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MLB rounding the bases: This week’s best MLB betting trends
By RYAN STETSON
Here's a look at this week's best betting trends in MLB. All stats compiled ahead of Monday's action.
Hot team: San Francisco Giants
This season: 45-35, 8.67 units
Last 10: 7-3
This week’s schedule: At Washington, at Pittsburgh
The Giants split a weekend set at home against Cincinnati and now head to Washington for three games against the NL East-leading Nationals. The good news for Giants supporters is it looks like they’ll miss the front end of Washington’s rotation, meaning they likely won’t have to deal with Strasburg and Gonzalez. The Giants put together four straight shutouts during this hot streak though the club’s offense is still a concern, putting up just 3.96 runs per game this season. Tim Lincecum takes the ball in the series opener looking to follow up his best start of the season, a seven-inning blanking of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Cold team: Los Angeles Dodgers
This season: 44-36, 5.84 units
Last 10 games: 2-8
This week’s schedule: Home vs. Cincinnati, at San Diego
The Dodgers went into Monday’s action just one game behind the NL West-leading Giants even though they had lost eight of their last 10. Before they broke out with eight runs in Sunday’s win over the New York Mets, the Dodgers had been shut out in five of six games. Even though sluggers Matt Kemp and Andre Either are getting closer to returning to the lineup, Los Angeles continues to search for a big bat ahead of the trade deadline. A possible deal for Houston’s Carlos Lee fell through over the weekend.
Over team: Toronto Blue Jays
O/U this season: 40-34-5
O/U last 10 games: 7-2-1
This week’s schedule: Home vs. Kansas City, at Detroit
The Blue Jays went into Monday’s action having seen the over cash in each of their last five games. On Sunday, they went into the eighth inning tied 3-3 with the Angels. Then the bullpen imploded again as the Angels ran away with a 10-6 victory. Toronto’s bullpen ranks 21st in the league with a 4.13 ERA and with an offense that averages 5.04 runs per game and has hit 117 homers, over bettors love the Jays. Slugger Jose Bautista may only be hitting .239, but he hit 14 home runs in June and already has 63 RBI this season. Toronto has won four consecutive games against Kansas City, though just one of those played over its posted total.
Under team: Minnesota Twins
O/U this season: 36-38-4
O/U last 10 games: 2-8
This week’s schedule: At Detroit, At Texas
Eight of Minnesota’s last nine games had played under the total before the Twins came out on the good end of a wild 10-8 decision against Kansas City. They swatted four homers in that one, but have hit just 67 dingers this season (ranking 24th) and average only 4.17 runs per game. They were stuck in the basement of the AL Central, 8.5 games off the pace as they look for their second four-game winning streak of the season Monday night in Detroit. The Tigers have been just as good to under bettors lately, cashing in eight of their last 10 as well.
Tuesday’s betting tips: Mets-Phillies matchups playing over
MLB: The over is 22-4-2 in the last 28 meetings between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies.
MLB: Rangers are 17-5 in their last 22 games on grass.
WNBA: Silver Stars are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
MLB: Phillies are 8-20 in their last 28 overall.
MLB: Over is 3-9 in the Chicago White Sox's last 12.
WNBA: Mercury are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. Western Conference.
7 – The Texas Rangers have won seven consecutive series, which is the third-longest such streak in franchise history. The Rangers won eight straight series back in 1977 and again in 2010.
Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked
Candice Dupree, Phoenix Mercury – Dupree is questionable for Tuesday’s game against San Antonio with a left knee contusion. She’s averaging 15.8 points and 5.8 rebounds per contest this year.
Game of the day
Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers (130, 6.5)
"I have no indication at all that anything is too late for anything. We stay optimistic that we're going to keep him in our uniform. And that's the bottom line. Whether we can do it or not, I don't know, but we stay optimistic that we will." – Philadelphia Phillies GM Ruben Amaro Jr. about trying to keep starting pitcher Cole Hamels as the trade deadline approaches.
Notes and tips
A deal that would have had the Houston Astros trading Carlos Lee to the Los Angeles Dodgers appears to be off. Lee was presented with the deal before Sunday’s game against the Cubs but when he didn’t immediately waive his no-trade clause, the Astros decided to pull the deal off the table.
Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard has requested a trade and specifically wants to wear a Brooklyn Nets jersey next season. Magic GM Rob Hennigan hasn’t agreed to comply with Howard’s request as of yet. “There’s only one team on my list and if I don’t get traded there, I’ll play the season out and explore my free agency after that,” Howard told Yahoo! Sports.
Michael Phelps is backing out of one of his individual events for the Olympics, dropping him to seven instead of eight in London later this month. His coach, Bob Bowman, said Monday on Twitter that Phelps won’t try to duplicate his individual feat of eight golds in Beijing in 2008. Phelps will not swim the 200-meter freestyle after beating rival Ryan Lochte in that event at the U.S. Olympic trials last week in Omaha, Neb. With 16 Olympic medals, Phelps is two away from tying the record set in the 1950s and 1960s by former Soviet gymnast Larisa Latynina. Fourteen of Phelps’ medals are gold.
-- Burnett is 7-0, 2.36 in his last seven starts. Harrell allowed one run in 16 IP in his last two starts.
-- Lincecum is 1-0, 2.08 in his last couple starts. Zimmerman is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three outings.
-- Niese is 2-0, 2.03 in his last two starts.
-- Jurrjens is 1-0, 2.03 in two starts since coming back from minors.
-- Francis is 1-0, 1.69 in his last three starts.
-- Cashner is 0-0, 3.12 in two starts this season.
-- Cueto is 4-1, 1.96 in his last five starts. Capuano is 1-1, 2.05 in his last three starts.
-- McAllister is 1-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Cecil is 1-0, 2.45 in his first two starts this season.
-- Nova is 3-0, 1.51 in his last five starts.
-- Sale is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts. Texas won Oswalt's first two starts (1-0, 4.26), scoring 17 runs.
-- Colon was 2-2, 3.27 in his last four starts before going on DL.
-- Seattle won last three Hernandez starts (2-0, 0.78).
-- ASanchez is 1-3, 7.06 in his last five starts. Estrada is 0-3, 5.52 in his last six starts.
-- Worley is 1-2, 4.20 in his last five starts.
-- Volstad was 0-6, 7.90 in eight starts before getting sent to minors.
-- Kelly is 1-1, 3.80 in his four starts this season.
-- Bauer allowed two runs in four IP (74 PT) in his first MLB start before leaving with a strained leg muscle.
-- Haren has a 7.94 RA in his last four starts.
-- Blackburn has a 7.71 RA in his last four starts. Below was 0-1, 6.52 in two starts LY; he's thrown 33.2 innings in his 21 games this year, all in relief (2-1, 2.70).
-- Shields is 1-3, 6.21 in his last six starts.
-- Mazzaro is 1-2, 9.58 in his last three starts.
-- Lester has a 5.72 RA in his last eight starts.
-- WChen is 2-2, 4.74 in his last four starts.
-- Giants won five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates won five of their last six games.
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Cubs won six of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee/Miami both won four of their last five games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Padres are 9-5 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Reds won three of their last four games.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Twins won their last four games, scoring 28 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won 17 of their last 23 games.
-- Texas won five of its last six games. White Sox won three of their last four home games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven home games. Red Sox won 13 of their last 19 games.
-- Nationals lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Houston was outscored 44-12 in losing its last seven road games.
-- Phillies lost their last five games, allowing 30 runs.
-- Atlanta lost ten of its last thirteen home games.
-- Colorado lost 19 of its last 25 games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven games.
-- Dodgers lost 13 of their last 16 games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Tigers are 6-7 in their last thirteen games.
-- Toronto lost five of its last seven games. Royals are 6-8 in their last fourteen road games.
-- Tampa Bay lost nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Mariners lost 14 of their last 22 games; Baltimore lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Seven of last eight games at Miller Park went over.
-- 13 of last 17 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six San Francisco games.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten St Louis games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-6 in last fifteen San Diego games.
-- Under is 10-2-1 in last thirteen Cincinnati games.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Angel games.
-- Eight of last twelve Kansas City road games stayed under.
-- Ten of last thirteen Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Bronx games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in last dozen White Sox games.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in last fifteen Oakland games.
-- Eight of last nine Seattle games stayed under the total.
-- Mia-Mil-- Underdogs won five of last seven Kulpa games.
-- SF-Wsh-- Don't know who the umpires are here.
-- Hst-Pitt-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Davis games.
-- Phil-NY-- No idea who the umpires are for this game.
-- Chi-Atl-- Six of last eight Dimuro games stayed under.
-- Col-StL-- Last eight TWelke games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Az-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Cederstrom games.
-- Cin-LA-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Nelson games.
-- LA-Cle-- Home side won nine of last eleven Davidson games.
-- Min-Det-- Underdogs won four of last six Nauert games.
-- KC-Tor-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Hernandez games.
-- NY-TB-- Five of last six Holbrook games went over the total.
-- Tex-Chi-- Don't know who the umpires are for this game.
-- Bos-A's-- Six of last eight O'Nora games went over the total.
-- Balt-Sea-- Four of last five Winters games stayed under total.