cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 06:41 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

08/09/12 9-­1-­0 90.00% +­3950 Detail

08/05/12 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail

Totals 9-­3-­0 75.00% +2850


Friday, August 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Tampa Bay - 7:30 PM ET Miami -2.5 500
Miami - Under 33.5 500

N.Y. Jets - 7:30 PM ET N.Y. Jets +1.5 500
Cincinnati - Over 33.5 500

Cleveland - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -3 500
Detroit - Under 36 500

N.Y. Giants - 7:30 PM ET N.Y. Giants +1 500
Jacksonville - Over 33.5 500

Arizona - 8:00 PM ET Kansas City -3 500
Kansas City - Under 34.5 500

Minnesota - 9:00 PM ET San Francisco -4 500
San Francisco - Over 33 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 06:44 PM

Friday Preseason Tips

August 9, 2012

The second set of preseason games in the NFL takes place on Friday night with a six-pack of contests. Both New York teams are in action on the road, while the Chiefs look to end their preseason woes at home against the Cardinals. We'll begin this preview in the Sunshine State with two new head coaches getting their first crack at a victory.

Buccaneers at Dolphins (-3, 33 ½) - 7:30 PM EST

Miami has moved on from the Tony Sparano era to former Packers' assistant Joe Philbin to take over the reins. The Dolphins are still undecided on their quarterback situation, as David Garrard is listed atop the depth chart, followed by incumbent Matt Moore and rookie Ryan Tannehill. The Bucs started last season at 4-2, but ultimately dropped their final 10 games, costing head coach Raheem Morris his job. Ex-Rutgers coach Greg Schiano replaced Morris on the Tampa Bay sidelines, as the Bucs try to improve on impressive preseason record as an underdog.

Josh Freeman will play the first couple of series for the Bucs, while Dan Orlovsky and Brett Ratliff will see most of the action at quarterback in the second half. Tampa Bay has cashed in three of the last four preseason games in the 'dog role, while the Dolphins covered all three times as a favorite in the 2011 preseason. These two teams normally don't score many points in the preseason, hitting the 'under' in four straight August meetings.

Jets at Bengals (-1 ½, 34) - 7:30 PM EST

The much-anticipated debut of Tim Tebow in a Jets' uniform comes at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati as New York goes for its first win in a preseason opener in Rex Ryan's four-year tenure. The Bengals found a way to qualify for the playoffs in 2011, but now the target is on them heading into this season. The Jets are normally must-watch television just to see what will happen, as Mark Sanchez is tabbed as the starter again at quarterback, followed by Tebow and Greg McElroy. Tebow will see plenty of time, as the former Broncos' signal-caller will likely play two quarters.

Andy Dalton will begin the game under center for the Bengals, while Bruce Gradkowski and Zac Robinson also are slated to take snaps for a majority of the game. The Jets have been a solid preseason 'over' play in Ryan's tenure by cashing in eight of 12 opportunities. Marvin Lewis is a coin-toss proposition in the exhibition season, posting an 18-18 ATS record, but the Bengals just 3-6 ATS the last two preseasons.

Browns at Lions (-3, 36) - 7:30 PM EST

The team with potentially the worst quarterback situation in the league resides in Cleveland, who is banking on former Oklahoma State standout Brandon Weeden. After Cleveland's offense scored 17 points or less in 14 of 16 games last season, the Browns will start Weeden against the Lions, followed by Colt McCoy and Seneca Wallace. Detroit is coming off its first postseason appearance since 1999, as Matthew Stafford is set to play a handful of series on Friday. Shaun Hill and former Boise State quarterback Kellen Moore will see plenty of time, as the Lions have won and covered seven straight preseason contests.

The Browns compiled a 1-3 SU/ATS record in Pat Shurmer's first season at the helm in 2011, while Cleveland cashed the 'over' three times. Jim Schwartz is out to win games in the exhibition season, by going 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in his four years at the helm of the Lions. Detroit is no stranger to the end zone under Schwartz in the preseason by scoring 25 points or more in six of the last seven contests.

Giants at Jaguars (-2 ½, 35) - 8:00 PM EST

New York begins its title defense in North Florida, although this preseason game means very little to Tom Coughlin's team. Super Bowl MVP Eli Manning will be on the field for a series or two before giving way to another former top pick in David Carr. Behind Carr is ex-LSU standout Ryan Perrilloux, who spent time on the Giants' roster last season on the practice squad. Jacksonville is competing with Cleveland for worst compilation at the quarterback position as Blaine Gabbert, Chad Henne, and Nathan Enderle all will take snaps. Maurice Jones-Drew will not suit up for the Jags, as the Pro Bowl running back is still in the midst of a holdout.

Jacksonville failed to cover in four preseason games in 2011, as Mike Mularkey has taken over as head coach. Mularkey cashed the 'under' in six of eight preseason contests as coach of the Bills from 2004-05, while the Jags are winless in their last three exhibition openers. The Giants have won only two of the last six road games in the preseason, as one of those victories came against the rival Jets in the opening game at Met Life Stadium in 2010.

Cardinals at Chiefs (-2 ½, 34 ½) - 8:00 PM EST

Kansas City has been a great preseason 'fade' over the last few seasons, covering just once in the last 20 games since 2007. In this stretch, the Chiefs are 3-17 SU, which went though both Herm Edwards and Todd Haley as the head coach. Romeo Crennel replaced Haley for the final three games of last season, while beating the Packers and Broncos as underdogs. The Chiefs begin the preseason against the Cardinals, who have plenty of questions at the quarterback position.

John Skelton and Kevin Kolb will battle it out for top signal-caller in Arizona, as Skelton will play with the first team against Kansas City. Past Kolb, Ryan Lindley will see some second half action as the Cardinals own a 7-13 SU and 8-11 ATS under Ken Whisenhunt in the preseason. The Chiefs trot out Matt Cassel as their starting quarterback, while Brady Quinn will make a push as the second-stringer.

Vikings at 49ers (-3, 34 ½) - 9:00 PM EST

San Francisco sat a few plays away from making the Super Bowl in January, but came up short in overtime against New York. The Niners begin their second campaign under Jim Harbaugh, who went 3-1 to the 'under' in four preseason contests last season. San Francisco is relying on former top pick Alex Smith at quarterback, followed by Colin Kaepernick and Josh Johnson, who are expected to get a majority of the snaps.

The Vikings turned into a disaster last season by winning only three games, while losing star running back Adrian Peterson to a torn ACL in a Week 16 win at Washington. Peterson will not play at San Francisco, but is aiming to return later in the preseason. Christian Ponder leads a Minnesota trio of quarterbacks who haven't been consistent starts in the league, as Joe Webb and Sage Rosenfels also will see time at Candlestick Park. The Vikings have covered five of eight preseason games under Leslie Frazier, while allowing 14 points or less in three exhibition contests last season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 06:46 PM

Slam the Rams' 'under'

August 10, 2012

As I mentioned last week while touting an ‘over’ play on the Bears, my second-favorite NFL season win total is ‘under’ six for the Rams.

St. Louis is coming off of a dreadful 10-38 stretch during Steve Spagnuolo’s tenure. Going back even further, there was a 2-10 run under interim coach Jim Haslett that was preceded by an 11-25 record under Scott Linehan. By my math, this six-year span of nothing but scrub squads has combined for a pathetic 23-73 record.

Ouch!

That’s painful just to think about.

The good news is that former Titans head coach Jeff Fisher has been hired to right the ship. Fisher’s not Vince Lombardi, but he’s a major upgrade from Spagnuolo and Linehan.

We’ll stick with the few positives for now and I believe that starts with the additions at cornerback. Cortland Finnegan, signed in free agency, is a solid veteran with 14 career interceptions. The former Titan has been to the Pro-Bowl before and is familiar with Fisher’s system.

The Rams got great value in the second round when they drafted Janoris Jenkins, who became the first Florida Gator to start at CB from day one as a true freshman since the late/great Jarvis Williams did so in the 1980s. Jenkins was an integral part of UF’s national-championship team in 2008.

Jenkins is a mid-first-round talent, but his dismissal from Florida raised red flags. He was arrested twice for possession of misdemeanor amounts of weed in Gainesville during the off-season after Urban Meyer resigned and Will Muschamp became head coach.

With excellent talent at the cover-corner spots, you would think life will become easier for one of the league’s best pass rushers who is still getting better. I’m talking about Chris Long, who had 13 sacks last season.

There’s also optimism at two other d-line spots. Robert Quinn had five sacks as a rookie after missing all of 2010 while suspended at North Carolina. The Rams spent their first-round pick on LSU defensive tackle Michael Brockers, who is expected to start immediately.

Fisher will also like his middle linebacker, James Laurinaitis, who had a team-high 142 tackles, nine tackles for losses, three sacks, seven passes broken up and a pair of interceptions last year.

The previous few paragraphs will just about do it for half-glass-full opinions.

The organization believes it has its franchise quarterback in third-year signal caller Sam Bradford. I won’t say anything to derail that notion, but there are concerns.

For starters, regardless of how good a player is in any sport, at some point you have to enjoy success to keep your confidence. Going back to Bradford’s senior year at Oklahoma when he got hurt in the opener against BYU and then went out again early in a game against Texas, Bradford’s last three seasons have been rough.

He barely touched the field in a frustrating 2009 in Norman. Then as a rookie in 2010, Bradford had an 18/15 touchdown-to-interception ratio. In 2011, Bradford struggled with injuries to his ankle and elbow, often playing at far less than 100-percent health-wise. He completed only 53.5 percent of his throws with a 6/6 TD-INT ratio.

I don’t point out those numbers to bash Bradford. I think he’s been playing behind a garbage offensive line with mediocre receivers. I believe he’s an extremely accurate passer when he gets time and has targets that are open, but how often will that be the case in 2012?

The Rams did take a WR in the second round, but I have to plead ignorance on this one. I have no clue if Brian Quick from out of Appalachian St. was worthy of being the 33rd selection in the NFL Draft or not. Only time will tell.

I know Danny Amendola is a quality NFL wideout, but is he talented enough to be your No. 1 target? Will he be the same after suffering that grotesque elbow injury last year?

Stephen Jackson has been a stud RB for a long time, but how much does he have left in the tank? There are a lot of miles on those legs. And, once again, he’ll be operating behind a terrible offensive line.

When suggesting an ‘under’ on a season win total, I like to look at the schedule and figure a best-case scenario. In this instance, I think the Rams’ ceiling is 6-10 IF everything falls right.

That would entail Bradford staying healthy for 16 games, Quick emerging as an outstanding rookie WR, Amendola playing extremely well, rookie RB Isiah Pead developing as a nice compliment to Jackson and major improvement from the offensive line.

Then on the other side of the ball, you need a career year from Long. You need Jenkins and Brockers producing at a high level as rookies, while Quinn enjoys a breakout campaign in his second season.

Are all those things going to materialize? Of course not!

There are three road games that are guaranteed losses – at Detroit, at Chicago and at San Francisco. There are two more road games that are unlikely victories and also fall into difficult spots because of the weather conditions – at Miami in mid-October (when it feels like mid-August everywhere else) and at Buffalo on Dec. 9 when snow and ice could be a factor for an indoor team like St. Louis.

The Rams will almost certainly be underdogs in their three other road games – at Arizona, at Tampa Bay and at Seattle. How many road wins will they get? Let’s be generous and give them one and it’ll come either at Arizona or at Tampa Bay.

St. Louis was a double-digit home underdog twice last year and I see two more similar situations this season when Green Bay and New England come to the Edward Jones Dome in back-to-back weeks. Although we should note that the Rams drilled the Saints as 13-point home ‘dogs last year, we’ll confidently mark them with L’s for the visits from the Packers and Patriots.

Another healthy home ‘dog spot will be on Dec. 2 when the 49ers come to town.

We’re left with five home games: vs. Washington, vs. Seattle, vs. Arizona, vs. the Jets and vs. Minnesota. The Rams will certainly have a decent shot in four of those contests, but I think the Jets win at St. Louis.

I’ll give them three wins at home against the Seahawks (being generous here – again), Cardinals and Vikings. (I think RG3 and the ‘Skins beat the Rams.)

So there you have it. The Rams will go 4-12 and the ‘under’ will be a winner.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:10 PM

What bettors need to know: Friday's NFL preseason action

Football bettors can choose from six games on the NFL preseason schedule Friday.

Here’s a quick look at each of the matchups and their odds and trends.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins (-3, 33.5)

Coach Joe Philbin declined to announce his plan at quarterback this week, but if he stays true to the depth chart veteran David Garrard will get the start. Matt Moore and Ryan Tannehill will likely see action as well. Miami will also debut its 4-3 scheme under new defensive coordinator Kevin Coyle.

The Buccaneers were atrocious defensively last season, finishing 30th in yards allowed (394.4 per game) and last in points surrendered (30.9). Tampa added cornerback Eric Wright via free agency to help tighten up the secondary. Wide receiver Vincent Jackson will also make his debut with the club, adding another offensive threat besides Mike Williams to the receiving corps.

New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5, 35.5)

It’s Tebow time in New York. The pivot has practiced as the second-team quarterback thus far in training camp and has only taken a few snaps with the first squad, none of them of the wildcat variety. The Jets will feature several young receivers due to the injuries to Santonio Holmes and Jeremy Kerley. Rookies Stephen Hill, Patrick Turner, and Chaz Schilens will see significant time running routes in the preseason opener.

Brandon Tate is listed first on the depth chart at wide receiver when the Bengals open their preseason against the Jets. Finding a complement to receiver A.J. Green is one of Cincinnati's priorities this preseason. Running back BenJarvus Green-Ellis will make his Bengals’ debut after signing a three-year, $9-million deal in the offseason.

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions (-3, 36)

Browns rookie running back Trent Richardson won’t suit up for the club’s preseason opener, but team officials hope he’ll make a speedy recovery from knee surgery and be available in Week 1. Head coach Pat Shurmer has named Brandon Weeden the starting quarterback Friday. Shurmer doesn't have extensive experience in the NFL as a head coach, but he went 1-3 SU and ATS in his preseason debut last year.

Lions head coach Jim Schwartz was a perfect 4-0 SU in the 2011 preseason. He’ll have a gaping hole at running back for the preseason opener because of injuries to his top two backs—Jahvid Best and Mikel Leshoure. Third-string halfback Kevin Smith should get the majority of the carries. Matt Stafford will see limited time at QB, but all five of the club’s top five receivers are healthy and ready to go.

New York Giants at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 35)

Hakeem Nicks, Terrell Thomas, Jacquain Williams, Chris Canty, and Michael Boley are among 11 Giants players that will sit out the preseason opener with injuries. New York’s first unit is expected to only play about three possessions tonight before the second unit takes the field.

The Jaguars remain in turmoil with star running back Maurice Jones-Drew, who's seeking a lucrative raise over his current 2012 salary of $4.45 million after leading the NFL in rushing a year ago. However, Jacksonville was able to reach a pact with rookie wide receiver Justin Blackmon, who will make his NFL debut tonight, on a four-year deal Monday.

Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 34.5)

Cardinals coach Ken Whisenhunt is calling quarterback Kevin Kolb's injury minor and expects the quarterback to play in Friday's exhibition game against Kansas City behind starter John Skelton. Arizona activated running back Beanie Wells from the physically unable to perform list Tuesday, but he’s unlikely to suit up in the club’s second preseason game.

Kansas City welcomes the return of running back Jamaal Charles, tight end Tony Moeaki, and safety Eric Berry for the first time since all three blew out their ACLs last season. All three players are expected to see time Friday.

Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers (-3, 34.5)

The Minnesota Vikings are hoping that star running back Adrian Peterson can return to practice next week. The coaching and medical staff will evaluate Peterson’s left knee after the Vikings return from their preseason opener against the 49ers. Quarterback Christian Ponder says he is more comfortable and confident in the offense than he was as a rookie in camp last season.

The big story of the game is the return of wide receiver Randy Moss. He’s resurfaced after signing a one- year contract with the 49ers in March and is expected to start tonight. Moss has been mentoring San Francisco’s revamped receiver corps — Mario Manningham, Michael Crabtree, Ted Ginn Jr., Kyle Williams and first-round pick A.J. Jenkins of Illinois — all offseason.

Head coach Jim Harbaugh has declined to state how long his starters will play.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:13 PM

NFL Preseason Week 1 Dunkel

NY Jets at Cincinnati
Tim Tebow makes his Jets debut tonight in Cincinnati. The Bengals are the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Cincinnati favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 10

Game 263-264: Tampa Bay at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 122.223; Miami 125.433
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 31
Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+2 1/2); Under

Game 265-266: NY Jets at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 117.120; Cincinnati 120.154
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2); Over

Game 267-268: Cleveland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.304; Detroit 123.421
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 33
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under

Game 269-270: NY Giants at Jacksonville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 117.241; Jacksonville 120.543
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-2 1/2); Over

Game 271-272: Arizona at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 121.406; Kansas City 117.322
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 39
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Over

Game 273-274: Minnesota at San Francisco (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.302; San Francisco 123.799
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 33
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 11

Game 275-276: Houston at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.306; Carolina 121.786
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Over

Game 277-278: Tennessee at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 120.122; Seattle 124.540
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Over


SUNDAY, AUGUST 12

Game 279-280: St. Louis at Indianapolis (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 121.202; Indianapolis 115.403
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 32
Vegas Line: Pick; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis; Under


MONDAY, AUGUST 13

Game 281-282: Dallas at Oakland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.351; Oakland 123.163
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-1 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:13 PM

NFL Preseason Week 1 Dunkel

NY Jets at Cincinnati
Tim Tebow makes his Jets debut tonight in Cincinnati. The Bengals are the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Cincinnati favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 10

Game 263-264: Tampa Bay at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 122.223; Miami 125.433
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 31
Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+2 1/2); Under

Game 265-266: NY Jets at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 117.120; Cincinnati 120.154
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2); Over

Game 267-268: Cleveland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.304; Detroit 123.421
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 33
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under

Game 269-270: NY Giants at Jacksonville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 117.241; Jacksonville 120.543
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-2 1/2); Over

Game 271-272: Arizona at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 121.406; Kansas City 117.322
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 39
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Over

Game 273-274: Minnesota at San Francisco (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.302; San Francisco 123.799
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 33
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 11

Game 275-276: Houston at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.306; Carolina 121.786
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Over

Game 277-278: Tennessee at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 120.122; Seattle 124.540
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Over


SUNDAY, AUGUST 12

Game 279-280: St. Louis at Indianapolis (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 121.202; Indianapolis 115.403
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 32
Vegas Line: Pick; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis; Under


MONDAY, AUGUST 13

Game 281-282: Dallas at Oakland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.351; Oakland 123.163
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-1 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:13 PM

NFL Preseason Week 1 Dunkel

NY Jets at Cincinnati
Tim Tebow makes his Jets debut tonight in Cincinnati. The Bengals are the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Cincinnati favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 10

Game 263-264: Tampa Bay at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 122.223; Miami 125.433
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 31
Vegas Line: Miami by 2 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+2 1/2); Under

Game 265-266: NY Jets at Cincinnati (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 117.120; Cincinnati 120.154
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 34
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-1 1/2); Over

Game 267-268: Cleveland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 122.304; Detroit 123.421
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 33
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Under

Game 269-270: NY Giants at Jacksonville (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 117.241; Jacksonville 120.543
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 3 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-2 1/2); Over

Game 271-272: Arizona at Kansas City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 121.406; Kansas City 117.322
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4; 39
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 3; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Over

Game 273-274: Minnesota at San Francisco (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.302; San Francisco 123.799
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 5 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 3 1/2; 33
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, AUGUST 11

Game 275-276: Houston at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.306; Carolina 121.786
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 35 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Over

Game 277-278: Tennessee at Seattle (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 120.122; Seattle 124.540
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Over


SUNDAY, AUGUST 12

Game 279-280: St. Louis at Indianapolis (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 121.202; Indianapolis 115.403
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 6; 32
Vegas Line: Pick; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis; Under


MONDAY, AUGUST 13

Game 281-282: Dallas at Oakland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.351; Oakland 123.163
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-1 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:14 PM

NFL Preseason Betting Trends for Friday, August 10, 2012

Tampa Bay at Miami, 7:30 ET
Tampa Bay: 10-2 ATS away vs. AFC East opponents
Miami: 4-0 Under in home games

NY Jets at Cincinnati, 7:30 ET NFL
NY Jets: 15-2 ATS away with a total of 35 points or less
Cincinnati: 22-10 Over as a favorite

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:30 ET
Cleveland: 5-1 Over with a line of +3 to -3
Detroit: 7-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

NY Giants at Jacksonville, 7:30 ET
NY Giants: 5-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3 pts or less
Jacksonville: 11-6 Over vs. NFC East opponents

Arizona at Kansas City, 8:00 ET
Arizona: 3-0 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest
Kansas City: 1-5 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Minnesota at San Francisco, 9:00 ET
Minnesota: 10-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
San Francisco: 3-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points


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NFL Preseason Betting Trends for Saturday, August 11, 2012

Houston at Carolina, 7:00 ET NFL
Houston: 12-3 Over away vs. non-conference opponents
Carolina: 14-31 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Tennessee at Seattle, 10:00 ET NFL
Tennessee: 17-6 ATS as a road underdog
Seattle: 24-11 Over as a favorite


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NFL Preseason Betting Trends for Sunday, August 12, 2012

St. Louis at Indianapolis, 1:30 ET NFL
St. Louis: 6-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Indianapolis: 27-13 Over as an underdog


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NFL Preseason Betting Trends for Monday, August 13, 2012

Dallas at Oakland, 8:00 ET ESPN
Dallas: 10-19 ATS vs. AFC West opponents
Oakland: 4-0 Over in home games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27424 Followers:33
08/10/2012 07:16 PM

Best and worst NFL preseason Week 1 bets

The NFL preseason can make about as much sense as an episode of Lost. Things that should be never are. And players you’ve never heard of can quickly become your all-time faves.

Preseason trends are just as volatile. The tune-up rosters are different, not only year-to-year, but week-to-week as players are cut and added. However, there are some trends and records that jump out during Week 1 of the preseason and can’t be ignored.

Here’s a look at the best and worst teams against the spread in Week 1 of the NFL preseason.

Records from Week 1 of the preseason since 1995.

Best preseason Week 1 bets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6 SU, 11-5 ATS)

The Bucs are straight cash in their preseason opener, including covering in Week 1 of the preseason the past two summers. Tampa Bay opens the 2012 preseason slate at Miami as a 2.5-point underdog Friday.

Denver Broncos (9-7 SU, 11-4-1 ATS)

The Broncos are a much different beast than 2011, especially with Peyton Manning under center. Thursday’s game against the Bears (-3) is his first action since playing in the Pro Bowl on Jan. 30, 2011. Head coach John Fox says his starters will play the majority of the first quarter.

Tennessee Titans (10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS)

The Titans have a nice QB battle on their hands heading into Week 1 of the preseason with second-year arm Jake Locker fighting veteran Matt Hasselbeck for the starting job. That motivation should provide good value in Tennessee, which is 3-point underdog visiting Hasselbeck’s former team, the Seattle Seahawks, Saturday.

Worst preseason Week 1 bets

Dallas Cowboys (4-12 SU, 3-13 ATS)

It’s tough to find value in the Cowboys during the regular season, but damn near impossible during the exhibition slate. Dallas has been ravaged by injuries this offseason with 17 different players missing practice. America’s Team is a 1.5-point underdog visiting the Raiders Monday.

Detroit Lions (9-7 SU, 4-9-3 ATS)

For anyone who has loyally bet the NFL preseason, this one should catch you off guard. Detroit has provided preseason profits over the past four years, going a combined 12-3-1 ATS in the preseason since 2008. But getting the motor started in Week 1 is an issue. The Lions face the Browns as 3-point home faves Friday.

Philadelphia Eagles (5-10 SU, 4-10-1 ATS)

Eagles head coach Andy Reid never cared about the team’s preseason success in the past and understandably won’t be too concerned about it in 2012 after the death of his son last week. Reid returned to camp following the funeral and is expected to be on the sidelines when Philadelphia hosts the Steelers as a pick’em Thursday. "It will be therapy for Andy,” Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie told reporters.

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08/10/2012 07:16 PM

Best NFL preseason Week 1 over/under bets

Finding your bearings when it comes to preseason offenses and defenses is like trying to chart a pleasure cruise through the Bermuda Triangle.

The mystery surrounding a coach's game plan in the exhibition slate can leave over/under bettors wagering on blind faith. However, these totals trends may act as a compass in Week 1 of the NFL preseason.

Here’s a look at the best over and best under bets during Week 1 of the NFL preseason.

Records from Week 1 of the preseason since 1995.

Best preseason Week 1 over bets

New York Jets (7-9 SU, 12-4 over/under)

The J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets have been gold on the O-V-E-R during Week 1 of the preseason the past 16 years. New York has plenty of potential firepower under center with Mark Sanchez and Tim Tebow. The total for Friday’s game at Cincinnati is 34 points.

San Diego Chargers (7-9 SU, 11-5 over/under)

The Bolts have been an awesome over bet in Week 1 of the preseason, topping the total in four of the last five exhibition openers. San Diego collides with Green Bay’s powerful offense Friday with the total set at 37.5 points.

Chicago Bears (6-10 SU, 10-6 over/under)

There’s a change in scenery in the Windy City this summer. Chicago, which has long prided itself on defense, has loaded up on offense this offseason. Da Bears played under the number in Week 1 last season, but went over in six straight preseason openers before that. The total is listed at 34.5 for Thursday’s home date with Denver.

Best Week 1 preseason under bets

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-6 SU, 3-13 over/under)

Betting Tampa Bay to cover and play under has been a winning method in Week 1 of the preseason. Not only are the Bucs among the best teams against the spread (11-5 ATS), but they’re also the top under bet during Week 1 of the preseason. Books have a total of 33.5 points set for Tampa’s tune-up opener at Miami Friday.

Washington Redskins (8-8 SU, 4-12 over/under)

Can Heisman winner Robert Griffin III spark a Washington offense that has helped play below the total in 12 of its last 16 Week 1 preseason tilts? The Redskins have gone 1-5 over/under in their last six Week 1 preseason games. That lone over came in 2010 against the Bills, whom they face with an over/under of 35 points Thursday.

Baltimore Ravens (10-5 SU, 3-12 over/under)

The Ravens smash-mouth defense has kept under backers winning in Week 1 of the preseason, staying below the number in each of the past four exhibition openers. Baltimore is missing a key cog in that stop unit with Terrell Suggs out with an Achilles injury and the Ravens game in Atlanta has an over/under of 34 points Thursday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: