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Colorado versus Colorado State

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On 08/27/2012 12:46 AM in NCAA Football
Colorado is coming off a bad season in the PAC 12. Colorado State didnt produce much better in a weaker conference. I ran the lines formula on the year end stats from these two teams and it indicated that Colorado would have been a 10 point favorite on a neutral field.

However, the formula does not take into account Returning starters in the early games of the season. Of course returning starters can and does have a major impact on the following years Vegas line.

Colorado 3 Offensive Returning Starters 6 Defensive Returning Starters (Last Year Starting QB is gone)

Colorado State 7 Offensive Returning Starters (Last Years QB is gone) 8 Returning Starters on Defense

The Game is at Colorado State and the line currently is Colorado by 6.5 Points

Not an easy game to analyze due to the difference in competition. Colorado obviously plays better teams throughout the season. However, Colorado State is a solid program.

How would you pick this one ? Does Colorado have too little coming back to cover this spread at Colorado State ?
Or is the talent levels different enough that Colorado will win this by 7 points with the new starters coming in ?

What about the Over/Under ? Doesn't look like much offense in this one.

What do you think ?
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Pfile Nickname btb
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08/27/2012 10:21 AM
It used to be that these two would battle it out but the Colorado St program has gone down in recent years. I like that Cst has a nice core of returning starters so I would lean towards the points here but dont like the game
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