cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
On 07/16/2012 06:04 PM in MLB

Cnotes Monday's MLB Best Bets !

LA Angels Battle Yankees Before Tackling Tigers

All-star week concludes Sunday and Don Best Sports analyst Pat Williams is keeping his focus on the two marquee series of the weekend in New York and Cincinnati.

The Angels and Yankees will wrap up their series in the Bronx with a mound matchup between Jered Weaver and Ivan Nova. TBS will have the broadcast from Yankee Stadium starting at 1:00 p.m. (ET). Don Best is sending this game out with the Halos priced at -115 and 8½ for the total.

Weaver (10-1, 1.96) continued his outstanding season against the Baltimore Orioles in Anaheim a week ago, tossing the first eight innings of a 3-0 Halos shutout. Three of Weaver's four starts since coming off the DL have ended in shutouts for the Angels staff, and the team is working on a streak of seven consecutive wins with their ace on the mound.

Nova (10-3, 3.92) coaxed his ERA under four last Sunday in Boston with six innings of 6-hit, 1-run baseball. The victory ended a 2-game skid for New York with Nova on the mound, only the second time in his career that the Yankees have lost back-to-back starts by the Dominican.

The Angels have been able to hit Nova pretty well in two clashes this season, slapping 16 hits and three homers while scoring nine times over the course of 12-2/3 innings. Still, both games went into the win column for the Yankees.

Weaver's only 2012 assignment vs. the Yanks was his final appearance before back trouble pushed him to the disabled list. Four of his last six starts against New York have gone into the win column for Mike Scioscia and the Angels, including Game 3 of the 2009 ALCS.

Porkopolis is the setting for ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball as the finale between the Reds and Cardinals at Great American Ball Park gets prime-time treatment. The mound duel pits St. Louis' Jake Westbrook against Cincy's Johnny Cueto who is the $1.45 favorite in the matchup with a 7½-run total.

Westbrook (7-7, 3.75) has run both hot and cold this season, and has been mostly hot recently. St. Louis has won four of his last five starts, a stretch that includes road victories at Detroit and Miami, and the veteran right-hander's ERA during the stretch is a solid 2.67.

Cueto (10-5, 2.39) grabbed his 10th win of the season in San Diego just before the all-star break after Reds hitters failed to support him in tough-luck setbacks in San Francisco and Los Angeles. He suffered the same fate in St. Louis earlier this year, tossing seven innings and allowing just one run only to get a no-decision in Cincinnati's 2-1 loss.

Glancing ahead to Monday, the Angels continue their post-break road trip with the first of four games in Detroit against the Tigers. Los Angeles is listing Ervin Santana for the game while the Tigers have yet to officially announce their starting pitcher for the 7:00 p.m. (ET) contest to be televised by ESPN.

Santana (4-9, 5.75) is hoping to get a fresh start after a horrible month of June (5.85 ERA) and even worse beginning to July. The righty was soundly whipped in Cleveland on July 4, surrendering eight runs and never getting out of the second inning.

Don Best is projecting Rick Porcello to get the nod for Jim Leyland and the Tigers. A bicep injury forced him out of his last start (July 4), not to mention the fact he was no mystery to Twins hitters in that outing with Minnesota coming up with 12 hits and three runs during Porcello's 3-2/3 innings of work.

Bettors will need to follow Don Best throughout the weekend to monitor Porcello's availability for Monday's contest.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:05 PM

Weekly Betting Notes

July 16, 2012

If you go through the bio’s of some of the top sports book directors throughout Las Vegas history, you’ll notice that quite a few of them hail from the steel city of Pittsburgh, PA. Legends like Jack Franzi, Art Manteris, Bert Osborne, and Jimmy Vaccaro all made their way to Las Vegas and were instrumental in shaping the way we all now know the modern sports book operation to be.

One of the newer additions to the Pittsburgh lineup making his mark in Las Vegas is Cantor Gaming’s sports book director Mike Colbert, who hails from the Scott Township, South Park area of Pittsburgh. While his chain of beautiful sports books may not fare the best if his Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series, it’s a bitter-sweet trade off that Colbert wouldn’t be overly disappointed about.

“I‘m extremely excited about the Pirates thus far,” said Colbert. “It’s been a long time since they been this good and it brings up memories of all the good times in the early 90’s, not just of winning the NL East three straight years, but also the good times of going to about 30 games a year with my Grandpa.”

It certainly has been a long time for the Pirates. Try 19 years of futility that has not only seen them miss the playoffs each year, but also have a losing record, the longest stretch of continually losing in MLB history. As we near the end of July, the Pirates are currently 10 games above .500 and are one game out of first-place behind the Reds.

But Colbert isn’t very optimistic, perhaps trying not to be overly excited in anticipation of a failure occurring to lessen the disappointment.

“Look, this is the best team they’ve had since those (Barry) Bonds years when he choked in all three of those playoff series, but they were in first-place near the end of July last year and still finished with a losing record.

“They have a good young team and it looks like the team is committed to the future and winning by having their star player, Andrew McCutchen, bottled up, which is something we haven’t seen the Pirates ever do in the modern age of baseball, but I don’t think they’ll be able to top the Reds in the division. I hope they can, but I don’t realistically see it happening.”

This season there is an added dimension like never seen before with an additional wild card team making the playoffs. Pittsburgh is currently tied with the Braves at the top of the list, two games above the Dodgers.

“I’d be very surprised if the Pirates got one of those wild card sports,” said Colbert.

Despite the Pirates failures last season that saw them finish 72-90, this year's version looks a little more prepared for a good run due to veteran leadership, some experience from last year's run and most of all, better pitching. You can’t put a value on the veteran presence of playoff tested players like A.J. Burnett, Casey McGehee, and Rod Barajas. They also have McCutchen on an MVP run playing better than anyone in baseball, yes, better than even Mike Trout.

If the Pirates did somehow make the playoffs and then win the World Series, Colbert says his books would lose, but it’s only the fourth-worst scenario for the house.

“We opened the Pirates at 150-to-1, but had lowered the odds as they got on their run and before 150-to-1 found any real takers, and we‘ve been steady at 30-to-1 on them for a while.

“The teams that do the most damage are the Dodgers, Nationals, and Mets. We had the Dodgers at 30-to-1 to start the season and they reeled off all those early wins and had people excited. The Nationals were 50-to-1 and the Mets were 100-to-1.“

Despite possible losses just under six figures if the Pirates win it all, you can bet that Colbert will still be silently rooting for his Battling Bucs.

The Amazing Ben Sheets
Who needs Brandon Beachy when the Braves can pull two gems out of no where and turn them into superstars? First, we saw a magical transformation in Jair Jurrjens and now we have Ben Sheets throwing six scoreless innings Sunday against the Mets. Sheets hadn’t pitched since 2010 and was coming off Tommy John surgery. He only pitched 10 innings of Double-A ball prior to Sunday, but looked as sharp and crisp as he did when he was one of the best pitchers in baseball during the 2000’s.

Red Hot
The Pirates have continued to smoke the ball and lead baseball in runs scored (65), total bases (194) home runs (17) and batting average (.315) in the month of July through Sunday. Yes, the Lumber company has definitely been revived. The charge has been led by Andrew McCutchen (.514) and Neil Walker (.474).

The Cubs couldn’t give Alfonso Soriano’s big contract away two months ago, even if agreeing to pay most or all of his $18 million salary. But no one has been a bigger power source over the last two months, which now gives Theo Epstein some leverage as the trade deadline approaches. Soriano has hit 17 home runs since May 15 and could be a nice fit for a contending team, most likely an American League team because his defense would make any NL defense worse.

Another Cubs player that will find plenty of suitors around both leagues is Ryan Dempster, who started off the season as a tough luck loser, but is now hotter than any pitcher in baseball. Despite an ERA of 2.14 through May 25, the Cubs had a 1-7 record behind him. Since then, the Cubs have reeled off six straight wins with Dempster on the mound and he hasn’t allowed a run in his past five starts bumping his record to 5-3. His next start will be at St. Louis Friday against Kyle Lohse.

Even though the Marlins aren’t hitting the ball, Mark Buehrle is doing exactly what the Marlins paid him to do, stop losing streaks and win games. He’s won his last four starts allowing a combined three runs over 28 2/3 innings.

Braves closer Craig Kimbrel gave up a run on June 28 in a non-save situation that ended a streak of 17 straight games/innings without a run. Over that stretch, he only allowed three hits. He’s now on a stretch of six straight games without allowing a run and has converted all five save opportunities while surrendering only one hit. At the same time, the Braves have won seven games in a row heading into Monday’s games making them almost the hottest team in baseball.

That distinction goes to the Oakland A’s who have won nine of their past 10 games through Sunday allowing only 18 runs in the nine wins. The offense has come alive and look like a recreation of the movie ’Moneyball’. Billy Beane is doing it again with players at bargain basement prices ($55 Million, 2nd lowest) and has the team three games over .500 and eight games out of first. We’ll see what they’re made off this week at home with a two-game series against first-place Texas and the first-place Yankees for four. Mark me down for Jarrod Parker against Phil Hughes on Saturday.

Cooled Off
On Sunday, the Pirates finally lost a game that A.J. Burnett started, ending a streak of 12 straight wins. Yankees starter Ivan Nova was once the rock of stability giving the Yankees a virtual guarantee of winning the last two seasons, but the Yankees have lost three of his past four starts. The Astros are in a terrible tail spin that has seen them drop 13 of their past 14 games through Sunday. Their last two game win streak came on June 27. Believe it or not, the feared lineup of the Rangers have scored the fewest runs (20) of all MLB teams in July while hitting .228. Even the Astros have scored 26 runs.

Ice Cold
Mario Mendoza spent two seasons with the Seattle Mariners and is most famous for his name bearing the dubious distinction of poor hitting called ’The Mendoza line’, meaning a player’s batting average is under .200. For the month of July, the Mariners squad was collectively batting an MLB worst .198 through Sunday, the same average of Mendoza’s during the 1979 season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:06 PM

Weekly Betting Notes

July 16, 2012

If you go through the bio’s of some of the top sports book directors throughout Las Vegas history, you’ll notice that quite a few of them hail from the steel city of Pittsburgh, PA. Legends like Jack Franzi, Art Manteris, Bert Osborne, and Jimmy Vaccaro all made their way to Las Vegas and were instrumental in shaping the way we all now know the modern sports book operation to be.

One of the newer additions to the Pittsburgh lineup making his mark in Las Vegas is Cantor Gaming’s sports book director Mike Colbert, who hails from the Scott Township, South Park area of Pittsburgh. While his chain of beautiful sports books may not fare the best if his Pittsburgh Pirates win the World Series, it’s a bitter-sweet trade off that Colbert wouldn’t be overly disappointed about.

“I‘m extremely excited about the Pirates thus far,” said Colbert. “It’s been a long time since they been this good and it brings up memories of all the good times in the early 90’s, not just of winning the NL East three straight years, but also the good times of going to about 30 games a year with my Grandpa.”

It certainly has been a long time for the Pirates. Try 19 years of futility that has not only seen them miss the playoffs each year, but also have a losing record, the longest stretch of continually losing in MLB history. As we near the end of July, the Pirates are currently 10 games above .500 and are one game out of first-place behind the Reds.

But Colbert isn’t very optimistic, perhaps trying not to be overly excited in anticipation of a failure occurring to lessen the disappointment.

“Look, this is the best team they’ve had since those (Barry) Bonds years when he choked in all three of those playoff series, but they were in first-place near the end of July last year and still finished with a losing record.

“They have a good young team and it looks like the team is committed to the future and winning by having their star player, Andrew McCutchen, bottled up, which is something we haven’t seen the Pirates ever do in the modern age of baseball, but I don’t think they’ll be able to top the Reds in the division. I hope they can, but I don’t realistically see it happening.”

This season there is an added dimension like never seen before with an additional wild card team making the playoffs. Pittsburgh is currently tied with the Braves at the top of the list, two games above the Dodgers.

“I’d be very surprised if the Pirates got one of those wild card sports,” said Colbert.

Despite the Pirates failures last season that saw them finish 72-90, this year's version looks a little more prepared for a good run due to veteran leadership, some experience from last year's run and most of all, better pitching. You can’t put a value on the veteran presence of playoff tested players like A.J. Burnett, Casey McGehee, and Rod Barajas. They also have McCutchen on an MVP run playing better than anyone in baseball, yes, better than even Mike Trout.

If the Pirates did somehow make the playoffs and then win the World Series, Colbert says his books would lose, but it’s only the fourth-worst scenario for the house.

“We opened the Pirates at 150-to-1, but had lowered the odds as they got on their run and before 150-to-1 found any real takers, and we‘ve been steady at 30-to-1 on them for a while.

“The teams that do the most damage are the Dodgers, Nationals, and Mets. We had the Dodgers at 30-to-1 to start the season and they reeled off all those early wins and had people excited. The Nationals were 50-to-1 and the Mets were 100-to-1.“

Despite possible losses just under six figures if the Pirates win it all, you can bet that Colbert will still be silently rooting for his Battling Bucs.

The Amazing Ben Sheets
Who needs Brandon Beachy when the Braves can pull two gems out of no where and turn them into superstars? First, we saw a magical transformation in Jair Jurrjens and now we have Ben Sheets throwing six scoreless innings Sunday against the Mets. Sheets hadn’t pitched since 2010 and was coming off Tommy John surgery. He only pitched 10 innings of Double-A ball prior to Sunday, but looked as sharp and crisp as he did when he was one of the best pitchers in baseball during the 2000’s.

Red Hot
The Pirates have continued to smoke the ball and lead baseball in runs scored (65), total bases (194) home runs (17) and batting average (.315) in the month of July through Sunday. Yes, the Lumber company has definitely been revived. The charge has been led by Andrew McCutchen (.514) and Neil Walker (.474).

The Cubs couldn’t give Alfonso Soriano’s big contract away two months ago, even if agreeing to pay most or all of his $18 million salary. But no one has been a bigger power source over the last two months, which now gives Theo Epstein some leverage as the trade deadline approaches. Soriano has hit 17 home runs since May 15 and could be a nice fit for a contending team, most likely an American League team because his defense would make any NL defense worse.

Another Cubs player that will find plenty of suitors around both leagues is Ryan Dempster, who started off the season as a tough luck loser, but is now hotter than any pitcher in baseball. Despite an ERA of 2.14 through May 25, the Cubs had a 1-7 record behind him. Since then, the Cubs have reeled off six straight wins with Dempster on the mound and he hasn’t allowed a run in his past five starts bumping his record to 5-3. His next start will be at St. Louis Friday against Kyle Lohse.

Even though the Marlins aren’t hitting the ball, Mark Buehrle is doing exactly what the Marlins paid him to do, stop losing streaks and win games. He’s won his last four starts allowing a combined three runs over 28 2/3 innings.

Braves closer Craig Kimbrel gave up a run on June 28 in a non-save situation that ended a streak of 17 straight games/innings without a run. Over that stretch, he only allowed three hits. He’s now on a stretch of six straight games without allowing a run and has converted all five save opportunities while surrendering only one hit. At the same time, the Braves have won seven games in a row heading into Monday’s games making them almost the hottest team in baseball.

That distinction goes to the Oakland A’s who have won nine of their past 10 games through Sunday allowing only 18 runs in the nine wins. The offense has come alive and look like a recreation of the movie ’Moneyball’. Billy Beane is doing it again with players at bargain basement prices ($55 Million, 2nd lowest) and has the team three games over .500 and eight games out of first. We’ll see what they’re made off this week at home with a two-game series against first-place Texas and the first-place Yankees for four. Mark me down for Jarrod Parker against Phil Hughes on Saturday.

Cooled Off
On Sunday, the Pirates finally lost a game that A.J. Burnett started, ending a streak of 12 straight wins. Yankees starter Ivan Nova was once the rock of stability giving the Yankees a virtual guarantee of winning the last two seasons, but the Yankees have lost three of his past four starts. The Astros are in a terrible tail spin that has seen them drop 13 of their past 14 games through Sunday. Their last two game win streak came on June 27. Believe it or not, the feared lineup of the Rangers have scored the fewest runs (20) of all MLB teams in July while hitting .228. Even the Astros have scored 26 runs.

Ice Cold
Mario Mendoza spent two seasons with the Seattle Mariners and is most famous for his name bearing the dubious distinction of poor hitting called ’The Mendoza line’, meaning a player’s batting average is under .200. For the month of July, the Mariners squad was collectively batting an MLB worst .198 through Sunday, the same average of Mendoza’s during the 1979 season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:07 PM

Diamond Trends - Monday

July 16, 2012


SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Indians are 0-10 since May 30, 2011 as a road dog when they blew a lead in their starter’s last start and lost while he pitched for more than five innings for a net profit of $1000 when playing against.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Marlins are 0-9-1 OU since August 06, 2011 within 20 cents of pickem when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Orioles are 0-11 since August 03, 2009 when Chris Tillman starts as a dog after his team won the last time he started for a net profit of $1100 when playing against.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Indians are 14-1 OU (5.3 ppg) in database history following a game where they had between 27 and 35 at bats and faced no more than 27 batters.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Pirates are 0-9 OU since April 28, 2011 when Jeff Karstens starts after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $900 when playing the under.

-- The Reds are 0-8 OU since May 07, 2011 when Bronson Arroyo starts as a favorite after the team won their last two games for a net profit of $800 when playing the under.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:09 PM

Sizzling Tigers host Angels on Monday

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (49-40)

at DETROIT TIGERS (46-43)


First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Detroit -115, Los Angeles +105, Total: 10

The surging Tigers, who are 7-1 since Independence Day, will look to stay hot as they host the Angels for the opener of a four-game set on Monday night.

Starting for Los Angeles is Ervin Santana, who has struggled mightily this season with a 5.75 ERA and 1.37 WHIP that balloons to a 7.45 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in nine road starts. In his last outing, he did not make it out of the second inning, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks in a 12-3 loss to Cleveland. Rick Porcello has also been subpar this year with a 4.47 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Although he has a 2.16 ERA in his past three starts, he did not make it out of the fourth in his last start, allowing three earned runs on 12 hits in 3.2 innings. Porcello is good at limiting walks (24 BB in 96.2 IP), but has given up 128 hits, tied for the third-most in baseball. And Porcello will be playing a dangerous game with his contact-inducing style, facing a lineup that has hit 10 home runs with a .548 slugging percentage over the course of its past four games. The Tigers have also shown nothing against AL West foes this season, notching a 5-12 mark so far in 2012. Take underdog LOS ANGELES to win this game on the road.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also supports the Angels:

Play Against - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting an over-rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. (42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*).

The Angels avoided a sweep Sunday with a 10-8 win over the Yankees. Santana will look to build upon that facing an opponent he has handled pretty easily in the past. Although he has not faced the Tigers since 2009, he is 6-2 against them in his career with a 3.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He’s won four straight starts versus Detroit, allowing a total of two runs with 15 K’s and just three walks in his past two outings covering 16 innings. Even if Santana struggles to pile up innings, failing to complete six innings in six of his past eight starts, the Angels bullpen has been solid this year with a 3.36 ERA and 201 K’s in 236 innings.

The Tigers may also need to depend on its strong bullpen in this game. Detroit relievers have a 3.62 ERA in 2012, a mark that drops to 3.05 at home. While Porcello has a 3-1 record against the Angels in his career (team is 4-1), that record does not come with good statistics—he has a 5.97 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He did do well his last time against them last July however, going eight innings allowing two runs, five hits, zero walks and six strikeouts. The Angels and Tigers have not played yet this season, but the Tigers hold a slight 9-8 advantage in this series over the last three years, which includes a 6-4 mark at home.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:09 PM

Sizzling Tigers host Angels on Monday

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (49-40)

at DETROIT TIGERS (46-43)


First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Detroit -115, Los Angeles +105, Total: 10

The surging Tigers, who are 7-1 since Independence Day, will look to stay hot as they host the Angels for the opener of a four-game set on Monday night.

Starting for Los Angeles is Ervin Santana, who has struggled mightily this season with a 5.75 ERA and 1.37 WHIP that balloons to a 7.45 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in nine road starts. In his last outing, he did not make it out of the second inning, allowing eight earned runs on six hits and three walks in a 12-3 loss to Cleveland. Rick Porcello has also been subpar this year with a 4.47 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. Although he has a 2.16 ERA in his past three starts, he did not make it out of the fourth in his last start, allowing three earned runs on 12 hits in 3.2 innings. Porcello is good at limiting walks (24 BB in 96.2 IP), but has given up 128 hits, tied for the third-most in baseball. And Porcello will be playing a dangerous game with his contact-inducing style, facing a lineup that has hit 10 home runs with a .548 slugging percentage over the course of its past four games. The Tigers have also shown nothing against AL West foes this season, notching a 5-12 mark so far in 2012. Take underdog LOS ANGELES to win this game on the road.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also supports the Angels:

Play Against - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (DETROIT) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, starting an over-rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest. (42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*).

The Angels avoided a sweep Sunday with a 10-8 win over the Yankees. Santana will look to build upon that facing an opponent he has handled pretty easily in the past. Although he has not faced the Tigers since 2009, he is 6-2 against them in his career with a 3.57 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He’s won four straight starts versus Detroit, allowing a total of two runs with 15 K’s and just three walks in his past two outings covering 16 innings. Even if Santana struggles to pile up innings, failing to complete six innings in six of his past eight starts, the Angels bullpen has been solid this year with a 3.36 ERA and 201 K’s in 236 innings.

The Tigers may also need to depend on its strong bullpen in this game. Detroit relievers have a 3.62 ERA in 2012, a mark that drops to 3.05 at home. While Porcello has a 3-1 record against the Angels in his career (team is 4-1), that record does not come with good statistics—he has a 5.97 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He did do well his last time against them last July however, going eight innings allowing two runs, five hits, zero walks and six strikeouts. The Angels and Tigers have not played yet this season, but the Tigers hold a slight 9-8 advantage in this series over the last three years, which includes a 6-4 mark at home.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:10 PM

Monday's betting tips: White Sox switch Monday starter

Weather to watch

There’s a chance of thundershowers in Colorado and Minnesota on Monday, which means things could get a little wet during the Pirates-Rockies and Orioles-Twins games.

Hot temperatures are expected in Milwaukee for the Brewers and Reds game too.

Who’s hot?

The Atlanta Braves are on a seven game winning streak, after sweeping the Mets and Phillies.

The Cincinnati Reds have won five in a row entering Sunday night’s tilt with the Cardinals.

Who’s not?

Houston Astros are 1-12 in their last 13 games entering Sunday’s slate.

The Diamondbacks have lost eight of their last 11 games going into Sunday’s game against the Giants.

Key stat

10 – LSU’s win total at LVH. That’s the favorite to win the BCS national championship at a lot of books with a half win total lower than four other teams (Bama, USC, Oklahoma and USC).

Game of the Day

Angels at Tigers (-117, 10)

Injury not to be overlooked

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox – The right-hander is on a roll but had his Monday start pushed back to Tuesday because of tightness in his right forearm. Philip Humber, who hasn’t pitched since June 16th, is expected to start in Floyd’s place.

Notable quotable

“It’s not up to me. It’s up to the organization to say that they want to match that ridiculous contract.” – Carmelo Anthony telling Newsday’s Rod Boone about his feelings on the Houston Rockets offer to Knicks restricted free agent Jeremy Lin.

Notes and tips

So you can bet on NBA Summer League games. Just another example of bookmakers trying to take the July blues away from bettors. 5Dimes and bet365 had lines up for Sunday’s games, and there are probably a number of other shops doing the same for any hoop heads interested.

The LVH posted spreads for its college football games of the year on Sunday. We should have them up tomorrow morning with a comparison to the Golden Nugget’s lines released in June.

The Knicks are a mess. Jeremy Lin is out, Raymond Felton is in and Jason Kidd is using booze to cope with the idea of being the back up in New York. Kidd was arrested for DWI after crashing his ride into a telephone poll early Sunday morning. TMZ had a picture showing Kidd needing help leaving the club Saturday night. Oh boy.

Carl Crawford will be activated from the DL after missing the first half of the season with a bum elbow. That’s two speedy outfielders back in the Boston Red Sox lineup in less than a week. Crawford had a forgettable campaign in his first season in Boston but he should be a boost if he plays closer to his career averages.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:11 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Mets were vocal in their displeasure with the umpiring crew in Atlanta this weekend; pitching coach Dan Warthen went off on ump CB Bucknor on the pitchers' mound Sunday, which doesn't happen much.

-- If you needed further evidence that the Bronx baseball stadium is a joke as far as its dimensions in rightfield, witness Erick Aybar/Macier Izturis looking like Josh Hamilton in Home Run Derby this weekend.

-- Looks like Jeremy Lin is going to wind up on the Rockets, as Knicks traded for Raymond Felton this weekend.

-- ESPNU is replaying the best college football games from LY this week; excellent idea.

-- I had no idea last week's Olympic hoop game here in Vegas would be a sellout, so I missed the 113-59 rout. Glad I didn't pay to see it.

-- Kevin Youkilis returns to Fenway with the Pale Hose Monday, in his first game at Fenway as the enemy. Should be interesting.


************


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: An early look at the college football top 13, as picked by the great Phil Steele, whose magazine is awesome........

(These are his rankings but my witty comments.....lol)

13) North Carolina-- Don't play Florida State/Clemson, are playing the #85 schedule in country. New coach Fedora is an offensive wizard.

12) Oklahoma State-- Lose Weeden/Blackmon, but their defense is going to be better this year. Hard to replace a 28-year old QB, though.

11) Ohio State-- Urban Meyer will get a lot of attention in his first year in Columbus; thank God he's off TV. Does the man ever laugh or smile?

10) Florida-- In the last 11 years, four second-year HCs have won national titles, but the Gators better get much, much better quarterback play.

9) Wisconsin-- Another new starting QB, a major downgrade from Wilson, but their OL is huge and they play good defense. Not fond of Bielema.

8) Georgia-- Don't play Alabama, Arkansas or LSU; did Mrs Richt draw up the SEC schedule? Lot of pressure on the coach, but he has a better team.

7) Texas-- 13-12 since Colt McCoy left town; they desperately need better QB play, or Mack Brown will be on ESPN next fall. He'd be good on TV.

6) Oregon-- There is a Pac-12 title game this year for first time, so an extra hurdle for the league champ to overcome, in order to win a national title.

5) Alabama-- McCarron will be asked to do more, with six starters gone on defense, and Tide travelling to Arkansas/LSU. I think they'll be OK. :-)

4) USC-- Two words: Matt Barkley. If he isn't getting paid under the table by someone, whats he thinking? If he had come out for the draft last winter, he might be an Indianapolis Colt right now. If not, definitely a Redskin.

3) LSU-- Georgia transfer Mettenberger is an upgrade at QB; Philip Rivers' brother is his backup. 8 of top 9 rushers, four starters on OL return.

2) Oklahoma-- No more conference title game in Big X, which helps as far as national title. Stoops won his last three bowls, scoring 31-48-31 points.

`1) Florida State-- 17 starters back, have experienced QB and best defense they'll face all year is the one they'll face in practice. Mr Steele likes FSU.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:12 PM

MLB
Dunkel

Washington at Miami
The Nationals look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 0-6 in Carlos Zambrano's last 6 starts. Washington is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 16

Game 901-902: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Jackson) 16.370; Miami (Zambrano) 15.038
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Under

Game 903-904: Arizona at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.820; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.229
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Over

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 15.306; Milwaukee (Fiers) 16.540
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Over

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.191; Colorado (Francis) 13.717
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Under

Game 909-910: Houston at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Happ) 13.469; San Diego (Wells) 15.468
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Over

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.945; LA Dodgers (Eovaldi) 13.879
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+100); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 16.980; Detroit (Porcello) 16.080
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under

Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Alvarez) 15.754; NY Yankees (Hughes) 16.736
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Axelrod) 15.202; Boston (Cook) 15.783
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 15.138; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.649
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+125); Under

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.032; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.878
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-135); Over

Game 923-924: Seattle at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.669; Kansas City (Sanchez) 14.795
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-105); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25683 Followers:33
07/16/2012 06:12 PM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, July 16

Hot pitchers
-- Arroyo is 1-0, 1.99 in his last three starts.
-- Fiers is 2-1, 0.96 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 2-1, 2.72 in his last five starts. Karstens is 2-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts.
-- KWells has a 2.07 RA in his last couple starts.

-- Scherzer is 2-0, 2.16 in his last three starts.
-- Cook is 2-1, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- Diamond is 2-0, 2.74 in his last three starts. Tillman won his first '12 start, allowing one run in 8.1 IP.
-- Vargas is 1-0, 1.52 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Jackson has a 6.43 RA in his last four starts. Zambrano is 0-4, 9.00 in his last six starts.
-- Miley is 0-2, 10.12 in his last couple starts.
-- Lynn is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four road starts.
-- Happ is 2-6, 5.98 in his last eight starts.
-- Blanton is 1-2, 5.81 in his last four starts. Eovaldi is 1-3, 4.72 in his last six.

-- ESantana is 0-2, 10.05 in his last three starts.
-- Hughes is 2-2, 4.56 in his last four starts. Alvarez is 2-5, 6.56 in his last ten starts.
-- Axelrod is 0-1, 7.11 in five starts this season.
-- Cobb is 1-2, 7.45 in his last three starts. McAllister has a 5.32 RA in seven starts, but Indians won five of seven.
-- JSanchez is 0-3, 7.48 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Washington won 10 of its last 15 games. Marlins won five of their last seven home games.
-- Reds won nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Milwaukee is 12-6 in its last 18 home games.
-- Pirates won 11 of their last 15 games.

-- Bronx won six of its last eight games.
-- White Sox won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Detroit won seven of its last eight games.
-- Kansas City won four of its last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost nine of its last eleven road games.
-- Cardinals lost their last four road games, scoring ten runs.
-- Rockies lost 12 of their last 16 home games.
-- Dodgers lost 17 of their last 23 games. Philadelphia lost 11 of its last 14.
-- San Diego lost four of their last six games. Astros lost their last 13 games on foreign soil.

-- Angels lost four of their last five road games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five road games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-11 in its last 17 games, 6-10 in last sixteen at home.
-- Twins lost seven of their last eight games. Baltimore lost four of five.
-- Mariners lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last ten Miami home games.
-- Ten of last twelve Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Over is 24-6 in last 30 games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last nine games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Ten of Angels' last twelve road games went over total.
-- Four of last five Bronx Bomber games went over total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-5-2 in Cleveland's last nineteen road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Baltimore games.
-- Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under the total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: