cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/25/2012 09:16 AM

NFLX
Dunkel

Week 3

Houston at New Orleans
The Saints look to bounce back from last week's loss to Jacksonville as they host Houston tonight. New Orleans is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3). Here are all of this week's picks.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 25

Game 269-270: Indianapolis at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 124.777; Washington 125.809
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 41
Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+3); Under

Game 271-272: Pittsburgh at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 119.458; Buffalo 121.309
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Pick; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo; Under

Game 273-274: Detroit at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 127.604; Oakland 124.012
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3); Over

Game 275-276: Houston at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.078; New Orleans 125.563
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Over

Game 277-278: St. Louis at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 116.995; Dallas 119.767
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Dallas by 5; 41
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+5); Under


SUNDAY, AUGUST 26

Game 279-280: San Francisco at Denver (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 126.786; Denver 123.302
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Denver by 1 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+1 1/2); Under

Game 281-282: Carolina at NY Jets (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 122.304; NY Jets 120.411
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 2; 43
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/25/2012 09:18 AM

Week 3

Saturday, August 25

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INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 8/25/2012, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) at BUFFALO (0 - 2) - 8/25/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (1 - 1) at OAKLAND (0 - 2) - 8/25/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (2 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 2) - 8/25/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (1 - 1) at DALLAS (1 - 1) - 8/25/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 15-38 ATS (-26.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, August 26

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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) at DENVER (1 - 1) - 8/26/2012, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (1 - 1) at NY JETS (0 - 2) - 8/26/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/25/2012 09:19 AM

NFLX
Short Sheet

Week 3

Saturday, August 25, 2012

Indianapolis at Washington, 4:00 ET NFL
Indianapolis: 14-1 Over on grass fields
Washington: 0-7 ATS at home off a combined score of 50+ points

Pittsburgh at Buffalo, 7:00 ET
Pittsburgh: 4-0 Over off a win
Buffalo: 8-2 ATS off BB games scoring 14 points or less

Detroit at Oakland, 7:00 ET
Detroit: 7-0 ATS off a non-conference game
Oakland: 1-6 ATS after allowing 30+ points

Houston at New Orleans, 8:00 ET CBS
Houston: 3-10 ATS off an Under
New Orleans: 6-0 Over off a non-conference game

St. Louis at Dallas, 8:00 ET
St. Louis: 5-1 ATS off a non-conference game
Dallas: 12-27 ATS off an Over


Sunday, August 26, 2012

San Francisco at Denver, 4:00 ET FOX
San Francisco: 2-11 ATS away off a road game
Denver: 10-0 ATS off a home loss

Carolina at NY Jets, 8:00 ET NBC
Carolina: 15-32 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
NY Jets: 8-1 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/25/2012 01:38 PM

Saturday, August 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indianapolis - 4:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 500

Washington - Over 42.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/25/2012 01:38 PM

Saturday, August 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Indianapolis - 4:00 PM ET Washington -3.5 500

Washington - Over 42.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/25/2012 07:12 PM

Saturday, August 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Pittsburgh - 7:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -2.5 500
Buffalo - Under 40.5 500

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Detroit -3 500
Oakland - Over 43.5 500

Houston - 8:00 PM ET Houston +3 500
New Orleans - Over 43.5 500

St. Louis - 8:00 PM ET St. Louis +5.5 500
Dallas - Over 40.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/26/2012 07:45 AM

Playing 36 holes today posting whatever i have now......

NFL

Sunday, August 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 4:00 PM ET San Francisco +1 500
Denver - Over 40 500

Carolina - 8:00 PM ET Carolina +3 500
N.Y. Jets - Under 40.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/29/2012 02:36 PM

Patriots-Giants conclude preseason Wednesday

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (1-2)

at NEW YORK GIANTS (1-2)


NFL Preseason Game
Kickoff: Wednesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: New England -2, Total: 41½

Last year’s Super Bowl participants close out their preseason against one another when the Giants host the Patriots on Wednesday night.

Both clubs are coming off losses, but New York built a 17-7 halftime lead over Chicago with its starters, while New England trailed 30-14 before a couple of garbage touchdowns in the final 4:13 of its matchup with Tampa Bay. The Patriots offense sputtered despite Tom Brady and the first-team offense playing for three quarters. The Giants first-team was sharp against a Bears defense that expects to be much more formidable than Tampa’s, which allowed the most points in the NFL last year (30.9 PPG). Eli Manning completed 17-of-21 passes for 148 yards and a touchdown, and was not sacked once. Everybody knows that the Giants have beaten the Pats in the two of the last five Super Bowls, but they also have New England’s number at home in the preseason, winning four straight meetings since 2002. Expect NEW YORK to dominate the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and win this game on Wednesday.

This rare four-star FoxSheets trend also supports the Giants:

Play Against - Road teams (NEW ENGLAND) - after 3 or more consecutive preseason losses against the spread. (34-7 since 1993.) (82.9%, +26.3 units. Rating = 4*).

Brady didn’t have a terrible game against the Bucs, finishing 13-for-20 for 127 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT, but he led his team to just two scores in nine drives, with four of those drives going three-and-out. Backup QB Ryan Mallett was much better in the fourth quarter, connecting on 7-of-13 passes for 66 yards and two touchdowns. Despite the poor 5.3 yards per pass attempt, New England’s running game was strong with 5.4 yards per carry, amassing 168 yards on 31 rushes. Stevan Ridley led the way with 87 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries (5.4 YPC) and caught three passes for another 17 yards. Rookie RB Jeff Demps scooted for 41 yards on just three carries. The Patriots defense allowed 283 total yards and did not force a turnover for the first time this preseason.

Although Eli Manning looked to be in late-season form last week, backup QB David Carr most certainly did not. He completed just 7-of-16 passes for 76 yards (4.8 YPA) and an interception (32.3 rating). The Giants running attack stalled for the second straight game, gaining just 66 yards on 20 carries (3.3 YPC), which was actually an improvement from the 58 yards on 32 carries (1.8 YPC) in the win over the Jets in the previous week. The one bright spot against the Bears was rookie David Wilson who rushed for 49 yards on five carries. The rest of the Giants carried the ball 15 times for a paltry 17 yards. The Giants still have a gaggle of players that are at best questionable to play on Monday, including WR Hakeem Nicks (foot) and LT Will Beatty (back injury) on offense. Defensively, New York will likely be without interior linemen Chris Canty (knee), Marvin Austin (back) and Shaun Rogers (leg), LB Michael Boley (hamstring), CB Terrell Thomas (knee) and rookie CB Jayron Hosley (turf toe).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/29/2012 02:38 PM

Best and worst NFL preseason Week 4 bets

Week 3 of the preseason gave football bettors a glimpse at what life will be like in Week 1 of the NFL season. As for Week 4, well, let’s just say the final game on the preseason slate will test your mettle as well as patience.

Teams rarely play their starters and are ironing out the final wrinkles in the roster in Week 4. Keep a close eye on position battles, as guys fight to stay in the NFL. Here’s a quick look at which teams historically do well and which ones struggle against the spread in the final exhibition tilt, going back to 1995.

Stats from Week 4 of the NFL preseason over the past 16 years.

Best Week 4 preseason bets

Denver Broncos (11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS)

Peyton Manning looks good to go, so Broncos backers shouldn’t bank on a Week 4 appearance from No. 18. Denver’s stellar Week 4 preseason record against the spread has a lot to do with former head coach Mike Shanahan, who is one of the few coaches who actually give two craps about the exhibition win/loss count.

Minnesota Vikings (7-8 SU, 11-5 ATS)

The Vikings have a few positions still up for grabs heading into the last tune-up tilt, especially on defense. Minnesota has been plagued by injuries this preseason, so while it needs to sure up some spots, it will be careful with the starters in Week 4.

Pittsburgh Steelers (10-6 SU, 11-5 ATS)

Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin likes to head into the regular season on a high note. Since taking over the big job in Steel Town, Tomlin boasts a 5-0 SU mark and a 4-1 ATS record in Week 4 of the preseason. Pittsburgh lost rookie OL David DeCastro to a nasty knee injury last week and will be looking to plug that hole Thursday. Don’t expect oft-injured QB Ben Roethlisberger to be part of that experiment.


Worst Week 4 preseason bets

Philadelphia Eagles (4-12 SU, 4-12 ATS)

Andy Reid has historically not given a rat’s ass about the preseason since becoming head coach of the Eagles in 1999. Reid owns a 3-10 SU and ATS record in Week 4 of the exhibition schedule, with the majority of those games coming against the Jets. Subsequently, New York is a profitable 11-5 ATS in Week 4 of the preseason since 1995.

New Orleans Saints (6-10 SU, 6-10 ATS)

The Saints flexed their muscles with a Week 3 win over the Texans and head into Week 4 of the preseason with a 3-1 ATS mark during the warm-up slate. New Orleans was forced to travel to Tennessee early with Tropical Storm Isaac threatening the Gulf Coast. With possible evacuations for Louisiana, don’t expect the Saints to be thinking about football much Thursday night.

Green Bay Packers (6-10 SU, 4-10-2 ATS)

Packers head coach Mike McCarthy has a 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS count in the final preseason outing since becoming the big cheese in Green Bay. The Packers didn’t show much through the first two weeks of the exhibition calendar and looked good against the Bengals last week. That’s more than enough for McCarthy, who won’t be showing much Thursday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24232 Followers:32
08/29/2012 02:39 PM

What bettors need to know: NFL preseason Week 4 (Wednesday)

New England Patriots vs. New York Giants (+2, 41)

We wrote last week that the Pats are more concerned with evaluating new players than wins right now. So it’s tough to say how much Bill Belichick is going to play the starters on Thursday after the Pats saw some nice performances out of backups like QB Ryan Mallett and a number of others on the D-line. The Pats haven’t covered a spread yet in the preseason (0-3) but don’t expect that to keep Belichick up at night.

Tom Coughlin likes to play his first string into the third quarter by this point in the preseason, but he might take a different approach Thursday. Coughlin pulled his starters at halftime last week in a 20-17 loss to the Bears due to some key injuries. He may take a cautious approach this week, though he has promised some snaps to star receiver Hakim Nicks, who appears fully healed from a broken foot in the spring.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Redskins (-4, 40)

This might be an even tighter turnaround for the Bucs than for the Redskins, even though they had an extra day to prepare. Tampa Bay had to cancel its Monday practice due to Hurricane Isaac and the team travels Tuesday to Washington. New head coach Greg Schiano is trying to instill a sense of urgency with his team, which we saw with a number of blitzes and pressure defenses in a win over the Pats on Friday. With that in mind it’s possible we may see the first team play a bit more than with other squads on Thursday.

Washington head coach Mike Shanahan appears to be shutting things down after giving his first team plenty of time through the first three preseason games. Kirk Cousins will start at QB in place of RG3 and though Shanahan won’t say for how long, Cousins said on Monday he’ll be in for about a half. The first team sounds like it’s starting to prepare for Week 1 against the Saints after a strong 30-17 win over the Colts last week.

Miami at Dallas (-2.5, 37)

The Dolphins are 0-3 straight up and against the spread in a preseason that’s been a mess so far. This week appears no different after starting left tackle Jake Long suffered a sprained MCL in practice that will likely keep him out a few weeks. Cornerback Vontae Davis was traded this week in a move that shocked some in the Miami locker room and it leaves the secondary with question marks. Ryan Tannehill will start at QB but some wonder if that’s a good move with the rookie slated to start in Week 1.

The Cowboys are coming off what the team felt was its best performance of the preseason in a 20-19 win over the Rams as 5.5-point faves. It was so good that most of the starters won’t play Wednesday against the Dolphins.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: