cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/12/2012 12:19 PM

NFL Season Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars


To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Jacksonville Jaguars, whose odds are set at 15/1 to win the AFC South division.


JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 5-11
ATS Record: 7-8-1
Over/Under: 5-11
Points Scored: 15.2 PPG (29th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 20.6 PPG (11th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win AFC South: 15/1
Odds to Win AFC Championship: 50/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 100/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 5

2012 Preview:
Offense:
There doesn’t figure to be a lot of change to the Jaguars’ running game. New head coach Mike Mularkey has always piloted run-heavy offenses, and he retained veteran offensive line coach Andy Heck. They’ll continue to use a zone-blocking scheme and run a lot of stretch plays with Maurice Jones-Drew. Mularkey has always used a one-back system, so Jones-Drew should continue to carry a huge workload with Rashad Jennings picking up the scraps. Mularkey always skewed run-heavy in the red zone, and it makes sense with this personnel. It will be almost all Jones-Drew in the red zone.

With Blaine Gabbert, Mularkey will be trying to build his confidence with high-percentage throws. Gabbert has a poor sense of the pocket, but he was especially uncomfortable turning his back in play-action situations, something he won’t do as much of this season. He’ll also have simplified reads and quicker throws. Rookie Justin Blackmon is a perfect fit in this offense as a catch-and-run guy who had a similar role at Oklahoma State. He and Laurent Robinson should be 1 and 1A in targets. Mularkey, like departed offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter, uses tight ends frequently in the passing game, which is good news for Marcedes Lewis. Mularkey has never run a lot of screen passes, but they’ll find a way to utilize Jones-Drew. When they do throw in the red zone, Lewis and Blackmon are expected to be the usual targets.

Defense:
The Jags saw an uptick in every category on the defensive end last season, as the defense was by far the team’s strongest unit. DL Jeremy Mincey was paid handsomely (4 years, $27.2M) after having nearly signed with Chicago. He has racked up an impressive 12 sacks and 81 total tackles in 24 games as a starter. LB Paul Posluszny posted big tackle numbers in his first season with the Jags, the question is whether he can remain healthy enough to string together two straight 16-game seasons for the first time in his career. LB Daryl Smith played primarily strong side for the first time in 2011 and was his typically solid self. Safety Dawan Landry doesn’t provide much in terms of pass coverage, but he’s a strong tackler.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
QB Chad Henne (from Dolphins)
QB Jordan Palmer (DNP in 2011)
WR Lee Evans (from Ravens)
WR Laurent Robinson (from Cowboys)
CB Aaron Ross (from Giants)
CB Leigh Torrence (from Saints)
CB Reggie Corner (from Bills)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB Luke McCown (Saints)
RB Deji Karim (Colts)
WR Kassim Osgood (released)
DE Aaron Kampman (released)
CB Drew Coleman (Lions)
P Nick Harris (Panthers)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 20.25 (16th toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - at Minnesota
Week 2 - Houston
Week 3 - at Indianapolis
Week 4 - Cincinnati
Week 5 - Chicago
Week 6 - BYE WEEK
Week 7 - at Oakland
Week 8 - at Green Bay
Week 9 - Detroit
Week 10 - Indianapolis
Week 11 - at Houston
Week 12 - Tennessee
Week 13 - at Buffalo
Week 14 - New York Jets
Week 15 - at Miami
Week 16 - New England
Week 17 - Tennessee

StatFox Take: The Jaguars have too many question marks to expect an improvement on last year’s 5-11 team. Blaine Gabbert is easily the worst starting quarterback in the league, and with RB Maurice Jones-Drew still holding out, there are very few offensive players that can actually make a difference. And although on paper they face an average schedule in terms of difficulty, it appears that there will be only one game where Jacksonville will actually be favored (versus Colts). It’s going to be a rough season for the Jags.
Prediction: UNDER 5 wins (-105)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/12/2012 12:21 PM

NFL Season Preview: Tennessee Titans

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Tennessee Titans, whose odds are set at 9/2 to win the AFC South division.


TENNESSEE TITANS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 9-7
ATS Record: 6-9-1
Over/Under: 6-9-1
Points Scored: 20.3 PPG (t-21st in NFL)
Points Allowed: 19.8 PPG (8th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win AFC South: 9/2
Odds to Win AFC Championship: 25/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 60/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 7.5

2012 Preview:
Offense:
The Titans are encouraged by what they deemed a productive offseason for RB Chris Johnson. They mix a lot of zone plays in for Johnson, though their line is more built for man blocking. They use a lot of two-tight end sets and still use a fullback to try and open things up for him. Johnson takes about 70 percent of the reps and is often asked to find yards between the tackles. Javon Ringer will come in on every third or fourth series. The Titans often go into the red zone with the idea of running it, with Johnson taking a lot of touches. But they get easily frustrated after one busted play and ended up one of the league’s most pass-heavy red zone teams.

The Titans were so pass-happy for most of last season that they looked like classic Air Coryell under offensive coordinator Chris Palmer. They get the ball downfield aggressively, something that didn’t change whether it was Matt Hasselbeck or Jake Locker under center. Kenny Britt is the first look, with Nate Washington not far behind. Jared Cook is often used to stretch the middle of the field. Rookie Kendall Wright was brought in to provide a deep threat in the slot, though he may be used underneath as well for spacing purposes. The Titans also reintroduced the screen game last year, giving them another way to get Johnson the ball. They’ll often try to get the ball outside to a receiver near the goal line rather than using a tight end over the middle.

Defense:
Defensive line coach Jim Washburn and DE Jason Babin leaving before last season was a big reason Tennessee finished with the second-fewest sacks in the NFL in 2011. The secondary took a hit this year with the departure of CB Cortland Finnegan and contract dispute with franchise player S Michael Griffin. A lot is going to be asked of LB Colin McCarthy, who was a monster after moving into the starting lineup in the middle of last season, recording 50 solo tackles over eight games as a rookie. Tennessee will be looking for both projected starting cornerbacks, Jason McCourty and Alterraun Verner, to help fill the void created by the loss of Finnegan. McCourty led defensive backs in solo tackles in 2011, and opposing quarterbacks may target him even more often now that he’ll be matched up with many opposing No. 1 WRs. Verner has 102 total tackles (86 solo) in 15 career starts and would seem to be the more attractive target for opposing quarterbacks to pick on.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
G Steve Hutchinson (from Vikings)
DE Kamerion Wimbley (from Raiders)
LB Zac Diles (from Colts)
S Aaron Francisco (DNP in 2011)

SUBTRACTIONS
WR Donnie Avery (Colts)
DE William Hayes (Rams)
DT Jason Jones (Seahawks)
LB Barrett Ruud (Seahawks)
CB Cortland Finnegan (Rams)
S Chris Hope (Falcons)
S Anthony Smith (retired)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 20.94 (5th toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - New England
Week 2 - at San Diego
Week 3 - Detroit
Week 4 - at Houston
Week 5 - at Minnesota
Week 6 - Pittsburgh
Week 7 - at Buffalo
Week 8 - Indianapolis
Week 9 - Chicago
Week 10 - at Miami
Week 11 - BYE WEEK
Week 12 - at Jacksonville
Week 13 - Houston
Week 14 - at Indianapolis
Week 15 - New York Jets
Week 16 - at Green Bay
Week 17 - Jacksonville

StatFox Take: The Titans certainly have the talent to compete with the heavily favored Texans in the AFC South. If Chris Johnson and Kenny Britt stay healthy, that will take a ton of pressure off the starting quarterback, which will eventually be the explosive Jake Locker, a rare combination of arm strength and foot speed. This team lost a couple of key players in the secondary due to free agency, but it should still be one of the better all-around defenses in 2012. The schedule is not easy, but most of the elite opponents they face are at home (Patriots, Lions, Steelers, Bears and Jets), with only two road games against 2011 playoff teams (Texans and Packers).
Prediction: OVER 7.5 wins (-105)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:28 PM

NFL Season Preview: Denver Broncos

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Denver Broncos, whose odds are set at 8/5 to win the AFC West division.


DENVER BRONCOS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 9-9
ATS Record: 8-9-1
Over/Under: 10-7-1
Points Scored: 19.3 PPG (25th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 24.4 PPG (24th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win AFC West: 8/5
Odds to Win AFC Championship: 6/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 12/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 8.5

2012 Preview:
Offense:
This entire offense will obviously be revamped going from Tim Tebow to Peyton Manning. Before they scrapped the entire playbook to run Tebow’s zone-spread stuff, they were reinstalling a more traditional zone-blocking scheme under o-line coach Dave Magazu (they had moved to more of a man scheme under Josh McDaniels’ regime). Willis McGahee will have an adjustment to make again; he benefitted from the threat of Tebow last year, but was mediocre in traditional sets and put the ball on the ground far too much. Rookie Ronnie Hillman could push him on early downs and also see a good portion of the reps on third down.

This offense is basically being handed over to Peyton Manning. Manning’s offense is all about feel; it’s a lot of option routes and adjustments at the line of scrimmage. Demaryius Thomas is his most gifted receiver, but he’ll have a major adjustment to make after playing in a run-heavy, triple-option offense in college, then Tebow’s zone-read in his first significant NFL action. Eric Decker, who has experience in pro style offenses, should be able to pick this up more quickly. The Broncos figure to use two tight ends often, with Joel Dreessen blocking while Jacob Tamme plays more H-back and occasional slot as a receiver. The Broncos’ first option will be to throw it in the red zone. During his time with the Colts, Manning would go to the line with a passing play and audible to a run only if needed.

Defense:
John Fox certainly made his mark felt on the defense in his first year as Denver’s head coach. The Broncos D will benefit from Peyton Manning leading longer drives on offense in 2012. The healthy return of Elvis Dumervil to partner with Von Miller forms a potent pass-rushing LB tandem. After missing 2010 with a torn pectoral muscle, Dumervil took a while to adjust to Denver’s new 4-3 scheme. He had all 9.5 of his sacks in November/December, showing he’s very capable of returning to his 2009 form. Miller isn’t consistent against the run, but he is a 15-sack threat. He struggled late last year, with just two total tackles and zero sacks over the final three weeks, but that can likely be chalked up to him hitting the rookie wall.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
QB Peyton Manning (from Colts)
QB Caleb Hanie (from Bears)
FB Chris Gronkowski (Trade/Colts)
WR Andre Caldwell (from Bengals)
WR Brandon Stokley (from Giants)
TE Jacob Tamme (from Colts)
TE Joel Dreessen (from Texans)
DT Justin Bannan (from Rams)
LB Keith Brooking (from Cowboys)
CB Tracy Porter (from Saints)
CB Drayton Florence (from Bills)
S Mike Adams (from Browns)
S Jim Leonhard (from Jets)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB Tim Tebow (Jets)
QB Brady Quinn (Chiefs)
FB Spencer Larsen (Patriots)
WR Eddie Royal (Chargers)
TE Daniel Fells (Patriots)
TE Dante Rosario (Chargers)
DE Derrick Harvey (Bengals)
DT Ryan McBean (Ravens)
DT Brodrick Bunkley (Saints)
LB Mario Haggan (Rams)
CB Jonathan Wilhite (Bears)
CB Andre Goodman (released)
CB Cassius Vaughn (Colts)
S Brian Dawkins (retired)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 20.81 (6th toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - Pittsburgh
Week 2 - at Atlanta
Week 3 - Houston
Week 4 - Oakland
Week 5 - at New England
Week 6 - at San Diego
Week 7 - BYE WEEK
Week 8 - New Orleans
Week 9 - at Cincinnati
Week 10 - at Carolina
Week 11 - San Diego
Week 12 - at Kansas City
Week 13 - Tampa Bay
Week 14 - at Oakland
Week 15 - at Baltimore
Week 16 - Cleveland
Week 17 - Kansas City

StatFox Take: This is certainly a tough schedule, with only one indoor game for Peyton Manning all year (at Falcons). The easiest road trip will be at Carolina, which is no gimme, but is not nearly as difficult as winning in New England, Baltimore, Cincinnati or Atlanta, all playoff teams in 2011. Denver will be favored heavily in just two games all year (hosting Buccaneers and Browns), and although the team historically is strong at home, the Steelers, Texans, Saints could all prevail in the Mile High City. All three division opponents should be improved this year, which is bad news for a Broncos club that is 4-10 in its past 14 AFC West tilts. The odds are an unfavorable 5-to-8 to bank on the Broncos finishing above .500, which is something they haven’t done since a 9-7 campaign in 2007. Take the plus money and expect a .500 season or worse in Denver.
Prediction: UNDER 8.5 wins (+130)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:30 PM

NFL Season Preview: Kansas City Chiefs

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Kansas City Chiefs, whose odds are set at 3/1 to win the AFC West division.


KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 7-9
ATS Record: 9-7
Over/Under: 4-12
Points Scored: 13.3 PPG (31st in NFL)
Points Allowed: 21.1 PPG (12th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win AFC West: 3/1
Odds to Win AFC Championship: 15/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 40/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 8

2012 Preview:
Offense:
Even though new offensive coordinator Brian Daboll and offensive line coach Jack Bicknell Jr. are more versed in power blocking, they apparently lured RT Eric Winston from Houston by promising more of a zone scheme. It fits with their personnel and shouldn’t be a major transition. Jamaal Charles is the starter as soon as he proves he’s healthy, and the Chiefs will run a lot of single-back, two-tight end stuff. Peyton Hillis should take at least a third of the reps at tailback and could be closer to a 50/50 split if Charles is slow to recover from his torn ACL. Hillis will see some time at fullback. There will, however, be certain game plans where Dexter McCluster plays more snaps than Hillis. One of Hillis’ big roles will be in the red zone, where he figures to get carries near the goal line.

Under Daboll, things should be opened up a little more for Matt Cassel this year. K.C. will likely spread things out, whether it be with three receivers or two tight ends, and go with more quick throws. Dwayne Bowe remains the No. 1 target while Steve Breaston is more of a catch-and-run guy who could thrive in this offense. He’ll slide to the slot with Jonathan Baldwin playing outside when they go three-wide. Tony Moeaki will likely see his role scaled back slightly with the use of more three-wide sets. Kevin Boss will be used sparingly as a pass catcher, and the backs will be used frequently as check-down options.

Defense:
The Chiefs’ 2011 defense was unspectacular, experiencing a drop in production across the board except for six more interceptions than in 2010. Kansas City does have some upside with a talented and blossoming defensive line and pass-rushing LB Tamba Hali (12 sacks in 2011). LB Derrick Johnson is a solid run-stopper on the inside who didn’t get much of a shot before the arrival of Romeo Crennel, but he’s been excellent in two years since. He was one of four NFL linebackers to reach triple digits in solo tackles in 2011. The most promising development in regards to this defense for 2012 is the fact that young star strong safety Eric Berry’s knee should be 100 percent after he missed essentially all of 2011 once he tore his ACL in the season opener. He’s excellent in pass coverage and able to contribute in run support.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
QB Brady Quinn (from Broncos)
RB Peyton Hillis (from Browns)
TE Kevin Boss (from Raiders)
OT Eric Winston (from Texans)
CB Stanford Routt (from Raiders)
CB Jacques Reeves (last played in 2009)
S Abram Elam (from Cowboys)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB Kyle Orton (Cowboys)
RB Jackie Battle (Chargers)
FB Le’Ron McClain (Chargers)
TE Leonard Pope (Steelers)
OT Barry Richardson (Rams)
LB Demorrio Williams (Chargers)
CB Brandon Carr (Cowboys)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 18.75 (30th toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - Atlanta
Week 2 - at Buffalo
Week 3 - at New Orleans
Week 4 - San Diego
Week 5 - Baltimore
Week 6 - at Tampa Bay
Week 7 - BYE WEEK
Week 8 - Oakland
Week 9 - at San Diego
Week 10 - at Pittsburgh
Week 11 - Cincinnati
Week 12 - Denver
Week 13 - Carolina
Week 14 - at Cleveland
Week 15 - at Oakland
Week 16 - Indianapolis
Week 17 - at Denver

StatFox Take: On paper this is the third-easiest schedule in the league, but nearly half (seven) of the Chiefs’ opponents made the playoffs last year (Falcons, Saints, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals and Broncos twice). Although 65-year-old head coach Romeo Crennel was 2-1 after taking over last year, he’ll have to work some serious magic to post season better than .500 in his first full campaign with the club. Since 2007, Kansas City has won just 27 games (5.4 per year) with only one winning campaign, a 10-6 season two years ago. This offense led by QB Matt Cassel is not good enough to carry K.C. to a winning season.
Prediction: UNDER 8 wins (-105)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:32 PM

NFL Season Preview: Oakland Raiders

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Oakland Raiders, whose odds are set at 11/2 to win the AFC West division.


OAKLAND RAIDERS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 8-8
ATS Record: 10-6
Over/Under: 9-6-1
Points Scored: 22.4 PPG (16th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 27.1 PPG (29th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win AFC West: 11/2
Odds to Win AFC Championship: 25/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 60/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 7.5

2012 Preview:
Offense:
After switching back to a power-blocking scheme last year, the Raiders are going back to the zone-blocking scheme they used with success in the Tom Cable years—they still have the line to do it. Darren McFadden was better in last year’s power-blocking scheme, but he’s had success in the one-cut system. Considering his injury history they weren’t about to build around him though. His back-ups, Mike Goodson and Taiwan Jones, are both one-cut runners. They’ll likely ride McFadden as a three-down back until he gets hurt again. The Raiders were the NFL’s most run-heavy red zone offense a year ago, and it figures to stay that way.

Offensive coordinator Greg Knapp prefers a catch-and-run West Coast passing game to the vertical attack the Raiders ran during the Al Davis years. Considering his fading arm strength, quarterback Carson Palmer should benefit. Palmer will be asked to do a little more in terms of throwing on the move and ball-handling on play-action. His receivers, however, don’t really fit the West Coast mold—Darrius Heyward-Bey, Denarius Moore and Jacoby Ford are all primarily deep threats. It could open up opportunities for the tight ends, though Brandon Myers isn’t much of an option. In the end, there could be a ton of passes going to McFadden. When the Raiders throw off play-action near the goal line, Heyward-Bey and Moore figure to be the most common targets.

Defense:
The Raiders were woeful on defense in 2011, ranking 27th in the NFL in both passing defense and rushing defense, and allowing the fourth-most points in the league. They should benefit from the return of DE Matt Shaughnessy, whose 2011 season was cut very short by a shoulder injury. With a quick first step and long arms that allow him to fight off blocks, he’ll not only produce from the starting RDE spot in 2012, but he’ll draw attention away from Richard Seymour—the veteran lineman totaled just one sack over his final 11 games of 2011 without Shaughnessy on the field. Former No. 8 overall pick Rolando McClain will be Oakland’s starting middle linebacker in new head coach Dennis Allen’s defense, but that’s only if he avoids suspension and jail time—McClain is appealing a 180-day jail sentence he received in May after being found guilty on assault charges. About the only good thing that can be said about that secondary is that safety Tyvon Branch is a solid run-stopper—the Raiders are severely lacking in talent when it comes to pass coverage.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
RB Mike Goodson (from Panthers)
FB Owen Schmitt (from Eagles)
T Ed Wang (did not play in 2011)
G Mike Brisiel (from Texans)
DE Dave Tollefson (from Giants)
LB Philip Wheeler (from Colts)
CB Shawntae Spencer (from 49ers)
CB Ron Bartell (from Rams)
CB Pat Lee (from Packers)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB Jason Campbell (Bears)
QB Kyle Boller (retired)
RB Michael Bush (Bears)
RB Rock Cartwright (49ers)
WR Chaz Schilens (Jets)
WR Louis Murphy (Panthers)
TE Kevin Boss (Chiefs)
T Bruce Campbell (Panthers)
T Stephon Heyer (Jets)
C Samson Satele (Colts)
DE Trevor Scott (Patriots)
DT John Henderson (retired)
LB Darryl Blackstock (Ravens)
LB Kamerion Wimbley (Titans)
LB Quentin Groves (Cardinals)
CB Stanford Routt (Chiefs)
CB Chris Johnson (released)
S Hiram Eugene (released)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 19.31 (28th toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - San Diego
Week 2 - at Miami
Week 3 - Pittsburgh
Week 4 - at Denver
Week 5 - BYE WEEK
Week 6 - at Atlanta
Week 7 - Jacksonville
Week 8 - at Kansas City
Week 9 - Tampa Bay
Week 10 - at Baltimore
Week 11 - New Orleans
Week 12 - at Cincinnati
Week 13 - Cleveland
Week 14 - Denver
Week 15 - Kansas City
Week 16 - at Carolina
Week 17 - at San Diego

StatFox Take: The Raiders could make some noise in the AFC West this year with the fifth-easiest schedule in the league. Assuming the offense stays healthy, there are a ton of winnable games and only a couple instances of possible bad weather tilts against the Ravens and Bengals. New head coach Dennis Allen was hired to make sure this club trims its 163 penalties and 1,358 penalty yards from last year (both NFL records). Expect a third straight season of .500 or better in 2012.
Prediction: OVER 7.5 wins (+125)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:34 PM

NFL Season Preview: San Diego Chargers

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the San Diego Chargers, whose odds are set at 9/5 to win the AFC West division.


SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 8-8
ATS Record: 6-10
Over/Under: 8-8
Points Scored: 25.4 PPG (6th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 23.6 PPG (22nd in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win AFC West: 9/5
Odds to Win AFC Championship: 14/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 30/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 9

2012 Preview:
Offense:
Offensive line coach Hal Hunter picks up the offensive coordinator title after Clarence Shelmon’s retirement, but this remains head coach Norv Turner’s offense. They want to establish the power running game between the tackles, though Ryan Mathews gives them the versatility to mix in some zone blocking as well. With Mike Tolbert gone, newly acquired veteran Ronnie Brown will pick up some carries. But hybrid back Le’Ron McClain could end up more closely replicating Tolbert as the power change-of-pace to Mathews. While Mathews figures to play a lot of the red zone snaps, McClain seems likely to step in on the goal line.

Turner is an Air Coryell disciple who gets the ball downfield. Protection issues were at the root of Philip Rivers’ mid-season struggles in 2011, but they seem to have gotten things straightened out with Jared Gaither stepping in at left tackle. Rivers reads deep-to-short, with Robert Meachem taking over for Vincent Jackson as the primary deep target. Antonio Gates will continue to run a lot of intermediate crossing routes as the No. 2 option, with Malcom Floyd occasionally targeted as a deep threat. The Chargers use their backs often in the passing game and they really missed Darren Sproles last year. But the arrival of Eddie Royal in the slot could fill some of Sproles’ old catch-and-run playmaking. When they throw in the red zone, Gates is overwhelmingly the top target.

Defense:
The Chargers’ defense experienced quite a drop-off in production last season, allowing 75 more yards per game than in 2010. They brought in some solid veterans to help in 2012, but no real game-changers. First-round draft pick DE Melvin Ingram will need some seasoning before he becomes an elite pass rusher. Eric Weddle now plays more of a centerfield role rather than downhill in the box. This reduced his production in the tackle department and seemed to hurt the San Diego run defense a bit last season, but Weddle’s seven interceptions in 2011 were more than he had in his previous four seasons combined.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
QB Charlie Whitehurst (from Seahawks)
RB Jackie Battle (from Chiefs)
RB Ronnie Brown (from Eagles)
FB Le’Ron McClain (from Chiefs)
WR Robert Meachem (from Saints)
WR Eddie Royal (from Broncos)
WR Roscoe Parrish (from Bills)
WR/KR Michael Spurlock (from Buccaneers)
TE Dante Rosario (from Broncos)
T Michael Toudouze (from Colts)
T Mario Henderson (did not play in 2011)
G Rex Hadnot (from Cardinals)
NT Aubrayo Franklin (from Saints)
LB Jarret Johnson (from Ravens)
LB Demorrio Williams (from Chiefs)
S Atari Bigby (from Seahawks)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB Billy Volek (released)
RB Mike Tolbert (Panthers)
WR Vincent Jackson (Buccaneers)
T Marcus McNeill (released)
T Tra Thomas (retired)
T Tony Moll (Redskins)
G Kris Dielman (retired)
DE Luis Castillo (released)
LB Travis LaBoy (released)
LB Everette Brown (Lions)
LB Nate Triplett (Buccaneers)
CB Dante Hughes (Giants)
S Steve Gregory (Patriots)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 18.31 (Easiest in NFL)
Week 1 - at Oakland
Week 2 - Tennessee
Week 3 - Atlanta
Week 4 - at Kansas City
Week 5 - at New Orleans
Week 6 - Denver
Week 7 - BYE WEEK
Week 8 - at Cleveland
Week 9 - Kansas City
Week 10 - at Tampa Bay
Week 11 - at Denver
Week 12 - Baltimore
Week 13 - Cincinnati
Week 14 - at Pittsburgh
Week 15 - Carolina
Week 16 - at New York Jets
Week 17 - Oakland

StatFox Take: The Chargers have won at least eight games in each of the past eight seasons, including 11+ wins in four of those years. In 2012, they have the easiest schedule in the entire league, but it will get tougher in Weeks 11-14 when they take on four straight AFC playoff teams from a year ago (Broncos, Ravens, Bengals and Steelers). But considering San Diego has won eight of its past 11 road games in the mediocre AFC West division, reaching double-digit wins isn’t a lot to ask, especially getting plus money for this Over wager.
Prediction: OVER 9 wins (+110)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:35 PM

NFL Season Preview: Dallas Cowboys


To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Dallas Cowboys, whose odds are set at 11/4 to win the NFC East division.


DALLAS COWBOYS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 8-8
ATS Record: 5-10-1
Over/Under: 6-9-1
Points Scored: 23.1 PPG (15th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 21.7 PPG (16th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win NFC East: 11/4
Odds to Win NFC Championship: 10/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 20/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 8.5

2012 Preview:
Offense:
Although new offensive coordinator Bill Callahan comes in with a reputation as one of the better zone blocking coaches, he does have experience coaching power schemes as well. The Cowboys have gotten younger and more athletic on the line, and they’re capable of mixing in zone stuff, but don’t expect wholesale changes in Callahan’s first year. As far as the running back rotation, DeMarco Murray will take almost all the snaps on first and second down, while third down will likely belong to Felix Jones.

This is still an aggressive Air Coryell offense. They worked out of a three-receiver base last year, though whether they do again will depend on the development of Kevin Ogletree as Laurent Robinson’s replacement. It’s a pick-your-poison offense of top-to-bottom reads, where Dez Bryant is often the first look. The double teams he drew are what opened up room for Robinson and Romo’s security blanket from a year ago, tight end Jason Witten. Miles Austin still has a big role as well, as they’ll put him in motion to create mismatches in the middle of the field. He’ll slide to the slot when they play three WRs. The screen game is a weapon they use with some frequency, mostly when Felix Jones is on the field. The Cowboys are still pass-heavy in the red zone, where Dez Bryant is their preferred target. Austin also has a big role, and Witten is used on play-action near the goal line.

Defense:
The Cowboys know they need to improve on defense, and drafting the top DB in college, Morris Claiborne, was a good first step in the right direction. OLB DeMarcus Ware (19.5 sacks in 2011) will always keep Dallas near the top of the sack charts, and he was also second in the league in non-sack pressures (40.5 knockdowns and hurries). Sean Lee showed off some impressive ball skills in intercepting four passes from the linebacker position.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
QB Kyle Orton (from Chiefs)
FB Lawrence Vickers (from Texans)
T Pat McQuistan (from Saints)
G Nate Livings (from Bengals)
G Mackenzy Bernadeau (from Panthers)
G Daniel Loper (did not play in 2011)
LB Dan Connor (from Panthers)
CB Brandon Carr (from Chiefs)

SUBTRACTIONS
FB Tony Fiammetta (Patriots)
WR Laurent Robinson (Jaguars)
WR Jesse Holley (Patriots)
TE Martellus Bennett (Giants)
G Kyle Kosier (released)
LB Bradie James (Texans)
LB Keith Brooking (Broncos)
CB Terence Newman (Bengals)
CB Alan Ball (Texans)
S Abram Elam (Chiefs)
PK David Buehler (released)
P Mat McBriar (Eagles)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 21.63 (1st toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - at New York Giants
Week 2 - at Seattle
Week 3 - Tampa Bay
Week 4 - Chicago
Week 5 - BYE WEEK
Week 6 - at Baltimore
Week 7 - at Carolina
Week 8 - New York Giants
Week 9 - at Atlanta
Week 10 - at Philadelphia
Week 11 - Cleveland
Week 12 - Washington
Week 13 - Philadelphia
Week 14 - at Cincinnati
Week 15 - Pittsburgh
Week 16 - New Orleans
Week 17 - at Washington

StatFox Take: The schedule is certainly a bear (deemed the toughest in the NFL) with eight games versus 2011 playoff teams plus two more matchups with a Philadelphia club picked by many to win the NFC East division. However, Dallas has five home games versus non-playoff opponents, and this team has enough offensive firepower to compensate for an average defense. This Over/Under bet could be determined in the final week of the season, but despite the weaker payoff, expect the Cowboys to finish with a winning record for the sixth time in eight seasons.
Prediction: OVER 8.5 wins (-145)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:37 PM

NFL Season Preview: New York Giants

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. Up next is the New York Giants, whose odds are set at 2/1 to win the NFC East division.


NEW YORK GIANTS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 13-7
ATS Record: 12-7-1
Over/Under: 10-10
Points Scored: 24.6 PPG (9th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 25.0 PPG (25th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win NFC East: 2/1
Odds to Win NFC Championship: 10/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 18/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 9

2012 Preview:
Offense:
The Giants’ run game is built primarily around man-on-man power blocking. The backfield has been shuffled a bit with the plodding Brandon Jacobs out and explosive rookie David Wilson in. But despite the fact that they burned a first-rounder on Wilson, Ahmad Bradshaw is still expected to handle the majority of the snaps. Bradshaw has become decent as a blocker and receiver, while Wilson has a long way to go in blitz pick-up. When they run near the goal line, Bradshaw will be the primary back, a role he spilt with Jacobs last season. D.J. Ware will pick up some passing down scraps, but will spend most of the game on the sidelines unless Bradshaw or Wilson gets hurt.

The key players in offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride’s complex passing game have meshed nicely. They might run a little less of their three-wide base this year with Mario Manningham out and rookie Rueben Randle in. Victor Cruz, who is effective inside and out, will slide to the slot when Randle is on the field, and Cruz will be Eli Manning’s top target; Manning has always relied heavily on his slot guys. Hakeem Nicks is strictly on the perimeter as a big-play threat and will also be targeted frequently. Manning uses his tight ends as safety blankets, though new TE Martellus Bennett is more of an up-the-field threat with inconsistent hands. They’ll run a handful of screens to all three backs, but Bradshaw is relied on for blitz pickup. Nicks was Manning’s favorite red zone target a year ago, and he should be again in 2012.

Defense:
The Giants have nearly 100 sacks over the past two seasons, with stars Jason Pierre-Paul and Justin Tuck (when healthy) anchoring what’s arguably the NFL’s best defensive line. Pierre-Paul is the most athletic lineman in the league, able to rush the quarterback, tackle, bat down passes and force fumbles. Tuck, meanwhile, has vowed to be in the best shape of his life to start 2012, in an effort to prevent a second straight injury-marred campaign in which he saw limited snaps. Then there’s Osi Umenyiora, who is usually good for about 10 sacks despite the fact that he’s on the sidelines for many running downs. The secondary will get a boost from the return of cornerback Terrell Thomas, whose 21 passes defensed in 2010 ranked third in the NFL. Antrel Rolle played safety and some slot corner last year, but the return of Thomas, who tore his ACL last August, should allow Rolle to play more exclusively at his natural safety position in 2012.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
TE Martellus Bennett (from Cowboys)
T Sean Locklear (from Redskins)
DT Shaun Rogers (from Saints)
DT Marcus Thomas (from Broncos)
LB Keith Rivers (from Bengals)
CB Antwaun Molden (from Patriots)
CB Dante Hughes (from Chargers)
S Stevie Brown (from Colts)

SUBTRACTIONS
RB Brandon Jacobs (49ers)
WR Mario Manningham (49ers)
WR/KR Devin Thomas (Bears)
TE Jake Ballard (Patriots)
T Tony Ugoh (retired)
DE Dave Tollefson (Raiders)
LB Jonathan Goff (Redskins)
CB Aaron Ross (Jaguars)
CB Brian Witherspoon (released)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 21.38 (2nd toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - Dallas
Week 2 - Tampa Bay
Week 3 - at Carolina
Week 4 - at Philadelphia
Week 5 - Cleveland
Week 6 - at San Francisco
Week 7 - Washington
Week 8 - at Dallas
Week 9 - Pittsburgh
Week 10 - at Cincinnati
Week 11 - BYE WEEK
Week 12 - Green Bay
Week 13 - at Washington
Week 14 - New Orleans
Week 15 - at Atlanta
Week 16 - at Baltimore
Week 17 - Philadelphia

StatFox Take: The Giants have the second-toughest schedule in the NFL, but they face just one playoff opponent in their first eight games (Week 6 at 49ers). The second half of the schedule features six playoff teams from a year ago, plus a divisional road game at Washington and a season finale against the Eagles, who are favored to win the NFC East this year. New York has reached the playoffs in five of the past seven seasons, winning at least eight games each year. Expect the Giants improved defense to lead them to another double-digit win season in 2012.
Prediction: OVER 9 wins (-105)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:38 PM

NFL Season Preview: Philadelphia Eagles

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. Up next is the Philadelphia Eagles, whose odds are set at 6/5 to win the NFC East division.


PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 8-8
ATS Record: 8-8
Over/Under: 7-8-1
Points Scored: 24.8 PPG (8th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 20.5 PPG (10th in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win NFC East: 6/5
Odds to Win NFC Championship: 5/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 10/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 10

2012 Preview:
Offense:
Philly has returned to a relatively balanced offensive attack, finishing middle of the pack in run/pass balance in 2011. The running game really took off after the arrival of offensive line guru Howard Mudd last season, and they’re now one of the league’s most effective zone-blocking teams. Head coach Andy Reid admitted that LeSean McCoy was overworked last season, so look for him to get closer to about 70 percent of the team’s reps rather than the 80-plus percent he got last year. Either Dion Lewis, Bryce Brown or Chris Polk will pick up the rest. All four backs are capable of playing three downs. McCoy will get the vast majority of the team’s red zone touches.

The Eagles’ West Coast is aggressive attacking downfield. Despite last year’s issues, DeSean Jackson downfield is still this team’s No. 1 option, especially when quarterback Michael Vick is able to buy time with his legs. Tight end Brent Celek emerged as a legitimate No. 2 target underneath, though Jeremy Maclin could have a bigger role now that he’s entering training camp 100 percent healthy. Every once in awhile, they’ll have a game plan specific to slot receiver Jason Avant, but his role will be limited as long as their top three pass catchers are healthy. They also feature McCoy and the backs heavily in the screen game. When they throw near the goal line, they look to run some sort of play-action or other misdirection and get the ball primarily to Celek.

Defense:
The loss of Asante Samuel hurts the Philadelphia defense, but plenty of talent remains in the secondary, most notably shutdown corners Nnamdi Asomugha and Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. There’s also plenty of talent up front with DEs Jason Babin (18 sacks) and Trent Cole (11 sacks). Babin made a great decision following DL coach Jim Washburn back to Philly to play in the “wide nine” formation, and it resulted in six multi-sack performances in 2011. Philly’s blitz-happy scheme keeps defenses from doubling Babin, and the presence of Cole, one of the NFL’s most consistent defensive linemen, helps open things up even more. The weakness of this defense in 2011 was the linebacking corps, which is where former Texans LB DeMeco Ryans comes in. His best years in Houston were as a 4-3 middle linebacker before the Texans switched to a 3-4 a year ago. A likely three-down 4-3 MLB in Philly, he’s a solid bounce-back candidate and, as long as he can remain healthy, the productive middle man the Eagles have been lacking since Jeremiah Trotter.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
QB Trent Edwards (did not play in 2011)
C Steve Vallos (from Browns)
T Demetress Bell (from Bills)
G Mike Gibson (from Seahawks)
LB DeMeco Ryans (from Texans)
CB Kevin Thomas (from Colts)
S O.J. Atogwe (from Redskins)
P Mat McBriar (from Cowboys)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB Vince Young (Bills)
RB Ronnie Brown (Chargers)
FB Owen Schmitt (Raiders)
WR Steve Smith (Rams)
T Winston Justice (Colts)
C Jamaal Jackson (retired)
DE Juqua Parker (Browns)
DT Trevor Laws (Rams)
LB Greg Lloyd (Colts)
LB Moise Fokou (Colts)
CB Asante Samuel (Falcons)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 20.69 (7th toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - at Cleveland
Week 2 - Baltimore
Week 3 - at Arizona
Week 4 - New York Giants
Week 5 - at Pittsburgh
Week 6 - Detroit
Week 7 - BYE WEEK
Week 8 - Atlanta
Week 9 - at New Orleans
Week 10 - Dallas
Week 11 - at Washington
Week 12 - Carolina
Week 13 - at Dallas
Week 14 - at Tampa Bay
Week 15 - Cincinnati
Week 16 - Washington
Week 17 - at New York Giants

StatFox Take: Although the Eagles play the seventh-hardest schedule in the NFL, they actually have the easiest slate in the NFC East with the other three division foes ranking first, second and third in schedule strength. Philadelphia has been a top-notch franchise since 2000 (Andy Reid’s second season as head coach), making the playoffs in nine of 12 seasons and winning at least 10 games in eight of those campaigns. The Eagles finished strong in 2011 with four straight wins to close out the season, and if Michael Vick stays healthy, they can certainly live up to their billing as the favorite to win the NFC East.
Prediction: OVER 10 wins (+110)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:24399 Followers:32
08/20/2012 05:40 PM

NFL Season Preview: Washington Redskins

To get you prepared for the upcoming NFL season, we continue our run of all 32 team previews, rolling out one per day from August 1 to September 1. For complete coverage, download your copy of the 2012 StatFox Edge Football Preview. Up next is the Washington Redskins, whose odds are set at 7/1 to win the NFC East division.


WASHINGTON REDSKINS

2011 Statistics:
SU Record: 5-11
ATS Record: 6-9-1
Over/Under: 7-9
Points Scored: 18.0 PPG (26th in NFL)
Points Allowed: 22.9 PPG (21st in NFL)
2012 Odds:
(For the latest Odds, connect to Sportsbook.com)
Odds to Win NFC East: 7/1
Odds to Win NFC Championship: 40/1
Odds to Win Super Bowl XLVII: 80/1
Regular Season Wins Over/Under: 6

2012 Preview:
Offense:
The Redskins had to go away from the running game because they fell behind early and often last year, but their preference is to rely on their vaunted zone-blocking scheme. They generally settle on one feature back at the beginning of each game, but there’s no guarantee who it will be week-to-week. Roy Helu enters the year as the heavy favorite for carries, followed by Tim Hightower and Evan Royster. All three are capable of playing three downs. Royster might be an option in the red zone later in the year, but at this point Helu and Hightower are the backs who have goal line experience.

Robert Griffin III is an excellent fit in the passing game of head coach Mike and offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan. They want their quarterbacks to move around and throw on the run, and Griffin can do exactly that. Washington has shuffled its receiving corps. Santana Moss has a chance to be the No. 1 receiver by design, and he will move to the slot when they go three-wide. Pierre Garcon will stretch the field (Griffin threw a lot of deep balls at Baylor) with Leonard Hankerson a deep threat on the opposite side. Josh Morgan is likely the odd man out, especially since the Redskins will play a lot of two-TE sets. Because TE Fred Davis runs more WR routes, Helu could end up being Griffin’s safety valve. The Shanahans love to put their quarterback on the move near the goal line too, and Griffin will have the option of a short pass or trying to punch it in himself.

Defense:
This will be a new-look defense with safeties LaRon Landry and O.J. Atogwe replaced by free agents Madieu Williams and Tanard Jackson. Cedric Griffin also improves the DB unit. Ryan Kerrigan and Brian Orakpo are skilled pass rushers, but the Redskins face a tough schedule this season. Meanwhile, any thoughts last year that London Fletcher may be slowing down were erased by a big finish, in which he racked up 86 total tackles over the last seven games. Fletcher’s heir apparent, perhaps as early as 2013, appears to be Perry Riley, who was great last season after earning a starting spot (63 total tackles over eight starts). One of two significant returnees to the secondary is DeJon Gomes, who proved to be a capable tackler with 28 total tackles in his five starts. He has the ability to play strong safety as well as nickel corner. Cornerback DeAngelo Hall, meanwhile, is so overaggressive that opposing quarterbacks can’t resist throwing at him.

Key Offseason Moves:
ADDITIONS
WR Pierre Garcon (from Colts)
WR Josh Morgan (from 49ers)
WR Dezmon Briscoe (from Buccaneers)
T James Lee (from Buccaneers)
T Tony Moll (from Chargers)
T Jordan Black (did not play in 2011)
LB Bryan Kehl (from Rams)
CB Cedric Griffin (from Vikings)
S Brandon Meriweather (from Bears)
S Madieu Williams (from 49ers)
S Tanard Jackson (from Buccaneers)
PK Neil Rackers (from Texans)

SUBTRACTIONS
QB John Beck (Texans)
FB Mike Sellers (retired)
WR Jabar Gaffney (Patriots)
WR Donte’ Stallworth (Patriots)
T Sean Locklear (Giants)
LB Rocky McIntosh (Rams)
LB Keyaron Fox (Texans)
S LaRon Landry (Jets)
S O.J. Atogwe (Eagles)

2012 Schedule:
2012 Schedule Strength: 21.31 (3rd toughest in NFL)
Week 1 - at New Orleans
Week 2 - at St. Louis
Week 3 - Cincinnati
Week 4 - at Tampa Bay
Week 5 - Atlanta
Week 6 - Minnesota
Week 7 - at New York Giants
Week 8 - at Pittsburgh
Week 9 - Carolina
Week 10 - BYE WEEK
Week 11 - Philadelphia
Week 12 - at Dallas
Week 13 - New York Giants
Week 14 - Baltimore
Week 15 - at Cleveland
Week 16 - at Philadelphia
Week 17 - Dallas

StatFox Take: There doesn’t appear to be more than a handful of games on this schedule that the Redskins will be favored to win. They have three winnable road contests against the Rams, Buccaneers and Browns, but a Week 6 matchup with the Vikings should mark the only time that Washington will not be a home underdog. If this club can match its five-win average season since 2009, that will be a big achievement for rookie QB Robert Griffin III and this struggling franchise. But the more likely scenario playing within arguably the toughest division in football is another double-digit loss campaign.
Prediction: UNDER 6 wins (+130)


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: