cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
On 07/03/2012 03:29 PM in MLB

Cnotes Monday's MLB & WNBA Best Bets !

NL Division Leaders Collide When Giants Visit Nationals

The two teams with the best records in the NL start a 3-game set on Tuesday night when the San Francisco Giants visit the Washington Nationals.

We start with a look at Monday night with the Los Angeles Angels 135 road favorites at Cleveland. The total is 8½ on the Don Best odds screen and shaded to the ‘under.’

Jered Weaver (8-1, 2.31 ERA) is the main reason for the Los Angeles optimism. He’s won both starts since coming off the DL, allowing one earned run over 12 2/3 innings. One of those great starts was at Baltimore, but his ERA is much higher on the road overall (3.77).

Note the ‘over’ is 6-2 in Weaver’s last eight starts with strong run support a big reason.

Ubaldo Jimenez (7-6, 4.69 ERA) pitches for Cleveland. He was much better in five June starts (2.78 ERA), but control continues to be an issue with 5.40 walks per nine innings, and his strikeout rate (6.62) is down vs. prior years.

Jimenez does pitch better at home (3.79 ERA) and this is his first appearance against the Angels since becoming an Indian last year.

Getting back to the Giants and Nationals, this is an interesting pitching duel between Tim Lincecum and Jordan Zimmermann. San Francisco had Monday off after flying from the West Coast. Washington is in a traditional fade spot in the first game back after a long 10-game trip.

Lincecum (3-8, 5.60 ERA) has been a train wreck overall this year. He is on a streak of 12 scoreless innings, but Don Best MLB analyst Kenny White isn’t too excited with the foes being anemic Oakland and the struggling Dodgers.

White also points out that Lincecum’s velocity is way down to 90 mph and the former Cy Young winner has a 7.59 road ERA.

Zimmermann (4-6, 2.77 ERA) hasn’t gotten a lot run support and the bullpen has let him down as well. He has a 94 mph fastball and an 86 mph slider, but his strikeout rate is only 6.01 per nine innings, relying a lot on control. Zimmermann allowed just one earned run over seven innings at Colorado last start, his first win since May 22.

There’s an ‘over’ trend for both pitchers, 8-3 in Lincecum’s last 11 starts and 6-2 in Zimmermann’s last eight.

Don Best is sending out a line of Washington -130 with a total of 7½.

Also on Tuesday is an AL affair of Texas at the Chicago White Sox, two more division leaders. The Pale Hose are a 130 favorite behind Chris Sale (9-2, 2.27 ERA) with a total of 8½. They have surprisingly struggled at home at 19-21 (-7.4 units).

Texas’ Roy Oswalt is 2-0 with a 4.26 ERA in two starts since coming out of quasi-retirement. He has benefited from great run support after allowing 22 hits in 12 2/3 innings, but is a veteran pitcher who will keep his team in games.

Sale has seen Chicago go 6-2 in his last eight starts, not getting a loss personally since May 12. He’s been more accurate after converting to a starter this season, throwing 92 mph with more movement. He would overthrow a lot as a reliever in the mid-90s.

Note that Texas is an impressive 23-15 away, which couples with the Sox’ mediocre home play as mentioned above. White likes Chicago’s lineup against Oswalt in this contest, with Sale’s 1.69 home ERA another factor.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:32 PM

Around the Horn - Tuesday

July 2, 2012

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Miami at Milwaukee - 4:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Sanchez (4-6, 3.94 ERA) 38-41 5-2 L7 away during day
Estrada (0-3, 4.50 ERA) 37-42 6-2 L8 home during day




Brewers beat Marlins, 6-5 on Monday

San Francisco at Washington - 6:35 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lincecum (3-8, 5.60 ERA) 45-35 5-1 L6 away Game 1's
Zimmermann (4-6, 2.77 ERA) 45-32 OVER 6-1 L7 home Game 1's




Giants beat Reds, 4-3 on Sunday
Nationals beat Braves, 8-4 on Sunday

Houston at Pittsburgh - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Harrell (7-6, 4.33 ERA) 32-48 0-11 L11 away Game 2's
Burnett (9-2, 3.31 ERA) 43-36 OVER 10-2 L12 on Tuesdays




Pirates beat Astros, 11-2 on Monday

Chicago at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Volstad (0-6, 7.46 ERA) 30-49 1-12 L13 away Game 2's
Jurrjens (1-2, 6.07 ERA) 41-38 9-4 L13 home Game 2's




Cubs beat Braves, 4-1 on Monday

Philadelphia at N.Y. Mets - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Worley (4-4, 2.92 ERA) 36-45 4-7 L11 away vs LHP
Niese (6-3, 3.55 ERA) 43-37 7-4 L11 home off loss




Phillies lost to Marlins, 5-2 on Sunday
Mets lost to Dodgers, 8-3 on Sunday

Colorado at St. Louis - 8:15 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Francis (1-1, 5.47 ERA) 30-49 3-10 L13 away Game 2's
Kelly (1-0, 3.38 ERA) 42-38 9-3 L12 home Game 2's




Cardinals beat Rockies, 9-3 on Monday


San Diego at Arizona - 9:40 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Cashner (3-3, 3.63 ERA) 31-50 UNDER 8-4 L12 on Tuesdays
Bauer (0-0, 4.50 ERA) 39-40 OVER 10-2 L12 home Game 2's



Padres beat Diamondbacks, 6-2 on Monday

Cincinnati at Los Angeles - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Cueto (9-4, 2.26 ERA) 44-35 5-1 L6 away vs LHP
Capuano (9-3, 2.69 ERA) 44-37 UNDER 6-0 L6 home on Tuesdays




Reds beat Dodgers, 8-2 on Monday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Los Angeles at Cleveland - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Haren (6-7, 4.53 ERA) 45-35 OVER 4-1 L5 away Game 2's
McAllister (2-1, 3.82 ERA) 40-39 2-9 L11 Game 2's




Angels beat Indians, 3-0 on Monday

Minnesota at Detroit - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Blackburn (4-5, 7.74 ERA) 34-45 4-8 L12 away Game 2's
Below (2-1, 2.70 ERA) 39-41 1-5 L6 on Tuesdays




Twins beat Tigers, 6-4 on Monday

Kansas City at Toronto - 7:05 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Mazzaro (3-2, 4.74 ERA) 36-42 7-1 L8 on Tuesdays
Cecil (1-1, 6.06 ERA) 40-40 7-3 L10 home Game 2's




Royals beat Blue Jays, 11-3 on Monday

N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay - 7:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Nova (9-2, 4.03 ERA) 48-31 UNDER 9-3 L12 on Tuesdays
Shields (7-5, 4.04 ERA) 42-38 3-6 L9 home Game 2's




Rays beat Yankees, 4-3 on Monday

Texas at Chicago - 8:10 PM EST (Game 2/4)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Oswalt (2-0, 4.26 ERA) 50-30 7-3 L10 away vs LHP
Sale (9-2, 2.27 ERA) 42-37 2-5 L7 home Game 1's




Rangers lost to Athletics, 3-1 on Sunday
White Sox lost to Yankees, 4-2 on Sunday

Boston at Oakland - 10:05 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Lester (5-5, 4.53 ERA) 42-38 13-3 L16 Game 2's
Colon (6-7, 4.22 ERA) 39-42 2-5 L7 on Tuesdays




Athletics beat Red Sox, 6-1 on Monday

Baltimore at Seattle - 10:10 PM EST (Game 2/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Record Betcha Didn't Know
Chen (7-4, 3.73 ERA) 42-37 9-3 L12 away Game 2's
Hernandez (6-5, 3.09 ERA) 35-47 UNDER 5-0 L5 home vs LHP




Mariners beat Orioles, 6-3 on Monday

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:34 PM

Diamond Trends - Tuesday

July 3, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Tigers are 11-0 since June 01, 2011 when playing a night game as a 140+ favorite after allowing 6+ runs in a night game for a net profit of $1100.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:


The Rays are 0-11 OU since April 14, 2011 when playing a night game at home after a one run win in a night game for a net profit of $1100 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:


The Reds are 10-0 since July 31, 2011 when Johnny Cueto starts as a 140+ favorite vs a team that has averaged 7+ strikeouts per game for a net profit of $1000.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:


The Royals are 1-14 (-2.7 rpg) in since July 9, 2010 in road night games after a night game where they score 6+ runs.

TODAY’S TRENDS:


The Red Sox are 0-6 since May 30, 2011 when Jon Lester starts as a favorite after his team scored a total of seven or more runs in his last start for a net profit of $912 when playing against.

The Tigers are 7-0 since April 24, 2011 when Max Scherzer starts as a favorite after more strike outs than hits allowed on the road for a net profit of $700.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:37 PM

Hot and Not

July 3, 2012


Just about half of the 2012 season is in the books, and the entire league is set to go on hiatus at the beginning of next week for the Midsummer Classic. Here's a look at what some of the hottest and coldest teams did over the course of last week heading into the halfway point of the regular season.

Money-Makers

Chicago Cubs (5-1, $432): Sure, the Cubs might have cost their betting backers nearly $1500 overall, but any time this club can get some positive pub, we have to pounce on it! After rattling off a 5-1 week, Manager Dale Sveum's squad is no longer the bottom feeder on the money earned list. With the trade deadline fast approaching, look for more key cogs in the Minors to get their call up to the "bigs" to join fellow call-up - Anthony Rizzo - on the playing field. Chicago is expected to have a number of its veterans plucked from its line-up in hopes of making teams with playoff aspirations that much better, so this stretch of recent hot play could carry into next week's festivities.

On The Docket: Chicago will close out its first half of the season away from Wrigley Field - Atlanta/New York - where its won just 10 of its 39 overall games played to date (-$1443).

Pittsburgh Pirates (4-3, $254): Make it four out of five series wins for the Buccos who split their four-game series at Philadelphia before going into St. Louis and taking it to the Redbirds last week. In doing so, Manager Clint Hurdle's squad now sits just a game in back of the Cincinnati Reds in the NL Central pennant race and a game in back of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL Wild Card race. Unfortunately, the team's catalyst offensively - Andrew McCutchen - suffered a wrist injury on Saturday and could be held out this week for precautionary measures.

On The Docket: Now the best bet in all of baseball ($1432), the Pirates will look to finish the first half of their 2012 campaign strong with seven-games set to go against Houston and San Francisco at home where they're 23-13 overall ($1048)

Miami Marlins (4-2, $207): The month of June was daunting to say the least for Manager Ozzie Guillen and the Marlins who tallied just nine wins in 27 tries, but the Fish closed it out strong winning each of their final three games before getting out to a 1-0 start in July after putting the finishing touches of a three-game home sweep on the division rival Phillies. If the Marlins are to stick to their season long "MO" of excelling every other month like they've done over the course of the first half of the season, the NL East standings could have a much different look to them come the first of August.

On The Docket: Miami will look to build upon its current 10-8 record versus NL Central opponents and 16-18 record away from Marlins Ballpark in Milwaukee and St. Louis over the next seven days.

Honorable Mentions: Texas Rangers (5-2, $144), New York Mets (4-3, $75)

Money-Burners

Tampa Bay Rays (1-6, -$573): The AL East was once one of the more competitive divisions in all of baseball, but ever since the Yankees claimed the top spot a couple weeks back, the Rays have come up short on the scoreboard more times than Manager Joe Maddon would have liked. Since June 20th, Tampa Bay has earned just three wins in its 12 overall games played, and because of it, sits in front of only the Toronto Blue Jays within the division a lofty 7.5-games in back of New York. News of Evan Longoria's rehab setback seems to have taken the wind out of this teams' sails heading into the break.

On The Docket: The Rays could eat into their deficit with three scheduled to go against the Yankees at home (22-18, -$249) before turning their attention to the Indians on the road (19-20, $138).

Los Angeles Dodgers (1-6, -$541): It was another brutal week for Manager Don Mattingly's Dodgers who lost their grasp of the NL West lead at the beginning of it in dropping all three games to the hated Giants at AT&T Park. That bitter sweep was followed up with another series loss after the Mets took three of four and handed the home team two more shut out defeats before avoiding the sweep in Sunday's finale; LA was shut out in five of its seven overall games played! Thankfully, Matt Kemp has stated he'll be back following the All Star festivities.

On The Docket: The final week of the first half of the season could be a make or break one for the injury ravaged Dodgers who will host the NL Central leading Cincinnati Reds before traveling to the desert to battle the recently surging Arizona Diamondbacks; LA's won 17 of its 29 overall games played within the division, but has only won one of its L/6.

Baltimore Orioles (1-5, -$467): Since the very first week of the season, Manager Buck Showalter's Orioles have shown the ability to hit with the best in the league, but the starting pitching staff left much to be desired. That is still precisely the case now with the team launching the fourth most home runs in the league (99), while also getting just 33 quality starts from the starting staff (#26). Though Nick Markakis looks to be on the comeback trail off the DL and Jim Thome's bat came over in a weekend trade, changes must be made in the Orioles' starting pitching department - currently sit six-games out - if they're to once again become a playoff hopeful.

On The Docket: The Orioles will hit the west coast to battle the Seattle Mariners and Los Angeles Angels in hopes of improving upon their impressive 20-16 road record that's reeled in a healthy $1089 return for their investing supporters.

Dishonorable Mentions: Houston Astros (2-5, -$335), Philadelphia Phillies (2-5, -$322)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:40 PM

Weekly Betting Notes

July 2, 2012


We’re going to see several transactions occur before the July 31 trade deadline, but the main question right now is who are some of the buyers and sellers going to be? It’s obvious the Cubs and Astros are going to be willing to part with their top players, with the Cubs likely pleading for someone to take Alfonso Soriano's contact, but what about the teams just barely over or under .500?

Will we see Pittsburgh make a better attempt than last season as buyers and what will the Phillies do? Boston has jumped back into the AL East mix while Tampa Bay is floundering. The Yankees and Rangers can be expected to make a move and the Dodgers are especially in need to find some new blood in their lineup.

And creeping up on the Dodgers and Giants in the NL West is the D’Backs, which now makes them a potential buyer.

Some of the top names available include Seattle's Jason Vargas, Minnesota's Francisco Liriano, Philadelphia's Cole Hamels, Tampa Bay's James Shields, Chicago's Ryan Dempster and Matt Garza, Colorado's Carlos Gonzalez and Kansas City's Jonathan Broxton.

The most interesting team to watch on stage this month is the Phillies because everything else kind of falls in place based on what they do. They’ve got a major dilemma on their hands as they’re 36-45 through Sunday, 11 games out of first-place. Do they tell the proud fans of Philadelphia who have witnessed five straight postseason appearances they’re packing it in, or do they hope for a huge playoff run over the next three months?

The hope for Phillies fans is that the return of Chase Utley, Ryan Howard, and Roy Halladay will shift the balance of those the remaining games in their favor. When the first part of that equation, Utley, returned last week, the Phillies went on to lose five consecutive games.

Let’s just assume that the mark to get a wild card berth is 89 wins, which would then mean the Phillies would have to go 53-28 the rest of the way. It’s an unlikely pace to say the least, especially with their starting rotation being no where near what it was in any of the five previous seasons.

Teams looking to get that extra edge by getting players with battle tested playoff performers could make the Phillies part with Hamels, Hunter Pence or Shane Victorino, or maybe all three. In return, the Phillies could pluck the top prospects from prospective teams vying for their services, but the biggest problem is selling the future to Philadelphia fans who expect to win now.

The Pirates could use an extra bat and starter, and it’s reasonable to believe after the small attempt they made last season to be buyers that they would make an extra push to get better players this time around -- no offense to Derrek Lee and Ryan Ludwick.

With the Cardinals appearing down and the Reds rotation being suspect, the NL Central looks to be wide open and the Bucs core of young players and new veterans -- along with some experience from last years run -- should make them stronger down the stretch this season.

The Rays have made the playoffs three of the past four seasons, but there doesn’t seem to much optimism about their chances this season even though they were three games over .500 through Sunday. Shields, Carlos Pena, and B.J. Upton are players that could probably be had if the price was right.

The Yankees, Orioles, and Red Sox would love to have Shields, but it’s not likely Tampa Bay would trade him within the division making the Braves seem like a probably candidate. The starting rotation was supposed to be a strength this season in Atlanta, but only the Rockies funky four-man rotation has less quality NL starts than the Braves staff. Despite the deficiency in starting pitching -- that includes Brandon Beachy out for the season, the Braves should feel good about where they are now which is 4 ½ games out of first-place and four games over .500.

The biggest difference maker that is available besides Hamels, who I don’t think will be traded, is Broxton (20 saves, 2.08 ERA). The former closer for the Dodgers may not have the same velocity he once had, but he’s learned to be a better pitcher. For teams like the Angels and Red Sox, getting Broxton could be the move that helps them shore up one of their glaring weaknesses.

It would take a lot to get Gonzalez from Colorado, but whoever got him would instantly improve their chances of making the playoffs in the same fashion the Astros did in 2005 when they picked up Carlos Beltran, who then carried them to the World Series.

The Dodgers are a team that really needs some offensive help as was exemplified last week when they were shutout five times. They got timely hitting for the first 10 weeks of the season from unlikely sources, and were even able to withstand the loss of Matt Kemp for a while, but reality caught up with them: You can’t win regularly in baseball without strong hitters at the corners.

The Dodgers need some help and first and third base and they let a golden opportunity fly away to Chicago as the White Sox picked up Kevin Youkilis last week. They inquired about the services of Carlos Lee from Houston, but Lee doesn’t want to go. Up next for the Dodgers could be Chase Headley from San Diego, Jed Lowrie from Houston, or Pena from Tampa Bay.

One thing you can be assured of from the Dodgers is that the new ownership group headed by Stan Kasten and Magic Johnson will make several moves to do everything they can to win now. They know better than anyone that their team needs a band-aid and not even Kemp’s return will hide the fact.

Vote Harper for All-Star Game
Nationals rookie phenom Bryce Harper didn’t get selected as one of the 33 NL All-Stars for next Tuesday’s All-Star game in Kansas City, but the fans can still have their way by voting him in as the 34th and final entry to the roster. Voting will be tallied through this Thursday on MLB.com.

I may be a little biased with Harper because he’s from Las Vegas, but I don’t think I’m alone that his hustling style of play has made him someone every baseball fan enjoys watching. And really, isn’t that what we all want to see in the All-Star game, players we like the most who play the game at levels most major leaguers can’t. Are there really 68 better players in baseball than Harper?

Updated LVH Super Book Baseball Futures

2012 WORLD SERIES

RANGERS 9/2
YANKEES 5/1
NATIONALS 8/1
REDS 10/1
GIANTS 10/1
ANGELS 10/1
TIGERS 12/1
CARDINALS 12/1
RED SOX 15/1
BRAVES 15/1
DIAMONDBACKS 20/1
RAYS 20/1
DODGERS 20/1
WHITE SOX 25/1
INDIANS 25/1
PIRATES 30/1
METS 35/1
PHILLIES 50/1
MARLINS 50/1
ORIOLES 50/1
BLUE JAYS 75/1
ROYALS 100/1
BREWERS 100/1
ATHLETICS 200/1
MARINERS 300/1
TWINS 300/1
ROCKIES 1000/1
CUBS 1000/1
PADRES 1000/1
ASTROS 1000/1

2012 NATIONAL LEAGUE PENNANT

NATIONALS 7/2
GIANTS 4/1
REDS 4/1
CARDINALS 5/1
BRAVES 7/1
DIAMONDBACKS 9/1
DODGERS 9/1
METS 13/1
PIRATES 13/1
PHILLIES 20/1
MARLINS 20/1
BREWERS 40/1
CUBS 400/1
ROCKIES 400/1
PADRES 400/1
ASTROS 400/1

2012 AMERICAN LEAGUE PENNANT

RANGERS 11/5
YANKEES 5/2
ANGELS 5/1
TIGERS 6/1
RED SOX 7/1
RAYS 10/1
WHITE SOX 12/1
INDIANS 12/1
ORIOLES 25/1
BLUE JAYS 35/1
ROYALS 50/1
ATHLETICS 100/1
TWINS 150/1
MARINERS 150/1

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:46 PM

Giants, Nats begin 3-game set Tuesday in D.C.


SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (45-35)

at WASHINGTON NATIONALS (45-32)


First pitch: Tuesday, 6:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Washington -120, San Francisco +110, Total: 7

Tim Lincecum seeks his third straight quality start when his Giants begin a three-game set in the nation’s capital between a pair of division leaders on Tuesday night.

San Francisco has won seven of its past 10 games to surpass the slumping Dodgers in the NL West, while Washington has won four of six to open a 3½-game lead over the Mets in the NL East. For Lincecum to keep his resurgence going, he’ll have to limit a Nationals lineup that has been mashing the ball during their past six games, averaging 8.5 runs per game with a .345 BA and 1.002 OPS. The Giants offense has not been nearly as potent in its past six contests with only 2.7 runs per game and a .719 OPS. Don’t expect these numbers to rise against Nationals right-hander Jordan Zimmermann, who has twirled five straight quality starts, carting a 2.73 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. And since 2010, Lincecum has not pitched well against the Nats, saddled with a 7.02 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP in these three starts. As slight favorites, take WASHINGTON to win.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Nationals:

Play On - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (WASHINGTON) - with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games, in July games. (137-62 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +53.6 units. Rating = 3*).

Lincecum (3-8, 5.60 ERA, 1.49 WHIP) has been awful this season, but looked like his old dominant self his last time out against the Dodgers when he threw seven shutout innings, allowing just four hits and two walks, while fanning eight. He also struck out eight Oakland batters his previous outing, allowing three runs on three hits in six innings. But strikeouts have not been the problem for the former Cy Young, as he’s mowed down 99 in 90 innings this season. That strikeout rate has been even better on the road (11.8 K’s/9), but his other away numbers are terrible (7.59 ERA, 1.64 WHIP). However, he has enjoyed pitching in D.C. in his career, posting a 2.66 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 19 K’s and just two walks in three starts in the nation’s capital.

Zimmermann (4-6, 2.77 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) has pitched much better than his record would indicate and his Nationals are 8-7 in his 15 starts. Washington’s bullpen has been strong this season with a 3.07 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, numbers that are even better in their home park (2.95 ERA, 1.18 WHIP). The Nats bullpen knows they won’t have to pick Zimmermann up for too long considering he has pitched between six and seven innings in all 15 of his starts in 2012. Zimmermann has not allowed more than four runs in any of these outings, including 10 starts where he’s given up two earned runs or less. Although he’s 0-3 in seven starts at Nationals Park this season, his home numbers are still pretty strong (3.25 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, .236 opponents’ BA). He’s also been great in his past three starts versus San Francisco, allowing just five runs and 14 hits in 19 innings (2.37 ERA, 0.90 WHIP).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:48 PM

Tuesday’s betting tips: Mets-Phillies matchups playing over

Who’s hot

MLB: The over is 22-4-2 in the last 28 meetings between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies.

MLB: Rangers are 17-5 in their last 22 games on grass.

WNBA: Silver Stars are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Who’s not

MLB: Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 overall.

MLB: Over is 3-9 in the Chicago White Sox's last 12.

WNBA: Mercury are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. Western Conference.

Key stat

7 – The Texas Rangers have won seven consecutive series, which is the third-longest such streak in franchise history. The Rangers won eight straight series back in 1977 and again in 2010.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Candice Dupree, Phoenix Mercury – Dupree is questionable for Tuesday’s game against San Antonio with a left knee contusion. She’s averaging 15.8 points and 5.8 rebounds per contest this year.

Game of the day

Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers (130, 6.5)

Notable quotable

"I have no indication at all that anything is too late for anything. We stay optimistic that we're going to keep him in our uniform. And that's the bottom line. Whether we can do it or not, I don't know, but we stay optimistic that we will." – Philadelphia Phillies GM Ruben Amaro Jr. about trying to keep starting pitcher Cole Hamels as the trade deadline approaches.

Notes and tips

A deal that would have had the Houston Astros trading Carlos Lee to the Los Angeles Dodgers appears to be off. Lee was presented with the deal before Sunday’s game against the Cubs but when he didn’t immediately waive his no-trade clause, the Astros decided to pull the deal off the table.

Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard has requested a trade and specifically wants to wear a Brooklyn Nets jersey next season. Magic GM Rob Hennigan hasn’t agreed to comply with Howard’s request as of yet. “There’s only one team on my list and if I don’t get traded there, I’ll play the season out and explore my free agency after that,” Howard told Yahoo! Sports.

Michael Phelps is backing out of one of his individual events for the Olympics, dropping him to seven instead of eight in London later this month. His coach, Bob Bowman, said Monday on Twitter that Phelps won’t try to duplicate his individual feat of eight golds in Beijing in 2008. Phelps will not swim the 200-meter freestyle after beating rival Ryan Lochte in that event at the U.S. Olympic trials last week in Omaha, Neb. With 16 Olympic medals, Phelps is two away from tying the record set in the 1950s and 1960s by former Soviet gymnast Larisa Latynina. Fourteen of Phelps’ medals are gold.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:50 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

PGA Tour leaders on par-3 holes this season.........rank on $$$ list

-- Richard Lee 154 holes, 459 strokes (-3). $175,153 (168th)

-- Dicky Pride 128 holes 381 strokes (-3). 1,088,363 (50th)

-- Keegan Bradley 228 holes, 682 strokes (-2). 1,764,635 (27th)

-- Luke Donald 140 holes, 418 strokes (-2). 2,294,506 (13th)

-- Brandt Snedeker 166 holes, 496 strokes (-2). 1,757,814 (28th)

-- Sean O’Hair 223 holes, 669 strokes (even). 842,387 (69th)


*************


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) MLB took All-Star voting away from the fans in the mid-50’s, because fans in Cincinnati made a mockery of the process by stuffing ballot boxes for the Reds.

Well, Giant fans are following that same path; Freddy Sanchez finished 4th in the 2B balloting, and he hasn’t played yet this season. Brandon Belt got over a million more votes than Albert Pujols. Would it kill people to actually try to vote for the players having the best seasons?

12) Along those lines, it would help if teams didn’t run TV commercials asking fans to vote for their hometown guys. If this game means so much (home field in World Series) it’d be nice if the best players played in it. Then again, having the game mean anything is stupid, too.

11) Forget that Michael Vick’s wedding cost $300,000, because once he’s paid his creditors off, what he does with his money is his own business; but lets say you have an adult daughter, and she comes home one day and tells you she is dating Michael Vick, or any pro athlete. Would you be happy about this?

I don’t have kids so I’m not qualified to give an answer, but I’m guessing most people with kids would be a little leery of one of their children joining life in the fast lane.

10) Ryan Zimmerman was 2 for his last 31 before he got a cortisone shot in his sore right shoulder before last Sunday’s game; he was 12-33 this past week, with 12 RBI and 25 total bases. Thank the lord for modern medicine.

9) Charles Howell III has made 11 eagles on the PGA Tour this season, more than any other golfer.

8) Hornets’ Anthony Davis, #1 pick in the NBA Draft, has a badly sprained ankle and won’t be playing ball anytime soon, which means no Olympics. Wonder if the Hornets are quietly happy that happened?

7) Attention magnet Bobby Valentine is the executive director of a controversial new documentary about baseball in Latin America, called “Ballplayer: Pelotero”.

It deals with how good young baseball talent is recruited and signed south of the border. Put it this way; people in the Commissioner’s Office are paying attention, and they're not happy.

Movie is being released July 13; they should’ve released it July 11, the night after the All-Star Game, there are no MLB games the 11th or 12th.

6) Apparently, the NCAA Recruiting Calendar says unofficial recruiting visits to campuses are allowed until July 5. NCAA Manual says no visits are allowed in July. Whoops.

Chaos is ensuing amongst college coaches and compliance officers. People are unsure what to do. Smart coaches will schedule unofficial visits, then recoil in mock horror and point to the Recruiting Calendar if they get called on it. Someone's got some 'splainin' to do.....

5) This is the 40th year of the DH; as a fan of an American League team, I don’t like it. Think it cheapens the game. But I do like the DH better when teams use it as a way to rest a starter but still give him AB’s, instead of having some washed-up slugger who doesn’t own a glove as a full-time DH.

Just think baseball is a better game without the DH, but its not going away, especially considering how starved the game is for offense.

4) I wouldn’t mind if they ended the rule that mandated each team have at least one player at the All-Star Game; that way, spots on the team would mean more. Does a team that loses 110 games need a guy there?

3) Do you think MLB’s powers-that-be are surprised with how popular the Home Run Derby has become? I’d like to see non-All Stars included in HR Derby, that way guys like Bryce Harper, Yeonis Cespedes and Paul Goldschmidt could still be a part of the All-Star experience.

2) Still debating whether to go to the US Olympic hoop game in Las Vegas next week, against John Calipari’s Dominican Republic squad. If my flight’s on time, I’ll probably get a couple hot dogs and sit in the upper level. Good way to start my summer vacation.

1) The hell with being Vice President, this Governor Christie from New Jersey should be President. He speaks his mind, he gets mad in front of the camera, he seems less phony than most politicians. All of which will get him disqualified in this political era, where sanitized game show host types who say nothing are the norm rather than the exception. Too bad.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:50 PM

Public opinion: Texas-Chicago bettors eye total

MLB:

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox (-125, 9)

Roy Oswalt picked up his second win in a Rangers uniform last week, but he did get swatted around a bit. Oswalt gave up 13 hits and five earned runs over six innings of a 13-9 victory over Detroit. Meanwhile, Chris Sale is getting ready to head to his first All Star Game and has allowed more than three runs just once in hist last eight starts. Most of the recent meetings between the two teams have seen 9.5-run totals, so maybe that’s why early bettors like the over here.

Consensus: Over, 62 percent


WNBA:

Phoenix Mercury at San Antonio Silver Stars (-13.5, 167)

San Antonio is on a major roll, having covered in eight of their last nine and 16 of their last 21 overall. The Silver Stars average almost 82 points per game and have played over the total in six consecutive contests. Meanwhile, Phoenix has topped the total in five straight games.

Consensus: Over 53 percent

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:25161 Followers:33
07/03/2012 03:52 PM

Here you go, Pitt. We're back in business on those ump trends:

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, July 3

Hot pitchers
-- Burnett is 7-0, 2.36 in his last seven starts. Harrell allowed one run in 16 IP in his last two starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts. Zimmerman is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three outings.
-- Niese is 2-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
-- Jurrjens is 1-0, 2.03 in two starts since coming back from minors.
-- Francis is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
-- Cashner is 0-0, 3.12 in two starts this season.
-- Cueto is 4-1, 1.96 in his last five starts. Capuano is 1-1, 2.05 in his last three starts.

-- McAllister is 1-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Nova is 3-0, 1.51 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts. Texas won Oswalt's first two starts (1-0, 4.26), scoring 17 runs.
-- Colon was 2-2, 3.27 in his last four starts before going on DL.
-- Seattle won last three Hernandez starts (2-0, 0.78).

Cold pitchers
-- ASanchez is 1-3, 7.06 in his last five starts. Estrada is 0-3, 5.52 in his last six starts.
-- Worley is 1-2, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Volstad was 0-6, 7.90 in eight starts before getting sent to minors.
-- Kelly is 1-1, 3.80 in his four starts this season.
-- Bauer allowed two runs in four IP (74 PT) in his first MLB start before leaving with a strained leg muscle.

-- Haren has a 7.94 RA in his last four starts.
-- Blackburn has a 7.71 RA in his last four starts. Below was 0-1, 6.52 in two starts LY; he's thrown 33.2 innings in his 21 games this year, all in relief (2-1, 2.70).
-- Shields is 1-3, 6.21 in his last six starts.
-- Cecil is 1-1, 6.06 in three starts for Toronto. Mazzaro is 1-2, 9.58 in his last three starts.
-- Lester has a 5.72 RA in his last eight starts.
-- WChen is 2-2, 4.74 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates won five of their last six games.
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Cubs won six of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee/Miami both won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Padres are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Reds won three of their last four games.

-- Angels won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Twins won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won 17 of their last 23 games.
-- Texas won five of its last six games. White Sox won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven home games. Red Sox won 13 of their last 19 games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Houston was outscored 44-12 in losing its last seven road games.
-- Phillies lost their last five games, allowing 30 runs.
-- Atlanta lost ten of its last thirteen home games.
-- Colorado lost 19 of its last 25 games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven games.
-- Dodgers lost 13 of their last 16 games.

-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Tigers are 6-7 in their last thirteen games.
-- Toronto lost five of its last seven games. Royals are 6-8 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Tampa Bay lost nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Mariners lost 14 of their last 22 games; Baltimore lost seven of its last nine games.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight games at Miller Park went over.
-- 13 of last 17 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six San Francisco games.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten St Louis games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-6 in last fifteen San Diego games.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Cincinnati games.

-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Angel games.
-- Eight of last twelve Kansas City road games stayed under.
-- Ten of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in last dozen White Sox games.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Oakland games.
-- Eight of last nine Seattle games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Mia-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Kulpa games.
-- SF-Wsh-- Don't know who the umpires are here.
-- Hst-Pitt-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Davis games.
-- Phil-NY-- No idea who the umpires are for this game.
-- Chi-Atl-- Six of last eight Dimuro games stayed under.
-- Col-StL-- Last eight TWelke games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Az-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Cederstrom games.
-- Cin-LA-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Nelson games.

-- LA-Cle-- Home side won nine of last eleven Davidson games.
-- Min-Det-- Underdogs won four of last six Nauert games.
-- KC-Tor-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Hernandez games.
-- NY-TB-- Five of last six Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Tex-Chi-- Don't know who the umpires are for this game.
-- Bos-A's-- Six of last eight O'Nora games went over the total.
-- Balt-Sea-- Four of last five Winters games stayed under total.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: