cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
On 08/23/2012 12:30 PM in MLB

Cnotes Thursday's MLB Best Bets !

Am short of time so this is what am going with. I'll be back later with the rest of the news and notes. I haven't seen M/L's like this since Randy Johnson was with Seattle and Roger Clemens with the sox.....wowwwwwwwwww...I usually would go with the dog but i think these dogs are overmatched but you never know.....good luck !

Thursday, August 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 1:05 PM ET Detroit -280 500
Detroit - Over 7.5 500

Colorado - 1:10 PM ET Colorado +143 500
NY Mets - Under 8 500

Houston - 1:45 PM ET St. Louis -300 500
St. Louis - Over 8.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:29 PM

Thursday, August 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cincinnati - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia -112 500
Philadelphia - Over 7 500

LA Angels - 7:10 PM ET LA Angels -107 500
Boston - Under 9.5 500

Oakland - 7:10 PM ET Oakland +167 500
Tampa Bay - Under 8 500

Minnesota - 8:05 PM ET Minnesota +155 500
Texas - Over 10 500

Atlanta - 10:15 PM ET Atlanta -117 500
San Francisco - Over 7.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:32 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Oakland at Tampa Bay
The A's look to build on their 12-3 record in their last 15 Thursday games. Oakland is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 23

Game 901-902: Colorado at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Chatwood) 15.695; NY Mets (McHugh) 14.154
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 903-904: Houston at St. Louis (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 12.630; St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.255
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-310); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-310); Under

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.026; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.129
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-105); Over

Game 909-910: Atlanta at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 17.166; San Francisco (Zito) 15.858
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-115); Under

Game 911-912: Toronto at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Happ) 14.106; Detroit (Verlander) 15.274
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-300); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-300); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.035; Boston (Morales) 13.972
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-110); Over

Game 915-916: Oakland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Ross) 16.402; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 16.279
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Under

Game 917-918: Minnesota at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.064; Texas (Oswalt) 16.493
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-200); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:33 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, August 23

Hot pitchers
-- Westbrook is 5-1, 3.05 in his last six starts.
-- Cueto is 7-1, 2.78 in his last eight starts. Hamels is 3-0, 1.05 in last three outings.
-- Hanson is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.

-- Verlander is 1-0, 2.57 in his last three starts. Happ is 2-0, 3.86 in his last couple starts.
-- Tampa Bay won Cobb's last four starts (3-0, 4.18).
-- Diamond is 2-1, 2.68 in his last five starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Chatwood is 2-2, 5.40 in four starts for Colorado. McHugh is making his MLB debut; he was
-- Keuchel is 0-5, 7.88 in his last seven starts.
-- Zito is 1-2, 7.36 in his last five starts.

-- Wilson is 0-4, 7.93 in his last seven starts. Morales is 2-3, 5.40 in his last five starts.
-- Ross is 0-5, 7.04 in his last six starts, last of which was June 28.
-- Oswalt is 1-1, 4.50 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Colorado won eight of its last ten games.
-- Cardinals won three of their last four games.
-- Reds won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Giants won five of their last six games.

-- Detroit won five of its last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay won 18 of its last 24 games. A's won six of their last seven.
-- Rangers won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Astros lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Braves lost four of their last five games.

-- Blue Jays lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last eight games. Angels are 4-6 in last ten on road, but they won the last two nights.
-- Twins lost 10 of their last 12 games.

Totals
-- Four of Mets' last five games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Houston's last seventeen games.
-- Seven of last eight Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven San Francisco games went over the total.

-- Under is 6-2-1 in Verlander's last nine starts.
-- 15 of last 20 Angel games went over the total.
-- 22 of last 31 Tampa Bay games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Diamond starts went over the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:34 PM

MLB

Thursday, August 23

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
TORONTO vs. DETROIT
Toronto is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Detroit is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home

1:10 PM
COLORADO vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Colorado's last 21 games on the road
NY Mets are 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Colorado

1:45 PM
HOUSTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Houston is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of St. Louis's last 24 games when playing at home against Houston
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Cincinnati is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

7:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. BOSTON
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Boston is 15-5 SU in their last 20 games when playing LA Angels

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games on the road
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

8:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota

10:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:35 PM

MLB

Thursday, August 23

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Thursday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Jake Westbrook, St. Louis Cardinals (12-9, 3.50)

Westbrook’s stellar pitching as of late has earned him a contract extension with the Cardinals through the 2013 season and includes a mutual option for the 2014 campaign. The right-hander has earned victories in five of his last six starts and hasn’t surrendered more than two runs in each of his last three outings. He takes on the lowly Astros next time out.

Johnny Cueto, Cincinnati Reds (16-6, 2.44)

Cueto tossed a gem Saturday to become the first NL hurler to 16 wins this season. The righty has earned victories in seven of his last eight starts but has a tough draw opposite Cole Hamels and the Phillies on Thursday.


SLUMPING

C.J. Wilson, Los Angeles Angels (9-9, 3.62)

Wilson allowed seven runs on six hits in just 4 2/3 innings against the Rays on Saturday to add to his dismal run of 10 consecutive winless starts. The lefty’s last victory came way back on June 26 against the Orioles. He toes the rubber in Boston at hitter-friendly Fenway Park next.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:36 PM

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, August 23

National League

Colorado at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
Chatwood: Colorado 11-27 SU in day games
Santana: NY Mets 12-1 SU when playing on Thursday

Houston at St. Louis, 1:45 ET
Keuchel: Houston 5-34 Su as a road underdog of +150
Westbrook: ST Louis 19-4 SU at home after 2 games with no HRS

Cincinnati at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Cueto: 26-12 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5
Hamels: 3-16 SU after a one run loss

Atlanta at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Hanson: 8-0 TSR against NL West opponents
Zito: San Francisco 14-21 SU after 2 or more wins


American League

Toronto at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Happ: Toronto 24-13 SU after having lost 4 of their last 5
Verlander: Detroit 12-21 SU after a win by 2 runs or less

LA Angels at Boston, 7:10 ET MLB
Wilson: 2-8 TSR in the second half of the season
Morales: Boston 143-81 SU after batting .225 or worse over 5 games

Oakland at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET MLB
Ross: Oakland 9-3 SU when playing on Thursday
Cobb: Tampa Bay 19-20 SU at home with a hot BP whose ERA is under 3.00

Minnesota at Texas, 8:05 ET
Diamond: Minnesota 14-34 SU in August
Oswalt: 43-12 TSR in August

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:37 PM

Thursday's betting tips: Pujols quest. with calf injury

WEATHER TO WATCH

The wind will be blowing out to right field at around 10 mph AT&T Park for tonight’s game in San Francisco between the Giants and Braves. It will also be slightly chilly in the mid-50s.

WHO'S HOT?

Anthony Calvillo of the Montreal Alouettes. Calvillo has six straight games with over 300 yards passing and has led the Als to two straight wins and covers. The over/under is edging upward for tonight’s game against Hamilton – it was 60 Wednesday night and had moved to 60.5 Thursday morning.

WHO'S NOT?

The Arizona Cardinals. They are they the only team to go 0-3 against the spread so far in the NFL preseason. They face Tennessee tonight on the road as 3-point underdogs.

KEY STAT

40 percent. The Ravens have scored just two times in five red zone trips through two preseason games. They say they are going to be working on scoring touchdowns in tonight’s preseason game at home against Jacksonville, perhaps if it means giving away a chance at a field goal. They scored 25 touchdowns in their 49 red-zone possessions last season, a mediocre 17th the league for a touchdown percentage of 51.

GAME OF THE DAY

Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants (-106, 7.5)

INJURY THAT SHOULDN'T BE OVERLOOKED

Albert Pujols. The Angels’ slugger had two hits Wednesday night in a 7-3 win over Boston but suffered a calf injury while running the bases that has left him questionable for today’s game in Boston. According to the OC Register, “Pujols is 8 for 19 over the past five games with a .729 slugging percentage over his past 21 games, a major-league high 14 home runs since the All-Star break and 28 of his 82 RBIs since May 6. The Angels are -108 faves today with a total set at 8.5.

NOTABLE QUOTABLE

"It really pays to win one of the Playoffs events. It doesn't really pay to be consistent." – Luke Donald on the FedEx Cup playoff system on the PGA Tour.

BETTING NEWS AND NOTES

The FedEx Cup playoffs begin this week on the PGA Tour. In case you need a referesher of how they work - and you do - here's a link that lays it all out.

From PGAtour.com: ”Sergio Garcia has the second-best stroke average in the history of the FedExCup Playoffs. In 55 rounds in Playoffs event, his stroke average is 69.02. Only Woods (67.75) has a better stroke average.”

There was no line out for either the A’s-Rays game or the Twins-Rangers game as of Thursday morning. However, linesmaking service The Sports Club in Las Vegas originally had these odds set at -150 and -185 respectively on the overnight line. The totals were set at 8 and 10.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27306 Followers:33
08/23/2012 05:38 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Adrian Beltre had three homers in first four innings Wednesday, hitting two in fourth inning alone, as Texas spanked the Orioles.

-- Brian LaHair his his first homer since All-Star game Wednesday; Cubs should trade him somewhere where he can get ABs next season. Guy was on the All-Star team, now they never play him.

-- People are betting under on Miami's win total for this year; wonder if Hard Knocks has anything to do with it?

-- Mets threw towel in on 2012, shutting down Johan Santana, who was never the same after getting hurt covering first base in a game. Its easy to criticize them for letting him throw 134 pitches in his no-hitter, but it is unclear if that is what caused his decline the last two months.

-- St Louis passed the Pirates in the race for the second NL Wild Card; been a rough road trip for Bucs, who come home this weekend.

-- A's got blindsided by Bartolo Colon's suspension; they never would've sent Dan Straily down if they knew- they can't bring him back for at least 10 days, and they used Blackley in long relief earlier this week. A's had to bring Tyson Ross up to make the emergency start tonight in St Pete.


************


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.........

13) If I was NFL Commissioner for a day, I’d legalize celebrations, but only after touchdowns; not after first downs or sacks or successful replay challenges. Players work hard; they should be allowed some fun after they score points, but problem is, it got out of hand so the league shut it down. People like the celebrations, I think; it wouldn’t hurt anyone to allow them.

12) Football is one game where the majority of players never touch the ball/puck. Seems obvious, but it never really dawned on me until just now.

11) Toronto’s Randy Romero became just second pitcher in last 20 years (Greg Reynolds, ’08) to walk 8+ batters in a game, without striking anyone out. Romero is 0-10 in his last 11 starts, and Jays were down two runs in 9th inning in the no-decision.

10) Kevin Youkilis hit a grand slam Tuesday, after hitting one for Boston (against the White Sox) earlier this year; Elias Sports Bureau reports that makes Youkilis the first player since 1952 to hit a grand slam for and against the same team in the same season.

9) Free agent-to-be Nick Swisher is going to ask for seven years, $126M? Anyone have Heidi Klum’s phone number? I want to ask her out; I’ve got a better chance of dating her than Swisher does of making $18M a year for seven years. Seriously, thats fantasy land.

8) Felix Hernandez swears he won’t leave Seattle as a free agent; makes sense, quiet city, good pitcher’s park, but if I ran the Mariners, I’d like to get that promise in writing.

7) Oakland shortstops are hitting a combined .188 this year, which explains the Stephen Drew trade; last team to have their SS’s with such a dismal batting average was the ’77 Tigers, with a .177 average.

6) Nationals have now won 12 of their last 17 games against Atlanta, as Davey Johnson cements his bid to be a Hall of Fame manager.

5) Minor league SS Billy Hamilton set all-time minor league stolen base record; he has 147 this season, breaking Vince Coleman’s record. Hamilton is in the Cincinnati farm system.

4) Chris Paul had thumb surgery this week, is out for eight weeks, which puts him on schedule to return about two weeks before the start of the season. Just when the Clippers get a good team, the Lakers go out and get Nash/Howard, reasserting themselves as the basketball boss of LA.

3) Florida State might start four sophomores on its offensive line this year, after finishing 104th in country (out of 120 teams) in rushing yardage LY. Hard to win consistently running ball that poorly.

2) Best part of HBO’s Hard Knocks this week was when Miami coaches told Matt Moore in two different meetings (position coach first, then the head coach) he wasn’t the #1 QB anymore. They’re throwing clichés at him, while Moore is biting his tongue, saying the right things, and trying like hell to get out of the room and out of camera view as fast as possible.

1) Miami’s biggest problem with rookie Taneyhill playing QB is that he might also be their best WR; they’re weak there, and Taneyhill played WR for two years at Texas A&M, before getting moved to QB.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: