cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/27/2012 07:51 PM

College football odds: Week 5 opening line report

The new kid on the block gets its first Big 12 test when West Virginia hosts Baylor Saturday.

The Mountaineers, one of two new programs to the 10-team conference, will welcome 60,000 frenzied fans to Milan Puskar Stadium for their Big 12 debut. The two new-found rivals have never met before and WVU is 9-4 SU versus Big 12 opponents, going back to 1928.

"It's a new season, man," Mountaineers quarterback Geno Smith told the Star-Telegram. "It's all about the conference."

West Virginia has fit the bill as far as Big 12 tendencies are concerned, sitting third in the nation in passing and 10th overall in points scored while giving up almost 400 yards and 22.3 points per game. The Mountaineers defense has left something to desire, having looked soft in its two games versus FBS competition this season.

Baylor is cut from a similar cloth, putting up an average of 51.3 points on 568.7 yards per game. But the Bears stop unit is allowing 29.7 points an outing and watching their three opponents (SMU, Sam Houston State, UL Monroe) average 492.7 yards – 117th out of 124 FBS teams.

The Sports Club, a Nevada-based odds service, sent out a suggested spread of WVU -10.5, however, most early numbers have the Mountaineers as 12.5-point home chalk. It seems a raucous home-town crowd and a lesser of two evils – or two terrible defenses – is worth a little more to the spread.

Here are opening spreads for some of Week 5’s biggest college football games:

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)

This spread has already been bet down to -2 at some online books, with early money fading the home side. The Sports Club sent out a suggested spread of a pick’em for this Big Ten opener.

The biggest knock against the Spartans is their offense, which is mustering only 21 points a game – 105th in the land. Ohio State has rolled out to a 4-0 record versus non-conference competition but has just one ATS win to show for in that span. The Buckeyes offense will run into a MSU defense ranked sixth in the country, allowing 233.5 yards per game, and giving up just under 12 points an outing.

Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+2.5)

The Cowboys are keeping hush-hush on the status of QB Wes Lunt, who suffered a knee injury two weeks ago. Backup J.W. Walsh stepped in against UL Lafayette, passing for 347 and four touchdowns.

Head coach Mike Gundy, who has a well-documented disdain for the media, listed his pivots as co-starters for Saturday’s showdown in Stillwater but local beat writers expect Walsh to start the game even if Lunt is active. This spread will be one of the bigger movers-and-shakers as the weekend draws closer.

Wisconsin Badgers at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13)

The Badgers are playing the waiting game with star RB Montee Ball and the head injury he suffered in last weekend’s win over UTEP. Wisconsin has been one of the biggest disappointments of the young college football season, especially for bettors who have suffered through a 0-4 ATS record.

The Sports Club sent out a suggested spread of Nebraska -13 and most opening numbers stayed true to that figure. The Badgers do have two capable replacement backs in James White and Melvin Gordon, but the Huskers have a lot more firepower and a solid home-field edge in Lincoln.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/27/2012 07:53 PM

College football odds: Week 5 opening line report

The new kid on the block gets its first Big 12 test when West Virginia hosts Baylor Saturday.

The Mountaineers, one of two new programs to the 10-team conference, will welcome 60,000 frenzied fans to Milan Puskar Stadium for their Big 12 debut. The two new-found rivals have never met before and WVU is 9-4 SU versus Big 12 opponents, going back to 1928.

"It's a new season, man," Mountaineers quarterback Geno Smith told the Star-Telegram. "It's all about the conference."

West Virginia has fit the bill as far as Big 12 tendencies are concerned, sitting third in the nation in passing and 10th overall in points scored while giving up almost 400 yards and 22.3 points per game. The Mountaineers defense has left something to desire, having looked soft in its two games versus FBS competition this season.

Baylor is cut from a similar cloth, putting up an average of 51.3 points on 568.7 yards per game. But the Bears stop unit is allowing 29.7 points an outing and watching their three opponents (SMU, Sam Houston State, UL Monroe) average 492.7 yards – 117th out of 124 FBS teams.

The Sports Club, a Nevada-based odds service, sent out a suggested spread of WVU -10.5, however, most early numbers have the Mountaineers as 12.5-point home chalk. It seems a raucous home-town crowd and a lesser of two evils – or two terrible defenses – is worth a little more to the spread.

Here are opening spreads for some of Week 5’s biggest college football games:

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)

This spread has already been bet down to -2 at some online books, with early money fading the home side. The Sports Club sent out a suggested spread of a pick’em for this Big Ten opener.

The biggest knock against the Spartans is their offense, which is mustering only 21 points a game – 105th in the land. Ohio State has rolled out to a 4-0 record versus non-conference competition but has just one ATS win to show for in that span. The Buckeyes offense will run into a MSU defense ranked sixth in the country, allowing 233.5 yards per game, and giving up just under 12 points an outing.

Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+2.5)

The Cowboys are keeping hush-hush on the status of QB Wes Lunt, who suffered a knee injury two weeks ago. Backup J.W. Walsh stepped in against UL Lafayette, passing for 347 and four touchdowns.

Head coach Mike Gundy, who has a well-documented disdain for the media, listed his pivots as co-starters for Saturday’s showdown in Stillwater but local beat writers expect Walsh to start the game even if Lunt is active. This spread will be one of the bigger movers-and-shakers as the weekend draws closer.

Wisconsin Badgers at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13)

The Badgers are playing the waiting game with star RB Montee Ball and the head injury he suffered in last weekend’s win over UTEP. Wisconsin has been one of the biggest disappointments of the young college football season, especially for bettors who have suffered through a 0-4 ATS record.

The Sports Club sent out a suggested spread of Nebraska -13 and most opening numbers stayed true to that figure. The Badgers do have two capable replacement backs in James White and Melvin Gordon, but the Huskers have a lot more firepower and a solid home-field edge in Lincoln.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/27/2012 07:53 PM

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5

Stanford at Washington
The Huskies look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a bye week. Washington is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinal favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

Game 103-104: Stanford at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 101.213; Washington 96.672
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Stanford by 6 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 28

Game 105-106: Hawaii at BYU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 72.559; BYU 98.346
Dunkel Line: BYU by 26; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 27 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+27 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/27/2012 07:54 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 5

Thursday, September 27

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STANFORD (3 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 1) - 9/27/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, September 28

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HAWAII (1 - 2) at BYU (2 - 2) - 9/28/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/27/2012 07:56 PM

NCAAF

Week 5

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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 27

9:00 PM
STANFORD vs. WASHINGTON
Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Stanford is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Stanford
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Stanford


Friday, September 28

8:00 PM
HAWAII vs. BYU
Hawaii is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing BYU
Hawaii is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
BYU is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/27/2012 08:00 PM

Thursday, September 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Stanford - 9:00 PM ET Stanford -6.5 500

Washington - Over 47.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/28/2012 07:05 PM

NCAAF

Friday, September 28

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Hawaii at BYU: What bettors need to know
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Hawaii Warriors at Brigham Young Cougars (-27.5, 50)

The BYU Cougars look to bounce back Friday when they host the Hawaii Warriors after suffering a tough 7-6 loss to Boise State last week. Cougar quarterbacks passed for just 61 yards in the contest – the school’s lowest passing total since getting only 41 yards in a 3-0 loss to Utah in 2003.

Warriors head coach Norm Chow coached at BYU for 27 years as offensive coordinator, assistant head coach and quarterbacks coach under LaVell Edwards. His team fell to 1-2 on the campaign after falling 69-24 to Nevada last week. Hawaii is ranked dead last in the Mountain West Conference.

TV: 8:00 p.m., ET, ESPN.

LINE: BYU - 27.5, O/U 50

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Winds will be light out of the west.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Nearly 51 percent of players are on Hawaii.

ABOUT HAWAII (1-2, 0-1 Mountain West, 1-2 ATS):
Junior quarterback Sean Schroeder has thrived during his first season as a starting quarterback. Schroeder is connecting on 59.8 percent of his passes and has thrown for 592 yards this season, including a career-high 345 against Nevada. Senior wideout Jeremiah Ostrowski has been Schroeder’s favorite target, hauling in 17 receptions for 148 yards and six scores.

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (2-2, 2-0 Independent, 2-2 ATS):
The Cougars have suffered back-to-back losses to Utah and Boise State and will certainly need more than the 61 yards passing the offense produced last week.

"Sixty-one yards passing, and I feel like I am 61 years old,” joked offensive coordinator Brandon Doman after the contest. “Obviously, 61 [yards] is not good enough. It is not going to win us ball games, and it is not acceptable."

First-string QB Riley Nelson wasn’t at 100 percent in the loss, but BYU coaches say the plan is for him to start Friday. Freshman QB Taysom Hill replaced Nelson, who only threw for 19 yards in the first half, in the third quarter and closed the game. Hill will start Friday if Nelson is unable to suit up. Nelson told the media on Monday he played last week at an estimated 65 percent capacity because of his back ailment.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. MWC.
* Under is 8-1 in Cougars’ last nine Friday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. At home the Cougars are averaging 37.5 scoring, and holding teams to 9.5 points scored on defense.

2. Last season, BYU traveled to Hawaii and beat the Warriors 41-20. This will be the 29th meeting between the teams. BYU leads the all-time series 20-8 and has never lost in Provo.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/28/2012 07:05 PM

NCAAF

Friday, September 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hawaii at BYU: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hawaii Warriors at Brigham Young Cougars (-27.5, 50)

The BYU Cougars look to bounce back Friday when they host the Hawaii Warriors after suffering a tough 7-6 loss to Boise State last week. Cougar quarterbacks passed for just 61 yards in the contest – the school’s lowest passing total since getting only 41 yards in a 3-0 loss to Utah in 2003.

Warriors head coach Norm Chow coached at BYU for 27 years as offensive coordinator, assistant head coach and quarterbacks coach under LaVell Edwards. His team fell to 1-2 on the campaign after falling 69-24 to Nevada last week. Hawaii is ranked dead last in the Mountain West Conference.

TV: 8:00 p.m., ET, ESPN.

LINE: BYU - 27.5, O/U 50

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-70s with partly cloudy skies at LaVell Edwards Stadium. Winds will be light out of the west.

COVERS CONSENSUS: Nearly 51 percent of players are on Hawaii.

ABOUT HAWAII (1-2, 0-1 Mountain West, 1-2 ATS):
Junior quarterback Sean Schroeder has thrived during his first season as a starting quarterback. Schroeder is connecting on 59.8 percent of his passes and has thrown for 592 yards this season, including a career-high 345 against Nevada. Senior wideout Jeremiah Ostrowski has been Schroeder’s favorite target, hauling in 17 receptions for 148 yards and six scores.

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (2-2, 2-0 Independent, 2-2 ATS):
The Cougars have suffered back-to-back losses to Utah and Boise State and will certainly need more than the 61 yards passing the offense produced last week.

"Sixty-one yards passing, and I feel like I am 61 years old,” joked offensive coordinator Brandon Doman after the contest. “Obviously, 61 [yards] is not good enough. It is not going to win us ball games, and it is not acceptable."

First-string QB Riley Nelson wasn’t at 100 percent in the loss, but BYU coaches say the plan is for him to start Friday. Freshman QB Taysom Hill replaced Nelson, who only threw for 19 yards in the first half, in the third quarter and closed the game. Hill will start Friday if Nelson is unable to suit up. Nelson told the media on Monday he played last week at an estimated 65 percent capacity because of his back ailment.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. MWC.
* Under is 8-1 in Cougars’ last nine Friday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. At home the Cougars are averaging 37.5 scoring, and holding teams to 9.5 points scored on defense.

2. Last season, BYU traveled to Hawaii and beat the Warriors 41-20. This will be the 29th meeting between the teams. BYU leads the all-time series 20-8 and has never lost in Provo.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/28/2012 07:07 PM

BYU favored big over Hawaii on Friday

HAWAII WARRIORS (1-2)
at BYU COUGARS (2-2)

Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: BYU -27, Total: 50½

BYU looks to halt a two-game losing streak when it hosts a Hawaii team fresh off a 45-point blowout loss.

The Cougars need to get their offense in gear after back-to-back road losses, 24-21 to Utah and 7-6 to Boise State. BYU QB Riley Nelson was pulled after going 4-for-9 for 19 yards and 3 INT against the Broncos, but will start on Friday. That could be because of Nelson’s 363 passing yards and 3 TD in a 41-20 Cougars win over Hawaii last December. The Warriors are reeling after a 69-24 loss to Nevada, which rushed for 355 yards and 7 TD. BYU is 19-5 SU versus Hawaii since 1978, but last year was the first meeting since 2002.

Can BYU stop its losing streak with a four-touchdown win over Hawaii? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Hawaii is usually a great offensive school, but this year the Warriors rank 102nd in total offense with a mere 337 total YPG. Junior QB Sean Schroeder has thrown for just 592 yards on 102 pass attempts (5.8 YPC) with 6 TD and 4 INT. Half of those scores came against FCS opponent Lamar. RB Will Gregory had a decent day against Nevada with 92 yards on 16 carries (5.8 YPC) with his first touchdown of the season. Defensively, Hawaii has been carved up, allowing 40.0 PPG (4th-most in FBS). Last week, the Wolf Pack rolled up 69 points and 575 total yards without Hawaii forcing a turnover.

BYU is especially happy to return home, considering the school is 12-1 SU (8-5 ATS) in its past 13 home games. Nelson is taking most of the blame for the offensive failures, but his protection hasn’t been great, as the Cougars have allowed 10 sacks in four games. Nelson is also getting little assistance from a rushing game that has averaged a mere 3.0 yards per carry in its three games against FBS opponents. However, BYU’s defense has been superb all year (246 YPG, 7th in nation), allowing just 69 rushing YPG, good for 9th in the nation. The Cougars defensive prowess all starts up front with Kyle Van Noy and Spencer Hadley combining for eight of the team’s 14 sacks this year (T-8th in nation) and 12½ of the 34 Tackles for Loss (T-4th among FBS teams).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24970 Followers:33
09/28/2012 07:07 PM

BYU favored big over Hawaii on Friday

HAWAII WARRIORS (1-2)
at BYU COUGARS (2-2)

Kickoff: Friday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: BYU -27, Total: 50½

BYU looks to halt a two-game losing streak when it hosts a Hawaii team fresh off a 45-point blowout loss.

The Cougars need to get their offense in gear after back-to-back road losses, 24-21 to Utah and 7-6 to Boise State. BYU QB Riley Nelson was pulled after going 4-for-9 for 19 yards and 3 INT against the Broncos, but will start on Friday. That could be because of Nelson’s 363 passing yards and 3 TD in a 41-20 Cougars win over Hawaii last December. The Warriors are reeling after a 69-24 loss to Nevada, which rushed for 355 yards and 7 TD. BYU is 19-5 SU versus Hawaii since 1978, but last year was the first meeting since 2002.

Can BYU stop its losing streak with a four-touchdown win over Hawaii? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Hawaii is usually a great offensive school, but this year the Warriors rank 102nd in total offense with a mere 337 total YPG. Junior QB Sean Schroeder has thrown for just 592 yards on 102 pass attempts (5.8 YPC) with 6 TD and 4 INT. Half of those scores came against FCS opponent Lamar. RB Will Gregory had a decent day against Nevada with 92 yards on 16 carries (5.8 YPC) with his first touchdown of the season. Defensively, Hawaii has been carved up, allowing 40.0 PPG (4th-most in FBS). Last week, the Wolf Pack rolled up 69 points and 575 total yards without Hawaii forcing a turnover.

BYU is especially happy to return home, considering the school is 12-1 SU (8-5 ATS) in its past 13 home games. Nelson is taking most of the blame for the offensive failures, but his protection hasn’t been great, as the Cougars have allowed 10 sacks in four games. Nelson is also getting little assistance from a rushing game that has averaged a mere 3.0 yards per carry in its three games against FBS opponents. However, BYU’s defense has been superb all year (246 YPG, 7th in nation), allowing just 69 rushing YPG, good for 9th in the nation. The Cougars defensive prowess all starts up front with Kyle Van Noy and Spencer Hadley combining for eight of the team’s 14 sacks this year (T-8th in nation) and 12½ of the 34 Tackles for Loss (T-4th among FBS teams).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: