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I can't help but back Jose Quintana the guy was a beast as I faded him in his last road start at Texas one of the best LHP hitting teams. He's now posted a 3-0 record, 0.91 WHIP and a 2.86 ERA over his last three starts, but he's been even better overall and posts a 2.51 ERA on the road this year. He'll go up against the Royals who are ranked 22nd in OPS vs. LHP. Quintana will face a Royals team that is only scoring 2.94 runs per 9 vs. LHP and is 19-39 in their last 58 following an off day. I expect there bats to be a bit rusty/hung over after the break.
While the White Sox swept the Rangers, and then took 2 of 3 from the Jays in impressing fashion. One major change has happened since the acquisition of Kevin Youkilis. They no longer have a weakness vs. LH starters as they were ranked 28th vs. LHP in OPS at one time but they have surged of late to 17th with a .713 OPS. They'll face Bruce Chen who does have good numbers against the White Sox, but once again it will be Kevin Youkilis making the difference as he is 6-16 against Chen while A.J. Pierzynski adds a bit going 11-27 in his career. Chen has also been terrible in July in his career posting a 6.33 ERA, his worst month by far over the last three years combined.
Notable Hot Starters:
C.J. Wilson (2-1, 1.21 WHIP, 2.37 ERA)
Mat Latos (2-1, 0.56 WHIP, 0.72 ERA)
Jordan Zimmermann (2-1, 1.15 WHIP, 1.35 ERA)
Tim Hudson 2-1, 1.10 WHIP, 2.57 ERA)
A.J. Griffin (2-1, 0.72 WHIP, 1.50 ERA)
Franciso Liriano2-1, 0.72 WHIP, 1.50 ERA)
Cold Starter Of The Day:
Though this is not going to be any sort of a sports pick that is backed by our sports monitor we still like to give out the cold pitcher with the best shot at winning because often times there is a lot of value. Today's pitcher is Doug Fister by default. I think he benefited more than any other pitcher by the All Star break. Fister also had an amazing 2nd half last year and we will see if he can replicate it as the Tigers finished strong before the break.
James McDonald, Pittsburgh Pirates (9-3, 2.37 ERA)
McDonald has won each of his last four outings and put out one of his best showings of the season last weekend against the Giants. He gave up just one run over seven innings while striking out 10 and walking none. McDonald now has three games with double-digit strikeouts already and has 100 punch-outs in 110 innings.
Mat Latos, Cincinnati Reds (7-2, 4.13 ERA)
Latos did everything he could to get a win against his former team, but his offense let him down. He allowed only four hits while throwing seven shutout innings in a 2-1 loss at San Diego. Latos has now yielded just two earned runs over his last three starts, which included two complete games, 28 strikeouts and only four walks.
Jason Hammel, Baltimore Orioles (8-5, 3.47 ERA)
Hammel has lost each of his last three trips to the hill. Location has been one of his main issues lately. In his last 16 2/3 innings he has allowed 15 runs and issued nine walks. The three losses have bumped him down to eighth in the MLB money starter standings, but he’s still earned his supporters 6.83 units to date.
Ricky Romero, Toronto Blue Jays (8-4, 5.22 ERA)
Romero was much better in his last start, but still picked up his third straight loss. He gave up just two runs on four hits over six innings in a 2-0 loss to the White Sox. However, he did walk three more batters, upping his total to 58 walks in 110 1/3 innings. Before that outing Romero yielded 16 combined runs in two starts.
Friday betting tips: Greinke on a silly home winning tear
MLB: The Detroit Tigers have the longest current winning streak in the majors at five games. Keep in mind they were favorites for all those games against lowly divisional opposition, K.C. and Minnesota.
CFL: The home team won the past six meetings between the Blue Bombers and Eskimoes. Winnipeg covered in five of those games.
MLB: The Brewers are 23-1 in Zack Greinke’s last 24 home starts. Milwaukee is a -150 fave over Pittsburgh Friday.
MLB: The Texas Rangers. Against Seattle lately, anyway. The Rangers surrendered 31 runs in their past two meetings with the Mariners.
WNBA: The Washington Mystics haven’t won on the road this season (0-7). Oddly, they are 3-4 against the spread. They are 6.5-point dogs at New York Friday.
909 – The number of yards Winnipeg’s defense has given up through two CFL games so far, worst in the league. They are 1-pt dogs at Edmonton Friday night with the total set at 45 - a relatively low number for three-down football.
GAME OF THE DAY
Braves at Mets (-150, 8.5)
Wynn Las Vegas sportsbook director John Avello, who would put the 1992 Dream Team as a 10-point favorite over this year's U.S. Olympic squad: “Everyone likes to throw around the bigger, faster, stronger argument when comparing past and present. All those elements don’t apply to this group (1992). They have the best guards, the best shooters, the best big men. If they played 10 times, (1992) would win eight of them.”
NOTES AND TIPS
Good sign: In a recent Angus Reid poll, Americans supported the legalization of betting on sports in all states. "In the online survey of a representative national sample of 1,017 American adults, three-in-five respondents (59%) support allowing people in any U.S. state to bet on sports. Support for this change is highest among men (68%) and respondents aged 18-to-34 (64%)."
If you're into 3-ball betting or daily match betting for PGA golf, you might want to take a look at who has the best scoring average for Round 2 on tour this year heading into Friday's action. Ricky Barnes, who sits in second at the John Deere Classic after shooting 7-under Thursday, ranks 90th in the second round.
Dodgers star center fielder Matt Kemp is expected to make his return to the lineup Friday. He was hitting .355 with 12 HRs and 28 RBIs before he injured his hamstring on May 30.
Fifteen of the 30 teams in MLB are within five games or fewer of their division leads and 19 are .500 or better.
-- Maholm is 2-0, 0.63 in his last two starts, allowing one run in 14.1 IP.
-- Johnson is 2-2, 2.79 in his last six starts. Zimmerman is 2-1, 2.00 in his last four starts.
-- Latos is 2-0, 0.72 in last three starts; Reds won his last five home starts.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 3.46 in his last four outings.
-- McDonald is 4-1, 2.34 in his last five starts. Pirates won five of his last six road starts.
-- Bumgarner is 3-1, 3.53 in his last five starts; Giants are 6-1 in his starts at home.
-- Wilson is 5-1, 2.09 in his last nine starts. Kuroda is 5-1, 2.80 in his last eight starts.
-- Quintana is 3-0, 2.04 in his last five starts.
-- Griffin is 0-0, 2.00 in his first three starts. Liriano is 2-0, 2.81 in his last four starts.
-- Millwood has a 0.93 RA in his last two starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-2, 5.75 in his last five starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-2, 3.66 in his last five starts.
-- Young is 1-2, 3.76 in his last four starts.
-- Greinke is 0-1, 9.00 in his last three starts; tonight he becomes first pitcher since 1917 to start three of his team's games in a row.
-- Lee is 1-2, 6.06 in his last five starts, but won his last start, his first win of the year. Friedrich is 0-5, 8.48 in his last six starts.
-- Kershaw is 1-2, 4.45 in his last five starts. Richard is 2-2, 4.45 in his last four starts.
-- Lyles is 1-4, 5.94 in his last six starts; Astros are 0-6 in his road starts.
-- Masterson is 1-2, 7.27 in his last three starts. Romero is 0-3, 11.40 in his last three starts.
-- Fister is 1-3, 10.18 in his last four starts. Hammel is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Morales is 1-1, 4.64 in his last four starts. Hellickson is 0-5, 5.17 in his last seven starts.
-- Chen is 0-2, 11.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Holland is 1-1, 9.69 in his last three starts.
-- Cubs won five of their last six home games.
-- Washington won eight of last 12 games. Marlins won their last four home games.
-- St Louis won six of its last eight games. Reds won six of their last nine home games.
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Mets won seven of their last ten games on foreign soil.
-- Pirates won ten of their last twelve games. Milwaukee is 10-5 in its last 15 home games.
-- Bronx is 10-3 in home series openers. Angels won 12 of last 18 games.
-- Indians won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Detroit won its last five games overall; they won six of last nine on road.
-- White Sox won nine of their last twelve games.
-- A's won six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight road games.
-- Philadelphia lost 10 of its last 11 games. Rockies lost ten of their last thirteen home games.
-- Dodgers lost 15 of their last 20 games. San Diego lost nine of its last 12 home games.
-- San Francisco lost seven of its last nine games. Astros lost their last ten games on foreign soil.
-- Orioles lost five of their last six home games.
-- Blue Jays are 3-5 in their last eight games.
-- Red Sox lost six of their last seven games. Tampa Bay is 5-9 in its last 14 games, 5-8 in last thirteen at home.
-- Royals lost eight of last ten games, but won three in row at home.
-- Twins lost four of their last five games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games. Texas lost its last three games on the road.
-- Eight of last ten Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Miami home games.
-- Seven of last nine Cincinnati home games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Atlanta's last ten home games.
-- Over is 22-5 in last 27 games at Miller Park.
-- Five of last six games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park stayed under total.
-- 15 of last 20 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Eight of Angels' last nine road games went over total.
-- Under is 10-4-2 in Cleveland's last sixteen road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Camden Yards.
-- Under is 12-2 in Boston's last fourteen road games.
-- Six of White Sox' last eight road games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-3 in Minnesota's last eleven home games.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven games at Safeco Field.
The Nationals look to build on their 5-2 record in Jordan Zimmermann's last 7 road starts. Washington is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105). Here are all of today's picks.
FRIDAY, JULY 13
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Arizona at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 15.514; Cubs (Maholm) 15.783
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+115); N/A
Game 953-954: Washington at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.867; Miami (Johnson) 15.542
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Miami (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under
Game 955-956: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.662; Cincinnati (Latos) 16.872
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Under
Game 957-958: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 15.546; Atlanta (Hudson) 14.807
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); Over
Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (McDonald) 16.061; Milwaukee (Greinke) 14.671
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+140); Under
Game 961-962: Philadelphia at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.745; Colorado (Friedrich) 14.917
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Over
Game 963-964: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 15.199; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.147
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-185); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+165); Under
Game 965-966: Houston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 13.698; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.515
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-225); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-225); Over
Game 967-968: LA Angels at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.801; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.916
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Under
Game 969-970: Cleveland at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.753; Toronto (Romero) 15.138
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Over
Game 971-972: Detroit at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 16.116; Baltimore (Hammel) 13.997
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Under
Game 973-974: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Morales) 14.956; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.476
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Over
Game 975-976: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 14.758; Kansas City (Chen) 15.240
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 977-978: Oakland at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 15.601; Minnesota (Liriano) 14.875
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115); Under
Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.867; Seattle (Millwood) 15.028
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-145); Under