Iowa last two years, after losing eight of previous nine meetings-- both of those games were at home. Gophers lost their last five visits to Iowa City, with four of five losses by 12+ points (covered one of five). Minnesota is 4-0, with all three I-A wins by 7 or less points, and they used backup QB last two games- this would be only his second start on foreign soil. This is a big game for the Iowa coaching staff.

Maybe Derek Dooley should've stayed at Louisiana Tech; Bulldogs are 3-0, scoring 56-56-52 points vs pair of C-USA teams and Illinois. Dykes is 11-0 vs spread on road as HC-- Tech covered 10 of its last 11 games overall. QB Cameron is completing 69% of passes. Virginia gave up total of 1,032 yards in losing last two games (Ga Tech/TCU) after winning by point over Penn State in last home game. Cavaliers are 5-8-2 vs spread in last 15 home games. Fact of matter is that Tech ha the better QB here, and that gives them an obvious edge. WAC teams are 6-4 vs spread in non-league road games; ACC home squads are 5-4.

Oklahoma State beat Texas last two years, after losing previous 12 tilts to Longhorns, who've won last six visits to Stillwater (4-1-1 vs spread). Hard to gauge Cowboys, who lost 59-38 at Arizona (which lost 49-0 at Oregon last week) then crushed ULL last week- they gained 1,378 yards in those games, but are stepping way up in class here. Texas has scored 49.3 ppg vs suspect cast of opponents, but they crushed an SEC team on road last game (OK, it was Ole Miss, but still....). Both sides had bye last week to sharpen up. Over last 4+ seasons, Cowboys are 0-3 against spread as a home underdog.

First Big 12 game for West Virginia, which allowed 718 passing yards in I-A wins over Marshall (69-34), Maryland (31-21); Mountaineers have covered only five of last 19 conference home games, but Baylor is 1-4 in last five games as road underdog, and Waco-Morgantown commute can't be easy. Bears outlasted ULM 47-42 in Monroe last week, giving up 262 rushing yards, 298 thru air. Both teams run same offense; check weather before investing in total- rain expected in east this weekend. Hard to tell lot about either team, since this will be toughest opponent for both sides. Both teams have good QB, if weather is good, figures to be wild game.

First road game for Ohio State squad that struggled at home to beat Cal, UAB last two weeks; Blazers blocked punt for TD last week. Buckeyes won six of last seven visits to East Lansing, winning last three by average score of 38-11, but those games were while ago-- Buckeyes lost 10-7 to Michigan State LY and teams didn't play in '09-'10. Spartans struggled with lowly Eastern Michigan LW- they haven't scored a first half TD in either of last two games, but they're allowing only 70 rushing yards per game. OSU allowed 915 TY last two weeks; they're not as good as 4-0 record indicates.

Georgia has 633 rushing yards, 648 passing yards in last two games; this is best team they've had in while, already routing Mizzou/Vandy in SEC play. Dawgs beat Tennessee last two years, 20-12/41-14 in series where favorites are 9-5 vs spread last 14 meetings, with home side covering 4 of last 5. Vols were tied at half with Akron last week, not good sign; they're 2-4 as road dogs under Dooley, but Georgia has South Carolina game up next, and thats a bigger game at this point. Dawgs are 9-5 vs spread last 14 games as HFs- they won SEC games this month 41-20/48-3. Wasn't impressed by way Tennessee folded tents late against Florida.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:10 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 5

Saturday, September 29, 2012

Cincinnati at Virginia Tech, 3:30 ET
Cincinnati: 23-10 Under in weeks 5 through 9
Virginia Tech: 0-6 ATS after a win by 17 or more points

Buffalo at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Buffalo: 0-7 ATS off a home loss
Connecticut: 26-11 ATS off a road loss

Penn State at Illinois, 12:00 ET
Penn State: 2-10 ATS in a road game where the total is 42 or less
Illinois: 6-0 Under after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses

Minnesota at Iowa, 12:00 ET
Minnesota: 6-0 Under after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread
Iowa: 0-6 ATS in games played on turf

Texas Tech at Iowa St, 7:00 ET
Texas Tech: 11-3 Over in road games when playing on a Saturday
Iowa St: 13-4 ATS in home games after allowing 14 points or less

Clemson at Boston College, 3:30 ET
Clemson: 17-4 Under off a road loss against a conference rival
Boston College: 3-11 ATS in the first half of the season

Louisiana Tech at Virginia, 3:30 ET
Louisiana Tech: 9-0 ATS in road games
Virginia: 7-0 Under in home lined games

Ohio at Massachusetts, 3:30 ET
Ohio: 31-29 ATS in weeks 5 through 9
Massachusetts: 1-3 ATS in games played on turf

Ball St at Kent St, 3:30 ET
Ball St: 7-0 ATS in games played on turf
Kent St: 6-16 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56

Idaho at N Carolina, 3:30 ET
Idaho: 20-8 Over in road games after playing a game at home
N Carolina: 16-31 ATS in home games after playing a non-conference game

Indiana at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Indiana: 11-3 Over in all games
Northwestern: 1-10 ATS in home games after a win by 21 or more

Marshall at Purdue, 3:15 ET
Marshall: 8-20 ATS in road games in September
Purdue: 7-0 Under in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70

Duke at Wake Forest, 12:30 ET
Duke: 3-12 ATS after outgaining opp by 175 or more total yards in their last game
Wake Forest: 7-0 Under when the total is between 56.5 and 63

South Carolina at Kentucky, 7:00 ET
S Carolina: 6-0 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers
Kentucky: 0-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:11 AM

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 5

Update

Saturday, September 29, 2012

(TC) Cincinnati vs. Virginia Tech, 3:30 ET ESPNU
Cincinnati: 23-10 Under in weeks 5 through 9
Virginia Tech: 0-6 ATS off a win by 17+ points

Buffalo at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Buffalo: 0-7 ATS off a home loss
Connecticut: 26-11 ATS off a road loss

Penn State at Illinois, 12:00 ET ESPN
Penn State: 2-10 ATS away with a total of 42 point or less
Illinois: 6-0 Under off a straight up loss

Minnesota at Iowa, 12:00 ET ESPN2
Minnesota: 6-0 Under off BB ATS wins
Iowa: 0-6 ATS playing on artificial turf

(TC) Texas Tech at Iowa State, 7:00 ET
Texas Tech: 11-3 Over away on Saturdays
Iowa State: 13-4 ATS at home after allowing 14 points or less

(TC) Clemson at Boston College, 3:30 ET ESPN2
Clemson: 17-4 Under off a road conference loss
Boston College: 3-11 ATS in the first half of the season

(TC) Louisiana Tech at Virginia, 3:30 ET
Louisiana Tech: 9-0 ATS in road games
Virginia: 7-0 Under in home games

(TC) Ohio U at Massachusetts, 3:30 ET
Ohio U: 4-1 ATS off 3+ games allowing 125 or less rushing yards
Massachusetts: 1-3 ATS in games played on turf

Ball State at Kent State, 12:00 ET
Ball State: 7-0 ATS playing on artificial turf
Kent State: 6-16 ATS with a total of 49.5 to 56 points

(TC) Idaho at North Carolina, 3:30 ET
Idaho: 20-8 Over away off a home game
North Carolina: 16-31 ATS at home off a non-conference game

Indiana at Northwestern, 12:00 ET BTN
Indiana: 8-1 Over as an underdog
Northwestern: 1-10 ATS at home off a win by 21+ points

(TC) Marshall at Purdue, 3:15 ET BTN
Marshall: 8-20 ATS away in September
Purdue: 7-0 Under at home with a total of 63.5 to 70 points

(TC) Duke at Wake Forest, 12:30 ET
Duke: 0-6 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
Wake Forest: 7-0 Under with a total of 56.5 to 63 points

(TC) South Carolina at Kentucky, 7:00 ET ESPN2
South Carolina: 6-0 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Kentucky: 0-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

Colorado State at Air Force, 2:00 ET
Colorado State: 0-6 ATS playing on artificial turf
Air Force: 8-0 Over off 3+ games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

(TC) TCU at SMU, 7:00 ET
TCU: 19-4 ATS off BB Unders
SMU: 6-0 Under off a home game

(TC) Central Michigan at Northern Illinois, 3:30 ET
Central Michigan: 2-9 ATS as an underdog
Northern Illinois: 12-3 ATS at home after forcing 0 turnovers

(TC) UCLA at Colorado, 6:00 ET
UCLA: 16-4 Under off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Colorado: 1-8 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points

San Jose State at Navy, 3:30 ET CBSN
San Jose State: 9-1 Under off a combined score of 70+ points
Navy: 6-0 ATS off a home win

(TC) Oregon at Washington State, 10:30 ET ESPN2
Oregon: 10-2 ATS off BB home wins by 14+ points
Washington State: 7-0 Over in September

(TC) Texas at Oklahoma State, 7:50 ET FOX
Texas: 1-5 ATS off a road win
Oklahoma State: 6-0 ATS off BB Overs

(TC) Arkansas at Texas A&M, 12:20 ET
Arkansas: 10-2 ATS off BB Overs
Texas A&M: 1-6 ATS off a non-conference game

(TC) Baylor at West Virginia, 12:00 ET FX
Baylor: 0-6 ATS away with a total of 63+ points
West Virginia: 10-1 Over after gaining 75 or less rushing yards

Ohio State at Michigan State, 3:30 ET ABC
Ohio State: 0-8 ATS off a home win
Michigan State: 6-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Tennessee at Georgia, 3:30 ET CBS
Tennessee: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
Georgia: 7-0 Over at home in September

(TC) Arizona State at California, 4:00 ET FX
Arizona State: 6-0 Over off a conference win by 10+ points
California: 15-34 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

(TC) Oregon State at Arizona, 10:00 ET
Oregon State: 7-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
Arizona: 8-20 ATS at home after scoring 14 points or less

(TC) Mississippi at Alabama, 9:15 ET ESPN
Mississippi: 1-8 ATS off a road game
Alabama: 12-3 Under in home games

(TC) Miami OH at Akron, 2:00 ET
Miami OH: 14-3 ATS with a total of 56.5 to 63 points
Akron: 12-2 Over off BB ATS wins

(TC) Missouri at Central Florida, 12:00 ET
Missouri: 31-16 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Central Florida: 21-7 Under in September

UTEP at East Carolina, 7:00 ET
UTEP: 13-26 ATS off a SU loss / ATS win
East Carolina: 33-17 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

(TC) NC State at Miami FL, 12:00 ET ESPNU
NC State: 8-1 Under after allowing 14 points or less
Miami FL: 13-4 ATS off a SU win as an underdog

(TC) Florida State at South Florida, 6:00 ET ESPN
Florida State: 11-3 Under off BB conference games
South Florida: 3-12 ATS in home games

Toledo at Western Michigan, 7:00 ET
Toledo: 4-14 ATS away off 3+ wins
Western Michigan: 10-2 Over off BB non-conference games

(TC) Nevada at Texas State, 2:00 ET
Nevada: 7-1 ATS off 3+ games with 275+ rushing yards
Texas State: **No Trends Available**

(TC) Louisville at Southern Miss, 8:00 ET CBSSN
Louisville: 10-2 ATS in road games
Southern Miss: 21-8 Under off a road loss

Texas San Antonio at New Mexico State, 8:00 ET
Texas SA: **No Trends Available**
New Mexico State: 10-25 ATS off a home loss

Wisconsin at Nebraska, 8:00 ET ABC
Wisconsin: 0-6 ATS away playing on artificial turf
Nebraska: 6-1 Under off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) Tulsa at UAB, 3:00 ET
Tulsa: 6-0 Under off an ATS loss
UAB: 7-0 ATS off BB losses

UNLV at Utah State, 8:00 ET
UNLV: 1-13 ATS in road games
Utah State: 7-1 ATS playing on artificial turf

(TC) Houston vs. Rice, 3:30 ET
Houston: 6-0 Under after allowing 37+ points
Rice: 0-6 SU away after losing 3 of their last 4 games

(TC) Boise State at New Mexico, 6:00 ET
Boise State: 6-0 ATS away off a non-conference game
New Mexico: 1-6 ATS as a home underdog of 14.5+ points

San Diego State at Fresno State, 10:00 ET
San Diego State: 0-6 ATS after gaining 475+ total yards
Fresno State: 8-0 ATS playing on artificial turf


Added Games

(TC) Western Kentucky at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET
Western Kentucky: 9-0 ATS off BB ATS wins
Arkansas State: 0-7 ATS after gaining 300+ rushing yards

(TC) Troy at South Alabama, 3:30 ET
Troy: 16-5 Over away in September
South Alabama: 4-0 ATS as an underdog

(TC) Florida International at Louisiana Lafayette, 7:00 ET
Florida Int: 13-28 ATS off an Under
LA Lafayette: 8-0 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

(TC) North Texas at Florida Atlantic, 5:00 ET
North Texas: 6-0 Under off BB losses
Florida Atl: 1-8 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) Middle Tennessee State at Georgia Tech, 12:00 ET
Mid Tenn State: 26-12 Over off a straight up win
Georgia Tech: 13-3 ATS at home after committing 0 turnovers

(TC) Louisiana Monroe at Tulane, 3:30 ET
LA Monroe: 11-2 Over off a SU loss / ATS win


(TC) = Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:13 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Saturday's Games

Top Games
Home team covered 11 of last 14 Arizona State-Cal tilts, with ASU 0-5 vs spread in last five visits here, losing last four by 10+ points. Cal won last four series games overall, scoring 50-47 points last two years. ASU has been terrific at home, beating Illinois/Utah by 31-30 points, but they lost 24-20 in only road game, at Missouri. Cal i 0-3 vs D-I teams, losing at home to Nevada, but they also lost just 35-28 at Ohio St, and lost at 27-9, respectable games (outgained OSU by 100 yards). Bears are 17-4 as a home favorite since '08. ASU is 5-3-1 in last nine game as road dogs. Cal's only win this season is over I-AA Southern Utah.

Oregon State off to unusually fast start, beating Wisconsin/UCLA; they won 11 of last 13 games with Arizona, winning five of last six visits to Tucson, winning last two by 2 points each. Underdog has won SU in last four series games. Since '08, Beavers are 12-6 as road underdogs. Arizona lost 49-0 at Oregon last week; when they beat Oklahoma State 59-38 in their best game so far, Wildcats gave up 636 TY. This is Oregon State's third game of year; fifth game for Arizona, which is 12-8 as a home fave the last 4+ years. Arizona is still learning RichRod's system; Riley was a pro (NFL-CFL-USFL) coach, so edge to Oregon State there.

Since '09, Central Florida is 12-6 vs spread as home faves; they're 20-11 vs spread in their new stadium; always big deal for C-USA clubs when a BCS school visits. Missouri lost its first two SEC games by 21 points each; SEC teams are just 10-18 vs spread out of conference this year, 0-3 as an underdog; C-USA teams are 11-20, 2-4 as favorites. Mizzou failed to cover last three tries as road underdogs; favorites are 14-8 vs spread in their last 22 away games. UCF was outgained 411-352 in their only loss, at Ohio State; Knights had last week off after beating FIU- they were up 35-0/23-0 at halftime in their two wins.

Miami allowed 40 ppg in winning two of three road games vs I-A foes; they were up 19-0 last week, then allowed 36 straight points to Georgia Tech, before rallying to win weird game in OT. Miami allowed 808 yards on ground in last three games, including 233 to I-AA Bethune-Cookman, so they're hurting severely on defense. Teams are meeting for first time since '08. Wolfpack got whacked by Tennessee on neutral field, then beat UConn 10-7, before beating couple of stiffs last two weeks. Senior QB Glennon is completing 63% of passes. Miami goes to Notre Dame next week, Wolfpack plays Florida State, but this game is just as big.

Nebraska (+10) went to Madison and got crushed 48-17 in its Big Dozen debut last season, with Russell Wilson-led Badgers having great balance, gaining 231 rushing yards, 255 passing. Wilson is in Seattle now, and the Badgers are struggling with several new assistant coaches, with wins over Northern Iowa (26-21), Utah State (16-14), UTEP (37-26) unimpressive at best. Cornhuskers put up huge numbers running ball so far, but lost to only decent team they played (UCLA 36-30) with Bruins running ball for 344 yards, passing for 309. Nebraska is 13-16 as home favorite with Pelini, but 2-0 this year, beating UM 49-20, Arkansas State 42-13.

San Diego State (-8) beat Fresno State 35-28 in season finale LY, after falling behind 21-0 early on; this is conference game now, with Bulldogs joining MWC. Fresno scored two defensive TDs in 27-26 loss last week at Tulsa, but missed PATs after both scores, which made the difference. Aztecs lost 38-34 at home to San Jose State; maybe more alarming was game week before, when they beat I-AA North Dakota 49-41, Fighting Sioux were 27-50/434 passing. Figures that Fresno should be able to hang up big numbers vs same defense. Home favorites are 14-14 vs spread in conference play nation-wide, so far this season.

Other Notes
-- Cincinnati covered once in last six games as road underdog.
-- Clemson is 3-6 vs spread in game following last nine losses.
-- Ohio U covered nine of last 13 conference road games.

-- Idaho covered 13 of last 19 non-conference games.
-- Boise State covered 15 of last 21 as a road favorite.
-- Wake Forest covered eight of last 12 as a home favorite.

-- Air Force covered twice in last 13 games as a home favorite.
-- Home side covered five of last six Northern Illinois-Central Michigan tilts. Chippewas are off their upset of Iowa last week.
-- UCLA covered only seven of last 22 Pac-12 road games.

-- Alabama won eight in row vs Ole Miss, but Rebels covered five of the eight games.
-- Dysfunctional Arkansas covered last six games vs Texas A&M.
-- Underdog covered seven of last nine Indiana-Northwestern games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:14 AM

NCAAF

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Baylor at West Virginia: What bettors need to know
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Baylor at West Virginia (-11, 82.5)

Fans of the Washington Redskins and the University of West Virginia may be the only ones not lamenting the fact that Robert Griffin III opted to leave the college game following his junior year. No. 24 Baylor could certainly use the star quarterback as it prepares for a Big 12 Conference matchup with Geno Smith and No. 7 West Virginia on Saturday. Smith has been spectacular in leading the Mountaineers to a 3-0 start and is among the front-runners to succeed Griffin as the Heisman Trophy winner. Baylor moved into the Top 25 following last week's win at Louisiana-Monroe and is actually averaging four more points than West Virginia (51.3 to 47.3). The conference opener for both teams will also be the first matchup between the schools.

TV: Noon ET, FX.

LINE: West Virginia -11, O/U 82.5.

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s with partly cloudy skies at Mountaineer Field. Winds will be light out of the north.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Nearly 58 percent of players are on West Virginia.

ABOUT BAYLOR (3-0): Despite losing Griffin and first-round pick wide receiver Kendall Wright, Baylor owns the second-longest active winning streak in the FBS at nine games - second only to TCU (11) - and needs one more victory to tie the all-time school record set in 1936-37. Senior quarterback Nick Florence leads the nation in total offense, averaging 387.7 yards per game, and has tossed 11 scoring passes versus four interceptions. The Bears have scored at least 45 points in seven straight games after overcoming an early 14-0 deficit at Louisiana-Monroe, a team that has already beaten Arkansas and pushed Auburn to the wire. Defense has been a huge issue for Baylor, which is surrendering nearly 493 yards per game. Only eight FBS schools have yielded more.

ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA (3-0): The Mountaineers came back to earth a bit in last week's 31-21 victory over Maryland after amassing 111 points in their first two victories. Smith threw for 363 yards and three scoring passes despite not playing without leading rusher Shawne Alston, who missed virtually the entire game with a thigh bruise. Smith has thrown for 1,072 yards with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions while connecting on 81.4 percent of his passes. He has dangerous threats in wide receivers Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey, who each have five touchdown receptions. Austin had 13 receptions for 179 yards and three scoring passes against Maryland. His 13 catches tied a school record set by Bailey the previous week against James Madison.

TRENDS:

*Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
*Over is 4-0 in Bears’ last four September games.
*Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven September games.
*Over is 4-1 in Mountaineers’ last five September games.

EXTRA POINTS

1. West Virginia is 9-1 in its last 10 homecoming games.

2. The Bears, who are playing the first of three straight Top 25 teams, have never beaten a ranked conference opponent on the road (0-25).

3. Baylor coach Art Briles and West Virginia coach Dana Holgorsen were assistants on Texas Tech's staff from 2000-2002.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 11:29 AM

Saturday, September 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida State - 12:00 PM ET Florida State -16 500
South Florida - Under 53.5 500

Clemson - 12:00 PM ET Clemson -6.5 500
Boston College - Under 59.5 500

Louisiana Tech - 12:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -3 500
Virginia - Over 60 500

Virginia Tech - 12:00 PM ET Cincinnati +6.5 500
Cincinnati - Over 46.5 500

North Carolina State - 12:00 PM ET North Carolina State +2 500
Miami - Under 56.5 500

Buffalo - 12:00 PM ET Connecticut -17 500
Connecticut - Over 44 500

Indiana - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern -11 500
Northwestern - Under 59.5 500

Arkansas - 12:00 PM ET Texas A&M -13 500
Texas A&M -

Baylor - 12:00 PM ET Baylor +11 500
West Virginia - Under 83 500

Penn State - 12:00 PM ET Illinois -1.5 500
Illinois - Over 41.5 500

Missouri - 12:00 PM ET Missouri +2 500
Central Florida - Over 48.5 500

Minnesota - 12:00 PM ET Minnesota +6.5 500
Iowa - Over 45 500

Ball State - 12:00 PM ET Ball State -2.5 500
Kent State - Under 54 500

Duke - 12:30 PM ET Wake Forest -1.5 500
Wake Forest - Under 60 500

Nevada - 2:00 PM ET Texas State +18.5 500
Texas State - Under 64 500

Colorado State - 2:00 PM ET Colorado State +14.5 500
Air Force - Under 58.5 500

Tulsa - 3:00 PM ET Alabama-Birmingham +16 500
Alabama-Birmingham - Under 59 500

Miami (Ohio) - 3:00 PM ET Akron +2 500
Akron - Under 60.5 500

Marshall - 3:15 PM ET Purdue -16 500
Purdue - Under 63 500

Troy - 3:30 PM ET Troy -7.5 500
South Alabama - Under 50.5 500

Tennessee - 3:30 PM ET Georgia -13.5 500
Georgia - Under 58 500

Ohio State - 3:30 PM ET Michigan State -2 500 Michigan State - Under 41.5 500

Idaho - 3:30 PM ET Idaho +27.5 500
North Carolina - Under 61.5 500

Houston - 3:30 PM ET Rice +8 500
Rice - Over 73 500

San Jose State - 3:30 PM ET San Jose State -2.5 500
Navy - Under 59 500

UL Monroe - 3:30 PM ET UL Monroe -20 500
Tulane - Under 51.5 500

Ohio - 3:30 PM ET Ohio -24 500
Massachusetts - Under 55 500

Central Michigan - 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan +10 500
Northern Illinois - Over 58.5 500

Arizona State - 4:00 PM ET Arizona State -1 500
California - Under 57 500

North Texas - 5:00 PM ET Florida Atlantic +7 500
Florida Atlantic - Under 49.5 500

UCLA - 6:00 PM ET Colorado +20 500
Colorado - Under 59.5 500

Boise State - 6:00 PM ET New Mexico +25.5 500
New Mexico - Over 50.5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25761 Followers:33
09/29/2012 07:02 PM

Evening Plays:

Texas Tech - 7:00 PM ET Texas Tech -1 500
Iowa State - Over 63.5 500

South Carolina - 7:00 PM ET South Carolina -20 500
Kentucky - Under 51.5 500

Texas El Paso - 7:00 PM ET Texas El Paso +4 500
East Carolina - Under 48.5 500

Florida International - 7:00 PM ET UL Lafayette -6.5 500
UL Lafayette - Under 54 500

Western Kentucky - 7:00 PM ET Arkansas State -1.5 500
Arkansas State - Under 57.5 500

Texas Christian - 7:00 PM ET Southern Methodist +13.5 500
Southern Methodist - Under 52 500

Toledo - 7:00 PM ET Toledo +1 500
Western Michigan - Under 57 500

Middle Tennessee 49 Final Middle Tennessee +24.5 500
Georgia Tech 28 Under 63 500

Texas - 7:50 PM ET Texas -2 500
Oklahoma State - Under 63.5 500

Louisville - 8:00 PM ET Louisville -11 500
Southern Mississippi - Under 48 500

Wisconsin - 8:00 PM ET Wisconsin +12 500
Nebraska - Over 51 500

Texas-San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Texas-San Antonio -1.5 500
New Mexico State - Under 56 500

UNLV - 8:00 PM ET Utah State -20.5 500
Utah State - Over 57.5 500

Mississippi - 9:15 PM ET Alabama -30.5 500
Alabama - Over 52 500

Oregon State - 10:00 PM ET Arizona -3 500
Arizona - Under 58 500

San Diego State - 10:00 PM ET Fresno State -7 500
Fresno State - Under 61.5 500

Oregon - 10:30 PM ET Oregon -30.5 500
Washington State - Under 73.5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: