dietz Posts:256 Followers:1
On 07/16/2012 10:50 AM in General

Saratoga Race Course.......Summer 2012

Here we are on the cusp of yet another Saratoga Racing Season and this years card will be even more difficult to handicap.
For the first time ever the money from the Video Slot machines will be used to increase purses at the Old Spa this summer.
When purses go up you attact more horses, better horses with better breeding. I read in the paper that the averags purse is going from $670,000 a day to $930,000 a day. That is almost $1 million a day to be earned by horse owners, trainers and jockeys. This is by far the most lucrative track in the country now to run your horse. They have also put a limit on maiden 2 year old entries. I believe the field is limited to 8 where you used to get more than that. This may limit your chances on a long shot pay out, but it will increase your odds to pick a winner. Maiden races comes down to breeding. Look at who the sire and dams are.

I have written about Saratoga before, this is the oldest track in the country. It is the most hystorical, beautiful track in the country and if you have not seen it you are missing out. The level of competition is second to none because winning a race at Saratoga for any syndicate, or owner is like winning the Superbowl or Stanley Cup for athletes. To be in the winners circle with your horse is such an honor. They come from all over the WORLD to run here and that is what makes winning here so difficult. The best of the best. The NYRA and the people of Saratoga have made the track experience family friendly. You can literally do anything from shop, listen to a live band, picnic, breakfast and of course serious gamble. You can have shorts and flip flops to full suit and just blend in with the crowd. The jockeys changing room is in the middle of the picnic area. They actually walk through the crowd to get to the mounts and walk through after the mounts. Most are escorted with security but they walk rite next you. Trainers hang out just the same as do celebrities....buy a beer and hotdog on line with you.

The turf at Saratoga is the place to make your money. More long shots come in on the turf then the dirt. The turf here is softer then most tracks in the country. Some horses love it, some do not. The main track is all natural and it too is known to be softer/deeper than most. They groom this track like it is a cathedral; water, raked, primped after every race. Some tracks across the country are called "speed favored tracks". I personally think Saratoga is one of the truest tracks there is.

I prefer turf races with a few jockeys to follow. I will have a jockey write up tomorrow, but I like Javier Costellano on the turf, but Jose Lezcano has been getting much much better. Should interesting to see. I always look for Kent Desormoux on the turf. He has his personal demons to deal with, but he knows how to ride especially on the turf. Keep that in mind.
I always keep an eye out for James Toner (trainer) he does not run them often, but when he does they are usually at a price. Use them in exotics.

I will have a trainer write up as well, but Todd Pletcher is the ace at teh Spa, if you went by percentages he is not the best, but by wins yes. Throw out horses left and right and you are bound to win. He always has plenty of ponies. Bill Mott is good on turf and Linda Rice with turf sprints.

I will have more the next two days and then a I will try to make a few picks each day to post and hopefully make money on at the Spa.

bobalou Posts:5063 Followers:146
07/16/2012 11:57 AM

Great Stuff Dietz.
I so love the ponies. I look forward to your tips.




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dietz Posts:256 Followers:1
07/17/2012 01:05 PM

Jockeys and Trainers for the Old Spa.......

Last year I put a wager on Javier Costellano to win the riding title at Saratoga. Costellano had one heck of a meet, but fell 2 wins short of the title. If rememeber correctly he did not ride the last day either. Costellano is a beast on the turf and has been getting that recognition from trainers more and more. Ramon Dominquez pretty much owns Belmont and has had great success at Saratoga over the years and this year he may make that comeback to take the title. It will be interesting to see. The reason I mentioned these two is because the best jockey with the best riding connections is out for atleast the first two weeks of the meet......Johnny Valazquez broke his collar bone in a spill about a month ago and wil not ride a FULL day for the first few weeks. Johnny was Todd Pletchers main ride when it came to horses, especailly 2 year olds. Javier Costellano may benefit from this, but so may Ramon. It will be interesting to see who has the better agent to land the better rides.

There is one very up an coming jockey and her name is Rosie Napavrnik. She did very well at the Belmont meet this spring and should have some live mounts at the Spa. Irad Ortiz Jr. has been bringing in some long shots all year long. He rides at less weight and has picked up some loyal trainers to give me the good mounts. I don't see him winning often, but you cant sleep on him when it comes to long shots. The past few years I have followed Julien LaParoux on the turf. Last year he was a force at Churchill as was rising up the charts, but he lost his mount on Union Rags after two poor races in the Derby and Preakness, then Johnny V hops on board and wins the Belmont. Julien did nothing for his reputaion after that and has not really been the force he was rising to be. He still brings in the long shots on the turf though. He averages over $38.00 a pay out when he wins. I like him at 1 1/16 especially on the inner turf course. Another turf jockey is Jose Lezcano. He has been getting better and better each year. There is on major change this year when it comes to jockeys and that is Joel Rosario He is the top rider in the state of CA. With the increase purses at the SPA he moved himself to NY for the summer meet. He can ride on any surface, question for him is, does he get rides from east coast trainers. If he starts off well and shows he can ride in NY and with Johnny V being hurt he may make a splash this summer. There are several other jockeys who always pull in some winners, Luzzi, Maragh (better on turf), Alvarado. I mention Kent Desormoux yesterday.....he is a money machine on the grass, I put him in all exotics when he runs. Don't care what the odds are....Bill Mott loves him for his turf ponies. It will be a very tough meet with top jockeys all over coming in.

Trainers are simple; Pletcher is always the most dangerous, but he is also the most over bet. Avg. price last year for his winners were $8.00. He is over bet especially when Johnny V is riding. Is he good...hell yeah, but from risk reward wagering it is tough to get excited about him. Bill Mott always has his share of winners as will Nick Zito (not as many as he used too). Linda Rice is a turf sprint machine and picks up Cornelio Velasquez for her mounts. Donk is another as is Asmussen and Kiaran McLaughlin who have winners here. But there is one trainer who I look out for at the turf and that is JJ Toner. He does not run them often, but when he does they go and usually at a price.

Horse racing is a gamble. Professionals will wait all day for 1 or 2 races and let it ride...these are sharks. The person who bets every race are squares and they look at names, license plate numbers and anything they can think of. 98% of the betters at Saratoga are squares because it is such a party atmoshere and summer place to be. The Sharks will sit at a table at the Carousel Bar and wait patiently for there race (a table at this bar on Travers goes for $500, just to sit at with a minimal spending tab) When I go I bet every race with 2 or 3 races I like and wager more than usuall on. I have a female friend who raises horses and she can look at a horses coat and ears and tell you if the horse is sick or not or feeling good. She does quite well too. Everyone has a tip, everyone has a theory to bet. Stick to what you like and don't change or you will go nuts. I like the turf races and certain jockeys on the turf. I usually end up ahead when year is over too.

Good luck to all and I hope you win.

dietz Posts:256 Followers:1
07/17/2012 01:05 PM

Jockeys and Trainers for the Old Spa.......

Last year I put a wager on Javier Costellano to win the riding title at Saratoga. Costellano had one heck of a meet, but fell 2 wins short of the title. If rememeber correctly he did not ride the last day either. Costellano is a beast on the turf and has been getting that recognition from trainers more and more. Ramon Dominquez pretty much owns Belmont and has had great success at Saratoga over the years and this year he may make that comeback to take the title. It will be interesting to see. The reason I mentioned these two is because the best jockey with the best riding connections is out for atleast the first two weeks of the meet......Johnny Valazquez broke his collar bone in a spill about a month ago and wil not ride a FULL day for the first few weeks. Johnny was Todd Pletchers main ride when it came to horses, especailly 2 year olds. Javier Costellano may benefit from this, but so may Ramon. It will be interesting to see who has the better agent to land the better rides.

There is one very up an coming jockey and her name is Rosie Napavrnik. She did very well at the Belmont meet this spring and should have some live mounts at the Spa. Irad Ortiz Jr. has been bringing in some long shots all year long. He rides at less weight and has picked up some loyal trainers to give me the good mounts. I don't see him winning often, but you cant sleep on him when it comes to long shots. The past few years I have followed Julien LaParoux on the turf. Last year he was a force at Churchill as was rising up the charts, but he lost his mount on Union Rags after two poor races in the Derby and Preakness, then Johnny V hops on board and wins the Belmont. Julien did nothing for his reputaion after that and has not really been the force he was rising to be. He still brings in the long shots on the turf though. He averages over $38.00 a pay out when he wins. I like him at 1 1/16 especially on the inner turf course. Another turf jockey is Jose Lezcano. He has been getting better and better each year. There is on major change this year when it comes to jockeys and that is Joel Rosario He is the top rider in the state of CA. With the increase purses at the SPA he moved himself to NY for the summer meet. He can ride on any surface, question for him is, does he get rides from east coast trainers. If he starts off well and shows he can ride in NY and with Johnny V being hurt he may make a splash this summer. There are several other jockeys who always pull in some winners, Luzzi, Maragh (better on turf), Alvarado. I mention Kent Desormoux yesterday.....he is a money machine on the grass, I put him in all exotics when he runs. Don't care what the odds are....Bill Mott loves him for his turf ponies. It will be a very tough meet with top jockeys all over coming in.

Trainers are simple; Pletcher is always the most dangerous, but he is also the most over bet. Avg. price last year for his winners were $8.00. He is over bet especially when Johnny V is riding. Is he good...hell yeah, but from risk reward wagering it is tough to get excited about him. Bill Mott always has his share of winners as will Nick Zito (not as many as he used too). Linda Rice is a turf sprint machine and picks up Cornelio Velasquez for her mounts. Donk is another as is Asmussen and Kiaran McLaughlin who have winners here. But there is one trainer who I look out for at the turf and that is JJ Toner. He does not run them often, but when he does they go and usually at a price.

Horse racing is a gamble. Professionals will wait all day for 1 or 2 races and let it ride...these are sharks. The person who bets every race are squares and they look at names, license plate numbers and anything they can think of. 98% of the betters at Saratoga are squares because it is such a party atmoshere and summer place to be. The Sharks will sit at a table at the Carousel Bar and wait patiently for there race (a table at this bar on Travers goes for $500, just to sit at with a minimal spending tab) When I go I bet every race with 2 or 3 races I like and wager more than usuall on. I have a female friend who raises horses and she can look at a horses coat and ears and tell you if the horse is sick or not or feeling good. She does quite well too. Everyone has a tip, everyone has a theory to bet. Stick to what you like and don't change or you will go nuts. I like the turf races and certain jockeys on the turf. I usually end up ahead when year is over too.

Good luck to all and I hope you win.

btb Posts:2252 Followers:163
07/17/2012 01:58 PM

Great Stuff! Do you go up there for the races? I have always wanted to.. Live a few hours away but never been. Probably once the girls get alittle older I will drag them all there

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dietz Posts:256 Followers:1
07/17/2012 03:55 PM

BTB,
You should go. If you have children go on a Wednesday or Monday. They have two play areas for children with slides, swings and all. They are shaded too. Do not feel you cant bring children in, there are strollers all over the place on any given day. I said, Saratoga has done a wonderful job promoting the track as a family event. You have several ways to go. My family had been celebrating one of nieces birthdays there since she was 3, she is turning 17 this summer. Once or twice I get box seats where you have to have a sport coat and you will sit next to someone famous (Joe Pesci one year, some NYG players another). You can go to be serious or you can go and just be family.
I would try to make the trip if I were you. Stay in down town Saratoga or 8 miles away in a town called Malta. A few new hotels there or town of Ballston Spa.
Need any advice or info just ask.