cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
On 09/16/2011 05:26 PM in MLB

Cnotes Friday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA-CFL !

Brewers Open Up Series At Cincinnati Reds

The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds begin a three-game series Friday night from Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. (ET).

The Brewers currently own a six-game lead in the National League Central division over the St. Louis Cardinals with exactly 13 games left on the schedule for both teams. Cincinnati goes into this series in third place in their division, a full 14 games out of first place and mathematically eliminated from playoff contention.

Starting for the Brewers on Friday night will be their veteran left-handed pitcher Randy Wolf (12-9, 3.44 ERA), who is 2-0 (team is 3-0 in that span) in his last three road starts. Wolf has pitched against the Reds twice this season, with the Brewers going 1-1 in those games.

Pitching for the Reds at home will be Bronson Arroyo (8-11, 5.28 ERA), who has only picked up one victory in his last 13 starts overall. Arroyo has started 10 games this season in which he has allowed five or more runs and Friday may be no different with Milwaukee’s potent offense in town.

Wolf and Arroyo faced each other back on April 3rd in Cincinnati and the Reds were able to come up with the victory, 12-3. The win came behind a stellar pitching performance by Arroyo (7 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 0 BB, 5 K) and a real tough start from Wolf (4 IP, 10 H, 6 ER, 2 BB, 5 K).

Milwaukee begins a 6-game road trip with this series against the Reds followed by a trip to Wrigley Field to face the Chicago Cubs. The Brewers finish the regular season with a 6-game home stand against the Marlins and Pirates.

Cincinnati on the other hand will be in the middle of a 10-game home stand when they face the Brewers on Friday night. The Reds will follow this three-game set against Milwaukee with three games against the last place Houston Astros.

The Reds currently lead the season series 8-5 (5-1 in Cincinnati) over Milwaukee. The Brewers are 3-14 in their last 17 meetings in Cincinnati, while Arroyo is 4-1 in his last five starts against Milwaukee.

The ‘over’ is 12-3-1 in Arroyo’s last 16 starts versus a team with a winning record and the Reds are hitting left-handed pitchers a full 12 points higher at home this season.

Friday night’s forecast shows partly cloudy skies and a pretty frigid night for baseball with a temperature of approximately 49 degrees

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:32 PM

Diamond Trends - Friday

September 16, 2011

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Royals are 0-10 since May 18, 2010 within 20 cents of pickem when they are off a win in which they never trailed and it is not the first game of a series, if they had not lost 3+ straight entering that win for a net profit of $1025 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Mariners are 0-10 OU since July 08, 2010 as a home dog vs a team that has won at least their last three games for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.


STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Twins are 11-0 since June 18, 2008 when Kevin Slowey starts at home after giving up no walks and away for a net profit of $1120.


MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Blue Jays are 0-17 O/U (-2.5 rpg) in database history (since 2004) when it’s in the first two games of a series and not in the first seven games of the year, if they benefitted from at least three errors last game.


TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Orioles are 6-0 since August 05, 2010 as a home 140+ dog when they blew a lead in their starter’s last start and lost for a net profit of $980.

The Dodgers are 0-10-1 OU since April 24, 2010 as a 140+ favorite after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $1000 when playing the under.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:35 PM

Friday’s betting tips: BSU cashing in big on the road

Who’s hot

NCAAF: Boise State has covered in 20 of its last 27 road games.

MLB: The Atlanta Braves are 8-3 in Derek Lowe’s last 11 home starts.

CFL: The under is 11-4 in Hamilton’s last 15 home games.

WNBA: Minnesota has covered in eight of its last 10 overall.

Who’s not

NCAAF: The under is just 7-19 in Iowa State’s last 26 overall.

MLB: Colorado is 5-11 in its last 16 meetings with San Francisco.

CFL: Edmonton is 3-11 against the spread in its last 14 meetings with Hamilton.

WNBA: Atlanta is 2-5 against the spread in its last seven meetings with Connecticut.

Key stat

6.38 – The Minnesota Lynx led the WNBA with a +6.38 rebounding margin in the regular season and should have a huge advantage on the glass against the San Antonio Silver Stars. San Antonio finished last in the league with a -5.68 rebounding margin. The Lynx are set as 10-point home favorites Friday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Shin-Soo Choo, Cleveland Indians – Choo returned to the lineup Thursday after spending three weeks on the DL with an oblique injury, but exited in the first inning after an awkward swing at the plate.

Game of the day

No. 4 Boise State at Toledo (20, 60.5)

Notable quotable

“This defense forces you to be on your A game every play. It’s an up front defense and you know what to expect and we will play close to people. We play so close, and as guys get more comfortable and are anticipating passes and trying to get our hands on it. We want to get hands on these balls.” – Connecticut cornerback Blidi Wreh-Wilson. The Huskies are set as 4-point home favorites to Iowa State.

Notes and tips

It sounds as though we could see all three Connecticut quarterbacks in action again Friday. Many thought Johnny McEntee would sit following a three-interception performance in last week’s loss to Vanderbilt, but coach Paul Pasqualoni says McEntee, Michael Nebrich, and Scott McCummings should all play against Iowa State. McEntee is expected to start with Nebrich coming on for a bit in the second quarter, while McCummings will run the wildcat as needed.

The Maryland Terrapins have suspended Quintin McCree and Ronnie Tyler, two of their top three receivers for unspecified violations of team rules. Mcree is second on the team with seven catches with Tyler just behind with six. Maryland is set as a 1-point favorite at home to West Virginia following the club’s bye.

After winning their first five games, the Edmonton Eskimos have dropped four of five heading into Friday’s date with the Tiger-Cats in Hamilton. They’re also riding a 1-5 slump against the number and are set as a 5-point underdog.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:36 PM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- This week is the first one since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger that there are no divisional games on the schedule. Not one.

-- Tampa Bay Rays are where the A's were 10 years ago; really strong starting pitching, and contributions from unusual position players.

-- Last night was 105th time LSU-Mississippi State played football, but first time when both teams were nationally ranked.

-- What does ESPN see in Chris James as a game analyst? Jesse Palmer is surprisingly good; James is abrasive and hard to listen to. Plus, he had a college football coach fired because the guy didn't play his kid. Jerk.

-- Buffalo Bills have the most guys who weigh 300+ pounds-- 16.

-- ESPN reports that Justin Rose is leading a PGA Tour event after the first round for the 12th time, but won only one of previous eleven.


***************


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend.......

13) How will Michael Vick be received in Atlanta Sunday night?

12) Over the last decade, favorite is 8-0 vs spread in Baltimore’s next game after beating the Steelers, with Ravens 4-0 when favored, so they haven’t lost to lesser teams coming off their big win.

11) Auburn weaseled out two home wins when they looked dead in both games; now their inexperienced squad heads on road for first time, visiting a Clemson team that lost on the Plains by a FG LY. Should be fun.

10) How will the Lions do in a game they’re expected to win? Records I have go back 10 years; Detroit hasn't been favored to win a game by 7+ points since at least 2000.

9) UCLA thought they had a breakthrough win at Texas LY, but then the Longhorns fell apart, so the win wound up not looking so good. Now Texas is visiting Pasadena, and both sides might use three QBs. Its never good when a team uses three QBs in the first half.

8) All these new NFL stadiums are nice, but tickets are so expensive now, they’ve priced a lot of avid fans out of attending games, so wine/cheese crowd goes and they don’t make much noise. Winner of the Charger-Patriot game is the early favorite to win the AFC. Tom Brady has asked for better crowd support this week. We’ll see if the Foxboro faithful put their Cabernet down long enough to make some noise.

7) Cam Newton was off the charts in his debut last week, but was it his advanced skill, or Arizona’s hideous pass defense? The defending champs are in Charlotte this week, a much tougher test for young Mr Newton.

6) Can Tampa Bay win at least three of four in Fenway and keep the AL Wild Card race interesting? The two losses during week in Baltimore didn’t help their cause any.

5) Temple is only an 8.5-point home underdog against Penn State; this spread tells me the Owls have a chance to spring a huge upset. Nittany Lions aren’t getting good QB play, which you need to win on road, but Temple is stepping up way up in class this week after crushing putrid Akron last week.

4) Denver Broncos are 5-22-1 vs spread in their last 28 games as a home favorite; some of the crowd wanted Tebow to play in relief of Orton Monday night, so Denver needs to beat the Bengals, in a game that is probably the most points Denver will be favored by all season, and Orton needs to do enough to shut the critics up.

3) Can Notre Dame win a game? I mean, not like Denard Robinson is freakin’ Dan Fouts, but the Wolverine QB was 7-10/202 with three TDs against the Irish last week, in the fourth quarter alone. Michigan State’s senior QB Cousins is a way better passer than Robinson, though he doesn’t possess the running threat. This is an interesting game.

2) Raiders have a very short work and a very long road trip as Buffalo tries for a 2-0 start; Bills looked tough in crushing the Chiefs last week, but hard to tell how much of it was Buffalo’s improvement and how much was the Chiefs not being very good. Winner of this game will be a surprising 2-0.

1) Rams lost Jackson/Amendola to injury last week, but at least Bradford will play in the Swamp; St Louis has to stay close early, put ton of pressure on immobile Eli Manning and hope fickle Swamp fans turn on Big Blue. This is Rams’ first Monday night game in five years. Both sides are very hungry for a win.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:38 PM

CFL
Dunkel


Week 12

Edmonton at Hamilton
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 291-292: Edmonton at Hamilton (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 105.472; Hamilton 114.917
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 9 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5); Under

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

Game 293-294: Toronto at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 107.625; Saskatchewan 112.199
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7); Over

Game 295-296: BC at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 116.631; Calgary 116.423
Dunkel Line: Even; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+5); Over

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18

Game 297-298: Winnipeg at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 112.821; Montreal 117.881
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 8; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+8); Under




CFL
Long Sheet


Week 12

Friday, September 16

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EDMONTON (6 - 4) at HAMILTON (5 - 5) - 9/16/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 17

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TORONTO (2 - 8) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 7) - 9/17/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 6) at CALGARY (7 - 3) - 9/17/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 18

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WINNIPEG (7 - 3) at MONTREAL (6 - 4) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 12

Edmonton (6-4) @ Hamilton (7-3)-- TiCats are 4-0 at home, averaging 37 ppg- they lost 28-10 (+1.5) at Edmonton way back in Week 2, when Eskimos were on way to 5-0 start. Eskimos have now lost four of last five games, scoring 20 or less points in each loss- they scored 24+ in all six of their wins. All four Eskimo losses are by 10+ points. Eight of last nine Edmonton games stayed under the total; six of last seven Hamilton games went over. .

Toronto (2-8) @ Saskatchewan (3-7)-- Roughriders (+2.5) lost 24-18 at Toronto three weeks ago, at which point they were 1-7; a bye, coaching change and two upset wins over Winnipeg later, and Riders are hoping to make playoffs again. Argos lost last five road games, by 6-23-1-5-22 points- they're 3-3 as a road dog. Saskatchewan is favored this week for first time since its season opener. Last three Toronto games and six of last eight Roughrider games stayed under the total.

BCLions (4-6) @ Calgary (7-3)-- Stampeders (+1.5) upset Lions 34-32 back in Week 2, despite turning ball over five times; Calgary won five of last six games- they're 2-3 as home favorites, with wins by 12-7 points. Lions won four of last five games after 0-5 start; they allowed just 7.7 ppg in winning last three games. Calgary is 6-0 when it scores more than 21 points, 1-3 when it doesn't. Last six BC games stayed under the total. Lions allowed 16 or less points in their wins, 25+ in their losses.

Winnipeg (7-3) @ Montreal (6-4)-- Dogs are 8-2 against spread this year in Winnipeg games; Bombers got whacked 27-7/45-23 in last two games by Saskatchewan squad that had been 1-7. Winnipeg won three of four road games- they're 3-0 as a road underdog. Alouettes won four of their five home games- they're 3-2 as home favorite, winning home games by 4-23-23-30 points. Under is 7-3 in Winnipeg games, 3-1 on road; over is 7-3 in Montreal games, but only 2-3 at home.




CFL


Week 12

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Trend Report
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Friday, September 16

7:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton


Saturday, September 17

4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing on the road against Calgary
British Columbia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia


Sunday, September 18

1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games


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CFL


Week 12

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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 12 betting preview and picks
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Edmonton Eskimos at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-5, 50.5)

Both the Eskimos and Tiger-Cats had a brutal reality check last week.

Edmonton, plagued with injuries, must find a way to stop its skid after a strong start, while the Tiger-Cats need to rebuild their confidence after being mauled by the Alouettes.

To fill a gap in the secondary, Hamilton will move CB Ryan Hinds to safety and Jason Shivers will take the spot of all-star LB Markeith Knowlton, who missed practices this week and probably won’t play this Friday.

On offense, expect to see Aaron Kelly taking over for rookie Bakari Grant, who dropped a few easy passes against the Alouettes last Sunday. Center Marwan Hage is doubtful and Mark Dewitt should replace him for a second week in a row .

While the Eskimos also have a long injury list, keep in mind the Tiger-Cats will be playing their third game in eleven days and fatigue is expected. But that shouldn’t be enough for the Eskimos to pick up a win in Hamilton, where they’ve gone just 1-8 since 2003. Their last win at Ivor Wynne Stadium goes back to 2008.

Pick: Hamilton


Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7, 50.5)

The return of Andy Fantuz didn’t produce a bang but the Roughriders kept rolling nonetheless. Despite resting for a few days and missing practices, MLB Barrin Simpson will play. Same goes for RB Wes Cates, who was also granted a day off.

Toronto's QB change didn’t turn things around, even if Steven Jyles has nowhere to go but up after Cleo Lemon. The acquisition of WR Preachae Rodriguez will bring more vertical plays but that isn’t enough to make this team competitive.

In the past, Jyles has proven inconsistent and is with his fourth team in six seasons. The Argos offense is the worst in the league with an average of 19.8 points per game while their defense is giving up 28 points per game.

Another revealing stat: The Argos have scored only 12 touchdowns in 25 trips inside their opponents’ 20-yard line. Plus, they haven’t scored a TD since the third quarter of their game against Saskatchewan on August 18. That’s more than 140 minutes of football without a major.

Pick: Saskatchewan


B.C. Lions at Calgary Stampeders (-4.5, 50.5)

The Lions have had a terrible start but they can put themselves back in the thick of a pennant race by playing six of their next eight games against West Division rivals.

Geroy Simon, the second-best receiver in the CFL behind Montreal’s Jamal Richardson, has 812 yards and is heading towards a ninth-consecutive 1,000-yard season.

The Stampeders offense, led by Henry Burris, can still light up the scoreboard even without receiver Jabari Arthur (thigh) and it will be interesting to see how it fares against a stout B.C. defense that gave up no touchdowns and only 23 points in its last three games.

Besides Arthur, linebacker Brandon Isaac (groin) and DE Charleston Hughes should be out of the Stampeders lineup. The good news for Calgary is that LBs Juwan Simpson and Malik Jackson should play after nursing injuries.

The Leos defense has multiple threats up front and a strong secondary, but most importantly features MLB Solomon Elimimian, who can already be considered the best defensive player of the CFL. He leads the league with 62 tackles.

Also keep in mind that the Lions won in their two visits to McMahon Stadium last season.

Pick: B.C.


Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes (-7.5, 52.5)

Injuries are taking their toll on the Blue Bombers, who will have to go on without MLB Joe Lobendahn (knee) for the remainder of the season. Quarterback Buck Pierce (ribs) could miss Sunday’s game, which would bring substitute Alex Brink under center. Young receiver Kito Poblah (shoulder) won’t play either against the Alouettes.

Those injuries aren’t the only concerns for Winnipeg, which just can’t seem to run the ball and has coughed up 10 turnovers in the past two games. Those losses of possession resulted in a 72-30 stomping in the Banjo Bowl - a cold shower for Winnipeg fans who love to brag about “Swaggerville”.

The Alouettes seem back on track after a few bumps, despite the numerous casualties on defense. Although, Seth Williams and Marc-Olivier Brouillette, both off the nine-game injured list, have stepped up nicely.

Pick: Montreal


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:40 PM

WNBA
Long Sheet


Friday, September 16

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ATLANTA (20 - 14) at CONNECTICUT (21 - 13) - 9/16/2011, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 6-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (18 - 16) at MINNESOTA (27 - 7) - 9/16/2011, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

WNBA
Dunkel


Atlanta at Connecticut
The Dream look to take advantage of a Connecticut team that is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 conference semifinal games. Atlanta is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 655-656: Atlanta at Connecticut (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.396; Connecticut 116.498
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 158
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 3 1/2; 164 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: San Antonio at Minnesota (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 110.170; Minnesota 121.860
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 11 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 9; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-9); Over




WNBA


Friday, September 16


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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Connecticut is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:41 PM

MLB


Friday, September 16

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Friday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Javier Vazquez, Florida Marlins (10-11, 4.13 ERA)

There is some talk that Vazquez may call it a career after this season and if that’s true, he’s going out with a bang. The veteran has allowed just a single run over his last three starts with 20 strikeouts compared to three walks.

"He's been pitching unbelievably. And when you see a guy doing that and not getting anything out of it, as a position player we feel guilty," Florida first baseman Gaby Sanchez told reporters recently. "It's been amazing the turnaround from the beginning of the year to now. He's got his velocity back, he's doing everything out there."

James Shields Tampa Bay Rays (15-10, 2.70 ERA)

Shields already has a career-high 15 wins on the year and nearly picked up his 12th complete game in his last start. He left with one out in the ninth during a 9-1 win over Boston, giving up a solo home run and seven hits. The big righty has now allowed just three earned runs over his last four starts, including a pair of complete games over that span.


Slumping

Tim Stauffer, San Diego Padres (8-12, 3.87 ERA)

Stauffer has to be counting the days to the end of the regular season at this point. He hasn’t won since Aug. 18 and is working on a fat 9.69 ERA in three starts since then.

"Physically and mentally I feel strong and good,'' Stauffer told reporters recently. “I'm just not executing as well as I need to be. I'm just not putting guys away when I have a chance to.''

Alex White, Colorado Rockies (3-1, 6.32 ERA)

Don’t let White’s 3-1 record fool you because this guy has been awful in his four starts with Colorado. He has allowed nine home runs and has an 8.18 ERA. The Rockies have averaged 5.5 runs in his starts and they’ll need to keep that up to help him out. White gave up five homers in a 12-7 win over Cincinnati in his last start, upping his total to nine dingers allowed since coming over from Cleveland.


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MLB


Friday, September 16

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Hot lines: Friday’s best MLB bets
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Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds (105, N/A)

All of a sudden it doesn’t sound like everything is peachy in Milwaukee’s clubhouse. On the heels of K-Rod’s comments that he wasn’t happy with his setup role, Prince Fielder came out and told everybody that this is “probably” going to be his last season with the Brewers.

Considering the team’s cap situation and the fact that he’s due to become a free agent, this isn’t shocking news, but the timing of a statement definitely is. The Brewers have been on a major slide, watching their lead in the NL Central shrink to 5.5 games ahead of Thursday’s action, so they don’t have time for this stuff.

Still, manager Doug Melvin tried to extinguish the controversy.

"If players give you the same old clichés, then they get criticized for the same old clichés," Melvin told reporters. "Both players spoke what they felt, and I respect that. I don't have a major issue with that as long as these guys go out and play the game. Nobody plays the game harder than Prince Fielder, and nobody is as big a competitor as K-Rod."

We tend to agree and against Bronson Arroyo, any team’s a good bet.

Pick: Brewers


Florida Marlins at Washington Nationals (-115, 7.5)

Don’t look now, but the Washington Nationals are on a bit of a hot streak. They beat up on the New York Mets 10-1 on Thursday to secure a four-game series sweep in the Big Apple.

Ian Desmond did most of the damage at the dish, picking up five hits and driving in three runs, while rookie Tommy Milone threw 5 2/3 solid innings to notch the first MLB win of his career.

They have now won five straight games, outscoring the opposition 26-6 over that stretch as they moved ahead of the Mets into third spot in the NL East. However, they will have their work cut out for them Friday against Florida’s Javier Vazquez. The veteran has given up just one run over his last three starts.

The Marlins have beaten up on the Nats all season and this winning streak has run its course.

Pick: Marlins


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:42 PM

MLB
Dunkel


Houston at Chicago Cubs
The Astros look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 2-7 in Matt Garza's last 9 starts in Game 1 of a series. Houston is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 901-902: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 16.076; Cubs (Garza) 14.199
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-160); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); N/A

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 15.659; Philadelphia (Worley) 16.464
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Over

Game 905-906: Florida at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Vazquez) 14.706; Washington (Lannan) 14.986
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.867; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.863
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Over

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Capuano) 13.338; Atlanta (Lowe) 16.031
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-160); Over

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.280; Colorado (White) 15.448
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Under

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.887; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.301
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-105); Over

Game 915-916: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 13.742; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.416
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-185); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-185); Under

Game 917-918: LA Angels at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 16.168; Baltimore (Hunter) 17.323
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Over

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.505; Toronto (Cecil) 15.109
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Under

Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 16.235; Boston (Beckett) 14.500
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Over

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Humber) 13.484; Kansas City (Paulino) 15.780
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Under

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jimenez) 13.556; Minnesota (Slowey) 14.502
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

Game 927-928: Detroit at Oakland (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 15.924; Oakland (Cahill) 15.589
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 17.601; Seattle (Beavan) 14.528
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-190); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-190); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:43 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up


Friday, September 16

Hot pitchers
-- Cubs won last three Garza starts (2-0, 3.38).
-- Worley is 3-1, 3.14 in his last five starts.
-- Vazquez is 3-0, 0.45 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 6-1, 3.19 in his last nine starts.
-- Bumgarner is 4-0, 1.30 in his last four starts.
-- Miley is 3-0, 3.38 in his last four starts.

-- Haren is 2-1, 1.99 in his last three starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-1, 2.33 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 2.59 against the Blue Jays this season.
-- Shields is 4-0, 0.79 in his last four starts. Beckett is 3-0, 3.42 in his last four starts; he left his last start Sept 5 with a sprained ankle.
-- Humber is 1-0, 1.26 in his last three starts.
-- Jimenez is 2-1, 3.12 in his last four starts.
-- Fister is 4-0, 0.98 in his last five starts.
-- Wilson is 3-0, 0.78 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Norris has a 5.40 RA in his last four starts.
-- JGarcia is 2-2, 6.35 in his last five starts.
-- Lannan is 1-5, 7.53 in his last six starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-1, 8.79 in his last three starts.
-- Lowe is 2-4, 5.14 in his last six starts. Capuano is 0-1, 5.63 in his last three starts.
-- White has an 8.59 RA in his first four starts.
-- Stauffer is 0-3, 7.58 in his last four starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-2, 6.48 in his last three starts. Locke allowed three runs in five IP in losing his first start.

-- Hunter is 1-2, 7.52 in his last five starts.
-- Cecil is 0-5, 4.78 in his last eight starts.
-- Paulino is 2-2, 5.83 in his last five starts.
-- Slowey is 0-5, 6.67 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 2-3, 6.35 in his last six starts.
-- Beaven is 1-3, 6.06 in his last six starts.

Totals
-- Under is 7-3 in Astros' last ten games.
-- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals' last five road games.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Washington's last ten home games.
-- Milwaukee's last four road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 10-5-1 in Mets' last sixteen games.
-- Over is 12-4 in last sixteen games at Coors Field.
-- Over is 6-2 in last eight games at Petco Park.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in Pirates' last eleven road games.

-- Over is 11-4-1 in Angels' last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Rogers Centre.
-- Under is 5-2 in Tampa Bay's last seven road games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in Kansas City's last eight games.
-- Under is 7-3 in Minnesota's last ten games.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in Oakland's last eleven games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Rangers' last five road games.

Hot Teams
-- Cardinals won seven of their last eight games. Phillies won nine of last twelve games.
-- Washington won its last five games, allowing seven runs.
-- Braves are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Reds won their last three games, scoring 17 runs.
-- Giants won their last five games, scoring 30 runs. Colorado is 8-4 in its last twelve home games.
-- Diamondbacks won 18 of their last 22 games.

-- Angels won five of their last seven games.
-- Toronto won fouro of its last five home games.
-- Tampa Bay won nine of its twelve games.
-- Royals won their last five games, allowing eight runs.
-- Oakland is 10-6 in its last sixteen home games. Detroit had a 12-game win streak snapped last night.
-- Rangers won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros lost 18 of their last 23 road games. Cubs lost their last three games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Florida lost its last four games, scoring four runs.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost their last six games, scoring five runs in last four.
-- Padres lost 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven games. Dodgers lost four of five.

-- Orioles lost 11 of their last 18 games.
-- Bronx is 3-5 in its last eight games.
-- Red Sox lost 11 of their last 14 games.
-- White Sox won their last five games, allowing 39 runs.
-- Minnesota lost 18 of its last 22 home games. Indians lost eight of last ten games overall.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27450 Followers:33
09/16/2011 05:44 PM

MLB


Friday, September 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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2:20 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Houston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Houston

7:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing St. Louis

7:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. BALTIMORE
LA Angels are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
FLORIDA vs. WASHINGTON
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Florida's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Florida

7:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home

7:35 PM
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Colorado
San Francisco is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 16 games at home

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Cleveland is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

10:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
San Diego is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Arizona
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona

10:05 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Oakland's last 25 games at home

10:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. LA DODGERS
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Pittsburgh's last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 16-7 SU in their last 23 games
LA Dodgers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games
Seattle is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: