cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
On 07/01/2012 10:34 AM in MLB

Cnotes Sunday's MLB & WNBA Best Bets !

Pitchers Report - July

June 30, 2012

Firecrackers and the MLB All-Star game signal the month of July. It also signifies the start of the 2nd half of the MLB campaign. The key to each and every team's fortune lies on the pitching staff. Can they sustain or will they fold like a deck of cards? Stay tuned. What we do know is certain pitchers love hurling this time of the season while others tend to get lit up like a roman candle on the 4th of July.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of July. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in July team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each July over the last three years.

I’ll be back next month with August’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

Beckett, Josh: 10-2
Notes - Beckett returns after going on the disabled listed on June 11th with shoulder inflammation. The Red Sox right-hander's season has mirrored that of his team. Sometimes brilliant, sometimes dreadful and sometimes injured. If Boston is going to secure a wild card spot and fight for the AL East lead, they will need the Beckett of old starting this month, with a sharp breaking pitches complimented by spotting the fastball on the corners.

Buehrle, Mark: 12-4
Notes - The Miami left-hander has gotten a lot heat for his record, but the numbers tell a different story. Buehrle leads Marlins starting pitchers in almost every positive category and his peripheral numbers compare almost exactly with how he pitched in Chicago. What has hurt Buehrle more than anything is a lack of run support. The way he holds down lefty hitters (.215 batting average), if the Miami bats start to score runs, July should be terrific like usual for the Missouri native.

Burnett, A. J.: 10-5
Notes - Some people are just not made for the Big Apple and quite possibly, Burnett is one of those types. After three undistinguished seasons with the Yankees, A.J. is having a career year with Pittsburgh. Maybe it's the cool necklace the 35-year old veteran is wearing, but his batting average allowed and WHIP numbers are his best since he was a Blue Jay in 2007. More than anything, Burnett has regained his confidence and he loves PNC Park, where he has a smokin' 1.11 ERA.

Cain, Matt: 11-5
Notes - The San Francisco pitcher signed a large contract earlier this year and is making the front office look like it made a wise decision. Cain is on pace to shatter his career win total of 14 in 2009 and as July starts, opposing batters are below the Mendoza Line at .195 (batting average) against. Though his velocity is the same, he's averaging a strikeout an inning, which is his highest mark as a major-leaguer.

Hamels, Cole: 12-5
Notes - As bad as Philadelphia has been this season, just think where they would be without Cole Hamels. The port-sider has been remarkably consistent for a Phillies offense that has yo-yo tendencies. Hamels is already two-thirds of the way to his career-high in wins of 15 and having survived June (ordinarily his worst month), he and the Phillies should make a move the next 31 days.

Johnson, Josh: 11-3
Notes - It has been coming together for the 6'7" Johnson, whose made five consecutive quality starts and is 4-2 with a nifty 2.56 ERA and a 51/17 KW ratio since May 4. After finding a lot of bats to start the year, the hard-throwing Johnson has been able to spot his fastball low in the zone with movement and his normally hard slider has the late-breaking action once again.

Jurrjens, Jair: 12-4
Notes - After a horrible start to the season, Jurrjens returned from a trip to Triple-A, pitching like the same Braves pitcher from the prior four seasons. Jurrjens' velocity has been down since he suffered a right knee injury in 2010 and his stint in the minor leagues has been about relearning how to pitch, regaining confidence and better utilizing his secondary pitches to throw strikes and induce ground balls. Let's see how he fares this month.

Kershaw, Clayton: 11-5
Notes - The 24-year Dallas native has not received much run support and made costly errors at the wrong times. Where this shows up for Kershaw is being taken yard, as he's permitted 11 homers in 2012, compared to 15 all last season. In looking for bright spot, Kershaw's strikeouts per nine innings continue to rise and if the Dodgers find some offense, the lefty could shine.

Lincecum, Tim: 11-5
Notes - One of the biggest mysteries of the season has been the Giants two-time Cy Young winner. He went 10 starts without a victory (0-6), putting together a ridiculous 6.23 ERA. There have been more theories as to what Lincecum's problems have been than an Arthur Conan Doyle book. The fact is he's made mistakes in the zone that have been hit in the air more than in the past, which suggests less sink on his pitches. This is bore out in having his lowest ground ball-to-fly ball ratios since he was rookie. The diminutive Lincecum threw more like his old self in his last June outing and deserves a wait and see approach.

Morrow, Brandon: 8-4
Notes - The Blue Jays hurler went on the DL on June 13, with a left oblique strain. In late June he started to play "light catch", however, there is no exact timetable for his return, which is too bad since he was having a breakout campaign.

Pavano, Carl: 11-5
Notes - The veteran right-hander has a right anterior capsular strain in his throwing shoulder, which likely has been bothering him since early May. Minnesota officially shut him down the first part of June, when a MRI proved the extent of the injury. Pavano first has to rebuild the strength in the damaged area before doing any throwing.

Sabathia, CC: 12-5
Notes - The Yankees ace has a groin strain and is on the DL. He is presumed to return after the All-Star break and build on another typical Sabathia season.

Weaver, Jered: 12-6
Notes - The only heavenly aspect of the Angels sickly start of the season was their No.1 pitcher, Jered Weaver. The SoCal native has truly unique skills to work both sides of the plate, change speeds to throw strikes on any count and identify weakness in hitters where he be pitch them going up the ladder (move the ball from low to high in the strike zone) for punch-outs. Though right-handed hitters are only batting .236 against Weaver, left-hand batters are a feeble .169 against his tosses. At the Big A in Anaheim, his ERA is an insane 0.70 this season.

BAD MONTH PITCHERS

Hernandez, Livan: 5-11
Notes - Hernandez made 18 relief appearances for Atlanta this season and was picked up by Milwaukee last month, being another pitching staff leaking oil because of injuries. If the Brewers are so desperate they have to start the Cuban native at this point of his 16-year career, an expected result will likely follow.

Vargas, Jason: 3-12
Notes - The Seattle lefty slinger is a fly ball pitcher, which makes him prone to extra-base hits and balls flying over fences. This has been especially true this season, as Vargas has been taken deep 21 times, compared to 22 all of last year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:38 AM

Sunday's betting tips: Winds blowing in at Arlington

Weather to watch

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs – There’s a 30 percent chance of precipitation at Wrigley on Sunday with the forecast calling for a chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers – It’ll be hot but the wind is blowing in south by southeast at around 15 mph. That should turn some big flies into fly-outs.

Who’s hot

The Los Angeles Angels are 14-2 in their last 16 road games.

The San Antonio Silver Stars are 7-1 against the spread over their last eight games and 9-2 ATS on the season.

Who’s not

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 0-6 in their last six games and just 1-10 in their last 11.

The Washington Mystic are 1-9 straight up in their last 10 games and 0-5 against the number over their last five.

Key stat

Spain has allowed just 12 shots on target in five games at Euro 2012. Half of those allowed shots (6) on target came in its first game against Italy.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jordan Hall, Ohio State RB – The Buckeyes’ projected starting tailback is out 10 weeks after undergoing surgery on his right foot. This means he’ll likely miss at least OSU’s first two games of the season (Miami Ohio and Central Florida).

Game of the day

Spain vs. Italy

Notable quotable

“We’re playing for history on Sunday, it’s something that will never be surpassed as no other national team has managed it before and we have the chance now to do it." – Spain defender Sergio Ramos on his team’s chance to repeat as European Champion while sitting as the reigning World Cup champion.

Notes and tips

St. Louis Rams new head coach Jeff Fisher pointed out that the Rams have been really bad lately. Not news but this state he threw out to the Tennessean was pretty cool: “No team in NFL history has lost more games in a five-year span than the Rams the last five years.” Think he’s asking fans to lower their expectations for the season. Vegas has St. Louis’ win total set at 5.5.

Gio Gonzalez takes the mound tomorrow and that’s good news for Washington backers. The Nationals are 12-3 in Gonzalez’s 15 starts this season and he hasn’t been priced higher than -161 to date. The Nats are +110 road underdogs tomorrow against the Atlanta Braves.

The Minnesota Lynx, the best team in the WNBA, are just 3.5-point favorites tomorrow against the San Antonio Silver Stars. The spread opened at Minny -4 but has been bet down to -3.5. Surprising move considering the Lynx are the defending champions and are off to one of the all-time great season starts in WNBA history.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:40 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

-- Since 2002, Oklahoma Sooners covered 59.3% of home games, 45.2% of road games, the biggest discrepancy of any college football team.

-- On the other hand, Navy covered 59.3% of its road games, only 45.3% at home, which is good. You want a military that travels well.

-- Marlins' Giancarlo Stanton was once offered a basketball scholarship to UNLV. Good thing for Ozzie Guillen he turned it down.

-- 48 poker players put up $1M apiece to play in this huge tourney in Las Vegas this week. Who puts up a million of their own money?

-- Erin Andrews' leaving ESPN seems like the female version of McLean Stevenson leaving M*A*S*H*. What else does she do?

-- Duke basketball poached another transfer, this time a very good one, Rodney Hood from Miss State. Guess taking the Curry kid from Liberty wasn't bold enough. Now they're raiding SEC rosters.


*************


Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Thinking out loud on Canada Day.......

13) First of all, Happy Canada Day to our friends north of the border; this is the day when the Raptors make Steve Nash their pitch for him to join a Toronto squad that could use a boost from the greatest Canadian hooper of all-time (hey, James Naismith was Canadian, too).

Raptors are using Wayne Gretzky as a helper in the recruiting process. Will be fun to see where Nash winds up.

12) Today is also when Carlos Lee will decide whether or not to accept his trade to the Dodgers; from what I've read, LA may be better off without a guy who apparently places little value on winning. Lot of guys would have jumped on the first plane in order to play for a pennant contender this late in their career. Lee is milking the moment. Who needs him?.

11) Dodgers are unspeakably bad; they've lost seven games in a row, scoring a total of two runs. Their defense is awful; the eight position players they start games with these days might not win the AAA World Series. This is why they're trying so hard to add a better bat, to tide them over until they get Kemp/Ethier back in the lineup. .

10) Orioles unveiled a statue honoring former manager Earl Weaver, before they traded for Jim Thome to help them at DH. Busy day in Baltimore.

9) In his last three starts, Lance Lynn of St Louis has allowed 32 runners and 17 earned runs in 15.1 IP. Not good.

8) Aaron Cook's 81-pitch complete game Friday was first shutout in major leagues in 10 years where the pitcher didn't induce one swing/miss. Scott Erickson was the last pitcher to accomplish that unusual feat.

7) Toronto Blue Jays are over a million fans in their first 37 home games, the first time they've done that since 1998.

6) Phillies' 9-19 record in June was their worst month since September of 2000, when they went 9-20.

5) Carl Crawford is 3-14 in five rehab games with the Gulf Coast Red Sox, which doesn't make this fantasy team owner feel any better. At least I'm not paying the guy $20M a year, like Boston is.

4) Seattle Mariners are one of the few teams that doesn't put a shift on for David Ortiz. M's are 3-3 this week, despite scoring 8 runs in six games.

3) Stephen Strasburg left Saturday's game with heat-related issues, which is FOX's fault. If FOX didn't have the 7-10 pm window to themselves, the Braves play a night game Saturday, and that doesn't happen. Teams want to televise their games, so an eastern team has to play a day game, despite the temperature on the dugout floors approaching 120 degrees.

Saturday was the hottest day in the history of Georgia, as far as recorded temperatures go back.

2) San Diego's rookie catcher Yasmani Grandal is the first player in major league history whose first two big league hits were both homers, one from the left side of the plate, the other from the right side. Wow.

1) Before Saturday, last big leaguer whose first two hits were homers was JC Arencibia of Toronto, another catcher, who did it August 7, 2010.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:41 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Washington at Atlanta
The Nationals look to build on their 5-0 record in Gio Gonzalez' last 5 road starts. Washington is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Nationals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 1

Game 951-952: Philadelphia at Miam (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 13.716; Miami (Nolasco) 14.583
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Miami (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-125); Over

Game 953-954: Washington at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.857; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.207
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Over

Game 955-956: Arizona at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 15.942; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.669
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+135); Under

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Bedard) 15.148; St. Louis (Westbrook) 15.329
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under

Game 959-960: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 13.840; Cubs (Wood) 14.748
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-120); N/A

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Wells) 15.309; Colorado (Pomeranz) 14.488
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 12
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+130); Under

Game 963-964: Cincinnati at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 16.128; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.115
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Under

Game 965-966: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 15.614; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.852
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Under

Game 967-968: Cleveland at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 14.035; Baltimore (Matusz) 1.4810
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Detroit at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 15.013; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 13.796
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under

Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.966; NY Yankees (Hughes) 17.079
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Under

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 14.797; Minnesota (Liriano) 13.973
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

Game 975-976: LA Angels at Toronto (3:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.861; Toronto (Laffey) 16.246
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+130); Under

Game 977-978: Boston at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 16.424; Seattle (Vargas) 15.182
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-125); Over

Game 979-980: Oakland at Texas (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blackley) 14.927; Texas (Darvish) 16.411
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-220); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-220); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:43 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, July 1

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 2-2, 1.98 in his last four home starts. Phillies won Blanton's last four starts (3-0, 4.25), scoring 30 runs.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 2.25 in his last four starts. GGonzalez is 3-1, 4.44 in his last four outings.
-- Wood has a 2.27 RA in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals won last three Westbrook starts (2-0, 2.57).
-- Vogelsong is 3-1, 1.90 in his last six starts.
-- Niese is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts. Kershaw has a 1.93 RA in his last two starts.

-- Masterson is 2-2, 1.86 in his last four starts.
-- Floyd is 2-0, 0.00 (13.1 IP) in his last couple starts. Hughes is 4-1, 2.67 in his last five starts.
-- BChen is 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts. Liriano is 1-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Wilson is 5-0, 1.68 in his last seven starts. Laffey blanked Boston for six innings in his first '12 start, at Fenway.
-- Blackley is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three starts. Darvish is 3-0, 3.13 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Collmenter is 0-2, 8.87 in five starts this season. Gallardo is 2-2, 4.26 in his last five starts.
-- Bedard is 0-2, 7.05 in his last three starts.
-- WRodriguez has a 7.46 RA in his last six starts.
-- Pomeranz is 0-2, 5.09 in five starts this season. KWells allowed five runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 5.66 in his last six starts.

-- Matusz is 0-4, 8.83 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 1-4, 5.88 in his last five starts. Smyly is 0-2, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 0-3, 7.56 in his last four starts. Doubrant is 2-2, 7.43 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won their last three games, allowing seven runs.
-- Cubs won four of their last five games.
-- Pirates won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Padres are 7-5 in their last dozen road games.
-- Mets won their last four games, allowing three runs.
-- Reds won first two games of San Francisco series, 5-1/2-1.

-- Toronto won five of its last six home games. Angels won nine of their last thirteen games, but lost last two.
-- Bronx Bombers won 16 of their last 21 games, White Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Red Sox won 12 of their last 17 games.

Cold Teams
-- Houston was outscored 30-10 in losing its last five road games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last ten away games.
-- Cardinals lost last three games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Atlanta lost eight of its last eleven home games. This is last game of road trip for Washington (4-5 on trip so far).
-- Colorado lost 17 of its last 23 games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven away games. Brewers lost five of their last seven games overall.
-- Dodgers lost 12 of last 14 games, scoring two runs in last six games.
-- Giants lost their last two games, scoring two runs.

-- Indians lost nine of their last 12 road games. Baltimore lost five of its last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last eleven games. Tigers lost three of five.
-- Royals are 5-7 in their last dozen road games. Minnesota lost seven of its last 11 home games, but won last two.
-- Oakland lost four of its last five games.
-- Mariners lost 13 of their last 20 games; they're 3-3 this week, despite scoring eight runs in those six games.

Totals
-- 12 of last 15 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Over is 26-9 in Philly's last 35 games.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 11-6-1 in last eighteen Arizona road games.
-- 14 of last 16 Pittsburgh road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Dodgers' last thirteen games.
-- Ten of last eleven Cincinnati games stayed under total.

-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Angel games.
-- Under is 9-4-2 in last fifteen Cleveland road games.
-- Eight of last eleven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Oakland games.
-- Eight of last ten Kansas City road games stayed under.
-- Last eight Seattle games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Pitt-StL-- Four of last five Wolf games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Seven of last ten McClelland games went over.
-- Cin-SF-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Iassogna games.
-- Hst-Chi-- Seven of last nine Everitt games stayed under.
-- Phil-Mia-- Favorites won last six Demuth games.
-- NY-LA-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Randazzo games. 5:00 local time start; shadows could be a factor.
-- Az-Mil-- Four of last five Hickox games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Col-- Six of last eight Carapazza games stayed under total.

-- LA-Tor-- Favorites won six of last seven Hoye games.
-- Chi-NY-- Five of last seven Cooper games went over the total.
-- Clev-Blt-- 12 of last 15 Drake games went over the total.
-- KC-Min-- 14 of 15 Emmel games went over total; they played twinbill Saturday; check late to make sure Emmel is behind plate here.
-- A's-Tex-- Visiting team won six of last nine Gonzalez games.
-- Bos-Sea-- 11 of last 15 Culbreth games went over total.
-- Det-TB-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Muchlinski games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:43 AM

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, July 1

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 2-2, 1.98 in his last four home starts. Phillies won Blanton's last four starts (3-0, 4.25), scoring 30 runs.
-- Hudson is 3-1, 2.25 in his last four starts. GGonzalez is 3-1, 4.44 in his last four outings.
-- Wood has a 2.27 RA in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals won last three Westbrook starts (2-0, 2.57).
-- Vogelsong is 3-1, 1.90 in his last six starts.
-- Niese is 2-0, 2.03 in his last couple starts. Kershaw has a 1.93 RA in his last two starts.

-- Masterson is 2-2, 1.86 in his last four starts.
-- Floyd is 2-0, 0.00 (13.1 IP) in his last couple starts. Hughes is 4-1, 2.67 in his last five starts.
-- BChen is 2-0, 2.13 in his last couple starts. Liriano is 1-0, 2.29 in his last three starts.
-- Wilson is 5-0, 1.68 in his last seven starts. Laffey blanked Boston for six innings in his first '12 start, at Fenway.
-- Blackley is 1-0, 2.14 in his last three starts. Darvish is 3-0, 3.13 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Collmenter is 0-2, 8.87 in five starts this season. Gallardo is 2-2, 4.26 in his last five starts.
-- Bedard is 0-2, 7.05 in his last three starts.
-- WRodriguez has a 7.46 RA in his last six starts.
-- Pomeranz is 0-2, 5.09 in five starts this season. KWells allowed five runs in five IP in his first '12 start.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 5.66 in his last six starts.

-- Matusz is 0-4, 8.83 in his last four starts.
-- Cobb is 1-4, 5.88 in his last five starts. Smyly is 0-2, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- Vargas is 0-3, 7.56 in his last four starts. Doubrant is 2-2, 7.43 in his last four starts.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won their last three games, allowing seven runs.
-- Cubs won four of their last five games.
-- Pirates won ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Padres are 7-5 in their last dozen road games.
-- Mets won their last four games, allowing three runs.
-- Reds won first two games of San Francisco series, 5-1/2-1.

-- Toronto won five of its last six home games. Angels won nine of their last thirteen games, but lost last two.
-- Bronx Bombers won 16 of their last 21 games, White Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Rangers won 13 of their last 15 games.
-- Red Sox won 12 of their last 17 games.

Cold Teams
-- Houston was outscored 30-10 in losing its last five road games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last ten away games.
-- Cardinals lost last three games, allowing 26 runs.
-- Atlanta lost eight of its last eleven home games. This is last game of road trip for Washington (4-5 on trip so far).
-- Colorado lost 17 of its last 23 games.
-- Arizona lost five of its last seven away games. Brewers lost five of their last seven games overall.
-- Dodgers lost 12 of last 14 games, scoring two runs in last six games.
-- Giants lost their last two games, scoring two runs.

-- Indians lost nine of their last 12 road games. Baltimore lost five of its last seven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last eleven games. Tigers lost three of five.
-- Royals are 5-7 in their last dozen road games. Minnesota lost seven of its last 11 home games, but won last two.
-- Oakland lost four of its last five games.
-- Mariners lost 13 of their last 20 games; they're 3-3 this week, despite scoring eight runs in those six games.

Totals
-- 12 of last 15 Houston road games went over the total.
-- Over is 26-9 in Philly's last 35 games.
-- Six of last seven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven games at Coors Field.
-- Under is 11-6-1 in last eighteen Arizona road games.
-- 14 of last 16 Pittsburgh road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in Dodgers' last thirteen games.
-- Ten of last eleven Cincinnati games stayed under total.

-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Angel games.
-- Under is 9-4-2 in last fifteen Cleveland road games.
-- Eight of last eleven White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Oakland games.
-- Eight of last ten Kansas City road games stayed under.
-- Last eight Seattle games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Pitt-StL-- Four of last five Wolf games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Seven of last ten McClelland games went over.
-- Cin-SF-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Iassogna games.
-- Hst-Chi-- Seven of last nine Everitt games stayed under.
-- Phil-Mia-- Favorites won last six Demuth games.
-- NY-LA-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Randazzo games. 5:00 local time start; shadows could be a factor.
-- Az-Mil-- Four of last five Hickox games stayed under the total.
-- SD-Col-- Six of last eight Carapazza games stayed under total.

-- LA-Tor-- Favorites won six of last seven Hoye games.
-- Chi-NY-- Five of last seven Cooper games went over the total.
-- Clev-Blt-- 12 of last 15 Drake games went over the total.
-- KC-Min-- 14 of 15 Emmel games went over total; they played twinbill Saturday; check late to make sure Emmel is behind plate here.
-- A's-Tex-- Visiting team won six of last nine Gonzalez games.
-- Bos-Sea-- 11 of last 15 Culbreth games went over total.
-- Det-TB-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Muchlinski games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:44 AM

MLB

Sunday, July 1

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Trend Report
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1:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

1:35 PM
CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

1:40 PM
DETROIT vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games

2:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
NY Yankees are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games at home
NY Yankees are 16-5 SU in their last 21 games

2:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

2:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

2:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
St. Louis is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

2:20 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Houston is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Houston
Chi Cubs are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Houston

3:07 PM
LA ANGELS vs. TORONTO
LA Angels are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games on the road
LA Angels are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games

3:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Diego's last 18 games when playing on the road against Colorado
San Diego is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing San Diego

4:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

4:10 PM
BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
Boston is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Seattle
Boston10-3-1 SU in its last 14 games
Seattle is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games ,when playing at home against Boston
Seattle is 5-13-1 SU in its last 19 games ,at home

7:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland

8:05 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
NY Mets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games at home

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:44 AM

MLB

Sunday, July 1

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Sunday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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Streaking

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox (6-7, 4.80 ERA)

Floyd hasn’t allowed an earned run in consecutive starts, putting in 13 1/3 innings of solid pitching after a long rocky stretch. Before his recent hot streak, the big righty had allowed at least four runs in six straight starts. He tied a season-high with nine strikeouts in his latest turn, earning a 3-2 victory over the Twins.

Gio Gonzalez, Washington Nationals (10-3, 2.78 ERA)

Gonzalez wasn’t at his best in his last start, but still battled well enough to earn his 10th win of the season. He gave up two homers and four runs over six innings with seven strikeouts to help the Nats down the Rockies 12-5. He now has 108 strikeouts in only 90 2/3 innings pitched.

Slumping

Brian Matusz, Baltimore Orioles (5-9, 5.24 ERA)

Matusz has lost each of his last four starts and was absolutely terrible in his last trip to the hill. He allowed five runs, two homers, and a whopping 13 hits in just five innings during a 7-3 loss to the Angels Tuesday. Matusz owns an 8.31 ERA during the slump

Erik Bedard, Pittsburgh Pirates (4-8, 4.27 ERA)

The Pirates have lost four of Bedard’s last five starts. He is coming off a 5-4 loss to Philadelphia that saw him go six innings, allowing four runs. The lefty has also had a tough time on the road. He has lost four straight road starts.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:45 AM

MLB

Sunday, July 1

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Sunday Night Baseball: Mets at Dodgers
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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (-145, 6.5)

East Coast versus West Coast on Sunday night baseball as the Mets finish their four-game series against the Dodgers in Los Angeles.

The Weakest Link

The Mets have been successful this season by using a four-man pitching rotation of R.A. Dickey, Johan Santana, Jonathon Niese, and Dillon Gee. However, of those four starters, Gee has been by far the weakest link. The other three pitchers each have an ERA of 3.55 or better with a WHIP of 1.27 or better, while Gee has struggled with a 4.42 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

Gee is coming off one of his worst starts of the season last Tuesday when he allowed four runs and nine hits in just five innings against the Cubs in Chicago. Overall, Gee has a 4.23 ERA and 1.36 WHIP on the road this season.

Mr. Consistency

Los Angeles starter Clayton Kershaw has been the most consistent starter in the league the past four seasons. He struggled in his rookie season in 2008 with a 4.26 ERA and only 100 strikeouts, but he has dominated ever since with a 2.79 ERA and 185 strikeouts in 2009, 2.91 ERA and 212 strikeouts in 2010, and 2.28 ERA and 248 strikeouts in 2011 which led to the Cy Young award.

Kershaw is once again having a fantastic season this year with a 2.74 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 16 starts with a 103/27 strikeout/walk ratio.

Offensive Injuries

The Dodgers have suffered a major blow to their offensive power this season as their top two power hitters, Andre Ethier and Matt Kemp, are currently out of the lineup.

Ethier strained his left oblique on Wednesday and is out indefinitely, while Kemp has been out since he re-aggravated his hamstring injury on May 30th. The two players have combined for 22 home runs this season, while the rest of the team had combined for just 23 home runs all year entering Saturday's game.

Ethier and Kemp have also combined for 83 RBI as they rank first and second on the team.

Hitters vs. Starters

Matt Kemp's injury is good news for Dillon Gee as Kemp was 2-for-5 (.400) in his career versus the right-hander. Tony Gwynn is 2-for-3 (.667) versus Gee, while the rest of the Dodgers' lineup is just 2-for-10 (.200) if you remove the injured Andre Ethier (0-for-4).

The Mets' current players have struggled against Kershaw, going a combined 15-for-77 (.195). The three hitters with the most career at-bats versus Kershaw have mixed results as David Wright is just 1-for-9 (.111) and Andres Torres is only 2-for-19 (.105), while Scott Hairston is surprisingly 7-for-17 (.412) versus Kershaw.

Trends to Watch

Dodgers are 20-6 in Kershaw's last 26 home starts.

Mets are 1-5 in Gee's last 6 starts.

Mets are 19-6-1 Over last 26 road games vs. LH starter.

Kershaw is 13-4-1 Under in his last 18 home starts.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:27500 Followers:33
07/01/2012 10:47 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Minnesota at San Antonio
The Lynx look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 road games. Minnesota is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

SUNDAY, JULY 1

Game 651-652: Minnesota at San Antonio (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 121.028; San Antonio 115.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 152
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4 1/2; 157
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-4 1/2); Under

Game 653-654: Phoenix at Washington (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 104.306; Washington 105.308
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 150
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 155 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4); Under

Game 655-656: Seattle at Connecticut (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 108.163; Connecticut 116.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 8 1/2; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 10; 148
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+10); Under

Game 657-658: Atlanta at Chicago (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 113.595; Chicago 111.241
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1; 152
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Over




WNBA

Sunday, July 1

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota

4:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. WASHINGTON
Phoenix is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

5:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. CONNECTICUT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

6:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: