cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
On 07/15/2012 11:41 AM in MLB

Cnotes Sunday's MLB Best Bets !

LA Angels Battle Yankees Before Tackling Tigers

All-star week concludes Sunday and Don Best Sports analyst Pat Williams is keeping his focus on the two marquee series of the weekend in New York and Cincinnati.

The Angels and Yankees will wrap up their series in the Bronx with a mound matchup between Jered Weaver and Ivan Nova. TBS will have the broadcast from Yankee Stadium starting at 1:00 p.m. (ET). Don Best is sending this game out with the Halos priced at -115 and 8½ for the total.

Weaver (10-1, 1.96) continued his outstanding season against the Baltimore Orioles in Anaheim a week ago, tossing the first eight innings of a 3-0 Halos shutout. Three of Weaver's four starts since coming off the DL have ended in shutouts for the Angels staff, and the team is working on a streak of seven consecutive wins with their ace on the mound.

Nova (10-3, 3.92) coaxed his ERA under four last Sunday in Boston with six innings of 6-hit, 1-run baseball. The victory ended a 2-game skid for New York with Nova on the mound, only the second time in his career that the Yankees have lost back-to-back starts by the Dominican.

The Angels have been able to hit Nova pretty well in two clashes this season, slapping 16 hits and three homers while scoring nine times over the course of 12-2/3 innings. Still, both games went into the win column for the Yankees.

Weaver's only 2012 assignment vs. the Yanks was his final appearance before back trouble pushed him to the disabled list. Four of his last six starts against New York have gone into the win column for Mike Scioscia and the Angels, including Game 3 of the 2009 ALCS.

Porkopolis is the setting for ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball as the finale between the Reds and Cardinals at Great American Ball Park gets prime-time treatment. The mound duel pits St. Louis' Jake Westbrook against Cincy's Johnny Cueto who is the $1.45 favorite in the matchup with a 7½-run total.

Westbrook (7-7, 3.75) has run both hot and cold this season, and has been mostly hot recently. St. Louis has won four of his last five starts, a stretch that includes road victories at Detroit and Miami, and the veteran right-hander's ERA during the stretch is a solid 2.67.

Cueto (10-5, 2.39) grabbed his 10th win of the season in San Diego just before the all-star break after Reds hitters failed to support him in tough-luck setbacks in San Francisco and Los Angeles. He suffered the same fate in St. Louis earlier this year, tossing seven innings and allowing just one run only to get a no-decision in Cincinnati's 2-1 loss.

Glancing ahead to Monday, the Angels continue their post-break road trip with the first of four games in Detroit against the Tigers. Los Angeles is listing Ervin Santana for the game while the Tigers have yet to officially announce their starting pitcher for the 7:00 p.m. (ET) contest to be televised by ESPN.

Santana (4-9, 5.75) is hoping to get a fresh start after a horrible month of June (5.85 ERA) and even worse beginning to July. The righty was soundly whipped in Cleveland on July 4, surrendering eight runs and never getting out of the second inning.

Don Best is projecting Rick Porcello to get the nod for Jim Leyland and the Tigers. A bicep injury forced him out of his last start (July 4), not to mention the fact he was no mystery to Twins hitters in that outing with Minnesota coming up with 12 hits and three runs during Porcello's 3-2/3 innings of work.

Bettors will need to follow Don Best throughout the weekend to monitor Porcello's availability for Monday's contest.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:44 AM

Sunday's MLB Notes

July 15, 2012

St. Louis at Cincinnati (ESPN, 8:05 p.m. ET)

After losing four of the first five regular season meetings against the Cardinals, the Reds have won three straight in this head-to-head series, including both battles this weekend. Fortunately for St. Louis, the Reds' ace Johnny Cueto was scratched from this start due to a blister on his pitching hand. Instead, Cincinnati will hand the ball to Homer Bailey (7-6, 4.14 ERA) tonight as the team goes for the three-game home sweep.

The Reds have gone 9-8 in Bailey's appearances this season, which includes a 7-2 mark at home. He's received an average of six runs per game from his offense, which includes 14 in the last two games, both victories. Playing at home has been difficult for Bailey lately, as he's surrendered 17 earned runs in his last four appearances at Great American Ball Park.

St. Louis will counter with Jake Westbrook (7-7, 3.75 ERA), who closed the first-half of the season with a 3-2 loss to the Marlins on July 6 but the Cardinals had won all four of his previous starts. During this five-game span, Westbrook has gone six innings or more in each of the appearances and only gave up 10 earned runs. His ERA has been better on the road (2.94) than at home (4.53) but St. Louis only managed to go 4-4 in his eight appearances. Unfortunately for the Cardinals and Westbrook, the run support (3.6) outside of Busch Stadium hasn't been there for him. When you combine the weak offensive numbers and Westbrook's production on the road, you can see why the 'under' has produced a 5-2 mark.

Even though the pitching numbers point to Westbrook and the Cardinals, the Reds opened as short home favorites (-120) for Sunday's finale.

The total opened at nine runs. Bailey has seen the 'over' go 10-6 on the season, 6-3 at home. The 'under' has gone 5-2-1 in the first eight meetings this season between the pair.

Sunday's Sweeps

The below teams have won the first two games of their series this weekend and will try to finish off the three-game sweep today.

Cubs over Diamondbacks - Arizona swept a four-game set from Chicago in mid-June so we could be seeing a revenge sweep here for the Cubs. The D-Backs have scored one run in each of the first two games and will face the inconsistent Matt Garza (4-7, 4.32 ERA) this afternoon.

Braves over Mets - New York will have Johan Santana squaring off against Atlanta's Ben Sheets, who hasn't pitched in the majors since 2010. Sheets went 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA in two starts at the Double-A level before being called up.

Reds over Cardinals - See Above

Yankees over Angels - Los Angeles has to be happy with Jered Weaver on the hill and bettors can grab him at a real short price (-105). The Yankees will toss Ivan Nova, who's been tough to beat but he's only pitched three times (1-2, 4.67 ERA) at home this season.

A's over Twins - Minnesota will be trying to avoid the sweep at home and it could be difficult with the way Brian Duensing (1-5, 4.11 ERA) has been pitching. Plus, Oakland's offense is hot lately. They've posted 15 runs the last two outings against the Twins.

Sunday's Best & Worst

The below records are for Sunday:

Best
Arizona : 10-4
Cincinnati: 10-4
Detroit: 11-3
N.Y. Yankees: 10-3
Tampa Bay: 11-4
Texas: 11-3

Worst
Colorado: 3-11
Philadelphia: 3-12

VI Expert Samples

These are some of the games are VegasInsider.com handicappers are playing today. Check out all of their pro baseball selections here!

Ed Meyer - Houston Astros

The Giants are in a soft spot, giving the Astros plenty of line value here. We'll grab the big dog. In Norris' last start, he went seven innings and allowed two runs, but the 'Stros lost 2-0. This is actually a fine spot to invest in Bud Norris as Houston is 5-0 in franchise history as a road 170+ dog with Norris when they lost his last start. Matt Cain is also off a fine outing in which his team lost, as the bullpen allowed three runs in a 6-5 loss in Washington. One can certainly theorize that Matt Cain will be out to "avenge" the team loss in his last start, but the results tell a completely different story. The Giants are a surprising 12-30 with Matt Cain when he went at more than five innings and gave up six or fewer hits in his last start but the Giants lost nonetheless. San Francisco simply does not have the killer instinct in this spot. The Giants are a soft 2-8 as a 150-plus home favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games including 0-4 if they are a favorite of more than 170. Norris has the potential to throw a gem and the Giants will be looking ahead to their road trip.

Houston 4 San Francisco 3

Stephen Nover - Over 7.5 Dodgers/Padres

Jason Marquis and Chad Billingsley are not dependable starters. Both are in bad form, too. They are paired here with a total of less than 8 1/2. That puts me in action on the over. Marquis is 0-4 with a 4.60 ERA in his last five starts. His ERA is 6.23 in his last three starts. Marquis doesn't have a good recent history when pitching at Dodger Stadium either with a 5.79 ERA in his last three outings there. The Dodgers are much more dangerous with Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier back in the lineup. Kemp is batting .444 in his last 14 games against the Padres and Ethier is hitting .484 in his last nine home games versus San Diego. Billingsley is 0-3 with a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts. He has a 6.21 ERA during his past five starts. The Padres are much stronger offensively away from Petco Park.

Vince Akins - St. Louis

For the Cardinals, this is almost a must win game. A loss means they fall at least 4 games back of two teams in the NL Central and that's a lot of ground to start making up. Look for St. Louis to salvage one game here. This is the final game of a three game set win Cincinnati looking to sweep. The Cardinals are 26-8 since April 13, 2011 when playing a night game and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1952. Also the Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 games when looking to avoid a three-game sweep. Cincinnati meanwhile is just 7-11 when going for the three-game sweep. Cincinnati won a nail bitter yesterday, 3-2, in 10 innings. Both teams had plenty of chances with Cincinnati leaving 18 on base individually and St. Louis stranding 22. The Reds are 11-26 since April 07, 2011 after a win in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1733 when playing against. Cincinnati was able to overcome a 5-1 differential in walks in that game. The Reds are 4-12 since April 07, 2011 after a win in which they allowed 5+ walks and it is not the first game of a series for a net profit of $961 when playing against. Jake Westbrook goes for St. Louis. They lost in his last start to Miami, 3-2, after holding an early lead. The Cardinals are 6-0 since April 13, 2011 when Jake Westbrook starts when he is off a start in which their team scored first and lost for a net profit of $665. Homer Bailey goes for Cincinnati after winning his last two starts. The Cardinals are 6-0 since April 13, 2011 when Jake Westbrook starts on the road vs a team that won their starters last two starts for a net profit of $695. However, he is going to be asked to pick up the bullpen today after Cincinnati used six pitches yesterday. The Reds are 0-6 since May 26, 2011 when Homer Bailey starts when their team used 6+ pitchers yesterday for a net profit of $640 when playing against.

St. Louis 6 Cincinnati 3

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:46 AM

Westbrook tries to stop charging Reds Sunday

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (46-42)

at CINCINNATI REDS (49-38)


First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Cincinnati -150, St. Louis +140, Total: 8½

The sizzling-hot Reds aim to finish off a sweep of the Cardinals and win their sixth straight game on Sunday night.

Although Cincinnati is on the verge of a sweep, these NL Central foes have played a very even series in the past three seasons, with St. Louis holding a 22-19 advantage, and the Reds winning 11 of 20 at home. This season, each club has won four of the eight meetings, but there is a big difference in the way the two starting pitchers have performed in this series in their careers. Cards right-hander Jake Westbrook is 3-1 with a respectable 3.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in eight starts against the Reds, while Cincinnati righty Homer Bailey is just 2-6 (team is 2-8) with a bloated 5.72 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts versus St. Louis. These numbers include when the two faced each other on April 9, with Westbrook not allowing an earned run in seven strong innings and Bailey serving up three longballs in a 7-1 Cardinals win. With the money line so lopsided in favor of the streaking Reds, the pick here is ST. LOUIS to avoid getting swept by its division rival.

This two-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Cards:

ST. LOUIS is 48-25 (65.8%, +24.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ST. LOUIS 6.2, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*).

Westbrook (7-7, 3.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) has pitched very well in his past six outings, throwing five quality starts. He’s gone 3-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in this span, compiling three times as many strikeouts (21) as walks (7). Westbrook has also been quite effective away from home. He’s just 3-4, getting a total of five runs of support in the four defeats, but has a 2.94 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and .232 opponents’ BA in these eight road starts. Westbrook has controlled many of the Reds big bats over the years, including Joey Votto (1-for-9), Jay Bruce (3-for-12), Drew Stubbs (0-for-6) and Ryan Ludwick (2-for-8), who hit a walk-off homer to win Saturday’s game. However, Westbrook might want to pitch around Brandon Phillips (7-for-17) and especially Chris Heisey, who is 3-for-8 with three solo homers in his career versus Westbrook.

Bailey (7-6, 4.14 ERA, 1.30 WHIP) entered the All-Star Break with two sterling performances, both on the road. He beat both the Dodgers and Padres, posting a 2.45 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 15 strikeouts and one walk in these 14.2 innings. However, he has not enjoyed pitching at home this season, going 1-4 with a 5.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in eight starts in Cincinnati. He’s given up 12 homers in this 43-inning span, and has allowed at least one homer in eight of his past 10 starts overall. This could be a major problem, considering the Cardinals have smacked 50 homers on the road this year, the second-most in the National League. Five St. Louis batters have a career OPS greater than 1.100 in their careers versus Bailey -- John Jay (1.768 OPS in 7 AB), Lance Berkman (1.232 OPS in 9 AB), Matt Holliday (1.228 OPS, 2 HR in 18 AB), David Freese (1.182 OPS, 2 HR in 11 AB) and Yadier Molina (1.178 OPS, 1 HR in 9 AB). Berkman, who has not started a game since May 19, was used as a pinch-hitter on Saturday and expects to be in the starting lineup on Sunday. The one thing in Bailey’s favor is that the Reds have a superior bullpen (2.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 69% save percentage) to the Cardinals (4.46 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 59% save percentage).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:46 AM

Westbrook tries to stop charging Reds Sunday

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (46-42)

at CINCINNATI REDS (49-38)


First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: Cincinnati -150, St. Louis +140, Total: 8½

The sizzling-hot Reds aim to finish off a sweep of the Cardinals and win their sixth straight game on Sunday night.

Although Cincinnati is on the verge of a sweep, these NL Central foes have played a very even series in the past three seasons, with St. Louis holding a 22-19 advantage, and the Reds winning 11 of 20 at home. This season, each club has won four of the eight meetings, but there is a big difference in the way the two starting pitchers have performed in this series in their careers. Cards right-hander Jake Westbrook is 3-1 with a respectable 3.83 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in eight starts against the Reds, while Cincinnati righty Homer Bailey is just 2-6 (team is 2-8) with a bloated 5.72 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts versus St. Louis. These numbers include when the two faced each other on April 9, with Westbrook not allowing an earned run in seven strong innings and Bailey serving up three longballs in a 7-1 Cardinals win. With the money line so lopsided in favor of the streaking Reds, the pick here is ST. LOUIS to avoid getting swept by its division rival.

This two-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Cards:

ST. LOUIS is 48-25 (65.8%, +24.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ST. LOUIS 6.2, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*).

Westbrook (7-7, 3.75 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) has pitched very well in his past six outings, throwing five quality starts. He’s gone 3-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in this span, compiling three times as many strikeouts (21) as walks (7). Westbrook has also been quite effective away from home. He’s just 3-4, getting a total of five runs of support in the four defeats, but has a 2.94 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and .232 opponents’ BA in these eight road starts. Westbrook has controlled many of the Reds big bats over the years, including Joey Votto (1-for-9), Jay Bruce (3-for-12), Drew Stubbs (0-for-6) and Ryan Ludwick (2-for-8), who hit a walk-off homer to win Saturday’s game. However, Westbrook might want to pitch around Brandon Phillips (7-for-17) and especially Chris Heisey, who is 3-for-8 with three solo homers in his career versus Westbrook.

Bailey (7-6, 4.14 ERA, 1.30 WHIP) entered the All-Star Break with two sterling performances, both on the road. He beat both the Dodgers and Padres, posting a 2.45 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 15 strikeouts and one walk in these 14.2 innings. However, he has not enjoyed pitching at home this season, going 1-4 with a 5.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in eight starts in Cincinnati. He’s given up 12 homers in this 43-inning span, and has allowed at least one homer in eight of his past 10 starts overall. This could be a major problem, considering the Cardinals have smacked 50 homers on the road this year, the second-most in the National League. Five St. Louis batters have a career OPS greater than 1.100 in their careers versus Bailey -- John Jay (1.768 OPS in 7 AB), Lance Berkman (1.232 OPS in 9 AB), Matt Holliday (1.228 OPS, 2 HR in 18 AB), David Freese (1.182 OPS, 2 HR in 11 AB) and Yadier Molina (1.178 OPS, 1 HR in 9 AB). Berkman, who has not started a game since May 19, was used as a pinch-hitter on Saturday and expects to be in the starting lineup on Sunday. The one thing in Bailey’s favor is that the Reds have a superior bullpen (2.71 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 69% save percentage) to the Cardinals (4.46 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 59% save percentage).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:47 AM

Sunday's betting tips: D-backs lose bite without injured slugger

Weather watch

It will be hot and humid in Baltimore where the Orioles host the Tigers Sunday, with temperatures in the low 90s and a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for Camden Yards. There is a 57 percent chance of rain Sunday afternoon.

Who’s hot?

Detroit Tigers – Heading into Saturday’s slate, the Tigers have won six in a row spanning the All-Star break. Detroit won Game 1 7-2 on Friday night.

Tony Stewart – Stewart won last weekend’s race at Daytona and heads to New Hampshire, where he has three wins and 14 Top-5 finishes and an average finish of 11.54 – third best among active drivers.

Who’s not?

San Diego Padres – If you don’t know the Padres stink by now, maybe their four-game losing skid heading into Saturday will give you a clue. San Diego, which lost to the Dodgers 2-1 Friday, preceded this slide with a six-game winning run.

Philadelphia Phillies – The Phillies have lost five in a row heading into Saturday’s schedule. Philadelphia has easily been the most disappointing team in the majors this summer at 37-51 and down -26.21 units.

Key stat

8 - Hendrick Motorsports has won eight races at Loudon heading into Sunday’s Lenox Tools 301. Hendrick’s standout Jimmie Johnson is the race favorite at +500.

Game of the Day

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds, 8 p.m. ET

Injury not to be overlooked

Jason Kubel, Arizona Diamondbacks – Arizona’s slugger was scratched from Saturday’s lineup due to hamstring tightness. Kubel leads the D-backs with 15 home runs, hitting .293 BA with 60 RBIs – 10th in the majors.

Notable quotable

“With all the computers, the cybergenics (sabermetrics?), whatever they do, I think I rate the lowest possible in those things. The things I do don’t show up in box scores. Sacrifice bunting doesn’t make any sense to do. They don’t look at the guy going first to third or taking that extra bag.” – Philadelphia Phillies OF Juan Pierre told the Philadelphia Daily News.

Tips and notes

-- Sprint Cup driver Denny Hamlin is the most successful active driver at New Hampshire, owning an average finish of ninth. Hamlin has one win, five Top 5s, and eight Top 10s in just a dozen starts at Loudon. He’s the second overall favorite at +600 for Sunday’s event.

-- The New York Red Bull will have striker Sebastien Le Toux available versus Seattle Sunday after acquiring the 2010 MLS Best XI selection in a trade with Vancouver Friday. The Frenchman recorded 25 goals and 20 assists in 62 starts with the Philadelphia Union in 2010 and 2011. He had four goals and one assist with the White Caps this year.

-- Umpire Mike Winters is scheduled to be calling balls and strikes in the series finale between Houston and San Francisco Sunday. He has shown a slight lean towards the under this season, with games finishing 7-10 over/under when Winters is behind home plate. However, the under has cashed in 23 times in the last 33 Sunday games in which Winters was making the calls.

-- The Rogers Centre is rocking in 2012 and it’s got to be because of the Blue Jays’ new retro-inspired jerseys. According to the team, 1,107,908 fans have attended the first 42 home games. That’s 175,366 more than the count at this point in the season last year. Toronto, which ranks just 20th in attendance in the majors, is 23-20 (down -2.31 units) and 23-18-2 over/under heading into Saturday’s home tilt with Cleveland.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:47 AM

Sunday's betting tips: D-backs lose bite without injured slugger

Weather watch

It will be hot and humid in Baltimore where the Orioles host the Tigers Sunday, with temperatures in the low 90s and a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for Camden Yards. There is a 57 percent chance of rain Sunday afternoon.

Who’s hot?

Detroit Tigers – Heading into Saturday’s slate, the Tigers have won six in a row spanning the All-Star break. Detroit won Game 1 7-2 on Friday night.

Tony Stewart – Stewart won last weekend’s race at Daytona and heads to New Hampshire, where he has three wins and 14 Top-5 finishes and an average finish of 11.54 – third best among active drivers.

Who’s not?

San Diego Padres – If you don’t know the Padres stink by now, maybe their four-game losing skid heading into Saturday will give you a clue. San Diego, which lost to the Dodgers 2-1 Friday, preceded this slide with a six-game winning run.

Philadelphia Phillies – The Phillies have lost five in a row heading into Saturday’s schedule. Philadelphia has easily been the most disappointing team in the majors this summer at 37-51 and down -26.21 units.

Key stat

8 - Hendrick Motorsports has won eight races at Loudon heading into Sunday’s Lenox Tools 301. Hendrick’s standout Jimmie Johnson is the race favorite at +500.

Game of the Day

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds, 8 p.m. ET

Injury not to be overlooked

Jason Kubel, Arizona Diamondbacks – Arizona’s slugger was scratched from Saturday’s lineup due to hamstring tightness. Kubel leads the D-backs with 15 home runs, hitting .293 BA with 60 RBIs – 10th in the majors.

Notable quotable

“With all the computers, the cybergenics (sabermetrics?), whatever they do, I think I rate the lowest possible in those things. The things I do don’t show up in box scores. Sacrifice bunting doesn’t make any sense to do. They don’t look at the guy going first to third or taking that extra bag.” – Philadelphia Phillies OF Juan Pierre told the Philadelphia Daily News.

Tips and notes

-- Sprint Cup driver Denny Hamlin is the most successful active driver at New Hampshire, owning an average finish of ninth. Hamlin has one win, five Top 5s, and eight Top 10s in just a dozen starts at Loudon. He’s the second overall favorite at +600 for Sunday’s event.

-- The New York Red Bull will have striker Sebastien Le Toux available versus Seattle Sunday after acquiring the 2010 MLS Best XI selection in a trade with Vancouver Friday. The Frenchman recorded 25 goals and 20 assists in 62 starts with the Philadelphia Union in 2010 and 2011. He had four goals and one assist with the White Caps this year.

-- Umpire Mike Winters is scheduled to be calling balls and strikes in the series finale between Houston and San Francisco Sunday. He has shown a slight lean towards the under this season, with games finishing 7-10 over/under when Winters is behind home plate. However, the under has cashed in 23 times in the last 33 Sunday games in which Winters was making the calls.

-- The Rogers Centre is rocking in 2012 and it’s got to be because of the Blue Jays’ new retro-inspired jerseys. According to the team, 1,107,908 fans have attended the first 42 home games. That’s 175,366 more than the count at this point in the season last year. Toronto, which ranks just 20th in attendance in the majors, is 23-20 (down -2.31 units) and 23-18-2 over/under heading into Saturday’s home tilt with Cleveland.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:49 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Arizona at Chicago Cubs
The Cubs look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-6 in its last 7 games as a road underdog. Chicago is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 15

Game 951-952: Washington at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.989; Miami (Nolasco) 15.419
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.518; Atlanta (Sheets) 15.835
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.673; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.059
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under

Game 957-958: Arizona at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 14.862; Cubs (Garza) 16.435
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); Over

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.252; Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.410
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 961-962: Houston at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.430; San Francisco (Cain) 13.783
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+190); Over

Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Marquis) 14.981; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.366
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Under

Game 965-966: St. Louis at Cincinnati (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.440; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.094
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Over

Game 967-968: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.541; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.175
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lowe) 16.436; Toronto (Villanueva) 15.456
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120); Under

Game 971-972: Detroit at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.801; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.311
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over

Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.067; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 15.272; Minnesota (Duensing) 15.703
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.117; Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.880
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-150); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.390; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.504
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-175); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:49 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Arizona at Chicago Cubs
The Cubs look to take advantage of an Arizona team that is 1-6 in its last 7 games as a road underdog. Chicago is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 15

Game 951-952: Washington at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 15.989; Miami (Nolasco) 15.419
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-140); Over

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.518; Atlanta (Sheets) 15.835
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.673; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.059
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under

Game 957-958: Arizona at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Cahill) 14.862; Cubs (Garza) 16.435
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); Over

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.252; Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.410
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 961-962: Houston at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.430; San Francisco (Cain) 13.783
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+190); Over

Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Marquis) 14.981; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.366
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Under

Game 965-966: St. Louis at Cincinnati (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.440; Cincinnati (Bailey) 16.094
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Over

Game 967-968: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 15.541; NY Yankees (Nova) 16.175
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Over

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lowe) 16.436; Toronto (Villanueva) 15.456
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+120); Under

Game 971-972: Detroit at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 15.801; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.311
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over

Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.067; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 15.272; Minnesota (Duensing) 15.703
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-110); Over

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 16.117; Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.880
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-150); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.390; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.504
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-175); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:50 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, July 15

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
-- Burnett is 5-0, 3.55 in his last six starts. Gallardo is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.89 in his last four starts. Pomeranz has a 2.05 RA in his last four starts.
-- Cueto is 5-2, 2.37 in his last seven starts. Westbrook is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.

-- Weaver is 4-0, 0.33 since coming off the DL. Nova is 2-0, 1.17 in his last two home outings.
-- Villanueva is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts for Toronto.
-- Verlander is 4-1, 2.77 in his last five starts. Gonzalez allowed one run in seven IP in his first '12 start.
-- Parker is 3-1, 2.59 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 2-0, 1.21 in his last three starts.
-- Harrison is 8-1, 1.52 in his last nine starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Strasburg is 0-3, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- JSantana is 0-1, 8.53 in two starts against Atlanta this year. Sheets makes his first start since he made 20 starts in '10 (he also missed all of '09). For his career, Sheets is 90-92, 3.79 in 241 career starts.
-- Cahill is 2-2, 7.13 in his last four starts. Garza is 2-3, 5.72 in his last five.
-- Norris is 0-5, 8.35 in his last five starts. Cain is 1-1, 4.26 in his last four.
-- Billingsley is 0-5, 6.52 in his last five starts. Marquis is 0-4, 5.74 in his last five starts.

-- Lowe is 1-3, 7.94 in his last six starts.
-- Shields is 1-1, 6.07 in his last four starts.
-- Beckett is 0-3, 4.91 in his last five starts.
-- Duensing is 0-3, 7.15 in his last three starts.
-- Mendoza is 1-2, 3.93 in his last three outings.
-- Iwakuma allowed three runs in five IP in his first '12 start.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Washington won nine of its last 14 games. Marlins won five of their last six home games.
-- Reds won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last eight games.
-- Pirates won 11 of their last 14 games. Milwaukee is 11-6 in its last 17 home games.

-- Bronx won six of its last seven games.
-- Indians are 8-5 in their last thirteen games.
-- Detroit won six of its last seven games.
-- White Sox won ten of their last fourteen games. Kansas City won four of its last five home games.
-- A's won eight of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten road games.
-- Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Philadelphia lost 11 of its last 13 games. Rockies lost 11 of their last 15 home games.
-- Dodgers lost 16 of their last 22 games. San Diego lost four of five.
-- San Francisco lost seven of its last eleven games. Astros lost their last 12 games on foreign soil.
-- Cardinals lost their last three road games, scoring eight runs.

-- Angels lost their last four road games, allowing 32 games.
-- Orioles lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Blue Jays are 4-6 in their last ten games.
-- Red Sox lost seven of their last nine games. Tampa Bay is 6-10 in its last 16 games, 6-9 in last fifteen at home.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last seven games. Texas lost four of its last five games on the road.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Miami home games.
-- Nine of last eleven Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Atlanta's last twelve home games.
-- Over is 24-5 in last 29 games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last eight games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Dodger games stayed under the total.
-- 15 of last 22 Houston road games went over the total.

-- Nine of Angels' last eleven road games went over total.
-- Under is 11-5-2 in Cleveland's last eighteen road games.
-- Over is 5-1-2 in last eight games at Camden Yards.
-- Under is 13-3 in Boston's last sixteen road games.
-- Last three White Sox games went over the total.
-- Under is 12-4 in last sixteen Oakland games (1-3 in last four).
-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Safeco Field.

Umpires
-- Phil-Col-- Five of last seven Barry games went over the total.
-- NY-Atl-- Home side won six of last seven Bucknor games.
-- Az-Chi-- Four of last five Runge games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Four of last five Vanover games went over the total.
-- StL-Cin-- Under is 5-2-1 in West's last eight games behind plate.
-- Wsh-Mia-- Four of last five Foster games stayed under.
-- Hst-SF-- Road team won five of last six Winters games.
-- SD-LA-- Home side won seven of last nine Davis games.

-- LA-NY-- Last ten TWelke games stayed under the total.
-- Cle-Tor-- Six of last seven Marquez games stayed under total.
-- Det-Balt-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Timmons games.
-- A's-Min-- Three of last four Porter games went over total.
-- Chi-KC-- All three Baker games went under, with home side 3-0.
-- Bos-TB-- Seven of last ten Dimuro games stayed under; home team won the last five.
-- Tex-Sea-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Cederstrom games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:23707 Followers:32
07/15/2012 11:52 AM

MLB

Sunday, July 15

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Trend Report
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1:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games

1:07 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 22 games

1:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 14 games when playing Washington

1:35 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

1:35 PM
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

1:40 PM
BOSTON vs. TAMPA BAY
Boston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing Boston

2:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Chi White Sox are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games

2:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 16 games
Oakland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Oakland

2:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

2:20 PM
ARIZONA vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Arizona is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

3:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. COLORADO
Philadelphia is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

4:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Houston

4:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 5-18 SU in their last 23 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Diego's last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 8 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

4:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Texas

8:05 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: