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Sunday Night Baseball: Brewers at Cardinals
By STEVE MERRIL
Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (-145, 9)
It's a National League Central battle as the Cardinals host the Brewers Sunday night.
LOHSE ON POINT
Kyle Lohse is 11-2 with a 2.91 ERA for the Cardinals this season. He ended July with his worst start since May, although it was in Coors Field which can be forgiven.
Lohse is ranked third in the National League with 16 quality starts this year. The Cardinals’ starter faced Milwaukee back on April 28 and gave up three runs and six hits in six innings, striking out five while walking four.
Lohse had an amazing streak of 10 starts from June 4 to July 25 where he allowed three earned runs or more just once. Lohse has allowed 12 HRs this season, but he's been able to pitch around those.
MARCO OH NO
Milwaukee’s Marco Estrada is still looking for his first win of the season. He threw seven strong innings against Houston Monday, allowing just two earned runs, but it wasn't enough for the victory.
He has made 12 starts with eight of them resulting in no-decisions. Estrada was on the losing end of Lohse's win on April 28, giving up five runs and seven hits in six innings. He struck out two and walked two while giving up two homers.
Estrada faced the Cardinals as a reliever twice in April giving up two runs and two hits in just over three innings. Estrada’s pitch count has been more manageable in his last two starts after throwing 114 and 113 pitches in two starts earlier this month.
The Brewers are relatively clean on the injury report, although, they would be better served if Shaun Marcum and Mat Gamel were healthy. Marcum has tightness in his right elbow while the first baseman has a torn ACL that he sustained after crashing into a wall attempting to make a catch. The team is also without shortstop Alex Gonzalez and starter Chris Narveson, who has a left rotator cuff tear.
St. Louis is without two of their major starting pitchers in Chris Carpenter and Jaime Garcia. Carpenter is done after season-ending surgery to his right shoulder while Garcia should return at some point. Lance Berkman, Rafael Furcal, and Yadier Molina are all dinged up with various ailments as well.
Brewers are 4-1-1 Under in their last six Sunday games
Brewers are 3-8 in Estrada's last 11 starts
Cardinals are 4-0 in Lohse’s last four home starts
Cardinals are 8-2 Under in Lohse’s last 10 starts
HITTERS TO WATCH
Ryan Braun 9-for-32 against Lohse
Aramis Ramirez 9-for-20 against Lohse
Yadier Molina 5-for-7 against Estrada
Rafael Furcal 2-for-10 against Estrada
The Japanese product is settling into his role as a starter, allowing only four earned runs in his last 19 innings of work. He’s 1-0 in that three-game span and coming off his best performance as a starter, giving up one run on four hits while striking out 13 batters in a win over Toronto Monday.
A.J. Burnett, Pittsburgh Pirates (13-3, 3.27 ERA)
Burnett continues to enjoy a career resurgence in the Steel City, bringing a three-game winning streak into Sunday’s start in Cincinnati. The righty has proved he can win on the road as well, with his last two victories coming away from Pittsburgh. Burnett allowed only two runs on five hits with 13 Ks over 16 1-3 innings in those starts, dropping his road ERA to 4.79 – compared to just 2.00 at home.
Kyle Lohse, St. Louis Cardinals (11-2, 2.91 ERA)
Lohse’s efforts this season are making Cardinals fans forget all about Chris Carpenter. The right-hander brings a 5-0 record in his last seven into a Sunday Night Baseball matchup with the Brewers. His last start wasn’t pretty, allowing five runs in the thin air of Coors Field, but he earned the “W” and recorded 10 straight quality starts before Tuesday’s 11-6 win over the Rockies.
Ricky Nolasco, Miami Marlins (8-10, 4.90 ERA)
The Marlins righty has lost four straight starts and has just two wins since June 8. Nolasco has been beat up in his most recent efforts, allowing 18 runs in his previous 21 2-3 innings of “work” heading into Sunday’s showdown with Nationals ace Stephen Strasburg. While Nolasco hasn’t been sharp in those losses, Miami has provided a total of only five runs of support in his previous four starts.
-- Burnett is 3-0, 1.13 in his last three starts; Pirates are 15-1 in his last 16. Bailey is 4-0, 3.27 in his last six starts.
-- Medlen allowed one run in five IP in winning his first '12 start.
-- Lincecum is 2-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
-- Harvey is 1-1, 2.38 in his first two big league starts.
-- Lohse is 5-0, 3.02 in his last seven starts.
-- Iwakuma is 1-0, 1.89 in his last three starts.
-- Scherzer is 3-0, 0.82 in his last three home starts.
-- Morales is 2-1, 3.76 in his last five starts.
-- Price is 5-0, 2.01 in his last seven starts.
-- Haren is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Lee is 0-3, 5.65 in his last four home starts. Cahill is 4-4, 5.89 in his last eight starts.
-- Nolasco is 0-4, 7.48 in his last four starts. Strasburg is 1-1, 6.06 in his last three outings.
-- Astros lost last ten Norris starts (0-7, 7.10).
-- Chatwood was 6-11, 4.75 in 25 starts for the Angels LY; he is 1-3, 4.70 in his 13 minor league starts this season.
-- Marquis is 3-4, 6.43 in his last eight starts.
-- Harang is 1-1, 5.92 in his last four starts. Germano allowed two runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Estrada is 0-1, 4.67 in his last four starts; Brewers are 4-8 in his starts.
-- Garcia is 0-3, 4.74 in his last three starts.
-- Seddon has a 7.03 ERA in 39 big league IP; he started four games for the '07 Marlins-- he is 11-5, 3.44 in 20 AAA starts this year.
-- Blackburn is 1-1, 8.53 in his last four road starts.
-- MGonzalez is 2-2, 6.64 in his last four starts.
-- Holland is 1-2, 6.43 in his last three starts. Hochevar is 1-1, 6.43 in his last four outings.
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.96 in his last four starts, but he allowed only two runs in six IP in his first start for the White Sox.
-- Milone is 0-2, 8.31 in his last couple starts. Laffey is 2-2, 6.04 in his last five starts.
-- Washington won 11 of its last 15 games.
-- Reds won 15 of their last 16 games.
-- Arizona won six of its last eight games.
-- Braves won twelve of their last sixteen home games.
-- Cardinals won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Giants won four of their last five road games.
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Tigers won 13 of their last 14 home games.
-- Mariners won eight of their last nine games.
-- Orioles won eight of their last eleven road games. Tampa Bay won seven of its last 11 games.
-- White Sox won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.
-- Texas won its last four games, scoring 35 runs.
-- Oakland won eight of its last eleven home games.
-- Marlins lost 13 of their last 18 games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last six games.
-- Astros lost 23 of their last 25 road games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last eight games.
-- Milwaukee lost nine of its last ten road games.
-- Rockies lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games.
-- Cubs are 3-7 in their last ten road games. Dodgers are 5-6 in their last 11 games overall.
-- Indians lost their last eight games, outscored 64-20.
-- Bronx lost 10 of its last 15 games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Angels are 5-10 in their last 15 road games.
-- Kansas City lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Toronto lost eleven of its last eighteen games.
-- Under is 8-3-1 in Miami's last dozen road games.
-- Six of Philly's last eight games stayed under total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Cincinnati games.
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen St Louis home games.
-- Over is 15-5-1 in Giants' last twenty-one road games.
-- 14 of last 20 San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-6-1 in Cubs' last 22 games.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Cleveland home games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Seattle road games.
-- Eight of last nine Tampa Bay home games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Minnesota games.
-- Last six White Sox home games went over the total.
-- 21 of last 29 Texas games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-5 in Oakland's last eighteen home games.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Last seven Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- Az-Phil-- Seven of last ten Cousins games stayed under.
-- Pitt-Cin-- Five of last six Tichemor games went over total.
-- Hst-Atl-- Eight of last ten Hoye games went over the total.
-- Mil-StL-- 10 of last 15 Everitt games stayed under the total.
-- SF-Col-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Nelson games.
-- NY-SD-- Underdogs won six of last seven Hickox games.
-- Chi-LA-- Five of Scott's last six games stayed under total.
-- Sea-NY-- Underdogs won five of last six Campos games.
-- Tor-A's-- Under is 6-1-2 in last nine Cuzzi games.
-- Tex-KC-- Underdogs won five of last six TBarrett games.
-- Clev-Det-- Six of West's last seven games stayed under.
-- Balt-TB-- Hallion's last six games all went over the total.
-- Min-Bos-- Eight of last ten Bell games stayed under total.
-- LA-Chi-- Favored team won last twelve Demuth games.
The Angels look to build on their 8-0 record in their last 8 road games against a left-handed starter. LA is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105). Here are all of today's picks.
SUNDAY, AUGUST 5
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Arizona at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 15.899; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.457
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over
Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.426; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.607
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Under
Game 905-906: Miami at Washington (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 14.465; Washington (Strasburg) 15.152
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-220); Under
Game 907-908: Houston at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 15.790; Atlanta (Medlen) 15.255
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-235); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+195); Under
Game 909-910: Milwaukee at St. Louis (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.665; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.809
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under
Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 13.887; Colorado (Chatwood) 14.103
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-155); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Under
Game 913-914: NY Mets at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 15.667; San Diego (Marquis) 14.536
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Under
Game 915-916: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Germano) 15.152; LA Dodgers (Blanton) 14.417
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+150); Under
Game 917-918: Seattle at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 16.111; NY Yankees (Garcia) 15.626
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 10
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+170); Over
Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Seddon) 12.508; Detroit (Scherzer) 15.975
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-210); Under
Game 921-922: Minnesota at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.850; Boston (Morales) 14.622
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+170); Over
Game 923-924: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.987; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.967
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-210); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-210); Over
Game 925-926: Texas at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.386; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.179
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-145); Under
Game 927-928: LA Angels at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 16.152; White Sox (Liriano) 14.454
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Over
Game 929-930: Toronto at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Laffey) 16.348; Oakland (Milone) 15.353
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+150); Over