cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:43 AM

Michigan vs. Alabama

August 31, 2012


The defending national champions will begin their quest to win three titles in a four-year stretch when they take on Michigan at Cowboys Stadium on Saturday night. As of Wednesday afternoon, most books were listing Alabama as a 13 ½-point favorite with a total of 45 ½.

The Crimson Tide had been favored by 12 ½ for the last few weeks but the number moved up to 13 on Monday, to 13 ½ on Tuesday and some spots were at 14 on Wednesday. The total was 42 ½ at most offshores until most Las Vegas shops posted the tally at 45 on Monday.

Nick Saban’s team returns six starters on offense and five on defense. Gone from the defensive unit are four players that were first-round picks this past spring. The Alabama ‘D’ gave up just 8.2 points per game while going 12-1 in 2011, dealing out cream-cheese treatment to LSU in a 21-0 win at the BCS Championship Game in New Orleans.

Even though the defense is still stacked with talent galore, it can’t help but miss the presence of four first-rounders and the leadership they provided. This bunch will have its hands full with Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson.

Alabama junior QB A.J. McCarron won’t have Trent Richardson to lean on anymore, nor will he have his top four pass catchers from last season. Nevertheless, the cupboard is far from bare with junior RB Eddie Lacy poised for a big season.

Lacy, who averaged 7.1 yards per carry and rushed for seven TDs in 2011, has been slowed by an ankle sprain recently but will get the starting nod. The Tide is looking for an immediate impact from true freshman RB T.J. Yeldon, who was an early enrollee that stole the show in the spring game.

There is a switch at offensive coordinator with Jim McElwain leaving to take the head-coaching job at Colorado St. McElwain has been replaced by former Washington o-coordinator Doug Nussmeier.

McCarron will try to build on his 2011 stats that weren’t too shabby. He completed 66.8 percent of his passes for 2,634 yards with a 16/5 TD-INT ratio.

Michigan enjoyed a return to prominence in Brady Hoke’s first season at the helm. The Wolverines had a disastrous three-year run under Rich Rodriguez, compiling an abysmal 15-22 record.

But Hoke turned things around quickly, going 11-2 with an overtime win over Va. Tech at the Sugar Bowl. The former head coach at San Diego St. and Ball St. took a defense that surrendered 35.2 PPG in 2010 and turned into a stout unit that gave up just 17.4 PPG last year.

Although R-Rod’s spread attack was better suited for Robinson’s skill set, he still produced huge numbers in a more pro-style system under o-coordinator Al Borges. Robinson rushed for 1,349 yards and 16 touchdowns, while also passing for 2,173 yards and 20 TDs. His accuracy isn’t his best trait, though, as evidenced by 15 interceptions and a 55-percent completion rate.

Michigan returns junior RB Fitzgerald Toussaint, who rushed for 1,041 yards and nine TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC last season. But his playing time could be limited this week due to a suspension from an off-the-field incident.

The Wolverines return six starters on offense and seven on defense. Two starting WRs are back in the mix, including junior Jeremy Gallon, who had 31 receptions for 453 yards and three TDs last year. Also, senior Roy Roundtree has 1,724 career receiving yards.

Michigan has nine of its top 11 tacklers back. Senior MLB Kenny Demens had 94 tackles and three sacks last year.

Michigan went 2-1 both straight up and against the spread in three underdog situations last year. Meanwhile, Alabama posted a 7-3 spread record in games as a double-digit ‘chalk.’

ABC will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--South Carolina escaped Music City with a 17-13 comeback win over Vanderbilt thanks to 110 rushing yards and two touchdowns from junior running back Marcus Lattimore, who found paydirt on a one-yard plunge with 11:25 remaining to give the Gamecocks the lead for good. Connor Shaw gutted out a shoulder injury that kept him out of the game early in the third quarter. Shaw returned to action and finished with 92 yards rushing, including a third-down scramble for first-down yardage that put the game on ice. The Commodores took the cash as 6 ½-point underdogs, while the 30 combined points fell ‘under’ the 44 ½-point total.

--UCF finished 2011 with a disappointing 5-7 record. Many are expecting a bounce-back season for the Golden Knights, who began the year in style with a 56-24 win over Akron as 24 ½-point favorites. Blake Bortles threw three TD passes for UCF, which will travel to ‘The Shoe’ to face Ohio St. in Week 2.

--Jim Mora Jr. picked up his first career win in the college ranks with UCLA’s 49-24 win at Rice as a 16-point ‘chalk.’ Johnathan Franklin rushed 15 times for 214 yards and three TDs, while redshirt freshman QB Brett Hundley scored on a 72-yard TD run on his first career snap. Hundley also connected on 21-of-28 pass attempts for 202 yards with two TDs and one interception. The Bruins host Nebraska next Saturday.

--Rice’s Cameron Nwosu set an NCAA record by blocking three extra-point attempts.

--BYU junior WR Cody Hoffman left Thursday night’s game against Washington St. with a quad contusion. Hoffman, who did not dress out in the second half, had a team-high 61 receptions for 943 yards and 10 TDs last year. The Cougars won’t need him in Week 2 against Weber St., but gamblers should check his status for a Week 3 game at Utah. BYU beat Washington St. by a 30-6 count as a 13-point home favorite.

--Minnesota kicked a field goal at 2:48 a.m. Eastern to beat UNLV 30-27 in triple overtime. The Rebels covered the number as 9 ½-point home underdogs. The real story from a gambling perspective is what happened with the total, which closed 52 at most spots. The game was 13-13 going to overtime, but both teams matched touchdowns in the first two OTs to give ‘under’ backers a gut-wrenching defeat.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:46 AM

No. 2 Alabama, No. 8 Michigan meet Saturday

MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (0-0)
vs. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (0-0)

Cowboy Stadium - Arlington, TX
Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Alabama -14, Total: 45½

Two national title hopefuls kick off their season in style when No. 8 Michigan and No. 2 Alabama clash Saturday night at Cowboy Stadium in Arlington, TX.

The last time these powerhouses played was the 2000 Orange Bowl when Michigan won 35-34 in overtime, but Alabama is 12-0 in season openers since. Heisman-caliber QB Denard Robinson is back for the Wolverines, though Michigan’s pro-style offense limits his effectiveness as a runner. Six new defensive Tide starters need to step up immediately to try to contain the dual-threat Robinson. Alabama QB A.J. McCarron will be working with an inexperienced WR corps, and also lost star RB Trent Richardson to the NFL. Although Tide head coach Nick Saban is 33-18 ATS (65%) in September games, Wolverines head man Brady Hoke is 21-9 ATS (70%) in the first month of the season. Can the Tide roll to a two-touchdown victory here? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Robinson actually had a better sophomore season (4,272 total yards) than last year’s junior campaign (3,349 total yards), but he finished the 2011 regular season with a bang. In the final two games -- wins over Nebraska and Ohio State -- Robinson rolled up 600 total yards of offense and nine touchdowns as his team scored 85 points. The big mystery surrounding the Wolverines offense was cleared up Friday when it was announced that top RB Fitzgerald Toussaint will be suspended for this game due to legal issues. Toussaint rushed for 1,041 yards (5.6 YPC) and nine touchdowns last season, so this is a huge absence. Michigan’s defense was stout in 2011, allowing just 17.4 PPG (sixth in nation) and 322 total YPG (17th in nation). The defensive line will be fierce again, and the secondary is also top-notch, returning three starters. The Wolverines went 3-1 ATS in non-conference games last year, running their record to 9-3 ATS outside the Big Ten since 2009.

Like Robinson, McCarron had his best performances late last season when he connected on 55-of-76 passes (72%) for 608 yards, 6 TD and 0 INT in his final three games, which included a BCS National Championship win over LSU. He no longer has RB Trent Richardson to keep defenses honest, but returning junior RB Eddie Lacy is no slouch. He averaged a whopping 7.1 yards per carry last season, rumbling for 674 yards and seven touchdowns. Alabama’s defense was unbelievable last year, leading the nation in scoring defense (8.2 PPG), total defense (184 YPG), rushing defense (72 YPG) and passing defense (112 YPG). Alabama is 10-3 ATS in non-conference games since 2009.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:47 AM

No. 14 Clemson, Auburn clash again Saturday

CLEMSON TIGERS (0-0)
vs. AUBURN TIGERS (0-0)

Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Clemson -3½, Total: 55½

No. 14 Clemson and Auburn meet for the third time in three seasons when both schools open their 2012 campaign Saturday night at Georgia Dome in Atlanta .

Each Tigers team has beaten the other Tigers squad on its home field in the past two seasons, as last year ended a 14-game losing streak for Clemson against Auburn. Tajh Boyd threw for 386 yards and 4 TD in the impressive 38-24 victory. Clemson returns Boyd and RB Andre Ellington from last year’s high-octane offense, though electrifying WR Sammy Watkins is suspended after his May arrest. That’s especially key in this game considering Watkins racked up 199 yards from scrimmage (155 receiving, 44 rushing) and caught a pair of touchdown passes in the 2011 win over Auburn. New defensive coordinator Brent Venables arrives from Oklahoma to shore up the Clemson defensive unit that faltered late last year, while Auburn’s defense returns virtually intact with nine starters coming back.

Who will prevail in this battle of orange Tigers? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Clemson began last season 8-0 before fizzling down the stretch with four losses in the final six games, capped off by a 70-33 Orange Bowl humiliation at the hands of West Virginia. New DC Venables is looking to simplify things for a defense that allowed 36.6 PPG in its last eight games of 2011. These Tigers do return seven defensive starters, so one would think an improvement is imminent. Clemson is getting back the firepower it had on offense this year with Boyd (3,828 pass yds, 33 TD, 12 INT), Ellington (1,178 rush yds) and Watkins (1,219 rec yds, 13 total TD), who is suspended for the first two games.

After a year of rebuilding, Auburn returns 16 starters in 2012 and should regain its position near the top of the SEC. All of their success, however, will depend on the performance of Frazier, who beat out both Clint Moseley and Barrett Trotter in the spring and summer. Star RB Michael Dyer, who rushed for 151 yards and 2 TD against Clemson last year, is gone. That leaves undersized Onterio McCalebb (641 rush yds, 5.7 YPC, 5 TD) as Auburn’s only proven runner. The Tigers will need to pass the ball more efficiently this season (156 passing YPG, 105th in FBS last year) to keep defenses honest. However, Auburn’s defense has to be better than the one that gave up 624 yards to Clemson last season (386 passing and 238 rushing).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:49 AM

Nebraska hosts C-USA champ Southern Miss Saturday

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES (0-0)
at NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS (0-0)

Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Nebraska -19½, Total: 53

No. 17 Nebraska has high hopes for 2012, but its season-opening game against Conference USA champion Southern Mississippi on Saturday could pose quite a challenge.

The Eagles finished 12-2 last season, scoring 36.9 PPG, but no longer have star QB Austin Davis, who is now in the NFL. The Huskers had an up-and-down season, but still finished with a 9-4 record in their inaugural Big Ten season. The last time these teams met was in 2004 when Southern Miss upset the Cornhuskers 21-17 as a 14½-point road underdog. New Golden Eagles coach Ellis Johnson inherits strong RB and WR groups, and his experience as an SEC defensive coordinator (four years at South Carolina) should make USM’s defense a strength. Nebraska’s option running game will roll with QB Taylor Martinez and RB Rex Burkhead, who combined for 2,231 rushing yards and 24 TD last season. The Huskers defense lacks the proven playmakers that have historically made them a fearsome unit, but this is still a very tough defense.

Can the Huskers open their 2012 season with a blowout victory? For the answer, connect to The Platinum Sheet for all the StatFox Experts picks for every key college football game throughout the 2012 season.

Junior Chris Campbell will start under center for Southern Miss, marking his collegiate debut. The good news is that he has solid weapons to use in the passing game in speedy WR Tracy Lampley (1,037 total yards, 7 total TD) and 6-foot-4 converted TE Markese Triplett. But this offense will rely mostly on senior RB Desmond Johnson, who rushed for 5.7 yards per carry last season. Do-it-all junior back Jeremy Hester (4.9 YPC) will also spell Johnson when needed. Former Memphis head man Tommy West takes over as defensive coordinator and has some talent on the defensive line and secondary. Southern Miss will have to rely on green players at the linebacker positions to round out a defense that could be strong again (20.8 PPG, 26th in nation) if recruits and transfers are ready to contribute right away.

Martinez and Burkhead return to the option offense where they rushed for 874 yards and 1,357 yards, respectively. This duo helped Nebraska to a healthy 217 rushing YPG last year, good for 15th in the nation. The problem arises when Martinez is forced to throw the football. He completed just 56% of his passes in 2011 for 2,089 yards (7.3 YPA), 13 TD and 8 INT. Martinez, who reached 200 passing yards just twice last season, also took 21 sacks. Part of the reason Martinez struggles to throw the football is because the Huskers don’t have great receivers to rely on. Nebraska returns seven defensive starters to a unit that gave up 159 rushing YPG last year, which ranked 64th in FBS. The Blackshirts defense needs to be more opportunistic in 2012 after forcing just 18 turnovers in 13 games last year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:51 AM

College football Top 25 cheat sheet: Week 1

College football is back - finally. If you're looking to bet big but only have a short amount of time to handicap, let our Top 25 cheat sheet help you out. We grabbed some quick hitting info on each of the Top-25 matchups with odds available in Week 1 of the season:

South Carolina Gamecocks at Vanderbilt Commodores (+6.5, 45)

The Gamecocks have won nine of 11 games against Vanderbilt in Nashville. The road team is 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine meetings.

Boise State Broncos at Michigan State Spartans (-6.5, 46.5)

Boise State and Michigan State have never met – the Broncos lost to Wisconsin in 1997 in their lone game against a Big Ten school and the Spartans are 7-2 against current members of the Mountain West. The Spartans have won 11 consecutive home openers since falling to Colorado State in 1998.

San Jose State Spartans at Stanford Cardinal (-26, 51.5)

Stanford has won the last four meetings since suffering a humbling 35-34 loss to the Spartans in 2006. The Cardinal lead the series 50-14-1. Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings and 0-7 ATS in their last seven games in Stanford.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen (+15.5, 56.5)

After losing to Navy 35-17 in 2010 – a second straight loss to the Midshipmen – Notre Dame rebounded with an impressive 56-14 victory last season, it’s biggest blowout in 2011. Midshipmen are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs.

Buffalo Bulls at Georgia Bulldogs (-37.5, 53.5)

The Bulls are 0-3 against current SEC schools. Buffalo won its last game against a Top 25 team, upending No. 12 Ball State in the 2008 MAC championship game 42-24. The Bulls are 1-7 ATS in their last eight non-conference games.

Marshall Thundering Herd at West Virginia Mountaineers (-24.5, 65.5)

West Virginia has won all 11 meetings against Marshall, however, the Thundering Herd are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Herd has not defeated a ranked opponent since a win over No. 6 Kansas in 2003, a span of 13 consecutive losses.

Bowling Green Falcons at Florida Gators (-28.5, 48)

The Falcons are 3-6 against ranked teams since 2003, with the last victory coming at No. 25 Pittsburgh in 2008. The Falcons are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as road underdogs.

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-20, 53)

Since losing the first game of the 1985 season to Florida State, Nebraska has won each of its next 26 season openers by double figures.

Clemson Tigers at Auburn Tigers (+3.5, 55.5)

Clemson has won 21 of its last 27 season openers and seven of its last 10. The Tigers' three opening losses in the past decade have come against top-25 teams. Auburn has won its last six openers and is 92-25-2 all-time in opening games.

North Texas Mean Green at Louisiana State Tigers (-42.5, 52)

During its 37-game non-conference win streak in the regular season, LSU has outscored opponents 1,479-391, including a 1,163-236 margin at home. Over is 4-1 in Tigers' last five non-conference games.

Hawaii Warriors at USC Trojans (-40, 62.5)

USC is 7-0 against Hawaii and notched a 49-36 victory in 2010 in the most-recent meeting. The Trojans are 28-12 ATS in their last 40 non-conference games.

Wyoming Cowboys at Texas Longhorns (-30, 51)

Texas is 99-17-3 (.845) in openers, including a 77-7-2 (.907) mark at home. Brown has won 13 of his 14 openers at Texas. Cowboys are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as road underdogs.

Michigan Wolverines at Alabama Crimson Tide (-14, 45.5)

Michigan is 24-9-1 against current SEC teams, but the Wolverines haven't faced an SEC opponent in the regular season since 2006. Over is 7-1 in Wolverines' last eight versus SEC foes.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Oregon Ducks (-35, 68.5)

The Ducks averaged 46.1 points, third in the nation last season. Over is 21-4-1 in Ducks' last 26 games as home favorites.

Oklahoma Sooners at UTEP Miners (+31, 61.5)

Oklahoma has won the two previous meetings - 55-14 in 2000 and 68-0 in 2002 - both in Norman. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:53 AM

Saturday's games
Top games

Navy has beaten Notre Dame three of last five years; they're 9-6 against spread in last 15 series games. Over last decade, Middies are 24-9 vs the spread as a road underdog- they're 12-6 overall as underdog under Coach Nuimatalolo. Irish QB Rees is suspended for this game; Notre Dame has seven other starters back on offense, six on defense, with three starters back on OL. Over last four years, disciplined Navy is +40 in its turnover ratio- they only lost by a FG at a good South Carolina squad LY.

Penn State starts new era here, having covered just four of last 17 tries as a home favorite. Lions are starting seven seniors on defense but return only four starters on defense, five on offense. Since '09, State is 2-12 vs spread in non-league games. Ohio U is 27-14 SU last three years, playing in bowls (1-2) all three years; they're 8-4 vs spread in last dozen tries as a road underdog. Bobcats have 3rd-year starting QB in Tettleton who is best QB on this field, and eight starters back on defense.

Home side won both Northwestern-Syracuse games when these teams met in '08-'09; underdogs are 17-8 vs spread in Northwestern's last 25 road games. Wildcats lost six starters on both sides of ball; their QB has made six career starts, but three of those were at WR. Northwestern is 11-17 vs spread in last 28 non-league games. Since '07, Syracuse is 12-20 vs spread in Carrier Dome, 17-29 SU since '05. Orange lost six starters on defense but does have a senior QB- they better not be looking ahead to next week's game with USC at Giants Stadium.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:54 AM

NCAAF

Saturday, September 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Michigan vs. Alabama: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan Wolverines vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (-14, 47)

The first regular-season meeting - and only the fourth all-time - between a pair of storied programs will serve as one of the premier matchups on college football's opening weekend as No. 2 Alabama and No. 8 Michigan square off in the Cowboys Classic in Arlington, Texas.

Michigan has won its last 12 regular-season non-conference games and its last 13 September games, but both streaks will be in jeopardy against the defending national champions. The Crimson Tide begin their quest for a 15th national title - and its third under coach Nick Saban. It's the first of three matchups with preseason top 10 teams for Alabama, which faces No. 10 Arkansas on Sept. 15 and No. 1 LSU on Nov. 3.

TV: 8:12 p.m. ET, ABC.

LINE: Alabama -14. Oddsmakers opened the Crimson Tide as low as -11 but action on the defending national champs has pushed the spread to two touchdowns. The total has climbed from 45 to 47 points.

ABOUT MICHIGAN (2011: 11-2, 6-2 Big Ten): The Wolverines' offense runs through quarterback Denard Robinson, who is one of the most entertaining players in the nation. Robinson ranks sixth in Michigan history with 40 touchdown passes and fifth with 35 touchdown runs. Michigan has replaced two starters on the offensive line and three on the defensive line, though, so the Wolverines will be inexperienced in the trenches.

ABOUT ALABAMA (2011: 12-1, 7-1 SEC): Gone is star running back Trent Richardson, but the offensive line that paved the way for him is back, led by Outland Trophy winner Barrett Jones. Junior Eddie Lacy takes over the starting job running behind that line after playing in 24 games as a backup to Richardson and Mark Ingram over the past two seasons.

TRENDS:

* Wolverines are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
* Crimson Tide are 8-1 ATS in their last nine non-conference games.
* Over is 7-1 in Wolverines' last eight vs. SEC.
* Over is 8-3-1 in Crimson Tide's last 12 non-conference games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. In 67 games under Saban, Alabama has held opponents to less than 300 total yards 40 times. The Crimson Tide have allowed 10 points or less 33 times during Saban's tenure.

2. Michigan is 24-9-1 against current SEC teams, but the Wolverines haven't faced an SEC opponent in the regular season since 2006.

3. The Wolverines, who are 109-20-3 all-time in season openers, have never opened a season with a neutral-site game. Alabama has won 10 straight season openers dating to a 20-17 loss to UCLA to start the 2001 campaign.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 09:56 AM

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Saturday's games
Top games

Navy has beaten Notre Dame three of last five years; they're 9-6 against spread in last 15 series games. Over last decade, Middies are 24-9 vs the spread as a road underdog- they're 12-6 overall as underdog under Coach Nuimatalolo. Irish QB Rees is suspended for this game; Notre Dame has seven other starters back on offense, six on defense, with three starters back on OL. Over last four years, disciplined Navy is +40 in its turnover ratio- they only lost by a FG at a good South Carolina squad LY.

Penn State starts new era here, having covered just four of last 17 tries as a home favorite. Lions are starting seven seniors on defense but return only four starters on defense, five on offense. Since '09, State is 2-12 vs spread in non-league games. Ohio U is 27-14 SU last three years, playing in bowls (1-2) all three years; they're 8-4 vs spread in last dozen tries as a road underdog. Bobcats have 3rd-year starting QB in Tettleton who is best QB on this field, and eight starters back on defense.

Home side won both Northwestern-Syracuse games when these teams met in '08-'09; underdogs are 17-8 vs spread in Northwestern's last 25 road games. Wildcats lost six starters on both sides of ball; their QB has made six career starts, but three of those were at WR. Northwestern is 11-17 vs spread in last 28 non-league games. Since '07, Syracuse is 12-20 vs spread in Carrier Dome, 17-29 SU since '05. Orange lost six starters on defense but does have a senior QB- they better not be looking ahead to next week's game with USC at Giants Stadium.

Boston College (+13.5) won 24-17 at Miami LY, in last game played by both teams; Eagles were +3 in turnovers in teams' first meeting since '07. Miami won four of last five visits here, with underdogs covering four of those five games. 'canes are just 41-35 since '06, 13-10 vs spread on road since '08. Eagles have ten starters back on offense, four on OL, seven on defense; their QB has 21 career starts. BC is just 6-7 SU in its last 13 home games, 3-10 vs spread. Miami lost six of last seven road openers.

Colorado won seven of last nine games with Colorado State, with faves covering five of last six, as both sides have fallen on hard times. State has 7 starters back on offense, 3 on OL, 8 on defense and new HC in former Alabama OC McElwain, who is breaking in new QB. Rams are 17-24 vs spread in non-league games over last decade. Buffs have only 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defene; they've had six losing years in row. New QB is a transfer from Texas, so he could be an upgrade over Hansen. Since 2008, Colorado is 2-5 against spread as the favorite.

Clemson put up 624 yards in 38-24 win over Auburn LY, avenging OT loss to Newton-led War Eagles year before. Another new QB and shaky WRs for Auburn squad that slipped to 8-5 in first year post-Cam; they're 8-9 vs spread away from home in Chizik era, 7-7 as an underdog. Clemson spent serious $$$ on defensive assistants in offseason, after giving up 70 points in bowl meltdown. Clemson is 14-11 vs spread last 25 games as favorite, but covered just three of last 11 on neutral fields. Boyd has good year in first season as Clemson QB (33 TD, 12 INT).

Proud Michigan program getting 14 points on a neutral field? Since '07, Wolverines are 7-11 vs spread as underdog, but they've got senior QB here with 27 career starts (1,349 YR, 2,173 PY LY). Problem for them is this; since '08, Alabama is 28-16 vs spread when favored. Tide is 48-6 in last four seasons- they crushed Michigan State 49-7 in bowl game two years ago. Junior QB McCarron threw only five INTs in 328 passes LY and won national title. Tide did lose five starters on offense, six more on defense and they have new OC in former Saints' QB Nussmeier.

Washington has trip to LSU on deck, better not look past San Diego St, squad that is 6-3 vs spread as road underdog last three years. Aztecs are breaking in new QB and three new starters on OL, but Huskies lost their bowl 67-56 LY, so the OC got a better job and the DC got fired- they've got 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense. Huskies' QB Price has 13 career starts; both his starting tackles are new this season. Washington is 6-4 as home favorite under Sarkisian, after it was 5-19 as home favorite from '02-'08.

UAB is 4-3 in its last seven games vs Troy State; teams split couple of 1-point decisions the last two years. Trojans gained 520+ total yards in last three meetings, but lost three of last four visits here, with two of the three losses by a single point. Blazers lost seven starters on defense and four on offense; they're 7-3-1 vs spread as home underdogs since 2008. Troy has nine starters back on offense, six on defense from 3-9 team, the worst in Blakeney's 21 years with Trojans, who are 3-7 vs spread as a road favorite the last three seasons.

Duke (+4) won 31-27 at Florida International LY, after trailing by 10 in 4th quarter; FIU outgained them 568-394, throwing ball for 392 yards. Blue Devils have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense-- they're 4-3-1 vs spread as home favorite under Cutcliffe. Panthers are 7-6/8-5 last two seasons, first two winning year for program that started in '04. FIU has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense from that that lost to Marshall in Beef O'Brady's Bowl, 20-10. FIU is breaking in new QB but has four starters back on offensive line.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 10:02 AM

Here is my Best Bets Day Games. Evening Games post later.

Just sides no totals............Good Luck !

NCAAF

Saturday, September 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Notre Dame - 9:00 AM ET Notre Dame -17 500
Navy -

Troy - 12:00 PM ET Troy -6 500
Alabama-Birmingham -

Buffalo - 12:00 PM ET Georgia -37.5 500
Georgia -

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern -1.5 500
Syracuse -

Miami (Ohio) - 12:00 PM ET Miami (Ohio) +22.5 500
Ohio State -

Ohio - 12:00 PM ET Ohio +6 500
Penn State -

Marshall - 12:00 PM ET Marshall +24 500
West Virginia -

Western Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Illinois -10 500
Illinois -

Nevada - 3:00 PM ET California -10.5 500
California -

Bowling Green - 3:30 PM ET Florida -29 500
Florida -

Tulsa - 3:30 PM ET Iowa State +1.5 500
Iowa State -

Miami - 3:30 PM ET Miami +1 500
Boston College -

Southern Mississippi - 3:30 PM ET Southern Mississippi +19.5 500
Nebraska -

Iowa - 3:30 PM ET Iowa -10 500
Northern Illinois -

Colorado State - 4:00 PM ET Colorado State +6 500
Colorado -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27402 Followers:33
09/01/2012 05:59 PM

Evening Games:


Florida International - 7:00 PM ET Florida International +4 500
Duke -

Hawaii - 7:30 PM ET Southern California -39.5 500
Southern California -

Texas State - 8:00 PM ET Houston -36.5 500
Houston -

Wyoming - 8:00 PM ET Texas -29 500
Texas -

Rutgers - 8:00 PM ET Rutgers -20 500
Tulane -

Michigan - 8:00 PM ET Michigan +13 500
Alabama -

San Diego State - 10:30 PM ET San Diego State +14.5 500
Washington -

Oklahoma - 10:30 PM ET Oklahoma -30.5 500
Texas El Paso -

Toledo - 10:30 PM ET Toledo +10 500
Arizona -

Arkansas State - 10:30 PM ET Oregon -35.5 500
Oregon -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: