cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:19 PM

Friday's betting tips: T.O. already in trouble with NFL

Weather to watch

St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies: A 60 percent chance of thundershowers throughout the evening hours. Winds expected to blow out to left field at 12 mph.

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles: Also a 60 percent of scattered thunderstorms. Winds expected to blow out to left field at 12 mph.

Who’s hot?

The Washington Nationals have won six straight games and eight of their last 10. The Nationals hold a 4.5 game lead over the Atlanta Braves for top spot in the NL East and boast the best record in the bigs at 69-43.

Who’s not?

The season can’t end quickly enough for the Houston Astros. The Astros have dropped five straight contests and are just 1-9 in their last 10 games.

Key stat

4 – The number of wins the Houston Astros have since June 28.

Game of the day

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers (-132, 10.5)

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

San Diego Chargers starting running back Ryan Mathews is expected to miss at least a month after breaking his collarbone on his first carry in a preseason game against the Green Bay Packers on Thursday night. He’s expected to have surgery Friday morning and coach Norv Turner believes Matthews could miss up to six weeks of action.

Notable quotable

"That was for all the doubters, there were a lot of people talking and doubting. That was just for them to say they can stop talking now. I'm a living legend." –Usain Bolt after winning the men’s 200-meter event at the London Games.

Betting news and notes

-The surging Oakland Athletics are 23-9 in their last 32 games overall and have won 22 of their last 28 against right-handed starters.
Minnesota Twins third baseman Trevor Plouffe (right thumb) could be activated for Friday's game. Plouffe, who was eligible to come off the disabled list Saturday, was to be re-evaluated after a second consecutive batting cage session Thursday. Plouffe is second on the team with 19 homers.

-Colorado Rockies first baseman Todd Helton is scheduled to undergo surgery on his right hip Friday. Helton, Colorado's all-time leader in home runs (354) and RBIs (1,345), is expected to be ready for spring training. He has one year remaining on his contract.

- The Seattle Seahawks may have violated the NFL's collective bargaining agreement by allowing wide receiver Terrell Owens to practice in shoulder pads during his first on-field workout.The CBA states players have a three-day acclimation period during the preseason and they can’t wear shoulder guards until the fourth day of training camp. The team could face discipline from the league for the violation.

-Replacement officials were booed during the Bills-Redskins game Thursday after blowing a call on a touchback. Buffalo downed a punt at the Washington four-yard line, but back judge Craig Burd ruled it a touchback.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:20 PM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- So Dwight Howard is a Laker now and they didn't trade Pau Gasol to get him, as the rich get richer in the NBA.

-- Andre Iguodala is a Nugget, Andrew Bynum is a 76er, Arron Afflalo is on the Magic and season ticket salespeople in Orlando are screwed.

-- Peyton Manning was 4-7 for 44 yards in his rainy Denver debut-- he threw a red zone INT. Broncos crushed Chicago 31-3 behind Manning's backup, former Bear Caleb Hanie.

-- Chargers' RB Ryan Mathews broke his collarbone, is out 4-6 weeks.

-- Robert Griffin III was 4-6 for 70 yards in his pro debut, a 7-6 win at Buffalo. All three Bills' QB completed less than half their passes.

-- Tigers-Red Sox-Orioles all lost; good day for my A's, who were idle.


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here.......

13) A high school in Allen, TX (Dallas suburb) is getting a new football stadium. Will seat 18,000, have a weight room/luxury suites and cost a cool $60M. That’s $60M for a high school football stadium. Guess the economy is better in Texas than in most places.

12) Speaking of Texas, we have a greedy bastard update from the Mobil station on corner of Fuller/Central here in beautiful downtown Colonie. $3.87 a gallon now, up 8 cents a gallon this week, 14 cents a gallon over last two weeks. Hey, someone has to pay for that stadium in Texas.

11) CJ Wilson is 9-8, 3.34 this season. Bartolo Colon is 9-8, 3.38, so almost exact same numbers. Difference is that Colon is making $2M this season, Wilson $10M. That’s how the A’s compete in the AL West; find players who produce about as well as their opponents, but get paid 20% as much money. Hard to find those people.

10) Miami Dolphin head coach Joe Philbin was an assistant coach on the Allegheny College team that won the Division III national title in 1992. His WR coach with the Dolphins is Ken O’Keefe, who was the HC of that Allegheny team, and served as OC at Iowa for the past dozen years.

9) #104-ranked golfer Andres Romero is the highest-ranked golfer in the world who isn’t at the PGA Championship this week.

8) Hard to believe, but Lamar Odom has made more money in his NBA career than Eldrick Woods has made on the golf course, at least in terms of official PGA Tour earnings. Endorsements are another story, but still a surprising figure. Odom is a good player but has never been an NBA star—he has earned over $107M in his hoop career.

7) Red Sox are 15-27 when Lester/Beckett start, 40-31 when anyone else starts. Lester/Beckett are supposedly the Sox’ two best pitchers, but haven’t been this season.

6) Watching Showtime’s reality show on the Marlins, they showed an exercise device, an anti-gravity treadmill that Giancarlo Stanton has been using, that effectively takes the weight off the injured leg, kind of like jogging in water. Interesting tool.

5) Texas Rangers have scored 10+ runs in 14 games this season, most in the majors.

4) Baltimore Orioles are 60-52, but have scored 54 less runs than they’ve allowed; St Louis Cardinals are 61-51, but have scored 101 more runs than they’ve allowed.

3) Ohio State is ineligible for Big Dozen title or a bowl game this football season; they usually get around 44,000 alumni requests for season tickets. This year, they’ve gotten 33,436. Urban Meyer has a strong history of doing well with players other guys recruited to that school. This will be an interesting year for the Buckeyes.

2) Both horse handicappers on this site are ripping it up, both over $300 ahead at the Saratoga meet, and that’s hard to do.

Get to the college football page and read Mac Daddy and DDLohaus every day from now thru Labor Day.

1) Olympic basketball semifinals Friday; Spain-Russia, USA-Argentina. Americans just beat Argentina by 29, but it was 60-59 at the half. Should be an interesting twinbill. Americans are a 25.5-point favorite.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:33 AM

Saturday Doubleheader

August 11, 2012

The Saturday NFL card showcases only a pair of games, but involving interconference matchups. Underdogs managed a 4-1-1 ATS in the Thursday action, but the favorites came through with a 4-2 ATS mark in last night's games. Both the Buccaneers and Browns managed straight-up victories as three-point road underdogs, while cashing on the money line at +150. Tonight's action includes only one team that qualified for the playoffs last season, as the Texans take a trip to Carolina.

Texans at Panthers (-3, 35 ½) - 7:00 PM EST - NFL Network

Houston is fresh off its first playoff appearance in franchise history, as the Texans are the favorite to win the AFC South for a second consecutive season. The quarterback situation became interesting following Matt Schaub's foot injury in Week 10 at Tampa Bay last season. After one start by Matt Leinart, rookie T.J. Yates started the final seven games, including a pair of playoff contests. Schaub retains the starting job, while Yates is the primary backup heading into the season.

The Panthers are set with their quarterback scenario as last season's top pick Cam Newton threw for 4,051 yards in his rookie campaign. Carolina scored plenty of points down the stretch by hitting the 'over' in five of the final seven games, while compiling a 5-2 ATS record as a favorite. Newton will likely play several series against the Texans, followed by Jimmy Clausen and Derek Anderson. Both Clausen and Anderson have prior starting experience, including Anderson leading the Browns to a 10-6 campaign in 2007.

Both teams will be slowed down in the vertical game as Andre Johnson and Steve Smith are each dealing with injuries. Johnson suffered a groin injury in training camp, while missing nine games last season with a hamstring injury. The former University of Miami is listed as 'out' against Carolina, as his status moving forward will be week-to-week. Smith is 'questionable' after bruising his left knee in practice, as there is a chance he would see one series at most on Saturday.

The Texans are a solid 17-7 to the 'over' in Gary Kubiak's 24 career preseason contests, including three of four 'overs' last season. Houston has won three of its past four preseason openers, while beating the Jets, 20-16 as 3 ½-point favorites in 2011. Carolina finished at 1-3 SU/ATS in Ron Rivera's first season as head coach, as the lone victory came over the Giants as short home 'chalk' in a 20-10 triumph.

Titans at Seahawks (-3, 35 ½) - 10:00 PM EST - NFL Network

Tennessee makes the long trip to CenturyLink Field as Matt Hasselbeck comes back to Seattle for the first time since getting released by the Seahawks in 2011. Hasselbeck guided the Titans' to a respectable 9-7 record in the AFC, while Tennessee finished the season cashing the 'under' in eight of the last 10 games. The Titans aren't ready to turn things over to last season's top pick Jake Locker, as the former Washington standout will back up Hasselbeck in his return to Seattle.

The Seahawks made noise in the offseason with several signings, including the acquisition of former Packers' quarterback Matt Flynn. In spite of limiting playing time in Green Bay, Flynn impressed in the final regular season against Detroit by tossing six touchdowns and 480 yards. Seattle inked veteran wide receivers Terrell Owens and Braylon Edwards over the last few weeks, as the Seahawks had one receiver that racked up over 500 yards. Pete Carroll will split time at quarterback against the Titans with Flynn starting the first half and rookie Russell Wilson will play the second half.

Carroll is 15-9-1 ATS in his preseason career, including a 3-1 ATS mark in 2011. The Seahawks are 1-3 ATS since 2010 as a home favorite in exhibition play, while splitting a pair of games against the Vikings and Raiders last season. The Titans cashed in three of four preseason contests in 2011, including covers as a road underdog at St. Louis and New Orleans.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:35 AM

Panthers host Texans Saturday night

HOUSTON TEXANS

at CAROLINA PANTHERS


NFL Preseason Game
Kickoff: Saturday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Carolina -3, Total: 35½

Two more teams begin their preseason slate on Saturday night when the Panthers host the Super Bowl-hopeful Texans.

Houston is coming off its first-ever playoff season, and is poised to go deeper in the postseason, especially if QB Matt Schaub can stay healthy. Schaub missed the final eight games of 2011 with a Lisfranc injury to his right foot, but he’ll be back under center to start Saturday’s game, hopeful to improve on his team’s 4-2 record in the past six preseason contests. On the flip side, Carolina has dropped 11 of its past 13 preseason games, and doesn’t expect to play star QB Cam Newton for more than a couple of series. However Newton’s backups, Derek Anderson and Jimmy Clausen, aren’t any better than the Texans duo of T.J. Yates and John Beck. Most likely, this matchup will likely come down to defense. The Texans certainly have the edge here, finishing second in yardage defense (286 YPG) and fourth in scoring defense (17.4 PPG) last year. The Panthers allowed 378 YPG (5th-most in NFL) and 26.8 PPG (6th-most in league) in 2011. The choice here is HOUSTON to win.

This FoxSheets trend also backs the Texans:

CAROLINA is 14-31 ATS (31.1%, -20.1 Units) in non-conference preseason games since 1993. The average score was CAROLINA 15.1, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 1*).

These clubs have never faced each other in the preseason, but they did play last December in Houston, a surprising 28-13 upset win for the Panthers. The Texans had won the previous two regular-season meetings with Carolina.

Schaub will likely play about three series on Saturday before allowing Yates to take the game into the fourth quarter. Beck, who is competing with rookie Case Keenum for the No. 3 QB job, will finish this game, with the plan being for Keenum to close out the next preseason game. Yates did an admirable job filling in Schaub last year. He posted an 80.7 rating, completing 61 percent of his passes for 949 yards, 3 TD and 3 INT, while leading the team to its first-ever playoff win. Beck played four regular-season games for the Redskins last year (all losses), going 80-for-132 (61%) for 858 yards, 2 TD and 4 INT. With star WR Andre Johnson nursing a strained groin, that creates more opportunities for promising youngsters Keshawn Martin and Lester Jean. Houston will likely be without two of its better defensive players in DE J.J. Watt (dislocated elbow) and ILB Brian Cushing (illness).

Once Newton exits the game, Anderson and Clausen both have plenty of incentive as the two competitors for the backup QB job in Carolina. Anderson has logged 51 career NFL games, but hasn’t been effective since 2007 when he threw 29 touchdown passes for Cleveland. Since that time, he has just 19 TD and 28 INT in 30 games. Clausen’s pro career got off to a rocky start in his rookie year, as he posted a dreadful 58.4 QB rating due to a pathetic 5.2 yards per attempt, 3 TD and 9 INT. He did not throw a pass last season. The Panthers will also be missing their top wideout, as Steve Smith will sit out with a bruised left knee. The defensive player to watch for Carolina is rookie ILB Luke Kuechly, who was a tackling machine at Boston College. He’ll have more responsibilities early in the preseason, as fellow linebackers Jon Beason (hamstring) and Thomas Davis (calf) work their way back from injuries.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:37 AM

Titans-Seahawks square off Saturday


TENNESSEE TITANS

at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS


NFL Preseason Game
Kickoff: Saturday, 10:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Seattle -3, Total: 35½

Two teams with fierce quarterbacking battles meet on Saturday night when the Seahawks host the Titans.

Both teams will showcase their top quarterbacks for their preseason opener. Tennessee’s starting job is between veteran Matt Hasselbeck and second-year pro Jake Locker, while Seattle newcomer Matt Flynn is being pushed by both rookie Russell Wilson and returnee Tarvaris Jackson. Not only is the Titans duo more accomplished, but it also has more weapons to choose from than the thinned-out Seahawks receiving corps. Seattle will be missing Sidney Rice (shoulder), newly-signed Terrell Owens (inactive) and last year’s top receiver Doug Baldwin (sore hamstring). The Titans are also historically a tremendous preseason team, winning 14 of their past 20 contests, while Seattle has dropped five of eight contests over the past two preseasons. The pick here is TENNESSEE to win.

This strong FoxSheets trend also sides with the Titans:

TENNESSEE is 17-6 ATS (73.9%, +10.4 Units) as a road underdog in the preseason since 1993. The average score was TENNESSEE 20.3, OPPONENT 20.4 - (Rating = 1*).

These teams have met twice in the preseason, way back in 1993 (a 20-10 Seattle road win) and two years ago, when the Seahawks prevailed 20-18.

Hasselbeck, who is Seattle’s all-time passing leader, will get the start and likely play about three series. Then will come Locker, the Titans first-round draft choice in 2011. Locker, who finished with 8.2 passing yards per attempt, 4 TD and 0 INT as a rookie, will probably close out the first half. After that, second-year pro Rusty Smith will take over. Although Smith didn’t see any action in the regular season in 2011, he did play a couple of games in 2010 as a rookie, including one start. Smith finished 20-of-40 for 200 yards, 0 TD and 4 INT. Tarleton State rookie Nick Stephens will close out the game. He averaged 252 passing yards per game with 29 TD and 20 INT in 19 games for Tarleton after transferring from the University of Tennessee. Most of the Titans offense is intact, with the exception of WR Kenny Britt who continues to rehab from last year’s torn ACL. The team will look to rookie WR Kendall Wright to fill Britt’s void.

After Flynn, who was the backup for Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay last year, departs rather quickly, Wilson will be the second quarterback under center, followed by Jackson. Wilson, who played his collegiate ball at NC State for three years before transferring to Wisconsin last year, holds the FBS record with 379 consecutive pass attempts without an interception. His accuracy is a big reason he’s moved up to No. 2 on the depth chart. Jackson will likely start the second half. He started 14 of Seattle’s 16 games last year, finishing 271-for-450 (60%) for 3,091 yards, 14 TD and 13 INT. Josh Portis, a second-year pro who played his college ball in California University in Pennsylvania, will finish the game. Another youngster who will play a big role in this game is rookie RB Robert Turbin, who could see extended time in Seattle’s backfield if starter Marshawn Lynch is forced to serve a suspension for his summer DUI arrest.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:39 AM

What bettors need to know: Saturday's NFL preseason games

Football bettors can choose from two games on the NFL preseason schedule Saturday.

Here’s a quick look at each of the matchups and their odds and trends

Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers (-3, 35.5)

The Houston defense had a huge turnaround from the 2010 season going from one of the worst units in the league to ranking second in total defense last season.

Inside linebacker Brian Cushing has spent two nights in the hospital with a viral infection this week, but coach Gary Kubiak won’t rule him out of Saturday’s preseason opener. Quarterback Matt Schaub will play 12 to 15 snaps at Carolina. T.J. Yates and John Beck will take over from there and finish the game, according to Kubiak.

It has been a turbulent training camp for the Carolina Panthers.

Offensive tackle Jeff Otah’s contract with the Panthers was terminated after he was dealt to the New York Jets, failed his physical and was sent back to Carolina, where he once again failed another physical.

Cornerback Captain Munnerlyn has been feuding with wide receiver Steve Smith and Jonathan Stewart after they took issue with his physical style of play in camp. Munnerlyn’s competition at corner, Brandon Hogan (knee)and Josh Norman (hamstring), are already missing time due to injury.

The pressure will once again fall on Cam Newton and the rushing attack of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart this season.

Tennessee Titans @ Seattle Seahawks (-3, 33.5)

Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck will be the starter when the Titans open the preseason against the Seahawks, coach Mike Munchak informed the media Thursday.

Hasselbeck will play 10-15 snaps and then Jake Locker will take over until halftime. Rusty Smith and Nick Stephens are expected to share snaps in the second half.

NFL Network reporter Ian Rapoport reporter earlier this week that Chris Johnson looked like the "Chris Johnson of old," referring to his effort in 2009 where he rushed for over 2,000 yards.

The Seahawks signed wide receiver Terrell Owens on Monday to a one-year deal reportedly worth $1 million.

“His workout and work ethic was extraordinary,” head coach Pete Carroll said via Twitter earlier this week. “He has a chance to start over here, and that’s pretty cool.”

Seattle's three-way quarterback competition begins on Saturday. Matt Flynn's been promised the first half and Russell Wilson the second.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:39 AM

What bettors need to know: Saturday's NFL preseason games

Football bettors can choose from two games on the NFL preseason schedule Saturday.

Here’s a quick look at each of the matchups and their odds and trends

Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers (-3, 35.5)

The Houston defense had a huge turnaround from the 2010 season going from one of the worst units in the league to ranking second in total defense last season.

Inside linebacker Brian Cushing has spent two nights in the hospital with a viral infection this week, but coach Gary Kubiak won’t rule him out of Saturday’s preseason opener. Quarterback Matt Schaub will play 12 to 15 snaps at Carolina. T.J. Yates and John Beck will take over from there and finish the game, according to Kubiak.

It has been a turbulent training camp for the Carolina Panthers.

Offensive tackle Jeff Otah’s contract with the Panthers was terminated after he was dealt to the New York Jets, failed his physical and was sent back to Carolina, where he once again failed another physical.

Cornerback Captain Munnerlyn has been feuding with wide receiver Steve Smith and Jonathan Stewart after they took issue with his physical style of play in camp. Munnerlyn’s competition at corner, Brandon Hogan (knee)and Josh Norman (hamstring), are already missing time due to injury.

The pressure will once again fall on Cam Newton and the rushing attack of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart this season.

Tennessee Titans @ Seattle Seahawks (-3, 33.5)

Quarterback Matt Hasselbeck will be the starter when the Titans open the preseason against the Seahawks, coach Mike Munchak informed the media Thursday.

Hasselbeck will play 10-15 snaps and then Jake Locker will take over until halftime. Rusty Smith and Nick Stephens are expected to share snaps in the second half.

NFL Network reporter Ian Rapoport reporter earlier this week that Chris Johnson looked like the "Chris Johnson of old," referring to his effort in 2009 where he rushed for over 2,000 yards.

The Seahawks signed wide receiver Terrell Owens on Monday to a one-year deal reportedly worth $1 million.

“His workout and work ethic was extraordinary,” head coach Pete Carroll said via Twitter earlier this week. “He has a chance to start over here, and that’s pretty cool.”

Seattle's three-way quarterback competition begins on Saturday. Matt Flynn's been promised the first half and Russell Wilson the second.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:43 AM

Saturday's betting tips: More inclement weather expected at PGA Champ.

Weather to Watch

PGA Championship: A 40 percent chance of thunderstorms are expected this afternoon at Kiawah Island. Winds will be blowing from the south at 12 mph.

Who’s hot?

The Washington Nationals have won seven straight and are 9-1 in their last 10 games. The Nationals became the first team in the bigs to capture 70 wins this season with a 9-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on Friday.

Who’s not?

The Seattle Mariners have lost five consecutive games, the latest loss coming after ace Felix Hernandez was staked a 5-0 lead. They’re 1-6 on their current road trip.

Key stat

48.2 - Carmelo Anthony is scoring 48.2 points per 48 minutes in the Olympics. He's never averaged more than 36.3 points per 48 minutes in any of his nine NBA seasons.

Game of the day

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers (+126, 9)

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

It appears the Boston Red Sox have lost rookie third baseman Will Middlebrooks with a broken wrist. Middlebrooks was hit on the right wrist by a pitch in the ninth inning of Friday’s contest with the Cleveland Indians. Middlebrooks is batting .288 with 15 homers and 54 RBIs in 75 games for Boston this season.

Notable quotable

"It was fun, but it also was tough. You were getting blown all over the place. It was just a very difficult day."- Tiger Woods on the second round weather conditions at the PGA Championship.

Betting news and notes

-Blue Jays center fielder Colby Rasmus likely won't be in the lineup Saturday after aggravating a groin injury late in Friday's loss. He is considered day-to-day.

-The Cincinnati Reds have won 11 of their last 12 Saturday games and are 20-7 in their last 27 games coming off a win.

-Milwaukee has scored 2.9 runs per game during its 10-game road losing streak, and the Brewers have scored one run or been shut out in four of those games.

-Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Dwayne Bowe is reportedly on the verge of signing his one-year franchise tender, according to multiple reports. The Chiefs dropped their preseason opener 27-17 to the Arizona Cardinals on Friday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/11/2012 10:53 AM

NFL

Saturday, August 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Houston - 7:00 PM ET Houston +2.5 500

Carolina - Over 35.5 500

Tennessee - 10:00 PM ET Seattle -3 500

Seattle - Under 34 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27427 Followers:33
08/12/2012 11:41 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Looking at trends for AFC teams.......

Ravens—John Harbaugh is 17-10-1 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points, either way; since ’03, Ravens are 27-9-2 as non-divisional home favorites, but are just 8-15 as road favorites since ’05.

Bills—3-8-1 as home underdog vs AFC East rivals; since ’08, they’re 7-13-2 vs spread in game following a win.

Bengals—Since 2008. Cincy is 6-0 as home dog in divisional games; since ’06, they’re 18-11 as non-divisional underdog. Bengals are 12-18-3 in game off a loss, 16-10 in game following a win.

Browns—Over last decade, Cleveland is 6-1 as road favorite; they’ve covered eight of last 13 games as double digit underdog. Browns are 3-8-2 as home favorites since ’08; they’ve covered only twice out of last eight games when they were favored over a divisional rival.

Broncos—Fox lost eight of nine home openers as a HC; Denver is 5-24-2 vs spread last 31 times they were favored at home-- 1-11-1 in last 13 against an AFC West rival, 4-13-1 in other games. Denver is -31 in turnovers the last four years.

Texans—Coming off its first-ever playoff appearance, Houston covered its last six divisional home games; they had 44 sacks LY, after having 30-30-25 three years before that. Texans are expected to jog to divisional title this year. Lot of pressure there.

Colts—New coach, new QB, old trends don’t mean as much, but Indy is 7-13 in last 20 non-divisional home games (6-6 in last 12 AFC South home games). Colts are 24-10-1 vs spread in last 35 non-divisional road games, but 2-6-1 in last nine games where spread was 3 or less points.

Jaguars—Last four years, Jax is 12-20 vs spread at home; they’re 7-17 vs spread in game following their last 24 SU wins. Jaguars haven’t been good, despite being positive in turnovers in six of last eight seasons.

Chiefs—Underdogs are 22-7-1 vs spread in KC’s last 30 divisional home games; Chiefs are 6-14-1 in last 21 games as a favorite, 3-13-1 in last 17 as home favorite. KC covered nine of last 10 vs NFC teams.

Dolphins—Since 2003, Fish are amazingly awful 8-31 as a home favorite, though they were 3-2 LY; since ’04, they’re 15-38 vs spread as a favorite, home or away. Old coach Sparano is new OC with Jets, so they’ll still see him twice a year.

Patriots—Since ’03, Pats are 10-2-1 as an underdog of 3 or less points; they’re +45 in turnovers the last two seasons. Watching Hard Knocks, thought occurs to me; if Patriots didn’t want Chad85Johnson, and they needed WRs, why should anyone else want him?

Jets—Attention junkies of the NFL; they’re 5-13 vs spread in last 18 games vs NFC teams, 2-9-1 in last dozen tries as a divisional home favorite (11-10 in non-divisional tilts). Hopefully someone will explain to me someday how signing Tim Tebow was an overall good idea for the franchise.

Raiders—Dennis Allen is Oakland’s 4th HC in five years; Steelers have had three since 1969. Raiders had negative turnover ratio in eight of last nine years- they covered four of last 17 tries when favored, but 13 of last 18 vs divisional rivals.

Steelers—Since 2004, they’re 12-4 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points; they’re 12-19-1 in last 32 games as road favorites, 7-17 in last 24 tries as a double digit favorite.

Chargers—Over last five seasons, Bolts are 7-12-1 vs spread in first four games of season; with Manning in Denver and Chiefs improved, Norvelous Norv needs faster start this season. San Diego is 4-13-1 vs spread in last 18 games on carpet; their two games on turf this year are in Weeks 5/16 (NO/NYJ). Chargers are -7/-6 in turnovers last two years.

Titans—They’re 14-6 vs spread in last 20 games where spread was 3 or less points. Munchak was 1-5 vs spread in divisional games LY, after Fisher had gone 20-10 in previous five seasons. Titans are 9-14 in last 23 games as non-divsional road favorite.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: